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"content": "\u003cp>The California recall election was a blowout win for Gov. Gavin Newsom that reinforced the state’s political divisions: The Democratic governor won big support in coastal areas and urban centers, while the rural north and agricultural inland, with far fewer voters, largely wanted him gone.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s almost like two states,” Menlo College political scientist Melissa Michelson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Prof. Melissa Michelson, Menlo College\"]‘It’s almost like two states.’[/pullquote]Though California is a liberal stronghold where Democrats hold every statewide office and have two-thirds majorities in the Legislature, it is also home to deeply conservative areas. Those residents have long felt alienated from Sacramento, where Democrats have been in full control for more than a decade.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A conservative movement in far Northern California has for years sought to break away and create its own state to better reflect the area’s political sensitivities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Republicans still are able to win some local elections, the party hasn’t captured a statewide race since 2006. Last year, then-President Donald Trump got 6 million votes in California in 2020 — more than any Republican presidential candidate before him — but still lost in a landslide to Democrat Joe Biden, who won nearly 64% of the votes.\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003cbr>\nRepublicans hold just 11 of the state’s 53 U.S. House seats, but their strongholds don’t have nearly enough votes to overcome Los Angeles, the San Francisco Bay Area and other Democratic areas in statewide elections. And counties such as San Diego and especially Orange, respectively the second- and third-most populated, used to be mainly Republican but no longer are.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With about 85% of the recall ballots counted, those opposed to retiring Newsom early had 64%. In San Diego, “no” on the recall was winning by 17 percentage points and in Orange it was up by 4 points.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Fresno, the 10th-most populated county, was the largest where the recall was leading. But it was only ahead by 1 percentage point.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11888358\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51419_010_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-1020x680.jpg\"]Jeffrey Cummins, a professor of political science at California State University, Fresno, said the results reinforce that Newsom’s partisan critics represent “a pretty small share of the population.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They are very vocal about that disdain for Sacramento and state government in particular, and the recall just gave them … a national platform to voice their opposition to the direction the state is headed,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>GOP organizers of the recall failed to broaden their appeal and even struggled to turn out Republicans in their core areas. For example, Kern County — most of which is represented in Congress by House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy — will have less than 50% turnout when all the votes are counted. Statewide turnout is projected at about 55%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Los Angeles County — with 10 million people, the largest county in the nation — is the state’s Democratic nucleus, where statewide elections can be won or lost depending on turnout. With 3 million Democrats, it accounts for nearly one-third of the party’s statewide total.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We were in the LA media market more than any other. And that was intentional,” Newsom campaign spokesperson Nathan Click said. It apparently worked — Newsom got nearly 71% support there.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s long been true that Democrats tend to dominate in urban areas across the U.S., with Republicans more prevalent in rural and farming areas. But deep, geographic polarization wasn’t always a marker in California politics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Nathan Click, Spokesperson for Newsom campaign\"]‘We were in the LA media market more than any other. And that was intentional.’[/pullquote]There’s no single cause of the current divide. But causes include the early 1990s recession and the closing of military bases and the collapse of the defense industry, which prompted many white, working-class residents to leave the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California’s economy became more focused on a rising Silicon Valley and the entertainment industry, both liberal bastions. At the same time, the state grew more diverse as millions of Latino and Asian people moved in. Over time, the coastal areas where most of the population lives grew more diverse and Democratic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Eric McGhee, a senior fellow at the nonpartisan Public Policy Institute of California, said a decade ago the geographic divide largely was defined by the San Francisco and Los Angeles areas, but San Diego, Orange and San Bernardino counties, with a combined population of 8.5 million people, all have become more diverse and Democratic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Since his first days in office, Newsom has promised to not ignore the Central Valley and has made it a point to travel there on a regular basis. He backs the controversial high-speed rail project under construction in the region and has vowed to provide more drinking water to areas that lack it.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label ='Related Coverage' tag='recall-election']But his administration has also alienated farmers, the backbone of the region’s economy, with restrictions on water usage amid a drought.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom on Wednesday pledged to respect and work hard on behalf of those who supported him and those who didn’t.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Those who voted ‘yes,’ they matter. I care. And I want them to know I’m going to do my best to have their backs as well,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the reality is that Newsom can’t make everyone happy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Newsom is governing a very large and very diverse state, and it’s hard to be attentive to the very liberal coasts and the more moderate or even conservative [areas],” said Jessica Trounstine, a political science professor at the University of California, Merced, in the state’s Central Valley.\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Though California is a liberal stronghold where Democrats hold every statewide office and have two-thirds majorities in the Legislature, it is also home to deeply conservative areas. Those residents have long felt alienated from Sacramento, where Democrats have been in full control for more than a decade.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A conservative movement in far Northern California has for years sought to break away and create its own state to better reflect the area’s political sensitivities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Republicans still are able to win some local elections, the party hasn’t captured a statewide race since 2006. Last year, then-President Donald Trump got 6 million votes in California in 2020 — more than any Republican presidential candidate before him — but still lost in a landslide to Democrat Joe Biden, who won nearly 64% of the votes.\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Jeffrey Cummins, a professor of political science at California State University, Fresno, said the results reinforce that Newsom’s partisan critics represent “a pretty small share of the population.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They are very vocal about that disdain for Sacramento and state government in particular, and the recall just gave them … a national platform to voice their opposition to the direction the state is headed,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>GOP organizers of the recall failed to broaden their appeal and even struggled to turn out Republicans in their core areas. For example, Kern County — most of which is represented in Congress by House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy — will have less than 50% turnout when all the votes are counted. Statewide turnout is projected at about 55%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Los Angeles County — with 10 million people, the largest county in the nation — is the state’s Democratic nucleus, where statewide elections can be won or lost depending on turnout. With 3 million Democrats, it accounts for nearly one-third of the party’s statewide total.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We were in the LA media market more than any other. And that was intentional,” Newsom campaign spokesperson Nathan Click said. It apparently worked — Newsom got nearly 71% support there.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s long been true that Democrats tend to dominate in urban areas across the U.S., with Republicans more prevalent in rural and farming areas. But deep, geographic polarization wasn’t always a marker in California politics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-11888730\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final.png\" alt='Cartoon: A big Governor Gavin Newsom walking over recall election signs and Republican recall candidates as he says, \"but I want to focus on what we said yes to...\"' width=\"1920\" height=\"1382\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final.png 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final-800x576.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final-1020x734.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final-160x115.png 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final-1536x1106.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California voters weighed in with a resounding “no” to the gubernatorial recall on Tuesday, \u003ca href=\"https://bit.ly/fiorerecallno\">handing Gov. Gavin Newsom a lopsided victory\u003c/a> after a months-long campaign to remove him from office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Surprise! No matter what recall proponents would have you believe, it turns out the vast majority of California voters are OK with mask and vaccine mandates, and \u003ca href=\"https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article253231758.html\">actually kinda like having a minimum wage\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With the trouncing the governor just served up to those trying to oust him, Newsom has plenty to celebrate. I just hope he doesn’t choose to do so at the French Laundry.\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Voters weighed in with a resounding \"no\" to the recall on Tuesday, handing Gov. Gavin Newsom a lopsided victory after a months-long campaign to remove him from office. ",
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"title": "Recall That California Is a Very Blue State | KQED",
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"headline": "Recall That California Is a Very Blue State",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-11888730\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final.png\" alt='Cartoon: A big Governor Gavin Newsom walking over recall election signs and Republican recall candidates as he says, \"but I want to focus on what we said yes to...\"' width=\"1920\" height=\"1382\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final.png 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final-800x576.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final-1020x734.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final-160x115.png 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/sayingyes_091521_final-1536x1106.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California voters weighed in with a resounding “no” to the gubernatorial recall on Tuesday, \u003ca href=\"https://bit.ly/fiorerecallno\">handing Gov. Gavin Newsom a lopsided victory\u003c/a> after a months-long campaign to remove him from office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Surprise! No matter what recall proponents would have you believe, it turns out the vast majority of California voters are OK with mask and vaccine mandates, and \u003ca href=\"https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article253231758.html\">actually kinda like having a minimum wage\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With the trouncing the governor just served up to those trying to oust him, Newsom has plenty to celebrate. I just hope he doesn’t choose to do so at the French Laundry.\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "heres-three-different-ways-the-recall-election-could-go",
"title": "Here's Three Different Ways the Recall Election Could Go",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003cem>Don’t have time to read the whole post? Jump to a specific recall election scenario:\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#wins\">Newsom defeats the election by a lot.\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#little\">Newsom survives — but by a small margin.\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#loses\">Newsom is removed from office.\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>For nearly 25 years, Gov. Gavin Newsom rose through the ranks of California politics without ever losing an election, buoyed by connections to powerful San Francisco Democrats and a willingness to take risks — like sanctioning marriage equality — that put him at the vanguard of his party.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then came the coronavirus pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The governor’s attention-grabbing style — implementing the nation’s first stay-at-home order in March 2020, then dining at an exclusive wine country restaurant as he told people to stay home to avoid a winter surge — rubbed enough Californians the wrong way that 1.7 million voters launched the second gubernatorial recall in state history.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To fight back, the Democratic leader of one of the nation’s bluest states returned to what helped him succeed in the early days: connections to fellow Democrats and well-calculated policy risks — this time, to fight COVID-19.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At a campaign rally in Long Beach on Monday night, President Joe Biden heaped praise on Newsom’s management of the pandemic. Newsom this summer made California the first state in the nation to \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/health/2021/07/california-vaccine-requirements-workers/\">require vaccines for health care workers and state employees\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Gavin Newsom has had the courage to lead, to stand up for science,” Biden said. “He’s been one of the leading governors in the nation protecting people and vaccinating his state.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Echoing Newsom’s campaign message framing the GOP-led recall as an act of “Trumpism,” Biden described the leading Republican candidate — talk radio host \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-candidates-larry-elder/\">Larry Elder\u003c/a> — as “the clone of Donald Trump.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Can you imagine him being governor of this state? You can’t let that happen,” said Biden, who beat Trump in California last year \u003ca href=\"https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/2020-general/sov/18-presidential.pdf\">by 30 points\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888533\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888533 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"President Joe Biden and Gov. Gavin Newsom, waving, smile as they stand stand before an American flag.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1708\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-2048x1366.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-1920x1281.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">President Joe Biden and Gov. Gavin Newsom wave to the crowd as they campaign to keep the governor in office at Long Beach City College on the eve of the last day of the special election to recall the governor on Sept. 13, 2021, in Long Beach. Forty-six candidates, mostly Republicans, ran to overthrow the governor in the recall election a year ahead of the regularly scheduled gubernatorial vote. \u003ccite>( David McNew/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Hosting the president the day before the election is just one sign of how much the power of incumbency has boosted Newsom in this race. With no legal cap on his fundraising against the recall, Newsom \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/05/gavin-newsom-recall-money/\">raised five times as much as all his opponents combined\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom’s team managed to haul $5.5 million from the Democratic Governors Association, $3 million from Netflix CEO Reed Hastings and more than $7.6 million from public employee unions. He ran ads featuring nationally known Democrats including former President Barack Obama and U.S. Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And the governor used the trappings of his office in unusual, attention-grabbing ways. He blasted critics “promoting partisan political power grabs” \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/03/newsom-pandemic-response-voters/\">during a State of the State speech\u003c/a> on the field of Dodger Stadium that served as an unofficial campaign kickoff. He \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/05/gavin-newsom-spending-spree-california-budget/\">used an enormous $76 billion state budget surplus\u003c/a> to address pandemic-induced hardships, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-retirees-stimulus-payments/\">sending $600 stimulus payments to most Californians\u003c/a> — checks that landed just before the election.\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003cbr>\nIn the final days of the campaign, Newsom leaned into COVID even further, contrasting his vaccine and mask requirements with his GOP opponents who say they’ll repeal them — and hammering a message of fear. “What’s at stake in the Sept. 14 recall? It’s a matter of life and death,” \u003ca href=\"https://youtu.be/8DbZC0alxSE\">one Newsom ad says\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Rob Stutzman, Republican consultant\"]‘One of the ironies of this recall is that COVID got him into trouble and COVID is going to … probably help him defeat this thing in a landslide.’[/pullquote]Having persuaded prominent Democrats to stay out of the race to replace him, Newsom finished the campaign betting that the pandemic that fueled populist angst to take him down will also stimulate the support he needs to keep his job.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“One of the ironies of this recall is that COVID got him into trouble and COVID is going to, in the end, probably help him defeat this thing in a landslide,” said GOP consultant Rob Stutzman.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Did Newsom’s strategy work? We’ll find out after polls close tonight at 8 p.m. It may take elections officials a few days to determine the results, depending on how close the race is. Here’s a look at the three possible scenarios:\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888552\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888552 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Gov. Newsom throws a few small lottery balls into the air in front of the Universal Studios globe statue.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1701\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-800x532.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-1020x678.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-160x106.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-1536x1021.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-2048x1361.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-1920x1276.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gov. Gavin Newsom attends a press conference marking the official reopening of the state of California at Universal Studios Hollywood on June 15, 2021, in Universal City. At the press conference, Newsom also selected 10 state residents to receive $1.5 million each as part of the final cash prize drawing in the state’s Vax for the Win program. \u003ccite>(Alberto E. Rodriguez/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>\u003ca id=\"wins\">\u003c/a>Newsom defeats the election by a lot\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Newsom’s effort to win reelection in 2022 kicks off as soon as the recall votes are tallied. If the governor beats back the recall by a double-digit margin — \u003ca href=\"https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/california-recall-polls/?cid=rrpromo\">as recent polls indicate is likely\u003c/a> — he could claim an authority that could empower him in at least two ways.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>First, he could continue governing the final year of this term with the same priorities he’s had all along — for enacting progressive social policy and taking a relatively strict approach to managing the coronavirus pandemic. Second, he could coast toward the 2022 campaign without fear of a credible challenger from his own party.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11888162\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51414_005_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-1020x680.jpg\"]An overwhelming victory also could demonstrate to \u003ca href=\"https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2021/09/the-california-recall-could-be-a-road-map-for-democrats/620020/\">other Democrats on the ballot\u003c/a> next year that leaning into COVID vaccine mandates — and painting GOP resistance to them as a public health danger — is a successful strategy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a great thing when good public policy winds up with good politics,” said Ace Smith, Newsom’s longtime political strategist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Stutzman agreed, saying that a big margin for Newsom would show that voters favor his strict approach on vaccines.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“His team figured out that once a majority of voters were vaccinated, it becomes a popular idea to put forward policies that are in the best interest of those who are vaccinated,” said Stutzman, who worked on Arnold Schwarzenegger’s successful campaign in the 2003 recall.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They figured it out before the White House did.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>President Biden \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/lifestyle-joe-biden-business-health-travel-a1670ffa08f1f2eab42c675d99f1d9ad\">required federal government employees to get vaccinated\u003c/a> days after Newsom’s first announcement. He then followed it up last week with a \u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/09/us/politics/biden-vaccine-federal-workers.html\">broader mandate for employees at private companies\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But even if Newsom pulls through by a large margin, a show of strength now does not guarantee long-term political success. Any ambitions Newsom may have to run for president will be shaped by a lot more than defeating this recall, said Democratic strategist Paul Maslin.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What he does on a host of issues that are very difficult over the next year — or the next five years if he has a second term — will be much more important to how he is judged,” Maslin said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Paul Maslin, Democratic strategist\"]‘If [Newsom] does win by a significant margin, it will reinforce [his] status … what it says about the rest of his career is unknowable.’[/pullquote]“Ultimately I don’t know that it will mean that much in the story of Gavin Newsom or California. It will be sort of a diversion that he had to respond to.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Maslin, who worked on campaigns against the 2003 recall of former Gov. Gray Davis and for the failed recall of Republican former Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, pointed to the example of Walker, who \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2012/06/05/154384654/live-blog-wisconsin-decides-governors-fate-in-recall-vote\">beat back a recall in 2012\u003c/a>, won reelection in 2014 and was seen as a strong contender for the GOP presidential nomination in 2016.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Walker’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2015/09/21/442313437/reports-scott-walker-ending-presidential-campaign\">presidential campaign flopped\u003c/a>. And then in 2018, he ran for reelection as governor — and lost.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Newsom was always going to be the huge favorite for reelection, and if he does win by a significant margin, it will reinforce that status,” Maslin said. “What it says about the rest of his career is unknowable.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888553\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888553 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-scaled.jpg\" alt='Gov. Gavin Newsom stands at a podium with a stern look, a large lighted sign beyond him that says, \"Vote.\"' width=\"2560\" height=\"1707\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks during a campaign event with President Joe Biden at Long Beach City College in Long Beach on Sept. 13, 2021. “If [Newsom] limps out of this, there will be some blood in the water,” said Steve Maviglio, a Democratic political consultant. \u003ccite>(Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>\u003ca id=\"little\">\u003c/a>Newsom survives by a little\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Defeating the recall by a narrow margin — \u003ca href=\"https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/2018-general/sov/21-governor.pdf\">significantly less than his 24-percentage-point\u003c/a> win over Republican \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-candidates-john-cox/\">John Cox in 2018\u003c/a> — could weaken Newsom as he heads into reelection next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If he limps out of this, there will be some blood in the water,” said Steve Maviglio, a Democratic political consultant. “Another Democrat will think they could do better and they can take him on.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11888182\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/07/Capitol-1180x787-3-1020x680.jpeg\"]Republicans who backed the recall could claim a kind of victory from weakening the governor, even if they failed to throw him out of office. Some of them already are.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He’s spent $80 million, he’s in the fight of his life, he’s called in the president and the vice president,” said Anne Dunsmore, a recall campaign manager.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He’s taking it seriously and he’s using a lot of resources to combat us … We’ve already won. We’ve made our point.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A narrow win would also likely trigger lawsuits over the validity of the election results. Conservative commentators have already begun saying, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/08/newsom-recall-election-fraud-myths/\">with no evidence\u003c/a>, that voter fraud \u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/12/us/politics/gop-voter-fraud-california-recall.html\">will be to blame if Newsom\u003c/a> remains in office. Former President Donald Trump \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/LATSeema/status/1437461490232037380?s=20\">issued a statement\u003c/a> Monday calling the recall “another giant Election Scam.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Elder has said he \u003ca href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/08/politics/larry-elder-claims-california-recall/index.html\">plans to file lawsuits over election irregularities\u003c/a>. His website \u003ca href=\"https://stopcafraud.com/\">links to another site\u003c/a> that asks voters to sign a petition “demanding a special session of the California legislature to investigate and ameliorate the twisted results of this 2021 Recall Election of Governor Gavin Newsom.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom called Elder’s stance “an extension of the Big Lie” that Trump stoked about his loss last year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The election hasn’t even happened and now they’re all fanning election fraud,” Newsom said Friday. “I encourage voters to come out in overwhelming numbers … So we can put all this nonsense to rest.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888537\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888537 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-scaled.jpg\" alt='Larry Elder stands near a podium sign that reads, \"Yes on Recall, The People v. Newsom.\"' width=\"2560\" height=\"1494\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-800x467.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-1020x595.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-160x93.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-1536x897.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-2048x1196.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-1920x1121.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gubernatorial recall candidate Larry Elder looks on as he is introduced at an event in Monterey Park, California, on Sept. 13, 2021, the last day before the Sept. 14 recall election of California Gov. Gavin Newsom. \u003ccite>(Frederic J. BROWN/AFP via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>\u003ca id=\"loses\">\u003c/a>Newsom is removed from office\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>More recent polls have consistently indicated that it’s unlikely the recall will prevail. If voters do throw Newsom out of office, it will show\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/09/newsom-recall-poll-campaign/\"> how difficult it is for pollsters to predict an unusual election\u003c/a> such as a gubernatorial recall, where it can be hard to measure how many voters will turn out.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So far, older and white voters are returning their ballots at a higher rate than other demographic groups, \u003ca href=\"https://www.politicaldata.com/2021-special-election-tracker/\">according to tabulations by Political Data Inc.\u003c/a> If the recall is successful, it may be because \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-young-voters/\">younger voters\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-latino-voters/\">Latino voters\u003c/a> — key blocs in the Democratic coalition — don’t cast ballots, or vote to recall Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11886134\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/08/GettyImages-2586310-1020x740.jpg\"]A successful recall would be a huge victory for the California GOP, which has been beleaguered and shrinking for many years. If Newsom is recalled, the new governor — most likely talk radio host Elder — would be sworn in by the end of October.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Though a Republican governor \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/08/newsom-recall-republicans-govern/\">would face many hurdles enacting new laws\u003c/a> because of the huge majority Democrats have in the Legislature, he could have the chance to make a significant political appointment, should Democratic U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein, who is 88, become unable to finish her term. Elder has said he would appoint a Republican to her seat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s why Democrat Christine Pelosi said that if Newsom is recalled, California lawmakers should immediately call a special session and change the rules for how political vacancies are filled in the Senate and state constitutional offices.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Right now, there are few limits on whom the governor can appoint to those positions. Pelosi, the daughter of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and an officer with the California Democratic Party, said the rules could be changed to require replacement by someone from the same party as the outgoing official.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The Legislature can do that,” she said. “And in my view they should.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Every governor since 1960 has faced an attempted recall, but most efforts fell short of the signatures needed to qualify for the ballot. Would liberal activists try to recall a Republican winner of this recall?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s possible. But it seems unlikely, given the time involved in mounting a recall and the regularly scheduled gubernatorial election next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Timing wise, it doesn’t make sense,” Pelosi said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>And no matter what …\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Expect California lawmakers to begin working on possible changes to the recall process. Whether there will be bipartisan support for an overhaul is unclear. But Democratic leaders said they intend to start examining the recall rules later this year or early next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label ='Related Coverage' tag='recall-election']“We’ve heard that people want change, and we in the Legislature will take a look at that,” state Senate leader Toni Atkins told reporters on Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon echoed her view, saying the recall system “was set up a century ago. The extent to which it’s still valid in its current form … merits discussion.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Surveys have shown that California voters \u003ca href=\"https://www.igs.berkeley.edu/research/berkeley-igs-poll\">support changing the recall rules\u003c/a>. Potential changes could include a runoff if no replacement candidate receives a majority of the vote, making it harder for recalls to qualify for the ballot and limiting recalls to situations where a public official has broken the law.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Such changes would require approval from voters. So any plan that lawmakers come up with would likely go on the ballot next year in the form of a statewide initiative.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s right: Voting in the recall election ends this Tuesday. But recall rules may be on the ballot next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>CalMatters reporter Mikhail Zinshteyn contributed to this story.\u003c/em>\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "With a few hours left in the California recall election, we look at three different possible scenarios for the outcome.",
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"title": "Here's Three Different Ways the Recall Election Could Go | KQED",
"description": "With a few hours left in the California recall election, we look at three different possible scenarios for the outcome.",
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"headline": "Here's Three Different Ways the Recall Election Could Go",
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"nprByline": "\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/author/laurel-rosenhall/\">Laurel Rosenhall\u003c/a>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cem>Don’t have time to read the whole post? Jump to a specific recall election scenario:\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#wins\">Newsom defeats the election by a lot.\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#little\">Newsom survives — but by a small margin.\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#loses\">Newsom is removed from office.\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>For nearly 25 years, Gov. Gavin Newsom rose through the ranks of California politics without ever losing an election, buoyed by connections to powerful San Francisco Democrats and a willingness to take risks — like sanctioning marriage equality — that put him at the vanguard of his party.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then came the coronavirus pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The governor’s attention-grabbing style — implementing the nation’s first stay-at-home order in March 2020, then dining at an exclusive wine country restaurant as he told people to stay home to avoid a winter surge — rubbed enough Californians the wrong way that 1.7 million voters launched the second gubernatorial recall in state history.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To fight back, the Democratic leader of one of the nation’s bluest states returned to what helped him succeed in the early days: connections to fellow Democrats and well-calculated policy risks — this time, to fight COVID-19.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At a campaign rally in Long Beach on Monday night, President Joe Biden heaped praise on Newsom’s management of the pandemic. Newsom this summer made California the first state in the nation to \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/health/2021/07/california-vaccine-requirements-workers/\">require vaccines for health care workers and state employees\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Gavin Newsom has had the courage to lead, to stand up for science,” Biden said. “He’s been one of the leading governors in the nation protecting people and vaccinating his state.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Echoing Newsom’s campaign message framing the GOP-led recall as an act of “Trumpism,” Biden described the leading Republican candidate — talk radio host \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-candidates-larry-elder/\">Larry Elder\u003c/a> — as “the clone of Donald Trump.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Can you imagine him being governor of this state? You can’t let that happen,” said Biden, who beat Trump in California last year \u003ca href=\"https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/2020-general/sov/18-presidential.pdf\">by 30 points\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888533\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888533 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"President Joe Biden and Gov. Gavin Newsom, waving, smile as they stand stand before an American flag.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1708\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-2048x1366.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242589-1920x1281.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">President Joe Biden and Gov. Gavin Newsom wave to the crowd as they campaign to keep the governor in office at Long Beach City College on the eve of the last day of the special election to recall the governor on Sept. 13, 2021, in Long Beach. Forty-six candidates, mostly Republicans, ran to overthrow the governor in the recall election a year ahead of the regularly scheduled gubernatorial vote. \u003ccite>( David McNew/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Hosting the president the day before the election is just one sign of how much the power of incumbency has boosted Newsom in this race. With no legal cap on his fundraising against the recall, Newsom \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/05/gavin-newsom-recall-money/\">raised five times as much as all his opponents combined\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom’s team managed to haul $5.5 million from the Democratic Governors Association, $3 million from Netflix CEO Reed Hastings and more than $7.6 million from public employee unions. He ran ads featuring nationally known Democrats including former President Barack Obama and U.S. Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And the governor used the trappings of his office in unusual, attention-grabbing ways. He blasted critics “promoting partisan political power grabs” \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/03/newsom-pandemic-response-voters/\">during a State of the State speech\u003c/a> on the field of Dodger Stadium that served as an unofficial campaign kickoff. He \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/05/gavin-newsom-spending-spree-california-budget/\">used an enormous $76 billion state budget surplus\u003c/a> to address pandemic-induced hardships, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-retirees-stimulus-payments/\">sending $600 stimulus payments to most Californians\u003c/a> — checks that landed just before the election.\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cbr>\nIn the final days of the campaign, Newsom leaned into COVID even further, contrasting his vaccine and mask requirements with his GOP opponents who say they’ll repeal them — and hammering a message of fear. “What’s at stake in the Sept. 14 recall? It’s a matter of life and death,” \u003ca href=\"https://youtu.be/8DbZC0alxSE\">one Newsom ad says\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "‘One of the ironies of this recall is that COVID got him into trouble and COVID is going to … probably help him defeat this thing in a landslide.’",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Having persuaded prominent Democrats to stay out of the race to replace him, Newsom finished the campaign betting that the pandemic that fueled populist angst to take him down will also stimulate the support he needs to keep his job.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“One of the ironies of this recall is that COVID got him into trouble and COVID is going to, in the end, probably help him defeat this thing in a landslide,” said GOP consultant Rob Stutzman.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Did Newsom’s strategy work? We’ll find out after polls close tonight at 8 p.m. It may take elections officials a few days to determine the results, depending on how close the race is. Here’s a look at the three possible scenarios:\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888552\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888552 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Gov. Newsom throws a few small lottery balls into the air in front of the Universal Studios globe statue.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1701\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-800x532.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-1020x678.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-160x106.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-1536x1021.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-2048x1361.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1323741590-1920x1276.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gov. Gavin Newsom attends a press conference marking the official reopening of the state of California at Universal Studios Hollywood on June 15, 2021, in Universal City. At the press conference, Newsom also selected 10 state residents to receive $1.5 million each as part of the final cash prize drawing in the state’s Vax for the Win program. \u003ccite>(Alberto E. Rodriguez/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>\u003ca id=\"wins\">\u003c/a>Newsom defeats the election by a lot\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Newsom’s effort to win reelection in 2022 kicks off as soon as the recall votes are tallied. If the governor beats back the recall by a double-digit margin — \u003ca href=\"https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/california-recall-polls/?cid=rrpromo\">as recent polls indicate is likely\u003c/a> — he could claim an authority that could empower him in at least two ways.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>First, he could continue governing the final year of this term with the same priorities he’s had all along — for enacting progressive social policy and taking a relatively strict approach to managing the coronavirus pandemic. Second, he could coast toward the 2022 campaign without fear of a credible challenger from his own party.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>An overwhelming victory also could demonstrate to \u003ca href=\"https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2021/09/the-california-recall-could-be-a-road-map-for-democrats/620020/\">other Democrats on the ballot\u003c/a> next year that leaning into COVID vaccine mandates — and painting GOP resistance to them as a public health danger — is a successful strategy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a great thing when good public policy winds up with good politics,” said Ace Smith, Newsom’s longtime political strategist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Stutzman agreed, saying that a big margin for Newsom would show that voters favor his strict approach on vaccines.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“His team figured out that once a majority of voters were vaccinated, it becomes a popular idea to put forward policies that are in the best interest of those who are vaccinated,” said Stutzman, who worked on Arnold Schwarzenegger’s successful campaign in the 2003 recall.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They figured it out before the White House did.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>President Biden \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/lifestyle-joe-biden-business-health-travel-a1670ffa08f1f2eab42c675d99f1d9ad\">required federal government employees to get vaccinated\u003c/a> days after Newsom’s first announcement. He then followed it up last week with a \u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/09/us/politics/biden-vaccine-federal-workers.html\">broader mandate for employees at private companies\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But even if Newsom pulls through by a large margin, a show of strength now does not guarantee long-term political success. Any ambitions Newsom may have to run for president will be shaped by a lot more than defeating this recall, said Democratic strategist Paul Maslin.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What he does on a host of issues that are very difficult over the next year — or the next five years if he has a second term — will be much more important to how he is judged,” Maslin said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "‘If [Newsom] does win by a significant margin, it will reinforce [his] status … what it says about the rest of his career is unknowable.’",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“Ultimately I don’t know that it will mean that much in the story of Gavin Newsom or California. It will be sort of a diversion that he had to respond to.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Maslin, who worked on campaigns against the 2003 recall of former Gov. Gray Davis and for the failed recall of Republican former Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, pointed to the example of Walker, who \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2012/06/05/154384654/live-blog-wisconsin-decides-governors-fate-in-recall-vote\">beat back a recall in 2012\u003c/a>, won reelection in 2014 and was seen as a strong contender for the GOP presidential nomination in 2016.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Walker’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/sections/itsallpolitics/2015/09/21/442313437/reports-scott-walker-ending-presidential-campaign\">presidential campaign flopped\u003c/a>. And then in 2018, he ran for reelection as governor — and lost.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Newsom was always going to be the huge favorite for reelection, and if he does win by a significant margin, it will reinforce that status,” Maslin said. “What it says about the rest of his career is unknowable.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888553\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888553 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-scaled.jpg\" alt='Gov. Gavin Newsom stands at a podium with a stern look, a large lighted sign beyond him that says, \"Vote.\"' width=\"2560\" height=\"1707\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235242314-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks during a campaign event with President Joe Biden at Long Beach City College in Long Beach on Sept. 13, 2021. “If [Newsom] limps out of this, there will be some blood in the water,” said Steve Maviglio, a Democratic political consultant. \u003ccite>(Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>\u003ca id=\"little\">\u003c/a>Newsom survives by a little\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Defeating the recall by a narrow margin — \u003ca href=\"https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/2018-general/sov/21-governor.pdf\">significantly less than his 24-percentage-point\u003c/a> win over Republican \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-candidates-john-cox/\">John Cox in 2018\u003c/a> — could weaken Newsom as he heads into reelection next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If he limps out of this, there will be some blood in the water,” said Steve Maviglio, a Democratic political consultant. “Another Democrat will think they could do better and they can take him on.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Republicans who backed the recall could claim a kind of victory from weakening the governor, even if they failed to throw him out of office. Some of them already are.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He’s spent $80 million, he’s in the fight of his life, he’s called in the president and the vice president,” said Anne Dunsmore, a recall campaign manager.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He’s taking it seriously and he’s using a lot of resources to combat us … We’ve already won. We’ve made our point.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A narrow win would also likely trigger lawsuits over the validity of the election results. Conservative commentators have already begun saying, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/08/newsom-recall-election-fraud-myths/\">with no evidence\u003c/a>, that voter fraud \u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/12/us/politics/gop-voter-fraud-california-recall.html\">will be to blame if Newsom\u003c/a> remains in office. Former President Donald Trump \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/LATSeema/status/1437461490232037380?s=20\">issued a statement\u003c/a> Monday calling the recall “another giant Election Scam.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Elder has said he \u003ca href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/08/politics/larry-elder-claims-california-recall/index.html\">plans to file lawsuits over election irregularities\u003c/a>. His website \u003ca href=\"https://stopcafraud.com/\">links to another site\u003c/a> that asks voters to sign a petition “demanding a special session of the California legislature to investigate and ameliorate the twisted results of this 2021 Recall Election of Governor Gavin Newsom.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom called Elder’s stance “an extension of the Big Lie” that Trump stoked about his loss last year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The election hasn’t even happened and now they’re all fanning election fraud,” Newsom said Friday. “I encourage voters to come out in overwhelming numbers … So we can put all this nonsense to rest.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888537\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888537 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-scaled.jpg\" alt='Larry Elder stands near a podium sign that reads, \"Yes on Recall, The People v. Newsom.\"' width=\"2560\" height=\"1494\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-800x467.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-1020x595.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-160x93.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-1536x897.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-2048x1196.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235237923-1920x1121.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gubernatorial recall candidate Larry Elder looks on as he is introduced at an event in Monterey Park, California, on Sept. 13, 2021, the last day before the Sept. 14 recall election of California Gov. Gavin Newsom. \u003ccite>(Frederic J. BROWN/AFP via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>\u003ca id=\"loses\">\u003c/a>Newsom is removed from office\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>More recent polls have consistently indicated that it’s unlikely the recall will prevail. If voters do throw Newsom out of office, it will show\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/09/newsom-recall-poll-campaign/\"> how difficult it is for pollsters to predict an unusual election\u003c/a> such as a gubernatorial recall, where it can be hard to measure how many voters will turn out.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So far, older and white voters are returning their ballots at a higher rate than other demographic groups, \u003ca href=\"https://www.politicaldata.com/2021-special-election-tracker/\">according to tabulations by Political Data Inc.\u003c/a> If the recall is successful, it may be because \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-young-voters/\">younger voters\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/projects/newsom-recall-latino-voters/\">Latino voters\u003c/a> — key blocs in the Democratic coalition — don’t cast ballots, or vote to recall Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>A successful recall would be a huge victory for the California GOP, which has been beleaguered and shrinking for many years. If Newsom is recalled, the new governor — most likely talk radio host Elder — would be sworn in by the end of October.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Though a Republican governor \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2021/08/newsom-recall-republicans-govern/\">would face many hurdles enacting new laws\u003c/a> because of the huge majority Democrats have in the Legislature, he could have the chance to make a significant political appointment, should Democratic U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein, who is 88, become unable to finish her term. Elder has said he would appoint a Republican to her seat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s why Democrat Christine Pelosi said that if Newsom is recalled, California lawmakers should immediately call a special session and change the rules for how political vacancies are filled in the Senate and state constitutional offices.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Right now, there are few limits on whom the governor can appoint to those positions. Pelosi, the daughter of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and an officer with the California Democratic Party, said the rules could be changed to require replacement by someone from the same party as the outgoing official.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The Legislature can do that,” she said. “And in my view they should.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Every governor since 1960 has faced an attempted recall, but most efforts fell short of the signatures needed to qualify for the ballot. Would liberal activists try to recall a Republican winner of this recall?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s possible. But it seems unlikely, given the time involved in mounting a recall and the regularly scheduled gubernatorial election next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Timing wise, it doesn’t make sense,” Pelosi said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>And no matter what …\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Expect California lawmakers to begin working on possible changes to the recall process. Whether there will be bipartisan support for an overhaul is unclear. But Democratic leaders said they intend to start examining the recall rules later this year or early next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“We’ve heard that people want change, and we in the Legislature will take a look at that,” state Senate leader Toni Atkins told reporters on Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon echoed her view, saying the recall system “was set up a century ago. The extent to which it’s still valid in its current form … merits discussion.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Surveys have shown that California voters \u003ca href=\"https://www.igs.berkeley.edu/research/berkeley-igs-poll\">support changing the recall rules\u003c/a>. Potential changes could include a runoff if no replacement candidate receives a majority of the vote, making it harder for recalls to qualify for the ballot and limiting recalls to situations where a public official has broken the law.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Such changes would require approval from voters. So any plan that lawmakers come up with would likely go on the ballot next year in the form of a statewide initiative.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s right: Voting in the recall election ends this Tuesday. But recall rules may be on the ballot next year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>CalMatters reporter Mikhail Zinshteyn contributed to this story.\u003c/em>\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final.png\">\u003cimg class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-11888504\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final.png\" alt='Cartoon captioned, \"the closing argument,\" showing Larry Elder with signs that read, \"Elder, the election is rigged...but vote for me anyway.\"' width=\"1920\" height=\"1338\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final.png 1920w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final-800x558.png 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final-1020x711.png 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final-160x112.png 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final-1536x1070.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The leading Republican candidate in California's gubernatorial recall election, Larry Elder, has continued to make \u003ca href=\"https://bit.ly/fioreelderfraudlies\">baseless claims of fraud\u003c/a> even before the final votes are tallied.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>(Note: \"Baseless claims\" is the polite way to say \"lies.\")\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If this all sounds familiar and \u003ca href=\"https://www.politico.com/news/2021/09/09/trump-california-recall-rigged-511025\">exceedingly Trumpian\u003c/a>, that's because it is.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Elder's \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/technology-health-elections-california-voting-6c47a17cdf5d60856c6ed477477ffda4\">lies about voter fraud have been getting a boost from former President Donald Trump\u003c/a> and other Republicans.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even if Gov. Gavin Newsom fights off the recall as he is expected to, this won't be the last we'll hear from conspiracy-minded Republicans.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final.png\">\u003cimg class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-11888504\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final.png\" alt='Cartoon captioned, \"the closing argument,\" showing Larry Elder with signs that read, \"Elder, the election is rigged...but vote for me anyway.\"' width=\"1920\" height=\"1338\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final.png 1920w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final-800x558.png 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final-1020x711.png 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final-160x112.png 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/closingargument_091421_final-1536x1070.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The leading Republican candidate in California's gubernatorial recall election, Larry Elder, has continued to make \u003ca href=\"https://bit.ly/fioreelderfraudlies\">baseless claims of fraud\u003c/a> even before the final votes are tallied.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>(Note: \"Baseless claims\" is the polite way to say \"lies.\")\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If this all sounds familiar and \u003ca href=\"https://www.politico.com/news/2021/09/09/trump-california-recall-rigged-511025\">exceedingly Trumpian\u003c/a>, that's because it is.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Elder's \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/technology-health-elections-california-voting-6c47a17cdf5d60856c6ed477477ffda4\">lies about voter fraud have been getting a boost from former President Donald Trump\u003c/a> and other Republicans.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even if Gov. Gavin Newsom fights off the recall as he is expected to, this won't be the last we'll hear from conspiracy-minded Republicans.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>For years leading up to the 2020 election, then-President Donald Trump was clear: If he lost, it would be because of voter fraud.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ahead of \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2021/09/13/1036158468/the-california-recall-and-its-very-real-political-consequences-explained\">California’s recall election\u003c/a> Tuesday, for which ballots were mailed to all 22 million registered voters in the state, he made a similar baseless declaration.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Does anybody really believe the California Recall Election isn’t rigged?” Trump said in a statement Monday. “Millions and millions of Mail-In Ballots will make this just another giant Election Scam, no different, but less blatant, than the 2020 Presidential Election Scam!”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A Republican hasn’t won a statewide race in California since 2006, and recent polling shows Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom favored to beat the recall and keep his office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, Republicans are already setting the stage to blame a loss on voter fraud, and not on a declining base of support in a state that President Biden won by 5 million votes last year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There are all sort of reasons the 2020 election, in my opinion, was full of shenanigans,” the leading GOP replacement candidate, \u003ca href=\"https://www.foxnews.com/politics/elder-urges-supporters-to-report-anything-suspicious-in-california-recall-election\">Larry Elder, said this month\u003c/a>. “And my fear is they’re going to try that in this election in the recall.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/08/politics/larry-elder-claims-california-recall/index.html\">Elder’s campaign even set up a website\u003c/a> where concerned voters can report suspicious election activity.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s a tactic that experts said is leading to threats against election workers, but also one they now expect to continue moving forward.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m just kind of hanging on for ’22 and ’24, because I don’t think this is going anywhere anytime soon,” said Neal Kelley, registrar of voters in California’s Orange County and a Republican.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label=\"Related Stories\" tag=\"california-recall\"]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There has never been evidence to support the claim that widespread fraud affected the results of the 2020 election, but a wide majority of Republican voters still believe it did. A recent \u003ca href=\"https://news.yahoo.com/poll-two-thirds-of-republicans-still-think-the-2020-election-was-rigged-165934695.html\">Yahoo News/YouGov poll\u003c/a>, for instance, found that 66% of GOP voters said last year’s election was stolen.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That conspiracy theory is taking a toll on \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2021/08/17/1027747378/death-threats-and-conspiracy-theories-why-2020-wont-end-for-election-officials\">voting officials, who now have to administer the country’s elections while also being subjected to death threats\u003c/a> and intense pressure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One \u003ca href=\"https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/local-election-officials-survey\">recent survey\u003c/a> found that a third of election administrators nationwide felt unsafe while doing their jobs during the last election cycle.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Kelley said members of his staff have been followed and videotaped while picking up ballots from drop boxes in recent weeks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’ve been doing this almost 18 years, and I would say the end of ’19 leading into ’20 and then all the way up to today has been the most stressful period of my career,” Kelley said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Up until now, the \u003ca href=\"https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/02/02/rick-scotts-zombie-claim-about-voter-fraud-2018/\">fraud claims\u003c/a> have been mostly isolated to national campaigns and the occasional statewide race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Jamie Shew, who oversees elections in Douglas County, Kansas, said he worries the tactic could trickle down to local races, where margins are often extremely thin. Last year, for instance, a county commission race was decided by just three votes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Both candidates running accepted the results after a hand recount, but Shew said he worries next time they might not be so lucky.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Even in [2016 and 2018], candidates were going to ‘there was fraud’ rather than it was a bad campaign,” Shew said. But “2020 took it to a whole new level. And I don’t think that’s going to go away.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not all Republicans are embracing the claims. John Cox, a business executive running to replace Newsom, said voter fraud concerns are “another distraction.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Frankly, all this talk about the election not being valid is a cul de sac because it’s going to result in some people deciding not to vote,” Cox said as he campaigned Monday outside the Capitol.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California Secretary of State Shirley Weber — the state’s chief elections official — said concerns about election security are “inaccurate.” California, she said, has “the strictest voting system testing, procedures for use and security requirements in the nation.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>All votes, whether in person, by mail or drop box, will be cast on paper ballots that can be hand-counted afterward if there are questions about the tally in any county.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Part of the challenge for election officials is the vote counting and vote reporting process, which can lead to changes in results that appear to swing back and forth before final tallies are released.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In California, where election officials can begin processing mailed ballots ahead of Election Day, the first batch of results often is from mail-in ballots. Those are expected to slightly favor Democrats. Then come results from in-person polling places on Election Day, which is when higher percentages of Republicans typically vote. Finally, late-arriving mail ballots are counted and reported.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ballots will be counted up to seven days after the election as long as they are postmarked by Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Local elections officials are seeing increased activity from a group of election observers aligned with Republicans, said Donna Johnston, Sutter County registrar of voters and president of the California Association of Clerks and Election Officials.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Johnson said election officials welcome observers and the chance to explain procedures that ensure election security and integrity. The increase in distrust, though, is “heartbreaking to us,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Election officials take it personally when somebody is just making unfounded accusations about what we do,” Johnston said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>The Associated Press’s Adam Beam, Christina A. Cassidy, Michael R. Blood and Nicholas Riccardi contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Copyright 2021 NPR. To see more, visit npr.org.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>For years leading up to the 2020 election, then-President Donald Trump was clear: If he lost, it would be because of voter fraud.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ahead of \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2021/09/13/1036158468/the-california-recall-and-its-very-real-political-consequences-explained\">California’s recall election\u003c/a> Tuesday, for which ballots were mailed to all 22 million registered voters in the state, he made a similar baseless declaration.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Does anybody really believe the California Recall Election isn’t rigged?” Trump said in a statement Monday. “Millions and millions of Mail-In Ballots will make this just another giant Election Scam, no different, but less blatant, than the 2020 Presidential Election Scam!”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A Republican hasn’t won a statewide race in California since 2006, and recent polling shows Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom favored to beat the recall and keep his office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, Republicans are already setting the stage to blame a loss on voter fraud, and not on a declining base of support in a state that President Biden won by 5 million votes last year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There are all sort of reasons the 2020 election, in my opinion, was full of shenanigans,” the leading GOP replacement candidate, \u003ca href=\"https://www.foxnews.com/politics/elder-urges-supporters-to-report-anything-suspicious-in-california-recall-election\">Larry Elder, said this month\u003c/a>. “And my fear is they’re going to try that in this election in the recall.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/08/politics/larry-elder-claims-california-recall/index.html\">Elder’s campaign even set up a website\u003c/a> where concerned voters can report suspicious election activity.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s a tactic that experts said is leading to threats against election workers, but also one they now expect to continue moving forward.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m just kind of hanging on for ’22 and ’24, because I don’t think this is going anywhere anytime soon,” said Neal Kelley, registrar of voters in California’s Orange County and a Republican.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There has never been evidence to support the claim that widespread fraud affected the results of the 2020 election, but a wide majority of Republican voters still believe it did. A recent \u003ca href=\"https://news.yahoo.com/poll-two-thirds-of-republicans-still-think-the-2020-election-was-rigged-165934695.html\">Yahoo News/YouGov poll\u003c/a>, for instance, found that 66% of GOP voters said last year’s election was stolen.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That conspiracy theory is taking a toll on \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2021/08/17/1027747378/death-threats-and-conspiracy-theories-why-2020-wont-end-for-election-officials\">voting officials, who now have to administer the country’s elections while also being subjected to death threats\u003c/a> and intense pressure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One \u003ca href=\"https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/local-election-officials-survey\">recent survey\u003c/a> found that a third of election administrators nationwide felt unsafe while doing their jobs during the last election cycle.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Kelley said members of his staff have been followed and videotaped while picking up ballots from drop boxes in recent weeks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’ve been doing this almost 18 years, and I would say the end of ’19 leading into ’20 and then all the way up to today has been the most stressful period of my career,” Kelley said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Up until now, the \u003ca href=\"https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/02/02/rick-scotts-zombie-claim-about-voter-fraud-2018/\">fraud claims\u003c/a> have been mostly isolated to national campaigns and the occasional statewide race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Jamie Shew, who oversees elections in Douglas County, Kansas, said he worries the tactic could trickle down to local races, where margins are often extremely thin. Last year, for instance, a county commission race was decided by just three votes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Both candidates running accepted the results after a hand recount, but Shew said he worries next time they might not be so lucky.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Even in [2016 and 2018], candidates were going to ‘there was fraud’ rather than it was a bad campaign,” Shew said. But “2020 took it to a whole new level. And I don’t think that’s going to go away.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not all Republicans are embracing the claims. John Cox, a business executive running to replace Newsom, said voter fraud concerns are “another distraction.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Frankly, all this talk about the election not being valid is a cul de sac because it’s going to result in some people deciding not to vote,” Cox said as he campaigned Monday outside the Capitol.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California Secretary of State Shirley Weber — the state’s chief elections official — said concerns about election security are “inaccurate.” California, she said, has “the strictest voting system testing, procedures for use and security requirements in the nation.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>All votes, whether in person, by mail or drop box, will be cast on paper ballots that can be hand-counted afterward if there are questions about the tally in any county.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Part of the challenge for election officials is the vote counting and vote reporting process, which can lead to changes in results that appear to swing back and forth before final tallies are released.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In California, where election officials can begin processing mailed ballots ahead of Election Day, the first batch of results often is from mail-in ballots. Those are expected to slightly favor Democrats. Then come results from in-person polling places on Election Day, which is when higher percentages of Republicans typically vote. Finally, late-arriving mail ballots are counted and reported.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ballots will be counted up to seven days after the election as long as they are postmarked by Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Local elections officials are seeing increased activity from a group of election observers aligned with Republicans, said Donna Johnston, Sutter County registrar of voters and president of the California Association of Clerks and Election Officials.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Johnson said election officials welcome observers and the chance to explain procedures that ensure election security and integrity. The increase in distrust, though, is “heartbreaking to us,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Election officials take it personally when somebody is just making unfounded accusations about what we do,” Johnston said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>The Associated Press’s Adam Beam, Christina A. Cassidy, Michael R. Blood and Nicholas Riccardi contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Copyright 2021 NPR. To see more, visit npr.org.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>A rare event happens Tuesday in California: Californians will decide whether Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom should remain in office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label ='Find Your Ballot Drop-Off Location' tag='find-your-box']It’s only the second recall election in the state to qualify for the ballot, but the second in the past 20 years. That previous recall, in 2003, resulted in actor Arnold Schwarzenegger becoming governor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A lot has changed since then on many fronts, but that it’s even happening in the first place — and who the leading Republican contender is — is an example of how politics has shifted in the state and reflects a national shift toward sharper partisanship.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The election will also have national consequences. A California governor could appoint a new U.S. senator to the evenly divided chamber in the next year or so. And this is the first big test of whether Democrats can fire up their base — even in a very blue state — ahead of next year’s midterm elections when Republicans are favored to take back the House.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Here’s a primer on the recall, how it works and how we got here. But first:\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>What are the potential national political consequences?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>The fact that a Democratic governor in a state that President Biden won by almost 30 percentage points in 2020 doesn’t stand a near 0% chance of being ousted tells you a degree of the story of off-year elections.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>The party out of power is usually the one that’s most fired up.\u003c/strong> During this pandemic, conservatives have been particularly vexed by Democratic governance — and they have no greater example for their ire, of everything they dislike about liberals, than California. So Newsom was already a ripe target.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>A test of Democratic mobilization.\u003c/strong> All eyes will be on to what degree Democrats are enthusiastic ahead of 2022. There are certainly motivators, considering the stakes the threat of Republican governance poses to the center-left, from the handling of the pandemic to \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2021/09/09/1035467999/justice-department-sues-texas-over-new-abortion-ban\">extreme abortion laws like Texas’s\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Given that \u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/administration/news-releases-and-advisories/2020-news-releases-and-advisories/ap20108\">Democrats outnumber GOP voters by almost 5 million in California\u003c/a>, how close Republicans get to recalling Newsom — or of course if he’s recalled — is going to be something to watch.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>In very practical terms, the U.S. Senate could be at stake.\u003c/strong> At first, this doesn’t seem to make sense, since this is about a governorship. But consider that Democrats control the 50-50 Senate by only the narrowest of margins, needing Vice President Harris to break ties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The California governor has the power to appoint a U.S. senator and should there be a vacancy, Newsom or his replacement would serve until January 2023, and Sen. Dianne Feinstein would be approaching 90 at that point.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>A test of Biden’s clout.\u003c/strong> The president is campaigning for and with Newsom on Monday. That raises the political stakes. If Newsom were to lose — or if the election is close — Biden’s sway would be in question. And it would come at a time when \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2021/09/02/1033433959/biden-approval-rating-afghanistan-withdrawal\">Biden’s approval rating has been slipping nationally\u003c/a>, given the resurgent coronavirus due to the delta variant and following the Afghanistan withdrawal.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>A sign of the growing strength of a partisan minority?\u003c/strong> \u003ca href=\"https://ballotpedia.org/Laws_governing_recall_in_California\">To qualify for the ballot, a recall effort requires signatures\u003c/a> that amount to at least 12% of the turnout of the last gubernatorial election, plus some other total vote thresholds. While this year that’s about 1.5 million signatures — undoubtedly a lot of signatures — you can find 12% of people who agree that they are very upset about a lot of things.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What are the future repercussions when that’s the bar to cause \u003ca href=\"https://www.abc10.com/article/news/politics/california-recall-elections-will-cost-276-million/103-60b467b4-ac53-4684-a9ea-5454cf8d1b3e\">a statewide election that is costing California $276 million\u003c/a>? Calculating that out for future fights, as the country becomes even more polarized, could be astronomical.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The factors at play here — the relatively low threshold to get on the ballot, and then if the governor is recalled, that the replacement could win with a plurality of votes — follow larger, \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2021/06/09/1002593823/how-democratic-is-american-democracy-key-pillars-face-stress-tests\">national complaints about the growing power of a political minority\u003c/a>, like with the Senate filibuster and the Electoral College.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888331\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11888331\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"One person is visible behind a very large machine in a room filled with machines with cables everywhere.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1707\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Workers sort through mail-in ballots at the Santa Clara County registrar of voters office on Aug. 25, 2021, in San Jose. The registrar has prepared to take in and process thousands of ballots in this year’s recall election. \u003ccite>(Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>So how does this recall actually work?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Californians have been legally able to recall their governors since 1911. Every governor in the past 60 years has faced a recall attempt, though \u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/recalls/recall-history-california-1913-present\">only two, including this one, have qualified for the ballot\u003c/a>. Newsom has faced at least five attempts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom’s opponents got 1.7 million signatures to get this recall on the ballot, higher than the 1.5 million needed, but they also had more time than usual. Normally, recall petitioners get a little over five months to turn in signatures. This effort was extended four months beyond that because of the pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>How did Newsom end up in this position?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>The recall effort began in June 2020 and didn’t have to do with COVID-19. As \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/scottshafer\">KQED’s Scott Shafer\u003c/a> told the \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/transcripts/1035158231\">NPR Politics podcast\u003c/a>, it was about the death penalty, crime, homelessness, housing costs and immigration.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But it very much became about the pandemic after \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/entertainment-health-elections-california-coronavirus-pandemic-c4cbdfdfa832495d19b4c1639f1cfb90\">Newsom was caught on camera at a birthday party\u003c/a> — without a mask — \u003ca href=\"https://www.yahoo.com/now/most-expensive-restaurants-us-114917409.html#:~:text=The%20French%20Laundry%20%2D%20Yountville%2C%20California&text=The%20restaurant%20has%20three%20Michelin,%24325%20and%20%24350%20per%20person.\">at one of the most expensive restaurants in the country\u003c/a>, The French Laundry, last November. It reeked of hypocrisy, given that this was during the height of the pandemic and with restrictions in place in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>How will a winner be decided?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Ballots were mailed to all 22 million registered voters in the state about a month before Tuesday’s election. There are \u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/upcoming-elections/2021-ca-gov-recall/newsom-recall-faqs?ltclid=4cc29b6b-6cc2-4250-98f2-055dc9ef7a1cif%20it%3Fback%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2Fsearch%3Fclient%3Dsafari%26as_qdr%3Dall%26as_occt%3Dany%26safe%3Dactive%26as_q%3Dwhat%20is%20the%20date%20of%20the%20California%20gubernatorial%20recall%26channel%3Daplab%26source%3Da-app1%26hl%3Den\">two questions voters can decide on\u003c/a>:\u003c/p>\n\u003col>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Should Newsom be recalled?\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Who should replace him?\u003c/strong> If a majority votes “no” on the first question, then the second question doesn’t matter. But if “yes” on Question 1 gets 50% plus one vote, Newsom would be recalled, and the highest vote-getter on Question 2 would become governor (by Oct. 22 when the state would certify the results) and serve out the remainder of Newsom’s term.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ol>\n\u003cp>Californians do not have to vote on both questions. And the use of mail-in ballots could complicate the turnout picture, altering the traditional notion of whose voters are motivated to hit the polls.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>Who is on the ballot to replace Newsom?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>There are 46 people who qualified to be on the ballot — 24 Republicans, 10 people with no party affiliation, nine Democrats, two from the Green Party and one Libertarian.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The leading replacement contender is Republican Larry Elder, a controversial talk radio host. (The ballot also includes Caitlyn Jenner, who is not expected to fare well.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888333\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888333 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-scaled.jpg\" alt='A man wearing a \"Recall Newsom\" T-shirt takes a selfie with Larry Elder.' width=\"2560\" height=\"1707\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Johnny Marin takes a photo with Republican recall candidate Larry Elder at a town hall event in Downey as Elder campaigns to try to beat Gov. Gavin Newsom in the recall election. The conservative talk show host is the front-runner in the race to replace Newsom. \u003ccite>(David McNew/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>Who is Larry Elder?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>[aside label ='Related Coverage' tag='recall']Newsom has been happy to elevate Elder because of his many controversial statements. For example, Elder, who is Black, has said it can be argued that enslavers are owed reparations because slavery was legal and enslaved people were “property” of those owners. He has also said Blacks “exaggerate” racism, that “women exaggerate” sexism and that working mothers aren’t as “dedicated” to work as others — among other things.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That someone who has expressed such extreme views could be the leading Republican candidate in a state like California shows just how much the party — not just in California but across the country — has changed since electing Donald Trump as president.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>When was the last California recall?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>2003. Local issues, from an energy crisis and a budget deficit to a gas tax hike, dominated and hobbled Democratic Gov. Gray Davis. Davis’s approval rating was mired in the 20s, he was recalled, and America was given “The Governator.” (If you think that’s bad, you can imagine — if you don’t remember — the number of \u003cem>Total Recall\u003c/em> headlines in reference to that election.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Three major differences, though, between the 2003 and 2021 recalls:\u003c/p>\n\u003col>\n\u003cli>This recall has been far more nationalized. Newsom has essentially put GOP governance on the ballot, especially regarding the coronavirus pandemic, which is what ironically supercharged the effort to get the recall on the ballot in the first place.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Unlike Davis, Newsom is fairly popular. His approval ratings are routinely above 50%.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>And Schwarzenegger was something that’s now seemingly an endangered species among elected officials: a Republican moderate. Elder is decidedly not. In addition to his controversial views, Elder has definitively said he would appoint a Republican to the U.S. Senate if Feinstein’s seat were to come open.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ol>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>A rare event happens Tuesday in California: Californians will decide whether Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom should remain in office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>It’s only the second recall election in the state to qualify for the ballot, but the second in the past 20 years. That previous recall, in 2003, resulted in actor Arnold Schwarzenegger becoming governor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A lot has changed since then on many fronts, but that it’s even happening in the first place — and who the leading Republican contender is — is an example of how politics has shifted in the state and reflects a national shift toward sharper partisanship.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The election will also have national consequences. A California governor could appoint a new U.S. senator to the evenly divided chamber in the next year or so. And this is the first big test of whether Democrats can fire up their base — even in a very blue state — ahead of next year’s midterm elections when Republicans are favored to take back the House.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Here’s a primer on the recall, how it works and how we got here. But first:\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>What are the potential national political consequences?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>The fact that a Democratic governor in a state that President Biden won by almost 30 percentage points in 2020 doesn’t stand a near 0% chance of being ousted tells you a degree of the story of off-year elections.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>The party out of power is usually the one that’s most fired up.\u003c/strong> During this pandemic, conservatives have been particularly vexed by Democratic governance — and they have no greater example for their ire, of everything they dislike about liberals, than California. So Newsom was already a ripe target.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>A test of Democratic mobilization.\u003c/strong> All eyes will be on to what degree Democrats are enthusiastic ahead of 2022. There are certainly motivators, considering the stakes the threat of Republican governance poses to the center-left, from the handling of the pandemic to \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2021/09/09/1035467999/justice-department-sues-texas-over-new-abortion-ban\">extreme abortion laws like Texas’s\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Given that \u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/administration/news-releases-and-advisories/2020-news-releases-and-advisories/ap20108\">Democrats outnumber GOP voters by almost 5 million in California\u003c/a>, how close Republicans get to recalling Newsom — or of course if he’s recalled — is going to be something to watch.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>In very practical terms, the U.S. Senate could be at stake.\u003c/strong> At first, this doesn’t seem to make sense, since this is about a governorship. But consider that Democrats control the 50-50 Senate by only the narrowest of margins, needing Vice President Harris to break ties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The California governor has the power to appoint a U.S. senator and should there be a vacancy, Newsom or his replacement would serve until January 2023, and Sen. Dianne Feinstein would be approaching 90 at that point.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>A test of Biden’s clout.\u003c/strong> The president is campaigning for and with Newsom on Monday. That raises the political stakes. If Newsom were to lose — or if the election is close — Biden’s sway would be in question. And it would come at a time when \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2021/09/02/1033433959/biden-approval-rating-afghanistan-withdrawal\">Biden’s approval rating has been slipping nationally\u003c/a>, given the resurgent coronavirus due to the delta variant and following the Afghanistan withdrawal.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>A sign of the growing strength of a partisan minority?\u003c/strong> \u003ca href=\"https://ballotpedia.org/Laws_governing_recall_in_California\">To qualify for the ballot, a recall effort requires signatures\u003c/a> that amount to at least 12% of the turnout of the last gubernatorial election, plus some other total vote thresholds. While this year that’s about 1.5 million signatures — undoubtedly a lot of signatures — you can find 12% of people who agree that they are very upset about a lot of things.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What are the future repercussions when that’s the bar to cause \u003ca href=\"https://www.abc10.com/article/news/politics/california-recall-elections-will-cost-276-million/103-60b467b4-ac53-4684-a9ea-5454cf8d1b3e\">a statewide election that is costing California $276 million\u003c/a>? Calculating that out for future fights, as the country becomes even more polarized, could be astronomical.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The factors at play here — the relatively low threshold to get on the ballot, and then if the governor is recalled, that the replacement could win with a plurality of votes — follow larger, \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2021/06/09/1002593823/how-democratic-is-american-democracy-key-pillars-face-stress-tests\">national complaints about the growing power of a political minority\u003c/a>, like with the Senate filibuster and the Electoral College.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888331\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11888331\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"One person is visible behind a very large machine in a room filled with machines with cables everywhere.\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1707\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1336372841-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Workers sort through mail-in ballots at the Santa Clara County registrar of voters office on Aug. 25, 2021, in San Jose. The registrar has prepared to take in and process thousands of ballots in this year’s recall election. \u003ccite>(Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>So how does this recall actually work?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Californians have been legally able to recall their governors since 1911. Every governor in the past 60 years has faced a recall attempt, though \u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/recalls/recall-history-california-1913-present\">only two, including this one, have qualified for the ballot\u003c/a>. Newsom has faced at least five attempts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom’s opponents got 1.7 million signatures to get this recall on the ballot, higher than the 1.5 million needed, but they also had more time than usual. Normally, recall petitioners get a little over five months to turn in signatures. This effort was extended four months beyond that because of the pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>How did Newsom end up in this position?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>The recall effort began in June 2020 and didn’t have to do with COVID-19. As \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/scottshafer\">KQED’s Scott Shafer\u003c/a> told the \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/transcripts/1035158231\">NPR Politics podcast\u003c/a>, it was about the death penalty, crime, homelessness, housing costs and immigration.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But it very much became about the pandemic after \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/entertainment-health-elections-california-coronavirus-pandemic-c4cbdfdfa832495d19b4c1639f1cfb90\">Newsom was caught on camera at a birthday party\u003c/a> — without a mask — \u003ca href=\"https://www.yahoo.com/now/most-expensive-restaurants-us-114917409.html#:~:text=The%20French%20Laundry%20%2D%20Yountville%2C%20California&text=The%20restaurant%20has%20three%20Michelin,%24325%20and%20%24350%20per%20person.\">at one of the most expensive restaurants in the country\u003c/a>, The French Laundry, last November. It reeked of hypocrisy, given that this was during the height of the pandemic and with restrictions in place in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>How will a winner be decided?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Ballots were mailed to all 22 million registered voters in the state about a month before Tuesday’s election. There are \u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/upcoming-elections/2021-ca-gov-recall/newsom-recall-faqs?ltclid=4cc29b6b-6cc2-4250-98f2-055dc9ef7a1cif%20it%3Fback%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2Fsearch%3Fclient%3Dsafari%26as_qdr%3Dall%26as_occt%3Dany%26safe%3Dactive%26as_q%3Dwhat%20is%20the%20date%20of%20the%20California%20gubernatorial%20recall%26channel%3Daplab%26source%3Da-app1%26hl%3Den\">two questions voters can decide on\u003c/a>:\u003c/p>\n\u003col>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Should Newsom be recalled?\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Who should replace him?\u003c/strong> If a majority votes “no” on the first question, then the second question doesn’t matter. But if “yes” on Question 1 gets 50% plus one vote, Newsom would be recalled, and the highest vote-getter on Question 2 would become governor (by Oct. 22 when the state would certify the results) and serve out the remainder of Newsom’s term.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ol>\n\u003cp>Californians do not have to vote on both questions. And the use of mail-in ballots could complicate the turnout picture, altering the traditional notion of whose voters are motivated to hit the polls.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>Who is on the ballot to replace Newsom?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>There are 46 people who qualified to be on the ballot — 24 Republicans, 10 people with no party affiliation, nine Democrats, two from the Green Party and one Libertarian.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The leading replacement contender is Republican Larry Elder, a controversial talk radio host. (The ballot also includes Caitlyn Jenner, who is not expected to fare well.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888333\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888333 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-scaled.jpg\" alt='A man wearing a \"Recall Newsom\" T-shirt takes a selfie with Larry Elder.' width=\"2560\" height=\"1707\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/GettyImages-1235151948-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Johnny Marin takes a photo with Republican recall candidate Larry Elder at a town hall event in Downey as Elder campaigns to try to beat Gov. Gavin Newsom in the recall election. The conservative talk show host is the front-runner in the race to replace Newsom. \u003ccite>(David McNew/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>Who is Larry Elder?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Newsom has been happy to elevate Elder because of his many controversial statements. For example, Elder, who is Black, has said it can be argued that enslavers are owed reparations because slavery was legal and enslaved people were “property” of those owners. He has also said Blacks “exaggerate” racism, that “women exaggerate” sexism and that working mothers aren’t as “dedicated” to work as others — among other things.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That someone who has expressed such extreme views could be the leading Republican candidate in a state like California shows just how much the party — not just in California but across the country — has changed since electing Donald Trump as president.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>When was the last California recall?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>2003. Local issues, from an energy crisis and a budget deficit to a gas tax hike, dominated and hobbled Democratic Gov. Gray Davis. Davis’s approval rating was mired in the 20s, he was recalled, and America was given “The Governator.” (If you think that’s bad, you can imagine — if you don’t remember — the number of \u003cem>Total Recall\u003c/em> headlines in reference to that election.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Three major differences, though, between the 2003 and 2021 recalls:\u003c/p>\n\u003col>\n\u003cli>This recall has been far more nationalized. Newsom has essentially put GOP governance on the ballot, especially regarding the coronavirus pandemic, which is what ironically supercharged the effort to get the recall on the ballot in the first place.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Unlike Davis, Newsom is fairly popular. His approval ratings are routinely above 50%.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>And Schwarzenegger was something that’s now seemingly an endangered species among elected officials: a Republican moderate. Elder is decidedly not. In addition to his controversial views, Elder has definitively said he would appoint a Republican to the U.S. Senate if Feinstein’s seat were to come open.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ol>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"title": "Can Recall Ads in Spanish Sway Latino Voters? Two Families Weigh In",
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"content": "\u003cp>Tomorrow (Tuesday) is the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/recall\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">last day to vote in California’s recall election\u003c/a>, and heading into the final stretch, campaigns on both sides are trying hard to sway Latinos, who make up a sizable chunk of the electorate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Latinos represent 35% of California’s adult population, but account for only 21% of those most likely to vote — nearly 60% of whom are registered Democrats — according to the \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/wp-content/uploads/JTF_RaceandVotingJTF.pdf\">Public Policy Institute of California\u003c/a>. California’s Latino voters have also helped hand Democrats a complete lock on the Legislature.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“No politician can take Latino votes and our community for granted,” Olga Miranda, president of SEIU Local 87, said at a recent phone- banking event to persuade voters to reject the recall of Gov. Gavin Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID='news_11884716,news_11885191' hero='https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/08/Newsom-Picture.jpg']\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11843511/more-important-than-ever-the-race-to-boost-californias-latino-vote\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">In addition to phone banks, rallies and grassroots-level organizing\u003c/a>, both sides of the recall contest have in recent weeks pumped the airwaves — and social media platforms — with Spanish-language television and radio ads to garner crucial Latino votes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://socialinnovation.usc.edu/staff/manuel-pastor/#:~:text=Manuel%20Pastor%20is%20a%20Distinguished,D.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Manuel Pastor\u003c/a>, director of the Equity Research Institute at the University of Southern California, said this recall election shows how campaign messaging to Latino voters has evolved from the days when candidates would just say a few words in Spanish.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think you’re starting to see some level of sophistication, which is not so much around what kind of Spanish you speak as it is around what kind of issues you address and whether or not they actually hit people where they live,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hector Barajas, a Republican political consultant working on the effort to remove Newsom, said people of color, and Latinos in particular, have borne the brunt of the pandemic, both financially and physically. The pro-recall campaign leans into that frustration, betting that families who’ve been pushed to the margins will vote to remove Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For example, a \u003ca href=\"https://rescuecalifornia.org/rescue-california-launches-statewide-spanish-language-radio-ad-to-recall-gavin-newsom/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Spanish-language radio ad from the conservative group Rescue California\u003c/a> directly blames Newsom for the hardship that many working families in the state have experienced, emphasizing the high cost of living and the negative impact that online learning has had on children.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, opponents of the recall — who are labeling the effort a “\u003ca href=\"https://stoptherepublicanrecall.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Republican power grab\u003c/a>” — have tried to cast a light on the anti-immigrant stances of some key players behind the campaign, in a defensive effort to scare and mobilize Spanish-speaking Latino voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But are either of these strategies actually effective in engaging the Latino electorate? Earlier this month, KQED sat down with two families — one from the East Bay and one from the Central Valley, representing different political and regional perspectives — to hear their thoughts on how to successfully earn their votes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>KQED’s María Peña and Lina Blanco facilitated two intimate focus groups with the families to record their responses to nine Spanish-language political ads from both sides of the recall effort, as well as spots from two recall candidates: Kevin Faulconer and Larry Elder.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>Turning our mics to families\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>In our first focus group, we spoke with three members of the Díaz family, representing two generations: Itzel, who considers herself independent or nonpartisan, and her parents María de Jesus and Porfirio, who are both registered Democrats. All three were born in Jalisco, Mexico, and voted in the U.S. for the first time in the 2020 presidential election. They all speak Spanish as their first language and call Oakland home.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888163\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888163 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51425_017_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut.jpg\" alt=\"A smiling family poses at a dining room table, the parents seated side by side and the adult daughter leaning on her father's shoulder.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51425_017_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51425_017_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51425_017_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51425_017_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51425_017_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Itzel Diaz and her parents, Maria and Porfirio Diaz, in their Oakland home on Sept. 9, 2021, after dropping off their ballots for California’s gubernatorial recall election. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The second focus group included three members of the Avila family, who also represent two generations: Debbie and her brother Obed, as well as their mother Adela. All three are registered Republicans, self-identify as Mexican American, and speak Spanish fluently. Debbie and Adela live in Modesto and Obed lives in Merced.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888230\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888230 size-large\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/DebbieAdelaAvila-1020x574.jpg\" alt=\"Side-by-side photos of an adult daughter and her mother, both smiling.\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/DebbieAdelaAvila-1020x574.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/DebbieAdelaAvila-800x450.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/DebbieAdelaAvila-160x90.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/DebbieAdelaAvila-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/DebbieAdelaAvila.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Debbie and Adela Avila in Modesto on Sept. 12, 2021. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of the Avila family)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In both bilingual conversations, we asked participants the same questions:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>“How do each of these ads make you feel?”\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>“What stood out to you while watching them?”\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>“On a scale of 1 to 5, how likely are you to vote YES or NO on the recall after watching each one?”\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>KQED then opened the floor for participants to suggest strategies politicians should consider implementing in future elections to better reach and engage Latino voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>A range of reactions\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Itzel, the independent voter from Oakland, said she was initially struck by Kevin Faulconer’s fluency in Spanish. She had grown used to seeing political ads where a politician would speak just a phrase of Spanish here or there and consider it enough to win her vote. Yet, she was most taken by how staged she thought the casting seemed, and \u003ca href=\"https://youtu.be/5g-OgDeAGao\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the general lack of Latino representation on-screen\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I felt it was like a series of checkboxes. It’s the way they think what Hispanics look like. I didn’t see a representation of Afro-Latinos or queer Latinos,” she said of the Faulconer ad. “It’s very obvious who they think are not going to vote for them.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Her father, Porfirio, agreed, saying Faulconer’s ad tailored its message toward well-to-do Latinos. Like Itzel, he believes this reveals how little most politicians and strategists seem to know about California’s incredibly diverse Latino population, and how many political ads seem designed to only reach\u003cb> \u003c/b>a selective few.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After viewing Spanish-language ads for Elder — \u003ca href=\"https://www.electelder.com/news/larry-elder-campaign-releases-spanish-ads/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">one of the candidate speaking from his office\u003c/a> and another \u003ca href=\"https://www.sacbee.com/opinion/article253950243.html\">voiced by former Democratic state Senate Majority Leader Gloria Romero\u003c/a>, who recently endorsed him — Itzel called them “horrible,” both in content and delivery. She noted that Elder’s accent felt very forced.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>‘Lack of imagination’\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>But what frustrated Itzel most was that both ads emphasized school closures during the pandemic and the negative impact it has had on youth.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The schools did not close. The classes continued online and the children continued learning,” she said. “They do not mention the effort, the operation and the infrastructure that it took [to get] digital access to a lot of those children that never had it before,” she said.[pullquote size='medium' align='right' citation='Itzel Díaz, independent voter in Oakland']‘I feel offended in that sense that I mean really, they think that with pure fear they are going to convince us? What a lack of imagination.’[/pullquote]But Itzel also said she felt offended by the three anti-recall spots paid for by Gov. Gavin Newsom’s campaign — including one that claimed Republicans backing the recall were the same anti-immigrant politicians who support \u003ca href=\"https://youtu.be/21lxnsuj1Sg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">embedding microchips into immigrants\u003c/a>. Trying to reach Latinos with fear-based messaging, she said, may have worked 20 or 30 years ago, but not today.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They are ignoring the fact that there are a lot of very well-educated people in the community. That is, people are very well-informed right now,” she said. “I feel offended in that sense that I mean really, they think that with pure fear they are going to convince us? What a lack of imagination.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Instead, she believes the anti-recall effort should have focused more on the legislative victories of recent years. This year alone, California lawmakers \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11879724/so-thankful-california-to-offer-medi-cal-to-235000-undocumented-californians\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">expanded Medi-Cal eligibility \u003c/a>to lower-income adults 50 and older, regardless of immigration status, and provided an \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11862122/how-to-get-your-california-stimulus-check-and-other-tax-credits-youre-entitled-to\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">additional $600 to undocumented taxpayers who earn less than $75,000\u003c/a> and were ineligible for federal stimulus payments.\u003cstrong> \u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Something that disappoints me, frustrates me is that they are focusing 100% on fear [and] on the trauma that people already have,” Itzel said, calling that strategy completely unnecessary. “[Newsom] has done so many things to support the Latino community. I feel he missed an opportunity.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Porfirio agreed with his daughter’s criticism. He wished the campaign would stop spending so much money on resources to produce fear-based ads and instead emphasize specific ways in which Newsom’s administration has supported the Latino community.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They are very rushed, they look as if they waited too long to prepare for this election,” he said of the Newsom campaign’s ad strategy, which he claims has had no impact on him. “Sadly, it’s the approach they take in every election, right? To scare people with negativity and leave aside the positive contribution. It’s as if they keep betting on that, as if they believe it has more impact.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, Obed Avila, from Merced, a Republican and former Marine, said he wasn’t swayed by an \u003ca href=\"https://youtu.be/j8zSmXltm18\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">anti-recall ad paid for by the California Latino PAC\u003c/a>, linking recall proponents to supporters of Proposition 187, the 1994 ballot measure that targeted the state’s undocumented immigrants.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A lot of the stuff is a little bit one-sided,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But his sister, Debbie, also a Republican, disagrees. She said the anti-recall ad brought her back to that infamous ballot measure from nearly 30 years ago.[aside postID='news_11857451' hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/01/022_KQED_SanFrancisco_PollingPlaces_11032020-1020x680.jpg']“I remember the feeling of being treated like a second-class citizen,” she said, through tears. “I have a lot of pride in my family. Of my dad and the hard labor that he’s done in the field, and even my mom who’s sitting next to me, and the work of ‘mi gente.'”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even though Debbie personally dislikes Newsom, she plans to vote against the recall because she refuses to align herself with candidates who backed the Trump administration. She said she also supported Newsom’s mandate to shut down the state during the pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think that shutting down the state was a difficult decision, but I feel that it needed to be done,” she said. She believes the move helped save lives and curb the spread of COVID-19 in her community, even though she knows many people are still suffering from the pandemic’s economic impact.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And while Debbie’s no vote on the recall may seem like an unexpected one for a registered Republican, she said she was also swayed by her support for recent Democratic state legislation helping undocumented seniors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t see a Republican candidate who would have fought for our undocumented seniors [who’ve] worked in the fields their entire lives, and many of them still are working in the fields today,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>‘Yo voto con mi fe’\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Adela — Debbie and Obed’s mother — who worked as a farm laborer and a teacher for decades, said her spiritual views are the most important factor when deciding whom to vote for. “Yo voto con mi fe [faith],” she said. “I don’t look at what other people are doing. I vote if they tell me what their plans are and if I agree with their plans, I’ll vote for them. If not, I won’t.”[pullquote size='medium' align='right' citation='Debbie Avila, registered Republican in Modesto']‘I have a lot of pride in my family — of my dad and the hard labor that he’s done in the field, and even my mom who’s sitting next to me, and the work of ‘mi gente.”[/pullquote]Both Adela and Obed said they were frustrated that both Faulconer and Elder shared so little information about themselves or their plans for how to implement change as governor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They can make promises, but show me how you’re going to fix it, what your plan is,” Obed said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a general contractor, Obed has worked on several affordable housing projects for unhoused communities in the Central Valley, but is frustrated by what he sees as money wasted. “I’ve seen millions and billions of dollars being wasted just for a temporary Band-Aid. I want to see how they’re going to do these solutions to win my vote.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And though Obed said he likes Larry Elder the most out of all the candidates, \u003ca href=\"https://www.electelder.com/news/larry-elder-campaign-releases-spanish-ads/\">he didn’t find his Spanish ad effective at all\u003c/a>. His sister Debbie agreed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Instead of 30 seconds and spending, you know, the thousands and probably millions of dollars he’s using to put this on the air on radio ads or TV ads, I wish he would have used that to tell me who [Elder] is as a candidate, and what his plan is for the state,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888164\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888164 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51410_001_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut.jpg\" alt=\"A man fills out his ballot at a dining room table, with his wife in the background in another room.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51410_001_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51410_001_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51410_001_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51410_001_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51410_001_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Porfirio Diaz fills out his mail-in ballot for California’s gubernatorial recall election at his home in Oakland on Sept. 9, 2021. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>Missed opportunities and the road ahead\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>So how should politicians transform their campaign strategies to more meaningfully connect with Latino voters?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nearly every participant agreed that while it was encouraging to see candidates attempt to speak Spanish or run ads in Spanish, the ads they watched had no impact on who they would decide to vote for, nor did the messages apply to their everyday lives. Simply seeing ads in Spanish wasn’t enough for them to not feel like an afterthought in a last-minute campaign effort, they said. Instead, they wanted to see the candidates address issues that really affected their day-to-day lives.[aside postID='news_11886210' hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/08/RS51191_IMG_3342-qut-1020x765.jpg']The Díaz and Avila families made it clear they are both deeply committed to their community’s well-being. Debbie and Adela, from Modesto, want to see politicians coming to communities in the Central Valley, introducing themselves to residents and learning about their biggest concerns.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And, both families said, politicians need to continue that relationship-building process with Latino communities year-round — not just at election time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They need to invite us to the table, and many times they don’t invite us to the table,” Debbie said. “I would love it if they had an advisory committee that had people from all walks of life. It would be nice to even see undocumented folks and see teenagers. There’s a lot of wisdom to what they have to say.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Porfirio, in Oakland, also stressed that in addition to politicians reaching out to people in his community, Latino voters must also exercise their right to vote and hold legislators accountable for addressing their needs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In Mexico … I never missed an election. I always believe that this is one of the most important civil rights. Not only should we demand it, but we should also defend it,” he said. “We have not valued the importance that we have, or we have not believed it. We have not demanded it.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Hear more of our conversation with the Díaz and Avila families on KQED’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/podcasts/thebay\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u003cem>The Bay\u003c/em>\u003c/a> podcast below.\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"200\" scrolling=\"no\" src=\"https://playlist.megaphone.fm?e=KQINC7373530706&light=true\" width=\"100%\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Both sides of the gubernatorial recall effort are pumping the airwaves with Spanish-language ads in the hopes of winning over California's large Latino voting block. KQED recently spoke with two very different Latino families to gauge their reactions.\r\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Tomorrow (Tuesday) is the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/recall\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">last day to vote in California’s recall election\u003c/a>, and heading into the final stretch, campaigns on both sides are trying hard to sway Latinos, who make up a sizable chunk of the electorate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Latinos represent 35% of California’s adult population, but account for only 21% of those most likely to vote — nearly 60% of whom are registered Democrats — according to the \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/wp-content/uploads/JTF_RaceandVotingJTF.pdf\">Public Policy Institute of California\u003c/a>. California’s Latino voters have also helped hand Democrats a complete lock on the Legislature.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“No politician can take Latino votes and our community for granted,” Olga Miranda, president of SEIU Local 87, said at a recent phone- banking event to persuade voters to reject the recall of Gov. Gavin Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11843511/more-important-than-ever-the-race-to-boost-californias-latino-vote\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">In addition to phone banks, rallies and grassroots-level organizing\u003c/a>, both sides of the recall contest have in recent weeks pumped the airwaves — and social media platforms — with Spanish-language television and radio ads to garner crucial Latino votes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://socialinnovation.usc.edu/staff/manuel-pastor/#:~:text=Manuel%20Pastor%20is%20a%20Distinguished,D.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Manuel Pastor\u003c/a>, director of the Equity Research Institute at the University of Southern California, said this recall election shows how campaign messaging to Latino voters has evolved from the days when candidates would just say a few words in Spanish.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think you’re starting to see some level of sophistication, which is not so much around what kind of Spanish you speak as it is around what kind of issues you address and whether or not they actually hit people where they live,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hector Barajas, a Republican political consultant working on the effort to remove Newsom, said people of color, and Latinos in particular, have borne the brunt of the pandemic, both financially and physically. The pro-recall campaign leans into that frustration, betting that families who’ve been pushed to the margins will vote to remove Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For example, a \u003ca href=\"https://rescuecalifornia.org/rescue-california-launches-statewide-spanish-language-radio-ad-to-recall-gavin-newsom/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Spanish-language radio ad from the conservative group Rescue California\u003c/a> directly blames Newsom for the hardship that many working families in the state have experienced, emphasizing the high cost of living and the negative impact that online learning has had on children.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, opponents of the recall — who are labeling the effort a “\u003ca href=\"https://stoptherepublicanrecall.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Republican power grab\u003c/a>” — have tried to cast a light on the anti-immigrant stances of some key players behind the campaign, in a defensive effort to scare and mobilize Spanish-speaking Latino voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But are either of these strategies actually effective in engaging the Latino electorate? Earlier this month, KQED sat down with two families — one from the East Bay and one from the Central Valley, representing different political and regional perspectives — to hear their thoughts on how to successfully earn their votes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>KQED’s María Peña and Lina Blanco facilitated two intimate focus groups with the families to record their responses to nine Spanish-language political ads from both sides of the recall effort, as well as spots from two recall candidates: Kevin Faulconer and Larry Elder.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>Turning our mics to families\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>In our first focus group, we spoke with three members of the Díaz family, representing two generations: Itzel, who considers herself independent or nonpartisan, and her parents María de Jesus and Porfirio, who are both registered Democrats. All three were born in Jalisco, Mexico, and voted in the U.S. for the first time in the 2020 presidential election. They all speak Spanish as their first language and call Oakland home.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888163\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888163 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51425_017_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut.jpg\" alt=\"A smiling family poses at a dining room table, the parents seated side by side and the adult daughter leaning on her father's shoulder.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51425_017_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51425_017_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51425_017_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51425_017_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51425_017_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Itzel Diaz and her parents, Maria and Porfirio Diaz, in their Oakland home on Sept. 9, 2021, after dropping off their ballots for California’s gubernatorial recall election. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The second focus group included three members of the Avila family, who also represent two generations: Debbie and her brother Obed, as well as their mother Adela. All three are registered Republicans, self-identify as Mexican American, and speak Spanish fluently. Debbie and Adela live in Modesto and Obed lives in Merced.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888230\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888230 size-large\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/DebbieAdelaAvila-1020x574.jpg\" alt=\"Side-by-side photos of an adult daughter and her mother, both smiling.\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/DebbieAdelaAvila-1020x574.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/DebbieAdelaAvila-800x450.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/DebbieAdelaAvila-160x90.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/DebbieAdelaAvila-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/DebbieAdelaAvila.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Debbie and Adela Avila in Modesto on Sept. 12, 2021. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of the Avila family)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In both bilingual conversations, we asked participants the same questions:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>“How do each of these ads make you feel?”\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>“What stood out to you while watching them?”\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>“On a scale of 1 to 5, how likely are you to vote YES or NO on the recall after watching each one?”\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>KQED then opened the floor for participants to suggest strategies politicians should consider implementing in future elections to better reach and engage Latino voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>A range of reactions\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Itzel, the independent voter from Oakland, said she was initially struck by Kevin Faulconer’s fluency in Spanish. She had grown used to seeing political ads where a politician would speak just a phrase of Spanish here or there and consider it enough to win her vote. Yet, she was most taken by how staged she thought the casting seemed, and \u003ca href=\"https://youtu.be/5g-OgDeAGao\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the general lack of Latino representation on-screen\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I felt it was like a series of checkboxes. It’s the way they think what Hispanics look like. I didn’t see a representation of Afro-Latinos or queer Latinos,” she said of the Faulconer ad. “It’s very obvious who they think are not going to vote for them.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Her father, Porfirio, agreed, saying Faulconer’s ad tailored its message toward well-to-do Latinos. Like Itzel, he believes this reveals how little most politicians and strategists seem to know about California’s incredibly diverse Latino population, and how many political ads seem designed to only reach\u003cb> \u003c/b>a selective few.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After viewing Spanish-language ads for Elder — \u003ca href=\"https://www.electelder.com/news/larry-elder-campaign-releases-spanish-ads/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">one of the candidate speaking from his office\u003c/a> and another \u003ca href=\"https://www.sacbee.com/opinion/article253950243.html\">voiced by former Democratic state Senate Majority Leader Gloria Romero\u003c/a>, who recently endorsed him — Itzel called them “horrible,” both in content and delivery. She noted that Elder’s accent felt very forced.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>‘Lack of imagination’\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>But what frustrated Itzel most was that both ads emphasized school closures during the pandemic and the negative impact it has had on youth.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The schools did not close. The classes continued online and the children continued learning,” she said. “They do not mention the effort, the operation and the infrastructure that it took [to get] digital access to a lot of those children that never had it before,” she said.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>But Itzel also said she felt offended by the three anti-recall spots paid for by Gov. Gavin Newsom’s campaign — including one that claimed Republicans backing the recall were the same anti-immigrant politicians who support \u003ca href=\"https://youtu.be/21lxnsuj1Sg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">embedding microchips into immigrants\u003c/a>. Trying to reach Latinos with fear-based messaging, she said, may have worked 20 or 30 years ago, but not today.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They are ignoring the fact that there are a lot of very well-educated people in the community. That is, people are very well-informed right now,” she said. “I feel offended in that sense that I mean really, they think that with pure fear they are going to convince us? What a lack of imagination.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Instead, she believes the anti-recall effort should have focused more on the legislative victories of recent years. This year alone, California lawmakers \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11879724/so-thankful-california-to-offer-medi-cal-to-235000-undocumented-californians\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">expanded Medi-Cal eligibility \u003c/a>to lower-income adults 50 and older, regardless of immigration status, and provided an \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11862122/how-to-get-your-california-stimulus-check-and-other-tax-credits-youre-entitled-to\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">additional $600 to undocumented taxpayers who earn less than $75,000\u003c/a> and were ineligible for federal stimulus payments.\u003cstrong> \u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Something that disappoints me, frustrates me is that they are focusing 100% on fear [and] on the trauma that people already have,” Itzel said, calling that strategy completely unnecessary. “[Newsom] has done so many things to support the Latino community. I feel he missed an opportunity.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Porfirio agreed with his daughter’s criticism. He wished the campaign would stop spending so much money on resources to produce fear-based ads and instead emphasize specific ways in which Newsom’s administration has supported the Latino community.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They are very rushed, they look as if they waited too long to prepare for this election,” he said of the Newsom campaign’s ad strategy, which he claims has had no impact on him. “Sadly, it’s the approach they take in every election, right? To scare people with negativity and leave aside the positive contribution. It’s as if they keep betting on that, as if they believe it has more impact.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, Obed Avila, from Merced, a Republican and former Marine, said he wasn’t swayed by an \u003ca href=\"https://youtu.be/j8zSmXltm18\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">anti-recall ad paid for by the California Latino PAC\u003c/a>, linking recall proponents to supporters of Proposition 187, the 1994 ballot measure that targeted the state’s undocumented immigrants.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A lot of the stuff is a little bit one-sided,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But his sister, Debbie, also a Republican, disagrees. She said the anti-recall ad brought her back to that infamous ballot measure from nearly 30 years ago.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“I remember the feeling of being treated like a second-class citizen,” she said, through tears. “I have a lot of pride in my family. Of my dad and the hard labor that he’s done in the field, and even my mom who’s sitting next to me, and the work of ‘mi gente.'”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even though Debbie personally dislikes Newsom, she plans to vote against the recall because she refuses to align herself with candidates who backed the Trump administration. She said she also supported Newsom’s mandate to shut down the state during the pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think that shutting down the state was a difficult decision, but I feel that it needed to be done,” she said. She believes the move helped save lives and curb the spread of COVID-19 in her community, even though she knows many people are still suffering from the pandemic’s economic impact.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And while Debbie’s no vote on the recall may seem like an unexpected one for a registered Republican, she said she was also swayed by her support for recent Democratic state legislation helping undocumented seniors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t see a Republican candidate who would have fought for our undocumented seniors [who’ve] worked in the fields their entire lives, and many of them still are working in the fields today,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>‘Yo voto con mi fe’\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Adela — Debbie and Obed’s mother — who worked as a farm laborer and a teacher for decades, said her spiritual views are the most important factor when deciding whom to vote for. “Yo voto con mi fe [faith],” she said. “I don’t look at what other people are doing. I vote if they tell me what their plans are and if I agree with their plans, I’ll vote for them. If not, I won’t.”\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Both Adela and Obed said they were frustrated that both Faulconer and Elder shared so little information about themselves or their plans for how to implement change as governor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They can make promises, but show me how you’re going to fix it, what your plan is,” Obed said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a general contractor, Obed has worked on several affordable housing projects for unhoused communities in the Central Valley, but is frustrated by what he sees as money wasted. “I’ve seen millions and billions of dollars being wasted just for a temporary Band-Aid. I want to see how they’re going to do these solutions to win my vote.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And though Obed said he likes Larry Elder the most out of all the candidates, \u003ca href=\"https://www.electelder.com/news/larry-elder-campaign-releases-spanish-ads/\">he didn’t find his Spanish ad effective at all\u003c/a>. His sister Debbie agreed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Instead of 30 seconds and spending, you know, the thousands and probably millions of dollars he’s using to put this on the air on radio ads or TV ads, I wish he would have used that to tell me who [Elder] is as a candidate, and what his plan is for the state,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11888164\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11888164 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51410_001_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut.jpg\" alt=\"A man fills out his ballot at a dining room table, with his wife in the background in another room.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51410_001_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51410_001_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51410_001_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51410_001_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/RS51410_001_Oakland_ItzelDiazandFamily_09092021-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Porfirio Diaz fills out his mail-in ballot for California’s gubernatorial recall election at his home in Oakland on Sept. 9, 2021. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>Missed opportunities and the road ahead\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>So how should politicians transform their campaign strategies to more meaningfully connect with Latino voters?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nearly every participant agreed that while it was encouraging to see candidates attempt to speak Spanish or run ads in Spanish, the ads they watched had no impact on who they would decide to vote for, nor did the messages apply to their everyday lives. Simply seeing ads in Spanish wasn’t enough for them to not feel like an afterthought in a last-minute campaign effort, they said. Instead, they wanted to see the candidates address issues that really affected their day-to-day lives.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>The Díaz and Avila families made it clear they are both deeply committed to their community’s well-being. Debbie and Adela, from Modesto, want to see politicians coming to communities in the Central Valley, introducing themselves to residents and learning about their biggest concerns.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And, both families said, politicians need to continue that relationship-building process with Latino communities year-round — not just at election time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They need to invite us to the table, and many times they don’t invite us to the table,” Debbie said. “I would love it if they had an advisory committee that had people from all walks of life. It would be nice to even see undocumented folks and see teenagers. There’s a lot of wisdom to what they have to say.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Porfirio, in Oakland, also stressed that in addition to politicians reaching out to people in his community, Latino voters must also exercise their right to vote and hold legislators accountable for addressing their needs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In Mexico … I never missed an election. I always believe that this is one of the most important civil rights. Not only should we demand it, but we should also defend it,” he said. “We have not valued the importance that we have, or we have not believed it. We have not demanded it.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Hear more of our conversation with the Díaz and Avila families on KQED’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/podcasts/thebay\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u003cem>The Bay\u003c/em>\u003c/a> podcast below.\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"200\" scrolling=\"no\" src=\"https://playlist.megaphone.fm?e=KQINC7373530706&light=true\" width=\"100%\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"info": "What kind of no sabo word is Hyphenación? For us, it’s about living within a hyphenation. Like being a third-gen Mexican-American from the Texas border now living that Bay Area Chicano life. Like Xorje! Each week we bring together a couple of hyphenated Latinos to talk all about personal life choices: family, careers, relationships, belonging … everything is on the table. ",
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"info": "The MindShift podcast explores the innovations in education that are shaping how kids learn. Hosts Ki Sung and Katrina Schwartz introduce listeners to educators, researchers, parents and students who are developing effective ways to improve how kids learn. We cover topics like how fed-up administrators are developing surprising tactics to deal with classroom disruptions; how listening to podcasts are helping kids develop reading skills; the consequences of overparenting; and why interdisciplinary learning can engage students on all ends of the traditional achievement spectrum. This podcast is part of the MindShift education site, a division of KQED News. KQED is an NPR/PBS member station based in San Francisco. You can also visit the MindShift website for episodes and supplemental blog posts or tweet us \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/MindShiftKQED\">@MindShiftKQED\u003c/a> or visit us at \u003ca href=\"/mindshift\">MindShift.KQED.org\u003c/a>",
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"info": "For decades, the process for how police police themselves has been inconsistent – if not opaque. In some states, like California, these proceedings were completely hidden. After a new police transparency law unsealed scores of internal affairs files, our reporters set out to examine these cases and the shadow world of police discipline. On Our Watch brings listeners into the rooms where officers are questioned and witnesses are interrogated to find out who this system is really protecting. Is it the officers, or the public they've sworn to serve?",
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"politicalbreakdown": {
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"tagline": "Politics from a personal perspective",
"info": "Political Breakdown is a new series that explores the political intersection of California and the nation. Each week hosts Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos are joined with a new special guest to unpack politics -- with personality — and offer an insider’s glimpse at how politics happens.",
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"possible": {
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"title": "Possible",
"info": "Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. Together in Possible, Hoffman and Finger lead enlightening discussions about building a brighter collective future. The show features interviews with visionary guests like Trevor Noah, Sam Altman and Janette Sadik-Khan. Possible paints an optimistic portrait of the world we can create through science, policy, business, art and our shared humanity. It asks: What if everything goes right for once? How can we get there? Each episode also includes a short fiction story generated by advanced AI GPT-4, serving as a thought-provoking springboard to speculate how humanity could leverage technology for good.",
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"pri-the-world": {
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"title": "PRI's The World: Latest Edition",
"info": "Each weekday, host Marco Werman and his team of producers bring you the world's most interesting stories in an hour of radio that reminds us just how small our planet really is.",
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},
"radiolab": {
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"title": "Radiolab",
"info": "A two-time Peabody Award-winner, Radiolab is an investigation told through sounds and stories, and centered around one big idea. In the Radiolab world, information sounds like music and science and culture collide. Hosted by Jad Abumrad and Robert Krulwich, the show is designed for listeners who demand skepticism, but appreciate wonder. WNYC Studios is the producer of other leading podcasts including Freakonomics Radio, Death, Sex & Money, On the Media and many more.",
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},
"reveal": {
"id": "reveal",
"title": "Reveal",
"info": "Created by The Center for Investigative Reporting and PRX, Reveal is public radios first one-hour weekly radio show and podcast dedicated to investigative reporting. Credible, fact based and without a partisan agenda, Reveal combines the power and artistry of driveway moment storytelling with data-rich reporting on critically important issues. The result is stories that inform and inspire, arming our listeners with information to right injustices, hold the powerful accountable and improve lives.Reveal is hosted by Al Letson and showcases the award-winning work of CIR and newsrooms large and small across the nation. In a radio and podcast market crowded with choices, Reveal focuses on important and often surprising stories that illuminate the world for our listeners.",
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"officialWebsiteLink": "https://www.revealnews.org/episodes/",
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},
"rightnowish": {
"id": "rightnowish",
"title": "Rightnowish",
"tagline": "Art is where you find it",
"info": "Rightnowish digs into life in the Bay Area right now… ish. Journalist Pendarvis Harshaw takes us to galleries painted on the sides of liquor stores in West Oakland. We'll dance in warehouses in the Bayview, make smoothies with kids in South Berkeley, and listen to classical music in a 1984 Cutlass Supreme in Richmond. Every week, Pen talks to movers and shakers about how the Bay Area shapes what they create, and how they shape the place we call home.",
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