‘Snow-Eater’ Heat Wave Behind Big Sierra Melt Is a Look at Our Climate Future
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"slug": "snow-eater-heat-wave-behind-big-sierra-melt-is-a-look-at-our-climate-future",
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"content": "\u003cp>The snowpack is melting so fast across the Sierra Nevada that ski resorts in the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12075338/lake-tahoe-by-train-california-zephyr-ski-bus-sports-basement-amtrak-capitol-corridor-weather-traffic-delays\">Tahoe area\u003c/a> are farming snow to deepen the slush.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, state officials are worried the melting snowpack could lead to troubling drought and early wildfire conditions. Climate experts said the truncated winter and an \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000348/heat-wave-will-blast-more-bay-area-temperature-records-friday\">early spring heat wave\u003c/a> are exactly what they’ve predicted in a warming world. California has been baked all week with temperatures 20 to 30 degrees above normal for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The monthly record has already been completely smashed for South Lake Tahoe,” said Christopher Johnston, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Reno office. The town set a new March record of 76 degrees on Wednesday, 5 degrees warmer than the previous record set in 2015.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Online, skiers and snowboarders have bemoaned their less-than-ideal trips down the Tahoe slopes. “It was like skiing on a slushee,” wrote one commenter on \u003ca href=\"https://www.reddit.com/r/laketahoe/comments/1rxmj39/skiing_this_weekend/\">Reddit\u003c/a>. “I’m putting a wrap on it for the season,” complained \u003ca href=\"https://www.reddit.com/r/snowboarding/comments/1rwol8m/last_weeks_conditions_at_northstar_tahoe_this_is/\">another\u003c/a>. A \u003ca href=\"https://www.reddit.com/r/palisadestahoe/comments/1rsfy03/hows_the_snow/\">third wrote\u003c/a> what meteorologists have alluded to this week: “It’s summer already, bring your mountain bike.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The lack of snow has caused ski resorts, including Palisades Tahoe, to close runs. Patrick Lacey, the resort’s public relations manager, said that it plans to keep operating through April and that 67% of its terrain remains open.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1978341\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1978341 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/KJ1_0474-1-e1774039477229.jpg\" alt=\"An apline creek running over a dark greanite slabe with white snow to the left and right. Green evergreens and white snow covered mountain peaks in the background.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Snow melts into a creek flowing into the South Fork American River at Phillips Station in the Sierra Nevada, Feb. 1, 2022. \u003ccite>(Kenneth James/California Department of Water Resources)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Mid-morning is the best time to ski, and by afternoon it’s slushy,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Johnston said temperatures will cool by 5 to 10 degrees this weekend, but the ridge could rebuild early next week, bringing back the heat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We might flirt with record highs again next week,” Johnston said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s bad news for California’s snowpack, which sits at \u003ca href=\"https://snow.water.ca.gov/\">35% of the April 1 average \u003c/a>and is quickly declining by more than a percentage point each day. Although that melt rate is cause for hand-wringing, state climatologist Michael Anderson said \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/resapp/RescondMain\">California’s reservoirs\u003c/a>, where summer drinking and irrigation water is banked in manmade lakes, are generally in good condition.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Given the dismal snowpack numbers, it might seem surprising that California recorded above-average precipitation this winter, but warm winter temperatures meant that much of it fell as rain, even in the mountains.[aside postID=news_12076459 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/09/250912-TRUMPSSIGNAGEORDER-35-BL-KQED.jpg']Anderson said the season is “playing out pretty much as we expect in a warmer world.” He means human-caused climate change has altered the atmosphere enough that it’s bringing about fewer but “more punctuated” warm storms that don’t add to the snowpack and, in some cases, melt it prematurely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This year fits that bill,” Anderson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On the flip side, the heat wave is acting like a giant hair dryer blowing across the Sierra, rapidly melting snow. The northern part of the range is at 18% of the April 1 average, the central part is at 40%, and the southern part is at 57% of normal for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Andrew Schwartz, director of the UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab, said melt rates are faster at his station northwest of Lake Tahoe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve been losing about 8% to 13% of our snowpack per day, and that’s without the highest temperatures of this heat dome,” Schwartz said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schwartz characterizes this winter as ridiculously warm and said the Sierra Nevada is in the middle of “a warm snow drought.” The range saw two bigger storms this year, boosting the snowpack, but the several feet of snow that accumulated melted prematurely with rain and warmth.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This year represents what climate change will be showing us in the decades to come,” Schwartz said. Over the next couple of decades, he expects an accelerated shift toward warmer rain-driven seasons that could peak in the 2050s, before “becoming more rain-dominated here in the High Sierra and the Central Sierra.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000410\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-2000410 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/BigBearSnowSkiGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/BigBearSnowSkiGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/BigBearSnowSkiGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/BigBearSnowSkiGetty-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/BigBearSnowSkiGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People ski and snowboard as snow melts at Bear Mountain Ski Resort on Sunday, Dec. 21, 2025, in Big Bear, California. \u003ccite>(Eric Thayer/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Benjamin Hatchett, an earth system scientist at Colorado State University, has a term for these early-season stretches with hot days and warm nights: “\u003ca href=\"https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-7576317/v1\">snow-eater heat waves\u003c/a>.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He studies how they can initially lead to flooding and, later in the summer, result in problems with irrigation availability. These types of heat waves usually last up to five days and can double the melting rates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This heat wave is a textbook example of a snow-eater heat wave,” Hatchett said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As human activities drive climate change, such heat waves are growing in scale and occurring earlier in the season, he found. “Without a long-term warming trend, these events were previously either unlikely or statistically impossible. We kind of unlock that possibility,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When the heat wave is over, and climate scientists study it, he’s almost certain they will find that anthropogenic warming played a big role in the warm-up.[aside postID=science_2000348 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/GettyImages-2266506019-2000x1332.jpg']“It’s an iconic event,” Hatchett said. “It’s something that we should expect, and when snow-eater heat waves happen, they’re going to be worse, and that increases the probability of all of these different negative outcomes.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This year, the rapid snowmelt also means an increase in fire risk, as the forests have an extra month and a half of drying time across the range, Schwartz said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think most of us anticipate kind of a rough fire year,” Schwartz said. “We’re going to have drier fuels for fires as we go into the summer.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schwartz also expects \u003ca href=\"https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?CA\">California’s drought map\u003c/a> to light up in yellow, orange and red — representing dry soil, brush and trees — as spring turns into summer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Even if it’s a little bit of creep on that drought index map, it’s going to happen,” Schwartz said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While reservoir levels are above average for this time of year, water experts such as Newsha Ajami, the founding director of the Risk Resilience Recovery Program at Stanford’s Doerr School of Sustainability, are considering alternative ways to capitalize on early runoff.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Can we store some of the water we’ve released from the reservoirs that might not be needed right now in different formats, like groundwater basins?” Ajami said. “So then later, if the reservoir levels go down, we can tap into that water source.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When Ajami considers this early-season heat wave and rapid snowmelt alongside the past 10 winters, which ranged from super wet to very dry, it shows that California cannot rely on an abundance of water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We don’t know what’s going to happen next year, and we need to manage the system better, as individuals and as communities,” Ajami said. “We actually do need to go back to the drawing board and think about all these pieces.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeeeKhyuk-_odJH80iw5eAlpLBF-YWJnOi_Yqs4BEN9fY1YJA/viewform?usp=publish-editor\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "An early spring California heat wave is feasting on what’s left of the Sierra Nevada snowpack, raising wildfire and drought concerns. ",
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"title": "‘Snow-Eater’ Heat Wave Behind Big Sierra Melt Is a Look at Our Climate Future | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The snowpack is melting so fast across the Sierra Nevada that ski resorts in the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12075338/lake-tahoe-by-train-california-zephyr-ski-bus-sports-basement-amtrak-capitol-corridor-weather-traffic-delays\">Tahoe area\u003c/a> are farming snow to deepen the slush.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, state officials are worried the melting snowpack could lead to troubling drought and early wildfire conditions. Climate experts said the truncated winter and an \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000348/heat-wave-will-blast-more-bay-area-temperature-records-friday\">early spring heat wave\u003c/a> are exactly what they’ve predicted in a warming world. California has been baked all week with temperatures 20 to 30 degrees above normal for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The monthly record has already been completely smashed for South Lake Tahoe,” said Christopher Johnston, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Reno office. The town set a new March record of 76 degrees on Wednesday, 5 degrees warmer than the previous record set in 2015.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Online, skiers and snowboarders have bemoaned their less-than-ideal trips down the Tahoe slopes. “It was like skiing on a slushee,” wrote one commenter on \u003ca href=\"https://www.reddit.com/r/laketahoe/comments/1rxmj39/skiing_this_weekend/\">Reddit\u003c/a>. “I’m putting a wrap on it for the season,” complained \u003ca href=\"https://www.reddit.com/r/snowboarding/comments/1rwol8m/last_weeks_conditions_at_northstar_tahoe_this_is/\">another\u003c/a>. A \u003ca href=\"https://www.reddit.com/r/palisadestahoe/comments/1rsfy03/hows_the_snow/\">third wrote\u003c/a> what meteorologists have alluded to this week: “It’s summer already, bring your mountain bike.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The lack of snow has caused ski resorts, including Palisades Tahoe, to close runs. Patrick Lacey, the resort’s public relations manager, said that it plans to keep operating through April and that 67% of its terrain remains open.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1978341\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1978341 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2022/02/KJ1_0474-1-e1774039477229.jpg\" alt=\"An apline creek running over a dark greanite slabe with white snow to the left and right. Green evergreens and white snow covered mountain peaks in the background.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Snow melts into a creek flowing into the South Fork American River at Phillips Station in the Sierra Nevada, Feb. 1, 2022. \u003ccite>(Kenneth James/California Department of Water Resources)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Mid-morning is the best time to ski, and by afternoon it’s slushy,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Johnston said temperatures will cool by 5 to 10 degrees this weekend, but the ridge could rebuild early next week, bringing back the heat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We might flirt with record highs again next week,” Johnston said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s bad news for California’s snowpack, which sits at \u003ca href=\"https://snow.water.ca.gov/\">35% of the April 1 average \u003c/a>and is quickly declining by more than a percentage point each day. Although that melt rate is cause for hand-wringing, state climatologist Michael Anderson said \u003ca href=\"https://cdec.water.ca.gov/resapp/RescondMain\">California’s reservoirs\u003c/a>, where summer drinking and irrigation water is banked in manmade lakes, are generally in good condition.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Given the dismal snowpack numbers, it might seem surprising that California recorded above-average precipitation this winter, but warm winter temperatures meant that much of it fell as rain, even in the mountains.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Anderson said the season is “playing out pretty much as we expect in a warmer world.” He means human-caused climate change has altered the atmosphere enough that it’s bringing about fewer but “more punctuated” warm storms that don’t add to the snowpack and, in some cases, melt it prematurely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This year fits that bill,” Anderson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On the flip side, the heat wave is acting like a giant hair dryer blowing across the Sierra, rapidly melting snow. The northern part of the range is at 18% of the April 1 average, the central part is at 40%, and the southern part is at 57% of normal for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Andrew Schwartz, director of the UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab, said melt rates are faster at his station northwest of Lake Tahoe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve been losing about 8% to 13% of our snowpack per day, and that’s without the highest temperatures of this heat dome,” Schwartz said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schwartz characterizes this winter as ridiculously warm and said the Sierra Nevada is in the middle of “a warm snow drought.” The range saw two bigger storms this year, boosting the snowpack, but the several feet of snow that accumulated melted prematurely with rain and warmth.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This year represents what climate change will be showing us in the decades to come,” Schwartz said. Over the next couple of decades, he expects an accelerated shift toward warmer rain-driven seasons that could peak in the 2050s, before “becoming more rain-dominated here in the High Sierra and the Central Sierra.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000410\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-2000410 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/BigBearSnowSkiGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/BigBearSnowSkiGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/BigBearSnowSkiGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/BigBearSnowSkiGetty-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/BigBearSnowSkiGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People ski and snowboard as snow melts at Bear Mountain Ski Resort on Sunday, Dec. 21, 2025, in Big Bear, California. \u003ccite>(Eric Thayer/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Benjamin Hatchett, an earth system scientist at Colorado State University, has a term for these early-season stretches with hot days and warm nights: “\u003ca href=\"https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-7576317/v1\">snow-eater heat waves\u003c/a>.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He studies how they can initially lead to flooding and, later in the summer, result in problems with irrigation availability. These types of heat waves usually last up to five days and can double the melting rates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This heat wave is a textbook example of a snow-eater heat wave,” Hatchett said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As human activities drive climate change, such heat waves are growing in scale and occurring earlier in the season, he found. “Without a long-term warming trend, these events were previously either unlikely or statistically impossible. We kind of unlock that possibility,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When the heat wave is over, and climate scientists study it, he’s almost certain they will find that anthropogenic warming played a big role in the warm-up.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“It’s an iconic event,” Hatchett said. “It’s something that we should expect, and when snow-eater heat waves happen, they’re going to be worse, and that increases the probability of all of these different negative outcomes.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This year, the rapid snowmelt also means an increase in fire risk, as the forests have an extra month and a half of drying time across the range, Schwartz said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think most of us anticipate kind of a rough fire year,” Schwartz said. “We’re going to have drier fuels for fires as we go into the summer.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schwartz also expects \u003ca href=\"https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?CA\">California’s drought map\u003c/a> to light up in yellow, orange and red — representing dry soil, brush and trees — as spring turns into summer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Even if it’s a little bit of creep on that drought index map, it’s going to happen,” Schwartz said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While reservoir levels are above average for this time of year, water experts such as Newsha Ajami, the founding director of the Risk Resilience Recovery Program at Stanford’s Doerr School of Sustainability, are considering alternative ways to capitalize on early runoff.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Can we store some of the water we’ve released from the reservoirs that might not be needed right now in different formats, like groundwater basins?” Ajami said. “So then later, if the reservoir levels go down, we can tap into that water source.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When Ajami considers this early-season heat wave and rapid snowmelt alongside the past 10 winters, which ranged from super wet to very dry, it shows that California cannot rely on an abundance of water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We don’t know what’s going to happen next year, and we need to manage the system better, as individuals and as communities,” Ajami said. “We actually do need to go back to the drawing board and think about all these pieces.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003cdiv class='utils-parseShortcode-shortcodes-__shortcodes__shortcodeWrapper'>\n \u003ciframe\n src='https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeeeKhyuk-_odJH80iw5eAlpLBF-YWJnOi_Yqs4BEN9fY1YJA/viewform?usp=publish-editor?embedded=true'\n title='https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeeeKhyuk-_odJH80iw5eAlpLBF-YWJnOi_Yqs4BEN9fY1YJA/viewform?usp=publish-editor'\n width='760' height='500'\n frameborder='0'\n marginheight='0' marginwidth='0'>\u003c/iframe>\u003c/div>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "lake-tahoe-is-there-snow-sierra-forecast-weather-2026-season-storms-report-snowpack",
"title": "Will Tahoe Get Any More Real Snow This Year? Here's What Forecasters Say",
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"headTitle": "Will Tahoe Get Any More Real Snow This Year? Here’s What Forecasters Say | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>With little snow in the forecast, California’s meager \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12073190/big-storms-boost-california-water-supply-but-snowpack-lags\">snowpack \u003c/a>— at just \u003ca href=\"https://snow.water.ca.gov/\">59% of normal\u003c/a> for this time of year — could be in dire trouble. And that’s a big deal for winter sports enthusiasts who want to bag peaks or hit the slopes in Lake \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/tahoe\">Tahoe \u003c/a>this winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This winter hasn’t been a dry one, but it has been a tale of warm storms bringing rain, a few big cold winter systems \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12073190/big-storms-boost-california-water-supply-but-snowpack-lags\">dropping multiple feet of snow\u003c/a> and then warm temperatures prematurely melting some of the cold white layer blanketing the Sierra Nevada.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The full three-month period, winter 2026, was in fact record warm throughout a majority of the Sierra Nevada,” said Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with UC Agriculture and Natural Resources, in Monday’s edition of his \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KJrPxdzBNKY&t=1s\">YouTube video series\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to: \u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#Whatsthelongrangesnowforecastlookinglike\">What’s the long-range snow forecast looking like?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#Whereisthebestsnowtobefoundrightnow\">Where is the ‘best’ snow to be found right now?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>For example, Tahoe City got its third-warmest winter since records began in 1909, said Justin Collins, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Reno Office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Around Lake Tahoe, Swain described the area’s warm temperatures as “truly snow-eating” — meaning that much of the multiple feet of snow that fell in late February has already disappeared.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Literally feet of the snow went away completely over the course of just a few days amid warm, moist and windy conditions,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000255\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1777px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2000255\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/MtShasta5_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1777\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/MtShasta5_qed.jpg 1777w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/MtShasta5_qed-160x120.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/MtShasta5_qed-768x576.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/MtShasta5_qed-1536x1152.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1777px) 100vw, 1777px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Mt. Shasta is seen in the distance on July 19, 2018. \u003ccite>(Bianca Taylor/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>What’s left of the snowpack in parts of the Sierra Nevada — especially along its northern ridges in places like Shasta — is more reminiscent of melt conditions that usually take place in a month or two later in spring, warned Swain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In some places, it looks very concerning,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Keep reading for what weather forecasters and ski resort staff say about what to expect from the rest of the season.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>When is the next snow in the forecast for the Sierra?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect a minor cold front to move over the Sierra Nevada on Wednesday and Thursday, but said it will likely only dust the Sierra Nevada with a relatively paltry 2 inches of snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Amounts with this front aren’t very impressive, unfortunately,” meteorologist Collins said. And after that, he said, “We do clear out all the way through the middle of the month” — likely meaning no new snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Collins said there is a slight chance another weak storm could hit the Sierra Nevada around March 12. But as of now, it’s too early to tell if it will move that far south.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Temperatures will likely warm up to above normal this weekend, said Kate Forrest, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Sacramento office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She agreed that as of now, there’s nothing significant in the forecast that “would add to the current snowpack out there outside of the big February winter storm.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What’s the snow quality right now in Tahoe?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For skiers heading to Tahoe, \u003ca href=\"https://blog.palisadestahoe.com/operations/feb-27-operations-update/\">expect spring-like conditions\u003c/a>, Palisades Tahoe spokesperson Patrick Lacey said. After last week’s rain, much of the fresh snow from the prior storm is now tamped down from the freezing and thawing cycle that happens each night and day up on the mountain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The snow is, accordingly, “pretty compact,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While that might not sound appealing to some skiers, Lacey said these conditions produce “\u003ca href=\"https://www.powder.com/how-to/corn-snow-skiing\">corn\u003c/a>” snow, which some liken to “spring powder” — essentially a loose sun-baked (but not slushy) consistency that, for many people, “comes in second” after prized powder skiing, Lacey said.[aside postID=science_2000203 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/RESIZE-cherry-blossom.jpg']Most importantly, this freeze-thaw cycle has the potential to elongate the ski season at Palisades, Lacey said. That’s because the condensed snowpack acts as a solid base that sticks around longer, even when temperatures get high during the day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At Dodge Ridge ski resort in Pinecrest on Friday, temperatures were high, and the snow was slushy, according to Bing Xu, a Milpitas resident who helps moderate a Bay Area skiing forum on Facebook. But unlike some, Xu said he doesn’t mind a little slush compared to his ski experiences on the East — or “Ice” — Coast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s not the fastest,” he said. “But it’s soft, and it’s easy to dig your edges in.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When it comes to slush, however, there’s a limit to what even Xu can take — so he left the mountain around 1:45 p.m., when he said the snow became too sticky to enjoy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Xu is optimistic about his upcoming Tahoe trip with friends this weekend because temperatures this week have been lower than the last.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I hope to ski at most of the resorts into mid-April,” he said. “And I hope Palisades can stay open till Memorial Day, but if it doesn’t snow again … I don’t know if they’re going to last until then.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m hoping for another storm — obviously, the more snow the better — but I don’t know,” he said. “It’s been such a weird year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"Whatsthelongrangesnowforecastlookinglike\">\u003c/a>How is the long-range snow forecast looking?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Over the next two weeks, Forrest said NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is favoring above-normal temperatures and slightly below-average precipitation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a bit difficult to give any specifics, but it does look like we’ll lean more on the drier and warmer side, at least heading into mid-March,” Forrest said. “We’ll just have to see if that is going to continue or if we’re going to get anything to shake up our weather pattern.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After March 12, Collins said, the forecast gets a bit “messy” and forecast models “aren’t picking up too much” potential rain or snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000258\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2000258\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/SierraNevadaGetty2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/SierraNevadaGetty2.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/SierraNevadaGetty2-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/SierraNevadaGetty2-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/SierraNevadaGetty2-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sunrise view as snow blankets South Lake Tahoe on Nov. 8, 2022. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“At least the way it looks right now, it looks pretty dry,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But still, Collins advised, forecasters can only confidently look into the future at a two-week time scale.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“So anything is possible as it stands right now,” he said. “But we can’t rule out any storms towards the end of the month.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even longer range, \u003ca href=\"https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=1\">over the next three months\u003c/a>, the center is also forecasting slightly above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation across the region.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How long will ski resorts stay open this season?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Ski resorts in the Tahoe area try to keep their lifts spinning as long as possible in the spring. But even so, many end their seasons mid-to-late April, depending on conditions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Palisades Tahoe is one big exception: That resort tends to stay open all the way through Memorial Day in late May, and typically has the longest season of any Tahoe resort. Still, Lacey said, “we do kind of play it by ear,” and their closing date will depend entirely on conditions and demand.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But a resort being open doesn’t necessarily mean the whole mountain will be accessible to skiers and riders. While the two major storms over Christmas and in mid-February are sustaining the resort’s snowpack and allowing it to open nearly 90% of terrain at peak moments of the season, some of Palisades’ lifts, like Silverado, have yet to open due to a lack of coverage, Lacey said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Give me hope: How long has the snow season lasted in previous years?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A typical snowpack can last through May or early June. But that depends on factors including just how many cold storms come through, snow depth, high temperatures and heat waves.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Once it gets into late June, then that’s kind of the maximum range that we kind of see for the snowpack,” Collins said — given how warm temperatures and any rain can “eat away the snowpack.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1985948\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1985948 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"A mountaintop dusted in snow.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1288\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED-800x515.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED-1020x657.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED-160x103.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED-768x495.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED-1536x989.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED-1920x1236.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The snow level on a mountain peak near the Phillips Station meadow where the California Department of Water Resources conducts snow surveys at the Phillips Station in the Sierra Nevada on Jan. 2, 2024. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Fred Greaves/California Department of Water Resources)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>UC climate scientist Swain said that with the warm and dry forecast through at least mid-March, he expects the snowpack to start decreasing actively and for “the trend to essentially continue for the next couple of weeks.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s not as dire as elsewhere,” he said, “but also we do have a significant and worsening snow drought, even after the 5- or 6-foot snowstorm that some places saw later in February.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What about the ‘Miracle Marches’ (or Aprils) of previous years?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The Sierra Nevada is a mountain range that deals in extremes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This means it’s not out of the ordinary for the range to have super wet, very dry or mid-snow years — and yes, there have been many years when the Sierra’s transition to spring has also been its heaviest snow month.[aside postID=news_12074364 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/YosemiteGetty.jpg']“Miracle Marches” dot its history — \u003ca href=\"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/add3cc\">1991\u003c/a>, \u003ca href=\"https://www.capradio.org/articles/2016/03/09/miracle-march-storms-bring-more-snow-rain-to-california/\">2016\u003c/a>, \u003ca href=\"https://www.capradio.org/articles/2018/03/29/late-sierra-nevada-snowstorms-rival-1991s-miracle-march/#:~:text=And%20even%20though%202018%20fell,Don't%20overlook%20that.%22&text=CapRadio%20provides%20a%20trusted%20source,our%20mission%2C%20please%20donate%20today.\">2018\u003c/a>, \u003ca href=\"https://www.capradio.org/articles/2023/10/05/miracle-water-year-in-california-rain-snow-put-states-reservoirs-at-128-of-historical-average/\">2023\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/california-miracle-march-snowfall-blizzard-2024-snowpack\">2024\u003c/a>. Even last winter was \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12033983/late-storms-boost-californias-snowpack-hitting-a-3-year-streak-not-seen-in-decades\">marked by late-season March snowstorms\u003c/a> that brought the snowpack to nearly 100% for the third year in a row.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>According to a \u003ca href=\"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/add3cc#:~:text=The%20term%20'Miracle%20March'%20is,how%20unusual%20such%20conditions%20are.&text=Original%20content%20from%20this%20work,work%2C%20journal%20citation%20and%20DOI.\">2025 study\u003c/a> in the journal Environmental Research Communications, the term itself was “coined through public discourse” after the record-breaking March of 1991, in which the snowpack jumped from around 15% to 75% of average.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And while this year’s late February storms did boost the snowpack, it wasn’t enough to set the state up for a good water year when it comes to its frozen reservoir.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The snowpack is in better shape than it was one month ago, but we only have a month left of our snow-accumulation season and time is rapidly running out to catch up,” said Andy Reising, manager of the state’s Snow Surveys and Water Supply Forecasting Unit, in a \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2026/Feb-2026/February-Storms-Provide-a-Much-Needed-Boost-but-Statewide-Snowpack-Remains-Below-Average\">press release\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, Palisades’ Lacey is staying optimistic. He said March tends to be one of the snowiest months at the resort — and their \u003ca href=\"https://blog.palisadestahoe.com/operations/moving-at-the-speed-of-safety/\">blog\u003c/a> currently still has Memorial Day as the target closing date.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"Whereisthebestsnowtobefoundrightnow\">\u003c/a>Amid all this gloom, where \u003cem>can\u003c/em> I find the best snow right now?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If you are planning to head to Tahoe-area resorts, Lacey suggests “following the sun as much as possible,” hitting south-facing slopes in the morning and north-facing ones in the afternoon to take advantage of the “corn” consistency as the slopes melt each day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But those chasing higher snowpacks from the Bay Area might consider heading south. While Palisades reports its base at 40 inches deep, \u003ca href=\"https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mountain-report\">Mammoth Mountain in the Eastern Sierra\u003c/a> has a snow depth of 76 inches to work with.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000256\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2000256\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/Dodge-Ridge-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/Dodge-Ridge-1.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/Dodge-Ridge-1-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/Dodge-Ridge-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/Dodge-Ridge-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Dodge Ridge Mountain Resort is one of the smaller Central Sierra resorts offered on the Cali Pass. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Dodge Ridge Mountain Resort)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>That’s because \u003ca href=\"https://snow.water.ca.gov/\">snow levels aren’t the same across the range\u003c/a>. The northern part of the range is at 38%, the central part at 62% and the southern part at 82% of normal for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Emily van Greuning, spokesperson for Mammoth Mountain, said 100% of the mountain is currently open and they’re planning to keep lifts spinning at least through Memorial Day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mammoth averages over 350 inches of snowfall a year, so it’s not uncommon for the resort to stay open late into spring and even summer, with historic closing dates as late as early August, she said. Last season, the mountain got 75 inches of snow in March alone.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But like every year, van Greuning said the closing date will depend mostly on Mother Nature.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We have no idea what it’s going to bring,” she said. “It’s kind of day by day once we get to the end of the season.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "California’s snowpack is just 59% of normal after a record-warm winter — and with little snow ahead, time is running short to hit Sierra Nevada slopes.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>With little snow in the forecast, California’s meager \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12073190/big-storms-boost-california-water-supply-but-snowpack-lags\">snowpack \u003c/a>— at just \u003ca href=\"https://snow.water.ca.gov/\">59% of normal\u003c/a> for this time of year — could be in dire trouble. And that’s a big deal for winter sports enthusiasts who want to bag peaks or hit the slopes in Lake \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/tahoe\">Tahoe \u003c/a>this winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This winter hasn’t been a dry one, but it has been a tale of warm storms bringing rain, a few big cold winter systems \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12073190/big-storms-boost-california-water-supply-but-snowpack-lags\">dropping multiple feet of snow\u003c/a> and then warm temperatures prematurely melting some of the cold white layer blanketing the Sierra Nevada.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The full three-month period, winter 2026, was in fact record warm throughout a majority of the Sierra Nevada,” said Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with UC Agriculture and Natural Resources, in Monday’s edition of his \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KJrPxdzBNKY&t=1s\">YouTube video series\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to: \u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#Whatsthelongrangesnowforecastlookinglike\">What’s the long-range snow forecast looking like?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#Whereisthebestsnowtobefoundrightnow\">Where is the ‘best’ snow to be found right now?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>For example, Tahoe City got its third-warmest winter since records began in 1909, said Justin Collins, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Reno Office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Around Lake Tahoe, Swain described the area’s warm temperatures as “truly snow-eating” — meaning that much of the multiple feet of snow that fell in late February has already disappeared.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Literally feet of the snow went away completely over the course of just a few days amid warm, moist and windy conditions,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000255\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1777px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2000255\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/MtShasta5_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1777\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/MtShasta5_qed.jpg 1777w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/MtShasta5_qed-160x120.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/MtShasta5_qed-768x576.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/MtShasta5_qed-1536x1152.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1777px) 100vw, 1777px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Mt. Shasta is seen in the distance on July 19, 2018. \u003ccite>(Bianca Taylor/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>What’s left of the snowpack in parts of the Sierra Nevada — especially along its northern ridges in places like Shasta — is more reminiscent of melt conditions that usually take place in a month or two later in spring, warned Swain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In some places, it looks very concerning,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Keep reading for what weather forecasters and ski resort staff say about what to expect from the rest of the season.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>When is the next snow in the forecast for the Sierra?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect a minor cold front to move over the Sierra Nevada on Wednesday and Thursday, but said it will likely only dust the Sierra Nevada with a relatively paltry 2 inches of snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Amounts with this front aren’t very impressive, unfortunately,” meteorologist Collins said. And after that, he said, “We do clear out all the way through the middle of the month” — likely meaning no new snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Collins said there is a slight chance another weak storm could hit the Sierra Nevada around March 12. But as of now, it’s too early to tell if it will move that far south.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Temperatures will likely warm up to above normal this weekend, said Kate Forrest, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Sacramento office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She agreed that as of now, there’s nothing significant in the forecast that “would add to the current snowpack out there outside of the big February winter storm.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What’s the snow quality right now in Tahoe?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For skiers heading to Tahoe, \u003ca href=\"https://blog.palisadestahoe.com/operations/feb-27-operations-update/\">expect spring-like conditions\u003c/a>, Palisades Tahoe spokesperson Patrick Lacey said. After last week’s rain, much of the fresh snow from the prior storm is now tamped down from the freezing and thawing cycle that happens each night and day up on the mountain.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The snow is, accordingly, “pretty compact,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While that might not sound appealing to some skiers, Lacey said these conditions produce “\u003ca href=\"https://www.powder.com/how-to/corn-snow-skiing\">corn\u003c/a>” snow, which some liken to “spring powder” — essentially a loose sun-baked (but not slushy) consistency that, for many people, “comes in second” after prized powder skiing, Lacey said.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Most importantly, this freeze-thaw cycle has the potential to elongate the ski season at Palisades, Lacey said. That’s because the condensed snowpack acts as a solid base that sticks around longer, even when temperatures get high during the day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At Dodge Ridge ski resort in Pinecrest on Friday, temperatures were high, and the snow was slushy, according to Bing Xu, a Milpitas resident who helps moderate a Bay Area skiing forum on Facebook. But unlike some, Xu said he doesn’t mind a little slush compared to his ski experiences on the East — or “Ice” — Coast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s not the fastest,” he said. “But it’s soft, and it’s easy to dig your edges in.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When it comes to slush, however, there’s a limit to what even Xu can take — so he left the mountain around 1:45 p.m., when he said the snow became too sticky to enjoy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Xu is optimistic about his upcoming Tahoe trip with friends this weekend because temperatures this week have been lower than the last.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I hope to ski at most of the resorts into mid-April,” he said. “And I hope Palisades can stay open till Memorial Day, but if it doesn’t snow again … I don’t know if they’re going to last until then.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m hoping for another storm — obviously, the more snow the better — but I don’t know,” he said. “It’s been such a weird year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"Whatsthelongrangesnowforecastlookinglike\">\u003c/a>How is the long-range snow forecast looking?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Over the next two weeks, Forrest said NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is favoring above-normal temperatures and slightly below-average precipitation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a bit difficult to give any specifics, but it does look like we’ll lean more on the drier and warmer side, at least heading into mid-March,” Forrest said. “We’ll just have to see if that is going to continue or if we’re going to get anything to shake up our weather pattern.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After March 12, Collins said, the forecast gets a bit “messy” and forecast models “aren’t picking up too much” potential rain or snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000258\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2000258\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/SierraNevadaGetty2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/SierraNevadaGetty2.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/SierraNevadaGetty2-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/SierraNevadaGetty2-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/SierraNevadaGetty2-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sunrise view as snow blankets South Lake Tahoe on Nov. 8, 2022. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“At least the way it looks right now, it looks pretty dry,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But still, Collins advised, forecasters can only confidently look into the future at a two-week time scale.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“So anything is possible as it stands right now,” he said. “But we can’t rule out any storms towards the end of the month.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even longer range, \u003ca href=\"https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=1\">over the next three months\u003c/a>, the center is also forecasting slightly above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation across the region.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How long will ski resorts stay open this season?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Ski resorts in the Tahoe area try to keep their lifts spinning as long as possible in the spring. But even so, many end their seasons mid-to-late April, depending on conditions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Palisades Tahoe is one big exception: That resort tends to stay open all the way through Memorial Day in late May, and typically has the longest season of any Tahoe resort. Still, Lacey said, “we do kind of play it by ear,” and their closing date will depend entirely on conditions and demand.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But a resort being open doesn’t necessarily mean the whole mountain will be accessible to skiers and riders. While the two major storms over Christmas and in mid-February are sustaining the resort’s snowpack and allowing it to open nearly 90% of terrain at peak moments of the season, some of Palisades’ lifts, like Silverado, have yet to open due to a lack of coverage, Lacey said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Give me hope: How long has the snow season lasted in previous years?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A typical snowpack can last through May or early June. But that depends on factors including just how many cold storms come through, snow depth, high temperatures and heat waves.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Once it gets into late June, then that’s kind of the maximum range that we kind of see for the snowpack,” Collins said — given how warm temperatures and any rain can “eat away the snowpack.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1985948\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1985948 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"A mountaintop dusted in snow.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1288\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED-800x515.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED-1020x657.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED-160x103.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED-768x495.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED-1536x989.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOW-SURVEY-DWR-FG-01-KQED-1920x1236.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The snow level on a mountain peak near the Phillips Station meadow where the California Department of Water Resources conducts snow surveys at the Phillips Station in the Sierra Nevada on Jan. 2, 2024. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Fred Greaves/California Department of Water Resources)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>UC climate scientist Swain said that with the warm and dry forecast through at least mid-March, he expects the snowpack to start decreasing actively and for “the trend to essentially continue for the next couple of weeks.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s not as dire as elsewhere,” he said, “but also we do have a significant and worsening snow drought, even after the 5- or 6-foot snowstorm that some places saw later in February.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What about the ‘Miracle Marches’ (or Aprils) of previous years?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The Sierra Nevada is a mountain range that deals in extremes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This means it’s not out of the ordinary for the range to have super wet, very dry or mid-snow years — and yes, there have been many years when the Sierra’s transition to spring has also been its heaviest snow month.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“Miracle Marches” dot its history — \u003ca href=\"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/add3cc\">1991\u003c/a>, \u003ca href=\"https://www.capradio.org/articles/2016/03/09/miracle-march-storms-bring-more-snow-rain-to-california/\">2016\u003c/a>, \u003ca href=\"https://www.capradio.org/articles/2018/03/29/late-sierra-nevada-snowstorms-rival-1991s-miracle-march/#:~:text=And%20even%20though%202018%20fell,Don't%20overlook%20that.%22&text=CapRadio%20provides%20a%20trusted%20source,our%20mission%2C%20please%20donate%20today.\">2018\u003c/a>, \u003ca href=\"https://www.capradio.org/articles/2023/10/05/miracle-water-year-in-california-rain-snow-put-states-reservoirs-at-128-of-historical-average/\">2023\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/california-miracle-march-snowfall-blizzard-2024-snowpack\">2024\u003c/a>. Even last winter was \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12033983/late-storms-boost-californias-snowpack-hitting-a-3-year-streak-not-seen-in-decades\">marked by late-season March snowstorms\u003c/a> that brought the snowpack to nearly 100% for the third year in a row.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>According to a \u003ca href=\"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/add3cc#:~:text=The%20term%20'Miracle%20March'%20is,how%20unusual%20such%20conditions%20are.&text=Original%20content%20from%20this%20work,work%2C%20journal%20citation%20and%20DOI.\">2025 study\u003c/a> in the journal Environmental Research Communications, the term itself was “coined through public discourse” after the record-breaking March of 1991, in which the snowpack jumped from around 15% to 75% of average.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And while this year’s late February storms did boost the snowpack, it wasn’t enough to set the state up for a good water year when it comes to its frozen reservoir.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The snowpack is in better shape than it was one month ago, but we only have a month left of our snow-accumulation season and time is rapidly running out to catch up,” said Andy Reising, manager of the state’s Snow Surveys and Water Supply Forecasting Unit, in a \u003ca href=\"https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2026/Feb-2026/February-Storms-Provide-a-Much-Needed-Boost-but-Statewide-Snowpack-Remains-Below-Average\">press release\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, Palisades’ Lacey is staying optimistic. He said March tends to be one of the snowiest months at the resort — and their \u003ca href=\"https://blog.palisadestahoe.com/operations/moving-at-the-speed-of-safety/\">blog\u003c/a> currently still has Memorial Day as the target closing date.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"Whereisthebestsnowtobefoundrightnow\">\u003c/a>Amid all this gloom, where \u003cem>can\u003c/em> I find the best snow right now?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If you are planning to head to Tahoe-area resorts, Lacey suggests “following the sun as much as possible,” hitting south-facing slopes in the morning and north-facing ones in the afternoon to take advantage of the “corn” consistency as the slopes melt each day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But those chasing higher snowpacks from the Bay Area might consider heading south. While Palisades reports its base at 40 inches deep, \u003ca href=\"https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mountain-report\">Mammoth Mountain in the Eastern Sierra\u003c/a> has a snow depth of 76 inches to work with.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000256\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2000256\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/Dodge-Ridge-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/Dodge-Ridge-1.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/Dodge-Ridge-1-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/Dodge-Ridge-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/Dodge-Ridge-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Dodge Ridge Mountain Resort is one of the smaller Central Sierra resorts offered on the Cali Pass. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Dodge Ridge Mountain Resort)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>That’s because \u003ca href=\"https://snow.water.ca.gov/\">snow levels aren’t the same across the range\u003c/a>. The northern part of the range is at 38%, the central part at 62% and the southern part at 82% of normal for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Emily van Greuning, spokesperson for Mammoth Mountain, said 100% of the mountain is currently open and they’re planning to keep lifts spinning at least through Memorial Day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mammoth averages over 350 inches of snowfall a year, so it’s not uncommon for the resort to stay open late into spring and even summer, with historic closing dates as late as early August, she said. Last season, the mountain got 75 inches of snow in March alone.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But like every year, van Greuning said the closing date will depend mostly on Mother Nature.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We have no idea what it’s going to bring,” she said. “It’s kind of day by day once we get to the end of the season.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"title": "Could Climate Change Reshape Avalanche Danger in the Sierra Nevada? Scientists Say It’s Complicated",
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"content": "\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12073933/treacherous-sierra-nevada-storm-delays-recovery-of-9-presumed-avalanche-victims\">death toll from the avalanche\u003c/a> this week near Lake Tahoe makes it California’s deadliest in modern history — eight people died, and one is still missing. These snowy white landslides are natural during winter in the Sierra Nevada. But climate change is altering winters globally, raising questions about its impact on these mountain rumbles.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Backcountry skiers, guides, and researchers like Richard Bothwell know the Tahoe area like the back of their hand. He’s skied the backcountry peaks and valleys of the Sierra Nevada for three decades and is the head avalanche director for the Outdoor Adventure Club. The Bay Area organization offers professionally guided outdoor trips, including backcountry skiing.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bothwell is heartbroken over the deaths this week from the avalanche: “It’s a bad day for the backcountry community writ large. It’s a bad day for the guiding community.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the fact that an avalanche took place this week wasn’t a surprise. January was practically snowless. What was left turned almost sugary; it rained at some point, and an icy top formed on that snow. Then this week, a big dump of snow fell on top of that icy crust. It was just sitting there, ready to slide off and trigger a powerful avalanche.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“During any gap [in]wintertime, it’s relatively common that the snow surface weakens, and that’s what we experienced,” said David Reichel, executive director of the Sierra Avalanche Center.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000143\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-2000143 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A vehicle is buried in snow during a storm on Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2026, in Truckee, California. \u003ccite>(Brooke Hess-Homeier/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Reichel said his group has no real idea how many avalanches barrel down mountainsides in the Sierra Nevada each year because there’s no sensor system to detect them. Researchers know whether an avalanche has stormed down a hill when someone clocks it and reports it.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When someone reports an avalanche, the center and others like it across the country will rate its destructive size. They currently list the Tahoe avalanche as a D-2.5, with the size of a football field and the force to kill or bury a human.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Sierra Avalanche Center also forecasts dangerous conditions using a separate \u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.org/avalanche-encyclopedia/human/resources/north-american-public-avalanche-danger-scale/\">five-point scale ranging from low to extreme\u003c/a>. The center rated the danger on the day of the avalanche as high.[aside postID=news_12073851 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/260220-AVALANCHE-VICTIMS-KQED.jpg']Avalanches occur every winter in the Sierra Nevada, but is human-caused climate change increasing their size or frequency?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s super complicated,” said Benjamin Hatchett, an earth system scientist at Colorado State University who grew up backcountry skiing around Tahoe and researches snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hatchett said that when it comes to climate change, “the fingerprints are everywhere.” But the conditions that led to the Tahoe avalanche are meteorological, not climatological. The rapid change to wet, cold weather brought by winter storms pushed down from the Gulf of Alaska.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I see no evidence for climate change to play a role, certainly not a first or second order, probably not even further down the list than that,” Hatchett said. “And that’s kind of going back to the setup of the storm.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In some parts of the world with year-round snow, Hatchett said, there is a signal that climate change could be increasing avalanche danger.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In large glaciated mountains like the Alps, the Himalaya, and the Andes, the answer is very likely yes because of a warming environment that’s destabilizing snow and ice,” Hatchett said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000144\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2000144\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1500\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1-160x120.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1-768x576.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1-1536x1152.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sierra Avalanche Center forecasters observe a crack in the snow on Feb. 17, 2026. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Nolan Averbuch)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But in areas with seasonal snowpacks, like the Sierra Nevada, Hatchett said there isn’t a clear answer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is something we expect to see more of in the future, but we don’t have strong evidence for that happening now,” Hatchett said. “There are absolutely ways that a warming world will statistically change things, and that goes back to the way this winter started with a lot of rain instead of snow. That to me is a signal of a warming world.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Hatchett said he sees another issue. When winter snow comes later, like this year, people can get antsy to get outdoors and ski. But when warnings, like about avalanche danger, are issued. He urges extreme caution.[aside postID=news_12073933 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/CaliforniaAvalancheAP3-1.jpg']“Thinking about that more strongly could save lives in the future,” Hatchett said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hatchett recognizes that holding off is a hard decision, but he said the recent tragedy just might show it’s worth it not to head out into a storm. And more and more people are having to make that hard decision as the sport has become more popular. Especially after the pandemic spurred a surge of interest in these kinds of outdoor adventure sports, said Brenda Giese, a backcountry ski trip leader for the Sierra Club San Francisco Bay Chapter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“People want a change from the downhill ski resorts because there are more people there now and they’re willing to take these risks,” Giese said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She’s also worried that the influx of people in the backcountry and the growing atmospheric potential for bigger and more intense storms could put more skiers in danger in the long run.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There were severe storms in the past, but they weren’t as frequent,” Giese said. “And there are just more people out there.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12073933/treacherous-sierra-nevada-storm-delays-recovery-of-9-presumed-avalanche-victims\">death toll from the avalanche\u003c/a> this week near Lake Tahoe makes it California’s deadliest in modern history — eight people died, and one is still missing. These snowy white landslides are natural during winter in the Sierra Nevada. But climate change is altering winters globally, raising questions about its impact on these mountain rumbles.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Backcountry skiers, guides, and researchers like Richard Bothwell know the Tahoe area like the back of their hand. He’s skied the backcountry peaks and valleys of the Sierra Nevada for three decades and is the head avalanche director for the Outdoor Adventure Club. The Bay Area organization offers professionally guided outdoor trips, including backcountry skiing.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bothwell is heartbroken over the deaths this week from the avalanche: “It’s a bad day for the backcountry community writ large. It’s a bad day for the guiding community.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the fact that an avalanche took place this week wasn’t a surprise. January was practically snowless. What was left turned almost sugary; it rained at some point, and an icy top formed on that snow. Then this week, a big dump of snow fell on top of that icy crust. It was just sitting there, ready to slide off and trigger a powerful avalanche.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“During any gap [in]wintertime, it’s relatively common that the snow surface weakens, and that’s what we experienced,” said David Reichel, executive director of the Sierra Avalanche Center.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000143\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-2000143 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SnowStormSierraNevadaAP1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A vehicle is buried in snow during a storm on Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2026, in Truckee, California. \u003ccite>(Brooke Hess-Homeier/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Reichel said his group has no real idea how many avalanches barrel down mountainsides in the Sierra Nevada each year because there’s no sensor system to detect them. Researchers know whether an avalanche has stormed down a hill when someone clocks it and reports it.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When someone reports an avalanche, the center and others like it across the country will rate its destructive size. They currently list the Tahoe avalanche as a D-2.5, with the size of a football field and the force to kill or bury a human.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Sierra Avalanche Center also forecasts dangerous conditions using a separate \u003ca href=\"https://avalanche.org/avalanche-encyclopedia/human/resources/north-american-public-avalanche-danger-scale/\">five-point scale ranging from low to extreme\u003c/a>. The center rated the danger on the day of the avalanche as high.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Avalanches occur every winter in the Sierra Nevada, but is human-caused climate change increasing their size or frequency?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s super complicated,” said Benjamin Hatchett, an earth system scientist at Colorado State University who grew up backcountry skiing around Tahoe and researches snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hatchett said that when it comes to climate change, “the fingerprints are everywhere.” But the conditions that led to the Tahoe avalanche are meteorological, not climatological. The rapid change to wet, cold weather brought by winter storms pushed down from the Gulf of Alaska.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I see no evidence for climate change to play a role, certainly not a first or second order, probably not even further down the list than that,” Hatchett said. “And that’s kind of going back to the setup of the storm.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In some parts of the world with year-round snow, Hatchett said, there is a signal that climate change could be increasing avalanche danger.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In large glaciated mountains like the Alps, the Himalaya, and the Andes, the answer is very likely yes because of a warming environment that’s destabilizing snow and ice,” Hatchett said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000144\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2000144\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1500\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1-160x120.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1-768x576.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/SierraAvalanche1-1536x1152.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sierra Avalanche Center forecasters observe a crack in the snow on Feb. 17, 2026. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Nolan Averbuch)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But in areas with seasonal snowpacks, like the Sierra Nevada, Hatchett said there isn’t a clear answer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is something we expect to see more of in the future, but we don’t have strong evidence for that happening now,” Hatchett said. “There are absolutely ways that a warming world will statistically change things, and that goes back to the way this winter started with a lot of rain instead of snow. That to me is a signal of a warming world.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Hatchett said he sees another issue. When winter snow comes later, like this year, people can get antsy to get outdoors and ski. But when warnings, like about avalanche danger, are issued. He urges extreme caution.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“Thinking about that more strongly could save lives in the future,” Hatchett said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hatchett recognizes that holding off is a hard decision, but he said the recent tragedy just might show it’s worth it not to head out into a storm. And more and more people are having to make that hard decision as the sport has become more popular. Especially after the pandemic spurred a surge of interest in these kinds of outdoor adventure sports, said Brenda Giese, a backcountry ski trip leader for the Sierra Club San Francisco Bay Chapter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“People want a change from the downhill ski resorts because there are more people there now and they’re willing to take these risks,” Giese said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She’s also worried that the influx of people in the backcountry and the growing atmospheric potential for bigger and more intense storms could put more skiers in danger in the long run.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There were severe storms in the past, but they weren’t as frequent,” Giese said. “And there are just more people out there.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>This week’s storm pummeling the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a> has already unleashed pouring \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/rain\">rain\u003c/a>, more than 500 lightning strikes, snowy peaks and reports of hail. And more is on the way — rain will fall all week on the coastal region, with frigid temperatures in the North and South Bay Area, and plenty of snow in the Sierra Nevada by the end of the week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Over the past two days, a cold front sweeping across the region from the Gulf of Alaska has brought San Francisco and Oakland nearly 2 inches of rain. North Bay cities saw higher amounts — more than 3 inches — and peaks like Mount Tamalpais received more than 4 inches of rain. And just this morning, Bay Area peaks, like Mount Hamilton in Santa Clara County, collected several inches of snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters said the consistent downpour will last through Wednesday across the greater Bay Area, but off-and-on showers are likely through Saturday. The National Weather Service has also issued an extreme cold warning through Wednesday morning for the North Bay mountains and valleys, as well as the southern Salinas Area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By the week’s end, each part of the Bay Area could see nearly 2 inches of rain or more, said Dalton Behringer, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Bay Area office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We still have a few more rounds of rain through the end of the week,” Behringer said. “Most people may actually see some sun Thursday, Friday and Saturday.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000071\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 600px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/gif.gif\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2000071\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/gif.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"550\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Storms pass over the San Francisco Bay Area. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of the National Weather Service)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But after the relatively calm weekend, Behringer said to expect a “deja vu” moment on Sunday into next week when another round of storms moves south into the region. Flooding has been minimal so far, he said, but next week could be a different story.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Some of the areas that got a lot of rain this week may start to see some of those compounding flooding effects,” Behringer said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Behringer doesn’t expect any large-scale river flooding because rivers across the region are in “pretty good shape to accept a lot more runoff.” He said that if any does occur, it will likely be localized in urban areas and along small streams.[aside postID=news_12073593 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/DonnerPassGetty.jpg']Across the Sierra Nevada, forecasters said ski resorts are already reporting a foot to a couple of feet of snow, with 12 inches at Lake Tahoe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This really is just the beginning,” Edan Lindaman, a National Weather Service meteorologist in Reno, told KQED. “This is just a really strong winter storm. And because it’s been so quiet, it may have caught some people off guard.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters said snow levels could drop to 1,000 feet at times, and more than 4 feet could fall at 3,500 feet or above. Up to 8 feet of snow could fall on the highest peaks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dakari Anderson, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Sacramento office, discouraged mountain travel over the next few days.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We are looking at dangerous to near impossible mountain traveling conditions with chain controls and road closures,” Anderson said. “There will also be low visibility and near whiteout conditions from a combination of snow and heavy wind.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the anticipated snow will be a positive boost for the state’s snowpack — needed for replenishing the state’s water levels — already nearing the yearly average of where it should be by winter’s end.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1985947\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1985947 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1408\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED-800x563.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED-1020x718.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED-160x113.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED-768x541.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED-1536x1081.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED-1920x1352.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Andrew Schwartz, UC Berkeley’s Central Sierra Snow Laboratory manager and lead scientist, conducts a snow survey in Soda Springs on Jan. 26, 2022. \u003ccite>(Florence Low/California Department of Water Resources)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>What this week’s storm will do is push the state’s frozen reservoir in the right direction of approaching an average snowpack year, said Andrew Schwartz, director of the UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This isn’t going to be a one-and-done situation where we get this storm, and it brings us up to average and everything’s hunky dory for the rest of the season,” Schwartz said. “We’ll need multiple other storms to try to get back up to that average or above average mark, but this is definitely a step in the correct direction.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schwartz described the looming systems as smaller snow producers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“But that’s not necessarily the end of the world either,” Schwartz said. “If we get multiple storms that have little bits of snow, that’s just as good as having one or two big storms.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>This week’s storm pummeling the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a> has already unleashed pouring \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/rain\">rain\u003c/a>, more than 500 lightning strikes, snowy peaks and reports of hail. And more is on the way — rain will fall all week on the coastal region, with frigid temperatures in the North and South Bay Area, and plenty of snow in the Sierra Nevada by the end of the week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Over the past two days, a cold front sweeping across the region from the Gulf of Alaska has brought San Francisco and Oakland nearly 2 inches of rain. North Bay cities saw higher amounts — more than 3 inches — and peaks like Mount Tamalpais received more than 4 inches of rain. And just this morning, Bay Area peaks, like Mount Hamilton in Santa Clara County, collected several inches of snow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters said the consistent downpour will last through Wednesday across the greater Bay Area, but off-and-on showers are likely through Saturday. The National Weather Service has also issued an extreme cold warning through Wednesday morning for the North Bay mountains and valleys, as well as the southern Salinas Area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By the week’s end, each part of the Bay Area could see nearly 2 inches of rain or more, said Dalton Behringer, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Bay Area office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We still have a few more rounds of rain through the end of the week,” Behringer said. “Most people may actually see some sun Thursday, Friday and Saturday.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_2000071\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 600px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/gif.gif\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2000071\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/gif.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"550\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Storms pass over the San Francisco Bay Area. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of the National Weather Service)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But after the relatively calm weekend, Behringer said to expect a “deja vu” moment on Sunday into next week when another round of storms moves south into the region. Flooding has been minimal so far, he said, but next week could be a different story.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Some of the areas that got a lot of rain this week may start to see some of those compounding flooding effects,” Behringer said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Behringer doesn’t expect any large-scale river flooding because rivers across the region are in “pretty good shape to accept a lot more runoff.” He said that if any does occur, it will likely be localized in urban areas and along small streams.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Across the Sierra Nevada, forecasters said ski resorts are already reporting a foot to a couple of feet of snow, with 12 inches at Lake Tahoe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This really is just the beginning,” Edan Lindaman, a National Weather Service meteorologist in Reno, told KQED. “This is just a really strong winter storm. And because it’s been so quiet, it may have caught some people off guard.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters said snow levels could drop to 1,000 feet at times, and more than 4 feet could fall at 3,500 feet or above. Up to 8 feet of snow could fall on the highest peaks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dakari Anderson, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Sacramento office, discouraged mountain travel over the next few days.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We are looking at dangerous to near impossible mountain traveling conditions with chain controls and road closures,” Anderson said. “There will also be low visibility and near whiteout conditions from a combination of snow and heavy wind.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the anticipated snow will be a positive boost for the state’s snowpack — needed for replenishing the state’s water levels — already nearing the yearly average of where it should be by winter’s end.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1985947\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1985947 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1408\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED-800x563.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED-1020x718.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED-160x113.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED-768x541.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED-1536x1081.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/01/240102-SNOWPACK-DWR-01-KQED-1920x1352.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Andrew Schwartz, UC Berkeley’s Central Sierra Snow Laboratory manager and lead scientist, conducts a snow survey in Soda Springs on Jan. 26, 2022. \u003ccite>(Florence Low/California Department of Water Resources)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>What this week’s storm will do is push the state’s frozen reservoir in the right direction of approaching an average snowpack year, said Andrew Schwartz, director of the UC Berkeley Central Sierra Snow Lab.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This isn’t going to be a one-and-done situation where we get this storm, and it brings us up to average and everything’s hunky dory for the rest of the season,” Schwartz said. “We’ll need multiple other storms to try to get back up to that average or above average mark, but this is definitely a step in the correct direction.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schwartz described the looming systems as smaller snow producers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“But that’s not necessarily the end of the world either,” Schwartz said. “If we get multiple storms that have little bits of snow, that’s just as good as having one or two big storms.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"title": "Winter Is So Back. Storms Are on the Way for the Bay Area and Sierra Nevada",
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"content": "\u003cp>The Bay Area’s first false spring is coming to an end this week as two storms promise to bring much-needed rain across the region and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999949/californias-snowpack-is-shrinking-but-winter-isnt-over-yet\">snow\u003c/a> to the Sierra Nevada.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>National Weather Service forecasters said the weather pattern will shift from shorts-and-hoodie weather with a first storm starting Tuesday. But it is just the beginning of what forecasters say appears to be the storm door opening for the foreseeable future, with rain and mountain snow that could last through mid-February.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The jet stream is now pointing at California, and when that happens, it’s kind of like a highway for storms to move through,” said Dylan Flynn, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Tuesday’s storm, dipping down from the Gulf of Alaska, could deliver as much as an inch of rain in coastal cities and 2 inches along the coastal range.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Flynn said the first round of rain will last through midday Wednesday and will be mostly beneficial after weeks of dry weather. But he said the brief storm will bring strong winds, colder temperatures and a chance of thunderstorms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1999992\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1999992\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/20251113_RainFolo_GH-4_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/20251113_RainFolo_GH-4_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/20251113_RainFolo_GH-4_qed-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/20251113_RainFolo_GH-4_qed-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/20251113_RainFolo_GH-4_qed-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">San Francisco City Hall is reflected in a rain puddle at Civic Center Plaza on Nov. 13, 2025. \u003ccite>(Gustavo Hernandez/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“It’ll be a stormy, nasty day Tuesday, and then Wednesday it’ll clear up,” Flynn said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters also expect the first storm to blanket the Sierra Nevada in snow, with up to a foot and a half of snow above 6,000 feet and up to 2 feet at the highest peaks. The storm could complicate mountain travel from Tuesday through midday Wednesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A much colder, wetter and potentially longer storm will likely move over Northern California on Saturday, just in time for a three-day Valentine’s weekend.[aside postID=news_12071021 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/260126-AI-WEATHER-01-KQED.jpg']“That next system really could help put us back on track, at least for our snowpack and water reservoir levels,” said Jeffrey Wood, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Sacramento office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters suggest this weekend’s storm could bring multiple feet of snow to the Sierra Nevada, but it’s too early to tell. The storm could linger into next week, with a potential third storm arriving later next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It does look like the storm track from the Pacific is finally opening up to bring snow back to the Sierra,” said Mark Deutschendorf, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Reno office. “Winter is finally coming back.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Deutschendorf recommends mountain travelers avoid the snowiest windows and pay close attention to road controls; they might miss out on skiing and instead be “stuck on the highway waiting for plows to come.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Across the Bay Area, Flynn said the second storm will be a “little more tame,” but sustained rain, with about the same amount as Tuesday’s storm, could last Saturday through Tuesday or longer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We don’t see any of the strong wind or big thunderstorm threat with the next system,” Flynn said. “It’s more well-behaved.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "A shift in the jet stream will bring much-needed winter storms to Northern California after weeks of dry weather, and forecasters say the storm door could be opening for the foreseeable future. ",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The Bay Area’s first false spring is coming to an end this week as two storms promise to bring much-needed rain across the region and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999949/californias-snowpack-is-shrinking-but-winter-isnt-over-yet\">snow\u003c/a> to the Sierra Nevada.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>National Weather Service forecasters said the weather pattern will shift from shorts-and-hoodie weather with a first storm starting Tuesday. But it is just the beginning of what forecasters say appears to be the storm door opening for the foreseeable future, with rain and mountain snow that could last through mid-February.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The jet stream is now pointing at California, and when that happens, it’s kind of like a highway for storms to move through,” said Dylan Flynn, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Tuesday’s storm, dipping down from the Gulf of Alaska, could deliver as much as an inch of rain in coastal cities and 2 inches along the coastal range.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Flynn said the first round of rain will last through midday Wednesday and will be mostly beneficial after weeks of dry weather. But he said the brief storm will bring strong winds, colder temperatures and a chance of thunderstorms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1999992\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1999992\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/20251113_RainFolo_GH-4_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/20251113_RainFolo_GH-4_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/20251113_RainFolo_GH-4_qed-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/20251113_RainFolo_GH-4_qed-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/02/20251113_RainFolo_GH-4_qed-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">San Francisco City Hall is reflected in a rain puddle at Civic Center Plaza on Nov. 13, 2025. \u003ccite>(Gustavo Hernandez/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“It’ll be a stormy, nasty day Tuesday, and then Wednesday it’ll clear up,” Flynn said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters also expect the first storm to blanket the Sierra Nevada in snow, with up to a foot and a half of snow above 6,000 feet and up to 2 feet at the highest peaks. The storm could complicate mountain travel from Tuesday through midday Wednesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A much colder, wetter and potentially longer storm will likely move over Northern California on Saturday, just in time for a three-day Valentine’s weekend.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“That next system really could help put us back on track, at least for our snowpack and water reservoir levels,” said Jeffrey Wood, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Sacramento office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters suggest this weekend’s storm could bring multiple feet of snow to the Sierra Nevada, but it’s too early to tell. The storm could linger into next week, with a potential third storm arriving later next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It does look like the storm track from the Pacific is finally opening up to bring snow back to the Sierra,” said Mark Deutschendorf, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Reno office. “Winter is finally coming back.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Deutschendorf recommends mountain travelers avoid the snowiest windows and pay close attention to road controls; they might miss out on skiing and instead be “stuck on the highway waiting for plows to come.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Across the Bay Area, Flynn said the second storm will be a “little more tame,” but sustained rain, with about the same amount as Tuesday’s storm, could last Saturday through Tuesday or longer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We don’t see any of the strong wind or big thunderstorm threat with the next system,” Flynn said. “It’s more well-behaved.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "3-storms-will-bring-much-needed-rain-to-bay-area-and-snow-in-the-sierras",
"title": "3 Storms Will Bring Much-Needed Rain to Bay Area and Snow in the Sierras",
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"content": "\u003cp>The Bay Area could get “a December’s worth of rain” over the next week, with \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999678/bay-area-you-just-might-have-yourself-a-soggy-rainy-christmas\">a rainy Christmas Day \u003c/a>and a Sierra Nevada \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12066608/lake-tahoe-things-to-do-that-arent-skiing-or-snowboarding-weather-snow-sierra\">blanketed with white\u003c/a>, the National Weather Service said Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters said they expect a weeklong \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1935067/rivers-in-the-sky-what-you-need-to-know-about-atmospheric-river-storms\">atmospheric river\u003c/a> with three distinct storms to move over Northern California next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Joe Merchant, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office, said the first wave of precipitation will begin Friday afternoon and last through Saturday, bringing much-needed rain after around six weeks of mostly dry conditions, especially in the North Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What we’re seeing now is just sort of setting the stage for potential problems later in the latter half of next week, which unfortunately does include Christmas Day,” Merchant said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The second wave is set to crash over the Bay Area between Saturday and next Tuesday, potentially bringing 1 to 3 inches of rain in the North Bay and the possibility of flash flooding in low-lying areas. San Francisco could receive several inches by Sunday night.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters wrote in their daily weather \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD\">discussion\u003c/a> that they expect the heaviest rain on Sunday into Monday along the North Bay coast, Santa Cruz mountains and the Big Sur coast, with winds up to 40 mph and a 15% chance of thunderstorms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1999213\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1999213\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2025/11/007_SanFrancisco_AtmosphericRiver_12132021_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1331\" data-wp-editing=\"1\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2025/11/007_SanFrancisco_AtmosphericRiver_12132021_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2025/11/007_SanFrancisco_AtmosphericRiver_12132021_qed-160x106.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2025/11/007_SanFrancisco_AtmosphericRiver_12132021_qed-768x511.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2025/11/007_SanFrancisco_AtmosphericRiver_12132021_qed-1536x1022.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People wait at a Muni stop on Mission Street in the rain on Dec. 13, 2021. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The weather service has not yet issued a flood watch, warning or advisory. Flooding depends heavily on where the storm stalls or moves over the region, but meteorologists said urban areas and low-lying areas with poor drainage are most at risk. Flashy streams, such as Mark West Creek in Sonoma County, are also susceptible to flooding, especially as soils become saturated.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters said they expect the third and potentially most potent wave to make landfall on Tuesday afternoon and last through next Friday. The storm is likely to bring moderate to heavy rain, which could cause larger rivers to flood late next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s not going to be raining steadily for seven days straight or anything like that,” Merchant said. “But you will have to pay attention and know when these rounds of more impactful rainfall come through your area.”[aside postID=news_12066736 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/12/TuleFogGetty.jpg']While it is unclear where, or even if, the atmospheric river will stall over the Bay Area, these weather systems can act like a fire hose, absolutely drenching wherever they park. In recent history, they’ve \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1994168/the-pajaro-flood-forced-them-to-flee-californias-high-rents-forced-them-to-return\">caused significant flooding\u003c/a> from Guerneville to San Francisco to Watsonville.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Merchant said the first two waves of rain are progressive and don’t look like they’ll stick around, but it is too early to say what the third storm will bring.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“By Thursday, that’s where we’re going to have a little more concern about possibly more widespread impacts like fallen trees and power lines,” Merchant said. “But to be honest, it’s too far out at this point to know exactly the timing of those impacts.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Because of all the wind and rain, people should allow “more time to travel through our area basically over the next week,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At the moment, the massive river in the sky headed towards us is building from Hawaii to the Pacific Coast. Weather experts measure the intensity of atmospheric rivers on a scale from 0 to 5. This system could reach a 3 across the North Bay and a 4 across the San Francisco peninsula and South Bay, according to \u003ca href=\"https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/arscale/\">atmospheric river-scale modeling\u003c/a> by the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes at UC San Diego’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1984920\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1984920 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/GettyImages-1482972333-scaled-e1766179697716.jpg\" alt=\"Snow storm falls on the Sierras.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1330\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Snow blows in the Sierra Nevada after yet another storm brought heavy snowfall, raising the snowpack on March 29, 2023, in Mammoth Lakes, California. \u003ccite>(Mario Tama/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>As for the Sierra Nevada, forecasters said the first two waves will bring mostly rain at elevations lower than 8,000 feet. But they expect the snowline to drop to around 6,000 feet during the third system, starting Tuesday afternoon. Heavy snow will likely complicate travel on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re talking multiple feet of snow above pass level and even at pass level for the Christmas holiday,” said Scott Rowe, senior service hydrologist and meteorologist with the weather service’s Sacramento office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The determination of whether mountain residents or visitors will have a white Christmas depends on elevation, Rowe said. People staying in cabins above 6,000 feet in elevation will likely see snow, while those staying below about 5,500 feet will likely experience rain all week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The Bay Area could get “a December’s worth of rain” over the next week, with \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999678/bay-area-you-just-might-have-yourself-a-soggy-rainy-christmas\">a rainy Christmas Day \u003c/a>and a Sierra Nevada \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12066608/lake-tahoe-things-to-do-that-arent-skiing-or-snowboarding-weather-snow-sierra\">blanketed with white\u003c/a>, the National Weather Service said Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters said they expect a weeklong \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1935067/rivers-in-the-sky-what-you-need-to-know-about-atmospheric-river-storms\">atmospheric river\u003c/a> with three distinct storms to move over Northern California next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Joe Merchant, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office, said the first wave of precipitation will begin Friday afternoon and last through Saturday, bringing much-needed rain after around six weeks of mostly dry conditions, especially in the North Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What we’re seeing now is just sort of setting the stage for potential problems later in the latter half of next week, which unfortunately does include Christmas Day,” Merchant said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The second wave is set to crash over the Bay Area between Saturday and next Tuesday, potentially bringing 1 to 3 inches of rain in the North Bay and the possibility of flash flooding in low-lying areas. San Francisco could receive several inches by Sunday night.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters wrote in their daily weather \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD\">discussion\u003c/a> that they expect the heaviest rain on Sunday into Monday along the North Bay coast, Santa Cruz mountains and the Big Sur coast, with winds up to 40 mph and a 15% chance of thunderstorms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1999213\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1999213\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2025/11/007_SanFrancisco_AtmosphericRiver_12132021_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1331\" data-wp-editing=\"1\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2025/11/007_SanFrancisco_AtmosphericRiver_12132021_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2025/11/007_SanFrancisco_AtmosphericRiver_12132021_qed-160x106.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2025/11/007_SanFrancisco_AtmosphericRiver_12132021_qed-768x511.jpg 768w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2025/11/007_SanFrancisco_AtmosphericRiver_12132021_qed-1536x1022.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People wait at a Muni stop on Mission Street in the rain on Dec. 13, 2021. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The weather service has not yet issued a flood watch, warning or advisory. Flooding depends heavily on where the storm stalls or moves over the region, but meteorologists said urban areas and low-lying areas with poor drainage are most at risk. Flashy streams, such as Mark West Creek in Sonoma County, are also susceptible to flooding, especially as soils become saturated.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters said they expect the third and potentially most potent wave to make landfall on Tuesday afternoon and last through next Friday. The storm is likely to bring moderate to heavy rain, which could cause larger rivers to flood late next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s not going to be raining steadily for seven days straight or anything like that,” Merchant said. “But you will have to pay attention and know when these rounds of more impactful rainfall come through your area.”\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>While it is unclear where, or even if, the atmospheric river will stall over the Bay Area, these weather systems can act like a fire hose, absolutely drenching wherever they park. In recent history, they’ve \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1994168/the-pajaro-flood-forced-them-to-flee-californias-high-rents-forced-them-to-return\">caused significant flooding\u003c/a> from Guerneville to San Francisco to Watsonville.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Merchant said the first two waves of rain are progressive and don’t look like they’ll stick around, but it is too early to say what the third storm will bring.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“By Thursday, that’s where we’re going to have a little more concern about possibly more widespread impacts like fallen trees and power lines,” Merchant said. “But to be honest, it’s too far out at this point to know exactly the timing of those impacts.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Because of all the wind and rain, people should allow “more time to travel through our area basically over the next week,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At the moment, the massive river in the sky headed towards us is building from Hawaii to the Pacific Coast. Weather experts measure the intensity of atmospheric rivers on a scale from 0 to 5. This system could reach a 3 across the North Bay and a 4 across the San Francisco peninsula and South Bay, according to \u003ca href=\"https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/arscale/\">atmospheric river-scale modeling\u003c/a> by the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes at UC San Diego’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_1984920\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-1984920 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2023/10/GettyImages-1482972333-scaled-e1766179697716.jpg\" alt=\"Snow storm falls on the Sierras.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1330\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Snow blows in the Sierra Nevada after yet another storm brought heavy snowfall, raising the snowpack on March 29, 2023, in Mammoth Lakes, California. \u003ccite>(Mario Tama/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>As for the Sierra Nevada, forecasters said the first two waves will bring mostly rain at elevations lower than 8,000 feet. But they expect the snowline to drop to around 6,000 feet during the third system, starting Tuesday afternoon. Heavy snow will likely complicate travel on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re talking multiple feet of snow above pass level and even at pass level for the Christmas holiday,” said Scott Rowe, senior service hydrologist and meteorologist with the weather service’s Sacramento office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The determination of whether mountain residents or visitors will have a white Christmas depends on elevation, Rowe said. People staying in cabins above 6,000 feet in elevation will likely see snow, while those staying below about 5,500 feet will likely experience rain all week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Lightning. Erratic Winds. Hail. Waterspouts. Flooding. Forecasters suggest these environmental conditions are all possible through Tuesday in the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area-weather\">Bay Area\u003c/a>, and the Sierra Nevada will likely get its first significant snow of the season.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A low-pressure system \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12059267/storm-forecasted-to-hit-the-bay-area-early-next-week-as-typhoon-halong-hits-japan\">moving into the region\u003c/a> from Oregon and Washington “will quickly dive down the West Coast today,” first hitting the North Bay with rain midmorning Monday, according to the National Weather Service daily forecast discussion. But as the day lingers, the storm will move south, bringing potentially wet conditions across the region before likely dousing the Central Coast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Pretty much everywhere is going to be impacted,” said Roger Gass, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office. “It’s an early storm system, but there’s no atmospheric river-type scenario associated with the system.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Gass said the storm could bring a suite of environmental issues with it, including lightning, offshore water spouts and small hail. But he said the “biggest threat will be nuisance flooding,” where areas that typically pool water could flood.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for rainfall totals, he said the larger amounts of rain will be on the Central Coast, with up to 2 inches of rain at the highest elevations. Meteorologists expect an inch of rain or less for the rest of the Bay Area.[aside postID=science_1998746 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2025/10/240109-CAWindStorm-076_qed.jpg']“Don’t drive through flooded roadways,” Gass said. “The most deaths [in storms] are due to people driving through flooded roadways. And then for thunderstorms, if thunder roars, go indoors.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Farther inland, forecasters said the storm could drop up to 3 feet of snow on the highest peaks of the Sierra Nevada, especially in the area south of Highway 50.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is our first time issuing winter products for the season and the first measurable snowfall event we’ve had in our area,” said Dakari Anderson, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Sacramento office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Anderson said travelers on mountain passes should expect chain controls, slippery conditions and inclement weather. The office has issued a winter storm warning through Wednesday at 5 a.m. for the Sierra Nevada and the Lassen National Park area above 6,500 feet.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect the heaviest snow totals on Monday afternoon and evening.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Make sure you’re checking the forecast before heading out for the day,” Anderson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Lightning. Erratic Winds. Hail. Waterspouts. Flooding. Forecasters suggest these environmental conditions are all possible through Tuesday in the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area-weather\">Bay Area\u003c/a>, and the Sierra Nevada will likely get its first significant snow of the season.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A low-pressure system \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12059267/storm-forecasted-to-hit-the-bay-area-early-next-week-as-typhoon-halong-hits-japan\">moving into the region\u003c/a> from Oregon and Washington “will quickly dive down the West Coast today,” first hitting the North Bay with rain midmorning Monday, according to the National Weather Service daily forecast discussion. But as the day lingers, the storm will move south, bringing potentially wet conditions across the region before likely dousing the Central Coast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Pretty much everywhere is going to be impacted,” said Roger Gass, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office. “It’s an early storm system, but there’s no atmospheric river-type scenario associated with the system.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Gass said the storm could bring a suite of environmental issues with it, including lightning, offshore water spouts and small hail. But he said the “biggest threat will be nuisance flooding,” where areas that typically pool water could flood.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for rainfall totals, he said the larger amounts of rain will be on the Central Coast, with up to 2 inches of rain at the highest elevations. Meteorologists expect an inch of rain or less for the rest of the Bay Area.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“Don’t drive through flooded roadways,” Gass said. “The most deaths [in storms] are due to people driving through flooded roadways. And then for thunderstorms, if thunder roars, go indoors.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Farther inland, forecasters said the storm could drop up to 3 feet of snow on the highest peaks of the Sierra Nevada, especially in the area south of Highway 50.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is our first time issuing winter products for the season and the first measurable snowfall event we’ve had in our area,” said Dakari Anderson, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Sacramento office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Anderson said travelers on mountain passes should expect chain controls, slippery conditions and inclement weather. The office has issued a winter storm warning through Wednesday at 5 a.m. for the Sierra Nevada and the Lassen National Park area above 6,500 feet.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect the heaviest snow totals on Monday afternoon and evening.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Make sure you’re checking the forecast before heading out for the day,” Anderson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Dry lightning is in the California forecast this weekend, especially for the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/sierra-nevada\">Sierra Nevada\u003c/a>, elevating the risk of fires touching off that could quickly become a bigger conflagration.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service in Sacramento forecasts a 15%–35% chance of thunderstorms over the Sierra on Saturday afternoon and evening and a 10%–30% chance on Sunday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The thunderstorms could come at a bad time, just as a long-running heat wave that baked the state finally eases and vegetation is totally dried out.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>People out in the mountains this weekend should be careful, the weather service warned.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Any storms that develop could be capable of gusty winds and possible fire starts from lightning strikes,” their latest \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=afdsto\">forecast discussion\u003c/a> said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/Weather_West/status/1811801058231886181\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dead brush on the ground across Northern California is critically flammable after two weeks of record-shattering heat, with temperatures tacking far north of 110 degrees in many cities from Redding to Palm Springs and beyond.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://fsapps.nwcg.gov/psp/npsg/forecast/#/outlooks?forecastDay=2015-07-07&forecastInView=2015-07-07&state=sideBySide&gaccId=4\">latest National Interagency Fire Center\u003c/a> forecast notes “high confidence in isolated to widely scattered, mostly dry T-storms” moving north across the Sierra to the north and far east side on Saturday and Sunday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>They also note a chance of “isolated dry lightning” over the East Bay and Santa Cruz Mountains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Dry lightning is in the California forecast this weekend, especially for the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/sierra-nevada\">Sierra Nevada\u003c/a>, elevating the risk of fires touching off that could quickly become a bigger conflagration.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service in Sacramento forecasts a 15%–35% chance of thunderstorms over the Sierra on Saturday afternoon and evening and a 10%–30% chance on Sunday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The thunderstorms could come at a bad time, just as a long-running heat wave that baked the state finally eases and vegetation is totally dried out.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>Dead brush on the ground across Northern California is critically flammable after two weeks of record-shattering heat, with temperatures tacking far north of 110 degrees in many cities from Redding to Palm Springs and beyond.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://fsapps.nwcg.gov/psp/npsg/forecast/#/outlooks?forecastDay=2015-07-07&forecastInView=2015-07-07&state=sideBySide&gaccId=4\">latest National Interagency Fire Center\u003c/a> forecast notes “high confidence in isolated to widely scattered, mostly dry T-storms” moving north across the Sierra to the north and far east side on Saturday and Sunday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>They also note a chance of “isolated dry lightning” over the East Bay and Santa Cruz Mountains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Winter is temporarily back — and fat snowflakes were already seen falling onto Mount Tamalpais, Mount Diablo and Mount Hamilton in Marin, Contra Costa and Santa Clara counties on Thursday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Wintery conditions could last through Saturday as a cold storm moves through the region and may continue to whiten our highest peaks with a few inches of snow across the Bay Area and Central Coast. [pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Matt Mehle, meteorologist, National Weather Service Bay Area office\"]‘The snow will probably be most notable for people living in the East Bay, the heart of the Bay Area.’[/pullquote]“The snow will probably be most notable for people living in the East Bay, the heart of the Bay Area,” said Matt Mehle, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Bay Area office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As temperatures drop Thursday and Friday evenings, forecasters said rain could turn into snow, and temperatures on Thursday afternoon will struggle to warm above the mid-50s in lowlands and above 30 degrees in higher terrain. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937103/warming-shelters-flood-bomb-cyclone-storm-bay-area\">Meteorologists warn that near-freezing temperatures could negatively impact unhoused people.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Up in the Sierra Nevada, as much as 1 foot of snow could fall across the highest elevations, once again \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains\">complicating travel on mountain passes\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Getting cold systems like this down into California is not uncommon; what’s uncommon is to get it at this time of year,” Mehle said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>A storm bringing more snow than rain?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The late-season cold storm is traveling south from the Gulf of Alaska, and forecasters don’t expect the storm to produce gobs of rain, wind or flooding — less than an inch of rain across the region is predicted.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But meteorologists do expect up to a foot of snow along the Central Coast in the mountains near Big Sur.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you encounter snow, definitely drive slower,” Mehle said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/DrewTumaABC7/status/1775908152904659372?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service has not issued a wind advisory, but Mehle warns wind gusts up to 40 mph are possible throughout the Bay Area over the next 24 hours. He said the agency is also working with government partners to ensure \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937103/warming-shelters-flood-bomb-cyclone-storm-bay-area\">warming centers are open for unhoused people \u003c/a>to escape the wintery conditions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Temperatures will remain below normal all the way into the upcoming weekend,” Mehle said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologists forecast the rain and wind to taper off late Friday and Saturday, but cold temperatures will linger into the weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/CALFIRECZU/status/1775935116910735731?s=20\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The weather pattern could also drop up to 1 foot of snow across the highest points in the Sierra Nevada, especially south of Highway 50, said Idamis Shoemaker, a National Weather Service meteorologist with the agency’s Sacramento office. [aside postID=science_1991866 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2024/03/CaliWeather318-1020x680.jpg']Shoemaker said people traveling in the Sierra this week should carry chains and be prepared for snow-covered roads and travel delays. She also warned that we “could see snow levels lowering down into the upper foothills.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The cold storms also bring thunderstorm potential. Shoemaker said that could mean lightning, gusty winds, small hail and funnel clouds at lower elevations, especially in the Sacramento Valley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Looking ahead, there’s a slight chance of scattered showers over the weekend before warm and dry weather returns next week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Warmer than average temps may be in the cards by mid-April,” said UCLA climate scientist Daniel Swain \u003ca href=\"https://x.com/Weather_West/status/1775567128407450068?s=20\">in a post on X\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Forecasters say a late-season cold weather pattern will bring not just snow to Bay Area peaks but also near-freezing temperatures in major metropolitan areas, bringing challenges for unhoused residents.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“The snow will probably be most notable for people living in the East Bay, the heart of the Bay Area,” said Matt Mehle, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Bay Area office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As temperatures drop Thursday and Friday evenings, forecasters said rain could turn into snow, and temperatures on Thursday afternoon will struggle to warm above the mid-50s in lowlands and above 30 degrees in higher terrain. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937103/warming-shelters-flood-bomb-cyclone-storm-bay-area\">Meteorologists warn that near-freezing temperatures could negatively impact unhoused people.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Up in the Sierra Nevada, as much as 1 foot of snow could fall across the highest elevations, once again \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains\">complicating travel on mountain passes\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Getting cold systems like this down into California is not uncommon; what’s uncommon is to get it at this time of year,” Mehle said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"mindshift": {
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"order": 12
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"info": "For decades, the process for how police police themselves has been inconsistent – if not opaque. In some states, like California, these proceedings were completely hidden. After a new police transparency law unsealed scores of internal affairs files, our reporters set out to examine these cases and the shadow world of police discipline. On Our Watch brings listeners into the rooms where officers are questioned and witnesses are interrogated to find out who this system is really protecting. Is it the officers, or the public they've sworn to serve?",
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"tagline": "Politics from a personal perspective",
"info": "Political Breakdown is a new series that explores the political intersection of California and the nation. Each week hosts Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos are joined with a new special guest to unpack politics -- with personality — and offer an insider’s glimpse at how politics happens.",
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"possible": {
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"title": "Possible",
"info": "Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. Together in Possible, Hoffman and Finger lead enlightening discussions about building a brighter collective future. The show features interviews with visionary guests like Trevor Noah, Sam Altman and Janette Sadik-Khan. Possible paints an optimistic portrait of the world we can create through science, policy, business, art and our shared humanity. It asks: What if everything goes right for once? How can we get there? Each episode also includes a short fiction story generated by advanced AI GPT-4, serving as a thought-provoking springboard to speculate how humanity could leverage technology for good.",
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"pri-the-world": {
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"info": "Each weekday, host Marco Werman and his team of producers bring you the world's most interesting stories in an hour of radio that reminds us just how small our planet really is.",
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},
"radiolab": {
"id": "radiolab",
"title": "Radiolab",
"info": "A two-time Peabody Award-winner, Radiolab is an investigation told through sounds and stories, and centered around one big idea. In the Radiolab world, information sounds like music and science and culture collide. Hosted by Jad Abumrad and Robert Krulwich, the show is designed for listeners who demand skepticism, but appreciate wonder. WNYC Studios is the producer of other leading podcasts including Freakonomics Radio, Death, Sex & Money, On the Media and many more.",
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},
"reveal": {
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