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"content": "\u003cp>Pacifica’s pier \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001267/you-cant-beat-mother-nature-destroyed-cafe-gives-pacifica-look-at-climate-changed-future\">cracked\u003c/a>. Parts of Marin County are underwater this week, thanks to the Bay Area’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12087558/san-francisco-and-marin-face-flooding-amid-highest-summer-tide-on-record\">highest-ever summer tides\u003c/a>. And climate scientists expect coastal flooding to get worse this fall and winter, because of the potentially ‘Super’ \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12087122/el-nino-is-here-heres-what-it-could-mean-for-the-bay-area-this-winter\">El Niño\u003c/a> brewing thousands of miles away.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Federal scientists are now sure El Niño will affect global weather patterns this year. And Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with UC Agriculture and Natural Resources, said on \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/live/blLHZdhqZ1o\">Tuesday\u003c/a> there’s a 90% confidence level that a record-breaking El Niño event will occur, which could intensify storms, heat up \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001047/scientists-worry-el-nino-could-supercharge-marine-heat-wave-roiling-coastal-california\">ocean water\u003c/a> off the California coast and temporarily raise sea levels. Swain said a wetter-than-normal winter is not guaranteed, but San Francisco Bay levels are “almost guaranteed” to be higher.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s going to be a big concern this year, and it’s only going to grow as this El Niño event intensifies,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>El Niño forms when tropical trade winds weaken or reverse, allowing warm ocean water near Asia to move toward the Pacific Coast. This process heats the eastern Pacific Ocean and can alter the jet stream. As a result, it can lead to a stormier winter in California. It can also disrupt the ocean’s upwelling — a natural process that drives cool, nutrient-rich water to the surface — raising local ocean temperatures and affecting marine life.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Pacific Ocean has risen by about 8 inches since the 1880s. State scientists project an additional rise of over a foot by 2050, and in worst-case scenarios, 6 feet or more by the end of the century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“El Niño is going to temporarily elevate that baseline even further,” Swain said. “There’s significant potential that the combination of accumulated global warming plus a very strong to maybe even historic El Niño event in its own right could cause big problems.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087664\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087664\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A home along Golden Hind Passage is raised above its foundation in Corte Madera on June 15, 2026. Some homeowners are elevating structures as part of long-term efforts to adapt to recurring tidal flooding. \u003ccite>(Gustavo Hernandez/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Swain said El Niño could temporarily raise sea levels on average by “6 inches to 2 feet in elevation for the rest of the year.” Storms and onshore winds can also raise sea levels by a foot or two.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Though that increase may not seem like a lot, combined, Swain said they could add up to a “net increase in sea level during the largest coastal flood events that’s comparable to mid-chest height on the average person.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This level of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12069118/for-marin-county-last-weekends-floods-were-a-wake-up-call\">inundation\u003c/a> could pose a major risk when natural high tides and storms occur in tandem. Swain said \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000377/for-this-bay-area-island-city-water-is-coming-from-all-sides\">elevated sea levels\u003c/a> will be a big deal for places that routinely flood across Northern California, including coastal cities like \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12087577/after-pacifica-pier-damage-bay-area-leaders-urge-trump-to-restore-aid\">Pacifica\u003c/a>, San Francisco, Santa Cruz and parts of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999871/after-king-tides-swamp-marin-san-rafael-weighs-billion-dollar-defenses-against-the-bay\">Marin County\u003c/a> along the bayshore.[aside postID=news_12087122 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/09/GettyImages-2197490970-scaled-e1759169024848.jpg']“All of a sudden, we kind of get to the point where 2 to 3 plus feet of temporary sea elevation is possible near California later this year during a major storm event and at least a foot or two the rest of the time,” Swain said. “We may see all-time record high water levels during storm events or king tides this year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He adds that this advance notice should prompt local governments to prepare for the coming waves and high tides, especially agencies that run low-lying highways and communities that flood during extreme high tides and storm events.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re going to have problems,” Swain said. “There is some time to do some mitigation. You have several months at least before the most disruptive coastal flooding is likely to arrive.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Scientists warn the potential super El Niño could push Bay Area tides to record highs from Santa Cruz to Marin.",
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"title": "El Niño Could Bring ‘Disruptive Coastal Flooding’ to Bay Area This Winter | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Pacifica’s pier \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001267/you-cant-beat-mother-nature-destroyed-cafe-gives-pacifica-look-at-climate-changed-future\">cracked\u003c/a>. Parts of Marin County are underwater this week, thanks to the Bay Area’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12087558/san-francisco-and-marin-face-flooding-amid-highest-summer-tide-on-record\">highest-ever summer tides\u003c/a>. And climate scientists expect coastal flooding to get worse this fall and winter, because of the potentially ‘Super’ \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12087122/el-nino-is-here-heres-what-it-could-mean-for-the-bay-area-this-winter\">El Niño\u003c/a> brewing thousands of miles away.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Federal scientists are now sure El Niño will affect global weather patterns this year. And Daniel Swain, a climate scientist with UC Agriculture and Natural Resources, said on \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/live/blLHZdhqZ1o\">Tuesday\u003c/a> there’s a 90% confidence level that a record-breaking El Niño event will occur, which could intensify storms, heat up \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001047/scientists-worry-el-nino-could-supercharge-marine-heat-wave-roiling-coastal-california\">ocean water\u003c/a> off the California coast and temporarily raise sea levels. Swain said a wetter-than-normal winter is not guaranteed, but San Francisco Bay levels are “almost guaranteed” to be higher.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s going to be a big concern this year, and it’s only going to grow as this El Niño event intensifies,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>El Niño forms when tropical trade winds weaken or reverse, allowing warm ocean water near Asia to move toward the Pacific Coast. This process heats the eastern Pacific Ocean and can alter the jet stream. As a result, it can lead to a stormier winter in California. It can also disrupt the ocean’s upwelling — a natural process that drives cool, nutrient-rich water to the surface — raising local ocean temperatures and affecting marine life.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Pacific Ocean has risen by about 8 inches since the 1880s. State scientists project an additional rise of over a foot by 2050, and in worst-case scenarios, 6 feet or more by the end of the century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“El Niño is going to temporarily elevate that baseline even further,” Swain said. “There’s significant potential that the combination of accumulated global warming plus a very strong to maybe even historic El Niño event in its own right could cause big problems.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087664\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087664\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A home along Golden Hind Passage is raised above its foundation in Corte Madera on June 15, 2026. Some homeowners are elevating structures as part of long-term efforts to adapt to recurring tidal flooding. \u003ccite>(Gustavo Hernandez/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Swain said El Niño could temporarily raise sea levels on average by “6 inches to 2 feet in elevation for the rest of the year.” Storms and onshore winds can also raise sea levels by a foot or two.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Though that increase may not seem like a lot, combined, Swain said they could add up to a “net increase in sea level during the largest coastal flood events that’s comparable to mid-chest height on the average person.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This level of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12069118/for-marin-county-last-weekends-floods-were-a-wake-up-call\">inundation\u003c/a> could pose a major risk when natural high tides and storms occur in tandem. Swain said \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000377/for-this-bay-area-island-city-water-is-coming-from-all-sides\">elevated sea levels\u003c/a> will be a big deal for places that routinely flood across Northern California, including coastal cities like \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12087577/after-pacifica-pier-damage-bay-area-leaders-urge-trump-to-restore-aid\">Pacifica\u003c/a>, San Francisco, Santa Cruz and parts of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999871/after-king-tides-swamp-marin-san-rafael-weighs-billion-dollar-defenses-against-the-bay\">Marin County\u003c/a> along the bayshore.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“All of a sudden, we kind of get to the point where 2 to 3 plus feet of temporary sea elevation is possible near California later this year during a major storm event and at least a foot or two the rest of the time,” Swain said. “We may see all-time record high water levels during storm events or king tides this year.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He adds that this advance notice should prompt local governments to prepare for the coming waves and high tides, especially agencies that run low-lying highways and communities that flood during extreme high tides and storm events.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re going to have problems,” Swain said. “There is some time to do some mitigation. You have several months at least before the most disruptive coastal flooding is likely to arrive.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "san-francisco-and-marin-face-flooding-amid-highest-summer-tide-on-record",
"title": "San Francisco and Marin Face Flooding Amid Highest Summer Tide on Record",
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"content": "\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a> saw its highest summer tides on record over the weekend, and more flooding and king tides are expected in low-lying coastal and bayshore areas through Thursday, according to the National Weather Service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Water levels peaked at 1.97 feet above normal Sunday — breaking the Bay Area’s summer record, set the previous day. Tides are predicted to peak again overnight Monday at 2 feet above normal in Monterey County and 1.8 feet in San Francisco, according to the weather service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The region should see slightly lower peaks just after midnight Wednesday and Thursday, as the astronomical tide recedes late this week. The weather service also warned of hazardous beach conditions, including sneaker waves and strong rip currents.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The weekend’s record-breaking tides caused some coastal flooding in Larkspur along Lucky Drive and Redwood Highway, as well as throughout Corte Madera’s Golden Hind Passage neighborhood.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Water also flooded the sidewalk and spilled into the street in San Francisco near Pier 14 on the Embarcadero, disrupting pedestrian and cyclist traffic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologist Rachel Kennedy said the weather service is predicting some isolated road and parking lot closures, especially along the Marin County shoreline and coastal Sonoma County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087663\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087663\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_002-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_002-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_002-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_002-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jamie and her son, Rowan, stand outside their home beside road closure signs staged for potential flooding along Golden Hind Passage in Corte Madera on June 15, 2026. Residents in low-lying neighborhoods were advised to prepare for king tide flooding through June 16. \u003ccite>(Gustavo Hernandez/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“If you’re driving in those areas, [make] sure that you have an alternate route ready to go in the event that your normal path is encountering some coastal flooding, or you’re going to park in a parking lot that’s now got some flooding going on in it,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Jaime Kelly, 48, who’s lived in the Golden Hind Passage neighborhood in Marin County for more than 20 years, said this weekend was the first time her home has flooded in the summer, without significant rainfall.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s definitely gotten worse since we first moved in 2002,” she told KQED. “It would happen maybe once every few years, and it might come up over the sidewalk or something, but the last couple years, it’s come up higher and higher.”[aside postID=news_12069118 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/MarinCountyFloodingAP3.jpg']During January’s record-setting \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12068644/marin-county-looked-like-a-lagoon-after-king-tides-heavy-rain\">king tides\u003c/a>, which peaked at 2.5 feet above normal after multiple particularly wet weeks, she said water seeped into her and her husband’s garage for the first time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Residents are increasingly taking protective measures into their own hands. On Monday, nearby construction crews were busy raising the foundation of one of Kelly’s neighbor’s homes, and Kelly said she and her husband recently opted to install a new fence around their garden as a way to protect it from flooding.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The tides are driven by the phases of the moon, according to Kennedy, usually peaking around the new moon, which happened Sunday. Water levels have historically risen the highest in the winter months, but meteorologists said at the time that extreme tides could become more common as the climate changes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Bay Area’s water levels have risen nearly 2 millimeters per year on average over the past three decades, and the ocean and the bay could rise by about a foot by 2050 — and more than 6 feet by the end of the century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Neighbors who live at slightly lower elevations, Kelly said, can sometimes be up to their knees in seawater in their garages.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>John Breidenbaugh, who was visiting his daughter’s home in Golden Hind, said that her garage had upwards of seven inches of water in it during Sunday night’s peak tide. The house effectively became an island.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087668\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087668\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_011-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_011-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_011-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_011-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Plastic sheeting and sandbags are placed outside a home along Golden Hind Passage, as residents prepare for potential king tide flooding, in Corte Madera, on June 15, 2026. \u003ccite>(Gustavo Hernandez/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“This lot is a bit below high sea level, unfortunately,” he told KQED. “They’ve lost some stuff because they weren’t as diligent as they should be, but they’re learning fast.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Breidenbaugh was drying out the garage with a fan Monday and said the family was going to line it with some polyethylene plastic sheeting before the tides are expected to rise again overnight.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The family has learned to keep everything in the garage, from a baby stroller to the washer and dryer, off the floor. Seawater remained pooled along the curb of his daughter’s house late into the morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’ll flood again tonight, so we’ll be doing this again tomorrow,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087664\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087664\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A home along Golden Hind Passage is raised above its foundation in Corte Madera on June 15, 2026. Some homeowners are elevating structures as part of long-term efforts to adapt to recurring tidal flooding. \u003ccite>(Gustavo Hernandez/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Longer term, he said the family was planning to install a sump — a basin dug in a basement that drains water — in the garage, and considering building up perimeter walls around the property.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re helping them figure this property out and get it armored against the water,” he said. “We’ll figure it out. It might take a few years.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Corte Madera Mayor Rosa Thomas said her office is also looking at solutions to protect the entire town. In January, sea water reached freeways, and spilled over levees, bike trails and into homes and businesses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Thomas said they’re hoping to build berms, or raised mounts of earth and soil material that slope, to keep water out.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087666\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087666\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_008-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_008-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_008-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_008-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Rosa Thomas, mayor of Corte Madera, poses for a portrait in Corte Madera on June 15, 2026. \u003ccite>(Gustavo Hernandez/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Corte Madera has a system of flood gates and pumps, Thomas said, but “when the tides are as high as they were back in January, there’s nowhere for the water to go.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Corte Madera does have a FEMA-funded berm project in the pipeline, but Thomas said it’s been stalled under the Trump administration.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the meantime, she said, they’re looking at building temporary, inflatable berms ahead of next winter, when California is expecting stormier, wetter weather thanks to what could be a strong El Niño season. The arrival of the weather pattern likely means more intense atmospheric rivers, major snow events in the Sierra Nevada, and larger waves, coastal flooding, and higher sea levels.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The next big tidal flooding that we’re expecting is going to probably be around January [or] December of this year, so we were looking at how we can best be ready for that,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Minor coastal flooding is expected along Bay Area shorelines and along the Pacific Coast, as water levels peak around 2 feet above normal. For some Marin County residents, it’s a forecast of a wetter future. ",
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"title": "San Francisco and Marin Face Flooding Amid Highest Summer Tide on Record | KQED",
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"headline": "San Francisco and Marin Face Flooding Amid Highest Summer Tide on Record",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a> saw its highest summer tides on record over the weekend, and more flooding and king tides are expected in low-lying coastal and bayshore areas through Thursday, according to the National Weather Service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Water levels peaked at 1.97 feet above normal Sunday — breaking the Bay Area’s summer record, set the previous day. Tides are predicted to peak again overnight Monday at 2 feet above normal in Monterey County and 1.8 feet in San Francisco, according to the weather service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The region should see slightly lower peaks just after midnight Wednesday and Thursday, as the astronomical tide recedes late this week. The weather service also warned of hazardous beach conditions, including sneaker waves and strong rip currents.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The weekend’s record-breaking tides caused some coastal flooding in Larkspur along Lucky Drive and Redwood Highway, as well as throughout Corte Madera’s Golden Hind Passage neighborhood.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Water also flooded the sidewalk and spilled into the street in San Francisco near Pier 14 on the Embarcadero, disrupting pedestrian and cyclist traffic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meteorologist Rachel Kennedy said the weather service is predicting some isolated road and parking lot closures, especially along the Marin County shoreline and coastal Sonoma County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087663\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087663\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_002-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_002-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_002-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_002-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jamie and her son, Rowan, stand outside their home beside road closure signs staged for potential flooding along Golden Hind Passage in Corte Madera on June 15, 2026. Residents in low-lying neighborhoods were advised to prepare for king tide flooding through June 16. \u003ccite>(Gustavo Hernandez/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“If you’re driving in those areas, [make] sure that you have an alternate route ready to go in the event that your normal path is encountering some coastal flooding, or you’re going to park in a parking lot that’s now got some flooding going on in it,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Jaime Kelly, 48, who’s lived in the Golden Hind Passage neighborhood in Marin County for more than 20 years, said this weekend was the first time her home has flooded in the summer, without significant rainfall.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s definitely gotten worse since we first moved in 2002,” she told KQED. “It would happen maybe once every few years, and it might come up over the sidewalk or something, but the last couple years, it’s come up higher and higher.”\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>During January’s record-setting \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12068644/marin-county-looked-like-a-lagoon-after-king-tides-heavy-rain\">king tides\u003c/a>, which peaked at 2.5 feet above normal after multiple particularly wet weeks, she said water seeped into her and her husband’s garage for the first time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Residents are increasingly taking protective measures into their own hands. On Monday, nearby construction crews were busy raising the foundation of one of Kelly’s neighbor’s homes, and Kelly said she and her husband recently opted to install a new fence around their garden as a way to protect it from flooding.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The tides are driven by the phases of the moon, according to Kennedy, usually peaking around the new moon, which happened Sunday. Water levels have historically risen the highest in the winter months, but meteorologists said at the time that extreme tides could become more common as the climate changes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Bay Area’s water levels have risen nearly 2 millimeters per year on average over the past three decades, and the ocean and the bay could rise by about a foot by 2050 — and more than 6 feet by the end of the century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Neighbors who live at slightly lower elevations, Kelly said, can sometimes be up to their knees in seawater in their garages.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>John Breidenbaugh, who was visiting his daughter’s home in Golden Hind, said that her garage had upwards of seven inches of water in it during Sunday night’s peak tide. The house effectively became an island.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087668\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087668\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_011-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_011-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_011-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_011-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Plastic sheeting and sandbags are placed outside a home along Golden Hind Passage, as residents prepare for potential king tide flooding, in Corte Madera, on June 15, 2026. \u003ccite>(Gustavo Hernandez/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“This lot is a bit below high sea level, unfortunately,” he told KQED. “They’ve lost some stuff because they weren’t as diligent as they should be, but they’re learning fast.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Breidenbaugh was drying out the garage with a fan Monday and said the family was going to line it with some polyethylene plastic sheeting before the tides are expected to rise again overnight.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The family has learned to keep everything in the garage, from a baby stroller to the washer and dryer, off the floor. Seawater remained pooled along the curb of his daughter’s house late into the morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’ll flood again tonight, so we’ll be doing this again tomorrow,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087664\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087664\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_003-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A home along Golden Hind Passage is raised above its foundation in Corte Madera on June 15, 2026. Some homeowners are elevating structures as part of long-term efforts to adapt to recurring tidal flooding. \u003ccite>(Gustavo Hernandez/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Longer term, he said the family was planning to install a sump — a basin dug in a basement that drains water — in the garage, and considering building up perimeter walls around the property.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re helping them figure this property out and get it armored against the water,” he said. “We’ll figure it out. It might take a few years.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Corte Madera Mayor Rosa Thomas said her office is also looking at solutions to protect the entire town. In January, sea water reached freeways, and spilled over levees, bike trails and into homes and businesses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Thomas said they’re hoping to build berms, or raised mounts of earth and soil material that slope, to keep water out.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087666\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087666\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_008-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_008-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_008-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/061526Flooding_GH_008-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Rosa Thomas, mayor of Corte Madera, poses for a portrait in Corte Madera on June 15, 2026. \u003ccite>(Gustavo Hernandez/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Corte Madera has a system of flood gates and pumps, Thomas said, but “when the tides are as high as they were back in January, there’s nowhere for the water to go.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Corte Madera does have a FEMA-funded berm project in the pipeline, but Thomas said it’s been stalled under the Trump administration.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the meantime, she said, they’re looking at building temporary, inflatable berms ahead of next winter, when California is expecting stormier, wetter weather thanks to what could be a strong El Niño season. The arrival of the weather pattern likely means more intense atmospheric rivers, major snow events in the Sierra Nevada, and larger waves, coastal flooding, and higher sea levels.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The next big tidal flooding that we’re expecting is going to probably be around January [or] December of this year, so we were looking at how we can best be ready for that,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "el-nino-is-here-heres-what-it-could-mean-for-the-bay-area-this-winter",
"title": "El Niño Is Here. Here’s What It Could Mean for the Bay Area This Winter",
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"headTitle": "El Niño Is Here. Here’s What It Could Mean for the Bay Area This Winter | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>It’s official: \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083376/an-incoming-super-el-nino-may-bring-california-a-wet-hot-winter\">El Niño\u003c/a> has formed, and climate experts expect the natural phenomenon to strengthen this winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The federal agency forecasts a 63% chance of a very strong \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101913837/a-monster-el-nino-is-brewing-in-the-pacific\">El Niño\u003c/a> this year, which “would rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950,” National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration officials \u003ca href=\"https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml\">wrote Thursday\u003c/a>. Historically, the climate pattern has increased the odds of wet, stormy weather across California, especially the southern part of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But because the Bay Area sits on the northernmost edge of the wet zone, intense rainfall is less guaranteed than in Southern California. Still, experts said human-caused climate change may be changing that equation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What that means for California is it’s basically supercharged in the atmosphere,” said Patrick Barnard, research director for the UC Santa Cruz Center for Coastal Climate Resilience.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>El Niño forms when tropical trade winds weaken or reverse, allowing warm ocean water near Asia to move toward the Pacific Coast. This process heats the Eastern Pacific Ocean and can alter the jet stream. As a result, it can lead to a stormier winter in California. It can also disrupt the ocean’s nutrient-rich upwelling, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001047/scientists-worry-el-nino-could-supercharge-marine-heat-wave-roiling-coastal-california\">raising local ocean temperatures\u003c/a> and impacting sea life.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“El Niño is here,” said Tyler Roys, senior meteorologist with AccuWeather. “Overall, the pattern is going to favor wetter than the historical average for the Bay Area, for Sacramento, for the Central Valley, going all the way down to Southern California.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037679\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037679\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1325\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-800x530.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-1020x676.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-160x106.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-1536x1018.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-1920x1272.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">An automated National Weather Service weather station collects data on a bluff overlooking the Pacific Ocean in Montara, California, on April 5, 2016. \u003ccite>(Paul Chinn/The San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Climate experts said El Niño likely means that a very different winter is looming. As opposed to this year’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000775/sierra-storm-will-dump-more-april-snow-but-wont-fix-california-snowpack\">wet but short-lived season\u003c/a>, they anticipate several potential impacts: more intense atmospheric rivers, major snow events in the Sierra Nevada, larger waves, coastal flooding, mudslides, higher sea levels and reduced wildfire risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This El Niño is developing unusually fast,” AccuWeather expert meteorologist Paul Pastelok said in a statement. “Most El Niños begin in the fall. This one should start in June and strengthen quickly.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Pastelok said there’s a 40% chance that a super El Niño will form this year, which has only occurred seven times in modern history. The rare event was last documented in the winter of 2015.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That bar is difficult to reach, so current factors contributing to the development need to continue in the second half of 2026 to allow it to build,” Pastelok said.[aside postID=news_12086933 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00337_TV-KQED.jpg']Barnard said El Niño could also temporarily \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083376/an-incoming-super-el-nino-may-bring-california-a-wet-hot-winter\">raise sea levels\u003c/a> by half a foot or more. This means that places like \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001267/you-cant-beat-mother-nature-destroyed-cafe-gives-pacifica-look-at-climate-changed-future\">Pacifica\u003c/a>, Sausalito, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999461/king-tides-to-flood-bay-area-shorelines-this-week-heres-where-and-when-to-safely-see-them\">San Francisco\u003c/a> and San Rafael, which already flood during \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999871/after-king-tides-swamp-marin-san-rafael-weighs-billion-dollar-defenses-against-the-bay\">king tides\u003c/a>, could experience even worse inundation this winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Barnard said that conditions this winter could be a “precursor to what we can expect to have almost every single winter” in the coming decades.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Pacific Ocean has risen by about 8 inches since the 1880s. State scientists project an additional rise of over a foot by 2050, and in worst-case scenarios, up to 6 feet or more by the end of the century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Barnard said that for every couple of inches of sea level rise, the risk of coastal flooding doubles. And with up to a foot of this temporary rise, “the probability of flooding goes up exponentially.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve built up so much of our communities right in this razor-thin margin of the sea, and so when all of a sudden you raise that base level by 6 to 12 inches, you’re really putting a lot of assets in harm’s way,” Barnard said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When it comes to potential storms this winter, Barnard said the effects of human-caused climate change are pushing the jet stream closer to the poles, which means the effects of El Niño, primarily intensified storms, could shift north to the Bay Area rather than focusing on Southern California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The biggest El Niño impacts are moving more to the north than they did 50 years ago,” Barnard said. “We’re just looking at a different climate as a starting point when the onset of El Niño conditions hit us.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>AccuWeather’s Roys said that at this point, it’s “very difficult” to know exactly how intense this winter’s storms will be.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12081188\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12081188\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A pedestrian crosses a rain-soaked 19th Avenue amidst the ongoing winter storm in San Francisco on Feb. 17, 2026. \u003ccite>(Stephen Lam/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“It won’t change the number [of storms] that occur, but the intensity is likely to vary towards the higher side,” Roys said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roys said El Niño could shorten the wildfire season this winter, if the rains truly show up in force across the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If the ground is more saturated, things don’t dry out, and when things don’t necessarily dry out, it doesn’t become fuel and fire won’t spread as fast,” Roys said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roys also noted that El Niño isn’t the only global weather factor altering weather patterns.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s kind of like when you’re cooking, one ingredient can overpower another one,” Roys said. “What we’re still figuring out for the fall and for the winter is how that’s all going to play out.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Federal officials report that there’s a 63% chance of a very strong El Niño this year. As a result, the Bay Area may experience a wetter, riskier winter.",
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"title": "El Niño Is Here. Here’s What It Could Mean for the Bay Area This Winter | KQED",
"description": "Federal officials report that there’s a 63% chance of a very strong El Niño this year. As a result, the Bay Area may experience a wetter, riskier winter.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>It’s official: \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083376/an-incoming-super-el-nino-may-bring-california-a-wet-hot-winter\">El Niño\u003c/a> has formed, and climate experts expect the natural phenomenon to strengthen this winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The federal agency forecasts a 63% chance of a very strong \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101913837/a-monster-el-nino-is-brewing-in-the-pacific\">El Niño\u003c/a> this year, which “would rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950,” National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration officials \u003ca href=\"https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml\">wrote Thursday\u003c/a>. Historically, the climate pattern has increased the odds of wet, stormy weather across California, especially the southern part of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But because the Bay Area sits on the northernmost edge of the wet zone, intense rainfall is less guaranteed than in Southern California. Still, experts said human-caused climate change may be changing that equation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What that means for California is it’s basically supercharged in the atmosphere,” said Patrick Barnard, research director for the UC Santa Cruz Center for Coastal Climate Resilience.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>El Niño forms when tropical trade winds weaken or reverse, allowing warm ocean water near Asia to move toward the Pacific Coast. This process heats the Eastern Pacific Ocean and can alter the jet stream. As a result, it can lead to a stormier winter in California. It can also disrupt the ocean’s nutrient-rich upwelling, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001047/scientists-worry-el-nino-could-supercharge-marine-heat-wave-roiling-coastal-california\">raising local ocean temperatures\u003c/a> and impacting sea life.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“El Niño is here,” said Tyler Roys, senior meteorologist with AccuWeather. “Overall, the pattern is going to favor wetter than the historical average for the Bay Area, for Sacramento, for the Central Valley, going all the way down to Southern California.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037679\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037679\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1325\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-800x530.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-1020x676.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-160x106.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-1536x1018.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/NationalWeatherServiceGetty-1920x1272.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">An automated National Weather Service weather station collects data on a bluff overlooking the Pacific Ocean in Montara, California, on April 5, 2016. \u003ccite>(Paul Chinn/The San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Climate experts said El Niño likely means that a very different winter is looming. As opposed to this year’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000775/sierra-storm-will-dump-more-april-snow-but-wont-fix-california-snowpack\">wet but short-lived season\u003c/a>, they anticipate several potential impacts: more intense atmospheric rivers, major snow events in the Sierra Nevada, larger waves, coastal flooding, mudslides, higher sea levels and reduced wildfire risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This El Niño is developing unusually fast,” AccuWeather expert meteorologist Paul Pastelok said in a statement. “Most El Niños begin in the fall. This one should start in June and strengthen quickly.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Pastelok said there’s a 40% chance that a super El Niño will form this year, which has only occurred seven times in modern history. The rare event was last documented in the winter of 2015.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That bar is difficult to reach, so current factors contributing to the development need to continue in the second half of 2026 to allow it to build,” Pastelok said.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Barnard said El Niño could also temporarily \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083376/an-incoming-super-el-nino-may-bring-california-a-wet-hot-winter\">raise sea levels\u003c/a> by half a foot or more. This means that places like \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001267/you-cant-beat-mother-nature-destroyed-cafe-gives-pacifica-look-at-climate-changed-future\">Pacifica\u003c/a>, Sausalito, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999461/king-tides-to-flood-bay-area-shorelines-this-week-heres-where-and-when-to-safely-see-them\">San Francisco\u003c/a> and San Rafael, which already flood during \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999871/after-king-tides-swamp-marin-san-rafael-weighs-billion-dollar-defenses-against-the-bay\">king tides\u003c/a>, could experience even worse inundation this winter.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Barnard said that conditions this winter could be a “precursor to what we can expect to have almost every single winter” in the coming decades.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Pacific Ocean has risen by about 8 inches since the 1880s. State scientists project an additional rise of over a foot by 2050, and in worst-case scenarios, up to 6 feet or more by the end of the century.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Barnard said that for every couple of inches of sea level rise, the risk of coastal flooding doubles. And with up to a foot of this temporary rise, “the probability of flooding goes up exponentially.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve built up so much of our communities right in this razor-thin margin of the sea, and so when all of a sudden you raise that base level by 6 to 12 inches, you’re really putting a lot of assets in harm’s way,” Barnard said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When it comes to potential storms this winter, Barnard said the effects of human-caused climate change are pushing the jet stream closer to the poles, which means the effects of El Niño, primarily intensified storms, could shift north to the Bay Area rather than focusing on Southern California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The biggest El Niño impacts are moving more to the north than they did 50 years ago,” Barnard said. “We’re just looking at a different climate as a starting point when the onset of El Niño conditions hit us.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>AccuWeather’s Roys said that at this point, it’s “very difficult” to know exactly how intense this winter’s storms will be.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12081188\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12081188\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/19thAveSFGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A pedestrian crosses a rain-soaked 19th Avenue amidst the ongoing winter storm in San Francisco on Feb. 17, 2026. \u003ccite>(Stephen Lam/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“It won’t change the number [of storms] that occur, but the intensity is likely to vary towards the higher side,” Roys said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roys said El Niño could shorten the wildfire season this winter, if the rains truly show up in force across the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If the ground is more saturated, things don’t dry out, and when things don’t necessarily dry out, it doesn’t become fuel and fire won’t spread as fast,” Roys said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roys also noted that El Niño isn’t the only global weather factor altering weather patterns.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s kind of like when you’re cooking, one ingredient can overpower another one,” Roys said. “What we’re still figuring out for the fall and for the winter is how that’s all going to play out.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "bay-area-faces-a-weather-quadfecta-heat-fire-risk-flooding-and-powerful-waves",
"title": "Bay Area Faces a Weather ‘Quadfecta’: Heat, Fire Risk, Flooding and Powerful Waves",
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"headTitle": "Bay Area Faces a Weather ‘Quadfecta’: Heat, Fire Risk, Flooding and Powerful Waves | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area \u003c/a>is about to experience a quadfecta of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001255/bay-area-warm-up-could-bring-100-degree-heat-and-high-wildfire-risk\">hot weather\u003c/a> and climate effects this week — high temperatures, fire danger, sneaker waves and high tides.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a ridge of higher pressure builds over the region, Bay Area National Weather Service meteorologists forecast high heat to peak on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Thursday is going to be the hottest day and almost 15 to 25 degrees above normal for this time of year,” said Lamont Bain, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office. “It’s going to certainly be pretty warm to downright hot for some people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Wednesday, temperatures will range from the 80s to 90s in inland areas, with the warmest spots reaching the triple digits, including Concord, Napa and Sonoma. Forecasters expect the ridge to keep the marine layer at bay overnight.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By Thursday, meteorologists forecast temperatures to soar into the 90s or low 100s in inland valleys, including Santa Rosa and San José. The warmest spots — in rural Contra Costa County — could reach around 105 degrees. Temperatures across the Bay will range from the 80s to mid-90s.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087080\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2500px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087080\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2500\" height=\"1667\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED.jpg 2500w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-2000x1334.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-2048x1366.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2500px) 100vw, 2500px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People sunbathe at Ocean Beach in San Francisco on June 10, 2026. \u003ccite>(Tâm Vũ/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Forecasters have also issued a heat advisory from noon to 11 p.m. Thursday for the North Bay, the Sonoma coastal range, the East Bay, the Santa Clara Valley and the San Francisco Bay shoreline.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The current forecast shows a slight cooling trend on Friday, though forecasters said they’ll continue to look out for “heat headlines,” particularly inland in the East Bay. Because of the short duration, Bain said forecasters aren’t calling it a heat wave.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As of now, this week’s warmth is not going to be like the heat events that we had earlier this year, where we had multiple days of warmth; this will be maybe two days at most,” Bain said.[aside postID=science_2001267 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/06/260609-PACIFICAPIERUPDATE-10-BL-KQED.jpg']As for how long the heat will last, Bain said the marine layer could return by Sunday, pushing away the high pressure that is causing the heat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the “combination of the hot, dry, and windy conditions” has led the weather service to issue a red flag warning for the North and East Bay interior and mountain areas from 11 p.m. Wednesday through 9 a.m. Thursday. Fire weather conditions may also be prevalent in mountain areas in Santa Clara County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Overnight, forecasters said to expect strong north-to-northeast winds of up to 45 mph in mountain areas; gusts of 60 mph or higher are possible at the highest elevations. The winds will help lower relative humidity, and “result in critical fire weather conditions where any fires that start could take hold and spread rapidly,” forecasters wrote in their daily \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD\">forecast discussion\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The weather service also expects normal high astronomical tides with about a half a foot of surge. This will likely result in minor flooding in low-lying parts of the Bay Area on Wednesday evening. The hardest-hit areas could be in the North Bay, particularly \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12069118/for-marin-county-last-weekends-floods-were-a-wake-up-call\">Marin County\u003c/a>. Forecasters expect the high tides to expand across the rest of the Bay Area on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a result, the weather service issued coastal flood advisories starting at 6 p.m. Wednesday for the North Bay, and at 7 p.m. Thursday for the rest of the San Francisco Bayshore.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect the San Francisco tidal gauge to read around 7 inches above normal at around 8 p.m. Wednesday, 1.2 feet above normal around 9 p.m. Thursday, and 1.5 feet above normal around 9:30 p.m. on Friday. Coastal flood advisories will likely remain in effect into the weekend as high tides persist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087086\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2500px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087086\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2500\" height=\"1667\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED.jpg 2500w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-2000x1334.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-2048x1366.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2500px) 100vw, 2500px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bently Ha (left) and Michael Matey (right) practice boxing at Ocean Beach in San Francisco on June 10, 2026. \u003ccite>(Tâm Vũ/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And finally, meteorologists expect an increased risk of potentially dangerous sneaker waves and rip currents along southwest-facing beaches on the Pacific Coast this week. As a result, NWS has issued a beach hazards statement for the coast along the North Bay as well as San Mateo and Santa Cruz counties through 5 a.m. Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Sneaker waves can run up the beach farther than smaller waves and catch beachgoers by surprise and sweep them out into the water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“People should care because, as the name implies, sneaker waves happen very suddenly,” Bain said. “Pay attention because sneaker waves aren’t always huge waves. Be smart and be aware.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Triple-digit heat, wildfire danger, sneaker waves and high tides could make for a sunny — and risky — week for the Bay Area. ",
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"title": "Bay Area Faces a Weather ‘Quadfecta’: Heat, Fire Risk, Flooding and Powerful Waves | KQED",
"description": "Triple-digit heat, wildfire danger, sneaker waves and high tides could make for a sunny — and risky — week for the Bay Area. ",
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"headline": "Bay Area Faces a Weather ‘Quadfecta’: Heat, Fire Risk, Flooding and Powerful Waves",
"datePublished": "2026-06-10T16:45:38-07:00",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area \u003c/a>is about to experience a quadfecta of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2001255/bay-area-warm-up-could-bring-100-degree-heat-and-high-wildfire-risk\">hot weather\u003c/a> and climate effects this week — high temperatures, fire danger, sneaker waves and high tides.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a ridge of higher pressure builds over the region, Bay Area National Weather Service meteorologists forecast high heat to peak on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Thursday is going to be the hottest day and almost 15 to 25 degrees above normal for this time of year,” said Lamont Bain, a meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office. “It’s going to certainly be pretty warm to downright hot for some people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On Wednesday, temperatures will range from the 80s to 90s in inland areas, with the warmest spots reaching the triple digits, including Concord, Napa and Sonoma. Forecasters expect the ridge to keep the marine layer at bay overnight.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By Thursday, meteorologists forecast temperatures to soar into the 90s or low 100s in inland valleys, including Santa Rosa and San José. The warmest spots — in rural Contra Costa County — could reach around 105 degrees. Temperatures across the Bay will range from the 80s to mid-90s.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087080\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2500px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087080\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2500\" height=\"1667\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED.jpg 2500w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-2000x1334.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00193_TV-KQED-2048x1366.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2500px) 100vw, 2500px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People sunbathe at Ocean Beach in San Francisco on June 10, 2026. \u003ccite>(Tâm Vũ/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Forecasters have also issued a heat advisory from noon to 11 p.m. Thursday for the North Bay, the Sonoma coastal range, the East Bay, the Santa Clara Valley and the San Francisco Bay shoreline.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The current forecast shows a slight cooling trend on Friday, though forecasters said they’ll continue to look out for “heat headlines,” particularly inland in the East Bay. Because of the short duration, Bain said forecasters aren’t calling it a heat wave.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As of now, this week’s warmth is not going to be like the heat events that we had earlier this year, where we had multiple days of warmth; this will be maybe two days at most,” Bain said.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>As for how long the heat will last, Bain said the marine layer could return by Sunday, pushing away the high pressure that is causing the heat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the “combination of the hot, dry, and windy conditions” has led the weather service to issue a red flag warning for the North and East Bay interior and mountain areas from 11 p.m. Wednesday through 9 a.m. Thursday. Fire weather conditions may also be prevalent in mountain areas in Santa Clara County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Overnight, forecasters said to expect strong north-to-northeast winds of up to 45 mph in mountain areas; gusts of 60 mph or higher are possible at the highest elevations. The winds will help lower relative humidity, and “result in critical fire weather conditions where any fires that start could take hold and spread rapidly,” forecasters wrote in their daily \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD\">forecast discussion\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The weather service also expects normal high astronomical tides with about a half a foot of surge. This will likely result in minor flooding in low-lying parts of the Bay Area on Wednesday evening. The hardest-hit areas could be in the North Bay, particularly \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12069118/for-marin-county-last-weekends-floods-were-a-wake-up-call\">Marin County\u003c/a>. Forecasters expect the high tides to expand across the rest of the Bay Area on Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a result, the weather service issued coastal flood advisories starting at 6 p.m. Wednesday for the North Bay, and at 7 p.m. Thursday for the rest of the San Francisco Bayshore.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forecasters expect the San Francisco tidal gauge to read around 7 inches above normal at around 8 p.m. Wednesday, 1.2 feet above normal around 9 p.m. Thursday, and 1.5 feet above normal around 9:30 p.m. on Friday. Coastal flood advisories will likely remain in effect into the weekend as high tides persist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12087086\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2500px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12087086\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2500\" height=\"1667\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED.jpg 2500w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-2000x1334.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260610-RISKYWX00895_TV-KQED-2048x1366.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2500px) 100vw, 2500px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bently Ha (left) and Michael Matey (right) practice boxing at Ocean Beach in San Francisco on June 10, 2026. \u003ccite>(Tâm Vũ/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And finally, meteorologists expect an increased risk of potentially dangerous sneaker waves and rip currents along southwest-facing beaches on the Pacific Coast this week. As a result, NWS has issued a beach hazards statement for the coast along the North Bay as well as San Mateo and Santa Cruz counties through 5 a.m. Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Sneaker waves can run up the beach farther than smaller waves and catch beachgoers by surprise and sweep them out into the water.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“People should care because, as the name implies, sneaker waves happen very suddenly,” Bain said. “Pay attention because sneaker waves aren’t always huge waves. Be smart and be aware.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "best-beaches-near-san-francisco-bay-area-weather-heat-wave-how-to-check-tides-wind",
"title": "Which Bay Area Beach Is Best to Beat This Week’s Heat?",
"publishDate": 1781023260,
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"headTitle": "Which Bay Area Beach Is Best to Beat This Week’s Heat? | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>It’s about to get hot, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Starting Tuesday, temperatures will start to climb and rise “dramatically” on Wednesday as a ridge of high pressure builds over the region, Bay Area National Weather Service meteorologists wrote in their\u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=ci&glossary=1&issuedby=mtr&product=afd&site=mtr&version=1\"> daily forecast discussion\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Thursday is our hottest day of the week,” said Karleisa Rogacheski, a lead meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office. “We may have a couple of 100-degree spots sitting up in the North Bay and East Bay areas.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These are the kinds of temperatures that will have many looking to hopefully find some chill in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12076459/best-san-francisco-bay-area-weather-hikes-forests-redwoods-coast-heat-wave-forecast\">the Bay Area’s cool and shaded spots\u003c/a> — or at the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/arts/13976437/best-swimming-spots-public-pools-rivers-lakes-beaches-holes-bay-area\">beach\u003c/a>. And if you’re one of those hoping to sneakily call out of work next week for some sunshine and sand, you likely won’t be the only one.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When it’s warm, San Francisco becomes this magical place where everyone is outside and enjoying it, and it’s really nice to go to the beach those days,” said Nina Atkind, manager of the San Francisco chapter of the Surfrider Foundation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12047560\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12047560\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1358\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-160x109.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-1536x1043.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People enjoying the sun at the Palace of Fine Arts as a heat wave rolls through San Francisco on July 11, 2024. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And crowds aren’t your only beach day challenge. As San Franciscans know, it’s not always sunny or warm on the city’s west side when inland neighborhoods are sweltering.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>San Francisco’s multiple microclimates mean that while the Mission District and Dolores Park might be steamy, the Sunset or Richmond Neighborhoods could be inundated with \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11682057/how-the-bay-areas-fog-came-to-be-named-karl\">Karl the Fog\u003c/a>, our beloved marine layer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to: \u003ca href=\"#GreatBayAreabeachesaccessiblebypublictransit\">Great Bay Area beaches accessible by public transit\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>If you’re among those who are eager for a beach day, we’ve got you covered. Read on for our expert-approved tips as we let you in on our decision-making process when we want to sink our feet into the sand.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>1. Decide which beach you want to visit\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If you’re hoping to soak up some sun during the heat wave, deciding \u003cem>which \u003c/em>beach location to go to is the hardest decision you will have to make.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Firstly, consider: What kind of experience do you want, and what vibe are you looking for? The Bay Area offers it all — family-friendly parks by the sea, dog-friendly spaces, sprawling cliff-lined swaths of sand and even nude beaches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the North Bay, check out spots like Stinson Beach, China Beach, Rodeo Beach or even Heart’s Desire on Tomales Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12076411\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12076411\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/BayAreaHeatWaveGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/BayAreaHeatWaveGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/BayAreaHeatWaveGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/BayAreaHeatWaveGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People enjoy the beach at Crissy Field as a heat wave warning was issued in San Francisco, California, on July 11, 2024. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And don’t forget about the Peninsula, with its abundance of options up and down the coastline from San Francisco’s Ocean Beach to Fort Funston, Pacifica, Montara, Half Moon Bay and beyond.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Scott Havard, a lifeguard at Angel Island who created a \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfbayswim.info/\">website\u003c/a> on safe swimming data in the San Francisco Bay, said you don’t have to go all the way to the coast to get a great beach experience. In fact, he recommends spending a day soaking up the sun at any of the East Bay’s shorelines like Keller Beach Park in Richmond, Crown Beach in Alameda, the Berkeley Marina — or even his “home” beaches on Angel Island, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12065289/this-thanksgiving-weekend-why-not-hop-on-a-ferry\">accessible by ferry\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If they don’t want to have to cross the bridge and they’re in the East Bay, just try to try out some of the regional shorelines and the Bay because they’re really gorgeous,” Havard said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And don’t be deterred from swimming in the San Francisco Bay itself, he said. Havard’s site pulls water quality information from sources all around the Bay Area, including the \u003ca href=\"https://webapps.sfpuc.org/sapps/beachesandbay.html\">San Francisco Public Utilities Commission’s Beach Water Quality Survey\u003c/a>, where you can check the daily status of the area you’re headed to.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A lot of the Bay Area communities do a really, really good job of making sure that the Bay stays clean,” he said. “And the rule of thumb for 90% of the time, maybe even 99% of time, is: ‘just don’t swim after a big rain’” — for risk you’ll be swimming with sewage.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>2: Research the weather forecast (and change course on decision 1 if need be)\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>After you’ve got your beach in mind, your next step is the weather forecast. This is as easy as typing “weather” and the “beach name” into a search engine like Google, or your phone’s weather app or visiting the \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">National Weather Service Bay Area office’s website\u003c/a> for a more detailed breakdown of the regional weather. If you want to get really nerdy, read the \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD\">Forecast Discussion\u003c/a> that Bay Area meteorologists update several times a day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But you’ll need to go beyond basic temperatures and also look into factors like wind, the marine layer and when those temperatures may turn cooler during the day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Online tools like \u003ca href=\"https://www.windy.com/?37.751,-122.412,5\">Windy\u003c/a> can help you understand wind strength at beaches, which is helpful for traditional beachgoers as well as for surfers, kitesurfers, sailors and other extreme sportspeople.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12033006\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12033006\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A view of the Sunset District and Ocean Beach in San Francisco on March 25, 2025. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Sylvia Lacock, co-owner of \u003ca href=\"https://www.pacificswim.co/about-pacific-open-water/\">Pacific Open Water Swim Company\u003c/a> in San Francisco, said she uses \u003ca href=\"https://www.windfinder.com/#3/39.5000/-98.3500/spot\">Windfinder\u003c/a> to learn how strong the wind will be before she swims in the ocean — or hangs out at the beach.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lacock’s own yardstick: A wind speed forecast of 5 miles per hour or less usually means “it’s going to be a pretty nice day,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Atkind said surfers like her use two sources to figure out whether to surf out at Ocean Beach, near her home in the Outer Sunset neighborhood: \u003ca href=\"https://www.ventusky.com/\">Ventuksy\u003c/a> for wind conditions and \u003ca href=\"https://www.surfline.com/\">Surfline\u003c/a> for wave conditions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The number one thing Atkind is paying attention to is the fog, noting that shifting winds can quickly change the temperature.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It can be really hot one second, and then five minutes later, a 20-degree drop,” Atkind said. “I often bring a pair of socks, a beanie, a sweater, and maybe a jacket too. It feels crazy in the moment when it’s hot, and then every time — I always need it.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If anything in the forecast is a major deterrent, then go back to step 1 and look up another beach or a different part of the Bay Area to visit.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>3. Scout your chosen beach using webcams\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Many of us have had the experience of getting stoked to visit the beach, picking up an artisanal sandwich and some drinks … and then, upon arrival, the shoreline instead proves cold and windy, and the waves look scary.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s why truthing the weather with a live webcam of the exact beach or area you want to visit is an important step in deciding what beach to lounge at.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Atkind uses \u003ca href=\"https://www.surfline.com/\">Surfline\u003c/a>’s webcams to help her decide if she should head to the beach, but it comes at a pretty penny, requiring a subscription. She said that often friends split the subscription fee.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12007456\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12007456\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/09/GettyImages-2175344883-scaled-e1773420511511.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Douglas Williams leads his son, DJ, 2, through a pool of water at Crissy Field in San Francisco on Tuesday, October 1, 2024. \u003ccite>(Scott Strazzante/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“I use it to see if it’s foggy or sunny or what 75-degree day I’m missing at the beach,” Atkind said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Golden Gate National Parks Conservancy website lists \u003ca href=\"https://www.parksconservancy.org/parks/park-web-cams\">webcams across San Francisco\u003c/a>. They are particularly helpful in determining whether the fog bank is moving toward the Golden Gate Bridge.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://alertcalifornia.org/\">ALERTCalifornia\u003c/a>, a camera network operated by UC San Diego, also offers webcams across the state, including many in the Bay Area, to better understand natural disasters and inform management decisions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One particularly compelling view is from \u003ca href=\"https://ops.alertcalifornia.org/cam-console/2192\">Mt. Tamalpais\u003c/a>, where you can see the Pacific Ocean, San Francisco and all the way down to Pacifica. There’s also a view from \u003ca href=\"https://ops.alertcalifornia.org/cam-console/2429\">Sutro Tower\u003c/a> that offers a birds-eye view of San Francisco.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What about webcams pointed at beaches themselves? Luckily, cameras are installed across the state at many beaches, including \u003ca href=\"https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-states/california/pacifica/pacifica-sharp-park-beach.html\">Pacifica\u003c/a> and a slew of others listed \u003ca href=\"https://sfcam.live/\">publicly online\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And just like the steps above, if something you see in a webcam looks like a reason not to go to a particular beach, go back to step one and find another option.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>4. Look up the tides\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Checking out the tides is especially important if you’re going to visit a place that’s remote, rocky, or where high tides can cut off access, like \u003ca href=\"https://presidio.gov/explore/attractions/marshalls-beach\">San Francisco’s Marshall’s Beach\u003c/a>. They’re also essential for understanding if you plan to swim.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a surfer, Atkind uses Surfline to understand how tides will affect the waves, and she often looks at \u003ca href=\"https://tidealert.app/\">Tide Alert\u003c/a>, a free app that uses a “really cool visual graphic” of the phase of the moon and when high and low tides will occur, as well as wind and temperature data and swell size.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When you get to the beach, Atkind’s last step is to look at the water and follow your gut once you’ve looked into everything above.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12055163\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12055163\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/09/AngelIslandGGBridgeGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/09/AngelIslandGGBridgeGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/09/AngelIslandGGBridgeGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/09/AngelIslandGGBridgeGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Golden Gate Bridge as seen from Angel Island, California, on March 8, 2019. \u003ccite>(Sundry Photography/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And if the tides feel like they are too high or too low for you to visit a specific beach, Lacock suggests people who are nervous about entering the Pacific Ocean or San Francisco Bay visit places like Aquatic Park in San Francisco, Alameda Beach or Crown Beach in the City of Alameda because they offer a more controlled environment.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Also, while temperatures will spike during the heat wave, the Pacific Ocean \u003cem>will \u003c/em>remain frigid, warned Lacock.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She recommended taking measures to stay warm to avoid hypothermia.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“People don’t realize until it’s too late to get out of the water and someone might have mild \u003ca href=\"https://pacificswimco.substack.com/p/hypothermia-what-every-open-water\">hypothermia\u003c/a>,” Lacock said. “Even when it’s warm outside, when you get out of the water, get warmed up quickly and put warm layers on.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And remember: as well as being cold, the ocean can be highly unpredictable. “Don’t treat the Pacific Ocean like a lake,” Lacock said, especially if you visit spots like Ocean Beach, where \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1978061/after-their-son-was-swept-into-the-ocean-this-fremont-family-turned-their-grief-into-advocacy\">rip currents or sneaker waves \u003c/a>can catch a person by surprise and tow you out into the sea.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"GreatBayAreabeachesaccessiblebypublictransit\">\u003c/a>5. Think about the best mode of transportation (knowing parking can suck)\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>What’s more posh than taking the bus to the beach? But seriously, there’s nothing worse than packing your tote and donning your sunnies only to arrive at a \u003cem>very \u003c/em>full parking lot.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not only can that extra 15-20 minutes spent looking for parking completely kill your carefree mood, but you run the risk of not being able to find parking at all.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Luckily, the Bay Area has more than its fair share of transit-accessible beaches — some of which the ride is nearly as pleasant as the destination itself. We’ve got a few suggestions below:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Take the ferry to Angel Island’s Ayala Cove\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not only is Ayala Cove one of the Bay Area’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/arts/13976437/best-swimming-spots-public-pools-rivers-lakes-beaches-holes-bay-area#bay-area-beaches-to-swim\">best beaches to swim at\u003c/a>, but it’s also just a short walk from the ferry terminal at Angel Island, serviced by both San Francisco and Tiburon. The ferry ride itself is a complete joy, and your Clipper card — \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12065714/clipper-card-new-bart-caltrain-login-next-generation-discounts\">or even a credit/debit card \u003c/a>— works, so you don’t have to worry about buying a ticket in advance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The beach is in a small cove of the island, where the bay currents aren’t as strong. There are also bathrooms, tables, barbecues and a cafe if you forgot your picnic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And if you’re seeking some extra adventure and a slightly quieter beach, Havard recommends strolling a couple of miles to \u003ca href=\"https://www.parks.ca.gov/?page_id=1313\">Quarry Beach\u003c/a>.[aside postID=arts_13976437 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2025/05/GettyImages-1298780633-1020x736.jpg']“For those that are willing to put in the effort, Quarry Beach is one of the best beaches in the Bay,” he said. “It’s a nice white sand beach facing away from the wind, which is kind of hard to find.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Take the N Judah to San Francisco’s Ocean Beach\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There’s almost nothing better than a sunny day spent in San Francisco’s Sunset District, and the N Judah gets you there without a hitch. Hop off early to grab lunch or do some browsing at the boutiques around 45th Avenue before walking to the new \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/sunset-dunes\">Sunset Dunes park\u003c/a> and finding a spot along the vast beach below.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Just be warned: Ocean Beach may be great for lying out, walking and all sorts of beach sports and activities, but \u003ca href=\"https://www.parksconservancy.org/park-e-ventures-article/hidden-dangers-ocean-beach\">swimming typically isn’t one of them\u003c/a> — as the currents there, especially in the winter, can be dangerous.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Any swell can take people off guard, especially at Ocean Beach,” Havard said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Take SamTrans to Pacifica State Beach\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Want to go to a real surfer’s beach, but without the headache of waiting in traffic on Highway 1? The \u003ca href=\"https://www.samtrans.com/media/21404\">110 SamTrans bus\u003c/a> is that girl.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Take BART to Daly City and switch to the 110, which will take you all the way to Linda Mar and Pacifica State Beach. Hit the beachfront Taco Bell Cantina, Humble Sea Brewing, or any of the local restaurants, shops and cafes before relaxing on the beach.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Taking the bus will not only remove the stress of navigating traffic; it also means you don’t have to pay the $9 parking fee at the beach.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeeeKhyuk-_odJH80iw5eAlpLBF-YWJnOi_Yqs4BEN9fY1YJA/viewform?usp=publish-editor\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "How to use webcams, forecasts and tide charts to pick the perfect Bay Area beach for your day out — to ensure toasty temperatures and no fog.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>It’s about to get hot, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area\">Bay Area\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Starting Tuesday, temperatures will start to climb and rise “dramatically” on Wednesday as a ridge of high pressure builds over the region, Bay Area National Weather Service meteorologists wrote in their\u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?format=ci&glossary=1&issuedby=mtr&product=afd&site=mtr&version=1\"> daily forecast discussion\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Thursday is our hottest day of the week,” said Karleisa Rogacheski, a lead meteorologist with the weather service’s Bay Area office. “We may have a couple of 100-degree spots sitting up in the North Bay and East Bay areas.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These are the kinds of temperatures that will have many looking to hopefully find some chill in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12076459/best-san-francisco-bay-area-weather-hikes-forests-redwoods-coast-heat-wave-forecast\">the Bay Area’s cool and shaded spots\u003c/a> — or at the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/arts/13976437/best-swimming-spots-public-pools-rivers-lakes-beaches-holes-bay-area\">beach\u003c/a>. And if you’re one of those hoping to sneakily call out of work next week for some sunshine and sand, you likely won’t be the only one.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When it’s warm, San Francisco becomes this magical place where everyone is outside and enjoying it, and it’s really nice to go to the beach those days,” said Nina Atkind, manager of the San Francisco chapter of the Surfrider Foundation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12047560\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12047560\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1358\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-160x109.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-1536x1043.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People enjoying the sun at the Palace of Fine Arts as a heat wave rolls through San Francisco on July 11, 2024. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And crowds aren’t your only beach day challenge. As San Franciscans know, it’s not always sunny or warm on the city’s west side when inland neighborhoods are sweltering.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>San Francisco’s multiple microclimates mean that while the Mission District and Dolores Park might be steamy, the Sunset or Richmond Neighborhoods could be inundated with \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11682057/how-the-bay-areas-fog-came-to-be-named-karl\">Karl the Fog\u003c/a>, our beloved marine layer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to: \u003ca href=\"#GreatBayAreabeachesaccessiblebypublictransit\">Great Bay Area beaches accessible by public transit\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>If you’re among those who are eager for a beach day, we’ve got you covered. Read on for our expert-approved tips as we let you in on our decision-making process when we want to sink our feet into the sand.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>1. Decide which beach you want to visit\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If you’re hoping to soak up some sun during the heat wave, deciding \u003cem>which \u003c/em>beach location to go to is the hardest decision you will have to make.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Firstly, consider: What kind of experience do you want, and what vibe are you looking for? The Bay Area offers it all — family-friendly parks by the sea, dog-friendly spaces, sprawling cliff-lined swaths of sand and even nude beaches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the North Bay, check out spots like Stinson Beach, China Beach, Rodeo Beach or even Heart’s Desire on Tomales Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12076411\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12076411\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/BayAreaHeatWaveGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/BayAreaHeatWaveGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/BayAreaHeatWaveGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/BayAreaHeatWaveGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People enjoy the beach at Crissy Field as a heat wave warning was issued in San Francisco, California, on July 11, 2024. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And don’t forget about the Peninsula, with its abundance of options up and down the coastline from San Francisco’s Ocean Beach to Fort Funston, Pacifica, Montara, Half Moon Bay and beyond.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Scott Havard, a lifeguard at Angel Island who created a \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfbayswim.info/\">website\u003c/a> on safe swimming data in the San Francisco Bay, said you don’t have to go all the way to the coast to get a great beach experience. In fact, he recommends spending a day soaking up the sun at any of the East Bay’s shorelines like Keller Beach Park in Richmond, Crown Beach in Alameda, the Berkeley Marina — or even his “home” beaches on Angel Island, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12065289/this-thanksgiving-weekend-why-not-hop-on-a-ferry\">accessible by ferry\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If they don’t want to have to cross the bridge and they’re in the East Bay, just try to try out some of the regional shorelines and the Bay because they’re really gorgeous,” Havard said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And don’t be deterred from swimming in the San Francisco Bay itself, he said. Havard’s site pulls water quality information from sources all around the Bay Area, including the \u003ca href=\"https://webapps.sfpuc.org/sapps/beachesandbay.html\">San Francisco Public Utilities Commission’s Beach Water Quality Survey\u003c/a>, where you can check the daily status of the area you’re headed to.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A lot of the Bay Area communities do a really, really good job of making sure that the Bay stays clean,” he said. “And the rule of thumb for 90% of the time, maybe even 99% of time, is: ‘just don’t swim after a big rain’” — for risk you’ll be swimming with sewage.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>2: Research the weather forecast (and change course on decision 1 if need be)\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>After you’ve got your beach in mind, your next step is the weather forecast. This is as easy as typing “weather” and the “beach name” into a search engine like Google, or your phone’s weather app or visiting the \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">National Weather Service Bay Area office’s website\u003c/a> for a more detailed breakdown of the regional weather. If you want to get really nerdy, read the \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=mtr&issuedby=MTR&product=AFD\">Forecast Discussion\u003c/a> that Bay Area meteorologists update several times a day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But you’ll need to go beyond basic temperatures and also look into factors like wind, the marine layer and when those temperatures may turn cooler during the day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Online tools like \u003ca href=\"https://www.windy.com/?37.751,-122.412,5\">Windy\u003c/a> can help you understand wind strength at beaches, which is helpful for traditional beachgoers as well as for surfers, kitesurfers, sailors and other extreme sportspeople.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12033006\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12033006\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250325-APARTMENTSONWESTSIDE-10-BL-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A view of the Sunset District and Ocean Beach in San Francisco on March 25, 2025. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Sylvia Lacock, co-owner of \u003ca href=\"https://www.pacificswim.co/about-pacific-open-water/\">Pacific Open Water Swim Company\u003c/a> in San Francisco, said she uses \u003ca href=\"https://www.windfinder.com/#3/39.5000/-98.3500/spot\">Windfinder\u003c/a> to learn how strong the wind will be before she swims in the ocean — or hangs out at the beach.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lacock’s own yardstick: A wind speed forecast of 5 miles per hour or less usually means “it’s going to be a pretty nice day,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Atkind said surfers like her use two sources to figure out whether to surf out at Ocean Beach, near her home in the Outer Sunset neighborhood: \u003ca href=\"https://www.ventusky.com/\">Ventuksy\u003c/a> for wind conditions and \u003ca href=\"https://www.surfline.com/\">Surfline\u003c/a> for wave conditions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The number one thing Atkind is paying attention to is the fog, noting that shifting winds can quickly change the temperature.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It can be really hot one second, and then five minutes later, a 20-degree drop,” Atkind said. “I often bring a pair of socks, a beanie, a sweater, and maybe a jacket too. It feels crazy in the moment when it’s hot, and then every time — I always need it.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If anything in the forecast is a major deterrent, then go back to step 1 and look up another beach or a different part of the Bay Area to visit.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>3. Scout your chosen beach using webcams\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Many of us have had the experience of getting stoked to visit the beach, picking up an artisanal sandwich and some drinks … and then, upon arrival, the shoreline instead proves cold and windy, and the waves look scary.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s why truthing the weather with a live webcam of the exact beach or area you want to visit is an important step in deciding what beach to lounge at.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Atkind uses \u003ca href=\"https://www.surfline.com/\">Surfline\u003c/a>’s webcams to help her decide if she should head to the beach, but it comes at a pretty penny, requiring a subscription. She said that often friends split the subscription fee.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12007456\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12007456\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/09/GettyImages-2175344883-scaled-e1773420511511.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Douglas Williams leads his son, DJ, 2, through a pool of water at Crissy Field in San Francisco on Tuesday, October 1, 2024. \u003ccite>(Scott Strazzante/San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“I use it to see if it’s foggy or sunny or what 75-degree day I’m missing at the beach,” Atkind said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Golden Gate National Parks Conservancy website lists \u003ca href=\"https://www.parksconservancy.org/parks/park-web-cams\">webcams across San Francisco\u003c/a>. They are particularly helpful in determining whether the fog bank is moving toward the Golden Gate Bridge.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://alertcalifornia.org/\">ALERTCalifornia\u003c/a>, a camera network operated by UC San Diego, also offers webcams across the state, including many in the Bay Area, to better understand natural disasters and inform management decisions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One particularly compelling view is from \u003ca href=\"https://ops.alertcalifornia.org/cam-console/2192\">Mt. Tamalpais\u003c/a>, where you can see the Pacific Ocean, San Francisco and all the way down to Pacifica. There’s also a view from \u003ca href=\"https://ops.alertcalifornia.org/cam-console/2429\">Sutro Tower\u003c/a> that offers a birds-eye view of San Francisco.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What about webcams pointed at beaches themselves? Luckily, cameras are installed across the state at many beaches, including \u003ca href=\"https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-states/california/pacifica/pacifica-sharp-park-beach.html\">Pacifica\u003c/a> and a slew of others listed \u003ca href=\"https://sfcam.live/\">publicly online\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And just like the steps above, if something you see in a webcam looks like a reason not to go to a particular beach, go back to step one and find another option.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>4. Look up the tides\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Checking out the tides is especially important if you’re going to visit a place that’s remote, rocky, or where high tides can cut off access, like \u003ca href=\"https://presidio.gov/explore/attractions/marshalls-beach\">San Francisco’s Marshall’s Beach\u003c/a>. They’re also essential for understanding if you plan to swim.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a surfer, Atkind uses Surfline to understand how tides will affect the waves, and she often looks at \u003ca href=\"https://tidealert.app/\">Tide Alert\u003c/a>, a free app that uses a “really cool visual graphic” of the phase of the moon and when high and low tides will occur, as well as wind and temperature data and swell size.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When you get to the beach, Atkind’s last step is to look at the water and follow your gut once you’ve looked into everything above.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12055163\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12055163\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/09/AngelIslandGGBridgeGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/09/AngelIslandGGBridgeGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/09/AngelIslandGGBridgeGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/09/AngelIslandGGBridgeGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Golden Gate Bridge as seen from Angel Island, California, on March 8, 2019. \u003ccite>(Sundry Photography/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And if the tides feel like they are too high or too low for you to visit a specific beach, Lacock suggests people who are nervous about entering the Pacific Ocean or San Francisco Bay visit places like Aquatic Park in San Francisco, Alameda Beach or Crown Beach in the City of Alameda because they offer a more controlled environment.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Also, while temperatures will spike during the heat wave, the Pacific Ocean \u003cem>will \u003c/em>remain frigid, warned Lacock.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She recommended taking measures to stay warm to avoid hypothermia.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“People don’t realize until it’s too late to get out of the water and someone might have mild \u003ca href=\"https://pacificswimco.substack.com/p/hypothermia-what-every-open-water\">hypothermia\u003c/a>,” Lacock said. “Even when it’s warm outside, when you get out of the water, get warmed up quickly and put warm layers on.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And remember: as well as being cold, the ocean can be highly unpredictable. “Don’t treat the Pacific Ocean like a lake,” Lacock said, especially if you visit spots like Ocean Beach, where \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1978061/after-their-son-was-swept-into-the-ocean-this-fremont-family-turned-their-grief-into-advocacy\">rip currents or sneaker waves \u003c/a>can catch a person by surprise and tow you out into the sea.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"GreatBayAreabeachesaccessiblebypublictransit\">\u003c/a>5. Think about the best mode of transportation (knowing parking can suck)\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>What’s more posh than taking the bus to the beach? But seriously, there’s nothing worse than packing your tote and donning your sunnies only to arrive at a \u003cem>very \u003c/em>full parking lot.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not only can that extra 15-20 minutes spent looking for parking completely kill your carefree mood, but you run the risk of not being able to find parking at all.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Luckily, the Bay Area has more than its fair share of transit-accessible beaches — some of which the ride is nearly as pleasant as the destination itself. We’ve got a few suggestions below:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Take the ferry to Angel Island’s Ayala Cove\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not only is Ayala Cove one of the Bay Area’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/arts/13976437/best-swimming-spots-public-pools-rivers-lakes-beaches-holes-bay-area#bay-area-beaches-to-swim\">best beaches to swim at\u003c/a>, but it’s also just a short walk from the ferry terminal at Angel Island, serviced by both San Francisco and Tiburon. The ferry ride itself is a complete joy, and your Clipper card — \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12065714/clipper-card-new-bart-caltrain-login-next-generation-discounts\">or even a credit/debit card \u003c/a>— works, so you don’t have to worry about buying a ticket in advance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The beach is in a small cove of the island, where the bay currents aren’t as strong. There are also bathrooms, tables, barbecues and a cafe if you forgot your picnic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And if you’re seeking some extra adventure and a slightly quieter beach, Havard recommends strolling a couple of miles to \u003ca href=\"https://www.parks.ca.gov/?page_id=1313\">Quarry Beach\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“For those that are willing to put in the effort, Quarry Beach is one of the best beaches in the Bay,” he said. “It’s a nice white sand beach facing away from the wind, which is kind of hard to find.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Take the N Judah to San Francisco’s Ocean Beach\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There’s almost nothing better than a sunny day spent in San Francisco’s Sunset District, and the N Judah gets you there without a hitch. Hop off early to grab lunch or do some browsing at the boutiques around 45th Avenue before walking to the new \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/sunset-dunes\">Sunset Dunes park\u003c/a> and finding a spot along the vast beach below.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Just be warned: Ocean Beach may be great for lying out, walking and all sorts of beach sports and activities, but \u003ca href=\"https://www.parksconservancy.org/park-e-ventures-article/hidden-dangers-ocean-beach\">swimming typically isn’t one of them\u003c/a> — as the currents there, especially in the winter, can be dangerous.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Any swell can take people off guard, especially at Ocean Beach,” Havard said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Take SamTrans to Pacifica State Beach\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Want to go to a real surfer’s beach, but without the headache of waiting in traffic on Highway 1? The \u003ca href=\"https://www.samtrans.com/media/21404\">110 SamTrans bus\u003c/a> is that girl.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Take BART to Daly City and switch to the 110, which will take you all the way to Linda Mar and Pacifica State Beach. Hit the beachfront Taco Bell Cantina, Humble Sea Brewing, or any of the local restaurants, shops and cafes before relaxing on the beach.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Taking the bus will not only remove the stress of navigating traffic; it also means you don’t have to pay the $9 parking fee at the beach.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003cdiv class='utils-parseShortcode-shortcodes-__shortcodes__shortcodeWrapper'>\n \u003ciframe\n src='https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeeeKhyuk-_odJH80iw5eAlpLBF-YWJnOi_Yqs4BEN9fY1YJA/viewform?usp=publish-editor?embedded=true'\n title='https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeeeKhyuk-_odJH80iw5eAlpLBF-YWJnOi_Yqs4BEN9fY1YJA/viewform?usp=publish-editor'\n width='760' height='500'\n frameborder='0'\n marginheight='0' marginwidth='0'>\u003c/iframe>\u003c/div>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"title": "Feel Like Your Phone’s Weather App Often Gets It Wrong? Experts Say You Aren't Imagining It",
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"headTitle": "Feel Like Your Phone’s Weather App Often Gets It Wrong? Experts Say You Aren’t Imagining It | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>The Bay Area is in the grip of a \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000315/record-breaking-heat-wave-bakes-the-bay-area-through-friday\">heat wave right now.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But if you’re feeling like it’s even hotter out there than your phone’s weather app says it is, there’s a good chance you’re not imagining it.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s because the phone apps we rely on to tell us how hot it is — or when rain is coming — aren’t actually super accurate in reality, said Daniel Swain, climate scientist with the California Institute for Water Resources at the University of California Agriculture and Natural Resources.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Any self-respecting meteorologist doesn’t use those types of apps,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And make no mistake: It \u003cem>is \u003c/em>really hot out there. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000315/record-breaking-heat-wave-bakes-the-bay-area-through-friday\">This week’s heat wave\u003c/a> is totally “unprecedented” for March, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101913281/were-in-for-a-major-heat-wave\">Swain told KQED Forum on Monday\u003c/a>, and it’s not just affecting the Bay Area or Northern California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This temperature spike is stretching all the way across the Great Plains to Kansas and Nebraska, south to Mexico, and all the way north to Canada, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to: \u003ca href=\"#HowcanIgetthemostaccurateweatherforecastonmyphone\">How can I get the most accurate weather forecast on my phone?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>“This looks like a legitimately summer-like heat wave in the middle of March,” he said. “And that is an incredible anomaly.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s going to be 80, even 90 degrees in some places that would, at this time of year, typically be seeing snow.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>So why \u003cem>isn’t \u003c/em>my phone’s weather app super accurate?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The weather apps that are automatically downloaded on a person’s phone — like the iPhone’s Weather app — undoubtedly offer their users a speedy and convenient way to get a general sense of the weather forecast in their city, without having to leave their phone. In addition, there is \u003ca href=\"https://www.apple.com/us/search/weather?src=globalnav\">a large range of weather apps \u003c/a>available that a person can choose to download.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And for many casual situations — like deciding whether to bring a sweater or not — these apps might well be enough for some people, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12076408\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12076408\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Crowds gather to enjoy the warm weather and ocean waves at Stinson Beach in Stinson Beach, California, on Oct. 16, 2020. Temperatures across the Bay Area reached record highs this week, drawing inland residents to the coasts to beat the heat. \u003ccite>(Jessica Christian/The San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But Swain said we can’t solely rely on our phones’ own weather apps, or nearly any weather app at all, to give us accurate information about this “record-shattering” heat wave — or to make predictions that will actually pan out. And so, if you’re in some kind of situation in which an accurate weather forecast is crucial, like any kind of outdoor adventure, “then you actually do need to dig a little bit deeper” than phone apps, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All of the weather apps out there — including the flagship ones for big tech companies who dominate the smartphone market and have a base weather app that shows up on your phone — they’re really not good,” he said. “They’re quite bad.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But \u003cem>why \u003c/em>can the weather information on phone apps be unreliable? It’s because those apps are fully automated and use algorithms that aren’t “sufficiently dynamic,” Swain said — and in a nutshell, they’re lacking human expertise and customization behind the scenes.[aside postID=science_2000315 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2026/03/BayAreaHeatWaveGetty2.jpg']First off, the app may not even be telling you its readings of the weather where you are, Swain said, but rather feeding you a forecast of what it was \u003cem>supposed \u003c/em>to be like. Or they are pulling just one of the hundreds of models that run every few hours and “calling it a day,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And it turns out that these guesses “can cascade into major differences in a forecast that’s days out,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Apple, Google and Samsung did not respond to KQED’s requests for comment on criticism of their own weather apps’ accuracy. Apple’s \u003ca href=\"https://support.apple.com/en-us/105038\">website\u003c/a> said that Apple Weather provides the iPhone’s Weather app 10-day forecast, but that National Weather Service information informs its severe weather alerts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Jan Null, a meteorologist who founded the Golden Gate Weather Service, echoed Swain’s concerns.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The problem with most weather apps is that they’re using some sort of universal computer model to forecast what’s going to happen \u003cem>somewhere\u003c/em>,” Null said. “So it’s the same computer model that’s being used back in Pennsylvania that’s being used here. And all computer models are not equal.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Additionally, weather apps are often ingesting data and spitting it right out without any filter, “even though that’s not how that data was meant to be used,” Swain said. “There’s no human making a weather forecast behind that weather app data.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The reason why having a human to read that data and interpret it matters is because humans can make “manual adjustments” for places “where conditions are known to diverge from the models,” Swain said — just like they can in the Bay Area. Since those divergences can be somewhat systematic, “human forecasters have a good sense for when to throw the model data out,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12047560\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12047560\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1358\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-160x109.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-1536x1043.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People enjoying the sun at the Palace of Fine Arts as a heat wave rolls through San Francisco on July 11, 2024. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Not only that, Null said, but some weather apps might just pull from the closest airport or weather station, without accounting for the many microclimates that naturally occur.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you want to see what the weather is in San Mateo, it’s probably going to give you San Francisco International Airport,” he said. “And there can be quite a difference.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And in the city, “it’s classic in San Francisco when the computer models miss when the sea breeze comes in after a warm spell,” Null said. “I’ve seen it dozens and dozens of times in my career.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>All of this creates real confusion for users, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Sometimes, you look out the window, and it’s completely different than what the app shows,” Swain said — or “the forecast bounces around a lot from hour to hour, and day to day.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Weather apps vs. extreme weather\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A 2025 study led by University of Chicago researchers in collaboration with University of California, Santa Cruz and New York University \u003ca href=\"http://universityofcalifornia.edu/news/ai-good-weather-forecasting-can-it-predict-freak-weather-events\">reported\u003c/a> that while AI-powered weather models perform well for day-to-day weather, they often underestimate the scale of more extreme, unprecedented weather events.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While sometimes the differences in the data are negligible, other times these discrepancies “can result in real problems where people aren’t getting the right information,” Swain said. He particularly pointed to the sudden \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12045531/lake-tahoe-boat-accidents-7th-victim-is-found-by-divers-1-person-still-missing\">summer storm\u003c/a> that hit Lake Tahoe last year, not forecasted on many people’s weather apps, that killed eight people.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Ultimately, [a phone’s weather app] just doesn’t offer enough nuance,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11992382\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11992382\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Children play in sprinklers at Meadow Homes Park in Concord on Sept. 8, 2022, as the temperature soared to 108 degrees. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Several \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/winter-storm-apps-forecast-accuracy-snow-weather-9768afec5fc53b4faba19f3cfd06a86c\">meteorologists interviewed by \u003cem>The Associated Press \u003c/em>\u003c/a>earlier this year, as a series of strong winter storms swept the United States, echoed these sentiments. “For extreme weather events, it is especially important to know there are human forecasters interpreting the data and making the best localized forecasts for your area,” University of Oklahoma meteorology professor Jason Furtado told AP.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Like Swain and Null, Furtado warned of “the potential for significant errors” being introduced by the fact that “many of the weather forecast apps use AI methods to either make the forecast or ‘interpolate’ from larger grids to your hometown.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What’s more, Swain argues, inaccurate app weather reports are even reducing public trust in professional meteorology — because of the gulf between what a person’s phone is telling them about today’s weather and what a meteorologist is reporting.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This gap means an increasing number of people “think that our ability to predict the weather is much worse than it actually is,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"HowcanIgetthemostaccurateweatherforecastonmyphone\">\u003c/a>Where else can I get accurate weather information on my phone?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Instead of relying on the icons in your phone apps, Swain advises you turn to your \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">local National Weather Service\u003c/a> office’s website. With reports driven by human meteorologists rather than algorithms, the analysis from these offices drives crucial alerts — like the current \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=CAZ006&warncounty=CAC075&firewxzone=CAZ006&local_place1=San%20Francisco%20CA&product1=Heat+Advisory&lat=37.7596&lon=-122.4338\">heat advisory\u003c/a> in effect — during dangerous weather.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There are meteorologists working for the weather service in the San Francisco Bay Area or in Los Angeles or any number of other locations who have been forecasting the weather for this particular corner of the world for 20, 30, even 40 years,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They are world experts in the weather in your backyard.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12053297\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12053297\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People walk along International Boulevard in Oakland during a heat wave on Aug. 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Martin do Nascimento/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And if you really want those forecasts on your mobile phone, there’s an app for that. Null suggests downloading \u003ca href=\"https://everythingwx.com/\">EverythingWeather,\u003c/a> a new app that, rather than aggregating nationwide info, pulls in local NWS reports — essentially a mobile-friendly version of the office reports.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While it’s not an official NWS app, it was \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/winter-storm-apps-forecast-accuracy-snow-weather-9768afec5fc53b4faba19f3cfd06a86c\">created by off-duty NWS employee \u003c/a>Cory Mottice, and it’s frequently maintained, Null said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The NWS staff are nonetheless under threat due to federal \u003ca href=\"https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/the-scientific-impact-of-trumps-cuts-to-noaa-and-the-national-weather-service\">defunding\u003c/a>, Swain warned, even as their experience becomes even more valuable during unprecedented events like this heat wave.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s a lot of expert interpolation that goes into reading and interpreting the raw numerical data from a weather model,” he said. “That is the art and the skill of forecasting.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>NWS forecasters can’t predict individual weather events more than a week or two in advance, Swain said — so he recommends you don’t depend on \u003cem>any \u003c/em>forecast that’s not in the immediate future.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So what does that mean for the remainder of this unprecedented March heat wave and when it might let up?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Statistically, it probably should rain again following this extreme heat,” he said. “There’s no immediate indication of significant storms, which is frustrating.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/amadrigal\">\u003cem>Alexis Madrigal\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> and Carly Severn contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "If you’re surprised by current high temperatures — compared to what your phone’s weather app reports — these meteorologists say there’s a reason for that.",
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"title": "Feel Like Your Phone’s Weather App Often Gets It Wrong? Experts Say You Aren't Imagining It | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The Bay Area is in the grip of a \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000315/record-breaking-heat-wave-bakes-the-bay-area-through-friday\">heat wave right now.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But if you’re feeling like it’s even hotter out there than your phone’s weather app says it is, there’s a good chance you’re not imagining it.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s because the phone apps we rely on to tell us how hot it is — or when rain is coming — aren’t actually super accurate in reality, said Daniel Swain, climate scientist with the California Institute for Water Resources at the University of California Agriculture and Natural Resources.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Any self-respecting meteorologist doesn’t use those types of apps,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And make no mistake: It \u003cem>is \u003c/em>really hot out there. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000315/record-breaking-heat-wave-bakes-the-bay-area-through-friday\">This week’s heat wave\u003c/a> is totally “unprecedented” for March, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101913281/were-in-for-a-major-heat-wave\">Swain told KQED Forum on Monday\u003c/a>, and it’s not just affecting the Bay Area or Northern California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This temperature spike is stretching all the way across the Great Plains to Kansas and Nebraska, south to Mexico, and all the way north to Canada, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to: \u003ca href=\"#HowcanIgetthemostaccurateweatherforecastonmyphone\">How can I get the most accurate weather forecast on my phone?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>“This looks like a legitimately summer-like heat wave in the middle of March,” he said. “And that is an incredible anomaly.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s going to be 80, even 90 degrees in some places that would, at this time of year, typically be seeing snow.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>So why \u003cem>isn’t \u003c/em>my phone’s weather app super accurate?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The weather apps that are automatically downloaded on a person’s phone — like the iPhone’s Weather app — undoubtedly offer their users a speedy and convenient way to get a general sense of the weather forecast in their city, without having to leave their phone. In addition, there is \u003ca href=\"https://www.apple.com/us/search/weather?src=globalnav\">a large range of weather apps \u003c/a>available that a person can choose to download.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And for many casual situations — like deciding whether to bring a sweater or not — these apps might well be enough for some people, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12076408\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12076408\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/SFBeachesGetty-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Crowds gather to enjoy the warm weather and ocean waves at Stinson Beach in Stinson Beach, California, on Oct. 16, 2020. Temperatures across the Bay Area reached record highs this week, drawing inland residents to the coasts to beat the heat. \u003ccite>(Jessica Christian/The San Francisco Chronicle via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But Swain said we can’t solely rely on our phones’ own weather apps, or nearly any weather app at all, to give us accurate information about this “record-shattering” heat wave — or to make predictions that will actually pan out. And so, if you’re in some kind of situation in which an accurate weather forecast is crucial, like any kind of outdoor adventure, “then you actually do need to dig a little bit deeper” than phone apps, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All of the weather apps out there — including the flagship ones for big tech companies who dominate the smartphone market and have a base weather app that shows up on your phone — they’re really not good,” he said. “They’re quite bad.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But \u003cem>why \u003c/em>can the weather information on phone apps be unreliable? It’s because those apps are fully automated and use algorithms that aren’t “sufficiently dynamic,” Swain said — and in a nutshell, they’re lacking human expertise and customization behind the scenes.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>First off, the app may not even be telling you its readings of the weather where you are, Swain said, but rather feeding you a forecast of what it was \u003cem>supposed \u003c/em>to be like. Or they are pulling just one of the hundreds of models that run every few hours and “calling it a day,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And it turns out that these guesses “can cascade into major differences in a forecast that’s days out,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Apple, Google and Samsung did not respond to KQED’s requests for comment on criticism of their own weather apps’ accuracy. Apple’s \u003ca href=\"https://support.apple.com/en-us/105038\">website\u003c/a> said that Apple Weather provides the iPhone’s Weather app 10-day forecast, but that National Weather Service information informs its severe weather alerts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Jan Null, a meteorologist who founded the Golden Gate Weather Service, echoed Swain’s concerns.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The problem with most weather apps is that they’re using some sort of universal computer model to forecast what’s going to happen \u003cem>somewhere\u003c/em>,” Null said. “So it’s the same computer model that’s being used back in Pennsylvania that’s being used here. And all computer models are not equal.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Additionally, weather apps are often ingesting data and spitting it right out without any filter, “even though that’s not how that data was meant to be used,” Swain said. “There’s no human making a weather forecast behind that weather app data.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The reason why having a human to read that data and interpret it matters is because humans can make “manual adjustments” for places “where conditions are known to diverge from the models,” Swain said — just like they can in the Bay Area. Since those divergences can be somewhat systematic, “human forecasters have a good sense for when to throw the model data out,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12047560\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12047560\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1358\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-160x109.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/Heat-Wave-SF-Getty-1536x1043.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People enjoying the sun at the Palace of Fine Arts as a heat wave rolls through San Francisco on July 11, 2024. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Not only that, Null said, but some weather apps might just pull from the closest airport or weather station, without accounting for the many microclimates that naturally occur.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you want to see what the weather is in San Mateo, it’s probably going to give you San Francisco International Airport,” he said. “And there can be quite a difference.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And in the city, “it’s classic in San Francisco when the computer models miss when the sea breeze comes in after a warm spell,” Null said. “I’ve seen it dozens and dozens of times in my career.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>All of this creates real confusion for users, Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Sometimes, you look out the window, and it’s completely different than what the app shows,” Swain said — or “the forecast bounces around a lot from hour to hour, and day to day.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Weather apps vs. extreme weather\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A 2025 study led by University of Chicago researchers in collaboration with University of California, Santa Cruz and New York University \u003ca href=\"http://universityofcalifornia.edu/news/ai-good-weather-forecasting-can-it-predict-freak-weather-events\">reported\u003c/a> that while AI-powered weather models perform well for day-to-day weather, they often underestimate the scale of more extreme, unprecedented weather events.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While sometimes the differences in the data are negligible, other times these discrepancies “can result in real problems where people aren’t getting the right information,” Swain said. He particularly pointed to the sudden \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12045531/lake-tahoe-boat-accidents-7th-victim-is-found-by-divers-1-person-still-missing\">summer storm\u003c/a> that hit Lake Tahoe last year, not forecasted on many people’s weather apps, that killed eight people.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Ultimately, [a phone’s weather app] just doesn’t offer enough nuance,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11992382\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11992382\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/026_KQED_HeatWaveConcord_09082022_qed-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Children play in sprinklers at Meadow Homes Park in Concord on Sept. 8, 2022, as the temperature soared to 108 degrees. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Several \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/winter-storm-apps-forecast-accuracy-snow-weather-9768afec5fc53b4faba19f3cfd06a86c\">meteorologists interviewed by \u003cem>The Associated Press \u003c/em>\u003c/a>earlier this year, as a series of strong winter storms swept the United States, echoed these sentiments. “For extreme weather events, it is especially important to know there are human forecasters interpreting the data and making the best localized forecasts for your area,” University of Oklahoma meteorology professor Jason Furtado told AP.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Like Swain and Null, Furtado warned of “the potential for significant errors” being introduced by the fact that “many of the weather forecast apps use AI methods to either make the forecast or ‘interpolate’ from larger grids to your hometown.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What’s more, Swain argues, inaccurate app weather reports are even reducing public trust in professional meteorology — because of the gulf between what a person’s phone is telling them about today’s weather and what a meteorologist is reporting.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This gap means an increasing number of people “think that our ability to predict the weather is much worse than it actually is,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"HowcanIgetthemostaccurateweatherforecastonmyphone\">\u003c/a>Where else can I get accurate weather information on my phone?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Instead of relying on the icons in your phone apps, Swain advises you turn to your \u003ca href=\"https://www.weather.gov/mtr/\">local National Weather Service\u003c/a> office’s website. With reports driven by human meteorologists rather than algorithms, the analysis from these offices drives crucial alerts — like the current \u003ca href=\"https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=CAZ006&warncounty=CAC075&firewxzone=CAZ006&local_place1=San%20Francisco%20CA&product1=Heat+Advisory&lat=37.7596&lon=-122.4338\">heat advisory\u003c/a> in effect — during dangerous weather.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There are meteorologists working for the weather service in the San Francisco Bay Area or in Los Angeles or any number of other locations who have been forecasting the weather for this particular corner of the world for 20, 30, even 40 years,” Swain said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They are world experts in the weather in your backyard.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12053297\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12053297\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/08/250821-FRUITVALE-HEAT-MD-01-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People walk along International Boulevard in Oakland during a heat wave on Aug. 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Martin do Nascimento/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And if you really want those forecasts on your mobile phone, there’s an app for that. Null suggests downloading \u003ca href=\"https://everythingwx.com/\">EverythingWeather,\u003c/a> a new app that, rather than aggregating nationwide info, pulls in local NWS reports — essentially a mobile-friendly version of the office reports.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While it’s not an official NWS app, it was \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/winter-storm-apps-forecast-accuracy-snow-weather-9768afec5fc53b4faba19f3cfd06a86c\">created by off-duty NWS employee \u003c/a>Cory Mottice, and it’s frequently maintained, Null said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The NWS staff are nonetheless under threat due to federal \u003ca href=\"https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/the-scientific-impact-of-trumps-cuts-to-noaa-and-the-national-weather-service\">defunding\u003c/a>, Swain warned, even as their experience becomes even more valuable during unprecedented events like this heat wave.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s a lot of expert interpolation that goes into reading and interpreting the raw numerical data from a weather model,” he said. “That is the art and the skill of forecasting.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>NWS forecasters can’t predict individual weather events more than a week or two in advance, Swain said — so he recommends you don’t depend on \u003cem>any \u003c/em>forecast that’s not in the immediate future.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So what does that mean for the remainder of this unprecedented March heat wave and when it might let up?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Statistically, it probably should rain again following this extreme heat,” he said. “There’s no immediate indication of significant storms, which is frustrating.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/amadrigal\">\u003cem>Alexis Madrigal\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> and Carly Severn contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "heavy-rain-and-snow-shut-down-roads-across-bay-area-and-sierra-nevada",
"title": "Heavy Rain and Snow Shut Down Roads Across Bay Area and Sierra Nevada",
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"headTitle": "Heavy Rain and Snow Shut Down Roads Across Bay Area and Sierra Nevada | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000043/winter-is-coming-storms-soak-bay-area-next-week-drop-2-feet-of-fresh-snow-on-tahoe\">major storm system\u003c/a> passing through Northern California after weeks of dry weather shut down roads across the Bay Area and in the Sierra Nevada on Tuesday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As the area braces for more steady rainfall throughout the day, highways in the East Bay and North Bay were flooded in parts, and access to Lake Tahoe was cut off due to inches of rain and snow collected since Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The weather \u003ca href=\"https://511.org/alerts/critical\">suspended Golden Gate Ferry\u003c/a> operations to Angel Island, and travel to Tiburon has been rerouted via bus. Trips from San Francisco to Sausalito were suspended until 12:10 p.m. After that, early afternoon travel will be via bus.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In Oakland, Interstate 880 northbound was backed up as the offramp on Broadway flooded, according to the Metropolitan Transportation Commission’s \u003ca href=\"https://511.org/\">511 website\u003c/a>. Interstate 580 was also affected by flooding: in the eastbound direction, the right lane and shoulder were closed due to flooding near Grand Avenue, and westbound, the right lane was closed east of 35th Avenue.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#Tips\">Jump straight to: Tips for safe driving in the rain and snow\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>The city has gotten more than an inch and a half of rain in the last 48 hours, according to the National Weather Service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Farther northeast in Solano County, where there’s also been more than an inch of rainfall since midday Sunday, flooding affected lanes of Highway 38 headed east in Vallejo and Interstate 80 westbound in Fairfield.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10366486\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-10366486\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2014/12/459889850-e1771364269475.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1360\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A motorist drives through a flooded intersection on Dec. 3, 2014, in Mill Valley, California. \u003ccite>(Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In Sonoma County, where back-to-back storms in December and early January brought \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12068281/bay-area-braces-for-storm-that-could-become-a-rare-bomb-cyclone-ahead-of-holiday-travel\">significant flooding\u003c/a>, Green Valley Road in Sebastopol was shut down on Tuesday due to flood conditions. In a livestream operated by the county to \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mcQJUHnWAVA\">show flooding conditions\u003c/a>, water was streaming over the roadway near Sullivan Road and pooling heavily on Tuesday afternoon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The section between Thomas Road and Sullivan Road is currently closed due to flooding from the recent storm,” county spokesperson Diana Callaway said via email. She said the roadway would reopen when water levels receded, but did not give a time estimate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Motorists are advised to use alternate routes and avoid driving through flooded areas due to potential debris and water-related hazards,” she said.[aside postID=news_12068981 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/Hwy116Getty.jpg']Parts of the county have collected more than 2 inches of rain since Sunday, the NWS reported, and county officials urged residents to limit unnecessary travel and turn around if they come across flooded roadways.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In Monterey County, a nearly 7-mile stretch of Highway 1 was closed as crews cleared mud and debris from the roadway after a slide late Monday evening. The Regent’s Slide area in Big Sur — where there were major mudslides in 2023 and 2024 — \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12069761/californias-highway-1-fully-opens-through-big-sur-years-after-major-landslides\">just reopened in January\u003c/a> after three years of damage repairs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Crews continue to clear mud from the roadway at Regent’s Slide,” Caltrans said in a post on the social media platform X.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for the mountains, UC Berkeley’s Central Sierra Snow Lab said it best: “It. Is. Dumping,” the lab \u003ca href=\"https://x.com/UCB_CSSL\">posted on X on Tuesday\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Reaching the Sierra won’t be easy — or advised — after Interstate 80 shut down from Colfax in Placer County to the Nevada state line due to snowfall. The Sierra Snow Lab, which is located near Donner Summit, about 50 miles east of Colfax along I-80, reported 28 inches of snow overnight Monday, and predicted another 2-3 feet by Wednesday night.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Anecdotally, the combination of low visibility, intense snowfall, and high winds have created the worst conditions since Feb 2023,” the Berkeley lab said via social media.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11980519\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11980519\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/02/GettyImages-1244621245_qut.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/02/GettyImages-1244621245_qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/02/GettyImages-1244621245_qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/02/GettyImages-1244621245_qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/02/GettyImages-1244621245_qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/02/GettyImages-1244621245_qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Snow blanketed South Lake Tahoe in California on Nov. 8, 2022. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Highway 50 to South Lake Tahoe was also closed in El Dorado County, from Pointview Drive in Placerville to Meyers, due to multiple spinouts, and Highway 89 in El Dorado County was closed at Emerald Bay State Park in South Lake.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service said that travel throughout the Sierra is “highly discouraged” throughout the day and into the night, as periods of whiteout conditions are likely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Across Northern California, more rain and snow are expected throughout the day, and scattered showers could continue into the rest of the week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Sierra, the National Weather Service is forecasting up to 8 feet of snow on peaks above 3,500 feet, while 1-2 feet could accumulate at lower elevations. Some snowfall is predicted at elevations as low as 1,000 feet in the Sierra and Shasta County.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>\u003ca id=\"Tips\">\u003c/a>Driving safely in rain and strong winds\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>During storms like this, officials typically urge residents to limit unnecessary travel and stay home if at all possible during weather events like these, citing the potential dangers presented by downed trees and power lines in addition to flooding.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>How should I change my driving style during rain and winds?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you must drive, do it much more slowly and cautiously than usual, while:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Using your headlights\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Turning off cruise control\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Maintaining a firm grip on the steering wheel\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Leaving twice as much space between your vehicle and the one in front of it (wet roads might mean it takes longer to stop)\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Staying alert for debris on the road.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>What do I do if my car begins to hydroplane on a wet road?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>First off, remain calm — and don’t slam on the brakes\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Ease off the gas\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Steer in the direction you want to go …\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>… and very lightly pump the brakes until you regain traction.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>What if I approach a flooded road?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Always turn around rather than driving through a flooded area — as little as 6 inches of water is enough to disable or stall a small car, while 12 inches can sweep away a vehicle. Don’t assume you know the depth of a pool of water or the conditions of the road underneath it, especially at night.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If floodwaters begin to rise around your car, abandon the car and move to higher ground on foot. According to the California Department of Water Resources, more people become trapped and die in their vehicles than anywhere else during a flood.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>Driving safely in snowy conditions\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Be sure to take weather warnings for the Sierra Nevada seriously, as winter storms can sometimes make travel virtually impossible — and genuinely dangerous. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains#snowroadclosures\">Read more on how to check the weather forecast and travel warnings.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11937339\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11937339\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A snowplow clears debris from the road to Stateline, Nevada on Nov. 8, 2022. A winter Storm warning in is effect for Lake Tahoe and the Sierra Nevada. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>If you must drive in these conditions:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Carry chains\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition to making sure your vehicle’s in good working order (including brakes, wipers and heater), you’ll need to carry chains, which are fitted onto the tires of a vehicle’s drive wheels to offer more traction on snowy and icy roads. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains#chaincontroltahoe\">Read more about when chain control is declared in the Tahoe region and how to fit chains onto your car.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Fuel up\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Make sure you also have as much fuel as possible at all times, as you could be delayed or even held on the road, which will burn up the fuel in your tank. Gaining elevation as you ascend into the mountains will also use more gas.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Use Caltrans’ QuickMap \u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Caltrans’ \u003ca href=\"https://quickmap.dot.ca.gov/QM/app.htm\">QuickMap app (available on the App Store and Google Play)\u003c/a>, and also in \u003ca href=\"https://quickmap.dot.ca.gov/\">web form,\u003c/a> will show you the latest road conditions and travel information, including chain controls, snowplows on the roads and closures.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Pack for getting stuck\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Make sure your vehicles contains emergency items including:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Food and water\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Warm blankets\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Extra clothing\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>A shovel, in case you need to dig your vehicle out of snow\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>An ice scraper.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Take it slow\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You’ll see the words “Ice and snow, take it slow” on road signs in Tahoe, and you should heed the advice — especially in areas with chain control, which is in effect for a reason.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Leave far more braking distance between you and the car ahead than you normally would. If cars behind you are clearly trying to go much faster than you, pull over when it’s safe to do so, and let them pass. Read \u003ca href=\"https://dot.ca.gov/travel/winter-driving-tips\">Caltrans’ list of winter driving tips\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Know how to correct a skid\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There are \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=how+to+get+out+of+skid\">many video tutorials online demonstrating how to control and correct a skid\u003c/a>. It’s a good idea to watch a few of them so you can see what the advice for correcting a skid — \u003ca href=\"https://www.aarp.org/auto/driver-safety/the-car-skids-what-you-should-do/\">take your feet off the pedals and turn into the direction you want to go\u003c/a> — looks like in action.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Be aware of the ice risk especially posed by roads that are shaded by the sun — and also on \u003ca href=\"https://www.forbes.com/sites/marshallshepherd/2017/12/19/the-science-of-why-bridges-ice-before-roads/?sh=194a49857cd0\">bridges, which freeze faster than the road before and after them\u003c/a> owing to the air underneath.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This story contains reporting by KQED’s \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/ccabreralomeli\">\u003cem>Carlos Cabrera-Lomelí\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> and \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/esilvers\">\u003cem>Emma Silvers\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem>.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "A major storm system passing through Northern California is bringing significant disruptions to travel, including what officials called the worst conditions over Donner Pass in years.",
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"title": "Heavy Rain and Snow Shut Down Roads Across Bay Area and Sierra Nevada | KQED",
"description": "A major storm system passing through Northern California is bringing significant disruptions to travel, including what officials called the worst conditions over Donner Pass in years.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000043/winter-is-coming-storms-soak-bay-area-next-week-drop-2-feet-of-fresh-snow-on-tahoe\">major storm system\u003c/a> passing through Northern California after weeks of dry weather shut down roads across the Bay Area and in the Sierra Nevada on Tuesday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As the area braces for more steady rainfall throughout the day, highways in the East Bay and North Bay were flooded in parts, and access to Lake Tahoe was cut off due to inches of rain and snow collected since Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The weather \u003ca href=\"https://511.org/alerts/critical\">suspended Golden Gate Ferry\u003c/a> operations to Angel Island, and travel to Tiburon has been rerouted via bus. Trips from San Francisco to Sausalito were suspended until 12:10 p.m. After that, early afternoon travel will be via bus.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In Oakland, Interstate 880 northbound was backed up as the offramp on Broadway flooded, according to the Metropolitan Transportation Commission’s \u003ca href=\"https://511.org/\">511 website\u003c/a>. Interstate 580 was also affected by flooding: in the eastbound direction, the right lane and shoulder were closed due to flooding near Grand Avenue, and westbound, the right lane was closed east of 35th Avenue.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#Tips\">Jump straight to: Tips for safe driving in the rain and snow\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>The city has gotten more than an inch and a half of rain in the last 48 hours, according to the National Weather Service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Farther northeast in Solano County, where there’s also been more than an inch of rainfall since midday Sunday, flooding affected lanes of Highway 38 headed east in Vallejo and Interstate 80 westbound in Fairfield.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10366486\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-10366486\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2014/12/459889850-e1771364269475.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1360\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A motorist drives through a flooded intersection on Dec. 3, 2014, in Mill Valley, California. \u003ccite>(Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In Sonoma County, where back-to-back storms in December and early January brought \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12068281/bay-area-braces-for-storm-that-could-become-a-rare-bomb-cyclone-ahead-of-holiday-travel\">significant flooding\u003c/a>, Green Valley Road in Sebastopol was shut down on Tuesday due to flood conditions. In a livestream operated by the county to \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mcQJUHnWAVA\">show flooding conditions\u003c/a>, water was streaming over the roadway near Sullivan Road and pooling heavily on Tuesday afternoon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The section between Thomas Road and Sullivan Road is currently closed due to flooding from the recent storm,” county spokesperson Diana Callaway said via email. She said the roadway would reopen when water levels receded, but did not give a time estimate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Motorists are advised to use alternate routes and avoid driving through flooded areas due to potential debris and water-related hazards,” she said.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Parts of the county have collected more than 2 inches of rain since Sunday, the NWS reported, and county officials urged residents to limit unnecessary travel and turn around if they come across flooded roadways.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In Monterey County, a nearly 7-mile stretch of Highway 1 was closed as crews cleared mud and debris from the roadway after a slide late Monday evening. The Regent’s Slide area in Big Sur — where there were major mudslides in 2023 and 2024 — \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12069761/californias-highway-1-fully-opens-through-big-sur-years-after-major-landslides\">just reopened in January\u003c/a> after three years of damage repairs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Crews continue to clear mud from the roadway at Regent’s Slide,” Caltrans said in a post on the social media platform X.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for the mountains, UC Berkeley’s Central Sierra Snow Lab said it best: “It. Is. Dumping,” the lab \u003ca href=\"https://x.com/UCB_CSSL\">posted on X on Tuesday\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Reaching the Sierra won’t be easy — or advised — after Interstate 80 shut down from Colfax in Placer County to the Nevada state line due to snowfall. The Sierra Snow Lab, which is located near Donner Summit, about 50 miles east of Colfax along I-80, reported 28 inches of snow overnight Monday, and predicted another 2-3 feet by Wednesday night.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Anecdotally, the combination of low visibility, intense snowfall, and high winds have created the worst conditions since Feb 2023,” the Berkeley lab said via social media.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11980519\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11980519\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/02/GettyImages-1244621245_qut.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/02/GettyImages-1244621245_qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/02/GettyImages-1244621245_qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/02/GettyImages-1244621245_qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/02/GettyImages-1244621245_qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/02/GettyImages-1244621245_qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Snow blanketed South Lake Tahoe in California on Nov. 8, 2022. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Highway 50 to South Lake Tahoe was also closed in El Dorado County, from Pointview Drive in Placerville to Meyers, due to multiple spinouts, and Highway 89 in El Dorado County was closed at Emerald Bay State Park in South Lake.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The National Weather Service said that travel throughout the Sierra is “highly discouraged” throughout the day and into the night, as periods of whiteout conditions are likely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Across Northern California, more rain and snow are expected throughout the day, and scattered showers could continue into the rest of the week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Sierra, the National Weather Service is forecasting up to 8 feet of snow on peaks above 3,500 feet, while 1-2 feet could accumulate at lower elevations. Some snowfall is predicted at elevations as low as 1,000 feet in the Sierra and Shasta County.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>\u003ca id=\"Tips\">\u003c/a>Driving safely in rain and strong winds\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>During storms like this, officials typically urge residents to limit unnecessary travel and stay home if at all possible during weather events like these, citing the potential dangers presented by downed trees and power lines in addition to flooding.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>How should I change my driving style during rain and winds?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you must drive, do it much more slowly and cautiously than usual, while:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Using your headlights\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Turning off cruise control\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Maintaining a firm grip on the steering wheel\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Leaving twice as much space between your vehicle and the one in front of it (wet roads might mean it takes longer to stop)\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Staying alert for debris on the road.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>What do I do if my car begins to hydroplane on a wet road?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>First off, remain calm — and don’t slam on the brakes\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Ease off the gas\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Steer in the direction you want to go …\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>… and very lightly pump the brakes until you regain traction.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>What if I approach a flooded road?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Always turn around rather than driving through a flooded area — as little as 6 inches of water is enough to disable or stall a small car, while 12 inches can sweep away a vehicle. Don’t assume you know the depth of a pool of water or the conditions of the road underneath it, especially at night.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If floodwaters begin to rise around your car, abandon the car and move to higher ground on foot. According to the California Department of Water Resources, more people become trapped and die in their vehicles than anywhere else during a flood.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>Driving safely in snowy conditions\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Be sure to take weather warnings for the Sierra Nevada seriously, as winter storms can sometimes make travel virtually impossible — and genuinely dangerous. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains#snowroadclosures\">Read more on how to check the weather forecast and travel warnings.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11937339\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11937339\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/01/RS61930_GettyImages-1244621487-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A snowplow clears debris from the road to Stateline, Nevada on Nov. 8, 2022. A winter Storm warning in is effect for Lake Tahoe and the Sierra Nevada. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>If you must drive in these conditions:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Carry chains\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition to making sure your vehicle’s in good working order (including brakes, wipers and heater), you’ll need to carry chains, which are fitted onto the tires of a vehicle’s drive wheels to offer more traction on snowy and icy roads. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11937204/lake-tahoe-weather-forecast-road-conditions-snow-chains#chaincontroltahoe\">Read more about when chain control is declared in the Tahoe region and how to fit chains onto your car.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Fuel up\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Make sure you also have as much fuel as possible at all times, as you could be delayed or even held on the road, which will burn up the fuel in your tank. Gaining elevation as you ascend into the mountains will also use more gas.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Use Caltrans’ QuickMap \u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Caltrans’ \u003ca href=\"https://quickmap.dot.ca.gov/QM/app.htm\">QuickMap app (available on the App Store and Google Play)\u003c/a>, and also in \u003ca href=\"https://quickmap.dot.ca.gov/\">web form,\u003c/a> will show you the latest road conditions and travel information, including chain controls, snowplows on the roads and closures.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Pack for getting stuck\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Make sure your vehicles contains emergency items including:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Food and water\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Warm blankets\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Extra clothing\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>A shovel, in case you need to dig your vehicle out of snow\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>An ice scraper.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Take it slow\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You’ll see the words “Ice and snow, take it slow” on road signs in Tahoe, and you should heed the advice — especially in areas with chain control, which is in effect for a reason.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Leave far more braking distance between you and the car ahead than you normally would. If cars behind you are clearly trying to go much faster than you, pull over when it’s safe to do so, and let them pass. Read \u003ca href=\"https://dot.ca.gov/travel/winter-driving-tips\">Caltrans’ list of winter driving tips\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Know how to correct a skid\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There are \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=how+to+get+out+of+skid\">many video tutorials online demonstrating how to control and correct a skid\u003c/a>. It’s a good idea to watch a few of them so you can see what the advice for correcting a skid — \u003ca href=\"https://www.aarp.org/auto/driver-safety/the-car-skids-what-you-should-do/\">take your feet off the pedals and turn into the direction you want to go\u003c/a> — looks like in action.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Be aware of the ice risk especially posed by roads that are shaded by the sun — and also on \u003ca href=\"https://www.forbes.com/sites/marshallshepherd/2017/12/19/the-science-of-why-bridges-ice-before-roads/?sh=194a49857cd0\">bridges, which freeze faster than the road before and after them\u003c/a> owing to the air underneath.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This story contains reporting by KQED’s \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/ccabreralomeli\">\u003cem>Carlos Cabrera-Lomelí\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> and \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/esilvers\">\u003cem>Emma Silvers\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem>.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "winter-has-nothing-on-the-bay-area-with-temperatures-soaring",
"title": "Winter Has Nothing on the Bay Area, With Temperatures Soaring",
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"headTitle": "Winter Has Nothing on the Bay Area, With Temperatures Soaring | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>Although it’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area-weather\">winter\u003c/a> here in the Bay Area, it almost feels like spring, as this week the region sees some of its highest temperatures in months.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>According to the National Weather Service, the South Bay could reach 80 degrees on Wednesday, while San Francisco and other coastal regions will hit the high 60s and low 70s. NWS meteorologist Scott Rowe said there wasn’t a cloud in the sky in often-foggy Half Moon Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Today looks like it will be the warmest day for many communities, some of which will be very close to their daily record highs,” Rowe told KQED.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In true February fashion, cooler temperatures and even a chance of rain could return ahead of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12071772/where-to-watch-super-bowl-2026-san-francisco-bay-area-levis-stadium-bad-bunny-green-day-larussell-santa-clara\">Super Bowl weekend\u003c/a> — but through Friday, warm weather should continue.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The highest temperatures will be south of San Francisco, Rowe said, with San José’s high at around 76 degrees. Farther south, Monterey County and the Salinas Valley are seeing temperatures in the 80s.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>San Francisco is expected to hit 69 degrees, while Oakland could reach 71 degrees. Thursday’s temperatures are shaping up to match that warmth, before the area begins cooling off on Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10966379\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-10966379 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/05/4701949351_679877b7f2_o-e1464127740764.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1440\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Revelers enjoy Mission Dolores Park in San Francisco in 2019. San Francisco is expected to hit 69 degrees on Thursday. \u003ccite>(\u003ca href=\"https://flic.kr/p/8auHJg\" target=\"_blank\">Mik Scheper/Flickr\u003c/a>)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The warm weather is the result of high atmospheric pressure over the region, which by Friday afternoon will clear and make way for a band of low pressure. Temperatures will drop a few degrees through the weekend, though they will remain in the average range for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Beginning Sunday, chances for rain will be on the forecast for several days, though Rowe said it won’t be a “washout.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Precipitation amounts look to be quite minor,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The South Bay will likely see less than a quarter inch of rain early next week, he said, while San Francisco could receive up to a half inch of precipitation. Coastal mountain ranges in Marin and Sonoma counties will get the highest amounts, at upwards of an inch\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Not very high totals, especially compared to what we’ve seen earlier this winter,” Rowe said.[aside postID=science_1999965 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2025/12/MonarchButterfly.jpg']Although atmospheric rivers dumped more than 4 inches of rain around the region this fall and early winter, most of January has been virtually \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12071010/will-the-bay-areas-dry-winter-flip-not-just-yet-but-storms-could-be-coming\">dry\u003c/a>, and so far, February forecasts aren’t showing signs of huge storms on the horizon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California’s reservoir levels are still sitting fairly high, at about 70% full, but snowpack in the Sierra is suffering after the warm, and dry, weather.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>NWS meteorologist Chris Johnston, who is based in Reno, said that the snow water equivalent in the Lake Tahoe Basin is low for this time of year, at 10.4 inches, compared with the average 18.6 inches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even with the return of wet weather early next week, there’s only about a 20% chance that there’ll be more than a foot of snow at Donner Pass, Johnston said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Last month, state water officials conducted an annual snowpack survey in the Sierra, finding that it sat at just 36% of California’s April 1 average. It’s about 56% of the annual average.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Johnston said that’s “definitely a concern going into the spring season,” since snowpack makes up about a third of the state’s water supply. January is generally the state’s wettest month.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Andy Reising, manager of the state’s Snow Surveys and Water Supply Forecasting Unit, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999949/californias-snowpack-is-shrinking-but-winter-isnt-over-yet\">told KQED last month\u003c/a> that despite huge storms in December and early January, more rain fell than snow at middle and lower elevations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I haven’t seen this much liquid running under the snowpack at this time of year,” Reising said at the time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So far, this trend is spilling into February: This week, Truckee could hit 56 degrees, while South Lake Tahoe, at 6,200 feet, is expected to see temperatures in the 50s. On Monday, the low could drop to 24 degrees, below freezing. But daytime temperatures are still in the mid-30s, which could mean fresh snow quickly melts away.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Although it’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bay-area-weather\">winter\u003c/a> here in the Bay Area, it almost feels like spring, as this week the region sees some of its highest temperatures in months.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>According to the National Weather Service, the South Bay could reach 80 degrees on Wednesday, while San Francisco and other coastal regions will hit the high 60s and low 70s. NWS meteorologist Scott Rowe said there wasn’t a cloud in the sky in often-foggy Half Moon Bay.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Today looks like it will be the warmest day for many communities, some of which will be very close to their daily record highs,” Rowe told KQED.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In true February fashion, cooler temperatures and even a chance of rain could return ahead of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12071772/where-to-watch-super-bowl-2026-san-francisco-bay-area-levis-stadium-bad-bunny-green-day-larussell-santa-clara\">Super Bowl weekend\u003c/a> — but through Friday, warm weather should continue.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The highest temperatures will be south of San Francisco, Rowe said, with San José’s high at around 76 degrees. Farther south, Monterey County and the Salinas Valley are seeing temperatures in the 80s.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>San Francisco is expected to hit 69 degrees, while Oakland could reach 71 degrees. Thursday’s temperatures are shaping up to match that warmth, before the area begins cooling off on Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_10966379\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-10966379 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/05/4701949351_679877b7f2_o-e1464127740764.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1440\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Revelers enjoy Mission Dolores Park in San Francisco in 2019. San Francisco is expected to hit 69 degrees on Thursday. \u003ccite>(\u003ca href=\"https://flic.kr/p/8auHJg\" target=\"_blank\">Mik Scheper/Flickr\u003c/a>)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The warm weather is the result of high atmospheric pressure over the region, which by Friday afternoon will clear and make way for a band of low pressure. Temperatures will drop a few degrees through the weekend, though they will remain in the average range for this time of year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Beginning Sunday, chances for rain will be on the forecast for several days, though Rowe said it won’t be a “washout.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Precipitation amounts look to be quite minor,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The South Bay will likely see less than a quarter inch of rain early next week, he said, while San Francisco could receive up to a half inch of precipitation. Coastal mountain ranges in Marin and Sonoma counties will get the highest amounts, at upwards of an inch\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Not very high totals, especially compared to what we’ve seen earlier this winter,” Rowe said.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Although atmospheric rivers dumped more than 4 inches of rain around the region this fall and early winter, most of January has been virtually \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12071010/will-the-bay-areas-dry-winter-flip-not-just-yet-but-storms-could-be-coming\">dry\u003c/a>, and so far, February forecasts aren’t showing signs of huge storms on the horizon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California’s reservoir levels are still sitting fairly high, at about 70% full, but snowpack in the Sierra is suffering after the warm, and dry, weather.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>NWS meteorologist Chris Johnston, who is based in Reno, said that the snow water equivalent in the Lake Tahoe Basin is low for this time of year, at 10.4 inches, compared with the average 18.6 inches.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even with the return of wet weather early next week, there’s only about a 20% chance that there’ll be more than a foot of snow at Donner Pass, Johnston said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Last month, state water officials conducted an annual snowpack survey in the Sierra, finding that it sat at just 36% of California’s April 1 average. It’s about 56% of the annual average.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Johnston said that’s “definitely a concern going into the spring season,” since snowpack makes up about a third of the state’s water supply. January is generally the state’s wettest month.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Andy Reising, manager of the state’s Snow Surveys and Water Supply Forecasting Unit, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1999949/californias-snowpack-is-shrinking-but-winter-isnt-over-yet\">told KQED last month\u003c/a> that despite huge storms in December and early January, more rain fell than snow at middle and lower elevations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I haven’t seen this much liquid running under the snowpack at this time of year,” Reising said at the time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So far, this trend is spilling into February: This week, Truckee could hit 56 degrees, while South Lake Tahoe, at 6,200 feet, is expected to see temperatures in the 50s. On Monday, the low could drop to 24 degrees, below freezing. But daytime temperatures are still in the mid-30s, which could mean fresh snow quickly melts away.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Nvidia has announced a suite of open-source AI weather forecasting systems, joining other \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/category/technology\">Big Tech players\u003c/a> hoping to establish themselves in the space as federal funding evaporates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California farmers, insurers and meteorologists alike stand to gain from adding \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/arts/tag/ai\">AI\u003c/a> to their weather-forecasting toolboxes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At the American Meteorological Society’s\u003ca href=\"https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/meetings-events/upcoming-meetings/annual-meeting/\"> annual meeting\u003c/a> in Houston, Nvidia unveiled a new \u003ca href=\"https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/high-performance-computing/earth-2/\">NVIDIA Earth-2 “family”\u003c/a> of open models, libraries and frameworks for weather and climate AI, offering what it called “the world’s first fully open, accelerated weather AI software stack.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Santa Clara-based chipmaker described the system as “complete” for nowcasting and medium-range predictions that previously took hours on high-performance computing clusters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nvidia said the tools represent the first time AI has surpassed traditional, physics-based weather prediction models in short-term precipitation forecasting. The company added that developers across industries are already using Earth-2 to predict weather and “harness actionable insights.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://youtu.be/qo78lSBYi-U?si=QfwIVTE331HifdRV\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s a shot across the bow at other private AI developers, including Alphabet’s Google, Microsoft and Huawei Technologies.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Private-sector AI tools like Nvidia’s are welcome additions — not replacements — in a rapidly changing world, according to climate scientist Daniel Swain of UC Agriculture and Natural Resources.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Swain said he is less concerned about the hallucinations that plague public-facing large language models than about AI weather modeling’s still unproven ability to predict edge cases based on historical data.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Sometimes when it matters most — the very most extreme events that might be at the edge or outside of what we’ve seen historically — is precisely when we need the most accurate weather forecast,” Swain said. “We might not be there yet.” He added that the technology is rapidly advancing.[aside postID=news_12070850 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/GettyImages-2234090773.jpg']\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There are real gains, in terms of scientific understanding as well as in prediction, and there’s need for continued caution,” said Noah Diffenbaugh, a professor and senior fellow at Stanford University’s Doerr School of Sustainability. But he struck a more cautionary note. “Other AI applications can produce inaccurate results, can produce results that are not grounded in reality. That’s a risk with these systems as well.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Private developers trained their AI on a corpus of data that was largely publicly funded. While that bolsters the models’ credibility with scientists, it also raises troubling questions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For one, private developers are, by definition, concerned with profit — eventually, if not immediately. There is no guarantee they will not begin charging for access to their models.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Within a university context, we have no profit motivation at all,” Diffenbaugh said. “We’re trying to understand how the world works. And we’re doing that within our time scale, a much longer time scale (than private developers). And I think the benefit that we can bring in our work is that we’re doing that work in the context of this rigorous, patient scientific evaluation.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The primary question for Swain is whether optimism about end-to-end AI models could be used by Trump administration officials to justify ceding data collection and weather modeling entirely to the private sector, even as global warming dramatically alters the climate system, particularly in California, with its complex interplay of atmospheric rivers, marine layers, Sierra snowpack, wind patterns and wildfire risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Not only are we not there yet, not only do I think we won’t be there anytime soon, I’m not sure that we will ever get to that point,” Swain said. “It’s almost a category error to assume that the success of AI-based predictive modeling means that it’s just going to completely replace that whole pipeline. That’s just fundamentally divorced from the reality of the world we live in today, and very likely to be divorced from the reality of the world that we’re going to be living in for the foreseeable future.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Nvidia has announced a suite of open-source AI weather forecasting systems, joining other \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/category/technology\">Big Tech players\u003c/a> hoping to establish themselves in the space as federal funding evaporates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California farmers, insurers and meteorologists alike stand to gain from adding \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/arts/tag/ai\">AI\u003c/a> to their weather-forecasting toolboxes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At the American Meteorological Society’s\u003ca href=\"https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/meetings-events/upcoming-meetings/annual-meeting/\"> annual meeting\u003c/a> in Houston, Nvidia unveiled a new \u003ca href=\"https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/high-performance-computing/earth-2/\">NVIDIA Earth-2 “family”\u003c/a> of open models, libraries and frameworks for weather and climate AI, offering what it called “the world’s first fully open, accelerated weather AI software stack.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Santa Clara-based chipmaker described the system as “complete” for nowcasting and medium-range predictions that previously took hours on high-performance computing clusters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nvidia said the tools represent the first time AI has surpassed traditional, physics-based weather prediction models in short-term precipitation forecasting. The company added that developers across industries are already using Earth-2 to predict weather and “harness actionable insights.”\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003cspan class='utils-parseShortcode-shortcodes-__youtubeShortcode__embedYoutube'>\n \u003cspan class='utils-parseShortcode-shortcodes-__youtubeShortcode__embedYoutubeInside'>\n \u003ciframe\n loading='lazy'\n class='utils-parseShortcode-shortcodes-__youtubeShortcode__youtubePlayer'\n type='text/html'\n src='//www.youtube.com/embed/qo78lSBYi-U'\n title='//www.youtube.com/embed/qo78lSBYi-U'\n allowfullscreen='true'\n style='border:0;'>\u003c/iframe>\n \u003c/span>\n \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003cp>It’s a shot across the bow at other private AI developers, including Alphabet’s Google, Microsoft and Huawei Technologies.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Private-sector AI tools like Nvidia’s are welcome additions — not replacements — in a rapidly changing world, according to climate scientist Daniel Swain of UC Agriculture and Natural Resources.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Swain said he is less concerned about the hallucinations that plague public-facing large language models than about AI weather modeling’s still unproven ability to predict edge cases based on historical data.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Sometimes when it matters most — the very most extreme events that might be at the edge or outside of what we’ve seen historically — is precisely when we need the most accurate weather forecast,” Swain said. “We might not be there yet.” He added that the technology is rapidly advancing.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There are real gains, in terms of scientific understanding as well as in prediction, and there’s need for continued caution,” said Noah Diffenbaugh, a professor and senior fellow at Stanford University’s Doerr School of Sustainability. But he struck a more cautionary note. “Other AI applications can produce inaccurate results, can produce results that are not grounded in reality. That’s a risk with these systems as well.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Private developers trained their AI on a corpus of data that was largely publicly funded. While that bolsters the models’ credibility with scientists, it also raises troubling questions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For one, private developers are, by definition, concerned with profit — eventually, if not immediately. There is no guarantee they will not begin charging for access to their models.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Within a university context, we have no profit motivation at all,” Diffenbaugh said. “We’re trying to understand how the world works. And we’re doing that within our time scale, a much longer time scale (than private developers). And I think the benefit that we can bring in our work is that we’re doing that work in the context of this rigorous, patient scientific evaluation.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The primary question for Swain is whether optimism about end-to-end AI models could be used by Trump administration officials to justify ceding data collection and weather modeling entirely to the private sector, even as global warming dramatically alters the climate system, particularly in California, with its complex interplay of atmospheric rivers, marine layers, Sierra snowpack, wind patterns and wildfire risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Not only are we not there yet, not only do I think we won’t be there anytime soon, I’m not sure that we will ever get to that point,” Swain said. “It’s almost a category error to assume that the success of AI-based predictive modeling means that it’s just going to completely replace that whole pipeline. That’s just fundamentally divorced from the reality of the world we live in today, and very likely to be divorced from the reality of the world that we’re going to be living in for the foreseeable future.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"info": "Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. Together in Possible, Hoffman and Finger lead enlightening discussions about building a brighter collective future. The show features interviews with visionary guests like Trevor Noah, Sam Altman and Janette Sadik-Khan. Possible paints an optimistic portrait of the world we can create through science, policy, business, art and our shared humanity. It asks: What if everything goes right for once? How can we get there? Each episode also includes a short fiction story generated by advanced AI GPT-4, serving as a thought-provoking springboard to speculate how humanity could leverage technology for good.",
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"soldout": {
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