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"content": "\u003cp>California is gearing up to bake in a heat wave, but forecasters expect the Bay Area to largely escape the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12092689/a-bay-area-heat-wave-is-coming-along-with-beach-hazards-and-wildfires\">soaring temperatures\u003c/a>, with parts of the North Bay, East Bay and South Bay possibly touching triple digits this weekend.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>A \u003ca href=\"https://weatherwest.com/archives/43959\">major ridge\u003c/a> of high pressure to the east is building towards the coast and will “be centered mainly in Southern California and Arizona,” according to Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with UC Agriculture and Natural Resources, who presented during a \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OKcwKkPZLI0\">Wednesday\u003c/a> YouTube office hours. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>By Friday, San Francisco, Oakland and San José could peak in the high 70s and 80s. Inland areas — Santa Rosa, Cloverdale, Concord, Morgan Hill, Gilroy and Livermore — could reach into the upper 90s and may even teeter into triple-digit territory.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>National Weather Service meteorologist Dial Hoang said San Francisco and Oakland could reach about 5 degrees above average, and inland areas up to 10 degrees above average.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\u003cp>As of now, this bout of warm temperatures across the region isn’t a heat wave, according to the NWS Bay Area office. Coastal areas will stick close to 60 degrees, thanks to “Karl,” the lingering marine layer, which Hoang said is “holding strong.” But this determination could change as temperatures spike again next week.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hoang said beachgoers should also take caution along the coast because of the increased risk of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12088673/what-is-a-sneaker-wave-how-to-avoid-bay-area-beaches-hidden-deadly-hazards\">sneaker waves\u003c/a> and rip currents throughout the weekend. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>“We encourage them to stay away from the water’s edge, stay off of piers and rocks along the shoreline,” Hoang said. “Never turn your back to the water.”\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Temperatures are expected to dip early next week before the ridge likely rebuilds by Tuesday, which will prompt them to bump back up again, meteorologists said in their daily forecast discussion. They note: “Another round of even hotter temps will be possible around Aug. 5 through Aug. 8.” \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Swain said the second wave of heat may be centered further north and “affect northern California more severely than the first one,” but added that there is “some uncertainty” in how extreme it might be. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>“It could be pretty intense,” Swain said. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Swain said to expect a significant uptick in fire activity or danger across the state, especially Southern California, during the bout of heat, but the risk is lower in the coastal Bay Area. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This week, NWS expects elevated fire weather threats across the North and East Bay as well as the Diablo and Santa Lucia ranges. \u003c/p>\n\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>A \u003ca href=\"https://weatherwest.com/archives/43959\">major ridge\u003c/a> of high pressure to the east is building towards the coast and will “be centered mainly in Southern California and Arizona,” according to Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with UC Agriculture and Natural Resources, who presented during a \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OKcwKkPZLI0\">Wednesday\u003c/a> YouTube office hours. \u003c/p>\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>By Friday, San Francisco, Oakland and San José could peak in the high 70s and 80s. Inland areas — Santa Rosa, Cloverdale, Concord, Morgan Hill, Gilroy and Livermore — could reach into the upper 90s and may even teeter into triple-digit territory.\u003c/p>\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>As of now, this bout of warm temperatures across the region isn’t a heat wave, according to the NWS Bay Area office. Coastal areas will stick close to 60 degrees, thanks to “Karl,” the lingering marine layer, which Hoang said is “holding strong.” But this determination could change as temperatures spike again next week.\u003c/p>\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>Hoang said beachgoers should also take caution along the coast because of the increased risk of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12088673/what-is-a-sneaker-wave-how-to-avoid-bay-area-beaches-hidden-deadly-hazards\">sneaker waves\u003c/a> and rip currents throughout the weekend. \u003c/p>\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>Temperatures are expected to dip early next week before the ridge likely rebuilds by Tuesday, which will prompt them to bump back up again, meteorologists said in their daily forecast discussion. They note: “Another round of even hotter temps will be possible around Aug. 5 through Aug. 8.” \u003c/p>\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>Swain said the second wave of heat may be centered further north and “affect northern California more severely than the first one,” but added that there is “some uncertainty” in how extreme it might be. \u003c/p>\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>Swain said to expect a significant uptick in fire activity or danger across the state, especially Southern California, during the bout of heat, but the risk is lower in the coastal Bay Area. \u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>California is gearing up to bake in a heat wave, but forecasters expect the Bay Area to largely escape the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12092689/a-bay-area-heat-wave-is-coming-along-with-beach-hazards-and-wildfires\">soaring temperatures\u003c/a>, with parts of the North Bay, East Bay and South Bay possibly touching triple digits this weekend.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>A \u003ca href=\"https://weatherwest.com/archives/43959\">major ridge\u003c/a> of high pressure to the east is building towards the coast and will “be centered mainly in Southern California and Arizona,” according to Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with UC Agriculture and Natural Resources, who presented during a \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OKcwKkPZLI0\">Wednesday\u003c/a> YouTube office hours. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>By Friday, San Francisco, Oakland and San José could peak in the high 70s and 80s. Inland areas — Santa Rosa, Cloverdale, Concord, Morgan Hill, Gilroy and Livermore — could reach into the upper 90s and may even teeter into triple-digit territory.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>National Weather Service meteorologist Dial Hoang said San Francisco and Oakland could reach about 5 degrees above average, and inland areas up to 10 degrees above average.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\u003cp>As of now, this bout of warm temperatures across the region isn’t a heat wave, according to the NWS Bay Area office. Coastal areas will stick close to 60 degrees, thanks to “Karl,” the lingering marine layer, which Hoang said is “holding strong.” But this determination could change as temperatures spike again next week.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hoang said beachgoers should also take caution along the coast because of the increased risk of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12088673/what-is-a-sneaker-wave-how-to-avoid-bay-area-beaches-hidden-deadly-hazards\">sneaker waves\u003c/a> and rip currents throughout the weekend. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>“We encourage them to stay away from the water’s edge, stay off of piers and rocks along the shoreline,” Hoang said. “Never turn your back to the water.”\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Temperatures are expected to dip early next week before the ridge likely rebuilds by Tuesday, which will prompt them to bump back up again, meteorologists said in their daily forecast discussion. They note: “Another round of even hotter temps will be possible around Aug. 5 through Aug. 8.” \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Swain said the second wave of heat may be centered further north and “affect northern California more severely than the first one,” but added that there is “some uncertainty” in how extreme it might be. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>“It could be pretty intense,” Swain said. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Swain said to expect a significant uptick in fire activity or danger across the state, especially Southern California, during the bout of heat, but the risk is lower in the coastal Bay Area. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This week, NWS expects elevated fire weather threats across the North and East Bay as well as the Diablo and Santa Lucia ranges. \u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a> is heading into its hottest stretch of the summer so far, with inland temperatures climbing toward 100 degrees by the weekend. But the heat may not be the most dangerous thing about this week’s weather.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>As residents head for the coast to escape the heat, forecasters warn they will be walking into the most hazardous surf conditions of the season, driven by two distant hurricanes churning off Mexico. A weekend of dangerous waves has already prompted reports of roughly \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD\">25 water rescues\u003c/a> along the California coast.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>“We are recommending everyone to stay away from the beach and stay out of the water, “ said Nicole Sarment, a meteorologist with the Weather Service’s Bay Area office. “I know it’s going to be hot. I know people like the beach in the summer. But it’s just so dangerous out there.”\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1358\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-12047560\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-160x109.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-1536x1043.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">People enjoying the sun at the Palace of Fine Arts as a heat wave rolls through San Francisco on July 11, 2024. (Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu via Getty Images)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Making the ocean even more threatening is that it will appear calm, Sarment said. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>A long-period swell generated by hurricanes Fausto and Genevieve, the latter evolving into a Category 5 hurricane on Monday morning, is creating sneaker waves that can run far up the beach after 20 minutes or more of flat water, sweeping people and pets off dry sand and into cold, turbulent surf. Rip currents running stronger than normal can then pull even strong swimmers out to sea.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Even if the water seems flat for 20 minutes, you can still have an unsuspecting wave run much farther, up actually on dry sand, getting people who are sleeping, walking their dogs,” Sarment said. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Her advice: stay off jetties, piers and rocks, stay out of the water, and never turn your back on the ocean. Breaking waves could reach \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">10 feet\u003c/a> at south- and southwest-facing beaches such as Ocean Beach, Pacifica and Santa Cruz. The Weather Service’s beach hazards warning runs through Wednesday afternoon and could extend into the weekend.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Heat is expected to peak Saturday, with the interior East Bay and North Bay potentially reaching 100 degrees, Sarment said. Temperatures across the region will run about 10 degrees above normal, though Sarment said that is not unusual for late July. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>This split between a mild coast and a baking interior is the Bay Area’s signature summer pattern, thanks to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12092139/marine-layer-cools-bay-area-after-record-high-temps-with-hotter-weekend-forecast\">the marine layer\u003c/a>, the blanket of cool ocean air that acts as the region’s natural air conditioning. Under high pressure this week, that layer compresses to under 1,000 feet, Sarment said, shrinking the fog’s reach so that cooler air clings to the immediate coastline while inland valleys like Livermore roast unimpeded.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>The coastal danger is not about tides or towering waves that look threatening. Sarment said it is an ocean that appears calm. The heat dries fuels quickly in the hills, and forecasters say the elevated fire threat, concentrated above the marine layer at about 2,000 feet and higher, will worsen toward the weekend as afternoon humidity in the driest spots drops toward 15%. The interior Central Coast and the region’s higher ranges, including the Diablo Range and the East Bay hills, are the areas of greatest concern.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11992382\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Children play in sprinklers at Meadow Homes Park in Concord on Sept. 8, 2022, as the temperature soared to 108 degrees. (Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Sarment said fires \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12092116/little-fire-in-east-bay-crews-halt-spread-no-structures-damaged-pleasanton-mayor-says\">like the ones so far this summer\u003c/a> frequently trace to cars, either starting as vehicle fires that spread to vegetation, or blazes sparked by people driving or parking on dry grass.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Forecasters are urging people to avoid anything that could throw a spark, warning that fires that start now are likely to spread fast.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>For those who spend the days outside, whether working, camping or home with kids on summer break, the Weather Service’s guidance is to hydrate, take frequent breaks and shift strenuous activity to the cooler parts of the day. Older adults, people without air conditioning, unhoused residents, pregnant women and young children are most at risk in the heat. She reminded to never leave children or pets in an unattended vehicle.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The heat is expected to build midweek and peak into the weekend, though forecasters say there is still uncertainty in how hot it ultimately gets. The Weather Service is posting updates on its website and social media accounts.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a> is heading into its hottest stretch of the summer so far, with inland temperatures climbing toward 100 degrees by the weekend. But the heat may not be the most dangerous thing about this week’s weather.\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a> is heading into its hottest stretch of the summer so far, with inland temperatures climbing toward 100 degrees by the weekend. But the heat may not be the most dangerous thing about this week’s weather.\u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>As residents head for the coast to escape the heat, forecasters warn they will be walking into the most hazardous surf conditions of the season, driven by two distant hurricanes churning off Mexico. A weekend of dangerous waves has already prompted reports of roughly \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD\">25 water rescues\u003c/a> along the California coast.\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>As residents head for the coast to escape the heat, forecasters warn they will be walking into the most hazardous surf conditions of the season, driven by two distant hurricanes churning off Mexico. A weekend of dangerous waves has already prompted reports of roughly \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD\">25 water rescues\u003c/a> along the California coast.\u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>“We are recommending everyone to stay away from the beach and stay out of the water, “ said Nicole Sarment, a meteorologist with the Weather Service’s Bay Area office. “I know it’s going to be hot. I know people like the beach in the summer. But it’s just so dangerous out there.”\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>“We are recommending everyone to stay away from the beach and stay out of the water, “ said Nicole Sarment, a meteorologist with the Weather Service’s Bay Area office. “I know it’s going to be hot. I know people like the beach in the summer. But it’s just so dangerous out there.”\u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003cimg src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-12047560\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-160x109.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-1536x1043.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 992px) min(100vw, 1536px), (min-width: 768px) min(100vw, 1280px), min(100vw, 1020px)\" />\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">People enjoying the sun at the Palace of Fine Arts as a heat wave rolls through San Francisco on July 11, 2024. \u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n",
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"\n\u003cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003cimg src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-12047560\" />\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">People enjoying the sun at the Palace of Fine Arts as a heat wave rolls through San Francisco on July 11, 2024. \u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>Making the ocean even more threatening is that it will appear calm, Sarment said. \u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>Making the ocean even more threatening is that it will appear calm, Sarment said. \u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>A long-period swell generated by hurricanes Fausto and Genevieve, the latter evolving into a Category 5 hurricane on Monday morning, is creating sneaker waves that can run far up the beach after 20 minutes or more of flat water, sweeping people and pets off dry sand and into cold, turbulent surf. Rip currents running stronger than normal can then pull even strong swimmers out to sea.\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>A long-period swell generated by hurricanes Fausto and Genevieve, the latter evolving into a Category 5 hurricane on Monday morning, is creating sneaker waves that can run far up the beach after 20 minutes or more of flat water, sweeping people and pets off dry sand and into cold, turbulent surf. Rip currents running stronger than normal can then pull even strong swimmers out to sea.\u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>“Even if the water seems flat for 20 minutes, you can still have an unsuspecting wave run much farther, up actually on dry sand, getting people who are sleeping, walking their dogs,” Sarment said. \u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>“Even if the water seems flat for 20 minutes, you can still have an unsuspecting wave run much farther, up actually on dry sand, getting people who are sleeping, walking their dogs,” Sarment said. \u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>Her advice: stay off jetties, piers and rocks, stay out of the water, and never turn your back on the ocean. Breaking waves could reach \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">10 feet\u003c/a> at south- and southwest-facing beaches such as Ocean Beach, Pacifica and Santa Cruz. The Weather Service’s beach hazards warning runs through Wednesday afternoon and could extend into the weekend.\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>Her advice: stay off jetties, piers and rocks, stay out of the water, and never turn your back on the ocean. Breaking waves could reach \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">10 feet\u003c/a> at south- and southwest-facing beaches such as Ocean Beach, Pacifica and Santa Cruz. The Weather Service’s beach hazards warning runs through Wednesday afternoon and could extend into the weekend.\u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>Heat is expected to peak Saturday, with the interior East Bay and North Bay potentially reaching 100 degrees, Sarment said. Temperatures across the region will run about 10 degrees above normal, though Sarment said that is not unusual for late July. \u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>Heat is expected to peak Saturday, with the interior East Bay and North Bay potentially reaching 100 degrees, Sarment said. Temperatures across the region will run about 10 degrees above normal, though Sarment said that is not unusual for late July. \u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>This split between a mild coast and a baking interior is the Bay Area’s signature summer pattern, thanks to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12092139/marine-layer-cools-bay-area-after-record-high-temps-with-hotter-weekend-forecast\">the marine layer\u003c/a>, the blanket of cool ocean air that acts as the region’s natural air conditioning. Under high pressure this week, that layer compresses to under 1,000 feet, Sarment said, shrinking the fog’s reach so that cooler air clings to the immediate coastline while inland valleys like Livermore roast unimpeded.\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>This split between a mild coast and a baking interior is the Bay Area’s signature summer pattern, thanks to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12092139/marine-layer-cools-bay-area-after-record-high-temps-with-hotter-weekend-forecast\">the marine layer\u003c/a>, the blanket of cool ocean air that acts as the region’s natural air conditioning. Under high pressure this week, that layer compresses to under 1,000 feet, Sarment said, shrinking the fog’s reach so that cooler air clings to the immediate coastline while inland valleys like Livermore roast unimpeded.\u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>The coastal danger is not about tides or towering waves that look threatening. Sarment said it is an ocean that appears calm. The heat dries fuels quickly in the hills, and forecasters say the elevated fire threat, concentrated above the marine layer at about 2,000 feet and higher, will worsen toward the weekend as afternoon humidity in the driest spots drops toward 15%. The interior Central Coast and the region’s higher ranges, including the Diablo Range and the East Bay hills, are the areas of greatest concern.\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>The coastal danger is not about tides or towering waves that look threatening. Sarment said it is an ocean that appears calm. The heat dries fuels quickly in the hills, and forecasters say the elevated fire threat, concentrated above the marine layer at about 2,000 feet and higher, will worsen toward the weekend as afternoon humidity in the driest spots drops toward 15%. The interior Central Coast and the region’s higher ranges, including the Diablo Range and the East Bay hills, are the areas of greatest concern.\u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>Sarment said fires \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12092116/little-fire-in-east-bay-crews-halt-spread-no-structures-damaged-pleasanton-mayor-says\">like the ones so far this summer\u003c/a> frequently trace to cars, either starting as vehicle fires that spread to vegetation, or blazes sparked by people driving or parking on dry grass.\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>Sarment said fires \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12092116/little-fire-in-east-bay-crews-halt-spread-no-structures-damaged-pleasanton-mayor-says\">like the ones so far this summer\u003c/a> frequently trace to cars, either starting as vehicle fires that spread to vegetation, or blazes sparked by people driving or parking on dry grass.\u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>Forecasters are urging people to avoid anything that could throw a spark, warning that fires that start now are likely to spread fast.\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>Forecasters are urging people to avoid anything that could throw a spark, warning that fires that start now are likely to spread fast.\u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>For those who spend the days outside, whether working, camping or home with kids on summer break, the Weather Service’s guidance is to hydrate, take frequent breaks and shift strenuous activity to the cooler parts of the day. Older adults, people without air conditioning, unhoused residents, pregnant women and young children are most at risk in the heat. She reminded to never leave children or pets in an unattended vehicle.\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>For those who spend the days outside, whether working, camping or home with kids on summer break, the Weather Service’s guidance is to hydrate, take frequent breaks and shift strenuous activity to the cooler parts of the day. Older adults, people without air conditioning, unhoused residents, pregnant women and young children are most at risk in the heat. She reminded to never leave children or pets in an unattended vehicle.\u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>The heat is expected to build midweek and peak into the weekend, though forecasters say there is still uncertainty in how hot it ultimately gets. The Weather Service is posting updates on its website and social media accounts.\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>The heat is expected to build midweek and peak into the weekend, though forecasters say there is still uncertainty in how hot it ultimately gets. The Weather Service is posting updates on its website and social media accounts.\u003c/p>\n"
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"excerpt": "Temperatures inland could hit over 100 degrees by Saturday, but the National Weather Service says the deadlier threat is the surf, where a distant hurricane swell has already driven a weekend of water rescues.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a> is heading into its hottest stretch of the summer so far, with inland temperatures climbing toward 100 degrees by the weekend. But the heat may not be the most dangerous thing about this week’s weather.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>As residents head for the coast to escape the heat, forecasters warn they will be walking into the most hazardous surf conditions of the season, driven by two distant hurricanes churning off Mexico. A weekend of dangerous waves has already prompted reports of roughly \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD\">25 water rescues\u003c/a> along the California coast.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>“We are recommending everyone to stay away from the beach and stay out of the water, “ said Nicole Sarment, a meteorologist with the Weather Service’s Bay Area office. “I know it’s going to be hot. I know people like the beach in the summer. But it’s just so dangerous out there.”\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1358\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-12047560\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-160x109.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-1536x1043.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">People enjoying the sun at the Palace of Fine Arts as a heat wave rolls through San Francisco on July 11, 2024. (Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu via Getty Images)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Making the ocean even more threatening is that it will appear calm, Sarment said. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>A long-period swell generated by hurricanes Fausto and Genevieve, the latter evolving into a Category 5 hurricane on Monday morning, is creating sneaker waves that can run far up the beach after 20 minutes or more of flat water, sweeping people and pets off dry sand and into cold, turbulent surf. Rip currents running stronger than normal can then pull even strong swimmers out to sea.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Even if the water seems flat for 20 minutes, you can still have an unsuspecting wave run much farther, up actually on dry sand, getting people who are sleeping, walking their dogs,” Sarment said. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Her advice: stay off jetties, piers and rocks, stay out of the water, and never turn your back on the ocean. Breaking waves could reach \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">10 feet\u003c/a> at south- and southwest-facing beaches such as Ocean Beach, Pacifica and Santa Cruz. The Weather Service’s beach hazards warning runs through Wednesday afternoon and could extend into the weekend.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Heat is expected to peak Saturday, with the interior East Bay and North Bay potentially reaching 100 degrees, Sarment said. Temperatures across the region will run about 10 degrees above normal, though Sarment said that is not unusual for late July. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>This split between a mild coast and a baking interior is the Bay Area’s signature summer pattern, thanks to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12092139/marine-layer-cools-bay-area-after-record-high-temps-with-hotter-weekend-forecast\">the marine layer\u003c/a>, the blanket of cool ocean air that acts as the region’s natural air conditioning. Under high pressure this week, that layer compresses to under 1,000 feet, Sarment said, shrinking the fog’s reach so that cooler air clings to the immediate coastline while inland valleys like Livermore roast unimpeded.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>The coastal danger is not about tides or towering waves that look threatening. Sarment said it is an ocean that appears calm. The heat dries fuels quickly in the hills, and forecasters say the elevated fire threat, concentrated above the marine layer at about 2,000 feet and higher, will worsen toward the weekend as afternoon humidity in the driest spots drops toward 15%. The interior Central Coast and the region’s higher ranges, including the Diablo Range and the East Bay hills, are the areas of greatest concern.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-11992382\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Children play in sprinklers at Meadow Homes Park in Concord on Sept. 8, 2022, as the temperature soared to 108 degrees. (Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Sarment said fires \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12092116/little-fire-in-east-bay-crews-halt-spread-no-structures-damaged-pleasanton-mayor-says\">like the ones so far this summer\u003c/a> frequently trace to cars, either starting as vehicle fires that spread to vegetation, or blazes sparked by people driving or parking on dry grass.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Forecasters are urging people to avoid anything that could throw a spark, warning that fires that start now are likely to spread fast.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>For those who spend the days outside, whether working, camping or home with kids on summer break, the Weather Service’s guidance is to hydrate, take frequent breaks and shift strenuous activity to the cooler parts of the day. Older adults, people without air conditioning, unhoused residents, pregnant women and young children are most at risk in the heat. She reminded to never leave children or pets in an unattended vehicle.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The heat is expected to build midweek and peak into the weekend, though forecasters say there is still uncertainty in how hot it ultimately gets. The Weather Service is posting updates on its website and social media accounts.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>After a hot stretch, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">the Bay Area\u003c/a> will feel a little damper, muggier and cooler on Wednesday before things heat up again over the weekend. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Roger Gass, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service, attributed the change to the return of a “well-established \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1997579/bay-area-hikes-views-clouds-marine-inversion-layer\">marine layer \u003c/a>overnight.” \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>This classic Bay Area weather pattern, in which colder air gets trapped near the ground beneath a layer of warmer air, brought clouds into Marin County and a light rain in the Santa Cruz and Watsonville region this morning, Gass said. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\u003cp>“The humidity is definitely a bonus to fire suppression,” said Gass, referring to the Little Fire, which broke out near \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12092116/little-fire-in-east-bay-crews-halt-spread-no-structures-damaged-pleasanton-mayor-says\">Pleasanton\u003c/a> on Tuesday. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>As of Wednesday morning, the fire crews halted the forward spread of the blaze and had reached 40% containment. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>San Francisco recorded its hottest July day in 11 years on Tuesday, as much of the Bay Area withered under heat advisories. Those were lifted at 9 p.m. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>The cooler temperatures on Wednesday will give way to warmer and drier conditions starting on Thursday and continuing into the weekend, according to the National Weather Service forecast. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The agency issued small craft advisories — weather advisories for boats — due to high winds for places like Monterey Bay, Point Reyes and Pigeon Point.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>San Francisco recorded its hottest July day in 11 years on Tuesday, as much of the Bay Area withered under heat advisories. Those were lifted at 9 p.m. \u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cp>Monsoon moisture in the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a> has cleared — making way for scorching temperatures this week and increased fire risk in the region. The warming trend is expected to peak Tuesday, with highs up to the 80s and 90s in interior areas, before cooling down midweek.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>While a brief threat of thunderstorms passed Monday, fire risk remains a concern in California’s dry summer landscape.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>The North Bay has been hit the hardest by the weather pattern so far, with temperatures up to 94 degrees forecast on Monday and Tuesday, and — after a slower-than-typical start to wildfire season — fires in Napa and Sonoma counties.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1364\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-12032747\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-800x546.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-1020x696.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-160x109.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-1536x1048.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-1920x1309.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Siblings enjoy the spray grounds at Prince Gateway Park in Santa Rosa as the temperature reached 100 degrees on July 11, 2024. (Gina Castro/KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>The Hardin Fire in Napa County has spread 79 acres and is 65% contained as of Tuesday morning, while the Ledson Fire in Sonoma County is currently 17 acres. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>That blaze is 45% contained after it triggered evacuation orders on Monday afternoon. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Further north, in Sierra County, the Elephant Fire has burned more than 12,000 acres since Saturday, spurring evacuations and warnings across neighboring counties. It is currently 5% contained.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Fire officials said Tuesday morning that rain fell through the night and weather was overcast in the Sierra Valley, giving crews a window to “continue securing the fireline while working towards full containment.”\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>The National Interagency Fire Center \u003ca href=\"https://www.nifc.gov/nicc-files/predictive/outlooks/monthly_seasonal_outlook.pdf\">warned \u003c/a>of above-average fire potential throughout Northern California this summer, with risk increasing in July and August as temperatures rise and greenery withers. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>“The grasses and finer fuels have dried out,” said Roger Gass, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service. “Anything that is human-induced fire starter, they’re typically not a concern to become widespread, but we’re expecting that anything that sparks a fire will create a potential wildfire.”\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Looking ahead, Gass said there are indications that risky storm conditions could return late this week as humidity rises again, but it’s too soon to issue any warnings or predict conditions with much certainty.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said the weather service would be monitoring thunderstorms and dry lightning risk.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>Monsoon moisture in the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a> has cleared — making way for scorching temperatures this week and increased fire risk in the region. The warming trend is expected to peak Tuesday, with highs up to the 80s and 90s in interior areas, before cooling down midweek.\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>Monsoon moisture in the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a> has cleared — making way for scorching temperatures this week and increased fire risk in the region. The warming trend is expected to peak Tuesday, with highs up to the 80s and 90s in interior areas, before cooling down midweek.\u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>While a brief threat of thunderstorms passed Monday, fire risk remains a concern in California’s dry summer landscape.\u003c/p>\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>The North Bay has been hit the hardest by the weather pattern so far, with temperatures up to 94 degrees forecast on Monday and Tuesday, and — after a slower-than-typical start to wildfire season — fires in Napa and Sonoma counties.\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>The North Bay has been hit the hardest by the weather pattern so far, with temperatures up to 94 degrees forecast on Monday and Tuesday, and — after a slower-than-typical start to wildfire season — fires in Napa and Sonoma counties.\u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003cimg src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-12032747\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-800x546.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-1020x696.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-160x109.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-1536x1048.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-1920x1309.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 992px) min(100vw, 1536px), (min-width: 768px) min(100vw, 1280px), min(100vw, 1020px)\" />\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Siblings enjoy the spray grounds at Prince Gateway Park in Santa Rosa as the temperature reached 100 degrees on July 11, 2024.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n",
"innerContent": [
"\n\u003cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003cimg src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-12032747\" />\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Siblings enjoy the spray grounds at Prince Gateway Park in Santa Rosa as the temperature reached 100 degrees on July 11, 2024.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>The Hardin Fire in Napa County has spread 79 acres and is 65% contained as of Tuesday morning, while the Ledson Fire in Sonoma County is currently 17 acres. \u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>The Hardin Fire in Napa County has spread 79 acres and is 65% contained as of Tuesday morning, while the Ledson Fire in Sonoma County is currently 17 acres. \u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>That blaze is 45% contained after it triggered evacuation orders on Monday afternoon. \u003c/p>\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>Further north, in Sierra County, the Elephant Fire has burned more than 12,000 acres since Saturday, spurring evacuations and warnings across neighboring counties. It is currently 5% contained.\u003c/p>\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>Fire officials said Tuesday morning that rain fell through the night and weather was overcast in the Sierra Valley, giving crews a window to “continue securing the fireline while working towards full containment.”\u003c/p>\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>The National Interagency Fire Center \u003ca href=\"https://www.nifc.gov/nicc-files/predictive/outlooks/monthly_seasonal_outlook.pdf\">warned \u003c/a>of above-average fire potential throughout Northern California this summer, with risk increasing in July and August as temperatures rise and greenery withers. \u003c/p>\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>“The grasses and finer fuels have dried out,” said Roger Gass, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service. “Anything that is human-induced fire starter, they’re typically not a concern to become widespread, but we’re expecting that anything that sparks a fire will create a potential wildfire.”\u003c/p>\n",
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"\n\u003cp>“The grasses and finer fuels have dried out,” said Roger Gass, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service. “Anything that is human-induced fire starter, they’re typically not a concern to become widespread, but we’re expecting that anything that sparks a fire will create a potential wildfire.”\u003c/p>\n"
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>Looking ahead, Gass said there are indications that risky storm conditions could return late this week as humidity rises again, but it’s too soon to issue any warnings or predict conditions with much certainty.\u003c/p>\n",
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"innerHTML": "\n\u003cp>He said the weather service would be monitoring thunderstorms and dry lightning risk.\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Fire weather concerns will remain high Tuesday afternoon through Thursday due to California’s dry summer landscape, gusty onshore winds and the potential for storms. ",
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"title": "Bay Area Nears 100 Degrees, Under Heat Advisory as Wildfire Risk Spreads | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Monsoon moisture in the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a> has cleared — making way for scorching temperatures this week and increased fire risk in the region. The warming trend is expected to peak Tuesday, with highs up to the 80s and 90s in interior areas, before cooling down midweek.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>While a brief threat of thunderstorms passed Monday, fire risk remains a concern in California’s dry summer landscape.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>The North Bay has been hit the hardest by the weather pattern so far, with temperatures up to 94 degrees forecast on Monday and Tuesday, and — after a slower-than-typical start to wildfire season — fires in Napa and Sonoma counties.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1364\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-12032747\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-800x546.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-1020x696.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-160x109.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-1536x1048.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/heatwave-1920x1309.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Siblings enjoy the spray grounds at Prince Gateway Park in Santa Rosa as the temperature reached 100 degrees on July 11, 2024. (Gina Castro/KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>The Hardin Fire in Napa County has spread 79 acres and is 65% contained as of Tuesday morning, while the Ledson Fire in Sonoma County is currently 17 acres. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>That blaze is 45% contained after it triggered evacuation orders on Monday afternoon. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Further north, in Sierra County, the Elephant Fire has burned more than 12,000 acres since Saturday, spurring evacuations and warnings across neighboring counties. It is currently 5% contained.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Fire officials said Tuesday morning that rain fell through the night and weather was overcast in the Sierra Valley, giving crews a window to “continue securing the fireline while working towards full containment.”\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>The National Interagency Fire Center \u003ca href=\"https://www.nifc.gov/nicc-files/predictive/outlooks/monthly_seasonal_outlook.pdf\">warned \u003c/a>of above-average fire potential throughout Northern California this summer, with risk increasing in July and August as temperatures rise and greenery withers. \u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>“The grasses and finer fuels have dried out,” said Roger Gass, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service. “Anything that is human-induced fire starter, they’re typically not a concern to become widespread, but we’re expecting that anything that sparks a fire will create a potential wildfire.”\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>Looking ahead, Gass said there are indications that risky storm conditions could return late this week as humidity rises again, but it’s too soon to issue any warnings or predict conditions with much certainty.\u003c/p>\n\n\n\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said the weather service would be monitoring thunderstorms and dry lightning risk.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"title": "Is a Monsoon Headed to the Bay Area? Here’s What Forecasters Say",
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"content": "\u003cp>The first storm of the annual \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/rain\">North American Monsoon season\u003c/a> may be headed to the Bay Area — but forecasters said it’s more likely to bring fire than floods.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After a chilly week, the National Weather Service is \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD&site=MTR&version=1\">projecting\u003c/a> warmer and drier conditions starting on Thursday, followed by \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12089721/why-this-could-be-an-unpredictable-year-for-fires-in-california\">monsoon-driven thunderstorms\u003c/a> starting Sunday and continuing through Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Monsoons are a shift in winds that often causes a very rainy season or a very dry season. In this case, National Weather Service meteorologist Rachel Kennedy said it’s more likely that any precipitation from the storms would evaporate before it reaches the ground.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If any lightning does strike the ground, we may see more, easier fires start, especially since we’re having warmer and drier conditions this week that are really serving to dry out our fuels,” Kennedy said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Right now, Monterey, San Benito, Santa Cruz and Santa Clara counties, as well as the East Bay, are most likely to see storms, Kennedy said. However, both the storms and their location are still up in the air, with more clarity coming over the next day or two.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Since we do still have some uncertainty about where and when thunderstorms are going to develop, I wouldn’t fully take thunderstorms off the table for the rest of the Bay Area too,” Kennedy said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Because of this lower confidence, Kennedy encouraged residents to stay up to date on the forecast and stay aware of their surroundings, especially if they live in more rural, fire-prone areas.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Warm weather and dry thunderstorms could increase Northern California’s fire risk.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The first storm of the annual \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/rain\">North American Monsoon season\u003c/a> may be headed to the Bay Area — but forecasters said it’s more likely to bring fire than floods.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After a chilly week, the National Weather Service is \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=1&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD&site=MTR&version=1\">projecting\u003c/a> warmer and drier conditions starting on Thursday, followed by \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12089721/why-this-could-be-an-unpredictable-year-for-fires-in-california\">monsoon-driven thunderstorms\u003c/a> starting Sunday and continuing through Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Monsoons are a shift in winds that often causes a very rainy season or a very dry season. In this case, National Weather Service meteorologist Rachel Kennedy said it’s more likely that any precipitation from the storms would evaporate before it reaches the ground.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If any lightning does strike the ground, we may see more, easier fires start, especially since we’re having warmer and drier conditions this week that are really serving to dry out our fuels,” Kennedy said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Right now, Monterey, San Benito, Santa Cruz and Santa Clara counties, as well as the East Bay, are most likely to see storms, Kennedy said. However, both the storms and their location are still up in the air, with more clarity coming over the next day or two.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Since we do still have some uncertainty about where and when thunderstorms are going to develop, I wouldn’t fully take thunderstorms off the table for the rest of the Bay Area too,” Kennedy said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Because of this lower confidence, Kennedy encouraged residents to stay up to date on the forecast and stay aware of their surroundings, especially if they live in more rural, fire-prone areas.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>It’s official: \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083376/an-incoming-super-el-nino-may-bring-california-a-wet-hot-winter\">El Niño\u003c/a> has formed, and climate experts expect the natural phenomenon to strengthen this winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The federal agency forecasts a 63% chance of a very strong \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101913837/a-monster-el-nino-is-brewing-in-the-pacific\">El Niño\u003c/a> this year, which “would rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950,” National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration officials \u003ca href=\"https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml\">wrote Thursday\u003c/a>. Historically, the climate pattern has increased the odds of wet, stormy weather across California, especially the southern part of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But because the Bay Area sits on the northernmost edge of the wet zone, intense rainfall is less guaranteed than in Southern California. Still, experts said human-caused climate change may be changing that equation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What that means for California is it’s basically supercharged in the atmosphere,” said Patrick Barnard, research director for the UC Santa Cruz Center for Coastal Climate Resilience.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>El Niño forms when tropical trade winds weaken or reverse, allowing warm ocean water near Asia to move toward the Pacific Coast. This process heats the Eastern Pacific Ocean and can alter the jet stream. As a result, it can lead to a stormier winter in California. It can also disrupt the ocean’s nutrient-rich upwelling, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001047/scientists-worry-el-nino-could-supercharge-marine-heat-wave-roiling-coastal-california\">raising local ocean temperatures\u003c/a> and impacting sea life.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“El Niño is here,” said Tyler Roys, senior meteorologist with AccuWeather. “Overall, the pattern is going to favor wetter than the historical average for the Bay Area, for Sacramento, for the Central Valley, going all the way down to Southern California.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037679\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037679\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1325\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-800x530.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-1020x676.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-160x106.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-1536x1018.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-1920x1272.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">An automated National Weather Service weather station collects data on a bluff overlooking the Pacific Ocean in Montara, California, on April 5, 2016. \u003ccite>(Paul Chinn/The San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Climate experts said El Niño likely means that a very different winter is looming. As opposed to this year’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000775/sierra-storm-will-dump-more-april-snow-but-wont-fix-california-snowpack\">wet but short-lived season\u003c/a>, they anticipate several potential impacts: more intense atmospheric rivers, major snow events in the Sierra Nevada, larger waves, coastal flooding, mudslides, higher sea levels and reduced wildfire risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This El Niño is developing unusually fast,” AccuWeather expert meteorologist Paul Pastelok said in a statement. “Most El Niños begin in the fall. This one should start in June and strengthen quickly.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Pastelok said there’s a 40% chance that a super El Niño will form this year, which has only occurred seven times in modern history. The rare event was last documented in the winter of 2015.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That bar is difficult to reach, so current factors contributing to the development need to continue in the second half of 2026 to allow it to build,” Pastelok said.[aside postID=news_12086933 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00337_TV-KQED.jpg']Barnard said El Niño could also temporarily \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083376/an-incoming-super-el-nino-may-bring-california-a-wet-hot-winter\">raise sea levels\u003c/a> by half a foot or more. This means that places like \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001267/you-cant-beat-mother-nature-destroyed-cafe-gives-pacifica-look-at-climate-changed-future\">Pacifica\u003c/a>, Sausalito, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999461/king-tides-to-flood-bay-area-shorelines-this-week-heres-where-and-when-to-safely-see-them\">San Francisco\u003c/a> and San Rafael, which already flood during \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999871/after-king-tides-swamp-marin-san-rafael-weighs-billion-dollar-defenses-against-the-bay\">king tides\u003c/a>, could experience even worse inundation this winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Barnard said that conditions this winter could be a “precursor to what we can expect to have almost every single winter” in the coming decades.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Pacific Ocean has risen by about 8 inches since the 1880s. State scientists project an additional rise of over a foot by 2050, and in worst-case scenarios, up to 6 feet or more by the end of the century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Barnard said that for every couple of inches of sea level rise, the risk of coastal flooding doubles. And with up to a foot of this temporary rise, “the probability of flooding goes up exponentially.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve built up so much of our communities right in this razor-thin margin of the sea, and so when all of a sudden you raise that base level by 6 to 12 inches, you’re really putting a lot of assets in harm’s way,” Barnard said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When it comes to potential storms this winter, Barnard said the effects of human-caused climate change are pushing the jet stream closer to the poles, which means the effects of El Niño, primarily intensified storms, could shift north to the Bay Area rather than focusing on Southern California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The biggest El Niño impacts are moving more to the north than they did 50 years ago,” Barnard said. “We’re just looking at a different climate as a starting point when the onset of El Niño conditions hit us.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>AccuWeather’s Roys said that at this point, it’s “very difficult” to know exactly how intense this winter’s storms will be.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12081188\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12081188\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A pedestrian crosses a rain-soaked 19th Avenue amidst the ongoing winter storm in San Francisco on Feb. 17, 2026. \u003ccite>(Stephen Lam/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“It won’t change the number [of storms] that occur, but the intensity is likely to vary towards the higher side,” Roys said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roys said El Niño could shorten the wildfire season this winter, if the rains truly show up in force across the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If the ground is more saturated, things don’t dry out, and when things don’t necessarily dry out, it doesn’t become fuel and fire won’t spread as fast,” Roys said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roys also noted that El Niño isn’t the only global weather factor altering weather patterns.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s kind of like when you’re cooking, one ingredient can overpower another one,” Roys said. “What we’re still figuring out for the fall and for the winter is how that’s all going to play out.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>It’s official: \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083376/an-incoming-super-el-nino-may-bring-california-a-wet-hot-winter\">El Niño\u003c/a> has formed, and climate experts expect the natural phenomenon to strengthen this winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The federal agency forecasts a 63% chance of a very strong \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101913837/a-monster-el-nino-is-brewing-in-the-pacific\">El Niño\u003c/a> this year, which “would rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950,” National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration officials \u003ca href=\"https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml\">wrote Thursday\u003c/a>. Historically, the climate pattern has increased the odds of wet, stormy weather across California, especially the southern part of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But because the Bay Area sits on the northernmost edge of the wet zone, intense rainfall is less guaranteed than in Southern California. Still, experts said human-caused climate change may be changing that equation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What that means for California is it’s basically supercharged in the atmosphere,” said Patrick Barnard, research director for the UC Santa Cruz Center for Coastal Climate Resilience.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>El Niño forms when tropical trade winds weaken or reverse, allowing warm ocean water near Asia to move toward the Pacific Coast. This process heats the Eastern Pacific Ocean and can alter the jet stream. As a result, it can lead to a stormier winter in California. It can also disrupt the ocean’s nutrient-rich upwelling, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001047/scientists-worry-el-nino-could-supercharge-marine-heat-wave-roiling-coastal-california\">raising local ocean temperatures\u003c/a> and impacting sea life.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“El Niño is here,” said Tyler Roys, senior meteorologist with AccuWeather. “Overall, the pattern is going to favor wetter than the historical average for the Bay Area, for Sacramento, for the Central Valley, going all the way down to Southern California.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037679\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037679\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1325\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-800x530.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-1020x676.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-160x106.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-1536x1018.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-1920x1272.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">An automated National Weather Service weather station collects data on a bluff overlooking the Pacific Ocean in Montara, California, on April 5, 2016. \u003ccite>(Paul Chinn/The San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Climate experts said El Niño likely means that a very different winter is looming. As opposed to this year’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000775/sierra-storm-will-dump-more-april-snow-but-wont-fix-california-snowpack\">wet but short-lived season\u003c/a>, they anticipate several potential impacts: more intense atmospheric rivers, major snow events in the Sierra Nevada, larger waves, coastal flooding, mudslides, higher sea levels and reduced wildfire risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This El Niño is developing unusually fast,” AccuWeather expert meteorologist Paul Pastelok said in a statement. “Most El Niños begin in the fall. This one should start in June and strengthen quickly.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Pastelok said there’s a 40% chance that a super El Niño will form this year, which has only occurred seven times in modern history. The rare event was last documented in the winter of 2015.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That bar is difficult to reach, so current factors contributing to the development need to continue in the second half of 2026 to allow it to build,” Pastelok said.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Barnard said El Niño could also temporarily \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083376/an-incoming-super-el-nino-may-bring-california-a-wet-hot-winter\">raise sea levels\u003c/a> by half a foot or more. This means that places like \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001267/you-cant-beat-mother-nature-destroyed-cafe-gives-pacifica-look-at-climate-changed-future\">Pacifica\u003c/a>, Sausalito, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999461/king-tides-to-flood-bay-area-shorelines-this-week-heres-where-and-when-to-safely-see-them\">San Francisco\u003c/a> and San Rafael, which already flood during \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999871/after-king-tides-swamp-marin-san-rafael-weighs-billion-dollar-defenses-against-the-bay\">king tides\u003c/a>, could experience even worse inundation this winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Barnard said that conditions this winter could be a “precursor to what we can expect to have almost every single winter” in the coming decades.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Pacific Ocean has risen by about 8 inches since the 1880s. State scientists project an additional rise of over a foot by 2050, and in worst-case scenarios, up to 6 feet or more by the end of the century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Barnard said that for every couple of inches of sea level rise, the risk of coastal flooding doubles. And with up to a foot of this temporary rise, “the probability of flooding goes up exponentially.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve built up so much of our communities right in this razor-thin margin of the sea, and so when all of a sudden you raise that base level by 6 to 12 inches, you’re really putting a lot of assets in harm’s way,” Barnard said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When it comes to potential storms this winter, Barnard said the effects of human-caused climate change are pushing the jet stream closer to the poles, which means the effects of El Niño, primarily intensified storms, could shift north to the Bay Area rather than focusing on Southern California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The biggest El Niño impacts are moving more to the north than they did 50 years ago,” Barnard said. “We’re just looking at a different climate as a starting point when the onset of El Niño conditions hit us.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>AccuWeather’s Roys said that at this point, it’s “very difficult” to know exactly how intense this winter’s storms will be.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12081188\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12081188\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A pedestrian crosses a rain-soaked 19th Avenue amidst the ongoing winter storm in San Francisco on Feb. 17, 2026. \u003ccite>(Stephen Lam/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“It won’t change the number [of storms] that occur, but the intensity is likely to vary towards the higher side,” Roys said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roys said El Niño could shorten the wildfire season this winter, if the rains truly show up in force across the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If the ground is more saturated, things don’t dry out, and when things don’t necessarily dry out, it doesn’t become fuel and fire won’t spread as fast,” Roys said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roys also noted that El Niño isn’t the only global weather factor altering weather patterns.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s kind of like when you’re cooking, one ingredient can overpower another one,” Roys said. “What we’re still figuring out for the fall and for the winter is how that’s all going to play out.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "bay-area-faces-a-weather-quadfecta-heat-fire-risk-flooding-and-powerful-waves",
"title": "Bay Area Faces a Weather ‘Quadfecta’: Heat, Fire Risk, Flooding and Powerful Waves",
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"content": "\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area \u003c/a>is about to experience a quadfecta of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001255/bay-area-warm-up-could-bring-100-degree-heat-and-high-wildfire-risk\">hot weather\u003c/a> and climate effects this week — high temperatures, fire danger, sneaker waves and high tides.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a ridge of higher pressure builds over the region, Bay Area National Weather Service meteorologists forecast high heat to peak on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Thursday is going to be the hottest day and almost 15 to 25 degrees above normal for this time of year,” said Lamont Bain, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office. “It’s going to certainly be pretty warm to downright hot for some people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Wednesday, temperatures will range from the 80s to 90s in inland areas, with the warmest spots reaching the triple digits, including Concord, Napa and Sonoma. Forecasters expect the ridge to keep the marine layer at bay overnight.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By Thursday, meteorologists forecast temperatures to soar into the 90s or low 100s in inland valleys, including Santa Rosa and San José. The warmest spots — in rural Contra Costa County — could reach around 105 degrees. Temperatures across the Bay will range from the 80s to mid-90s.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087080\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2500px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087080\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2500\" height=\"1667\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED.jpg 2500w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-2000x1334.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-2048x1366.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2500px) 100vw, 2500px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People sunbathe at Ocean Beach in San Francisco on June 10, 2026. \u003ccite>(Tâm Vũ/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Forecasters have also issued a heat advisory from noon to 11 p.m. Thursday for the North Bay, the Sonoma coastal range, the East Bay, the Santa Clara Valley and the San Francisco Bay shoreline.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The current forecast shows a slight cooling trend on Friday, though forecasters said they’ll continue to look out for “heat headlines,” particularly inland in the East Bay. Because of the short duration, Bain said forecasters aren’t calling it a heat wave.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As of now, this week’s warmth is not going to be like the heat events that we had earlier this year, where we had multiple days of warmth; this will be maybe two days at most,” Bain said.[aside postID=science_2001267 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/06/260609-PACIFICAPIERUPDATE-10-BL-KQED.jpg']As for how long the heat will last, Bain said the marine layer could return by Sunday, pushing away the high pressure that is causing the heat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the “combination of the hot, dry, and windy conditions” has led the weather service to issue a red flag warning for the North and East Bay interior and mountain areas from 11 p.m. Wednesday through 9 a.m. Thursday. Fire weather conditions may also be prevalent in mountain areas in Santa Clara County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Overnight, forecasters said to expect strong north-to-northeast winds of up to 45 mph in mountain areas; gusts of 60 mph or higher are possible at the highest elevations. The winds will help lower relative humidity, and “result in critical fire weather conditions where any fires that start could take hold and spread rapidly,” forecasters wrote in their daily \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD\">forecast discussion\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The weather service also expects normal high astronomical tides with about a half a foot of surge. This will likely result in minor flooding in low-lying parts of the Bay Area on Wednesday evening. The hardest-hit areas could be in the North Bay, particularly \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12069118/for-marin-county-last-weekends-floods-were-a-wake-up-call\">Marin County\u003c/a>. Forecasters expect the high tides to expand across the rest of the Bay Area on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a result, the weather service issued coastal flood advisories starting at 6 p.m. Wednesday for the North Bay, and at 7 p.m. Thursday for the rest of the San Francisco Bayshore.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect the San Francisco tidal gauge to read around 7 inches above normal at around 8 p.m. Wednesday, 1.2 feet above normal around 9 p.m. Thursday, and 1.5 feet above normal around 9:30 p.m. on Friday. Coastal flood advisories will likely remain in effect into the weekend as high tides persist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087086\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2500px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087086\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2500\" height=\"1667\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED.jpg 2500w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-2000x1334.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-2048x1366.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2500px) 100vw, 2500px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bently Ha (left) and Michael Matey (right) practice boxing at Ocean Beach in San Francisco on June 10, 2026. \u003ccite>(Tâm Vũ/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And finally, meteorologists expect an increased risk of potentially dangerous sneaker waves and rip currents along southwest-facing beaches on the Pacific Coast this week. As a result, NWS has issued a beach hazards statement for the coast along the North Bay as well as San Mateo and Santa Cruz counties through 5 a.m. Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Sneaker waves can run up the beach farther than smaller waves and catch beachgoers by surprise and sweep them out into the water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“People should care because, as the name implies, sneaker waves happen very suddenly,” Bain said. “Pay attention because sneaker waves aren’t always huge waves. Be smart and be aware.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Triple-digit heat, wildfire danger, sneaker waves and high tides could make for a sunny — and risky — week for the Bay Area. ",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area \u003c/a>is about to experience a quadfecta of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001255/bay-area-warm-up-could-bring-100-degree-heat-and-high-wildfire-risk\">hot weather\u003c/a> and climate effects this week — high temperatures, fire danger, sneaker waves and high tides.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a ridge of higher pressure builds over the region, Bay Area National Weather Service meteorologists forecast high heat to peak on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Thursday is going to be the hottest day and almost 15 to 25 degrees above normal for this time of year,” said Lamont Bain, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office. “It’s going to certainly be pretty warm to downright hot for some people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Wednesday, temperatures will range from the 80s to 90s in inland areas, with the warmest spots reaching the triple digits, including Concord, Napa and Sonoma. Forecasters expect the ridge to keep the marine layer at bay overnight.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By Thursday, meteorologists forecast temperatures to soar into the 90s or low 100s in inland valleys, including Santa Rosa and San José. The warmest spots — in rural Contra Costa County — could reach around 105 degrees. Temperatures across the Bay will range from the 80s to mid-90s.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087080\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2500px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087080\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2500\" height=\"1667\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED.jpg 2500w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-2000x1334.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-2048x1366.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2500px) 100vw, 2500px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People sunbathe at Ocean Beach in San Francisco on June 10, 2026. \u003ccite>(Tâm Vũ/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Forecasters have also issued a heat advisory from noon to 11 p.m. Thursday for the North Bay, the Sonoma coastal range, the East Bay, the Santa Clara Valley and the San Francisco Bay shoreline.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The current forecast shows a slight cooling trend on Friday, though forecasters said they’ll continue to look out for “heat headlines,” particularly inland in the East Bay. Because of the short duration, Bain said forecasters aren’t calling it a heat wave.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As of now, this week’s warmth is not going to be like the heat events that we had earlier this year, where we had multiple days of warmth; this will be maybe two days at most,” Bain said.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>As for how long the heat will last, Bain said the marine layer could return by Sunday, pushing away the high pressure that is causing the heat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the “combination of the hot, dry, and windy conditions” has led the weather service to issue a red flag warning for the North and East Bay interior and mountain areas from 11 p.m. Wednesday through 9 a.m. Thursday. Fire weather conditions may also be prevalent in mountain areas in Santa Clara County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Overnight, forecasters said to expect strong north-to-northeast winds of up to 45 mph in mountain areas; gusts of 60 mph or higher are possible at the highest elevations. The winds will help lower relative humidity, and “result in critical fire weather conditions where any fires that start could take hold and spread rapidly,” forecasters wrote in their daily \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD\">forecast discussion\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The weather service also expects normal high astronomical tides with about a half a foot of surge. This will likely result in minor flooding in low-lying parts of the Bay Area on Wednesday evening. The hardest-hit areas could be in the North Bay, particularly \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12069118/for-marin-county-last-weekends-floods-were-a-wake-up-call\">Marin County\u003c/a>. Forecasters expect the high tides to expand across the rest of the Bay Area on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a result, the weather service issued coastal flood advisories starting at 6 p.m. Wednesday for the North Bay, and at 7 p.m. Thursday for the rest of the San Francisco Bayshore.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect the San Francisco tidal gauge to read around 7 inches above normal at around 8 p.m. Wednesday, 1.2 feet above normal around 9 p.m. Thursday, and 1.5 feet above normal around 9:30 p.m. on Friday. Coastal flood advisories will likely remain in effect into the weekend as high tides persist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087086\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2500px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087086\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2500\" height=\"1667\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED.jpg 2500w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-2000x1334.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-2048x1366.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2500px) 100vw, 2500px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bently Ha (left) and Michael Matey (right) practice boxing at Ocean Beach in San Francisco on June 10, 2026. \u003ccite>(Tâm Vũ/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And finally, meteorologists expect an increased risk of potentially dangerous sneaker waves and rip currents along southwest-facing beaches on the Pacific Coast this week. As a result, NWS has issued a beach hazards statement for the coast along the North Bay as well as San Mateo and Santa Cruz counties through 5 a.m. Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Sneaker waves can run up the beach farther than smaller waves and catch beachgoers by surprise and sweep them out into the water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“People should care because, as the name implies, sneaker waves happen very suddenly,” Bain said. “Pay attention because sneaker waves aren’t always huge waves. Be smart and be aware.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "an-incoming-super-el-nino-may-bring-california-a-wet-hot-winter",
"title": "An Incoming ‘Super El Niño’ May Bring California a Wet, Hot Winter",
"publishDate": 1778853641,
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"headTitle": "An Incoming ‘Super El Niño’ May Bring California a Wet, Hot Winter | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>Scientists predict that an upcoming \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101913837/a-monster-el-nino-is-brewing-in-the-pacific\">“Super El Niño”\u003c/a> will make 2026 to 2027 the hottest years on record and bring significant sea level rise to the Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An update on Thursday from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center said that El Niño is likely to emerge as soon as May and persist through the end of winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While El Niño, a warming of the ocean, and La Niña, a cooling of the ocean, are natural patterns that come and go every 2 to 7 years, this year’s El Niño could be one of the strongest on record — and may give Bay Area residents a preview of what life on the coast will be like in just a decade or two if global warming continues at its current pace.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with UC Agriculture and Natural Resources, said the term “Super El Niño” is just a colloquial way to describe a “more extreme than merely strong” climate pattern.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Super El Niño is not something magical, it’s not something new, that’s never happened before,” Swain said this week during his live-streamed “office-hours” series.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Swain said El Niños in 1982, 1997, and 2015 each resulted in “very different global effects” — ranging from record rainfall, which caused some \u003ca href=\"https://www.whoi.edu/science/b/people/kamaral/1982-1983ElNino.html\">Peruvian\u003c/a> rivers to carry 1,000 times their normal flow in 1983, to severe drought in \u003ca href=\"https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/2015-state-climate-el-ni%C3%B1o-came-saw-and-conquered\">Ethiopia\u003c/a> in 2015.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10898113\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-10898113 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/03/ElNino.jpg\" alt=\"A downed tree in Oakland after last weekend's El Niño-fueled storms.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1224\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/03/ElNino.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/03/ElNino-400x255.jpg 400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/03/ElNino-800x510.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/03/ElNino-1180x752.jpg 1180w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/03/ElNino-960x612.jpg 960w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A downed tree in Oakland after El Niño-fueled storms in 2016. Scientists warned the climate pattern could be the strongest on record, and result in a temporary sea level rise of around 6 inches in California. \u003ccite>(Andrea Kissack/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>This year’s “Super El Niño,” Swain said, will result in a temporary sea level rise of around 6 inches in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You have to add that number to climate change-caused sea level rise, which — depending on where you are in California — ranges from about 6 inches to a foot over the past century,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Beyond sustained sea level rise, scientists expect major storms and flooding starting this winter. They predict that these storms will be particularly strong as the effects of El Niño compound with the effects of climate change.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bay Area residents should expect “significant implications for coastal flooding [and] for wind and surf damage along the coast,” Swain said, pointing to the large \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12019798/repair-work-left-santa-cruz-wharf-vulnerable-to-collapse-a-rebuild-is-uncertain\">wave events in Santa Cruz \u003c/a>and the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999871/after-king-tides-swamp-marin-san-rafael-weighs-billion-dollar-defenses-against-the-bay\">king tide flooding in Marin\u003c/a> last year as examples of what may be in store.[aside postID=news_12069118 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/MarinCountyFloodingAP3.jpg']On KQED’s Forum on Thursday, science writer David Wallace-Wells and climate activist Bill McKibben compared this El Niño to a particularly deadly event in 1877. The main difference between then and now?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“People in the 1870s had no idea what was happening to them, whereas in this case, scientists from across the planet have given us timely warning that we should be using to prepare for what’s ahead,” McKibben said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This preparedness, however, will likely be impacted by federal cuts to science and weather programs, he warned: “We’re not doing a great job of heeding the wonderful warning that science has been able to provide us.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>San Francisco’s Department of Emergency Management said that the possibility of a strong El Niño is part of the city’s preparedness planning. In the coastal city, El Niño can mean a higher potential for heavy rain, localized flooding, and storm-related disruptions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Our focus is on coordinating closely with partner agencies, preparing our response systems, and encouraging the public to take preparedness steps before severe weather arrives,” a spokesperson said in a statement on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>McKibben reminded listeners that winter is coming: “Don’t let your insurance lapse this year,” he said. “We’re headed into a very, very interesting season, I’m afraid.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Scientists warned the climate pattern could be the strongest on record, and result in a temporary sea level rise of around 6 inches in California. ",
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"title": "An Incoming ‘Super El Niño’ May Bring California a Wet, Hot Winter | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Scientists predict that an upcoming \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101913837/a-monster-el-nino-is-brewing-in-the-pacific\">“Super El Niño”\u003c/a> will make 2026 to 2027 the hottest years on record and bring significant sea level rise to the Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An update on Thursday from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center said that El Niño is likely to emerge as soon as May and persist through the end of winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While El Niño, a warming of the ocean, and La Niña, a cooling of the ocean, are natural patterns that come and go every 2 to 7 years, this year’s El Niño could be one of the strongest on record — and may give Bay Area residents a preview of what life on the coast will be like in just a decade or two if global warming continues at its current pace.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with UC Agriculture and Natural Resources, said the term “Super El Niño” is just a colloquial way to describe a “more extreme than merely strong” climate pattern.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Super El Niño is not something magical, it’s not something new, that’s never happened before,” Swain said this week during his live-streamed “office-hours” series.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Swain said El Niños in 1982, 1997, and 2015 each resulted in “very different global effects” — ranging from record rainfall, which caused some \u003ca href=\"https://www.whoi.edu/science/b/people/kamaral/1982-1983ElNino.html\">Peruvian\u003c/a> rivers to carry 1,000 times their normal flow in 1983, to severe drought in \u003ca href=\"https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/2015-state-climate-el-ni%C3%B1o-came-saw-and-conquered\">Ethiopia\u003c/a> in 2015.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10898113\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-10898113 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/03/ElNino.jpg\" alt=\"A downed tree in Oakland after last weekend's El Niño-fueled storms.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1224\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/03/ElNino.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/03/ElNino-400x255.jpg 400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/03/ElNino-800x510.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/03/ElNino-1180x752.jpg 1180w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/03/ElNino-960x612.jpg 960w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A downed tree in Oakland after El Niño-fueled storms in 2016. Scientists warned the climate pattern could be the strongest on record, and result in a temporary sea level rise of around 6 inches in California. \u003ccite>(Andrea Kissack/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>This year’s “Super El Niño,” Swain said, will result in a temporary sea level rise of around 6 inches in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You have to add that number to climate change-caused sea level rise, which — depending on where you are in California — ranges from about 6 inches to a foot over the past century,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Beyond sustained sea level rise, scientists expect major storms and flooding starting this winter. They predict that these storms will be particularly strong as the effects of El Niño compound with the effects of climate change.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bay Area residents should expect “significant implications for coastal flooding [and] for wind and surf damage along the coast,” Swain said, pointing to the large \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12019798/repair-work-left-santa-cruz-wharf-vulnerable-to-collapse-a-rebuild-is-uncertain\">wave events in Santa Cruz \u003c/a>and the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999871/after-king-tides-swamp-marin-san-rafael-weighs-billion-dollar-defenses-against-the-bay\">king tide flooding in Marin\u003c/a> last year as examples of what may be in store.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>On KQED’s Forum on Thursday, science writer David Wallace-Wells and climate activist Bill McKibben compared this El Niño to a particularly deadly event in 1877. The main difference between then and now?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“People in the 1870s had no idea what was happening to them, whereas in this case, scientists from across the planet have given us timely warning that we should be using to prepare for what’s ahead,” McKibben said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This preparedness, however, will likely be impacted by federal cuts to science and weather programs, he warned: “We’re not doing a great job of heeding the wonderful warning that science has been able to provide us.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>San Francisco’s Department of Emergency Management said that the possibility of a strong El Niño is part of the city’s preparedness planning. In the coastal city, El Niño can mean a higher potential for heavy rain, localized flooding, and storm-related disruptions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Our focus is on coordinating closely with partner agencies, preparing our response systems, and encouraging the public to take preparedness steps before severe weather arrives,” a spokesperson said in a statement on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>McKibben reminded listeners that winter is coming: “Don’t let your insurance lapse this year,” he said. “We’re headed into a very, very interesting season, I’m afraid.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>The early-season \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000445/yikes-bay-area-heat-lingers-sierra-nevada-snowpack-melting-fast\">summer-time temperatures\u003c/a> that baked the Bay Area and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000372/snow-eater-heat-wave-behind-big-sierra-melt-is-a-look-at-our-climate-future\">rapidly melted the Sierra Nevada snowpack\u003c/a> are coming to an end this week — but only for a couple of days.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>National Weather Service forecasters said two back-to-back storms this week will wet the state and push out the ridge of high pressure that created the recent heat wave.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That period broke the all-time March high-temperature records at every major Bay Area climate station, and saw Lake Tahoe also get its warmest March day on record.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s not like we barely beat the records, either — we really shattered the records,” said Dylan Flynn, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This two-week run of warm temperatures caused Bay Area residents to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12076391/best-beaches-near-san-francisco-bay-area-weather-heat-wave-how-to-check-tides-wind\">flock to local beaches\u003c/a> or travel to the Sierra for the chance to ski in shorts. However, the exceptionally hot and dry March spelled the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12077367/tahoe-ski-resorts-closing-dates-2026-heavenly-palisades-homewood-closed-weather-snow-forecast-storms\">end of the ski season for many Tahoe resorts, w\u003c/a>hich have since closed\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12077367/tahoe-ski-resorts-closing-dates-2026-heavenly-palisades-homewood-closed-weather-snow-forecast-storms\">.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12063989\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12063989\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/11/251113-RAIN-FILE-MD-04-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/11/251113-RAIN-FILE-MD-04-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/11/251113-RAIN-FILE-MD-04-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/11/251113-RAIN-FILE-MD-04-KQED-1536x1025.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A person waits to cross the street in the Fruitvale neighborhood of Oakland on Nov. 13, 2025. \u003ccite>(Martin do Nascimento/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But for the resorts that remain open, it ain’t over yet. With rain and snow in the forecast this week, incoming cooler weather could give diehard skiers one last chance to hit fresh powder this spring.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You can never count on winter to be done in the High Sierra,” said Carly Mangan, spokesperson for Vail Resorts in Tahoe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Keep reading for what we know about this week’s weather change, and what anyone contemplating heading to the Sierra for one last ride should know.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What’s the weather forecast for the Bay Area this week?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Flynn said the Bay Area cooldown will begin Monday, with a first storm from the tropics that could bring a chance of “novelty drops” of rain across the region through Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the second storm, a cold system dipping down from the Pacific Northwest on Wednesday and Thursday, is the region’s “best chance for rain,” Flynn said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12077403\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12077403\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeSnowGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeSnowGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeSnowGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeSnowGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The ski area at Homewood has closed due to poor snow conditions as viewed on April 14, 2021, in Homewood, California. \u003ccite>(George Rose/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>As much as a quarter inch of rain could fall across the Bay Area, which Flynn said is important owing to the fact that it’s been “one of the driest Marches on record, too.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In fact, in San Francisco, it’s the driest March in over 100 years,” he noted.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Flynn said most of the rain will be “focused south of the Golden Gate Bridge” across the Peninsula, the East Bay and the Central Coast. \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=ci&glossary=1&issuedby=mtr&product=afd&site=mtr&version=1\">Read the full forecast from the NWS’s Bay Area office. \u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>After this week’s rain, what can we expect in the Bay for early April?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The cooldown is only temporary, Flynn said. This weekend, as a new ridge of high pressure builds over the region, temperatures will spike back into the 80s in inland areas and into the 70s along the coast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Unfortunately, after the next three days, the sun comes back out, and it gets hot again,” Flynn said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Flynn expects temperatures to continue to be warm into early next week, but said “there’s a lot of uncertainty” over what the weather will be like after Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What I can say is after this cool stretch, we go right back above normal temperatures,” Flynn said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What kind of snow will Tahoe see this week?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>By the end of Thursday, this week’s storms could drop as much as a foot or more of snow on the height of the Sierra Nevada, said Gigi Giralte, a meteorologist with the NWS’s Reno office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The new snow is a big deal for the state’s dwindling snowpack, which as of Monday sat at a meager \u003ca href=\"https://snow.water.ca.gov/\">18% of the April 1\u003c/a> average. But Giralte warned that the snow may have trouble sticking to the ground because of the recent warmth and lack of snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/NWSSacramento/status/2038685187270169013\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After the storms end, Giralte expects the snowpack to “be about the same, because we’re not getting feet and feet of snow” this week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We would need a much more significant storm to greatly impact the snowpack that we currently have,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Since temperatures are forecast to warm up after Thursday into the low 60s in the Tahoe area, Giralte said anyone heading up to the area should still “definitely expect spring skiing” conditions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>People traveling to the region can expect \u003ca href=\"https://x.com/NWSSacramento/status/2038685187270169013/photo/2\">minor snow impacts\u003c/a>, “but it’s still going to be a switch-up from the warm and dry weather we’ve been experiencing for most of March,” said Kate Forrest, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Sacramento office.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What do Tahoe ski resorts expect, and is it worth it to go up from the Bay this weekend?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For many Tahoe resorts whose lifts have already \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12077367/tahoe-ski-resorts-closing-dates-2026-heavenly-palisades-homewood-closed-weather-snow-forecast-storms\">stopped spinning for the season\u003c/a>, this storm is too little, too late.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But some Tahoe ski areas are still open — and are embracing this April storm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That includes the three Vail-owned resorts in Tahoe: Kirkwood, Heavenly and Northstar. Spokesperson Mangan said they’re hoping for significant snowfall this week — up to 18 inches according to Monday’s projections — especially at Kirkwood.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12071091\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12071091 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/GettyImages-2253947921-scaled-e1769466571155.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Professional skier Molly Armanino lands Dan’s Cliff at Kirkwood Ski Resort in Kirkwood, California, on Jan. 3, 2026. \u003ccite>(Brontë Wittpenn/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Kirkwood does kind of seem like right now in the eye of the storm,” Mangan said on Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Palisades Tahoe’s Olympic Valley side is also still open. OpenSnow forecaster Bryan Allegretto \u003ca href=\"https://blog.palisadestahoe.com/weather/rain-snow-with-mountain-accumulations/\">wrote on the Palisades Tahoe blog\u003c/a> that the resort is expecting snow to start early Tuesday morning and to last through Thursday. But he said it’s still unclear whether the heaviest snowfall will head north or south.[aside postID=news_12075796 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/GettyImages-1262723899.jpg']At present, Allegretto predicts high temperatures in the 30s up on the mountain, with ridgetop winds up to 50 miles per hour to start — increasing to up to 100 miles per hour overnight on Wednesday, which could affect lift operations on Wednesday or Thursday. Allegretto expects up to 16 inches of snow at the Palisades’ highest elevations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Perhaps more importantly, Mangan said, are the cold temperatures the region is expecting overnight this week, which could not only help slow snowmelt and assist resort operations in grooming more terrain, but also produce loose, soft “corn” snow, which is a springtime Tahoe staple.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Any of that is just going to help immensely at this time in the season for us to get through to our closing days,” she said. “We’ll take anything we can get.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Northstar is slated to close after Sunday, Heavenly and Kirkwood are aiming for an April 19 closing date, Mangan said. And while she doesn’t expect this storm to open a bunch of new terrain in the mountains, this week’s storm could help keep the season alive until then, she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What should skiers and snowboarders know about conditions right now?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The sun may return this weekend, Allegretto said, bringing highs in the 60s at the village in Olympic Valley and in the 40s up top at Palisades.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But “given that we are seeing low coverage across different areas on all of our resorts in the Tahoe region,” Mangan warned that anyone skiing this weekend should “be aware of the potential for \u003ca href=\"https://www.reddit.com/r/kirkwood/comments/1s7u04a/psa_for_anyone_coming_next_weekend/?share_id=YCA72Zd-_0_IkERkwh3_a&utm_content=1&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=ioscss&utm_source=share&utm_term=1\">unmarked hazards\u003c/a> hidden just below the snow,” concealed by the injection of fresh powder. She advised skiing with caution and within one’s ability level.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12077406\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12077406 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Snow and trees along Lake Tahoe on Dec. 31, 2025, in Glenbrook, Nevada. Lake Tahoe is the largest alpine lake in North America, straddling the border between California and Nevada. \u003ccite>(Al Drago/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>While Heavenly and Northstar’s lower mountains are closed, they benefit from gondolas to bring skiers to the upper mountains, terrain which Mangan said is “ holding up really well.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Kirkwood, meanwhile, has a higher base level, so it’s still open from top to bottom with 60% of terrain open — but nonetheless, “it’s melting out fast,” Mangan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So if you want to get “that one last hurrah” for the season, you may be able to get it this weekend, she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Everybody loves a little April powder,” Mangan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Beyond this week, is there any more snow in the long-range forecast?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The simple answer is not really, Giralte said — but it has “snowed in May before, so it’s not out of the question.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Climate Prediction Center’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/\">8-to-14-day outlook\u003c/a> shows California and most of Nevada will likely experience above-normal temperatures and below-average precipitation for around the first two weeks of April.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In the long range, we don’t really see some snow coming as high pressure sets back and lingers,” Giralte said, “which will help bring those temperatures back up and dry us out again, like we saw last week.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The early-season \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000445/yikes-bay-area-heat-lingers-sierra-nevada-snowpack-melting-fast\">summer-time temperatures\u003c/a> that baked the Bay Area and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000372/snow-eater-heat-wave-behind-big-sierra-melt-is-a-look-at-our-climate-future\">rapidly melted the Sierra Nevada snowpack\u003c/a> are coming to an end this week — but only for a couple of days.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>National Weather Service forecasters said two back-to-back storms this week will wet the state and push out the ridge of high pressure that created the recent heat wave.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That period broke the all-time March high-temperature records at every major Bay Area climate station, and saw Lake Tahoe also get its warmest March day on record.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s not like we barely beat the records, either — we really shattered the records,” said Dylan Flynn, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This two-week run of warm temperatures caused Bay Area residents to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12076391/best-beaches-near-san-francisco-bay-area-weather-heat-wave-how-to-check-tides-wind\">flock to local beaches\u003c/a> or travel to the Sierra for the chance to ski in shorts. However, the exceptionally hot and dry March spelled the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12077367/tahoe-ski-resorts-closing-dates-2026-heavenly-palisades-homewood-closed-weather-snow-forecast-storms\">end of the ski season for many Tahoe resorts, w\u003c/a>hich have since closed\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12077367/tahoe-ski-resorts-closing-dates-2026-heavenly-palisades-homewood-closed-weather-snow-forecast-storms\">.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12063989\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12063989\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/11/251113-RAIN-FILE-MD-04-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/11/251113-RAIN-FILE-MD-04-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/11/251113-RAIN-FILE-MD-04-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/11/251113-RAIN-FILE-MD-04-KQED-1536x1025.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A person waits to cross the street in the Fruitvale neighborhood of Oakland on Nov. 13, 2025. \u003ccite>(Martin do Nascimento/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But for the resorts that remain open, it ain’t over yet. With rain and snow in the forecast this week, incoming cooler weather could give diehard skiers one last chance to hit fresh powder this spring.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You can never count on winter to be done in the High Sierra,” said Carly Mangan, spokesperson for Vail Resorts in Tahoe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Keep reading for what we know about this week’s weather change, and what anyone contemplating heading to the Sierra for one last ride should know.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What’s the weather forecast for the Bay Area this week?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Flynn said the Bay Area cooldown will begin Monday, with a first storm from the tropics that could bring a chance of “novelty drops” of rain across the region through Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the second storm, a cold system dipping down from the Pacific Northwest on Wednesday and Thursday, is the region’s “best chance for rain,” Flynn said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12077403\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12077403\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeSnowGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeSnowGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeSnowGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeSnowGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The ski area at Homewood has closed due to poor snow conditions as viewed on April 14, 2021, in Homewood, California. \u003ccite>(George Rose/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>As much as a quarter inch of rain could fall across the Bay Area, which Flynn said is important owing to the fact that it’s been “one of the driest Marches on record, too.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In fact, in San Francisco, it’s the driest March in over 100 years,” he noted.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Flynn said most of the rain will be “focused south of the Golden Gate Bridge” across the Peninsula, the East Bay and the Central Coast. \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=ci&glossary=1&issuedby=mtr&product=afd&site=mtr&version=1\">Read the full forecast from the NWS’s Bay Area office. \u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>After this week’s rain, what can we expect in the Bay for early April?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The cooldown is only temporary, Flynn said. This weekend, as a new ridge of high pressure builds over the region, temperatures will spike back into the 80s in inland areas and into the 70s along the coast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Unfortunately, after the next three days, the sun comes back out, and it gets hot again,” Flynn said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Flynn expects temperatures to continue to be warm into early next week, but said “there’s a lot of uncertainty” over what the weather will be like after Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What I can say is after this cool stretch, we go right back above normal temperatures,” Flynn said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What kind of snow will Tahoe see this week?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>By the end of Thursday, this week’s storms could drop as much as a foot or more of snow on the height of the Sierra Nevada, said Gigi Giralte, a meteorologist with the NWS’s Reno office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The new snow is a big deal for the state’s dwindling snowpack, which as of Monday sat at a meager \u003ca href=\"https://snow.water.ca.gov/\">18% of the April 1\u003c/a> average. But Giralte warned that the snow may have trouble sticking to the ground because of the recent warmth and lack of snow.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>After the storms end, Giralte expects the snowpack to “be about the same, because we’re not getting feet and feet of snow” this week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We would need a much more significant storm to greatly impact the snowpack that we currently have,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Since temperatures are forecast to warm up after Thursday into the low 60s in the Tahoe area, Giralte said anyone heading up to the area should still “definitely expect spring skiing” conditions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>People traveling to the region can expect \u003ca href=\"https://x.com/NWSSacramento/status/2038685187270169013/photo/2\">minor snow impacts\u003c/a>, “but it’s still going to be a switch-up from the warm and dry weather we’ve been experiencing for most of March,” said Kate Forrest, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Sacramento office.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What do Tahoe ski resorts expect, and is it worth it to go up from the Bay this weekend?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For many Tahoe resorts whose lifts have already \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12077367/tahoe-ski-resorts-closing-dates-2026-heavenly-palisades-homewood-closed-weather-snow-forecast-storms\">stopped spinning for the season\u003c/a>, this storm is too little, too late.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But some Tahoe ski areas are still open — and are embracing this April storm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That includes the three Vail-owned resorts in Tahoe: Kirkwood, Heavenly and Northstar. Spokesperson Mangan said they’re hoping for significant snowfall this week — up to 18 inches according to Monday’s projections — especially at Kirkwood.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12071091\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12071091 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/GettyImages-2253947921-scaled-e1769466571155.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Professional skier Molly Armanino lands Dan’s Cliff at Kirkwood Ski Resort in Kirkwood, California, on Jan. 3, 2026. \u003ccite>(Brontë Wittpenn/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Kirkwood does kind of seem like right now in the eye of the storm,” Mangan said on Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Palisades Tahoe’s Olympic Valley side is also still open. OpenSnow forecaster Bryan Allegretto \u003ca href=\"https://blog.palisadestahoe.com/weather/rain-snow-with-mountain-accumulations/\">wrote on the Palisades Tahoe blog\u003c/a> that the resort is expecting snow to start early Tuesday morning and to last through Thursday. But he said it’s still unclear whether the heaviest snowfall will head north or south.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>At present, Allegretto predicts high temperatures in the 30s up on the mountain, with ridgetop winds up to 50 miles per hour to start — increasing to up to 100 miles per hour overnight on Wednesday, which could affect lift operations on Wednesday or Thursday. Allegretto expects up to 16 inches of snow at the Palisades’ highest elevations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Perhaps more importantly, Mangan said, are the cold temperatures the region is expecting overnight this week, which could not only help slow snowmelt and assist resort operations in grooming more terrain, but also produce loose, soft “corn” snow, which is a springtime Tahoe staple.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Any of that is just going to help immensely at this time in the season for us to get through to our closing days,” she said. “We’ll take anything we can get.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Northstar is slated to close after Sunday, Heavenly and Kirkwood are aiming for an April 19 closing date, Mangan said. And while she doesn’t expect this storm to open a bunch of new terrain in the mountains, this week’s storm could help keep the season alive until then, she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What should skiers and snowboarders know about conditions right now?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The sun may return this weekend, Allegretto said, bringing highs in the 60s at the village in Olympic Valley and in the 40s up top at Palisades.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But “given that we are seeing low coverage across different areas on all of our resorts in the Tahoe region,” Mangan warned that anyone skiing this weekend should “be aware of the potential for \u003ca href=\"https://www.reddit.com/r/kirkwood/comments/1s7u04a/psa_for_anyone_coming_next_weekend/?share_id=YCA72Zd-_0_IkERkwh3_a&utm_content=1&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=ioscss&utm_source=share&utm_term=1\">unmarked hazards\u003c/a> hidden just below the snow,” concealed by the injection of fresh powder. She advised skiing with caution and within one’s ability level.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12077406\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12077406 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/TahoeGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Snow and trees along Lake Tahoe on Dec. 31, 2025, in Glenbrook, Nevada. Lake Tahoe is the largest alpine lake in North America, straddling the border between California and Nevada. \u003ccite>(Al Drago/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>While Heavenly and Northstar’s lower mountains are closed, they benefit from gondolas to bring skiers to the upper mountains, terrain which Mangan said is “ holding up really well.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Kirkwood, meanwhile, has a higher base level, so it’s still open from top to bottom with 60% of terrain open — but nonetheless, “it’s melting out fast,” Mangan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So if you want to get “that one last hurrah” for the season, you may be able to get it this weekend, she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Everybody loves a little April powder,” Mangan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Beyond this week, is there any more snow in the long-range forecast?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The simple answer is not really, Giralte said — but it has “snowed in May before, so it’s not out of the question.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Climate Prediction Center’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/\">8-to-14-day outlook\u003c/a> shows California and most of Nevada will likely experience above-normal temperatures and below-average precipitation for around the first two weeks of April.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In the long range, we don’t really see some snow coming as high pressure sets back and lingers,” Giralte said, “which will help bring those temperatures back up and dry us out again, like we saw last week.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"title": "Feel Like Your Phone’s Weather App Often Gets It Wrong? Experts Say You Aren't Imagining It",
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"headTitle": "Feel Like Your Phone’s Weather App Often Gets It Wrong? Experts Say You Aren’t Imagining It | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>The Bay Area is in the grip of a \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000315/record-breaking-heat-wave-bakes-the-bay-area-through-friday\">heat wave right now.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But if you’re feeling like it’s even hotter out there than your phone’s weather app says it is, there’s a good chance you’re not imagining it.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s because the phone apps we rely on to tell us how hot it is — or when rain is coming — aren’t actually super accurate in reality, said Daniel Swain, climate scientist with the California Institute for Water Resources at the University of California Agriculture and Natural Resources.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Any self-respecting meteorologist doesn’t use those types of apps,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And make no mistake: It \u003cem>is \u003c/em>really hot out there. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000315/record-breaking-heat-wave-bakes-the-bay-area-through-friday\">This week’s heat wave\u003c/a> is totally “unprecedented” for March, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101913281/were-in-for-a-major-heat-wave\">Swain told KQED Forum on Monday\u003c/a>, and it’s not just affecting the Bay Area or Northern California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This temperature spike is stretching all the way across the Great Plains to Kansas and Nebraska, south to Mexico, and all the way north to Canada, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to: \u003ca href=\"#HowcanIgetthemostaccurateweatherforecastonmyphone\">How can I get the most accurate weather forecast on my phone?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>“This looks like a legitimately summer-like heat wave in the middle of March,” he said. “And that is an incredible anomaly.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s going to be 80, even 90 degrees in some places that would, at this time of year, typically be seeing snow.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>So why \u003cem>isn’t \u003c/em>my phone’s weather app super accurate?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The weather apps that are automatically downloaded on a person’s phone — like the iPhone’s Weather app — undoubtedly offer their users a speedy and convenient way to get a general sense of the weather forecast in their city, without having to leave their phone. In addition, there is \u003ca href=\"https://www.apple.com/us/search/weather?src=globalnav\">a large range of weather apps \u003c/a>available that a person can choose to download.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And for many casual situations — like deciding whether to bring a sweater or not — these apps might well be enough for some people, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12076408\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12076408\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Crowds gather to enjoy the warm weather and ocean waves at Stinson Beach in Stinson Beach, California, on Oct. 16, 2020. Temperatures across the Bay Area reached record highs this week, drawing inland residents to the coasts to beat the heat. \u003ccite>(Jessica Christian/The San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But Swain said we can’t solely rely on our phones’ own weather apps, or nearly any weather app at all, to give us accurate information about this “record-shattering” heat wave — or to make predictions that will actually pan out. And so, if you’re in some kind of situation in which an accurate weather forecast is crucial, like any kind of outdoor adventure, “then you actually do need to dig a little bit deeper” than phone apps, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All of the weather apps out there — including the flagship ones for big tech companies who dominate the smartphone market and have a base weather app that shows up on your phone — they’re really not good,” he said. “They’re quite bad.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But \u003cem>why \u003c/em>can the weather information on phone apps be unreliable? It’s because those apps are fully automated and use algorithms that aren’t “sufficiently dynamic,” Swain said — and in a nutshell, they’re lacking human expertise and customization behind the scenes.[aside postID=science_2000315 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/BayAreaHeatWaveGetty2.jpg']First off, the app may not even be telling you its readings of the weather where you are, Swain said, but rather feeding you a forecast of what it was \u003cem>supposed \u003c/em>to be like. Or they are pulling just one of the hundreds of models that run every few hours and “calling it a day,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And it turns out that these guesses “can cascade into major differences in a forecast that’s days out,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Apple, Google and Samsung did not respond to KQED’s requests for comment on criticism of their own weather apps’ accuracy. Apple’s \u003ca href=\"https://support.apple.com/en-us/105038\">website\u003c/a> said that Apple Weather provides the iPhone’s Weather app 10-day forecast, but that National Weather Service information informs its severe weather alerts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Jan Null, a meteorologist who founded the Golden Gate Weather Service, echoed Swain’s concerns.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The problem with most weather apps is that they’re using some sort of universal computer model to forecast what’s going to happen \u003cem>somewhere\u003c/em>,” Null said. “So it’s the same computer model that’s being used back in Pennsylvania that’s being used here. And all computer models are not equal.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Additionally, weather apps are often ingesting data and spitting it right out without any filter, “even though that’s not how that data was meant to be used,” Swain said. “There’s no human making a weather forecast behind that weather app data.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The reason why having a human to read that data and interpret it matters is because humans can make “manual adjustments” for places “where conditions are known to diverge from the models,” Swain said — just like they can in the Bay Area. Since those divergences can be somewhat systematic, “human forecasters have a good sense for when to throw the model data out,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12047560\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12047560\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1358\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-160x109.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-1536x1043.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People enjoying the sun at the Palace of Fine Arts as a heat wave rolls through San Francisco on July 11, 2024. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Not only that, Null said, but some weather apps might just pull from the closest airport or weather station, without accounting for the many microclimates that naturally occur.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you want to see what the weather is in San Mateo, it’s probably going to give you San Francisco International Airport,” he said. “And there can be quite a difference.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And in the city, “it’s classic in San Francisco when the computer models miss when the sea breeze comes in after a warm spell,” Null said. “I’ve seen it dozens and dozens of times in my career.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>All of this creates real confusion for users, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Sometimes, you look out the window, and it’s completely different than what the app shows,” Swain said — or “the forecast bounces around a lot from hour to hour, and day to day.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Weather apps vs. extreme weather\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A 2025 study led by University of Chicago researchers in collaboration with University of California, Santa Cruz and New York University \u003ca href=\"http://universityofcalifornia.edu/news/ai-good-weather-forecasting-can-it-predict-freak-weather-events\">reported\u003c/a> that while AI-powered weather models perform well for day-to-day weather, they often underestimate the scale of more extreme, unprecedented weather events.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While sometimes the differences in the data are negligible, other times these discrepancies “can result in real problems where people aren’t getting the right information,” Swain said. He particularly pointed to the sudden \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12045531/lake-tahoe-boat-accidents-7th-victim-is-found-by-divers-1-person-still-missing\">summer storm\u003c/a> that hit Lake Tahoe last year, not forecasted on many people’s weather apps, that killed eight people.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Ultimately, [a phone’s weather app] just doesn’t offer enough nuance,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11992382\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11992382\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Children play in sprinklers at Meadow Homes Park in Concord on Sept. 8, 2022, as the temperature soared to 108 degrees. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Several \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/winter-storm-apps-forecast-accuracy-snow-weather-9768afec5fc53b4faba19f3cfd06a86c\">meteorologists interviewed by \u003cem>The Associated Press \u003c/em>\u003c/a>earlier this year, as a series of strong winter storms swept the United States, echoed these sentiments. “For extreme weather events, it is especially important to know there are human forecasters interpreting the data and making the best localized forecasts for your area,” University of Oklahoma meteorology professor Jason Furtado told AP.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Like Swain and Null, Furtado warned of “the potential for significant errors” being introduced by the fact that “many of the weather forecast apps use AI methods to either make the forecast or ‘interpolate’ from larger grids to your hometown.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What’s more, Swain argues, inaccurate app weather reports are even reducing public trust in professional meteorology — because of the gulf between what a person’s phone is telling them about today’s weather and what a meteorologist is reporting.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This gap means an increasing number of people “think that our ability to predict the weather is much worse than it actually is,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"HowcanIgetthemostaccurateweatherforecastonmyphone\">\u003c/a>Where else can I get accurate weather information on my phone?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Instead of relying on the icons in your phone apps, Swain advises you turn to your \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">local National Weather Service\u003c/a> office’s website. With reports driven by human meteorologists rather than algorithms, the analysis from these offices drives crucial alerts — like the current \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=CAZ006&warncounty=CAC075&firewxzone=CAZ006&local_place1=San%20Francisco%20CA&product1=Heat+Advisory&lat=37.7596&lon=-122.4338\">heat advisory\u003c/a> in effect — during dangerous weather.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There are meteorologists working for the weather service in the San Francisco Bay Area or in Los Angeles or any number of other locations who have been forecasting the weather for this particular corner of the world for 20, 30, even 40 years,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They are world experts in the weather in your backyard.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12053297\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12053297\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People walk along International Boulevard in Oakland during a heat wave on Aug. 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Martin do Nascimento/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And if you really want those forecasts on your mobile phone, there’s an app for that. Null suggests downloading \u003ca href=\"https://everythingwx.com/\">EverythingWeather,\u003c/a> a new app that, rather than aggregating nationwide info, pulls in local NWS reports — essentially a mobile-friendly version of the office reports.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While it’s not an official NWS app, it was \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/winter-storm-apps-forecast-accuracy-snow-weather-9768afec5fc53b4faba19f3cfd06a86c\">created by off-duty NWS employee \u003c/a>Cory Mottice, and it’s frequently maintained, Null said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The NWS staff are nonetheless under threat due to federal \u003ca href=\"https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/the-scientific-impact-of-trumps-cuts-to-noaa-and-the-national-weather-service\">defunding\u003c/a>, Swain warned, even as their experience becomes even more valuable during unprecedented events like this heat wave.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s a lot of expert interpolation that goes into reading and interpreting the raw numerical data from a weather model,” he said. “That is the art and the skill of forecasting.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>NWS forecasters can’t predict individual weather events more than a week or two in advance, Swain said — so he recommends you don’t depend on \u003cem>any \u003c/em>forecast that’s not in the immediate future.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So what does that mean for the remainder of this unprecedented March heat wave and when it might let up?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Statistically, it probably should rain again following this extreme heat,” he said. “There’s no immediate indication of significant storms, which is frustrating.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/amadrigal\">\u003cem>Alexis Madrigal\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> and Carly Severn contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "If you’re surprised by current high temperatures — compared to what your phone’s weather app reports — these meteorologists say there’s a reason for that.",
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"title": "Feel Like Your Phone’s Weather App Often Gets It Wrong? Experts Say You Aren't Imagining It | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The Bay Area is in the grip of a \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000315/record-breaking-heat-wave-bakes-the-bay-area-through-friday\">heat wave right now.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But if you’re feeling like it’s even hotter out there than your phone’s weather app says it is, there’s a good chance you’re not imagining it.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s because the phone apps we rely on to tell us how hot it is — or when rain is coming — aren’t actually super accurate in reality, said Daniel Swain, climate scientist with the California Institute for Water Resources at the University of California Agriculture and Natural Resources.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Any self-respecting meteorologist doesn’t use those types of apps,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And make no mistake: It \u003cem>is \u003c/em>really hot out there. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000315/record-breaking-heat-wave-bakes-the-bay-area-through-friday\">This week’s heat wave\u003c/a> is totally “unprecedented” for March, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101913281/were-in-for-a-major-heat-wave\">Swain told KQED Forum on Monday\u003c/a>, and it’s not just affecting the Bay Area or Northern California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This temperature spike is stretching all the way across the Great Plains to Kansas and Nebraska, south to Mexico, and all the way north to Canada, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to: \u003ca href=\"#HowcanIgetthemostaccurateweatherforecastonmyphone\">How can I get the most accurate weather forecast on my phone?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>“This looks like a legitimately summer-like heat wave in the middle of March,” he said. “And that is an incredible anomaly.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s going to be 80, even 90 degrees in some places that would, at this time of year, typically be seeing snow.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>So why \u003cem>isn’t \u003c/em>my phone’s weather app super accurate?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The weather apps that are automatically downloaded on a person’s phone — like the iPhone’s Weather app — undoubtedly offer their users a speedy and convenient way to get a general sense of the weather forecast in their city, without having to leave their phone. In addition, there is \u003ca href=\"https://www.apple.com/us/search/weather?src=globalnav\">a large range of weather apps \u003c/a>available that a person can choose to download.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And for many casual situations — like deciding whether to bring a sweater or not — these apps might well be enough for some people, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12076408\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12076408\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Crowds gather to enjoy the warm weather and ocean waves at Stinson Beach in Stinson Beach, California, on Oct. 16, 2020. Temperatures across the Bay Area reached record highs this week, drawing inland residents to the coasts to beat the heat. \u003ccite>(Jessica Christian/The San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But Swain said we can’t solely rely on our phones’ own weather apps, or nearly any weather app at all, to give us accurate information about this “record-shattering” heat wave — or to make predictions that will actually pan out. And so, if you’re in some kind of situation in which an accurate weather forecast is crucial, like any kind of outdoor adventure, “then you actually do need to dig a little bit deeper” than phone apps, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All of the weather apps out there — including the flagship ones for big tech companies who dominate the smartphone market and have a base weather app that shows up on your phone — they’re really not good,” he said. “They’re quite bad.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But \u003cem>why \u003c/em>can the weather information on phone apps be unreliable? It’s because those apps are fully automated and use algorithms that aren’t “sufficiently dynamic,” Swain said — and in a nutshell, they’re lacking human expertise and customization behind the scenes.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>First off, the app may not even be telling you its readings of the weather where you are, Swain said, but rather feeding you a forecast of what it was \u003cem>supposed \u003c/em>to be like. Or they are pulling just one of the hundreds of models that run every few hours and “calling it a day,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And it turns out that these guesses “can cascade into major differences in a forecast that’s days out,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Apple, Google and Samsung did not respond to KQED’s requests for comment on criticism of their own weather apps’ accuracy. Apple’s \u003ca href=\"https://support.apple.com/en-us/105038\">website\u003c/a> said that Apple Weather provides the iPhone’s Weather app 10-day forecast, but that National Weather Service information informs its severe weather alerts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Jan Null, a meteorologist who founded the Golden Gate Weather Service, echoed Swain’s concerns.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The problem with most weather apps is that they’re using some sort of universal computer model to forecast what’s going to happen \u003cem>somewhere\u003c/em>,” Null said. “So it’s the same computer model that’s being used back in Pennsylvania that’s being used here. And all computer models are not equal.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Additionally, weather apps are often ingesting data and spitting it right out without any filter, “even though that’s not how that data was meant to be used,” Swain said. “There’s no human making a weather forecast behind that weather app data.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The reason why having a human to read that data and interpret it matters is because humans can make “manual adjustments” for places “where conditions are known to diverge from the models,” Swain said — just like they can in the Bay Area. Since those divergences can be somewhat systematic, “human forecasters have a good sense for when to throw the model data out,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12047560\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12047560\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1358\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-160x109.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-1536x1043.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People enjoying the sun at the Palace of Fine Arts as a heat wave rolls through San Francisco on July 11, 2024. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Not only that, Null said, but some weather apps might just pull from the closest airport or weather station, without accounting for the many microclimates that naturally occur.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you want to see what the weather is in San Mateo, it’s probably going to give you San Francisco International Airport,” he said. “And there can be quite a difference.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And in the city, “it’s classic in San Francisco when the computer models miss when the sea breeze comes in after a warm spell,” Null said. “I’ve seen it dozens and dozens of times in my career.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>All of this creates real confusion for users, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Sometimes, you look out the window, and it’s completely different than what the app shows,” Swain said — or “the forecast bounces around a lot from hour to hour, and day to day.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Weather apps vs. extreme weather\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A 2025 study led by University of Chicago researchers in collaboration with University of California, Santa Cruz and New York University \u003ca href=\"http://universityofcalifornia.edu/news/ai-good-weather-forecasting-can-it-predict-freak-weather-events\">reported\u003c/a> that while AI-powered weather models perform well for day-to-day weather, they often underestimate the scale of more extreme, unprecedented weather events.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While sometimes the differences in the data are negligible, other times these discrepancies “can result in real problems where people aren’t getting the right information,” Swain said. He particularly pointed to the sudden \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12045531/lake-tahoe-boat-accidents-7th-victim-is-found-by-divers-1-person-still-missing\">summer storm\u003c/a> that hit Lake Tahoe last year, not forecasted on many people’s weather apps, that killed eight people.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Ultimately, [a phone’s weather app] just doesn’t offer enough nuance,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11992382\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11992382\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Children play in sprinklers at Meadow Homes Park in Concord on Sept. 8, 2022, as the temperature soared to 108 degrees. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Several \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/winter-storm-apps-forecast-accuracy-snow-weather-9768afec5fc53b4faba19f3cfd06a86c\">meteorologists interviewed by \u003cem>The Associated Press \u003c/em>\u003c/a>earlier this year, as a series of strong winter storms swept the United States, echoed these sentiments. “For extreme weather events, it is especially important to know there are human forecasters interpreting the data and making the best localized forecasts for your area,” University of Oklahoma meteorology professor Jason Furtado told AP.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Like Swain and Null, Furtado warned of “the potential for significant errors” being introduced by the fact that “many of the weather forecast apps use AI methods to either make the forecast or ‘interpolate’ from larger grids to your hometown.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What’s more, Swain argues, inaccurate app weather reports are even reducing public trust in professional meteorology — because of the gulf between what a person’s phone is telling them about today’s weather and what a meteorologist is reporting.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This gap means an increasing number of people “think that our ability to predict the weather is much worse than it actually is,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"HowcanIgetthemostaccurateweatherforecastonmyphone\">\u003c/a>Where else can I get accurate weather information on my phone?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Instead of relying on the icons in your phone apps, Swain advises you turn to your \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">local National Weather Service\u003c/a> office’s website. With reports driven by human meteorologists rather than algorithms, the analysis from these offices drives crucial alerts — like the current \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=CAZ006&warncounty=CAC075&firewxzone=CAZ006&local_place1=San%20Francisco%20CA&product1=Heat+Advisory&lat=37.7596&lon=-122.4338\">heat advisory\u003c/a> in effect — during dangerous weather.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There are meteorologists working for the weather service in the San Francisco Bay Area or in Los Angeles or any number of other locations who have been forecasting the weather for this particular corner of the world for 20, 30, even 40 years,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They are world experts in the weather in your backyard.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12053297\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12053297\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People walk along International Boulevard in Oakland during a heat wave on Aug. 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Martin do Nascimento/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And if you really want those forecasts on your mobile phone, there’s an app for that. Null suggests downloading \u003ca href=\"https://everythingwx.com/\">EverythingWeather,\u003c/a> a new app that, rather than aggregating nationwide info, pulls in local NWS reports — essentially a mobile-friendly version of the office reports.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While it’s not an official NWS app, it was \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/winter-storm-apps-forecast-accuracy-snow-weather-9768afec5fc53b4faba19f3cfd06a86c\">created by off-duty NWS employee \u003c/a>Cory Mottice, and it’s frequently maintained, Null said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The NWS staff are nonetheless under threat due to federal \u003ca href=\"https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/the-scientific-impact-of-trumps-cuts-to-noaa-and-the-national-weather-service\">defunding\u003c/a>, Swain warned, even as their experience becomes even more valuable during unprecedented events like this heat wave.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s a lot of expert interpolation that goes into reading and interpreting the raw numerical data from a weather model,” he said. “That is the art and the skill of forecasting.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>NWS forecasters can’t predict individual weather events more than a week or two in advance, Swain said — so he recommends you don’t depend on \u003cem>any \u003c/em>forecast that’s not in the immediate future.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So what does that mean for the remainder of this unprecedented March heat wave and when it might let up?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Statistically, it probably should rain again following this extreme heat,” he said. “There’s no immediate indication of significant storms, which is frustrating.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/amadrigal\">\u003cem>Alexis Madrigal\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> and Carly Severn contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "treacherous-sierra-nevada-storm-delays-recovery-of-9-presumed-avalanche-victims",
"title": "6 Women Killed in Tahoe Avalanche Identified, Recovery Still Delayed by ‘Treacherous’ Conditions",
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"content": "\u003cp>Six women who were killed in this week’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12073690/8-skiers-confirmed-dead-1-still-missing-after-tahoe-avalanche-heres-what-we-know\">avalanche in the Sierra Nevada\u003c/a> were identified as close friends and skilled skiers from the Bay Area, Truckee region and Idaho, according to a statement Thursday from their families.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We are devastated beyond words,” read the statement, released by a spokesperson for the families. “Our focus right now is supporting our children through this incredible tragedy and honoring the lives of these extraordinary women. They were all mothers, wives and friends, all of whom connected through the love of the outdoors.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The women were identified as Carrie Atkin, Liz Clabaugh, Danielle Keatley, Kate Morse, Caroline Sekar and Kate Vitt.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Authorities have confirmed eight deaths in what has become the deadliest avalanche in modern California history, and a ninth person who is missing is presumed dead. Six others, who were part of a three-day backcountry skiing group staying at the Frog Lake huts near Castle Peak, were rescued amid extreme weather conditions Tuesday night.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Due to hazardous winter storm conditions, it will be at least another day before crews can attempt to recover the bodies of those who were killed, California authorities said Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With around a foot of snow expected to fall in high elevations around Lake Tahoe by Thursday night, and avalanche warning still in effect through Friday morning, the Nevada County Sheriff’s Office said in a statement that the recovery of the avalanche victims is likely “to carry into the weekend.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12073957\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12073957\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1500\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1-160x120.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1-1536x1152.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sierra Avalanche Center forecasters observe a crack in the snow on Feb. 17, 2026. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Nolan Averbuch)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Due to hazardous weather conditions, avalanche victims cannot be safely extracted off the mountain today,” the statement said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Sugar Bowl Academy, an elite ski club in Placer County, \u003ca href=\"https://www.sbacademy.org/media-statements\">confirmed\u003c/a> in a statement that some of its community members are among those who were caught in the avalanche.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The California Division of Occupational Safety and Health \u003ca href=\"https://www.capradio.org/articles/2026/02/18/castle-peak-avalanche-what-we-know-so-far/\">confirmed to CapRadio\u003c/a> on Thursday that it has launched an investigation into Blackbird Mountain Guides, the Truckee-based guiding company involved in the incident. In a statement, Cal/OSHA said that “the agency has up to six months to complete an investigation and issue citations if violations of workplace safety regulations are identified.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Wednesday night, Blackbird said in a statement that the group’s four guides were trained or certified in backcountry skiing by the American Mountain Guides Association and are instructors with the American Institute for Avalanche Research and Education.[aside postID=news_12073690 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP1.jpg']“In addition, guides in the field are in communication with senior guides at our base, to discuss conditions and routing based upon conditions,” founder Zeb Blais said. “There is still a lot that we’re learning about what happened.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>KQED has reached out to Blackbird for comment on the Cal/OSHA investigation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nevada County Sheriff Shannan Moon said during a Wednesday \u003ca href=\"https://fb.watch/Fnjpz8dZTL/\">press conference\u003c/a> that rescuers had to ski in two miles to locate the surviving members of the group during “extreme conditions.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, the avalanche area, which was the size of a football field, according to Sheriff’s Capt. Rusty Greene has been “reloaded” with snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While that risks reburying the victims, it’s also a major risk to the recovery team, Greene said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The longer that we continue to have people out there and exposed, the higher chance we put our rescuers in danger,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Though Friday’s \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=CAZ072\">forecast \u003c/a>shows the storm subsiding\u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=CAZ072\">,\u003c/a> Sierra Avalanche Center executive director David Reichel said the threat to the Tahoe area remains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12073961\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12073961\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche2.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche2-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche2-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Motorists stuck in the snow are aided by a member of the California Highway Patrol along Interstate 80 during a storm on Thursday, Feb. 19, 2026, near Camp Spaulding in Placer County, California. \u003ccite>(Godofredo A. Vásquez/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Most avalanche accidents actually occur on ‘considerable’ or ‘moderate’ days,” he said, referring to the center’s rating system. “The avalanche danger could decrease, and also still be dangerous.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Reichel said it’s important that anyone considering going into the backcountry check the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/forecasts/avalanche/central-sierra-nevada#/central-sierra-nevada/\">avalanche report\u003c/a> and adjust their plans accordingly.\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Read more: \u003c/strong>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12073690/8-skiers-confirmed-dead-1-still-missing-after-tahoe-avalanche-heres-what-we-know\">\u003cstrong>Learn how to prepare for avalanches and what to do if you’re caught in one.\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\u003cp>“I’m a little bit nervous with this weekend and the potential for blue skies and lots of people, understandably, wanting to enjoy new snow,” he said. “We still need to make good decisions.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Placer County Sheriff Wayne Woo went one step further at Wednesday’s press conference, warning visitors to “avoid the Sierras during this current storm and in the upcoming days,” he said. During Tuesday’s rescue attempt, some emergency responders were pulled away from the search due to other reports of skiers in need.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Avoid mountain travel — it’s treacherous,” he said. “Avoid the backcountry.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/eromero\">\u003cem>Ezra David Romero\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Six women who were killed in this week’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12073690/8-skiers-confirmed-dead-1-still-missing-after-tahoe-avalanche-heres-what-we-know\">avalanche in the Sierra Nevada\u003c/a> were identified as close friends and skilled skiers from the Bay Area, Truckee region and Idaho, according to a statement Thursday from their families.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We are devastated beyond words,” read the statement, released by a spokesperson for the families. “Our focus right now is supporting our children through this incredible tragedy and honoring the lives of these extraordinary women. They were all mothers, wives and friends, all of whom connected through the love of the outdoors.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The women were identified as Carrie Atkin, Liz Clabaugh, Danielle Keatley, Kate Morse, Caroline Sekar and Kate Vitt.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Authorities have confirmed eight deaths in what has become the deadliest avalanche in modern California history, and a ninth person who is missing is presumed dead. Six others, who were part of a three-day backcountry skiing group staying at the Frog Lake huts near Castle Peak, were rescued amid extreme weather conditions Tuesday night.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Due to hazardous winter storm conditions, it will be at least another day before crews can attempt to recover the bodies of those who were killed, California authorities said Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With around a foot of snow expected to fall in high elevations around Lake Tahoe by Thursday night, and avalanche warning still in effect through Friday morning, the Nevada County Sheriff’s Office said in a statement that the recovery of the avalanche victims is likely “to carry into the weekend.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12073957\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12073957\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1500\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1-160x120.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1-1536x1152.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sierra Avalanche Center forecasters observe a crack in the snow on Feb. 17, 2026. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Nolan Averbuch)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Due to hazardous weather conditions, avalanche victims cannot be safely extracted off the mountain today,” the statement said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Sugar Bowl Academy, an elite ski club in Placer County, \u003ca href=\"https://www.sbacademy.org/media-statements\">confirmed\u003c/a> in a statement that some of its community members are among those who were caught in the avalanche.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The California Division of Occupational Safety and Health \u003ca href=\"https://www.capradio.org/articles/2026/02/18/castle-peak-avalanche-what-we-know-so-far/\">confirmed to CapRadio\u003c/a> on Thursday that it has launched an investigation into Blackbird Mountain Guides, the Truckee-based guiding company involved in the incident. In a statement, Cal/OSHA said that “the agency has up to six months to complete an investigation and issue citations if violations of workplace safety regulations are identified.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Wednesday night, Blackbird said in a statement that the group’s four guides were trained or certified in backcountry skiing by the American Mountain Guides Association and are instructors with the American Institute for Avalanche Research and Education.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“In addition, guides in the field are in communication with senior guides at our base, to discuss conditions and routing based upon conditions,” founder Zeb Blais said. “There is still a lot that we’re learning about what happened.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>KQED has reached out to Blackbird for comment on the Cal/OSHA investigation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nevada County Sheriff Shannan Moon said during a Wednesday \u003ca href=\"https://fb.watch/Fnjpz8dZTL/\">press conference\u003c/a> that rescuers had to ski in two miles to locate the surviving members of the group during “extreme conditions.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, the avalanche area, which was the size of a football field, according to Sheriff’s Capt. Rusty Greene has been “reloaded” with snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While that risks reburying the victims, it’s also a major risk to the recovery team, Greene said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The longer that we continue to have people out there and exposed, the higher chance we put our rescuers in danger,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Though Friday’s \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=CAZ072\">forecast \u003c/a>shows the storm subsiding\u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=CAZ072\">,\u003c/a> Sierra Avalanche Center executive director David Reichel said the threat to the Tahoe area remains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12073961\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12073961\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche2.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche2-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SierraAvalanche2-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Motorists stuck in the snow are aided by a member of the California Highway Patrol along Interstate 80 during a storm on Thursday, Feb. 19, 2026, near Camp Spaulding in Placer County, California. \u003ccite>(Godofredo A. Vásquez/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Most avalanche accidents actually occur on ‘considerable’ or ‘moderate’ days,” he said, referring to the center’s rating system. “The avalanche danger could decrease, and also still be dangerous.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Reichel said it’s important that anyone considering going into the backcountry check the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/forecasts/avalanche/central-sierra-nevada#/central-sierra-nevada/\">avalanche report\u003c/a> and adjust their plans accordingly.\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Read more: \u003c/strong>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12073690/8-skiers-confirmed-dead-1-still-missing-after-tahoe-avalanche-heres-what-we-know\">\u003cstrong>Learn how to prepare for avalanches and what to do if you’re caught in one.\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\u003cp>“I’m a little bit nervous with this weekend and the potential for blue skies and lots of people, understandably, wanting to enjoy new snow,” he said. “We still need to make good decisions.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Placer County Sheriff Wayne Woo went one step further at Wednesday’s press conference, warning visitors to “avoid the Sierras during this current storm and in the upcoming days,” he said. During Tuesday’s rescue attempt, some emergency responders were pulled away from the search due to other reports of skiers in need.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Avoid mountain travel — it’s treacherous,” he said. “Avoid the backcountry.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/eromero\">\u003cem>Ezra David Romero\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "8-skiers-confirmed-dead-1-still-missing-after-tahoe-avalanche-heres-what-we-know",
"title": "8 Skiers Confirmed Dead, 1 Still Missing After Tahoe Avalanche. Here’s What We Know",
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"headTitle": "8 Skiers Confirmed Dead, 1 Still Missing After Tahoe Avalanche. Here’s What We Know | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>Eight people were killed, and one is still missing, after an avalanche buried a group of 15 backcountry skiers in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/tahoe\">Tahoe\u003c/a>’s Donner Summit region on Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It is now the deadliest avalanche in California’s modern history, surpassing the 1982 avalanche in Alpine Meadows that killed seven people.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Following a 911 call from the survivors around 11:30 a.m. Tuesday, about 50 people from surrounding search-and-rescue teams responded, Nevada County Sheriff Shannan Moon said at a press conference Wednesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Six of the skiers, who were part of a three-day backcountry skiing group staying at the Frog Lake huts near Castle Peak, were rescued amid extreme weather conditions Tuesday night, Moon said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>First responders used snowcats to get 2 miles from the site of the avalanche before skiing in to rescue survivors, who were trying to shelter amid the storm with the equipment they had on hand. Two were taken to a hospital with non-life-threatening injuries, and one has been released.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to: \u003ca href=\"#Whattodoifyourecaughtinanavalanche\">What to do if you’re caught in an avalanche\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>“Due to extreme weather conditions, it took several hours for rescue personnel to safely reach the skiers and transport them to safety, where they were medically evaluated by Truckee Fire,” a sheriff’s spokesperson wrote.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Three people were immediately identified as dead on the scene.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The search for the remaining missing person and recovery for the eight deceased are ongoing Wednesday, pending weather conditions, Moon said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12073788\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1980px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12073788 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/AP26049704726526.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1980\" height=\"1485\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/AP26049704726526.jpg 1980w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/AP26049704726526-160x120.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/AP26049704726526-1536x1152.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1980px) 100vw, 1980px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nevada County Sheriff Shannan Moon updates media on rescue efforts following an avalanche at a news conference in Nevada City, California, on Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2026. \u003ccite>(Tran Nguyen via AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“It’s not a resource issue as we speak,” Moon said. “It is a weather condition and safety condition for our response teams.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Initial reports said 16 people went on the trip, but a statement from \u003ca href=\"https://blackbirdguides.com/pages/live-incident-updates\">Blackbird Mountain Guides\u003c/a>, the guiding company involved in the incident, confirmed the group was actually 15 — comprising 11 clients and four guides. Among the survivors, one is a guide and five are clients. All had emergency beacons, and rescuers were communicating with some survivors via text message, according to first responders.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nine women and six men were on the trip, with five women and one man among the survivors. Their identities have not been released, but Placer County Sheriff Wayne Woo said one of those who died is the spouse of a member of the Tahoe Nordic Search and Rescue Team, a volunteer team that responded to the incident.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This has not only been challenging for our community, it’s been a challenging rescue,” Woo said. “It’s also been challenging emotionally for our team and our organization.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11940130\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11940130\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/02/GettyImages-157677589.jpg\" alt=\"A creek running through a forest where trees are covered in snow.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1388\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/02/GettyImages-157677589.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/02/GettyImages-157677589-800x578.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/02/GettyImages-157677589-1020x737.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/02/GettyImages-157677589-160x116.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/02/GettyImages-157677589-1536x1110.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Fresh Winter Snow near where the Donner Party saga unfolded. \u003ccite>(Ron and Patty Thomas/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12073593/heavy-rain-and-snow-shut-down-roads-across-bay-area-and-sierra-nevada\">A major storm hit the Lake Tahoe region this week\u003c/a>, producing high avalanche danger. While crews continue their search, the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/forecasts/avalanche#/all\">Sierra Avalanche Center\u003c/a> issued an avalanche warning starting Tuesday morning that expires on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The warning notes high avalanche danger — the fourth level on a five-point scale — and says travel in or around backcountry avalanche terrain is not recommended.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Rapidly accumulating snowfall, weak layers in the existing snowpack, and gale-force winds that blow and drift snow have created dangerous avalanche conditions in the mountains,” the warning reads. “Natural avalanches are likely, and human-triggered avalanches large enough to bury or injure people are very likely.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wendy Antibus, education manager at the Sierra Avalanche Center, said the dry conditions all January allowed weak layers to form at the surface of existing snow, creating a slippery surface that’s prime for avalanches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then this week’s sheer volume of snowfall, with more than an inch falling per hour for the past two days, piled on top, said Brian Brong, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Reno office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As the slope gets steeper and steeper, that snow doesn’t tend to want to stick — it wants to kind of slide down the hill, so that’s where we get the avalanche threat,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And with temperatures in the single digits on the mountaintops, that produces light, fluffy snow that can get blown around easily — even a 30 mph wind can create whiteout conditions, he said. The lighter snow leads to more snow drifts, piling up on one side of a mountain and creating a steeper-than-normal slope, prime for avalanche risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12073703\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12073703 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A vehicle is buried in snow during a storm on Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2026, in Truckee, California. \u003ccite>(Brooke Hess-Homeier/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>This slide was around a football field in length, said Chris Feutrier, forest supervisor of the Tahoe National Forest.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It resulted when a persistent weak layer had a large load of snow over the top of it,” he said at the press conference. “That persistent weak layer is still there and has reloaded with another three feet of snow. So the hazard remains high.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The slide occurred just one mile away from \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfgate.com/renotahoe/article/avalanche-kills-snowmobiler-near-lake-tahoe-21279131.php\">another in January\u003c/a>, which killed a person snowmobiling in the backcountry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Richard Bothwell, chief avalanche educator for the Bay Area-based Outdoor Adventure Club, warned that people often have trouble assessing risk in the backcountry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We just have to be really, really meticulous about the terrain that we choose to travel on,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At Wednesday’s press conference, Woo warned that travel in the Sierra Nevada is not safe right now. “Please avoid the Sierras during this current storm and in the upcoming days,” he said. “Avoid mountain travel — it’s treacherous. Avoid the backcountry.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"Whattodoifyourecaughtinanavalanche\">\u003c/a>What to do if you’re caught in an avalanche\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If you’re planning on heading up to the mountains this winter, keep reading for what to know about avalanches — why they happen, how to prepare for the worst, and what to do if you’re caught in an avalanche yourself.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How to be prepared for avalanches\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If you’re venturing into the backcountry — which means beyond the boundaries of a ski resort — then you need to take \u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.org/avalanche-courses/\">an avalanche safety course\u003c/a>. This will give you far more detail in understanding avalanche conditions and rescue protocols.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you’re planning to stay primarily in a resort or mountain park, then you should still know the basics — many of which you can learn through the National Avalanche Center’s \u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.org/avalanche-education/\">free course videos and educational materials on avalanches\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12073713\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12073713 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP3.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP3-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP3-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Snow covers a street sign on Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2026, in Truckee, California. \u003ccite>(Brooke Hess-Homeier/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The most important rule is not to venture into closed areas of the resort and not to “duck” under out-of-bounds ropes. Pay attention to any alerts or warnings.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/sac-daily-flow-user-guide\">The Sierra Avalanche Center has also created a daily flow guide\u003c/a> for a simple way to understand the best practices when skiing and snowboarding in the Sierra. This includes:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Skiing with other people and knowing their abilities in advance\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Knowing the conditions and avalanche risk before you go\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Having a safety and rescue plan and bringing avalanche equipment\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2>How do I know what the avalanche conditions are?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Check, check, check the forecasts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Sierra Avalanche Center, along with a number of avalanche experts and offices around the West, puts out \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/forecasts/#/central-sierra-nevada\">daily forecasts with predicted avalanche dangers\u003c/a> and conditions to watch out for. They also put out \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/state-of-the-snowpack/current\">weekly overall updates on the state of the snowpack\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>However, \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/how-to-read-avalanche-advisory\">reading an avalanche advisory\u003c/a> in detail does require some background knowledge. If you plan to stay within the resorts, then the “bottom line” information (which is listed at the top) supplied in the advisory forecasts should give you the main takeaways.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A good rule is to pay attention to the warning signs that an avalanche could happen when you’re out in the snow. According to \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/sac-daily-flow-user-guide\">the Sierra Avalanche Center’s daily flow guide\u003c/a>, these include:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Recent avalanche activity in the area\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Signs of instability in the snowpack\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Recent “loading” (i.e., storms)\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Rapid warming or weather changes\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Terrain with a slope greater than 30 degrees\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Terrain or hillsides that match the advisory warnings\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2>How do avalanches happen?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>There are \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/avalanche-problems\">different kinds of avalanches\u003c/a> that come with different kinds of warning signs and frequency. The two main kinds are dry-loose or sluff avalanches — which are made up of soft snow that collects as it moves — and slab avalanches, which occur when a cohesive layer of snow breaks and moves as a slab downhill.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/quest/19193/the-science-of-snow\">The science of how snow layers form and break\u003c/a> is complicated, but in essence, avalanches occur when there’s a surface bed of snow at the bottom, with a weaker layer of snow on top — and then new snow on top of that weaker layer.[aside postID=news_12073593 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/DonnerPassGetty.jpg']This creates \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/anticipate-conditions\">conditions\u003c/a> where the weaker layer can collapse, and the mass of snow on top can fracture and slide. While this can happen naturally, human activity almost always triggers avalanches, causing the weaker layer to collapse.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Things that can affect the likelihood of an avalanche occurring are, \u003ca href=\"https://www.fs.usda.gov/Internet/FSE_DOCUMENTS/stelprdb5444915.pdf\">according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (PDF):\u003c/a> The instability of the snowpack, the recent weather and snowfall, and the terrain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Avalanches are most likely to occur immediately after a large storm when there has been significant snowfall. Heavy wind that quickly blows in large amounts of snow on top of an existing layer can also cause dangerous conditions. Slight melting and refreezing each night can stabilize the snowpack — but extended periods of out-of-the-ordinary weather changes can cause instability. Whether or not a slope faces the sun, and the steepness of that slope, can affect the probability of an avalanche.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Within resorts, ski patrols monitor these conditions and conduct avalanche controls — deliberately setting off small avalanches to keep the potential for larger ones from building up. In the backcountry, it’s important to be aware of all these changing variables since you won’t have ski patrols around to do it for you.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What is avalanche equipment?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>In the backcountry, avalanche equipment includes:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>An avalanche beacon and receiver\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>A probe to stick in the ground to locate someone trapped\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>A shovel to dig someone out\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>Many jackets and ski pants also now come with \u003ca href=\"https://recco.com/technology/\">a RECCO reflector\u003c/a> built in. This small transmitter looks like a label or tag on your coat, pants, helmet or backpack, which transmits to receivers operated by patrols or rescue crews. This is not considered a replacement for an avalanche beacon, but it can augment rescue efforts and is an easy add-on to have inbounds at a resort.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What should I do if I get caught in an avalanche?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>First and foremost, try to get off the slab or out of the oncoming avalanche track. This is, of course, not always easy to accomplish since avalanches can travel between 60 mph and 80 mph.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Sierra Avalanche Center \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/FAQ\">recommends two techniques for escaping the path of an avalanche\u003c/a>:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>If you’re skiing or snowboarding, try to head straight downhill to build up some speed, and then angle off to the side to get off the slab.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>If you’re snowmobiling, use the momentum and power to your advantage and continue in the direction you’re going to try to get out of dangerous snow.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12073709\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1998px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12073709\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1998\" height=\"1332\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP2.jpg 1998w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP2-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP2-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1998px) 100vw, 1998px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Trucks are lined up along Interstate 80 during a storm on Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2026, in Truckee, California. \u003ccite>(Brooke Hess-Homeier/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The reason people die in avalanches is that carbon dioxide in the area around their mouth, where they are buried, builds up. If they’re rescued within the first 15 minutes, there is a nearly 93% survival rate, according to stats published by \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/avalanche-victim-resuscitation\">the American Avalanche Association\u003c/a> — but it drops drastically with every additional minute. This is why it’s crucial to take steps to increase the likelihood that you can be found and rescued quickly.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>If you get caught in an avalanche and can’t escape, you can try to grab onto a tree. But you’ll have to do this very quickly because avalanches pick up speed within seconds — and getting carried at speed into a tree or boulder is a common source of fatal trauma in an avalanche.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>If you can’t escape or grab onto a tree, then you need to “swim.” Because people are likely to sink in the avalanche debris, it’s important to swim hard to try and keep yourself near the surface.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Clear a space for air in front of your mouth as the avalanche slows down just before it comes to rest. This will give you slightly longer before the carbon dioxide builds up.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Push a hand up (or your best guess of what “up” is) because any clues will help people find you faster.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Remember: All of these things must be done while the debris and snow are still moving — because once the snow stops, it will instantly be too thick and heavy for you to move.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>If you see someone caught in an avalanche, do not try to ski or snowmobile over to them while it is occurring — no matter how strong your instinct is to reach them to help out. Instead, you are likely to get caught in the avalanche yourself. You should try to note their starting position and where they end up, and then immediately start searching for them after the avalanche stops.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/mbolanos\">\u003cem>Madi Bolaños\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Six survivors have been rescued after an avalanche in the backcountry near Donner Summit, while search and recovery operations continue amid dangerous conditions.",
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"title": "8 Skiers Confirmed Dead, 1 Still Missing After Tahoe Avalanche. Here’s What We Know | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Eight people were killed, and one is still missing, after an avalanche buried a group of 15 backcountry skiers in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/tahoe\">Tahoe\u003c/a>’s Donner Summit region on Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It is now the deadliest avalanche in California’s modern history, surpassing the 1982 avalanche in Alpine Meadows that killed seven people.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Following a 911 call from the survivors around 11:30 a.m. Tuesday, about 50 people from surrounding search-and-rescue teams responded, Nevada County Sheriff Shannan Moon said at a press conference Wednesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Six of the skiers, who were part of a three-day backcountry skiing group staying at the Frog Lake huts near Castle Peak, were rescued amid extreme weather conditions Tuesday night, Moon said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>First responders used snowcats to get 2 miles from the site of the avalanche before skiing in to rescue survivors, who were trying to shelter amid the storm with the equipment they had on hand. Two were taken to a hospital with non-life-threatening injuries, and one has been released.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to: \u003ca href=\"#Whattodoifyourecaughtinanavalanche\">What to do if you’re caught in an avalanche\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>“Due to extreme weather conditions, it took several hours for rescue personnel to safely reach the skiers and transport them to safety, where they were medically evaluated by Truckee Fire,” a sheriff’s spokesperson wrote.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Three people were immediately identified as dead on the scene.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The search for the remaining missing person and recovery for the eight deceased are ongoing Wednesday, pending weather conditions, Moon said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12073788\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1980px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12073788 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/AP26049704726526.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1980\" height=\"1485\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/AP26049704726526.jpg 1980w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/AP26049704726526-160x120.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/AP26049704726526-1536x1152.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1980px) 100vw, 1980px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nevada County Sheriff Shannan Moon updates media on rescue efforts following an avalanche at a news conference in Nevada City, California, on Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2026. \u003ccite>(Tran Nguyen via AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“It’s not a resource issue as we speak,” Moon said. “It is a weather condition and safety condition for our response teams.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Initial reports said 16 people went on the trip, but a statement from \u003ca href=\"https://blackbirdguides.com/pages/live-incident-updates\">Blackbird Mountain Guides\u003c/a>, the guiding company involved in the incident, confirmed the group was actually 15 — comprising 11 clients and four guides. Among the survivors, one is a guide and five are clients. All had emergency beacons, and rescuers were communicating with some survivors via text message, according to first responders.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nine women and six men were on the trip, with five women and one man among the survivors. Their identities have not been released, but Placer County Sheriff Wayne Woo said one of those who died is the spouse of a member of the Tahoe Nordic Search and Rescue Team, a volunteer team that responded to the incident.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This has not only been challenging for our community, it’s been a challenging rescue,” Woo said. “It’s also been challenging emotionally for our team and our organization.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11940130\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11940130\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/02/GettyImages-157677589.jpg\" alt=\"A creek running through a forest where trees are covered in snow.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1388\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/02/GettyImages-157677589.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/02/GettyImages-157677589-800x578.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/02/GettyImages-157677589-1020x737.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/02/GettyImages-157677589-160x116.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/02/GettyImages-157677589-1536x1110.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Fresh Winter Snow near where the Donner Party saga unfolded. \u003ccite>(Ron and Patty Thomas/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12073593/heavy-rain-and-snow-shut-down-roads-across-bay-area-and-sierra-nevada\">A major storm hit the Lake Tahoe region this week\u003c/a>, producing high avalanche danger. While crews continue their search, the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/forecasts/avalanche#/all\">Sierra Avalanche Center\u003c/a> issued an avalanche warning starting Tuesday morning that expires on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The warning notes high avalanche danger — the fourth level on a five-point scale — and says travel in or around backcountry avalanche terrain is not recommended.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Rapidly accumulating snowfall, weak layers in the existing snowpack, and gale-force winds that blow and drift snow have created dangerous avalanche conditions in the mountains,” the warning reads. “Natural avalanches are likely, and human-triggered avalanches large enough to bury or injure people are very likely.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wendy Antibus, education manager at the Sierra Avalanche Center, said the dry conditions all January allowed weak layers to form at the surface of existing snow, creating a slippery surface that’s prime for avalanches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then this week’s sheer volume of snowfall, with more than an inch falling per hour for the past two days, piled on top, said Brian Brong, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Reno office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As the slope gets steeper and steeper, that snow doesn’t tend to want to stick — it wants to kind of slide down the hill, so that’s where we get the avalanche threat,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And with temperatures in the single digits on the mountaintops, that produces light, fluffy snow that can get blown around easily — even a 30 mph wind can create whiteout conditions, he said. The lighter snow leads to more snow drifts, piling up on one side of a mountain and creating a steeper-than-normal slope, prime for avalanche risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12073703\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12073703 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A vehicle is buried in snow during a storm on Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2026, in Truckee, California. \u003ccite>(Brooke Hess-Homeier/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>This slide was around a football field in length, said Chris Feutrier, forest supervisor of the Tahoe National Forest.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It resulted when a persistent weak layer had a large load of snow over the top of it,” he said at the press conference. “That persistent weak layer is still there and has reloaded with another three feet of snow. So the hazard remains high.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The slide occurred just one mile away from \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfgate.com/renotahoe/article/avalanche-kills-snowmobiler-near-lake-tahoe-21279131.php\">another in January\u003c/a>, which killed a person snowmobiling in the backcountry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Richard Bothwell, chief avalanche educator for the Bay Area-based Outdoor Adventure Club, warned that people often have trouble assessing risk in the backcountry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We just have to be really, really meticulous about the terrain that we choose to travel on,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At Wednesday’s press conference, Woo warned that travel in the Sierra Nevada is not safe right now. “Please avoid the Sierras during this current storm and in the upcoming days,” he said. “Avoid mountain travel — it’s treacherous. Avoid the backcountry.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"Whattodoifyourecaughtinanavalanche\">\u003c/a>What to do if you’re caught in an avalanche\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If you’re planning on heading up to the mountains this winter, keep reading for what to know about avalanches — why they happen, how to prepare for the worst, and what to do if you’re caught in an avalanche yourself.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How to be prepared for avalanches\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If you’re venturing into the backcountry — which means beyond the boundaries of a ski resort — then you need to take \u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.org/avalanche-courses/\">an avalanche safety course\u003c/a>. This will give you far more detail in understanding avalanche conditions and rescue protocols.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you’re planning to stay primarily in a resort or mountain park, then you should still know the basics — many of which you can learn through the National Avalanche Center’s \u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.org/avalanche-education/\">free course videos and educational materials on avalanches\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12073713\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12073713 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP3.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP3-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP3-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Snow covers a street sign on Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2026, in Truckee, California. \u003ccite>(Brooke Hess-Homeier/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The most important rule is not to venture into closed areas of the resort and not to “duck” under out-of-bounds ropes. Pay attention to any alerts or warnings.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/sac-daily-flow-user-guide\">The Sierra Avalanche Center has also created a daily flow guide\u003c/a> for a simple way to understand the best practices when skiing and snowboarding in the Sierra. This includes:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Skiing with other people and knowing their abilities in advance\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Knowing the conditions and avalanche risk before you go\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Having a safety and rescue plan and bringing avalanche equipment\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2>How do I know what the avalanche conditions are?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Check, check, check the forecasts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Sierra Avalanche Center, along with a number of avalanche experts and offices around the West, puts out \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/forecasts/#/central-sierra-nevada\">daily forecasts with predicted avalanche dangers\u003c/a> and conditions to watch out for. They also put out \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/state-of-the-snowpack/current\">weekly overall updates on the state of the snowpack\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>However, \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/how-to-read-avalanche-advisory\">reading an avalanche advisory\u003c/a> in detail does require some background knowledge. If you plan to stay within the resorts, then the “bottom line” information (which is listed at the top) supplied in the advisory forecasts should give you the main takeaways.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A good rule is to pay attention to the warning signs that an avalanche could happen when you’re out in the snow. According to \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/sac-daily-flow-user-guide\">the Sierra Avalanche Center’s daily flow guide\u003c/a>, these include:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Recent avalanche activity in the area\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Signs of instability in the snowpack\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Recent “loading” (i.e., storms)\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Rapid warming or weather changes\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Terrain with a slope greater than 30 degrees\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Terrain or hillsides that match the advisory warnings\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2>How do avalanches happen?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>There are \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/avalanche-problems\">different kinds of avalanches\u003c/a> that come with different kinds of warning signs and frequency. The two main kinds are dry-loose or sluff avalanches — which are made up of soft snow that collects as it moves — and slab avalanches, which occur when a cohesive layer of snow breaks and moves as a slab downhill.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/quest/19193/the-science-of-snow\">The science of how snow layers form and break\u003c/a> is complicated, but in essence, avalanches occur when there’s a surface bed of snow at the bottom, with a weaker layer of snow on top — and then new snow on top of that weaker layer.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>This creates \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/anticipate-conditions\">conditions\u003c/a> where the weaker layer can collapse, and the mass of snow on top can fracture and slide. While this can happen naturally, human activity almost always triggers avalanches, causing the weaker layer to collapse.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Things that can affect the likelihood of an avalanche occurring are, \u003ca href=\"https://www.fs.usda.gov/Internet/FSE_DOCUMENTS/stelprdb5444915.pdf\">according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (PDF):\u003c/a> The instability of the snowpack, the recent weather and snowfall, and the terrain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Avalanches are most likely to occur immediately after a large storm when there has been significant snowfall. Heavy wind that quickly blows in large amounts of snow on top of an existing layer can also cause dangerous conditions. Slight melting and refreezing each night can stabilize the snowpack — but extended periods of out-of-the-ordinary weather changes can cause instability. Whether or not a slope faces the sun, and the steepness of that slope, can affect the probability of an avalanche.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Within resorts, ski patrols monitor these conditions and conduct avalanche controls — deliberately setting off small avalanches to keep the potential for larger ones from building up. In the backcountry, it’s important to be aware of all these changing variables since you won’t have ski patrols around to do it for you.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What is avalanche equipment?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>In the backcountry, avalanche equipment includes:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>An avalanche beacon and receiver\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>A probe to stick in the ground to locate someone trapped\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>A shovel to dig someone out\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>Many jackets and ski pants also now come with \u003ca href=\"https://recco.com/technology/\">a RECCO reflector\u003c/a> built in. This small transmitter looks like a label or tag on your coat, pants, helmet or backpack, which transmits to receivers operated by patrols or rescue crews. This is not considered a replacement for an avalanche beacon, but it can augment rescue efforts and is an easy add-on to have inbounds at a resort.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What should I do if I get caught in an avalanche?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>First and foremost, try to get off the slab or out of the oncoming avalanche track. This is, of course, not always easy to accomplish since avalanches can travel between 60 mph and 80 mph.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Sierra Avalanche Center \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/FAQ\">recommends two techniques for escaping the path of an avalanche\u003c/a>:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>If you’re skiing or snowboarding, try to head straight downhill to build up some speed, and then angle off to the side to get off the slab.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>If you’re snowmobiling, use the momentum and power to your advantage and continue in the direction you’re going to try to get out of dangerous snow.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12073709\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1998px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12073709\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1998\" height=\"1332\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP2.jpg 1998w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP2-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP2-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1998px) 100vw, 1998px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Trucks are lined up along Interstate 80 during a storm on Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2026, in Truckee, California. \u003ccite>(Brooke Hess-Homeier/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The reason people die in avalanches is that carbon dioxide in the area around their mouth, where they are buried, builds up. If they’re rescued within the first 15 minutes, there is a nearly 93% survival rate, according to stats published by \u003ca href=\"https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/avalanche-victim-resuscitation\">the American Avalanche Association\u003c/a> — but it drops drastically with every additional minute. This is why it’s crucial to take steps to increase the likelihood that you can be found and rescued quickly.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>If you get caught in an avalanche and can’t escape, you can try to grab onto a tree. But you’ll have to do this very quickly because avalanches pick up speed within seconds — and getting carried at speed into a tree or boulder is a common source of fatal trauma in an avalanche.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>If you can’t escape or grab onto a tree, then you need to “swim.” Because people are likely to sink in the avalanche debris, it’s important to swim hard to try and keep yourself near the surface.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Clear a space for air in front of your mouth as the avalanche slows down just before it comes to rest. This will give you slightly longer before the carbon dioxide builds up.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Push a hand up (or your best guess of what “up” is) because any clues will help people find you faster.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Remember: All of these things must be done while the debris and snow are still moving — because once the snow stops, it will instantly be too thick and heavy for you to move.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>If you see someone caught in an avalanche, do not try to ski or snowmobile over to them while it is occurring — no matter how strong your instinct is to reach them to help out. Instead, you are likely to get caught in the avalanche yourself. You should try to note their starting position and where they end up, and then immediately start searching for them after the avalanche stops.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/mbolanos\">\u003cem>Madi Bolaños\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"info": "What kind of no sabo word is Hyphenación? For us, it’s about living within a hyphenation. Like being a third-gen Mexican-American from the Texas border now living that Bay Area Chicano life. Like Xorje! Each week we bring together a couple of hyphenated Latinos to talk all about personal life choices: family, careers, relationships, belonging … everything is on the table. ",
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"info": "The Political Mind of Jerry Brown brings listeners the wisdom of the former Governor, Mayor, and presidential candidate. Scott Shafer interviewed Brown for more than 40 hours, covering the former governor's life and half-century in the political game – and Brown has some lessons he'd like to share. ",
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"info": "The MindShift podcast explores the innovations in education that are shaping how kids learn. Hosts Ki Sung and Katrina Schwartz introduce listeners to educators, researchers, parents and students who are developing effective ways to improve how kids learn. We cover topics like how fed-up administrators are developing surprising tactics to deal with classroom disruptions; how listening to podcasts are helping kids develop reading skills; the consequences of overparenting; and why interdisciplinary learning can engage students on all ends of the traditional achievement spectrum. This podcast is part of the MindShift education site, a division of KQED News. KQED is an NPR/PBS member station based in San Francisco. You can also visit the MindShift website for episodes and supplemental blog posts or tweet us \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/MindShiftKQED\">@MindShiftKQED\u003c/a> or visit us at \u003ca href=\"/mindshift\">MindShift.KQED.org\u003c/a>",
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"info": "For decades, the process for how police police themselves has been inconsistent – if not opaque. In some states, like California, these proceedings were completely hidden. After a new police transparency law unsealed scores of internal affairs files, our reporters set out to examine these cases and the shadow world of police discipline. On Our Watch brings listeners into the rooms where officers are questioned and witnesses are interrogated to find out who this system is really protecting. Is it the officers, or the public they've sworn to serve?",
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"tagline": "Politics from a personal perspective",
"info": "Political Breakdown is a new series that explores the political intersection of California and the nation. Each week hosts Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos are joined with a new special guest to unpack politics -- with personality — and offer an insider’s glimpse at how politics happens.",
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"possible": {
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"title": "Possible",
"info": "Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. Together in Possible, Hoffman and Finger lead enlightening discussions about building a brighter collective future. The show features interviews with visionary guests like Trevor Noah, Sam Altman and Janette Sadik-Khan. Possible paints an optimistic portrait of the world we can create through science, policy, business, art and our shared humanity. It asks: What if everything goes right for once? How can we get there? Each episode also includes a short fiction story generated by advanced AI GPT-4, serving as a thought-provoking springboard to speculate how humanity could leverage technology for good.",
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"radiolab": {
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},
"rightnowish": {
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"title": "Rightnowish",
"tagline": "Art is where you find it",
"info": "Rightnowish digs into life in the Bay Area right now… ish. Journalist Pendarvis Harshaw takes us to galleries painted on the sides of liquor stores in West Oakland. We'll dance in warehouses in the Bayview, make smoothies with kids in South Berkeley, and listen to classical music in a 1984 Cutlass Supreme in Richmond. Every week, Pen talks to movers and shakers about how the Bay Area shapes what they create, and how they shape the place we call home.",
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},
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"tagline": "Real stories with killer beats",
"info": "The Snap Judgment radio show and podcast mixes real stories with killer beats to produce cinematic, dramatic radio. Snap's musical brand of storytelling dares listeners to see the world through the eyes of another. This is storytelling... with a BEAT!! Snap first aired on public radio stations nationwide in July 2010. Today, Snap Judgment airs on over 450 public radio stations and is brought to the airwaves by KQED & PRX.",
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"soldout": {
"id": "soldout",
"title": "SOLD OUT: Rethinking Housing in America",
"tagline": "A new future for housing",
"info": "Sold Out: Rethinking Housing in America",
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