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"content": "\u003cp>The four top candidates vying to represent California in the U.S. Senate clashed over the conflict between Israel and Hamas and pushed the only Republican in the debate over whether he will support the reelection of Donald Trump as they faced off in Los Angeles Monday evening in their first debate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Reps. Katie Porter, Barbara Lee, Adam Schiff found at least one thing they could agree on: Dragging former Los Angeles Dodgers player Steve Garvey over his unwillingness to say whether he plans to vote for Trump a third time at the ballot box.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>All four candidates appeared onstage at the University of Southern California for the debate, which was also hosted by Politico and FOX11. They’re fighting for a rare opportunity to represent the most populous state in the nation, a seat left vacant by the late Sen. Dianne Feinstein. It’s only the second time since 1992 that state voters will choose a Senator without an incumbent on the ballot (Vice President Kamala Harris was elected to the open seat in 2016, but she didn’t face a serious challenge.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The three Democrats who took the stage have nearly identical voting records in Congress, and share similar positions on many key issues including supporting abortion rights, expanding Medicare, and ending the filibuster in the U.S. Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But it was Garvey’s first turn in the spotlight, and he tried to frame himself as a “conservative moderate” in an apparent attempt not to alienate either Trump supporters or independent voters. When pushed to ask whether he disagrees with Republicans in Congress on anything Garvey responded “Just about everything,” but when asked what a second Trump presidency would mean, he demurred.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While polls have shown Schiff in the lead, with Porter just a few points behind, many voters remain undecided. The top Democrats are hoping to engineer a runoff against Garvey: Given California’s top two primary system as well as Democrat’s strong voter registration advantage, it would be difficult for Garvey to win. In fact, no Republican has won a statewide election since 2006.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Here’s where the candidates stand on several key issues:\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Trump’s reelection\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>All three of the Democrats are strong critics of the former President. But Garvey, who says he voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020, tried to dance around what he would do in November.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What more do you need to see of what he’s done to be able to say that you will not support him,” Schiff asked.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Garvey responded, and accused Schiff of engaging in “identity politics.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When the time comes, I’ll do exactly what I said I will: Look at the two opponents. I will determine what they did. And at that time I will make my choice. I don’t believe Joe Biden has been for good for this country,” Garvey said, then went on to say the U.S. was safer under Trump.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Porter shot back, “Once a Dodger, always a dodger.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Ballots go out in six weeks, Mr. Garvey. This is not the minor leagues. Who will you vote for?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11973352\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11973352\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Woman and man stand in front of lectern before a debate\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1707\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">US Rep. Katie Porter (D-Calif.), left, and former baseball player Steve Garvey react during a televised debate for candidates in the Senate race to succeed the late California Sen. Dianne Feinstein, Monday, Jan. 22, 2024, in Los Angeles. \u003ccite>(Damian Dovarganes/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch2>Israel/Hamas war\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Foreign policy is fertile ground for Lee, who needs to rally her progressive base to have any hope of overtaking the other candidates. She was the lone vote in Congress against military action in Afghanistan in the wake of 9/11, and called for a ceasefire within days of the October 7 Hamas attack.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Monday evening, Lee argued for a “political and diplomatic solution” saying that Israel deserves to live in peace and that the offensive in Gaza has been counterproductive.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Killing 25,000 civilians — it’s catastrophic and it will never lead to peace for the Israelis nor the Palestinians,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schiff and Garvey both rejected \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11967845/california-democratic-senate-candidates-face-calls-for-cease-fire-at-party-convention\">calls for a ceasefire\u003c/a> and said they stand staunchly with Israel. But Schiff supports a two-state solution while Garvey said it’s “naive” to think it’s possible to achieve a Palestinian state in “our lifetime.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It won’t be until the next generation when we’ll be able to talk about that again,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Porter said she supports a “durable bilateral peace” saying it cannot happen until the Israeli hostages are released, but that the U.S. should use its diplomatic heft to help get the parties there.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SATMYhUPv70\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Earmarks\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The debate did elicit one area of disagreement among the Democrats: whether they should use their position in Congress to funnel money to their home state. Porter, whose broader campaign is framed around the notion that corporations and special interest groups have too much power, is opposed to earmarks and says they should be eliminated entirely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Earmarks is just a fancy word for Washington politicians substituting their personal interests, including getting earmarks for their big donors for what our needs are,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schiff, however, pushed back, noting that California sends more tax dollars to Washington, D.C., than it receives back in federal aid. He called Porter’s position “wonderful news to the 49 other states.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lee and Garvey both said they would use earmarks if elected to the Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>The candidates\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Porter, who gained political fame questioning bank executives and other Congressional witnesses armed with a dry erase marker and whiteboard, has positioned herself as a populist and consumer advocate. On the campaign trail, she’s talking about tackling corruption in both the public and private sector and “unrigging” the economy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schiff is best known as one of former President Trump’s most dogged critics in Congress. He helped lead the first impeachment of the former president and has framed his campaign as a way to protect democracy; he’s also promoting a number long-shot proposals to make government more accountable, including eliminating the electoral college and expanding the number of justices on the Supreme Court.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lee is the staunchest progressive in the race and the only person of color. Best known for her lone vote in Congress against military action in the wake of 9/11, Lee has tried to stress her unique foreign policy credentials including an early call for a ceasefire in the conflict between Israel and Hamas, but her campaign has struggled to catch fire.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Garvey, who has never run for public office, is the least known of the set, at least politically: A professional baseball player from 1969 to 1987, he’s leaned heavily on that history in his rare campaign appearances since he announced a run this fall. He’s tried to strike a middle ground on touchy issues such as abortion, saying he personally opposes it but wouldn’t vote for a national ban.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While polls have shown Schiff in the lead, with Porter just a few points behind, many voters remain undecided. The top Democrats are hoping to engineer a runoff against Garvey: Given California’s top two primary system as well as Democrat’s strong voter registration advantage, it would be difficult for Garvey to win. In fact, no Republican has won a statewide election since 2006.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Here’s where the candidates stand on several key issues:\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Trump’s reelection\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>All three of the Democrats are strong critics of the former President. But Garvey, who says he voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020, tried to dance around what he would do in November.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What more do you need to see of what he’s done to be able to say that you will not support him,” Schiff asked.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Garvey responded, and accused Schiff of engaging in “identity politics.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When the time comes, I’ll do exactly what I said I will: Look at the two opponents. I will determine what they did. And at that time I will make my choice. I don’t believe Joe Biden has been for good for this country,” Garvey said, then went on to say the U.S. was safer under Trump.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Porter shot back, “Once a Dodger, always a dodger.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Ballots go out in six weeks, Mr. Garvey. This is not the minor leagues. Who will you vote for?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11973352\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2560px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11973352\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Woman and man stand in front of lectern before a debate\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1707\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-scaled.jpg 2560w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/AP24023096367707-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">US Rep. Katie Porter (D-Calif.), left, and former baseball player Steve Garvey react during a televised debate for candidates in the Senate race to succeed the late California Sen. Dianne Feinstein, Monday, Jan. 22, 2024, in Los Angeles. \u003ccite>(Damian Dovarganes/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch2>Israel/Hamas war\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Foreign policy is fertile ground for Lee, who needs to rally her progressive base to have any hope of overtaking the other candidates. She was the lone vote in Congress against military action in Afghanistan in the wake of 9/11, and called for a ceasefire within days of the October 7 Hamas attack.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Monday evening, Lee argued for a “political and diplomatic solution” saying that Israel deserves to live in peace and that the offensive in Gaza has been counterproductive.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Killing 25,000 civilians — it’s catastrophic and it will never lead to peace for the Israelis nor the Palestinians,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schiff and Garvey both rejected \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11967845/california-democratic-senate-candidates-face-calls-for-cease-fire-at-party-convention\">calls for a ceasefire\u003c/a> and said they stand staunchly with Israel. But Schiff supports a two-state solution while Garvey said it’s “naive” to think it’s possible to achieve a Palestinian state in “our lifetime.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It won’t be until the next generation when we’ll be able to talk about that again,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Porter said she supports a “durable bilateral peace” saying it cannot happen until the Israeli hostages are released, but that the U.S. should use its diplomatic heft to help get the parties there.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003cspan class='utils-parseShortcode-shortcodes-__youtubeShortcode__embedYoutube'>\n \u003cspan class='utils-parseShortcode-shortcodes-__youtubeShortcode__embedYoutubeInside'>\n \u003ciframe\n loading='lazy'\n class='utils-parseShortcode-shortcodes-__youtubeShortcode__youtubePlayer'\n type='text/html'\n src='//www.youtube.com/embed/SATMYhUPv70'\n title='//www.youtube.com/embed/SATMYhUPv70'\n allowfullscreen='true'\n style='border:0;'>\u003c/iframe>\n \u003c/span>\n \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003ch2>Earmarks\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The debate did elicit one area of disagreement among the Democrats: whether they should use their position in Congress to funnel money to their home state. Porter, whose broader campaign is framed around the notion that corporations and special interest groups have too much power, is opposed to earmarks and says they should be eliminated entirely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Earmarks is just a fancy word for Washington politicians substituting their personal interests, including getting earmarks for their big donors for what our needs are,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schiff, however, pushed back, noting that California sends more tax dollars to Washington, D.C., than it receives back in federal aid. He called Porter’s position “wonderful news to the 49 other states.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lee and Garvey both said they would use earmarks if elected to the Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>The candidates\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Porter, who gained political fame questioning bank executives and other Congressional witnesses armed with a dry erase marker and whiteboard, has positioned herself as a populist and consumer advocate. On the campaign trail, she’s talking about tackling corruption in both the public and private sector and “unrigging” the economy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Schiff is best known as one of former President Trump’s most dogged critics in Congress. He helped lead the first impeachment of the former president and has framed his campaign as a way to protect democracy; he’s also promoting a number long-shot proposals to make government more accountable, including eliminating the electoral college and expanding the number of justices on the Supreme Court.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lee is the staunchest progressive in the race and the only person of color. Best known for her lone vote in Congress against military action in the wake of 9/11, Lee has tried to stress her unique foreign policy credentials including an early call for a ceasefire in the conflict between Israel and Hamas, but her campaign has struggled to catch fire.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003ci>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">A full transcript will be available 1–2 workdays after the episode’s publication.\u003c/span>\u003c/i>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Scott and Marisa discuss the role of abortion in Tuesday’s elections in Ohio, Kentucky and Virginia. Then, Eric Early, a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate, joins to discuss his background in the entertainment industry, why he joined striking actors on the picket line, why he believes former president Donald Trump’s false claims about the 2020 election and how he would vote on abortion in the Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003ci>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">A full transcript will be available 1–2 workdays after the episode’s publication.\u003c/span>\u003c/i>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Scott and Marisa discuss the role of abortion in Tuesday’s elections in Ohio, Kentucky and Virginia. Then, Eric Early, a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate, joins to discuss his background in the entertainment industry, why he joined striking actors on the picket line, why he believes former president Donald Trump’s false claims about the 2020 election and how he would vote on abortion in the Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"title": "Can Steve Garvey Unite California Republicans in His Bid for US Senate?",
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"content": "\u003cp>In two of the last three U.S. Senate elections in California, the Republican Party has failed to advance a candidate out of the top-two primary to the general election — one of many electoral indignities the state GOP has suffered in its decadeslong decline.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To avoid that fate in 2024, the GOP will need to consolidate its shrinking share of the electorate around a single candidate in the March 5 primary — and hope Democrats split their allegiances among the three current frontrunners: Reps. Katie Porter, Adam Schiff and Barbara Lee.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Republican with perhaps the best chance to unite GOP primary voters is former baseball star Steve Garvey, whose campaign has paired a glory-days nostalgia with relatively moderate positions on issues like guns and abortion. To continue his rise in the polls and crack the top two, Garvey must now find a way to “cannibalize” conservative votes, said Mark DiCamillo, poll director for the Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies, which released \u003ca href=\"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/39s2g21k\">new polling numbers\u003c/a> on Friday.[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Kristin Olsen, California Strategies\"]‘I’m not sure anyone can unite the party right now. But I do think [Garvey] may have a better shot than most because of the fame and charisma.’[/pullquote]“He would need to become the favorite among all Republicans in order to get himself higher in the polls,” DiCamillo said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the \u003ca href=\"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/39s2g21k\">IGS\u003c/a> poll, Porter stands at 17%, with Schiff at 16% and Garvey at 10%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A former All-Star and World Series champion who played for the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres, Garvey is the highest-profile Republican to launch a Senate run in California since former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina’s unsuccessful bid more than a decade ago.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Garvey, who \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11963999/baseball-legend-steve-garvey-launches-bid-for-feinsteins-senate-seat\">waited until October to officially launch his campaign\u003c/a>, now faces a sprint to introduce himself to voters, raise money and fend off two other Republicans in the race: businessman James Bradley and attorney Eric Early.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Just getting a candidate on the November ballot will be an uphill battle for Republicans in the Senate race. California has a top-two primary system, which means voters can select any candidate, regardless of political party. Only 24% of voters in the state are registered as Republicans, and the party has struggled to make inroads with independent and moderate voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Thus far, Republicans have divided their votes among the top three GOP contenders in the Senate race, which could dilute the Republican vote and complicate the GOP path to the general election.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Garvey still sits outside of the top two, some of the underlying numbers are encouraging for him. Not only has he leaped ahead of Bradley (7%) and Early (4%) among likely voters, but he is the top choice among voters who identified as “strongly conservative” or “somewhat conservative.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Most importantly, Garvey — known as “Mr. Clean” during his playing days — appears to have room to grow. The IGS poll found that roughly a third of voters who identify as “strongly conservative” or “somewhat conservative” are undecided in the race — compared with just one in five “somewhat liberal” or “strongly liberal” voters who are undecided.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Kristin Olsen, a former Republican leader in the state Assembly, said the recent speakership fight in Congress shows the challenge of uniting fractious GOP constituencies around a common purpose. But she said Garvey, due to his career on the baseball diamond, has the advantage of being well-liked and better known than the other Republicans in the race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m not sure anyone can unite the party right now,” said Olsen, now a partner at the consulting firm California Strategies. “But I do think he may have a better shot than most because of the fame and charisma.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Garvey, who has never run for public office, could face headwinds over some of the positions he has staked out early in the campaign, which seem antithetical to the party’s right-wing base. He \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11963999/baseball-legend-steve-garvey-launches-bid-for-feinsteins-senate-seat\">told KQED in October that he opposes a national ban on abortion\u003c/a>, a view in line with the majority of California voters, who last year \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/abortion-us-supreme-court-health-california-89310197d2b3bd3e3ba806620dd2bdbb\">approved a constitutional amendment protecting reproductive rights\u003c/a> in the state. On gun safety, he supports waiting periods and “very stringent background checks” for gun purchases.[aside label=\"related coverage\" tag=\"senate-2024\"]Bradley and Early, meanwhile, have run campaigns more closely aligned to the conservative views held by their party’s grassroots. Bradley, who ran for Senate in 2018 and 2022, has vowed to target critical race theory and support “deep state investigations.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Early, a staunch Donald Trump supporter, who ran for state attorney general in 2018 and 2022, is aiming to outflank Garvey among the party faithful. He has already picked up endorsements from county Republican parties from Yolo to Santa Barbara, and on Tuesday, he nabbed the support of the California Republican Assembly, the state’s oldest grassroots GOP organization.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Garvey moving to the center, let’s say, runs the risk of losing Republican voters, or certainly some Republican voters, to someone who is tacking to the right, which is what Early seems to be doing,” said Darry Sragow, publisher of the California Target Book, a nonpartisan election guide.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Sragow said Garvey can’t afford to turn off members of the party base. In recent California elections, few moderate voters have been willing to vote for Republican candidates, and Garvey may not garner enough support from those voters “to compensate for what he loses on the right,” Sragow said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Instead of an explicit push to consolidate the Republican vote, Garvey’s campaign plans to present him as the most viable Republican candidate — both in terms of his potential to appeal to a broad range of voters and his capacity to raise ample funds for statewide advertising.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Eric Early has earned the respect of the political operation,” said Luis Alvarado, a GOP political strategist who is not working in the race. “But those operatives also want to win, and at the end of the day, if they see that they have an opportunity to elevate their party candidate through Steve Garvey, they’re going to decide that they’re going to coalesce around Steve Garvey.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Many unknowns could shape the Senate-race landscape between now and the start of voting in February. An endorsement from Trump could propel any of the Republican candidates into the general election, as it did for \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/elections/2018/05/president-trump-endorses-john-cox-for-governor/\">John Cox in a crowded gubernatorial primary\u003c/a> in 2018.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Campaign machinations unique to the top-two format could also come into play. If, for instance, Barbara Lee, a Bay Area liberal stalwart, who currently sits at 9% in the IGS poll, can chip away at support from Porter and Schiff in the coming months, Garvey’s path to the general election could become clearer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Garvey or other Republicans could try to bolster Lee ahead of the March vote, a move similar to what Democrats did last year when they funded advertisements for Early in the attorney general primary to elevate the conservative lawyer over his moderate opponent.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If it becomes a three-way battle among the Democrats, they could be dividing their support evenly,” DiCamillo, of the IGS poll, said. “That might even make it possible for Garvey to come in second even if his support is only in the 20% range or 25% range. So there’s a lot of variables in play.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>In two of the last three U.S. Senate elections in California, the Republican Party has failed to advance a candidate out of the top-two primary to the general election — one of many electoral indignities the state GOP has suffered in its decadeslong decline.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To avoid that fate in 2024, the GOP will need to consolidate its shrinking share of the electorate around a single candidate in the March 5 primary — and hope Democrats split their allegiances among the three current frontrunners: Reps. Katie Porter, Adam Schiff and Barbara Lee.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Republican with perhaps the best chance to unite GOP primary voters is former baseball star Steve Garvey, whose campaign has paired a glory-days nostalgia with relatively moderate positions on issues like guns and abortion. To continue his rise in the polls and crack the top two, Garvey must now find a way to “cannibalize” conservative votes, said Mark DiCamillo, poll director for the Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies, which released \u003ca href=\"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/39s2g21k\">new polling numbers\u003c/a> on Friday.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“He would need to become the favorite among all Republicans in order to get himself higher in the polls,” DiCamillo said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the \u003ca href=\"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/39s2g21k\">IGS\u003c/a> poll, Porter stands at 17%, with Schiff at 16% and Garvey at 10%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A former All-Star and World Series champion who played for the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres, Garvey is the highest-profile Republican to launch a Senate run in California since former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina’s unsuccessful bid more than a decade ago.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Garvey, who \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11963999/baseball-legend-steve-garvey-launches-bid-for-feinsteins-senate-seat\">waited until October to officially launch his campaign\u003c/a>, now faces a sprint to introduce himself to voters, raise money and fend off two other Republicans in the race: businessman James Bradley and attorney Eric Early.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Just getting a candidate on the November ballot will be an uphill battle for Republicans in the Senate race. California has a top-two primary system, which means voters can select any candidate, regardless of political party. Only 24% of voters in the state are registered as Republicans, and the party has struggled to make inroads with independent and moderate voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Thus far, Republicans have divided their votes among the top three GOP contenders in the Senate race, which could dilute the Republican vote and complicate the GOP path to the general election.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Garvey still sits outside of the top two, some of the underlying numbers are encouraging for him. Not only has he leaped ahead of Bradley (7%) and Early (4%) among likely voters, but he is the top choice among voters who identified as “strongly conservative” or “somewhat conservative.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Most importantly, Garvey — known as “Mr. Clean” during his playing days — appears to have room to grow. The IGS poll found that roughly a third of voters who identify as “strongly conservative” or “somewhat conservative” are undecided in the race — compared with just one in five “somewhat liberal” or “strongly liberal” voters who are undecided.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Kristin Olsen, a former Republican leader in the state Assembly, said the recent speakership fight in Congress shows the challenge of uniting fractious GOP constituencies around a common purpose. But she said Garvey, due to his career on the baseball diamond, has the advantage of being well-liked and better known than the other Republicans in the race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m not sure anyone can unite the party right now,” said Olsen, now a partner at the consulting firm California Strategies. “But I do think he may have a better shot than most because of the fame and charisma.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Garvey, who has never run for public office, could face headwinds over some of the positions he has staked out early in the campaign, which seem antithetical to the party’s right-wing base. He \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11963999/baseball-legend-steve-garvey-launches-bid-for-feinsteins-senate-seat\">told KQED in October that he opposes a national ban on abortion\u003c/a>, a view in line with the majority of California voters, who last year \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/abortion-us-supreme-court-health-california-89310197d2b3bd3e3ba806620dd2bdbb\">approved a constitutional amendment protecting reproductive rights\u003c/a> in the state. On gun safety, he supports waiting periods and “very stringent background checks” for gun purchases.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Bradley and Early, meanwhile, have run campaigns more closely aligned to the conservative views held by their party’s grassroots. Bradley, who ran for Senate in 2018 and 2022, has vowed to target critical race theory and support “deep state investigations.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Early, a staunch Donald Trump supporter, who ran for state attorney general in 2018 and 2022, is aiming to outflank Garvey among the party faithful. He has already picked up endorsements from county Republican parties from Yolo to Santa Barbara, and on Tuesday, he nabbed the support of the California Republican Assembly, the state’s oldest grassroots GOP organization.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Garvey moving to the center, let’s say, runs the risk of losing Republican voters, or certainly some Republican voters, to someone who is tacking to the right, which is what Early seems to be doing,” said Darry Sragow, publisher of the California Target Book, a nonpartisan election guide.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Sragow said Garvey can’t afford to turn off members of the party base. In recent California elections, few moderate voters have been willing to vote for Republican candidates, and Garvey may not garner enough support from those voters “to compensate for what he loses on the right,” Sragow said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Instead of an explicit push to consolidate the Republican vote, Garvey’s campaign plans to present him as the most viable Republican candidate — both in terms of his potential to appeal to a broad range of voters and his capacity to raise ample funds for statewide advertising.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Eric Early has earned the respect of the political operation,” said Luis Alvarado, a GOP political strategist who is not working in the race. “But those operatives also want to win, and at the end of the day, if they see that they have an opportunity to elevate their party candidate through Steve Garvey, they’re going to decide that they’re going to coalesce around Steve Garvey.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Many unknowns could shape the Senate-race landscape between now and the start of voting in February. An endorsement from Trump could propel any of the Republican candidates into the general election, as it did for \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/elections/2018/05/president-trump-endorses-john-cox-for-governor/\">John Cox in a crowded gubernatorial primary\u003c/a> in 2018.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Campaign machinations unique to the top-two format could also come into play. If, for instance, Barbara Lee, a Bay Area liberal stalwart, who currently sits at 9% in the IGS poll, can chip away at support from Porter and Schiff in the coming months, Garvey’s path to the general election could become clearer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Garvey or other Republicans could try to bolster Lee ahead of the March vote, a move similar to what Democrats did last year when they funded advertisements for Early in the attorney general primary to elevate the conservative lawyer over his moderate opponent.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If it becomes a three-way battle among the Democrats, they could be dividing their support evenly,” DiCamillo, of the IGS poll, said. “That might even make it possible for Garvey to come in second even if his support is only in the 20% range or 25% range. So there’s a lot of variables in play.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated 4:30 p.m. Thursday\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In a surprise move for many watching California’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race, recently appointed Sen. Laphonza Butler said Thursday she will not run for a full term in 2024.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Butler, a former labor leader and Democratic strategist, was appointed to the Senate seat earlier this month by Gov. Gavin Newsom, to fill the remainder of a term left open by the death of Sen. Dianne Feinstein. Her announcement was an unexpected twist in the state’s marquee political contest.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Knowing you can win a campaign doesn’t always mean you should run a campaign,” Butler said, in her statement. “I know this will be a surprise to many because traditionally we don’t see those who have power let it go. It may not be the decision people expected but it’s the right one for me.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Butler could have run as an incumbent in the March 5 primary, where she would have joined a competitive field that also includes Democratic Reps. Adam Schiff, Katie Porter and Barbara Lee, along with Republicans Eric Early and Steve Garvey, the former baseball star.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition to having more name recognition, the three high-profile Democratic candidates are months ahead when it comes to campaign war chests. Since January, Schiff has raised $21.5 million, Porter $22.1 million with Lee trailing with $3.3 million raised. Still, that head start in fundraising may have posed a challenge for Butler.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"California Sen. Laphonza Butler\"]‘I know this will be a surprise to many because traditionally we don’t see those who have power let it go. It may not be the decision people expected but it’s the right one for me.’[/pullquote]Butler, who previously helmed SEIU California, the state’s largest umbrella union, has strong labor connections that may have afforded her an advantage in a race where close relationships with unions could provide an advantage. And in her recent role leading EMILYs List, she was often a voice of encouragement for women weighing whether to run for office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Butler \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PhnfVB0x6UY\">told FOX 11 in Los Angeles last week\u003c/a> that concerns for her own family and the “divisive nature of the harassment” would play a role in deciding whether she would run.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“My mother is 70 years old, she didn’t sign up for this. My daughter is 9, she didn’t sign up for this and so I’m thinking about my family and my family’s safety,” Butler said. “I have already gotten my first piece of hate mail and a stranger has shown up at my door and so that is a real contemplation for me.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Lee is struggling to fundraise to the level of Schiff and Porter, Butler’s decision not to pursue a campaign may benefit Lee somewhat. Lee had initially hoped to be Newsom’s appointment to Feinstein’s seat after he promised to pick a Black woman, in light of Kamala Harris’ ascension to the vice presidency.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Molly Watson, deputy director of the California Donor Table, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11963215/laphonza-butler-senate-appointment-draws-praise-speculation-over-2024-plans\">previously told KQED\u003c/a> that a Butler run might complicate strategic decisions for donors in deciding how to back two Black progressive candidates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=science_1984492,news_11963066,news_11963215]“Sen. Butler took on the enormous responsibility of filling an open senate seat with grace, integrity, and a deep commitment to delivering for the people of California. I look forward to continuing our work together for the remainder of her term,” Lee said in a statement on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Without the pressure of that competition, Aimee Allison — a vocal ally of Rep. Lee and founder of She the People, which helps elect women of color to office — hoped Butler would now turn her support to helping Lee.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“She has the opportunity to be — once again — a queenmaker, this time for the next Senator of California,” Allison said, in a statement. “We sincerely hope her next step is to join California leaders and the Congressional Black Caucus PAC in endorsing Barbara Lee. That way, she will keep the door wide open for Black women’s representation and the trusted progressive leadership only Barbara Lee can bring to the Senate.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Butler’s previous consulting work at Bearstar Strategies \u003ca href=\"https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/17/laphonza-butler-airbnb-payout-00122076?nname=california-playbook-pm&nid=00000177-6f21-d412-abff-6ff78f190000&nrid=00000171-e293-de31-a777-fedb26e20000&nlid=2693079\">complicated those union relationships\u003c/a>, however. While much of the labor community was excited about Butler’s appointment, some, like UC Irvine professor and labor expert Veena Dubal, criticized Butler’s consulting for Uber in particular as it battled Assembly Bill 5, an effort to grant Uber drivers full employment status. Dubal\u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/02/us/laphonza-butler-senate-california.html\"> told \u003cem>The New York Times\u003c/em> this month\u003c/a> that many in labor “were really angry and really felt like this was treachery.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Butler may not be running for the Senate, she has other options: \u003ca href=\"https://www.politico.com/newsletters/california-playbook/2023/10/12/laphonza-butler-has-options-00121146\">\u003cem>Politico\u003c/em> cited sources\u003c/a> close to Newsom who said Butler would make a strong candidate for governor in 2026.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This story is developing and will be updated.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cem>Updated 4:30 p.m. Thursday\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In a surprise move for many watching California’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race, recently appointed Sen. Laphonza Butler said Thursday she will not run for a full term in 2024.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Butler, a former labor leader and Democratic strategist, was appointed to the Senate seat earlier this month by Gov. Gavin Newsom, to fill the remainder of a term left open by the death of Sen. Dianne Feinstein. Her announcement was an unexpected twist in the state’s marquee political contest.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Knowing you can win a campaign doesn’t always mean you should run a campaign,” Butler said, in her statement. “I know this will be a surprise to many because traditionally we don’t see those who have power let it go. It may not be the decision people expected but it’s the right one for me.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Butler could have run as an incumbent in the March 5 primary, where she would have joined a competitive field that also includes Democratic Reps. Adam Schiff, Katie Porter and Barbara Lee, along with Republicans Eric Early and Steve Garvey, the former baseball star.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition to having more name recognition, the three high-profile Democratic candidates are months ahead when it comes to campaign war chests. Since January, Schiff has raised $21.5 million, Porter $22.1 million with Lee trailing with $3.3 million raised. Still, that head start in fundraising may have posed a challenge for Butler.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Butler, who previously helmed SEIU California, the state’s largest umbrella union, has strong labor connections that may have afforded her an advantage in a race where close relationships with unions could provide an advantage. And in her recent role leading EMILYs List, she was often a voice of encouragement for women weighing whether to run for office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Butler \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PhnfVB0x6UY\">told FOX 11 in Los Angeles last week\u003c/a> that concerns for her own family and the “divisive nature of the harassment” would play a role in deciding whether she would run.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“My mother is 70 years old, she didn’t sign up for this. My daughter is 9, she didn’t sign up for this and so I’m thinking about my family and my family’s safety,” Butler said. “I have already gotten my first piece of hate mail and a stranger has shown up at my door and so that is a real contemplation for me.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Lee is struggling to fundraise to the level of Schiff and Porter, Butler’s decision not to pursue a campaign may benefit Lee somewhat. Lee had initially hoped to be Newsom’s appointment to Feinstein’s seat after he promised to pick a Black woman, in light of Kamala Harris’ ascension to the vice presidency.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Molly Watson, deputy director of the California Donor Table, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11963215/laphonza-butler-senate-appointment-draws-praise-speculation-over-2024-plans\">previously told KQED\u003c/a> that a Butler run might complicate strategic decisions for donors in deciding how to back two Black progressive candidates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“Sen. Butler took on the enormous responsibility of filling an open senate seat with grace, integrity, and a deep commitment to delivering for the people of California. I look forward to continuing our work together for the remainder of her term,” Lee said in a statement on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Without the pressure of that competition, Aimee Allison — a vocal ally of Rep. Lee and founder of She the People, which helps elect women of color to office — hoped Butler would now turn her support to helping Lee.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“She has the opportunity to be — once again — a queenmaker, this time for the next Senator of California,” Allison said, in a statement. “We sincerely hope her next step is to join California leaders and the Congressional Black Caucus PAC in endorsing Barbara Lee. That way, she will keep the door wide open for Black women’s representation and the trusted progressive leadership only Barbara Lee can bring to the Senate.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Butler’s previous consulting work at Bearstar Strategies \u003ca href=\"https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/17/laphonza-butler-airbnb-payout-00122076?nname=california-playbook-pm&nid=00000177-6f21-d412-abff-6ff78f190000&nrid=00000171-e293-de31-a777-fedb26e20000&nlid=2693079\">complicated those union relationships\u003c/a>, however. While much of the labor community was excited about Butler’s appointment, some, like UC Irvine professor and labor expert Veena Dubal, criticized Butler’s consulting for Uber in particular as it battled Assembly Bill 5, an effort to grant Uber drivers full employment status. Dubal\u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/02/us/laphonza-butler-senate-california.html\"> told \u003cem>The New York Times\u003c/em> this month\u003c/a> that many in labor “were really angry and really felt like this was treachery.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Butler may not be running for the Senate, she has other options: \u003ca href=\"https://www.politico.com/newsletters/california-playbook/2023/10/12/laphonza-butler-has-options-00121146\">\u003cem>Politico\u003c/em> cited sources\u003c/a> close to Newsom who said Butler would make a strong candidate for governor in 2026.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This story is developing and will be updated.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Marisa and Scott discuss the ongoing feud between the Temecula Valley Unified school board and Governor Gavin Newsom, after the board rejected instructional material referencing Harvey Milk. Then, tech executive and U.S. Senate candidate Lexi Reese joins to discuss her family’s economic turmoil, her siblings’ battles with addiction, what separates her from other Democrats in the race, how the Senate should regulate artificial intelligence and whether Congress should adopt Gusto’s no-shoes policy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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