Well, these campaigns from Bay Area history might convince you otherwise.
Keep reading for a sample of races and measures decided by the slimmest of margins. In each race, a different decision by a group of friends, a family or even a single person would have changed history in its own small way.
“As an elections official, I always hope for a high turnout and wide margins; that’s sort of the easiest thing to call,” said Kristin Connelly, registrar of voters in Contra Costa County. “But every vote counts, and we take that very seriously.”
Without further ado, here are a handful of entrants in the Bay Area Election Nail-Biter Hall of Fame:
Tied votes (when candidates receive exactly the same number of votes)
- In 2018: Byron Bethany Irrigation District Director 1
- In 2022: Sunnyvale City Council, District 3
- In 2022: Richmond City Council
Rules on how to break electoral ties vary by jurisdiction. In the Byron Bethany Irrigation District — a multi-county special district serving an area that includes parts of Alameda and Contra Costa counties — it required the roll of a 20-sided die.
In Sunnyvale, the city clerk picked an envelope with Murali Srinivasan’s name on it out of a bag. And something similar played out in Richmond, where Cesar Zepeda won a tiebreaker over Andrew Butt when the city clerk drew an envelope out of a shopping bag.
After a recount, Zepeda was declared the winner by just three votes. Shopping bag don’t lie.
Decided by one vote
- In 2022: Travis Unified School District, Measure M
- In 2020: Sausalito City Council
It took weeks after the 2020 election to determine that Ian Sobieski had claimed the last of three open spots on the Sausalito City Council, finishing just ahead of incumbent Joan Cox.
“I am gobsmacked,” Cox told KPIX 5. “If I were to be defeated, it would be easier to be defeated by a larger margin, quite honestly.”