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"content": "\u003cp>After \u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/2016/10/28/its-been-a-wet-october-and-more-rain-is-on-the-way/\" target=\"_blank\">a very rainy October\u003c/a> and a very dry first half of November, it's wet again throughout the Bay Area and the northern half of California. And the timing of a series of storms moving in from the Pacific could well impact holiday travel.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Much of the nine-county region got a pretty good soaking over the weekend -- ranging from 6.27 inches in the \u003ca href=\"http://www.pressdemocrat.com/news/5092497-181/sonoma-county-community-of-venado?artslide=0\" target=\"_blank\">relentlessly drippy non-town of Venado\u003c/a>, in the hills west of Healdsburg in northern Sonoma County, to 3.67 inches at Ben Lomond in the Santa Cruz Mountains, to about an inch in San Francisco, Oakland and Berkeley. Lowland locations in the South Bay got less -- generally a half-inch or less.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But that rain is past, prologue to several cold storms ready to sweep into the region. The summary:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Tuesday-Thursday:\u003c/strong> \u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDMTR&wfo=MTR\" target=\"_blank\">Forecasters expect\u003c/a> rain to arrive in northern Sonoma County early this evening and get to the Golden Gate before midnight. The National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area forecast office says rainfall will range from three-quarters of an inch in the North Bay hills to a tenth of an inch or less in inland Santa Clara County before the storm moves on by midday Wednesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The system is also \u003ca href=\"http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=sto&wwa=winter%20weather%20advisory\" target=\"_blank\">expected\u003c/a> to bring 3 to 6 inches of snow to the Sierra Nevada, with more over higher terrain. If you're driving, you can expect messy conditions late Tuesday through midday Wednesday along Interstate 80 and U.S. 50, the main routes to the mountain resorts and Lake Tahoe. The good news: The weather will clear up and stay dry through late Thanksgiving evening.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Friday-Sunday:\u003c/strong> Models suggest the second in the series of storms, the strongest of this week's disturbances, will bring rain to the region's northern reaches Friday morning, move slowly into the central Bay Area by Friday afternoon and dissipate into showery weather Saturday morning. Again, this storm will bring the heaviest rain to areas north of the Golden Gate, with 1 inch-plus totals in the North Bay hills and totals in the quarter-inch to half-inch range around the bay. Storm 2 is forecast to drop as much as a foot of snow at Donner Summit (I-80) and Echo Summit (U.S. 50).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A third, weaker storm is forecast to move in late Saturday through Sunday morning, dropping another quarter-inch or so of rain in most Bay Area locations and as much as 6 inches of snow in the Sierra. After that, models are suggesting what could be a break from stormy weather lasting well into next month.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"headTitle": "The California Report | KQED News",
"content": "\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 11 a.m. Friday:\u003c/strong> As promised, if a little behind schedule, the Bay Area's first autumn storm spread rain throughout the region Friday. The heaviest totals since rain began falling late Thursday -- more than 2 inches in the wettest locations -- were in Sonoma, Marin and Napa counties. Nearly an inch had fallen in the East Bay hills, with a quarter-inch or less recorded in San Francisco and Peninsula locations. Most of the South Bay outside of the Santa Cruz Mountains was still dry at midday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The wet weather combined with occasionally gusty winds to knock out power to about 23,000 PG&E customers. The company reported its biggest outage, more than 5,000 customers, in the Dublin-Pleasanton area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The rain also snarled traffic throughout the region and caused delays at San Francisco International Airport. The FAA reported at midday that some arriving flights were experiencing delays of about 2 hours or more.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A quick rundown of storm precipitation totals through midday Friday:\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable class=\"tg\">\n\u003ctbody>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">\u003cstrong>Locatio\u003c/strong>n\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">\u003cstrong>Amount\u003c/strong>\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Mount Saint Helena\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">2.16\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Venado\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">2.12\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Middle Peak\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">1.46\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Olema Valley\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">1.15\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">St Helena\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">1\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Orinda\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.87\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Point Reyes Station\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.86\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Mt Diablo Peak\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.7\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Santa Rosa-Charles Schultz Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.63\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Mill Valley\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.47\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Napa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.44\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Tilden Park\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.43\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Richmond\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.39\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">San Rafael\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.37\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Rodeo\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.36\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">St Mary's College\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.21\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Vacaville\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.19\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">San Francisco\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.17\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">La Honda\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.08\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Redwood City\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.05\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Oakland\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.03\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Concord\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.02\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Hayward Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.02\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/tbody>\n\u003c/table>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Original post (1:15 p.m. Thursday)\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Bay Area is in for its first rain of the season starting late Thursday, the beginning of a wet weekend driven in part by a rich plume of atmospheric moisture delivered to the Pacific Northwest and Northern California by the weakening remnants of a powerful Pacific typhoon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service's Bay Area office in Monterey says rain should begin falling in northern Sonoma County late tonight as a cold front begins moving through the area. Precipitation will reach the central Bay Area around dawn Friday -- in time to slow down the morning commute -- and sweep into the South Bay by midday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Scattered showers are expected to persist across the region Friday and Saturday before a second system moves through the region late Saturday into Sunday. The second system will be connected to a very strong storm -- formerly known as \u003ca href=\"https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/western-pacific/2016/Typhoon-Songda\" target=\"_blank\">Typhoon Songda\u003c/a> -- expected to hit the coast of northern Oregon and southern Washington state on Saturday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Both storms are expected to bring \u003ca href=\"http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2016/10/warming-major-storms-threaten-pacific.html\" target=\"_blank\">exceptionally heavy rain and dangerously high winds\u003c/a> to much of the Pacific Northwest.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The impact in the Bay Area is expected to be gentler, with periods of gusty winds and total rainfall by the end of the weekend ranging from 3 inches for the \"usual suspect\" locations in the coastal hills of northern Sonoma County -- yes, we're looking at you, \u003ca href=\"http://www.pressdemocrat.com/news/5092497-181/sonoma-county-community-of-venado\" target=\"_blank\">Venado\u003c/a> -- to three-quarters of an inch or so in San Jose and other lowland South Bay locales.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The storms far to the north and west will also generate big waves, prompting Bay Area forecasters to issue high surf and coastal flood advisories from Monterey Bay north to the Mendocino County line.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service says some weather models have suggested the possibility of a period of prolonged heavy rains in the Santa Cruz Mountains from late Saturday into Sunday. That would raise concerns about debris flows in the area of last month's \u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/2016/09/26/wildfire-in-santa-cruz-mountains-forces-evacuation-of-300-homes/\" target=\"_blank\">Loma Fire\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Northwestern California, the state's wettest corner, could see more than a foot of rain in the Coast Range through the middle of next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The main impact of the first storm in the Sierra Nevada will be \u003ca href=\"http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mtr&wwa=high%20wind%20warning\" target=\"_blank\">very high winds\u003c/a>, with 125 mph gusts forecast over the Sierra ridges and 3- to 6-foot waves predicted for Lake Tahoe. Snow levels are expected to start out at about 9,000 feet, dropping to 7,000 feet late in the weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Precipitation forecasts from the \u003ca href=\"http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/qpf.php\" target=\"_blank\">California-Nevada River Forecast Center\u003c/a> show 7 to 8 inches of rain falling in the mountains above the state's two largest reservoirs, Shasta Lake and Lake Oroville.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As weather history fans up and down the West Coast are noting, the region has had some historic encounters with storms driven by remnant typhoons.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2009 -- exactly seven years ago today -- \u003ca href=\"http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/storm_summaries/oct2009storm.php\" target=\"_blank\">the remains of Typhoon Melor\u003c/a> barged into California packing high winds and bringing a full-on deluge. Fifteen inches of rain fell in the Santa Lucia Range along Big Sur, and 10 inches fell in the Santa Cruz Mountains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By far the best known of the October tempests, though, is the \u003ca href=\"http://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/weather/from-the-archives-columbus-day-storm-of-1962/\" target=\"_blank\">Columbus Day Storm of 1962\u003c/a>, which had its origins in Typhoon Freda.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Bay Area, that event is remembered chiefly for forcing \u003ca href=\"http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/29/sports/baseball/29delays.html?_r=0\" target=\"_blank\">a three-day postponement\u003c/a> of World Series Game 6 between the Giants and Yankees.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Pacific Northwest, gusts reached 83 mph in Seattle, 127 mph in Oregon's Willamette Valley and -- yes, \u003ca href=\"http://www.climate.washington.edu/stormking/October1962.html\" target=\"_blank\">people say this really happened\u003c/a> -- 160 mph along the Washington coast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Earlier this week, UCLA climate researcher Daniel Swain, proprietor of the peerless California Weather Blog, \u003ca href=\"http://www.weatherwest.com/archives/4305\" target=\"_blank\">broke down\u003c/a> a little of the history and dynamics of typhoons that impact the northern reaches of the West Coast:\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>Tropical cyclones in the warm West Pacific can occasionally “recurve” from their predominantly east-to-west trajectory, veering northward and then eventually eastward as they approach the active west-to-east storm track region and associated upper-atmospheric jet stream. Such recurving cyclones can affect West Coast weather via one or both of two possible mechanisms–either by strengthening and “extending” the East Asian jet stream further eastward over the North Pacific basin or less commonly by transitioning into a “hybrid” extratropical cyclone and arriving largely intact (but in weaker form) in the Pacific Northwest. In the present case, it appears that Songda will do a little of both–strengthening the overall storm track and persisting as a powerful remnant surface low as it treks eastward across the Pacific.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It might be a bit surprising to learn that former West Pacific typhoons can have such a profound influence upon West Coast weather. But history suggests that there is a relatively narrow window in autumn–mostly during the month of October–when a rare confluence of events can produce truly extreme storm conditions. One of the most significant California events of this kind in recent memory occurred in October 2009, when the remnants of Typhoon Melor re-intensified as an extratropical cyclone off the coast of Northern California and brought extraordinary rainfall and damaging winds to a wide region. But even the 2009 event pales in comparison to the incredibly destructive Columbus Day Storm of 1962, which drew its energy from the remnants of former Typhoon Freda. The so-called “Storm King” brought winds well in excess of 120 mph to much of coastal Oregon and near-hurricane force winds from the California border to Vancouver, BC–an event that would be even more disastrous today, given the large increase in population and human infrastructure that has occurred in that region since 1962. Fortunately, as disruptive as the upcoming event may be in Washington and Oregon, nothing even close to the magnitude of the 1962 event is anticipated.\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\n",
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"excerpt": "Remnants of Typhoon Songda feed soaking rains expected to last on and off through the weekend.",
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"title": "Bay Area Gets Its First Fall Rain, Thanks to a Dying Typhoon | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 11 a.m. Friday:\u003c/strong> As promised, if a little behind schedule, the Bay Area's first autumn storm spread rain throughout the region Friday. The heaviest totals since rain began falling late Thursday -- more than 2 inches in the wettest locations -- were in Sonoma, Marin and Napa counties. Nearly an inch had fallen in the East Bay hills, with a quarter-inch or less recorded in San Francisco and Peninsula locations. Most of the South Bay outside of the Santa Cruz Mountains was still dry at midday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The wet weather combined with occasionally gusty winds to knock out power to about 23,000 PG&E customers. The company reported its biggest outage, more than 5,000 customers, in the Dublin-Pleasanton area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The rain also snarled traffic throughout the region and caused delays at San Francisco International Airport. The FAA reported at midday that some arriving flights were experiencing delays of about 2 hours or more.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A quick rundown of storm precipitation totals through midday Friday:\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable class=\"tg\">\n\u003ctbody>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">\u003cstrong>Locatio\u003c/strong>n\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">\u003cstrong>Amount\u003c/strong>\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Mount Saint Helena\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">2.16\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Venado\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">2.12\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Middle Peak\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">1.46\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Olema Valley\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">1.15\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">St Helena\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">1\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Orinda\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.87\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Point Reyes Station\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.86\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Mt Diablo Peak\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.7\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Santa Rosa-Charles Schultz Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.63\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Mill Valley\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.47\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Napa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.44\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Tilden Park\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.43\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Richmond\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.39\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">San Rafael\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.37\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Rodeo\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.36\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">St Mary's College\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.21\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Vacaville\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.19\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">San Francisco\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.17\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">La Honda\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.08\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Redwood City\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.05\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Oakland\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.03\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Concord\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.02\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">Hayward Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd class=\"tg-baqh\">0.02\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/tbody>\n\u003c/table>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Original post (1:15 p.m. Thursday)\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Bay Area is in for its first rain of the season starting late Thursday, the beginning of a wet weekend driven in part by a rich plume of atmospheric moisture delivered to the Pacific Northwest and Northern California by the weakening remnants of a powerful Pacific typhoon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service's Bay Area office in Monterey says rain should begin falling in northern Sonoma County late tonight as a cold front begins moving through the area. Precipitation will reach the central Bay Area around dawn Friday -- in time to slow down the morning commute -- and sweep into the South Bay by midday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Scattered showers are expected to persist across the region Friday and Saturday before a second system moves through the region late Saturday into Sunday. The second system will be connected to a very strong storm -- formerly known as \u003ca href=\"https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/western-pacific/2016/Typhoon-Songda\" target=\"_blank\">Typhoon Songda\u003c/a> -- expected to hit the coast of northern Oregon and southern Washington state on Saturday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Both storms are expected to bring \u003ca href=\"http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2016/10/warming-major-storms-threaten-pacific.html\" target=\"_blank\">exceptionally heavy rain and dangerously high winds\u003c/a> to much of the Pacific Northwest.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The impact in the Bay Area is expected to be gentler, with periods of gusty winds and total rainfall by the end of the weekend ranging from 3 inches for the \"usual suspect\" locations in the coastal hills of northern Sonoma County -- yes, we're looking at you, \u003ca href=\"http://www.pressdemocrat.com/news/5092497-181/sonoma-county-community-of-venado\" target=\"_blank\">Venado\u003c/a> -- to three-quarters of an inch or so in San Jose and other lowland South Bay locales.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The storms far to the north and west will also generate big waves, prompting Bay Area forecasters to issue high surf and coastal flood advisories from Monterey Bay north to the Mendocino County line.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service says some weather models have suggested the possibility of a period of prolonged heavy rains in the Santa Cruz Mountains from late Saturday into Sunday. That would raise concerns about debris flows in the area of last month's \u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/2016/09/26/wildfire-in-santa-cruz-mountains-forces-evacuation-of-300-homes/\" target=\"_blank\">Loma Fire\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Northwestern California, the state's wettest corner, could see more than a foot of rain in the Coast Range through the middle of next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The main impact of the first storm in the Sierra Nevada will be \u003ca href=\"http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mtr&wwa=high%20wind%20warning\" target=\"_blank\">very high winds\u003c/a>, with 125 mph gusts forecast over the Sierra ridges and 3- to 6-foot waves predicted for Lake Tahoe. Snow levels are expected to start out at about 9,000 feet, dropping to 7,000 feet late in the weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Precipitation forecasts from the \u003ca href=\"http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/qpf.php\" target=\"_blank\">California-Nevada River Forecast Center\u003c/a> show 7 to 8 inches of rain falling in the mountains above the state's two largest reservoirs, Shasta Lake and Lake Oroville.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As weather history fans up and down the West Coast are noting, the region has had some historic encounters with storms driven by remnant typhoons.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2009 -- exactly seven years ago today -- \u003ca href=\"http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/storm_summaries/oct2009storm.php\" target=\"_blank\">the remains of Typhoon Melor\u003c/a> barged into California packing high winds and bringing a full-on deluge. Fifteen inches of rain fell in the Santa Lucia Range along Big Sur, and 10 inches fell in the Santa Cruz Mountains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By far the best known of the October tempests, though, is the \u003ca href=\"http://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/weather/from-the-archives-columbus-day-storm-of-1962/\" target=\"_blank\">Columbus Day Storm of 1962\u003c/a>, which had its origins in Typhoon Freda.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Bay Area, that event is remembered chiefly for forcing \u003ca href=\"http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/29/sports/baseball/29delays.html?_r=0\" target=\"_blank\">a three-day postponement\u003c/a> of World Series Game 6 between the Giants and Yankees.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Pacific Northwest, gusts reached 83 mph in Seattle, 127 mph in Oregon's Willamette Valley and -- yes, \u003ca href=\"http://www.climate.washington.edu/stormking/October1962.html\" target=\"_blank\">people say this really happened\u003c/a> -- 160 mph along the Washington coast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Earlier this week, UCLA climate researcher Daniel Swain, proprietor of the peerless California Weather Blog, \u003ca href=\"http://www.weatherwest.com/archives/4305\" target=\"_blank\">broke down\u003c/a> a little of the history and dynamics of typhoons that impact the northern reaches of the West Coast:\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>Tropical cyclones in the warm West Pacific can occasionally “recurve” from their predominantly east-to-west trajectory, veering northward and then eventually eastward as they approach the active west-to-east storm track region and associated upper-atmospheric jet stream. Such recurving cyclones can affect West Coast weather via one or both of two possible mechanisms–either by strengthening and “extending” the East Asian jet stream further eastward over the North Pacific basin or less commonly by transitioning into a “hybrid” extratropical cyclone and arriving largely intact (but in weaker form) in the Pacific Northwest. In the present case, it appears that Songda will do a little of both–strengthening the overall storm track and persisting as a powerful remnant surface low as it treks eastward across the Pacific.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It might be a bit surprising to learn that former West Pacific typhoons can have such a profound influence upon West Coast weather. But history suggests that there is a relatively narrow window in autumn–mostly during the month of October–when a rare confluence of events can produce truly extreme storm conditions. One of the most significant California events of this kind in recent memory occurred in October 2009, when the remnants of Typhoon Melor re-intensified as an extratropical cyclone off the coast of Northern California and brought extraordinary rainfall and damaging winds to a wide region. But even the 2009 event pales in comparison to the incredibly destructive Columbus Day Storm of 1962, which drew its energy from the remnants of former Typhoon Freda. The so-called “Storm King” brought winds well in excess of 120 mph to much of coastal Oregon and near-hurricane force winds from the California border to Vancouver, BC–an event that would be even more disastrous today, given the large increase in population and human infrastructure that has occurred in that region since 1962. Fortunately, as disruptive as the upcoming event may be in Washington and Oregon, nothing even close to the magnitude of the 1962 event is anticipated.\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>From a weather watcher’s perspective, the most striking thing about Thursday, aka Round 1 in our latest series of storms, was the variation in rainfall from north to south.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As widely noted, an atmospheric river of very moist air streaming in to the coast from near Hawaii remained stubbornly focused on the counties north of the Golden Gate for most of the day. That meant the wettest locations — and the Middle Peak weather station on Mount Tamalpais recorded the most rain for the 24 hours ended at midnight Thursday — topped 4 inches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meantime, the South Bay got close to nothing from the storm. Lowland locations and upland locations alike got a mere moistening: Mountain View recorded .02 of an inch. Mount Umunhum, which got 11 inches of rain from the storms late last week, got just .04 inches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Yes, that’s a bit of an apples-and-oranges comparison, measuring Thursday’s one-day rain totals against a four-day series of storms last week. But the Thursday storm did show off how tightly focused an atmospheric-river-type storm can be.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>From a weather watcher’s perspective, the most striking thing about Thursday, aka Round 1 in our latest series of storms, was the variation in rainfall from north to south.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As widely noted, an atmospheric river of very moist air streaming in to the coast from near Hawaii remained stubbornly focused on the counties north of the Golden Gate for most of the day. That meant the wettest locations — and the Middle Peak weather station on Mount Tamalpais recorded the most rain for the 24 hours ended at midnight Thursday — topped 4 inches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meantime, the South Bay got close to nothing from the storm. Lowland locations and upland locations alike got a mere moistening: Mountain View recorded .02 of an inch. Mount Umunhum, which got 11 inches of rain from the storms late last week, got just .04 inches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Yes, that’s a bit of an apples-and-oranges comparison, measuring Thursday’s one-day rain totals against a four-day series of storms last week. But the Thursday storm did show off how tightly focused an atmospheric-river-type storm can be.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"disqusTitle": "Where's the Rain? North Bay Sees Deluge",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 12:55 p.m.:\u003c/strong> Developments on Thursday's mostly North Bay storm:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>The National Weather Service has issued \u003ca href=\"http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mtr&wwa=flash%20flood%20warning\" target=\"_blank\">a flash flood warning\u003c/a> for areas along Willow Brook and Lichau Creeks, in southern Sonoma County between Petaluma and Rohnert Park.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>The California-Nevada River Forecast Center says the Russian River \u003ca href=\"http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/graphicalRVF.php?id=GUEC1\" target=\"_blank\">will reach flood stage\u003c/a> late Friday night and crest nearly 3 feet above flood stage late Saturday morning.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>Rainfall totals reflect the dramatic disparity in precipitation, with locations in the North Bay getting steady rain with occasional downpours since just after 3 a.m. and areas south of San Francisco and throughout the East Bay getting virtually nothing. Here's what rain gauges showed through 1 p.m. Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable>\n\u003ctbody>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003cth>Rain Location\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Rain total (in.)\u003c/th>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Venado (Sonoma County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>3.56\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Whispering Pines (Lake County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2.12\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Santa Rosa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.89\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Mount Tamalpais Middle Peak\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.8\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Boggs Mountain (Lake County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.77\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Mount Saint Helena\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.69\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Lake Sonoma Rec. Area\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.67\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Cloverdale\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.52\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Dillon Beach\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.50\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Santa Rosa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.35\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>St. Helena\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.24\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Point Reyes Station\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.18\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Angwin (Napa County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.16\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Petaluma - D St.\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.83\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Mill Valley\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.74\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Petaluma Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.67\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Yountville\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.66\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Novato Library\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.59\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Lake Hennessey (Napa County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.55\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Napa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.44\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Richmond\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.28\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.08\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Rodeo\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.05\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Mount Diablo Peak\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.01\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Vacaville\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.01\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/tbody>\n\u003c/table>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Original post:\u003c/strong> We've been hearing for several days about how the Bay Area is about to be walloped with another round of heavy rain on the last two days of our workweek. The storm would be fed by an atmospheric river of moisture flowing from Hawaii and beyond.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Thursday dawned bright and beautiful in most of the region south of the Golden Gate. Where's the rain?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you live in northern Sonoma County, you know the answer: The atmospheric river is in place, and rain began falling in the predawn hours.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Venado, \u003ca href=\"http://www.pressdemocrat.com/news/5092497-181/sonoma-county-community-of-venado?artslide=0\" target=\"_blank\">the superwet location\u003c/a> in the Russian River watershed west of Healdsburg, recorded 2.48 inches of rain in the seven hours that ended at 8 a.m. Santa Rosa is seeing heavy rain, too, with 1.20 inches falling by 8 a.m. at Charles M. Schulz-Sonoma County Airport just north of town.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The North Bay downpours will feed a rapid rise on the Russian River, which is forecast to reach flood stage at Guerneville late Friday night and crest about 3 feet above flood stage late Saturday morning. Inundation is forecast for some areas of Guerneville and nearby Rio Nido.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Farther south, very little rain has been recorded from the Thursday storm -- yet. The Middle Peak weather station atop Mount Tamalpais, generally a fabulously wet spot, has gotten just a hundredth of an inch -- .01 -- as of 8 a.m.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And from San Francisco south -- nada.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Weather models are showing that steady rain could be falling in San Francisco by 9 a.m. -- with a rather showery pattern for the rest of the day and into the evening.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>South of San Francisco NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Response models suggest a big disparity in rainfall from Marin and Sonoma counties, where most locations are forecast to receive 1 to 2 inches by this evening, to San Francisco, Contra Costa and northern Alameda County -- .25 to .50 of an inch -- to the South Bay, where San Jose is forecast to get a few hundredths of an inch.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>More abundant rain is forecast for the entire Bay Area, including the Santa Cruz Mountains, before the storm system exits Friday evening.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 12:55 p.m.:\u003c/strong> Developments on Thursday's mostly North Bay storm:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>The National Weather Service has issued \u003ca href=\"http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=mtr&wwa=flash%20flood%20warning\" target=\"_blank\">a flash flood warning\u003c/a> for areas along Willow Brook and Lichau Creeks, in southern Sonoma County between Petaluma and Rohnert Park.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>The California-Nevada River Forecast Center says the Russian River \u003ca href=\"http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/graphicalRVF.php?id=GUEC1\" target=\"_blank\">will reach flood stage\u003c/a> late Friday night and crest nearly 3 feet above flood stage late Saturday morning.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>Rainfall totals reflect the dramatic disparity in precipitation, with locations in the North Bay getting steady rain with occasional downpours since just after 3 a.m. and areas south of San Francisco and throughout the East Bay getting virtually nothing. Here's what rain gauges showed through 1 p.m. Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable>\n\u003ctbody>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003cth>Rain Location\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Rain total (in.)\u003c/th>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Venado (Sonoma County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>3.56\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Whispering Pines (Lake County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2.12\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Santa Rosa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.89\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Mount Tamalpais Middle Peak\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.8\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Boggs Mountain (Lake County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.77\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Mount Saint Helena\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.69\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Lake Sonoma Rec. Area\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.67\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Cloverdale\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.52\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Dillon Beach\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.50\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Santa Rosa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.35\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>St. Helena\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.24\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Point Reyes Station\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.18\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Angwin (Napa County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.16\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Petaluma - D St.\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.83\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Mill Valley\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.74\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Petaluma Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.67\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Yountville\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.66\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Novato Library\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.59\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Lake Hennessey (Napa County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.55\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Napa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.44\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Richmond\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.28\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.08\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Rodeo\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.05\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Mount Diablo Peak\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.01\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Vacaville\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.01\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/tbody>\n\u003c/table>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Original post:\u003c/strong> We've been hearing for several days about how the Bay Area is about to be walloped with another round of heavy rain on the last two days of our workweek. The storm would be fed by an atmospheric river of moisture flowing from Hawaii and beyond.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Thursday dawned bright and beautiful in most of the region south of the Golden Gate. Where's the rain?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you live in northern Sonoma County, you know the answer: The atmospheric river is in place, and rain began falling in the predawn hours.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Venado, \u003ca href=\"http://www.pressdemocrat.com/news/5092497-181/sonoma-county-community-of-venado?artslide=0\" target=\"_blank\">the superwet location\u003c/a> in the Russian River watershed west of Healdsburg, recorded 2.48 inches of rain in the seven hours that ended at 8 a.m. Santa Rosa is seeing heavy rain, too, with 1.20 inches falling by 8 a.m. at Charles M. Schulz-Sonoma County Airport just north of town.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The North Bay downpours will feed a rapid rise on the Russian River, which is forecast to reach flood stage at Guerneville late Friday night and crest about 3 feet above flood stage late Saturday morning. Inundation is forecast for some areas of Guerneville and nearby Rio Nido.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Farther south, very little rain has been recorded from the Thursday storm -- yet. The Middle Peak weather station atop Mount Tamalpais, generally a fabulously wet spot, has gotten just a hundredth of an inch -- .01 -- as of 8 a.m.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And from San Francisco south -- nada.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Weather models are showing that steady rain could be falling in San Francisco by 9 a.m. -- with a rather showery pattern for the rest of the day and into the evening.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>South of San Francisco NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Response models suggest a big disparity in rainfall from Marin and Sonoma counties, where most locations are forecast to receive 1 to 2 inches by this evening, to San Francisco, Contra Costa and northern Alameda County -- .25 to .50 of an inch -- to the South Bay, where San Jose is forecast to get a few hundredths of an inch.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>More abundant rain is forecast for the entire Bay Area, including the Santa Cruz Mountains, before the storm system exits Friday evening.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>If rainfall were a competition, a place that few of us can pronounce would be the winner in the Bay Area Weekend-Plus Precipitation Sweepstakes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mount Umunhum, a peak variously reported at 3,486 and 3,488 feet in the Santa Cruz Mountains south of San Jose, got 10.89 inches of rain between 6 a.m. Thursday and 6 a.m. Monday. It's pronounced UM-un-um, by the way. Though if you want to explore the matter a little more deeply, see Gudde's \u003ca href=\"https://books.google.com/books?id=M-22djGNuhwC&lpg=PR6&ots=-MNG0FVKIP&dq=california%20place%20names%20a%20geographical%20dictionary%20%22umunhum%22&pg=SL3-PA350#v=onepage&q=umunhum&f=false\" target=\"_blank\">California Place Names\u003c/a>.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, rain data compiled by the \u003ca href=\"http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/\" target=\"_blank\">California-Nevada River Forecast Center\u003c/a> show that only one location throughout the state got more for the past four wet, wet days than Mount Umunhum. That would be Bucks Lake, in the Feather River watershed in Plumas County, which the CNRFC says got 11.59 inches over 96 hours.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That deluge in the Feather River watershed unleashed torrents that dumped 65 billion gallons of water into \u003ca href=\"http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryDaily?s=ORO&d=&span=1month\" target=\"_blank\">Lake Oroville\u003c/a>, the state's second-largest reservoir. Oroville storage grew by 200,000 acre-feet over the weekend, enough water for about 400,000 \"average\" California households for a year (or enough to submerge an acre of almonds, or a football field, to a depth of about 38 miles).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Storage in \u003ca href=\"http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryDaily?s=SHA&d=&span=1month\" target=\"_blank\">Shasta Lake\u003c/a>, California's biggest reservoir, increased by 203,000 acre-feet in the four-day period.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Below:\u003c/strong> Total rainfall for 66 locations in the region from northern Sonoma County through Santa Cruz County and east to Sacramento. Scroll down for entire list and click on column headings to rearrange by location or rainfall total.\u003c/p>\n\u003cdiv style=\"width: 100%;min-height: 400px\">\n\u003cdiv style=\"padding-bottom: 50%;padding-top: 0px;height: 0\">\n\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe src=\"//danbrekke.silk.co/s/embed/gCxd9Pr\" style=\"border:1;position: absolute; left:100px; width: 60%;\" width=\"100%\" height=\"500\" scrolling=\"yes\" class=\"iframe-class\" frameborder=\"0\">\u003c/iframe>\n\u003c/div>\n\u003c/div>\n\u003cdiv style=\"margin-top: -33px;margin-bottom: 10px;font-size: 12px;color: gray;text-align: left;width: 50%;overflow: hidden\">Data from \u003ca target=\"_blank\">California-Nevada River Forecast Center\u003c/a>\u003c/div>\n\n",
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"excerpt": "Highest totals in our wet, wet weekend were in the Santa Cruz Mountains and in coastal hills north of the Golden Gate. ",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>If rainfall were a competition, a place that few of us can pronounce would be the winner in the Bay Area Weekend-Plus Precipitation Sweepstakes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mount Umunhum, a peak variously reported at 3,486 and 3,488 feet in the Santa Cruz Mountains south of San Jose, got 10.89 inches of rain between 6 a.m. Thursday and 6 a.m. Monday. It's pronounced UM-un-um, by the way. Though if you want to explore the matter a little more deeply, see Gudde's \u003ca href=\"https://books.google.com/books?id=M-22djGNuhwC&lpg=PR6&ots=-MNG0FVKIP&dq=california%20place%20names%20a%20geographical%20dictionary%20%22umunhum%22&pg=SL3-PA350#v=onepage&q=umunhum&f=false\" target=\"_blank\">California Place Names\u003c/a>.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, rain data compiled by the \u003ca href=\"http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/\" target=\"_blank\">California-Nevada River Forecast Center\u003c/a> show that only one location throughout the state got more for the past four wet, wet days than Mount Umunhum. That would be Bucks Lake, in the Feather River watershed in Plumas County, which the CNRFC says got 11.59 inches over 96 hours.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That deluge in the Feather River watershed unleashed torrents that dumped 65 billion gallons of water into \u003ca href=\"http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryDaily?s=ORO&d=&span=1month\" target=\"_blank\">Lake Oroville\u003c/a>, the state's second-largest reservoir. Oroville storage grew by 200,000 acre-feet over the weekend, enough water for about 400,000 \"average\" California households for a year (or enough to submerge an acre of almonds, or a football field, to a depth of about 38 miles).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Storage in \u003ca href=\"http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryDaily?s=SHA&d=&span=1month\" target=\"_blank\">Shasta Lake\u003c/a>, California's biggest reservoir, increased by 203,000 acre-feet in the four-day period.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Below:\u003c/strong> Total rainfall for 66 locations in the region from northern Sonoma County through Santa Cruz County and east to Sacramento. Scroll down for entire list and click on column headings to rearrange by location or rainfall total.\u003c/p>\n\u003cdiv style=\"width: 100%;min-height: 400px\">\n\u003cdiv style=\"padding-bottom: 50%;padding-top: 0px;height: 0\">\n\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe src=\"//danbrekke.silk.co/s/embed/gCxd9Pr\" style=\"border:1;position: absolute; left:100px; width: 60%;\" width=\"100%\" height=\"500\" scrolling=\"yes\" class=\"iframe-class\" frameborder=\"0\">\u003c/iframe>\n\u003c/div>\n\u003c/div>\n\u003cdiv style=\"margin-top: -33px;margin-bottom: 10px;font-size: 12px;color: gray;text-align: left;width: 50%;overflow: hidden\">Data from \u003ca target=\"_blank\">California-Nevada River Forecast Center\u003c/a>\u003c/div>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "after-a-dry-february-hoping-for-some-march-moisture",
"title": "After a Dry February, Hoping for Some March Moisture",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 4.6875em;float: left;line-height: 0.733em;padding: 0.05em 0.1em 0 0;font-family: times, serif, georgia\">Y\u003c/span>ou wouldn’t know it from looking at the sky, of course, but our rainy season isn’t over. One sure sign is the appearance of \u003ca href=\"http://www.mercurynews.com/drought/ci_29548644/el-nino-summer-drought-rules-likely-continue-unless\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">news stories\u003c/a> telling us that, despite the fact the Bay Area has gotten a small fraction of its average rainfall during what’s typically the wettest part of the wet season, \u003ca href=\"http://ggweather.com/enso/winter_dry_spells.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">midwinter dry spells\u003c/a> are nothing to get our bloomers in a meteorological twist over.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And besides, we’re reminded, we still have March coming. This year is the 25th anniversary of \u003ca href=\"http://snowbrains.com/miracle-march-1991-march-saved-tahoe/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the Miracle March\u003c/a>, a month in which rain and snow fell with such extravagance that California was saved from the worst effects of a disastrously dry winter (though yes, the state remained in the grip of \u003ca href=\"http://www.water.ca.gov/waterconditions/docs/2_drought-1987-92.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a five-year drought\u003c/a>).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Speaking of March: Both forecasters and \u003ca href=\"http://www.weatherwest.com/archives/3877#disqus_thread\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a growing mob of weather geeks\u003c/a> with time on their hands and access to specialized data are scanning the output of global weather models — like the ones available \u003ca href=\"http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/ipsm_looper.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here\u003c/a> — to see whether stormy weather might be on the horizon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The answer: It might be.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 4.6875em;float: left;line-height: 0.733em;padding: 0.05em 0.1em 0 0;font-family: times, serif, georgia\">T\u003c/span>he models — essentially supercomputer programs that crunch weather data pouring in from all over the world, producing pictures of upcoming conditions — are suggesting that a series of storms, or at least one, may sweep across California by the end of next week. The caveat: \u003ca href=\"https://www.wunderground.com/blog/SteveGregory/mild-end-to-winter--wx-refuses-to-cooperate-with-models--mar-outlook\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The models have not had a great track record\u003c/a> seeing that far into the future most of the winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wednesday afternoon, the San Francisco Bay Area forecast office in Monterey glanced at output from models looking at the eight- to 14-day time period and summarized the outlook for next week this way:\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>High pressure is then forecast to rebuild over the west next week for a return to warm and dry weather. Latest 8-14 day climate temperature and precipitation outlooks keep the West warm and dry through the March 2-9 period.\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\u003cp>The models most forecasters depend on produce new outlooks every six hours. By Wednesday night, models had already spit out a new version of forecast reality for next week. Thursday, the Monterey forecast office had this to say about conditions next week:\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>The second half of next week is starting to look more interesting on the medium range models. By Wednesday a third weak system skirts the North Bay again. However, a more promising system looks to really break down the ridge with the best chance for rain the next seven days. Therefore, have introduced widespread precipitation for the entire Bay Area next Thursday and Friday. Confidence is not the highest given that it is seven days out. But model consensus indicates a good push of precipitation.\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\u003cp>As the weather people say, both pros and geeks, we’ll see if the forecast verifies.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 4.6875em;float: left;line-height: 0.733em;padding: 0.05em 0.1em 0 0;font-family: times, serif, georgia\">W\u003c/span>hile we wait for the models to settle and/or reality to happen, let’s observe that one of the many benefits of our infuriatingly gorgeous winter weather is that it creates great conditions to see California from space. Not that we’ve ever been up there ourselves, but here’s one recent example: astronaut Scott Kelly’s Super Bowl Sunday shot of San Francisco.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"instagram-media instagram-media-rendered\" id=\"instagram-embed-0\" src=\"https://www.instagram.com/p/BBgHKD2gXnk/embed/?v=6\" allowtransparency=\"true\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"540\" data-instgrm-payload-id=\"instagram-media-payload-0\" scrolling=\"no\" style=\"border: 0px; margin: 1px; max-width: 658px; width: calc(100% - 2px); border-radius: 4px; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.498039) 0px 0px 1px 0px, rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.14902) 0px 1px 10px 0px; display: block; padding: 0px; background: rgb(255, 255, 255);\" width=\"100%\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For those confined to the lower troposphere, the view from space is available via sites like \u003ca href=\"http://www.goes.noaa.gov/goes-w.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NOAA’s GOES West\u003c/a> weather satellite site or \u003ca href=\"https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NASA’s Worldview\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Worldview is a favorite. It features images of the Earth captured daily by two NASA satellites, Aqua and Terra. During the summer, we often check it to watch the visible dispersal of wildfire smoke. In the midst of our recent dry, mostly cloud-free weather, Worldview has offered day after day of clear California portraits. Since the site has an archive of images going back to 2013, it also allows a comparison between this year’s conditions and what the state looked like earlier in our four-going-on-five-year drought.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The image at the top of the post is from Wednesday, Feb. 24, 2016 (original Worldview image \u003ca href=\"https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?p=geographic&l=VIIRS_SNPP_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Terra_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Aqua_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor,Reference_Labels(hidden),Reference_Features(hidden),Coastlines&t=2016-02-24&v=-131.35877126475899,26.52412597643565,-100.75525563975899,42.37959472643565\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here\u003c/a>. The slider below compares that image to one captured exactly a year earlier, Feb. 24, 2015 (original image \u003ca href=\"https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?p=geographic&l=VIIRS_SNPP_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Terra_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Aqua_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor,Reference_Labels(hidden),Reference_Features(hidden),Coastlines&t=2015-02-24&v=-131.35877126475899,26.52412597643565,-100.75525563975899,42.37959472643565\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here\u003c/a>).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A year ago, the state was on its way to recording its lowest snowpack in recorded history. That’s not necessarily obvious in the 2015 image, which was recorded just a day after a storm had moved across the southern half of California. The really telling difference between this year and last year is the shocking dearth of snow in the northern mountains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http://projects1.kqed.org/beforeafter/snowpacksliders.html\" scrolling=\"no\" width=\"100%\" height=\"500\" class=\"iframe-class\" frameborder=\"0\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The statewide snowpack is now about \u003ca href=\"http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/snow/DLYSWEQ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">90 percent of normal\u003c/a> for the date — and shrinking. So you sure hope that maybe the weather models will be right about an upcoming change in the weather. Never mind a miracle. We’d settle for some March moisture.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 4.6875em;float: left;line-height: 0.733em;padding: 0.05em 0.1em 0 0;font-family: times, serif, georgia\">Y\u003c/span>ou wouldn’t know it from looking at the sky, of course, but our rainy season isn’t over. One sure sign is the appearance of \u003ca href=\"http://www.mercurynews.com/drought/ci_29548644/el-nino-summer-drought-rules-likely-continue-unless\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">news stories\u003c/a> telling us that, despite the fact the Bay Area has gotten a small fraction of its average rainfall during what’s typically the wettest part of the wet season, \u003ca href=\"http://ggweather.com/enso/winter_dry_spells.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">midwinter dry spells\u003c/a> are nothing to get our bloomers in a meteorological twist over.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And besides, we’re reminded, we still have March coming. This year is the 25th anniversary of \u003ca href=\"http://snowbrains.com/miracle-march-1991-march-saved-tahoe/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the Miracle March\u003c/a>, a month in which rain and snow fell with such extravagance that California was saved from the worst effects of a disastrously dry winter (though yes, the state remained in the grip of \u003ca href=\"http://www.water.ca.gov/waterconditions/docs/2_drought-1987-92.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a five-year drought\u003c/a>).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Speaking of March: Both forecasters and \u003ca href=\"http://www.weatherwest.com/archives/3877#disqus_thread\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a growing mob of weather geeks\u003c/a> with time on their hands and access to specialized data are scanning the output of global weather models — like the ones available \u003ca href=\"http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/ipsm_looper.php\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here\u003c/a> — to see whether stormy weather might be on the horizon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The answer: It might be.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 4.6875em;float: left;line-height: 0.733em;padding: 0.05em 0.1em 0 0;font-family: times, serif, georgia\">T\u003c/span>he models — essentially supercomputer programs that crunch weather data pouring in from all over the world, producing pictures of upcoming conditions — are suggesting that a series of storms, or at least one, may sweep across California by the end of next week. The caveat: \u003ca href=\"https://www.wunderground.com/blog/SteveGregory/mild-end-to-winter--wx-refuses-to-cooperate-with-models--mar-outlook\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The models have not had a great track record\u003c/a> seeing that far into the future most of the winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wednesday afternoon, the San Francisco Bay Area forecast office in Monterey glanced at output from models looking at the eight- to 14-day time period and summarized the outlook for next week this way:\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>High pressure is then forecast to rebuild over the west next week for a return to warm and dry weather. Latest 8-14 day climate temperature and precipitation outlooks keep the West warm and dry through the March 2-9 period.\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\u003cp>The models most forecasters depend on produce new outlooks every six hours. By Wednesday night, models had already spit out a new version of forecast reality for next week. Thursday, the Monterey forecast office had this to say about conditions next week:\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>The second half of next week is starting to look more interesting on the medium range models. By Wednesday a third weak system skirts the North Bay again. However, a more promising system looks to really break down the ridge with the best chance for rain the next seven days. Therefore, have introduced widespread precipitation for the entire Bay Area next Thursday and Friday. Confidence is not the highest given that it is seven days out. But model consensus indicates a good push of precipitation.\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\u003cp>As the weather people say, both pros and geeks, we’ll see if the forecast verifies.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 4.6875em;float: left;line-height: 0.733em;padding: 0.05em 0.1em 0 0;font-family: times, serif, georgia\">W\u003c/span>hile we wait for the models to settle and/or reality to happen, let’s observe that one of the many benefits of our infuriatingly gorgeous winter weather is that it creates great conditions to see California from space. Not that we’ve ever been up there ourselves, but here’s one recent example: astronaut Scott Kelly’s Super Bowl Sunday shot of San Francisco.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"instagram-media instagram-media-rendered\" id=\"instagram-embed-0\" src=\"https://www.instagram.com/p/BBgHKD2gXnk/embed/?v=6\" allowtransparency=\"true\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"540\" data-instgrm-payload-id=\"instagram-media-payload-0\" scrolling=\"no\" style=\"border: 0px; margin: 1px; max-width: 658px; width: calc(100% - 2px); border-radius: 4px; box-shadow: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.498039) 0px 0px 1px 0px, rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.14902) 0px 1px 10px 0px; display: block; padding: 0px; background: rgb(255, 255, 255);\" width=\"100%\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For those confined to the lower troposphere, the view from space is available via sites like \u003ca href=\"http://www.goes.noaa.gov/goes-w.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NOAA’s GOES West\u003c/a> weather satellite site or \u003ca href=\"https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NASA’s Worldview\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Worldview is a favorite. It features images of the Earth captured daily by two NASA satellites, Aqua and Terra. During the summer, we often check it to watch the visible dispersal of wildfire smoke. In the midst of our recent dry, mostly cloud-free weather, Worldview has offered day after day of clear California portraits. Since the site has an archive of images going back to 2013, it also allows a comparison between this year’s conditions and what the state looked like earlier in our four-going-on-five-year drought.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The image at the top of the post is from Wednesday, Feb. 24, 2016 (original Worldview image \u003ca href=\"https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?p=geographic&l=VIIRS_SNPP_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Terra_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Aqua_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor,Reference_Labels(hidden),Reference_Features(hidden),Coastlines&t=2016-02-24&v=-131.35877126475899,26.52412597643565,-100.75525563975899,42.37959472643565\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here\u003c/a>. The slider below compares that image to one captured exactly a year earlier, Feb. 24, 2015 (original image \u003ca href=\"https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?p=geographic&l=VIIRS_SNPP_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Terra_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor(hidden),MODIS_Aqua_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor,Reference_Labels(hidden),Reference_Features(hidden),Coastlines&t=2015-02-24&v=-131.35877126475899,26.52412597643565,-100.75525563975899,42.37959472643565\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here\u003c/a>).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A year ago, the state was on its way to recording its lowest snowpack in recorded history. That’s not necessarily obvious in the 2015 image, which was recorded just a day after a storm had moved across the southern half of California. The really telling difference between this year and last year is the shocking dearth of snow in the northern mountains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"http://projects1.kqed.org/beforeafter/snowpacksliders.html\" scrolling=\"no\" width=\"100%\" height=\"500\" class=\"iframe-class\" frameborder=\"0\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The statewide snowpack is now about \u003ca href=\"http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/snow/DLYSWEQ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">90 percent of normal\u003c/a> for the date — and shrinking. So you sure hope that maybe the weather models will be right about an upcoming change in the weather. Never mind a miracle. We’d settle for some March moisture.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"disqusTitle": "Storm Thunders Through Bay Area, With More Rain Close Behind",
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"content": "\u003cp>What made our Wednesday-Thursday storm different from most we've seen this winter? At KQED Rain Watch Headquarters in Berkeley, it was the thunder.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>I awoke just after midnight to a series of earsplitting blasts that shook our 96-year-old headquarters building. My chief assistant, who also had been asleep, believed we were having an earthquake.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then the rain and hail started pounding down. Then we went back to sleep.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So what did our mid-February storm bring?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>According to stats reported on the \u003ca href=\"http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/\" target=\"_blank\">California-Nevada River Forecast Center\u003c/a> site (look for the \"Observed Precipitation\" tab on the right side), a rain gauge near New Almaden Quick Silver County Park, in the hills of South San Jose, recorded 2.23 inches of rain. Several nearby locations in that hilly area of Santa Clara County also totaled more than 2 inches -- the most anywhere in the nine-county Bay Area. Lower-elevation locations across the region got anywhere from a quarter to two-thirds of an inch.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The table below includes totals from 17 very carefully selected locations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Our next rain? The National Weather Service forecast office in Monterey \u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDMTR&wfo=MTR\" target=\"_blank\">says\u003c/a> what looked like a pallid little Friday storm that would miss most of the Bay Area has gotten its act together and is now expected to bring up to two-thirds of an inch of rain to hilly locations across the region and one- to two-tenths of an inch elsewhere. Warm, dry weather is forecast for the weekend, with the next chance of rain coming late Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable>\n\u003ctbody>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003cth>Location\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Weds-Thurs. total\u003c/th>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Ben Lomond (Santa Cruz Mts.)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.66\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Middle Peak (Mount Tamalpais)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.60\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Venado (Sonoma County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.32\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>St. Mary's College (Moraga)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.27\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Olema (West Marin)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.16\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Vollmer Peak (Berkeley Hills)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.96\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>La Honda\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.89\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Sacramento\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.78\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Redwood City\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.74\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.67\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco International Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.62\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Santa Rosa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.60\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Fairfield/Travis Air Force Bas\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.54\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Napa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.52\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Oakland Museum\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.35\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Jose International Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.26\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/tbody>\n\u003c/table>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>What made our Wednesday-Thursday storm different from most we've seen this winter? At KQED Rain Watch Headquarters in Berkeley, it was the thunder.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>I awoke just after midnight to a series of earsplitting blasts that shook our 96-year-old headquarters building. My chief assistant, who also had been asleep, believed we were having an earthquake.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then the rain and hail started pounding down. Then we went back to sleep.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So what did our mid-February storm bring?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>According to stats reported on the \u003ca href=\"http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/\" target=\"_blank\">California-Nevada River Forecast Center\u003c/a> site (look for the \"Observed Precipitation\" tab on the right side), a rain gauge near New Almaden Quick Silver County Park, in the hills of South San Jose, recorded 2.23 inches of rain. Several nearby locations in that hilly area of Santa Clara County also totaled more than 2 inches -- the most anywhere in the nine-county Bay Area. Lower-elevation locations across the region got anywhere from a quarter to two-thirds of an inch.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The table below includes totals from 17 very carefully selected locations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Our next rain? The National Weather Service forecast office in Monterey \u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDMTR&wfo=MTR\" target=\"_blank\">says\u003c/a> what looked like a pallid little Friday storm that would miss most of the Bay Area has gotten its act together and is now expected to bring up to two-thirds of an inch of rain to hilly locations across the region and one- to two-tenths of an inch elsewhere. Warm, dry weather is forecast for the weekend, with the next chance of rain coming late Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable>\n\u003ctbody>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003cth>Location\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Weds-Thurs. total\u003c/th>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Ben Lomond (Santa Cruz Mts.)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.66\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Middle Peak (Mount Tamalpais)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.60\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Venado (Sonoma County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.32\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>St. Mary's College (Moraga)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.27\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Olema (West Marin)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.16\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Vollmer Peak (Berkeley Hills)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.96\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>La Honda\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.89\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Sacramento\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.78\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Redwood City\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.74\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.67\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco International Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.62\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Santa Rosa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.60\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Fairfield/Travis Air Force Bas\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.54\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Napa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.52\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Oakland Museum\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.35\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Jose International Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.26\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/tbody>\n\u003c/table>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"disqusTitle": "Storm Nears Bay Area, Offering Relief from Sunny, Droughty Skies",
"title": "Storm Nears Bay Area, Offering Relief from Sunny, Droughty Skies",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated, 8:10 p.m. Tuesday \u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You're starting to think the drought didn't really go away, aren't you?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDMTR&wfo=MTR\" target=\"_blank\">Forecasters say\u003c/a> the Bay Area will experience a brief but dramatic change to more typical February weather beginning Wednesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Our prolonged February spell of sunny, dry weather broke records for a second straight day Tuesday from Richmond down to San Jose and beyond.\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003cth>Location\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Tuesday's high\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Previous record\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Old record set\u003c/th>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Salinas\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>86\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>80\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1977\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Monterey\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>83\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>73\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2013\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Oakland Museum\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>82\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>75\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2015\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Jose\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>80\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>78\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1930\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Mountain View\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>78\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>73\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1977\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Richmond\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>77\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>75\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2015\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Oakland Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>76\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>73\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1977\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>72\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>69\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2007\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/table>\n\u003cp>Oakland's 82 degrees on Tuesday smashed the record of 75, set just last year. Salinas, Mountain View and Oakland Airport all bettered records set in 1977. If you've been here a while, you'll remember that as the second winter of a drought that was, until the current one, considered the most severe in California's modern history.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, the high of 86 in Salinas -- yes, it's in Monterey County, so maybe that's stretching the definition of the Bay Area a little -- is the warmest February day ever recorded there. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Enough of dwelling on warm, dry weather in the midst of what we might have expected to be a robust, stormy month in the midst of \u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/2015/11/20/el-nino-forecast-for-california-batten-down-the-hatches/\" target=\"_blank\">a strong El Niño winter\u003c/a>. Forecasters say our February dry spell will end Wednesday, with a moderately potent Pacific storm sweeping into the region Wednesday afternoon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service's Bay Area forecast office in Monterey says rain could begin falling in earnest about the time of the Wednesday evening rush hour and continue into Thursday. The storm will not be a gullywasher or a frog-choker, with anywhere from half an inch to an inch of rain expected.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A second storm, drier than the first, is expected in at least the northern half of the Bay Area on Friday. Both systems are expected to bring a healthy dumping of snow to the northern and central Sierra Nevada, with the NWS Sacramento forecasting 1 to 2 feet of snow above the 6,000 feet and as much as 10 inches above 5,000 feet. The storm will help add to a snowpack that's running at about 100 percent of average for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The relief from droughty weather ends Friday, with warm and sunny conditions expected for the weekend and the beginning of next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Monday's records are below:\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable>\n\u003ctbody>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003cth>Location\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Monday's high\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Previous record\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Old record set\u003c/th>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Rafael\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>80\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>78\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1977\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Downtown San Francisco\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>77\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>76\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1930\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>75\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>75\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2015\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Oakland Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>74\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>73\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1977\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Richmond\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>77\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>75\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1977\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/tbody>\n\u003c/table>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated, 8:10 p.m. Tuesday \u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You're starting to think the drought didn't really go away, aren't you?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDMTR&wfo=MTR\" target=\"_blank\">Forecasters say\u003c/a> the Bay Area will experience a brief but dramatic change to more typical February weather beginning Wednesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Our prolonged February spell of sunny, dry weather broke records for a second straight day Tuesday from Richmond down to San Jose and beyond.\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003cth>Location\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Tuesday's high\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Previous record\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Old record set\u003c/th>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Salinas\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>86\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>80\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1977\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Monterey\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>83\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>73\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2013\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Oakland Museum\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>82\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>75\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2015\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Jose\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>80\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>78\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1930\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Mountain View\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>78\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>73\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1977\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Richmond\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>77\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>75\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2015\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Oakland Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>76\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>73\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1977\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>72\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>69\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2007\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/table>\n\u003cp>Oakland's 82 degrees on Tuesday smashed the record of 75, set just last year. Salinas, Mountain View and Oakland Airport all bettered records set in 1977. If you've been here a while, you'll remember that as the second winter of a drought that was, until the current one, considered the most severe in California's modern history.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, the high of 86 in Salinas -- yes, it's in Monterey County, so maybe that's stretching the definition of the Bay Area a little -- is the warmest February day ever recorded there. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Enough of dwelling on warm, dry weather in the midst of what we might have expected to be a robust, stormy month in the midst of \u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/2015/11/20/el-nino-forecast-for-california-batten-down-the-hatches/\" target=\"_blank\">a strong El Niño winter\u003c/a>. Forecasters say our February dry spell will end Wednesday, with a moderately potent Pacific storm sweeping into the region Wednesday afternoon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service's Bay Area forecast office in Monterey says rain could begin falling in earnest about the time of the Wednesday evening rush hour and continue into Thursday. The storm will not be a gullywasher or a frog-choker, with anywhere from half an inch to an inch of rain expected.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A second storm, drier than the first, is expected in at least the northern half of the Bay Area on Friday. Both systems are expected to bring a healthy dumping of snow to the northern and central Sierra Nevada, with the NWS Sacramento forecasting 1 to 2 feet of snow above the 6,000 feet and as much as 10 inches above 5,000 feet. The storm will help add to a snowpack that's running at about 100 percent of average for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The relief from droughty weather ends Friday, with warm and sunny conditions expected for the weekend and the beginning of next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Monday's records are below:\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable>\n\u003ctbody>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003cth>Location\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Monday's high\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Previous record\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>Old record set\u003c/th>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Rafael\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>80\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>78\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1977\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Downtown San Francisco\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>77\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>76\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1930\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>75\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>75\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2015\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Oakland Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>74\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>73\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1977\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Richmond\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>77\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>75\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1977\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/tbody>\n\u003c/table>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"disqusTitle": "El Niño Does Bring Floods And Drought, But There's A Silver Lining",
"title": "El Niño Does Bring Floods And Drought, But There's A Silver Lining",
"headTitle": "KQED News",
"content": "\u003cp>Maybe El Niño isn't as bad as its reputation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>El Niño is an ocean-warming phenomenon in the Pacific that crops up every few years and alters world weather patterns. And the world is in the middle of a big El Niño that roughly began in May 2015 and will continue for at least several more months this year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This El Niño has already been linked to a series of weather-related disasters: Massive flooding in Paraguay. Drought in Ethiopia. Another looming food crisis in Madagascar and Zimbabwe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But for all the doom and gloom, scientists say there's also a silver lining here.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To understand why, you need to go back to the last time the planet was hit by an El Niño this big — in 1997. That event, which lasted through 1998, seemed particularly devastating to poor countries.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"A lot of people were looking around at the climate impacts and starting to create lists of how expensive that El Niño event was, how much damage it was costing,\" says Columbia University climate scientist \u003ca href=\"http://iri.columbia.edu/contact/staff-directory/lisa-goddard/\">Lisa Goddard\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then, as now, there was a lot to add up: flooding in Peru, drought-fueled wildfires in Indonesia, a severe malaria epidemic in Kenya caused by excessive rainfall. The tab reached into the tens of billions of dollars.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"The conclusion that was coming out was that El Niño events were very costly, were very damaging, were very extreme,\" she says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Goddard, who heads Columbia's \u003ca href=\"http://iri.columbia.edu/\">International Research Institute for Climate and Society\u003c/a>, had her doubts. After all, she notes, \"Different parts of the world experience extreme climate in any year.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Were extreme weather disasters really more likely to occur across the world during El Niño years?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"What we found was that they weren't,\" says Goddard.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, what she and a colleague \u003ca href=\"http://iri.columbia.edu/~goddard/papers/Goddard_Dilley_2005.pdf\">concluded \u003c/a>after an extensive review of the data is that what distinguishes climate disasters during an El Niño isn't that they're more severe or more numerous. It's that El Niño-produced disasters are more ... predictable.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Goddard explains that scientists know an El Niño is coming when — for reasons that are not fully understood — the waters of the Pacific become unusually warm. That warming \"reorganizes the seasonal pattern of weather — like where the jet stream is carrying the storms,\" she says. The signature pattern of an El Niño has been well-documented.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/01/Screen-Shot-2016-01-22-at-10.36.38-AM.png\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-10841439\">\u003cimg class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-10841439\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/01/Screen-Shot-2016-01-22-at-10.36.38-AM.png\" alt=\"Screen Shot 2016-01-22 at 10.36.38 AM\" width=\"780\" height=\"606\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2016/01/Screen-Shot-2016-01-22-at-10.36.38-AM.png 780w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2016/01/Screen-Shot-2016-01-22-at-10.36.38-AM-400x311.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2016/01/Screen-Shot-2016-01-22-at-10.36.38-AM-768x597.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 780px) 100vw, 780px\">\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What's more, the stronger the El Niño, the more pronounced the effect — and therefore the more accurately scientists can predict the impacts. So this current, extra-powerful El Niño has offered governments and aid agencies a rare chance to prepare.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Take the United Nation's World Food Program. \u003ca href=\"https://www.wfp.org/people/richard-choularton\">Richard Choularton\u003c/a> is overseeing a groundbreaking \u003ca href=\"http://www.wfp.org/news/news-release/releasing-disaster-funds-crises-would-transform-humanitarian-response\">shift \u003c/a>there. They're monitoring the El Niño forecasts to identify places where a natural disaster \u003cem>might\u003c/em> hit so they can send aid money proactively.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For example, explains Choularton, \"If you need a certain amount of rainfall for a maize crop to grow, and the forecast says there's a 60 percent chance that you'll get less than that, we trigger funding for communities to do things that will help them deal with a drought.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, in this scenario that would mean there's a 40 percent chance there won't be a drought. The WFP could end up spending money that wasn't needed. But Choularton says it's worth the risk because preventive aid is so much cheaper than emergency aid.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"In fact, this is what's given us the confidence to be able to say we should be able to act before something happens based on the forecast, because we know that we'll save money in the long run.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>WFP is setting up this pilot effort in five countries where El Niño-related weather could create food shortages in the coming months: Guatemala, Niger, Sudan, Zimbabwe and the Philippines. The International Red Cross has launched a similar program for Uganda.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"That's never happened before,\" says Choularton. \"It really is changing the fundamental way we do our work from one which is reactive to one which is anticipatory.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, forewarned hasn't always meant forearmed in this El Niño.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Especially in Indonesia. Every fall, everyone from small farmers to big companies there set fires to clear land for palm oil production. It's always a problem. But this past year, the El Niño created extra-dry conditions. Any fires were bound to get out of control. And the government did spread the word.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Of course they told people about the situation,\" says \u003ca href=\"http://ccromseap.ipb.ac.id/web/profile/view/1\">Rizaldi Boer\u003c/a>, director of the Center for Climate Risk and Opportunity Management at Indonesia's Bogor Agricultural University.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Boer says in many cases the warnings only encouraged people to set fires. They thought it would be the ideal year to do it, says Boer, because the fires would burn more easily and they could clear land more quickly. \"They really made use of the situation to get more land.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The result was fires that raged for weeks, choking the region with smoke, sickening hundreds of thousands.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Boer says the solution for the next El Niño will be to give people a better reason \u003cem>not\u003c/em> to set fires — cracking down on offenders, of course, but just as important is offering financial rewards to villages that resist the temptation.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"excerpt": "We're in the middle of an El Niño that's already caused weather-related disasters and will last at least several more months. Now for the good news.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Maybe El Niño isn't as bad as its reputation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>El Niño is an ocean-warming phenomenon in the Pacific that crops up every few years and alters world weather patterns. And the world is in the middle of a big El Niño that roughly began in May 2015 and will continue for at least several more months this year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This El Niño has already been linked to a series of weather-related disasters: Massive flooding in Paraguay. Drought in Ethiopia. Another looming food crisis in Madagascar and Zimbabwe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But for all the doom and gloom, scientists say there's also a silver lining here.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To understand why, you need to go back to the last time the planet was hit by an El Niño this big — in 1997. That event, which lasted through 1998, seemed particularly devastating to poor countries.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"A lot of people were looking around at the climate impacts and starting to create lists of how expensive that El Niño event was, how much damage it was costing,\" says Columbia University climate scientist \u003ca href=\"http://iri.columbia.edu/contact/staff-directory/lisa-goddard/\">Lisa Goddard\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then, as now, there was a lot to add up: flooding in Peru, drought-fueled wildfires in Indonesia, a severe malaria epidemic in Kenya caused by excessive rainfall. The tab reached into the tens of billions of dollars.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"The conclusion that was coming out was that El Niño events were very costly, were very damaging, were very extreme,\" she says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Goddard, who heads Columbia's \u003ca href=\"http://iri.columbia.edu/\">International Research Institute for Climate and Society\u003c/a>, had her doubts. After all, she notes, \"Different parts of the world experience extreme climate in any year.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Were extreme weather disasters really more likely to occur across the world during El Niño years?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"What we found was that they weren't,\" says Goddard.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, what she and a colleague \u003ca href=\"http://iri.columbia.edu/~goddard/papers/Goddard_Dilley_2005.pdf\">concluded \u003c/a>after an extensive review of the data is that what distinguishes climate disasters during an El Niño isn't that they're more severe or more numerous. It's that El Niño-produced disasters are more ... predictable.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Goddard explains that scientists know an El Niño is coming when — for reasons that are not fully understood — the waters of the Pacific become unusually warm. That warming \"reorganizes the seasonal pattern of weather — like where the jet stream is carrying the storms,\" she says. The signature pattern of an El Niño has been well-documented.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/01/Screen-Shot-2016-01-22-at-10.36.38-AM.png\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-10841439\">\u003cimg class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-10841439\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/01/Screen-Shot-2016-01-22-at-10.36.38-AM.png\" alt=\"Screen Shot 2016-01-22 at 10.36.38 AM\" width=\"780\" height=\"606\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2016/01/Screen-Shot-2016-01-22-at-10.36.38-AM.png 780w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2016/01/Screen-Shot-2016-01-22-at-10.36.38-AM-400x311.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2016/01/Screen-Shot-2016-01-22-at-10.36.38-AM-768x597.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 780px) 100vw, 780px\">\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What's more, the stronger the El Niño, the more pronounced the effect — and therefore the more accurately scientists can predict the impacts. So this current, extra-powerful El Niño has offered governments and aid agencies a rare chance to prepare.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Take the United Nation's World Food Program. \u003ca href=\"https://www.wfp.org/people/richard-choularton\">Richard Choularton\u003c/a> is overseeing a groundbreaking \u003ca href=\"http://www.wfp.org/news/news-release/releasing-disaster-funds-crises-would-transform-humanitarian-response\">shift \u003c/a>there. They're monitoring the El Niño forecasts to identify places where a natural disaster \u003cem>might\u003c/em> hit so they can send aid money proactively.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For example, explains Choularton, \"If you need a certain amount of rainfall for a maize crop to grow, and the forecast says there's a 60 percent chance that you'll get less than that, we trigger funding for communities to do things that will help them deal with a drought.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, in this scenario that would mean there's a 40 percent chance there won't be a drought. The WFP could end up spending money that wasn't needed. But Choularton says it's worth the risk because preventive aid is so much cheaper than emergency aid.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"In fact, this is what's given us the confidence to be able to say we should be able to act before something happens based on the forecast, because we know that we'll save money in the long run.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>WFP is setting up this pilot effort in five countries where El Niño-related weather could create food shortages in the coming months: Guatemala, Niger, Sudan, Zimbabwe and the Philippines. The International Red Cross has launched a similar program for Uganda.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"That's never happened before,\" says Choularton. \"It really is changing the fundamental way we do our work from one which is reactive to one which is anticipatory.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, forewarned hasn't always meant forearmed in this El Niño.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Especially in Indonesia. Every fall, everyone from small farmers to big companies there set fires to clear land for palm oil production. It's always a problem. But this past year, the El Niño created extra-dry conditions. Any fires were bound to get out of control. And the government did spread the word.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Of course they told people about the situation,\" says \u003ca href=\"http://ccromseap.ipb.ac.id/web/profile/view/1\">Rizaldi Boer\u003c/a>, director of the Center for Climate Risk and Opportunity Management at Indonesia's Bogor Agricultural University.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Boer says in many cases the warnings only encouraged people to set fires. They thought it would be the ideal year to do it, says Boer, because the fires would burn more easily and they could clear land more quickly. \"They really made use of the situation to get more land.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The result was fires that raged for weeks, choking the region with smoke, sickening hundreds of thousands.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Boer says the solution for the next El Niño will be to give people a better reason \u003cem>not\u003c/em> to set fires — cracking down on offenders, of course, but just as important is offering financial rewards to villages that resist the temptation.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Good news for our ability to sustain a population of 39 million, bad news if you were planning a picnic:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=mtr&product=AFD&format=CI&glossary=1\" target=\"_blank\">National Weather Service \u003c/a>forecasts one-quarter to 1.5 inches of rain, depending on location, coming the Bay Area's way through Wednesday night. Light rain should start late today, in the North Bay, before a stronger system moves in and dampens the entire region.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wednesday morning the rain should diminish, but thunderstorms are possible over the North Bay, the weather service says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But wait, there's more ...\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Another, weaker system will bring as much as a half-inch of rain to the North Bay, most of it Thursday night. And yet even more systems are lining up in the Pacific, preparing for landing Saturday and into next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not to belabor the point, but the current rains do not mean that the drought is over. Well, you may ask, what's it gonna take, then? Paul Rogers addressed that question \u003ca href=\"http://www.mercurynews.com/drought/ci_29364616/california-drought-how-will-we-know-when-its\" target=\"_blank\">in the San Jose Mercury News\u003c/a> over the weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>Simply put: The drought could end this year, according to state water officials. But for that to happen, as California enters the fifth year of the worst drought in the state's history, rains will have to continue arriving in pounding, relentless waves through April to fill depleted reservoirs and dry rivers and push the Sierra snowpack to at least 150 percent of normal.\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\u003cp>But, Rogers goes on to say, \"there isn't widespread agreement among scientists and water managers about what signifies the finish line.\" So the final decision rests with the man who last January declared the statewide drought emergency: Gov. Jerry Brown.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Jeanine Jones, a drought manager at the California Department of Water Resources, told Rogers the state drought task force will make a recommendation to Brown on whether to rescind the emergency declaration sometime after the rainy season. Before that, on Feb. 2, the water board will vote on whether to relax the 25 percent mandatory water cuts, in place since June.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For more on what must occur so that you can flush your toilet again, check out National Geographic's \"\u003ca href=\"http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2016/01/160107-california-drought-snowpack-el-nino-rains/\" target=\"_blank\">These 4 Things Need to Happen to End California’s Drought\u003c/a>.\"\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Good news for our ability to sustain a population of 39 million, bad news if you were planning a picnic:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=mtr&product=AFD&format=CI&glossary=1\" target=\"_blank\">National Weather Service \u003c/a>forecasts one-quarter to 1.5 inches of rain, depending on location, coming the Bay Area's way through Wednesday night. Light rain should start late today, in the North Bay, before a stronger system moves in and dampens the entire region.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wednesday morning the rain should diminish, but thunderstorms are possible over the North Bay, the weather service says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But wait, there's more ...\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Another, weaker system will bring as much as a half-inch of rain to the North Bay, most of it Thursday night. And yet even more systems are lining up in the Pacific, preparing for landing Saturday and into next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not to belabor the point, but the current rains do not mean that the drought is over. Well, you may ask, what's it gonna take, then? Paul Rogers addressed that question \u003ca href=\"http://www.mercurynews.com/drought/ci_29364616/california-drought-how-will-we-know-when-its\" target=\"_blank\">in the San Jose Mercury News\u003c/a> over the weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>Simply put: The drought could end this year, according to state water officials. But for that to happen, as California enters the fifth year of the worst drought in the state's history, rains will have to continue arriving in pounding, relentless waves through April to fill depleted reservoirs and dry rivers and push the Sierra snowpack to at least 150 percent of normal.\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\u003cp>But, Rogers goes on to say, \"there isn't widespread agreement among scientists and water managers about what signifies the finish line.\" So the final decision rests with the man who last January declared the statewide drought emergency: Gov. Jerry Brown.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Jeanine Jones, a drought manager at the California Department of Water Resources, told Rogers the state drought task force will make a recommendation to Brown on whether to rescind the emergency declaration sometime after the rainy season. Before that, on Feb. 2, the water board will vote on whether to relax the 25 percent mandatory water cuts, in place since June.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For more on what must occur so that you can flush your toilet again, check out National Geographic's \"\u003ca href=\"http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2016/01/160107-california-drought-snowpack-el-nino-rains/\" target=\"_blank\">These 4 Things Need to Happen to End California’s Drought\u003c/a>.\"\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"disqusTitle": "Wednesday Storm Update: A Rainy, Windy Round 3",
"title": "Wednesday Storm Update: A Rainy, Windy Round 3",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 6:30 a.m. Wednesday:\u003c/strong> The week's third storm made an on-time arrival overnight and brought an equal-opportunity soaking to the Bay Area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At KQED's Off-Site Blog Headquarters -- my house in North Berkeley -- we got .62 of an inch in just a couple of hours starting around 4 a.m. And the rain pounding down here is typical of what's happening around the rest of the region.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Heaviest totals so far are far to the north and south of the Golden Gate, with Soquel, south of Santa Cruz on Monterey Bay, getting 1.18 inches since midnight and Venado in northern Sonoma County getting 1.52 inches. That latter location, in the hills west of Healdsburg, has gotten more than 7 inches of rain since Sunday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>Bay Area Rain\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Rain for selected locations for 24 hours ending 7 a.m. Wednesday and total since rain began in Sonoma County on Sunday:\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable>\n\u003ctbody>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003cth>\u003cstrong>Location\u003c/strong>\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>\u003cstrong>Last 24 hours (in.)\u003c/strong>\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>\u003cstrong>Since Sunday\u003c/strong>\u003c/th>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Venado (Sonoma County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2.36\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>7.32\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Ben Lomond (Santa Cruz Mts.)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.43\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>5.14\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Middle Peak (Mount Tamalpais)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.22\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>4.64\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>La Honda\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.11\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2.54\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Santa Rosa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.94\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2.10\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Point Reyes Station\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.83\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2.01\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.18\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.97\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Vollmer Peak (Berkeley Hills)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.05\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.96\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco International Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.98\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.80\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>St. Mary's College (Moraga)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.71\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.72\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Sacramento\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.44\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.59\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Napa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.79\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.54\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Redwood City\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.55\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.52\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Oakland Museum\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.80\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.41\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Jose International Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.44\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.30\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/tbody>\n\u003c/table>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>Totals around the bay at dawn are generally between a half-inch and an inch from San Francisco north and between a quarter-inch and half-inch down to San Jose. The heaviest rain was moving into the Peninsula and South Bay at daybreak.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The rain prompted Muni to take the unusual step of shutting down its cable cars early Wednesday, at least for the morning hours, and replacing them with far less charming buses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service posted a flash flood watch for the entire Bay Area through this afternoon. While the heaviest rain is expected to move through the region by late morning, the potential for showers and thunderstorms will continue through most of the day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The storm features winds gusting up to 40 mph, especially on the region's hilltops and ridges and along the coast. Caltrans has posted high wind advisories for Bay Area toll bridges.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 7:30 a.m. Tuesday:\u003c/strong> The main impulse of Northern California's second storm of 2016 blew through the region before dawn Tuesday, dumping about 3 inches of rain in the mountains/hills north and south of San Francisco Bay. But except for the all-too-predictable snarled traffic -- the California Highway Patrol reported dozens of collisions and widely scattered highway flooding -- the storm passed without causing major disruptions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Occasional bouts of rain are expected through Tuesday evening, with a brief break before the next weather system arrives early Wednesday. More rain is expected each day through the end of the week, with relatively weak storms moving through quickly Thursday and late Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you like this sort of thing -- and it's your duty as a resident of drought-stricken California to embrace the rain -- you're in luck. Forecasters say weather models show two or three more storms are in store for next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The rainiest locales early Tuesday included Venado, the reliably sopping-wet hill location west of Healdsburg in Sonoma County, which recorded 3.20 inches in the 12 hours ended at 7 a.m. Ben Lomond, in the Santa Cruz Mountains, got 2.83 inches. Rainfall in lower elevations has generally ranged between half an inch and 1 inch, though San Rafael got 1.67 inches and Novato 1.30 inches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The areas burned by Lake County's big summer fires also saw heavy overnight rainfall, including nearly 2 inches on Cobb Mountain. The National Weather Service posted a flash flood watch for much of the county overnight, but so far there have been no reports of significant flooding or debris flows there despite the inundation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 10 a.m. Monday:\u003c/strong> We will declare the departing weather system a really punky excuse for a storm. The only locations in the surrounding region to record an inch or more of rain in the 24 hours ending at 9 a.m. Monday were in or adjacent to the Valley Fire burn area in Lake County and at one recording station in the mountains along the Big Sur coast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Closer to the central Bay Area, totals were much more modest, ranging from just .01 of an inch at San Jose International Airport to two-thirds of an inch in the mountains of northern Sonoma County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service says we should not be fooled by the effete performance of the Sunday-Monday storm, first of a series of Pacific weather systems expected through this weekend. The NWS Bay Area office in Monterey says a much more potent storm will barge into northern Sonoma County late Monday and intensify as it moves over the San Francisco area Tuesday morning. \u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDMTR&wfo=MTR\" target=\"_blank\">The forecast\u003c/a> calls for moderate to heavy rain and blustery winds to make it to the central Bay Area and South Bay in time for the morning commute.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Expect more of the same Wednesday, as Storm Three arrives with rain that's expected to continue into Thursday. A dry day Friday is forecast, to be followed by more rain on Saturday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Original post Saturday, Jan. 2:\u003c/strong> Hey, Bay Area, here's what's coming at you in the next few days: a series of storms that promises to bring a healthy dose of rain to communities throughout the Bay Area, another soaking to the coastal mountains north and south of San Francisco Bay and more snow to the Sierra Nevada.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The first two storms in that series are \u003ca href=\"http://go.nasa.gov/1ZHivqY\" target=\"_blank\">depicted above\u003c/a>: one looming just off the West Coast, a second huge comma-shaped system in the north central Pacific.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDMTR&wfo=MTR\" target=\"_blank\">Forecasters say\u003c/a> rain will begin Sunday along most of the coast from northern Sonoma County down through Monterey Bay. Except for the Sonoma and Marin hills and the Santa Cruz Mountains, which could get an inch or more through Monday, most areas around the region will see a half-inch of rain or less.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A bigger storm is on tap for Tuesday and Wednesday, with an inch or two of rain in the immediate Bay Area and 2 inches or more in the region's highlands. And finally, another possibly potent storm will roll in Thursday and Friday. By the end of the workweek, many lowland locations around the bay will have picked up more than 2 inches of rain, while the wettest hill locales will have registered 6 inches or more.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some forecasters say longer-range weather models suggest this week is just the start of a prolonged wet pattern for the Bay Area and most of California. \u003ca href=\"http://www.weatherwest.com/archives/3754\" target=\"_blank\">Commenting\u003c/a> on what appears to be a major, El Niño-driven shift in the jet stream, Daniel Swain of The California Weather Blog says:\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>... The screaming message, at this point, is that quite a few storms will affect California over the next 2-3 weeks. Not all of them will be strong, but some of them probably will be. Some may preferentially affect the northern part of the state; others will focus on the far southern region. But it seems very likely at this point that virtually all of California will experience significant, perhaps heavy, precipitation. Some of these systems may also bring strong winds and even some vigorous convective activity (thunderstorms), but these details are even harder to ascertain more than a few days in advance.\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\n",
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"excerpt": "The week's third storm arrives with pounding rains overnight. The next weather system is due Thursday. ",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 6:30 a.m. Wednesday:\u003c/strong> The week's third storm made an on-time arrival overnight and brought an equal-opportunity soaking to the Bay Area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At KQED's Off-Site Blog Headquarters -- my house in North Berkeley -- we got .62 of an inch in just a couple of hours starting around 4 a.m. And the rain pounding down here is typical of what's happening around the rest of the region.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Heaviest totals so far are far to the north and south of the Golden Gate, with Soquel, south of Santa Cruz on Monterey Bay, getting 1.18 inches since midnight and Venado in northern Sonoma County getting 1.52 inches. That latter location, in the hills west of Healdsburg, has gotten more than 7 inches of rain since Sunday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>Bay Area Rain\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Rain for selected locations for 24 hours ending 7 a.m. Wednesday and total since rain began in Sonoma County on Sunday:\u003c/p>\n\u003ctable>\n\u003ctbody>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003cth>\u003cstrong>Location\u003c/strong>\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>\u003cstrong>Last 24 hours (in.)\u003c/strong>\u003c/th>\n\u003cth>\u003cstrong>Since Sunday\u003c/strong>\u003c/th>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Venado (Sonoma County)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2.36\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>7.32\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Ben Lomond (Santa Cruz Mts.)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.43\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>5.14\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Middle Peak (Mount Tamalpais)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.22\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>4.64\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>La Honda\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.11\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2.54\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Santa Rosa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.94\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2.10\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Point Reyes Station\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.83\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>2.01\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.18\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.97\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Vollmer Peak (Berkeley Hills)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.05\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.96\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Francisco International Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.98\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.80\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>St. Mary's College (Moraga)\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.71\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.72\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Sacramento\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.44\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.59\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Napa\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.79\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.54\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Redwood City\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.55\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.52\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>Oakland Museum\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.80\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.41\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003ctr>\n\u003ctd>San Jose International Airport\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>0.44\u003c/td>\n\u003ctd>1.30\u003c/td>\n\u003c/tr>\n\u003c/tbody>\n\u003c/table>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>Totals around the bay at dawn are generally between a half-inch and an inch from San Francisco north and between a quarter-inch and half-inch down to San Jose. The heaviest rain was moving into the Peninsula and South Bay at daybreak.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The rain prompted Muni to take the unusual step of shutting down its cable cars early Wednesday, at least for the morning hours, and replacing them with far less charming buses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service posted a flash flood watch for the entire Bay Area through this afternoon. While the heaviest rain is expected to move through the region by late morning, the potential for showers and thunderstorms will continue through most of the day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The storm features winds gusting up to 40 mph, especially on the region's hilltops and ridges and along the coast. Caltrans has posted high wind advisories for Bay Area toll bridges.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 7:30 a.m. Tuesday:\u003c/strong> The main impulse of Northern California's second storm of 2016 blew through the region before dawn Tuesday, dumping about 3 inches of rain in the mountains/hills north and south of San Francisco Bay. But except for the all-too-predictable snarled traffic -- the California Highway Patrol reported dozens of collisions and widely scattered highway flooding -- the storm passed without causing major disruptions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Occasional bouts of rain are expected through Tuesday evening, with a brief break before the next weather system arrives early Wednesday. More rain is expected each day through the end of the week, with relatively weak storms moving through quickly Thursday and late Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you like this sort of thing -- and it's your duty as a resident of drought-stricken California to embrace the rain -- you're in luck. Forecasters say weather models show two or three more storms are in store for next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The rainiest locales early Tuesday included Venado, the reliably sopping-wet hill location west of Healdsburg in Sonoma County, which recorded 3.20 inches in the 12 hours ended at 7 a.m. Ben Lomond, in the Santa Cruz Mountains, got 2.83 inches. Rainfall in lower elevations has generally ranged between half an inch and 1 inch, though San Rafael got 1.67 inches and Novato 1.30 inches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The areas burned by Lake County's big summer fires also saw heavy overnight rainfall, including nearly 2 inches on Cobb Mountain. The National Weather Service posted a flash flood watch for much of the county overnight, but so far there have been no reports of significant flooding or debris flows there despite the inundation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Update, 10 a.m. Monday:\u003c/strong> We will declare the departing weather system a really punky excuse for a storm. The only locations in the surrounding region to record an inch or more of rain in the 24 hours ending at 9 a.m. Monday were in or adjacent to the Valley Fire burn area in Lake County and at one recording station in the mountains along the Big Sur coast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Closer to the central Bay Area, totals were much more modest, ranging from just .01 of an inch at San Jose International Airport to two-thirds of an inch in the mountains of northern Sonoma County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service says we should not be fooled by the effete performance of the Sunday-Monday storm, first of a series of Pacific weather systems expected through this weekend. The NWS Bay Area office in Monterey says a much more potent storm will barge into northern Sonoma County late Monday and intensify as it moves over the San Francisco area Tuesday morning. \u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDMTR&wfo=MTR\" target=\"_blank\">The forecast\u003c/a> calls for moderate to heavy rain and blustery winds to make it to the central Bay Area and South Bay in time for the morning commute.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Expect more of the same Wednesday, as Storm Three arrives with rain that's expected to continue into Thursday. A dry day Friday is forecast, to be followed by more rain on Saturday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Original post Saturday, Jan. 2:\u003c/strong> Hey, Bay Area, here's what's coming at you in the next few days: a series of storms that promises to bring a healthy dose of rain to communities throughout the Bay Area, another soaking to the coastal mountains north and south of San Francisco Bay and more snow to the Sierra Nevada.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The first two storms in that series are \u003ca href=\"http://go.nasa.gov/1ZHivqY\" target=\"_blank\">depicted above\u003c/a>: one looming just off the West Coast, a second huge comma-shaped system in the north central Pacific.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDMTR&wfo=MTR\" target=\"_blank\">Forecasters say\u003c/a> rain will begin Sunday along most of the coast from northern Sonoma County down through Monterey Bay. Except for the Sonoma and Marin hills and the Santa Cruz Mountains, which could get an inch or more through Monday, most areas around the region will see a half-inch of rain or less.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A bigger storm is on tap for Tuesday and Wednesday, with an inch or two of rain in the immediate Bay Area and 2 inches or more in the region's highlands. And finally, another possibly potent storm will roll in Thursday and Friday. By the end of the workweek, many lowland locations around the bay will have picked up more than 2 inches of rain, while the wettest hill locales will have registered 6 inches or more.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some forecasters say longer-range weather models suggest this week is just the start of a prolonged wet pattern for the Bay Area and most of California. \u003ca href=\"http://www.weatherwest.com/archives/3754\" target=\"_blank\">Commenting\u003c/a> on what appears to be a major, El Niño-driven shift in the jet stream, Daniel Swain of The California Weather Blog says:\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>... The screaming message, at this point, is that quite a few storms will affect California over the next 2-3 weeks. Not all of them will be strong, but some of them probably will be. Some may preferentially affect the northern part of the state; others will focus on the far southern region. But it seems very likely at this point that virtually all of California will experience significant, perhaps heavy, precipitation. Some of these systems may also bring strong winds and even some vigorous convective activity (thunderstorms), but these details are even harder to ascertain more than a few days in advance.\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"title": "A Collection of Our Favorite Sites for Weather Forecast Geek-Outs",
"headTitle": "News Fix | KQED News",
"content": "\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe src=\"https://embed.windyty.com/?37.562,-122.124,7,rain,menu\" width=\"800\" height=\"571\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you're like me, and I sincerely hope you're not, the job of obsessing about our winter weather involves occasional glances out the window coupled with marathon sessions geeking out over weather forecasts and staring at radar loops and puzzling over terminology like \u003ca href=\"http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/students/courselinks/fall12/atmo336/lectures/sec1/info500mb.html\" target=\"_blank\">500-millibar heights\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/the-animated-global-map-total-precipitable-water-so-freaking-cool-i-cant-even\" target=\"_blank\">total precipitable water\u003c/a>. While we wait to see how this whole El Niño winter pans out in California, here's a brief list of sites that prove consistently useful, interesting and fun. \u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10800727\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 400px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26.png\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-10800727\">\u003cimg src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26-400x213.png\" alt=\"Visualization from earth.nullschool.net of waves in the Pacific Ocean off California. (Click for larger image.)\" width=\"400\" height=\"213\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-10800727\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26-400x213.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26-800x425.png 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26-768x408.png 768w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26-960x510.png 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26-280x150.png 280w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26.png 1168w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Visualization from \u003ca href=\"http://earth.nullschool.net/\" target=\"_blank\">earth.nullschool.net\u003c/a> of waves in the Pacific Ocean off California. (Click for larger image.) \u003ccite>(\u003ca href=\"http://earth.nullschool.net/\" target=\"_blank\">Earth\u003c/a>)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>So, starting with stuff that you can spend hours, maybe, just staring at and playing with: Cameron Beccario's \u003ca href=\"http://earth.nullschool.net/\" target=\"_blank\">Earth\u003c/a>, a site that turns raw data from weather observations and models into \u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/2014/02/28/california-storm-the-coolest-view-you-will-see-today/\" target=\"_blank\">dynamic portraits\u003c/a> of current and upcoming weather. There is a lot to the visualizations here -- you need to open the controls under the label \"earth\" at the pages lower left to get an idea of the different slices of data and views available here. A newer site based on Beccario's open-source code and similar weather model input is \u003ca href=\"https://www.windytv.com\" target=\"_blank\">Windytv.com\u003c/a> -- embedded at the top of the post -- which is geared toward delivering observations and forecasts that people like pilots, kitesurfers and other adventurers can use.\n\u003c/p>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10787886\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 400px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/nwsmtrimage.png\">\u003cimg class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-10787886\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/nwsmtrimage-400x345.png\" alt=\"A high surf advisory from the National Weather Service in Monterey. (Click for larger image.)\" width=\"400\" height=\"345\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/nwsmtrimage-400x345.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/nwsmtrimage.png 652w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A high surf advisory from the National Weather Service in Monterey. (Click for larger image.)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mtr/\" target=\"_blank\">National Weather Service, San Francisco Bay Area/Monterey\u003c/a>: A one-stop shop for the basics -- everything from hourly \u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mtr/rainfall.php\" target=\"_blank\">rainfall reports\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"http://w2.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=mtr\" target=\"_blank\">climatology\u003c/a> for the Bay Area locations to \u003ca href=\"http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=mux&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no\" target=\"_blank\">weather radar\u003c/a>. The site's indispensable feature -- one common to every local National Weather Service office -- is its \u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDMTR&wfo=MTR\" target=\"_blank\">Area Forecast Discussion\u003c/a>. In essence, it's a forecaster's narrative of the reasoning behind the current outlook and includes details about timing of storms that are often obscure in the simple forecast. (For similar insights into the Sierra Nevada weather outlook -- especially how much snow to expect in the mountains and when -- check out the \u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDSTO&wfo=STO\" target=\"_blank\">NWS Sacramento forecast discussion\u003c/a>.)\u003c/p>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10787550\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 400px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/map.png\">\u003cimg class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-10787550\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/map-400x474.png\" alt=\"Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) map from NOAA's California Nevada River Forecast Center. Map depicts weather models' forecast precipitation from Tuesday, Dec. 8 through early Monday, Dec. 14. (Click for larger version.)\" width=\"400\" height=\"474\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/map-400x474.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/map.png 663w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) map from NOAA's California Nevada River Forecast Center. Map depicts weather models' forecast precipitation from Tuesday, Dec. 8 through early Monday, Dec. 14. (Click for larger version.) \u003ccite>(CNRFC/NOAA)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/\" target=\"_blank\">California-Nevada River Forecast Center\u003c/a>: This site contains an almost limitless reservoir of data on precipitation -- both what's forecast to fall and what's coming -- and on near-real-time river conditions for California, Nevada and southern Oregon. A couple of favorite features to navigate to on the CNRFC home page: The Forecast Precipitation (QPF) and Observed Precipitation (QPE) pages, both of which open from tabs on the page's right side. Those pages give a comprehensive picture of California precipitation for the past five days and coming six days. If you're into the text discussion thing, the CNRFC's daily \u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/cnrfc/rsa_getprod.php?prod=RNOHMDRSA&wfo=cnrfc&version=0\" target=\"_blank\">Hydrometeorological Discussion\u003c/a> gives a quick rundown of storm impacts in major watersheds and a thorough forecast analysis based on numerical weather models.\u003c/p>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10787672\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 400px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/814prcp.new_.gif\">\u003cimg class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-10787672\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/814prcp.new_-400x422.gif\" alt=\"The 8- to 14-day precipitation outlook from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. \" width=\"400\" height=\"422\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The 8- to 14-day precipitation outlook from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. \u003ccite>(CPC/NOAA)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/\" target=\"_blank\">NOAA's Climate Prediction Center\u003c/a>: A portal for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's precipitation and temperature outlooks for periods ranging from the next six to 10 days to three months. The CPC's maps give a quick overview of expected precipitation patterns and whether a given region is expected to get above or below median rainfall. For the details, and to understand exactly what's being forecast, it's necessary to read the \u003ca href=\"http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/fxus06.html\" target=\"_blank\">prognostic discussion\u003c/a> that's published in concert with the shorter-term maps.\u003c/p>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10787889\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 400px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.12.56.png\">\u003cimg class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-10787889\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.12.56-400x110.png\" alt=\"The California Weather Blog, by Stanford climate scientist Daniel Swain. \" width=\"400\" height=\"110\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.12.56-400x110.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.12.56-800x220.png 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.12.56-960x264.png 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.12.56.png 967w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The California Weather Blog, by Stanford climate scientist Daniel Swain.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.weatherwest.com/\" target=\"_blank\">California Weather Blog\u003c/a>: This is a site featuring technical model analysis by Daniel Swain, the Stanford doctoral candidate who \u003ca href=\"https://baynature.org/articles/watching-the-weather-with-daniel-swain/\" target=\"_blank\">coined\u003c/a> the term \"\u003ca href=\"http://www.mercurynews.com/science/ci_24904396/california-drought-whats-causing-it\" target=\"_blank\">Ridiculously Resilient Ridge\u003c/a>\" to describe the persistent dome of high pressure that blocked most winter storms from reaching California each of the last two winters. Swain doesn't add to the blog often, but his posts draw wide attention and lots and lots of comments -- an online conversation that he participates in. Also worth following: Swain's \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/Weather_West\" target=\"_blank\">Twitter feed\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-09-06.58.03.png\">\u003cimg class=\"alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-10788275\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-09-06.58.03-400x87.png\" alt=\"Tahoe Daily Snow\" width=\"300\" height=\"66\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-09-06.58.03-400x87.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-09-06.58.03.png 561w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\">\u003c/a>\u003ca href=\"https://opensnow.com/dailysnow/tahoe\" target=\"_blank\">OpenSnow.com/Tahoe Daily Snow\u003c/a>: A smart, well-written site with a simple, straightforward mission: detailed snow forecasts for the Sierra Nevada around Lake Tahoe (it turns out people like to partake in winter sports up there -- things like skiing and snowboarding and chaining up while they sit in I-80 and U.S. 50 traffic).\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.18.14.png\">\u003cimg class=\"alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-10787939\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.18.14-400x228.png\" alt=\"Golden Gate Weather Services\" width=\"400\" height=\"228\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.18.14-400x228.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.18.14.png 755w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\">\u003c/a>\u003ca href=\"http://ggweather.com/links.html\" target=\"_blank\">Golden Gate Weather Services\u003c/a>: Jan Null, a consulting meteorologist and proprietor of Golden Gate Weather Services, has long been the \u003ca href=\"http://www.sfgate.com/science/article/Jan-Null-is-the-hot-name-in-weather-4246555.php\" target=\"_blank\">go-to source\u003c/a> for journalists looking for insight into Bay Area weather. He's amassed \u003ca href=\"http://ggweather.com/links.html\">a staggering volume\u003c/a> of information on his website, ranging from San Francisco's \u003ca href=\"http://ggweather.com/sf/monthly.html\" target=\"_blank\">complete monthly rainfall record\u003c/a> going back to 1849 to an explainer on \u003ca href=\"http://ggweather.com/enso/enso_myths.htm\" target=\"_blank\">the myths and realities of El Niño\u003c/a>. One caveat: While we've found lots of cool stuff here -- hey, look at \u003ca href=\"http://ggweather.com/sf/season.html\" target=\"_blank\">this tabular history of San Francisco rainfall\u003c/a>, sorted by season, total amount and days of rain! -- the site is actually a little hard to navigate.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"http://glossary.ametsoc.org\" target=\"_blank\">American Meteorology Society's Glossary of Meteorology\u003c/a>: I mentioned precipitable water somewhere up above. If you really want to know \u003ca href=\"http://glossary.ametsoc.org/wiki/Precipitable_water\" target=\"_blank\">what that is\u003c/a> -- or find the meanings of thousands of other meteorological terms, many of which include math stuff that's beyond me -- this is the place.\n\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe src=\"https://embed.windyty.com/?37.562,-122.124,7,rain,menu\" width=\"800\" height=\"571\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you're like me, and I sincerely hope you're not, the job of obsessing about our winter weather involves occasional glances out the window coupled with marathon sessions geeking out over weather forecasts and staring at radar loops and puzzling over terminology like \u003ca href=\"http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/students/courselinks/fall12/atmo336/lectures/sec1/info500mb.html\" target=\"_blank\">500-millibar heights\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/the-animated-global-map-total-precipitable-water-so-freaking-cool-i-cant-even\" target=\"_blank\">total precipitable water\u003c/a>. While we wait to see how this whole El Niño winter pans out in California, here's a brief list of sites that prove consistently useful, interesting and fun. \u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10800727\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 400px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26.png\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-10800727\">\u003cimg src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26-400x213.png\" alt=\"Visualization from earth.nullschool.net of waves in the Pacific Ocean off California. (Click for larger image.)\" width=\"400\" height=\"213\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-10800727\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26-400x213.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26-800x425.png 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26-768x408.png 768w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26-960x510.png 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26-280x150.png 280w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-19-13.35.26.png 1168w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Visualization from \u003ca href=\"http://earth.nullschool.net/\" target=\"_blank\">earth.nullschool.net\u003c/a> of waves in the Pacific Ocean off California. (Click for larger image.) \u003ccite>(\u003ca href=\"http://earth.nullschool.net/\" target=\"_blank\">Earth\u003c/a>)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>So, starting with stuff that you can spend hours, maybe, just staring at and playing with: Cameron Beccario's \u003ca href=\"http://earth.nullschool.net/\" target=\"_blank\">Earth\u003c/a>, a site that turns raw data from weather observations and models into \u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/2014/02/28/california-storm-the-coolest-view-you-will-see-today/\" target=\"_blank\">dynamic portraits\u003c/a> of current and upcoming weather. There is a lot to the visualizations here -- you need to open the controls under the label \"earth\" at the pages lower left to get an idea of the different slices of data and views available here. A newer site based on Beccario's open-source code and similar weather model input is \u003ca href=\"https://www.windytv.com\" target=\"_blank\">Windytv.com\u003c/a> -- embedded at the top of the post -- which is geared toward delivering observations and forecasts that people like pilots, kitesurfers and other adventurers can use.\n\u003c/p>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10787886\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 400px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/nwsmtrimage.png\">\u003cimg class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-10787886\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/nwsmtrimage-400x345.png\" alt=\"A high surf advisory from the National Weather Service in Monterey. (Click for larger image.)\" width=\"400\" height=\"345\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/nwsmtrimage-400x345.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/nwsmtrimage.png 652w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A high surf advisory from the National Weather Service in Monterey. (Click for larger image.)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mtr/\" target=\"_blank\">National Weather Service, San Francisco Bay Area/Monterey\u003c/a>: A one-stop shop for the basics -- everything from hourly \u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mtr/rainfall.php\" target=\"_blank\">rainfall reports\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"http://w2.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=mtr\" target=\"_blank\">climatology\u003c/a> for the Bay Area locations to \u003ca href=\"http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=mux&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no\" target=\"_blank\">weather radar\u003c/a>. The site's indispensable feature -- one common to every local National Weather Service office -- is its \u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDMTR&wfo=MTR\" target=\"_blank\">Area Forecast Discussion\u003c/a>. In essence, it's a forecaster's narrative of the reasoning behind the current outlook and includes details about timing of storms that are often obscure in the simple forecast. (For similar insights into the Sierra Nevada weather outlook -- especially how much snow to expect in the mountains and when -- check out the \u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDSTO&wfo=STO\" target=\"_blank\">NWS Sacramento forecast discussion\u003c/a>.)\u003c/p>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10787550\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 400px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/map.png\">\u003cimg class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-10787550\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/map-400x474.png\" alt=\"Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) map from NOAA's California Nevada River Forecast Center. Map depicts weather models' forecast precipitation from Tuesday, Dec. 8 through early Monday, Dec. 14. (Click for larger version.)\" width=\"400\" height=\"474\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/map-400x474.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/map.png 663w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) map from NOAA's California Nevada River Forecast Center. Map depicts weather models' forecast precipitation from Tuesday, Dec. 8 through early Monday, Dec. 14. (Click for larger version.) \u003ccite>(CNRFC/NOAA)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/\" target=\"_blank\">California-Nevada River Forecast Center\u003c/a>: This site contains an almost limitless reservoir of data on precipitation -- both what's forecast to fall and what's coming -- and on near-real-time river conditions for California, Nevada and southern Oregon. A couple of favorite features to navigate to on the CNRFC home page: The Forecast Precipitation (QPF) and Observed Precipitation (QPE) pages, both of which open from tabs on the page's right side. Those pages give a comprehensive picture of California precipitation for the past five days and coming six days. If you're into the text discussion thing, the CNRFC's daily \u003ca href=\"http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/cnrfc/rsa_getprod.php?prod=RNOHMDRSA&wfo=cnrfc&version=0\" target=\"_blank\">Hydrometeorological Discussion\u003c/a> gives a quick rundown of storm impacts in major watersheds and a thorough forecast analysis based on numerical weather models.\u003c/p>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10787672\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 400px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/814prcp.new_.gif\">\u003cimg class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-10787672\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/814prcp.new_-400x422.gif\" alt=\"The 8- to 14-day precipitation outlook from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. \" width=\"400\" height=\"422\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The 8- to 14-day precipitation outlook from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. \u003ccite>(CPC/NOAA)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/\" target=\"_blank\">NOAA's Climate Prediction Center\u003c/a>: A portal for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's precipitation and temperature outlooks for periods ranging from the next six to 10 days to three months. The CPC's maps give a quick overview of expected precipitation patterns and whether a given region is expected to get above or below median rainfall. For the details, and to understand exactly what's being forecast, it's necessary to read the \u003ca href=\"http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/fxus06.html\" target=\"_blank\">prognostic discussion\u003c/a> that's published in concert with the shorter-term maps.\u003c/p>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10787889\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 400px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.12.56.png\">\u003cimg class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-10787889\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.12.56-400x110.png\" alt=\"The California Weather Blog, by Stanford climate scientist Daniel Swain. \" width=\"400\" height=\"110\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.12.56-400x110.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.12.56-800x220.png 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.12.56-960x264.png 960w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.12.56.png 967w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The California Weather Blog, by Stanford climate scientist Daniel Swain.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.weatherwest.com/\" target=\"_blank\">California Weather Blog\u003c/a>: This is a site featuring technical model analysis by Daniel Swain, the Stanford doctoral candidate who \u003ca href=\"https://baynature.org/articles/watching-the-weather-with-daniel-swain/\" target=\"_blank\">coined\u003c/a> the term \"\u003ca href=\"http://www.mercurynews.com/science/ci_24904396/california-drought-whats-causing-it\" target=\"_blank\">Ridiculously Resilient Ridge\u003c/a>\" to describe the persistent dome of high pressure that blocked most winter storms from reaching California each of the last two winters. Swain doesn't add to the blog often, but his posts draw wide attention and lots and lots of comments -- an online conversation that he participates in. Also worth following: Swain's \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/Weather_West\" target=\"_blank\">Twitter feed\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-09-06.58.03.png\">\u003cimg class=\"alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-10788275\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-09-06.58.03-400x87.png\" alt=\"Tahoe Daily Snow\" width=\"300\" height=\"66\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-09-06.58.03-400x87.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-09-06.58.03.png 561w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\">\u003c/a>\u003ca href=\"https://opensnow.com/dailysnow/tahoe\" target=\"_blank\">OpenSnow.com/Tahoe Daily Snow\u003c/a>: A smart, well-written site with a simple, straightforward mission: detailed snow forecasts for the Sierra Nevada around Lake Tahoe (it turns out people like to partake in winter sports up there -- things like skiing and snowboarding and chaining up while they sit in I-80 and U.S. 50 traffic).\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.18.14.png\">\u003cimg class=\"alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-10787939\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.18.14-400x228.png\" alt=\"Golden Gate Weather Services\" width=\"400\" height=\"228\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.18.14-400x228.png 400w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2015/12/Screenshot-2015-12-08-23.18.14.png 755w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\">\u003c/a>\u003ca href=\"http://ggweather.com/links.html\" target=\"_blank\">Golden Gate Weather Services\u003c/a>: Jan Null, a consulting meteorologist and proprietor of Golden Gate Weather Services, has long been the \u003ca href=\"http://www.sfgate.com/science/article/Jan-Null-is-the-hot-name-in-weather-4246555.php\" target=\"_blank\">go-to source\u003c/a> for journalists looking for insight into Bay Area weather. He's amassed \u003ca href=\"http://ggweather.com/links.html\">a staggering volume\u003c/a> of information on his website, ranging from San Francisco's \u003ca href=\"http://ggweather.com/sf/monthly.html\" target=\"_blank\">complete monthly rainfall record\u003c/a> going back to 1849 to an explainer on \u003ca href=\"http://ggweather.com/enso/enso_myths.htm\" target=\"_blank\">the myths and realities of El Niño\u003c/a>. One caveat: While we've found lots of cool stuff here -- hey, look at \u003ca href=\"http://ggweather.com/sf/season.html\" target=\"_blank\">this tabular history of San Francisco rainfall\u003c/a>, sorted by season, total amount and days of rain! -- the site is actually a little hard to navigate.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"http://glossary.ametsoc.org\" target=\"_blank\">American Meteorology Society's Glossary of Meteorology\u003c/a>: I mentioned precipitable water somewhere up above. If you really want to know \u003ca href=\"http://glossary.ametsoc.org/wiki/Precipitable_water\" target=\"_blank\">what that is\u003c/a> -- or find the meanings of thousands of other meteorological terms, many of which include math stuff that's beyond me -- this is the place.\n\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"info": "Our flagship program, helmed by Kai Ryssdal, examines what the day in money delivered, through stories, conversations, newsworthy numbers and more. Updated Monday through Friday at about 3:30 p.m. PT.",
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"mindshift": {
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"info": "The MindShift podcast explores the innovations in education that are shaping how kids learn. Hosts Ki Sung and Katrina Schwartz introduce listeners to educators, researchers, parents and students who are developing effective ways to improve how kids learn. We cover topics like how fed-up administrators are developing surprising tactics to deal with classroom disruptions; how listening to podcasts are helping kids develop reading skills; the consequences of overparenting; and why interdisciplinary learning can engage students on all ends of the traditional achievement spectrum. This podcast is part of the MindShift education site, a division of KQED News. KQED is an NPR/PBS member station based in San Francisco. You can also visit the MindShift website for episodes and supplemental blog posts or tweet us \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/MindShiftKQED\">@MindShiftKQED\u003c/a> or visit us at \u003ca href=\"/mindshift\">MindShift.KQED.org\u003c/a>",
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"order": 12
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"onourwatch": {
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"info": "For decades, the process for how police police themselves has been inconsistent – if not opaque. In some states, like California, these proceedings were completely hidden. After a new police transparency law unsealed scores of internal affairs files, our reporters set out to examine these cases and the shadow world of police discipline. On Our Watch brings listeners into the rooms where officers are questioned and witnesses are interrogated to find out who this system is really protecting. Is it the officers, or the public they've sworn to serve?",
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"tagline": "Politics from a personal perspective",
"info": "Political Breakdown is a new series that explores the political intersection of California and the nation. Each week hosts Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos are joined with a new special guest to unpack politics -- with personality — and offer an insider’s glimpse at how politics happens.",
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"possible": {
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"title": "Possible",
"info": "Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. Together in Possible, Hoffman and Finger lead enlightening discussions about building a brighter collective future. The show features interviews with visionary guests like Trevor Noah, Sam Altman and Janette Sadik-Khan. Possible paints an optimistic portrait of the world we can create through science, policy, business, art and our shared humanity. It asks: What if everything goes right for once? How can we get there? Each episode also includes a short fiction story generated by advanced AI GPT-4, serving as a thought-provoking springboard to speculate how humanity could leverage technology for good.",
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"officialWebsiteLink": "https://www.possible.fm/",
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"source": "Possible"
},
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"pri-the-world": {
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"title": "PRI's The World: Latest Edition",
"info": "Each weekday, host Marco Werman and his team of producers bring you the world's most interesting stories in an hour of radio that reminds us just how small our planet really is.",
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"imageSrc": "https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/The-World-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg",
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},
"radiolab": {
"id": "radiolab",
"title": "Radiolab",
"info": "A two-time Peabody Award-winner, Radiolab is an investigation told through sounds and stories, and centered around one big idea. In the Radiolab world, information sounds like music and science and culture collide. Hosted by Jad Abumrad and Robert Krulwich, the show is designed for listeners who demand skepticism, but appreciate wonder. WNYC Studios is the producer of other leading podcasts including Freakonomics Radio, Death, Sex & Money, On the Media and many more.",
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},
"reveal": {
"id": "reveal",
"title": "Reveal",
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