Ancient Sinkhole Could Presage Mega-Tsunami for Hawaii
Ten Years After Indian Ocean Tsunami, California is Better Prepared
Three Years After Disaster, Crescent City Sports a New 'Tsunami-Resistant' Harbor
Sizing Up Tsunamis By Their Sound Waves
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There were no immediate reports of any deaths or serious injuries.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The U.S. Geological Survey said the first and more powerful quake was centered about 7 miles north of Anchorage, Alaska’s largest city, with a population of about 300,000. People ran from their offices or took cover under desks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Cracks could be seen in a two-story downtown Anchorage building, and photographs posted to social media showed fractured roads and collapsed ceiling tiles at an Anchorage high school. One image showed a car stranded on an island of pavement, surrounded by cavernous cracks where the earthquake split the road.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>https://twitter.com/Nat_Herz/status/1068585299528232960\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Cereal boxes and packages of batteries littered the floor of a grocery store, and picture frames and mirrors were knocked from living room walls.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>People went back inside after the first earthquake struck, but the 5.8 aftershock about five minutes later sent them running back into the streets.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A tsunami warning was issued for the southern Alaska coastal areas of Cook’s Inlet and part of the Kenai peninsula. Kodiak police on Kodiak Island warned people in the city of 6,100 to “evacuate to higher ground immediately” because of “wave estimated 10 minutes.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In Kenai, north of Anchorage, Brandon Slaton was alone at home and soaking in the bathtub when the earthquake struck. Slaton, who weighs 209 pounds, said it created a powerful bath-and-forth sloshing in the bath, and before he knew it, he was thrown out of the tub by the waves.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>His 120-pound mastiff panicked and tried to run down the stairs, but the house was swaying so much that the dog was thrown off its feet and into a wall and tumbled to the base of the stairs, Slaton said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Slaton ran into his son’s room after the shaking stopped and found his fish tank shattered and the fish on the floor, gasping for breath. He grabbed it and put it in another bowl.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It was anarchy,” he said. “There’s no pictures left on the walls, there’s no power, there’s no fish tank left. Everything that’s not tied down is broke.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Alaska averages 40,000 earthquakes per year, with more large quakes than the 49 other states combined. Southern Alaska has a high risk of earthquakes because of tectonic plates sliding past each other under the region.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>David Harper was getting some coffee at a store when the low rumble began and intensified into something that sounded “like the building was just going to fall apart.” Harper ran to the exit with other patrons there.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The main thought that was going through my head as I was trying to get out the door was, ‘I want this to stop,'” he said. Harper said the quake was “significant enough that the people who were outside were actively hugging each other. You could tell that it was a bad one.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On March 27, 1964, Alaska was hit by a magnitude 9.2 earthquake, the strongest recorded in U.S. history, centered about 75 miles east of Anchorage. The quake, which lasted about four-and-a-half minutes, and the tsunami it triggered claimed about 130 lives.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Copyright 2018 \u003ca href=\"https://www.apnews.com/101ba6d6df894e629bddff152a45146d\">Associated Press\u003c/a>.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"Back-to-back earthquakes measuring 7.0 and 5.8 rocked buildings and shattered roads Friday morning in Anchorage. The quakes briefly triggering a warning to residents in Kodiak to flee to higher ground for fear of a tsunami.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704927274,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":18,"wordCount":617},"headData":{"title":"7.0 Magnitude Quake Hits Alaska, Triggers Tsunami Warning | KQED","description":"Back-to-back earthquakes measuring 7.0 and 5.8 rocked buildings and shattered roads Friday morning in Anchorage. The quakes briefly triggering a warning to residents in Kodiak to flee to higher ground for fear of a tsunami.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"7.0 Magnitude Quake Hits Alaska, Triggers Tsunami Warning","datePublished":"2018-11-30T19:58:33.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-10T22:54:34.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"source":"Associated Press","sticky":false,"nprByline":"Rachel D'Oro and Dan Joling\u003cbr />Associated Press","path":"/science/1935035/7-0-magnitude-quake-hits-alaska-triggers-tsunami-warning","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>ANCHORAGE, Alaska — Back-to-back earthquakes measuring 7.0 and 5.8 rocked buildings and shattered roads Friday morning in Anchorage, sending people running into the streets and briefly triggering a warning to residents in Kodiak to flee to higher ground for fear of a tsunami.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The warning was lifted a short time later. There were no immediate reports of any deaths or serious injuries.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The U.S. Geological Survey said the first and more powerful quake was centered about 7 miles north of Anchorage, Alaska’s largest city, with a population of about 300,000. People ran from their offices or took cover under desks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Cracks could be seen in a two-story downtown Anchorage building, and photographs posted to social media showed fractured roads and collapsed ceiling tiles at an Anchorage high school. One image showed a car stranded on an island of pavement, surrounded by cavernous cracks where the earthquake split the road.\u003c/p>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"singleTwitterStatus","attributes":{"named":{"id":"1068585299528232960"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Cereal boxes and packages of batteries littered the floor of a grocery store, and picture frames and mirrors were knocked from living room walls.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>People went back inside after the first earthquake struck, but the 5.8 aftershock about five minutes later sent them running back into the streets.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A tsunami warning was issued for the southern Alaska coastal areas of Cook’s Inlet and part of the Kenai peninsula. Kodiak police on Kodiak Island warned people in the city of 6,100 to “evacuate to higher ground immediately” because of “wave estimated 10 minutes.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In Kenai, north of Anchorage, Brandon Slaton was alone at home and soaking in the bathtub when the earthquake struck. Slaton, who weighs 209 pounds, said it created a powerful bath-and-forth sloshing in the bath, and before he knew it, he was thrown out of the tub by the waves.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>His 120-pound mastiff panicked and tried to run down the stairs, but the house was swaying so much that the dog was thrown off its feet and into a wall and tumbled to the base of the stairs, Slaton said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Slaton ran into his son’s room after the shaking stopped and found his fish tank shattered and the fish on the floor, gasping for breath. He grabbed it and put it in another bowl.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It was anarchy,” he said. “There’s no pictures left on the walls, there’s no power, there’s no fish tank left. Everything that’s not tied down is broke.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Alaska averages 40,000 earthquakes per year, with more large quakes than the 49 other states combined. Southern Alaska has a high risk of earthquakes because of tectonic plates sliding past each other under the region.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>David Harper was getting some coffee at a store when the low rumble began and intensified into something that sounded “like the building was just going to fall apart.” Harper ran to the exit with other patrons there.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The main thought that was going through my head as I was trying to get out the door was, ‘I want this to stop,'” he said. Harper said the quake was “significant enough that the people who were outside were actively hugging each other. You could tell that it was a bad one.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On March 27, 1964, Alaska was hit by a magnitude 9.2 earthquake, the strongest recorded in U.S. history, centered about 75 miles east of Anchorage. The quake, which lasted about four-and-a-half minutes, and the tsunami it triggered claimed about 130 lives.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Copyright 2018 \u003ca href=\"https://www.apnews.com/101ba6d6df894e629bddff152a45146d\">Associated Press\u003c/a>.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/1935035/7-0-magnitude-quake-hits-alaska-triggers-tsunami-warning","authors":["byline_science_1935035"],"categories":["science_35","science_40"],"tags":["science_257","science_3370","science_258"],"featImg":"science_1935042","label":"source_science_1935035"},"science_30783":{"type":"posts","id":"science_30783","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"30783","score":null,"sort":[1433454161000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"new-maps-reveal-tsunami-risk-for-los-angeles-2","title":"New Maps Reveal Tsunami Risk for Los Angeles","publishDate":1433454161,"format":"standard","headTitle":"New Maps Reveal Tsunami Risk for Los Angeles | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cp>A new study argues that at least two large earthquake faults off the coast of Southern California can spawn damaging tsunamis that would wash over San Diego, Long Beach, Santa Barbara and other coastal cities. The study’s findings could force changes in the disaster plans for these places.\u003cbr>\n\u003ca href=\"http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014JF003322/full\">\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the study, published by the Journal of Geophysical Research, a team led by Mark Legg scrounged years of data from different undersea surveys to analyze the offshore lands of Southern California in unprecedented detail. Looking both on and underneath the deep sea floor, Legg’s team found some of the earthquake faults off California are longer and more threatening than previously thought – capable not only of generating large earthquakes, but of launching dangerous tsunamis toward the nearby coast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_30786\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 499px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland.png\" alt=\"The California Continental Borderland in its larger plate-tectonic setting. (Alden/USGS)\" width=\"499\" height=\"500\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30786\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland.png 499w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland-400x401.png 400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland-32x32.png 32w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland-64x64.png 64w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland-96x96.png 96w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland-128x128.png 128w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland-75x75.png 75w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 499px) 100vw, 499px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The California Continental Borderland in its larger plate-tectonic setting. (Alden/USGS)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Legg’s study makes two main contributions. First, it builds a more accurate picture of fault activity where the Pacific and North America plates intersect, in the enigmatic region known as the California Continental Borderland. Second, it considers an underappreciated aspect of California’s faults that geologists call transpression.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>A Fractured Borderland\u003cbr>\n\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nThe California Continental Borderland extends from Santa Barbara down to Baja California, all submerged except for the Channel Islands. It’s a peculiar piece of Earth’s crust. It started out as part of the North America tectonic plate: a thick pile of rocks and mud on the continent’s edge. Things changed about 28 million years ago as the Pacific plate took over offshore and the San Andreas fault was born. The Borderland splintered off the continent, and it’s been moving northwestward on the Pacific plate ever since. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That process is tearing the Borderland apart. \u003ca href=\"http://emvc.geol.ucsb.edu/2_infopgs/IP4WNACal/cCalifornia.html\">Plate tectonic animations\u003c/a> resemble the kind of mess you might see as tree trunks float down a river into an obstruction – a tectonic logjam. Today the Borderland is a badly cracked region. \u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_30789\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 698px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/CCB-tectonicmap.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/CCB-tectonicmap.png\" alt=\"This figure from Legg's paper shows the tectonic action going on in the Borderland today. The "beachball" symbols represent historic shear earthquakes (black) and thrust earthquakes (red), the type that cause tsunamis. The red arrows mark locations of transpression, discussed below. (Legg/American Geophysical Union)\" width=\"698\" height=\"557\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30789\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/CCB-tectonicmap.png 698w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/CCB-tectonicmap-400x319.png 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 698px) 100vw, 698px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">This figure from Legg’s paper shows the tectonic action going on in the Borderland today. The “beachball” symbols represent historic shear earthquakes (black) and thrust earthquakes (red), the type that cause tsunamis. The red arrows mark locations of transpression, discussed below. (Legg/American Geophysical Union)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Legg’s paper is a detailed description of two large faults in the seafloor of the Borderland: the 110-mile Santa Cruz-Catalina Ridge fault (“SCCR” on the map), and the 220-mile Ferrelo fault zone, extending from Santa Rosa Island to the deep Velero Basin, in Mexican waters. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These faults are jagged lines built of many different segments. Seismologists know from recent research that disjointed-looking faults like these \u003ca href=\"http://blogs.kqed.org/science/2015/05/28/two-faults-could-make-one-big-earthquake/\">can rupture along several segments at once\u003c/a>, adding up to a very large wallop, approaching magnitude 8. And Legg’s study shows these faults are currently active.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Moving in Two Directions At Once\u003cbr>\n\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nWhen the two sides of the fault slip past each other like traffic on a two-way street, we call that motion shear. (Actually, physicists call it shear; geologists call it transcurrent motion.) When the quake moves the land up and down, we call it compression. Transpression refers to that combination of shear and compression. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For instance, Legg notes that the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake directed part of its energy into uplifting the ground—and because some of that ground was offshore, it produced a tiny tsunami an inch or so high. \u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_30790\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 600px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/transverses.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/transverses.png\" alt=\"The Transverse Ranges are raised by transpression across the San Andreas fault (heavy red line). Offshore faults in the Borderland have the same tangled relationships as the faults seen onshore.\" width=\"600\" height=\"400\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30790\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/transverses.png 600w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/transverses-400x267.png 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Transverse Ranges are raised by transpression across the San Andreas fault (heavy red line). Offshore faults in the Borderland have the same tangled relationships as the faults seen onshore. (Alden/USGS)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Vertical changes in the land are always part of transpression, and its effects are especially strong in the Borderland. The Channel Islands, for instance, have been tilted and lifted above the sea as one consequence. Many more undersea mountains and basins show its effects. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It is the thrust part of transpression in the Borderland that threatens to make tsunamis. Thrust-heavy fault segments, or separate thrust earthquakes, are what raise or lower the seafloor and push the overlying seawater into tsunami waves. And they do so over large areas at once.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Legg thinks the magnitude-7 Lompoc earthquake of November 4, 1927, may have been such an event. “The actual location and causative fault is still controversial and may never be completely resolved. The important point is that seafloor deformation of the shallow continental shelf produced a 6-foot tsunami on the adjacent coast.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Legg’s work suggests that, while the Borderland would not unleash a tsunami like the wave from the magnitude-9 monster quake in Japan, it still poses a significant risk of quakes that would cause large tsunamis several meters high. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I worry that the area between San Clemente, Santa Catalina, and Santa Barbara Islands is a seismic gap,” Legg says, “loaded, locked, and ready for a Big One offshore.”\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"A new study of earthquake faults shows tsunamis could happen more often than previously thought.\r\n","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704931723,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":16,"wordCount":834},"headData":{"title":"New Maps Reveal Tsunami Risk for Los Angeles | KQED","description":"A new study of earthquake faults shows tsunamis could happen more often than previously thought.\r\n","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"New Maps Reveal Tsunami Risk for Los Angeles","datePublished":"2015-06-04T21:42:41.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-11T00:08:43.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"path":"/science/30783/new-maps-reveal-tsunami-risk-for-los-angeles-2","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>A new study argues that at least two large earthquake faults off the coast of Southern California can spawn damaging tsunamis that would wash over San Diego, Long Beach, Santa Barbara and other coastal cities. The study’s findings could force changes in the disaster plans for these places.\u003cbr>\n\u003ca href=\"http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014JF003322/full\">\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the study, published by the Journal of Geophysical Research, a team led by Mark Legg scrounged years of data from different undersea surveys to analyze the offshore lands of Southern California in unprecedented detail. Looking both on and underneath the deep sea floor, Legg’s team found some of the earthquake faults off California are longer and more threatening than previously thought – capable not only of generating large earthquakes, but of launching dangerous tsunamis toward the nearby coast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_30786\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 499px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland.png\" alt=\"The California Continental Borderland in its larger plate-tectonic setting. (Alden/USGS)\" width=\"499\" height=\"500\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30786\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland.png 499w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland-400x401.png 400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland-32x32.png 32w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland-64x64.png 64w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland-96x96.png 96w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland-128x128.png 128w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/borderland-75x75.png 75w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 499px) 100vw, 499px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The California Continental Borderland in its larger plate-tectonic setting. (Alden/USGS)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Legg’s study makes two main contributions. First, it builds a more accurate picture of fault activity where the Pacific and North America plates intersect, in the enigmatic region known as the California Continental Borderland. Second, it considers an underappreciated aspect of California’s faults that geologists call transpression.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>A Fractured Borderland\u003cbr>\n\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nThe California Continental Borderland extends from Santa Barbara down to Baja California, all submerged except for the Channel Islands. It’s a peculiar piece of Earth’s crust. It started out as part of the North America tectonic plate: a thick pile of rocks and mud on the continent’s edge. Things changed about 28 million years ago as the Pacific plate took over offshore and the San Andreas fault was born. The Borderland splintered off the continent, and it’s been moving northwestward on the Pacific plate ever since. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That process is tearing the Borderland apart. \u003ca href=\"http://emvc.geol.ucsb.edu/2_infopgs/IP4WNACal/cCalifornia.html\">Plate tectonic animations\u003c/a> resemble the kind of mess you might see as tree trunks float down a river into an obstruction – a tectonic logjam. Today the Borderland is a badly cracked region. \u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_30789\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 698px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/CCB-tectonicmap.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/CCB-tectonicmap.png\" alt=\"This figure from Legg's paper shows the tectonic action going on in the Borderland today. The "beachball" symbols represent historic shear earthquakes (black) and thrust earthquakes (red), the type that cause tsunamis. The red arrows mark locations of transpression, discussed below. (Legg/American Geophysical Union)\" width=\"698\" height=\"557\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30789\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/CCB-tectonicmap.png 698w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/CCB-tectonicmap-400x319.png 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 698px) 100vw, 698px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">This figure from Legg’s paper shows the tectonic action going on in the Borderland today. The “beachball” symbols represent historic shear earthquakes (black) and thrust earthquakes (red), the type that cause tsunamis. The red arrows mark locations of transpression, discussed below. (Legg/American Geophysical Union)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Legg’s paper is a detailed description of two large faults in the seafloor of the Borderland: the 110-mile Santa Cruz-Catalina Ridge fault (“SCCR” on the map), and the 220-mile Ferrelo fault zone, extending from Santa Rosa Island to the deep Velero Basin, in Mexican waters. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These faults are jagged lines built of many different segments. Seismologists know from recent research that disjointed-looking faults like these \u003ca href=\"http://blogs.kqed.org/science/2015/05/28/two-faults-could-make-one-big-earthquake/\">can rupture along several segments at once\u003c/a>, adding up to a very large wallop, approaching magnitude 8. And Legg’s study shows these faults are currently active.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Moving in Two Directions At Once\u003cbr>\n\u003c/strong>\u003cbr>\nWhen the two sides of the fault slip past each other like traffic on a two-way street, we call that motion shear. (Actually, physicists call it shear; geologists call it transcurrent motion.) When the quake moves the land up and down, we call it compression. Transpression refers to that combination of shear and compression. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For instance, Legg notes that the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake directed part of its energy into uplifting the ground—and because some of that ground was offshore, it produced a tiny tsunami an inch or so high. \u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_30790\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 600px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/transverses.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/transverses.png\" alt=\"The Transverse Ranges are raised by transpression across the San Andreas fault (heavy red line). Offshore faults in the Borderland have the same tangled relationships as the faults seen onshore.\" width=\"600\" height=\"400\" class=\"size-full wp-image-30790\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/transverses.png 600w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/06/transverses-400x267.png 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Transverse Ranges are raised by transpression across the San Andreas fault (heavy red line). Offshore faults in the Borderland have the same tangled relationships as the faults seen onshore. (Alden/USGS)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Vertical changes in the land are always part of transpression, and its effects are especially strong in the Borderland. The Channel Islands, for instance, have been tilted and lifted above the sea as one consequence. Many more undersea mountains and basins show its effects. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It is the thrust part of transpression in the Borderland that threatens to make tsunamis. Thrust-heavy fault segments, or separate thrust earthquakes, are what raise or lower the seafloor and push the overlying seawater into tsunami waves. And they do so over large areas at once.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Legg thinks the magnitude-7 Lompoc earthquake of November 4, 1927, may have been such an event. “The actual location and causative fault is still controversial and may never be completely resolved. The important point is that seafloor deformation of the shallow continental shelf produced a 6-foot tsunami on the adjacent coast.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Legg’s work suggests that, while the Borderland would not unleash a tsunami like the wave from the magnitude-9 monster quake in Japan, it still poses a significant risk of quakes that would cause large tsunamis several meters high. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I worry that the area between San Clemente, Santa Catalina, and Santa Barbara Islands is a seismic gap,” Legg says, “loaded, locked, and ready for a Big One offshore.”\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/30783/new-maps-reveal-tsunami-risk-for-los-angeles-2","authors":["6228"],"categories":["science_38","science_40"],"tags":["science_257","science_5190","science_258"],"featImg":"science_30781","label":"science"},"science_27911":{"type":"posts","id":"science_27911","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"27911","score":null,"sort":[1425906057000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"ancient-sinkhole-could-presage-mega-tsunami-for-hawaii","title":"Ancient Sinkhole Could Presage Mega-Tsunami for Hawaii","publishDate":1425906057,"format":"aside","headTitle":"Ancient Sinkhole Could Presage Mega-Tsunami for Hawaii | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cdiv class=\"audio-wrap\">\n\u003ch2>Listen:\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>http://www.kqed.org/.stream/anon/radio/science/2015/03/20150309TsunamiCave.mp3\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_27931\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 1024px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Makauwahi_2344-e1425689804216-1024x576.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-27931\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Makauwahi_2344-e1425689804216-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Makauwahi sinkhole, seen from the caves on the south side. (Craig Miller/KQED)\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Makauwahi sinkhole on Kauai, as seen from the caves on the south side of this hidden bowl. (Craig Miller/KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Four years ago this week, an earthquake off the Japan coast unleashed a wall of water that devastated coastal cities there — and caused more than $50 million in damages along the California coast from Santa Cruz \u003ca title=\"Q - CW - post\" href=\"http://blogs.kqed.org/climatewatch/2011/03/13/crescent-city-its-a-mess-all-right/\">to Crescent City\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca title=\"LiveSci - Tohoku\" href=\"http://www.livescience.com/39110-japan-2011-earthquake-tsunami-facts.html\">Tohoku Earthquake and its aftermath\u003c/a> are a reminder that the threat of tsunamis is always with us.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Especially vulnerable is the \u003ca title=\"NOAA - PTWC\" href=\"http://ptwc.weather.gov/ptwc/?region=2\">state of Hawaii\u003c/a>, where scientists have been calculating just how big that threat might be, using evidence that could’ve gone completely unnoticed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Tsunimi-Map.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-27965\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Tsunimi-Map-593x1024.jpg\" alt=\"Print\" width=\"204\" height=\"352\">\u003c/a>Hidden away on the south shore of Kauai, Hawaii’s geologically oldest island, is \u003ca title=\"Makauwahi - main\" href=\"http://cavereserve.org/\">Makauwahi sinkhole\u003c/a>, a small wonder amid the dense coastal vegetation. It also contains buried treasure for scientists who study \u003ca title=\"Ready.gov - tsunamis\" href=\"http://www.ready.gov/tsunamis\">Pacific tsunamis\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s just a massive old sand dune that has — scientists will say ‘lithified’ — it’s become rock,” explains Chris Landreau, an archaeologist who’s worked on digs at the sinkhole. Emerging through a small cave on the north side of the bowl, it presents as its own tiny world, open to the sky, surrounded by sheer walls. Palm trees sprout from the floor of the crater.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When biologists entered this world in the 1990s, they soon realized that it was \u003ca title=\"Honolulu Ad - post\" href=\"http://the.honoluluadvertiser.com/article/2005/Sep/28/ln/FP509280357.html\">an open time capsule\u003c/a> for unmasking the island’s biologic and geologic history.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Paleoecologists starting digging down, sifting from the layers of sediments the comings and goings of plants and animals through time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Seismic Paydirt\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The idea is to identify those things that are extinct,” Landreau says, “and to identify those things that we can still find somewhere locally, and try to revive them.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That was the idea. But as they were digging, they struck seismic paydirt: a layer about a yard thick that clearly didn’t belong there. What was there — basalt cobbles, corals, shells and other ocean debris — eventually caught the eye of a geophysicist at the University of Hawaii named, yes, \u003ca title=\"U of HI - Butler\" href=\"http://www.higp.hawaii.edu/cgi-bin/higp/directory.cgi?func=disp&searchname=RhettButler\">Rhett Butler\u003c/a> (not to be confused with \u003ca title=\"Wiki - post\" href=\"http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rhett_Butler\">this Rhett Butler\u003c/a>). He noticed that this was obviously stuff that came from the ocean, not the residue of plants and animals that would’ve lived on the island. And there was a lot of it.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Tsunami-cave-layers.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-27969\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Tsunami-cave-layers-1024x547.png\" alt=\"Tsunami cave layers\" width=\"1024\" height=\"547\">\u003c/a>“It’s a huge volume,” Butler says. He calculates about 600 cubic yards, or enough debris to fill nine ocean containers, the kind you see stacked up on cargo ships.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It takes a heck of a lot to move that much material, move it from the beach, move it up the hill,” reasons Butler. “So the most likely scenario, quite frankly, is that it’s a tsunami.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It would have to have been huge — big enough to hurl 200-pound boulders into a hole that’s two to three stories above sea level and set back from the shoreline about the length of a football field. Butler reckons that it hit Kauai sometime between 350 and 575 years ago.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"pullquote alignleft\">‘We only have, literally, 4 ½ hours. Imagine you snap your fingers and 4 ½ hours later, there’s a wave coming on shore that’s massive.’\u003ccite>— Rhett Butler,\u003cbr>\nUniversity of Hawaii Geophysicist\u003c/cite>\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>Butler \u003ca title=\"GRL - Butler\" href=\"http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061232/epdf\">began using computer models\u003c/a> to trace such a tsunami back to its probable origins. That led him to a seismically active zone nearly 2,000 miles north, in the eastern Aleutian Islands, off Alaska.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“And the shape of the subduction zone,” he notes, “in other words where the Pacific and North America converge together — if you look at that geometry, it basically focuses energy directly toward Hawaii.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>His modeling work points to a quake bigger than magnitude-9 — that’s 100 times more powerful than San Francisco’s Big One in 1906, or at least as powerful as the 2011 Tohoku event that savaged coastal Japan.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a similar sized event to Tohoku, maybe slightly bigger,” Butler estimates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, he thinks it might’ve been the Pacific’s biggest quake in the past 7,000 years. At the rate that tectonic plates near the Aleutians have been moving since the Kauai tsunami, he calculates that the region is capable of producing a similar quake, at any time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_27932\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 334px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Makauwahi_2355-1024x768.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-27932\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Makauwahi_2355-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"Makauwahi_2355\" width=\"334\" height=\"251\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Archaeologist Chris Landreau points out some of the tsunami deposits at the edge of caves on the south side of the sinkhole. (Craig Miller/KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Once you start modeling it and looking at the possibilities,” Butler says, “you realize it’s not unreasonable that we could get a magnitude-9 in the worst possible spot that would make all the other events look rather small in comparison.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While a tsunami of that size 500 years ago would have been devastating to Hawaii’s primitive coastal culture, today civil defense authorities estimate that 370,000 people and $40 billion worth of infrastructure stand in harm’s way in the islands’ existing tsunami zones.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“For California, a tsunami is a nasty event but it happens within a mile of the coast,” Butler says. “The rest of the state is not affected. One of these things in Hawaii devastates the whole state.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Partly as a result of Butler’s work, Hawaii officials are in the process of \u003ca title=\"HI tsunami maps\" href=\"http://tsunami.csc.noaa.gov/map.html?mapname=KAUA_I-POIPU&submit1=Search+Island+Area\">redrawing tsunami maps\u003c/a> to take into account the possibility of something much bigger than is in the historical record.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Basically letting the people know where the safe zone is, which is the essence of the whole thing,” he says. “It’s to save people’s lives.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_27977\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 390px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Tsunami-Cave-Simulation-ft-1024x889.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-27977\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Tsunami-Cave-Simulation-ft-1024x889.jpg\" alt=\"Computer modeling shows how an earthquake in the eastern Aleutians would focus tsunami energy toward Hawaii. The green band above Kauai, in particular, shows how the contours of the ocean floor focus even more of the energy directly on the state¹s northernmost island. Actual wave heights at landfall could be greater than colors indicate.\" width=\"390\" height=\"340\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Computer modeling shows how an earthquake in the eastern Aleutian Islands would focus tsunami energy toward Hawaii. The green band above Kauai, in particular, shows how the contours of the ocean floor focus even more of the energy directly on the state’s northernmost island. Actual wave heights at landfall could be greater than colors indicate.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Technology to the Rescue?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A lot of progress has been made toward that end in the last 10 years or so. \u003ca title=\"NOAA - DART\" href=\"http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/dart.shtml\">A network of ocean buoys\u003c/a> and other sensors keep watch for tsunamis. The U.S. maintains 39 buoys and other nations have added about 20 more to the network, known as \u003ca href=\"http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/dart/dart.shtml\">DART\u003c/a>. But keeping them working in harsh ocean environments is a challenge. And currently about a quarter of the U.S. network is out of service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Butler has suggested adding two more buoys to the Aleutian chain. \u003ca href=\"http://nctr.pmel.noaa.gov/tsu400/faculty/whitmore.html\">Paul Whitmore\u003c/a>, who directs the \u003ca title=\"NOAA - NTWC AK\" href=\"http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/\">National Tsunami Warning Center\u003c/a> in Palmer, Alaska, says there are no plans to do so, citing the costs involved. Butler has also suggested adding sensors to transoceanic cables that traverse the north Pacific. Whitmore says while officials have talked about that “for years,” deployment costs have been a barrier.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, Butler says were a similar event to happen today, “We only have, literally, 4 ½ hours. Imagine you snap your fingers and 4 ½ hours later, there’s a wave coming on shore that’s massive. So we’re very concerned about improving tsunami warning capabilities.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Butler is seeking funding from the \u003ca href=\"http://www.fema.gov/\">Federal Emergency Management Agency\u003c/a> to search for other sites in the islands that would tell us more about this and other tsunamis in the distant past that might portend future events. Right now, Makauwahi sinkhole is the only evidence found of the mega-tsunami of 500 years ago.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By comparison, Butler muses that one small town in Oregon — Seaside — has “over 300 paleotsunami measurements of a former Cascadia event, whereas in all of the Hawaiian islands, we have precisely one.”\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"There's buried treasure here for tsunami hunters, but scarce funding may mean Hawaii remains vulnerable.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704932177,"stats":{"hasAudio":true,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":31,"wordCount":1342},"headData":{"title":"Ancient Sinkhole Could Presage Mega-Tsunami for Hawaii | KQED","description":"There's buried treasure here for tsunami hunters, but scarce funding may mean Hawaii remains vulnerable.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"Ancient Sinkhole Could Presage Mega-Tsunami for Hawaii","datePublished":"2015-03-09T13:00:57.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-11T00:16:17.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"audioUrl":"http://www.kqed.org/.stream/anon/radio/science/2015/03/20150309TsunamiCave.mp3","sticky":false,"path":"/science/27911/ancient-sinkhole-could-presage-mega-tsunami-for-hawaii","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cdiv class=\"audio-wrap\">\n\u003ch2>Listen:\u003c/h2>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"audioLink","attributes":{"named":{"src":"http://www.kqed.org/.stream/anon/radio/science/2015/03/20150309TsunamiCave.mp3"},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/div>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_27931\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 1024px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Makauwahi_2344-e1425689804216-1024x576.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-27931\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Makauwahi_2344-e1425689804216-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Makauwahi sinkhole, seen from the caves on the south side. (Craig Miller/KQED)\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Makauwahi sinkhole on Kauai, as seen from the caves on the south side of this hidden bowl. (Craig Miller/KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Four years ago this week, an earthquake off the Japan coast unleashed a wall of water that devastated coastal cities there — and caused more than $50 million in damages along the California coast from Santa Cruz \u003ca title=\"Q - CW - post\" href=\"http://blogs.kqed.org/climatewatch/2011/03/13/crescent-city-its-a-mess-all-right/\">to Crescent City\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca title=\"LiveSci - Tohoku\" href=\"http://www.livescience.com/39110-japan-2011-earthquake-tsunami-facts.html\">Tohoku Earthquake and its aftermath\u003c/a> are a reminder that the threat of tsunamis is always with us.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Especially vulnerable is the \u003ca title=\"NOAA - PTWC\" href=\"http://ptwc.weather.gov/ptwc/?region=2\">state of Hawaii\u003c/a>, where scientists have been calculating just how big that threat might be, using evidence that could’ve gone completely unnoticed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Tsunimi-Map.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-27965\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Tsunimi-Map-593x1024.jpg\" alt=\"Print\" width=\"204\" height=\"352\">\u003c/a>Hidden away on the south shore of Kauai, Hawaii’s geologically oldest island, is \u003ca title=\"Makauwahi - main\" href=\"http://cavereserve.org/\">Makauwahi sinkhole\u003c/a>, a small wonder amid the dense coastal vegetation. It also contains buried treasure for scientists who study \u003ca title=\"Ready.gov - tsunamis\" href=\"http://www.ready.gov/tsunamis\">Pacific tsunamis\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s just a massive old sand dune that has — scientists will say ‘lithified’ — it’s become rock,” explains Chris Landreau, an archaeologist who’s worked on digs at the sinkhole. Emerging through a small cave on the north side of the bowl, it presents as its own tiny world, open to the sky, surrounded by sheer walls. Palm trees sprout from the floor of the crater.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When biologists entered this world in the 1990s, they soon realized that it was \u003ca title=\"Honolulu Ad - post\" href=\"http://the.honoluluadvertiser.com/article/2005/Sep/28/ln/FP509280357.html\">an open time capsule\u003c/a> for unmasking the island’s biologic and geologic history.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Paleoecologists starting digging down, sifting from the layers of sediments the comings and goings of plants and animals through time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Seismic Paydirt\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The idea is to identify those things that are extinct,” Landreau says, “and to identify those things that we can still find somewhere locally, and try to revive them.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That was the idea. But as they were digging, they struck seismic paydirt: a layer about a yard thick that clearly didn’t belong there. What was there — basalt cobbles, corals, shells and other ocean debris — eventually caught the eye of a geophysicist at the University of Hawaii named, yes, \u003ca title=\"U of HI - Butler\" href=\"http://www.higp.hawaii.edu/cgi-bin/higp/directory.cgi?func=disp&searchname=RhettButler\">Rhett Butler\u003c/a> (not to be confused with \u003ca title=\"Wiki - post\" href=\"http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rhett_Butler\">this Rhett Butler\u003c/a>). He noticed that this was obviously stuff that came from the ocean, not the residue of plants and animals that would’ve lived on the island. And there was a lot of it.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Tsunami-cave-layers.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-27969\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Tsunami-cave-layers-1024x547.png\" alt=\"Tsunami cave layers\" width=\"1024\" height=\"547\">\u003c/a>“It’s a huge volume,” Butler says. He calculates about 600 cubic yards, or enough debris to fill nine ocean containers, the kind you see stacked up on cargo ships.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It takes a heck of a lot to move that much material, move it from the beach, move it up the hill,” reasons Butler. “So the most likely scenario, quite frankly, is that it’s a tsunami.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It would have to have been huge — big enough to hurl 200-pound boulders into a hole that’s two to three stories above sea level and set back from the shoreline about the length of a football field. Butler reckons that it hit Kauai sometime between 350 and 575 years ago.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"pullquote alignleft\">‘We only have, literally, 4 ½ hours. Imagine you snap your fingers and 4 ½ hours later, there’s a wave coming on shore that’s massive.’\u003ccite>— Rhett Butler,\u003cbr>\nUniversity of Hawaii Geophysicist\u003c/cite>\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>Butler \u003ca title=\"GRL - Butler\" href=\"http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061232/epdf\">began using computer models\u003c/a> to trace such a tsunami back to its probable origins. That led him to a seismically active zone nearly 2,000 miles north, in the eastern Aleutian Islands, off Alaska.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“And the shape of the subduction zone,” he notes, “in other words where the Pacific and North America converge together — if you look at that geometry, it basically focuses energy directly toward Hawaii.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>His modeling work points to a quake bigger than magnitude-9 — that’s 100 times more powerful than San Francisco’s Big One in 1906, or at least as powerful as the 2011 Tohoku event that savaged coastal Japan.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a similar sized event to Tohoku, maybe slightly bigger,” Butler estimates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, he thinks it might’ve been the Pacific’s biggest quake in the past 7,000 years. At the rate that tectonic plates near the Aleutians have been moving since the Kauai tsunami, he calculates that the region is capable of producing a similar quake, at any time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_27932\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\" style=\"max-width: 334px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Makauwahi_2355-1024x768.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-27932\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Makauwahi_2355-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"Makauwahi_2355\" width=\"334\" height=\"251\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Archaeologist Chris Landreau points out some of the tsunami deposits at the edge of caves on the south side of the sinkhole. (Craig Miller/KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Once you start modeling it and looking at the possibilities,” Butler says, “you realize it’s not unreasonable that we could get a magnitude-9 in the worst possible spot that would make all the other events look rather small in comparison.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While a tsunami of that size 500 years ago would have been devastating to Hawaii’s primitive coastal culture, today civil defense authorities estimate that 370,000 people and $40 billion worth of infrastructure stand in harm’s way in the islands’ existing tsunami zones.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“For California, a tsunami is a nasty event but it happens within a mile of the coast,” Butler says. “The rest of the state is not affected. One of these things in Hawaii devastates the whole state.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Partly as a result of Butler’s work, Hawaii officials are in the process of \u003ca title=\"HI tsunami maps\" href=\"http://tsunami.csc.noaa.gov/map.html?mapname=KAUA_I-POIPU&submit1=Search+Island+Area\">redrawing tsunami maps\u003c/a> to take into account the possibility of something much bigger than is in the historical record.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Basically letting the people know where the safe zone is, which is the essence of the whole thing,” he says. “It’s to save people’s lives.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_27977\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 390px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Tsunami-Cave-Simulation-ft-1024x889.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-27977\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2015/03/Tsunami-Cave-Simulation-ft-1024x889.jpg\" alt=\"Computer modeling shows how an earthquake in the eastern Aleutians would focus tsunami energy toward Hawaii. The green band above Kauai, in particular, shows how the contours of the ocean floor focus even more of the energy directly on the state¹s northernmost island. Actual wave heights at landfall could be greater than colors indicate.\" width=\"390\" height=\"340\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Computer modeling shows how an earthquake in the eastern Aleutian Islands would focus tsunami energy toward Hawaii. The green band above Kauai, in particular, shows how the contours of the ocean floor focus even more of the energy directly on the state’s northernmost island. Actual wave heights at landfall could be greater than colors indicate.\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Technology to the Rescue?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A lot of progress has been made toward that end in the last 10 years or so. \u003ca title=\"NOAA - DART\" href=\"http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/dart.shtml\">A network of ocean buoys\u003c/a> and other sensors keep watch for tsunamis. The U.S. maintains 39 buoys and other nations have added about 20 more to the network, known as \u003ca href=\"http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/dart/dart.shtml\">DART\u003c/a>. But keeping them working in harsh ocean environments is a challenge. And currently about a quarter of the U.S. network is out of service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Butler has suggested adding two more buoys to the Aleutian chain. \u003ca href=\"http://nctr.pmel.noaa.gov/tsu400/faculty/whitmore.html\">Paul Whitmore\u003c/a>, who directs the \u003ca title=\"NOAA - NTWC AK\" href=\"http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/\">National Tsunami Warning Center\u003c/a> in Palmer, Alaska, says there are no plans to do so, citing the costs involved. Butler has also suggested adding sensors to transoceanic cables that traverse the north Pacific. Whitmore says while officials have talked about that “for years,” deployment costs have been a barrier.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, Butler says were a similar event to happen today, “We only have, literally, 4 ½ hours. Imagine you snap your fingers and 4 ½ hours later, there’s a wave coming on shore that’s massive. So we’re very concerned about improving tsunami warning capabilities.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Butler is seeking funding from the \u003ca href=\"http://www.fema.gov/\">Federal Emergency Management Agency\u003c/a> to search for other sites in the islands that would tell us more about this and other tsunamis in the distant past that might portend future events. Right now, Makauwahi sinkhole is the only evidence found of the mega-tsunami of 500 years ago.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"floatright"},"numeric":["floatright"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By comparison, Butler muses that one small town in Oregon — Seaside — has “over 300 paleotsunami measurements of a former Cascadia event, whereas in all of the Hawaiian islands, we have precisely one.”\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/27911/ancient-sinkhole-could-presage-mega-tsunami-for-hawaii","authors":["221"],"categories":["science_46","science_38","science_40","science_43"],"tags":["science_64","science_258"],"featImg":"science_27931","label":"science"},"science_25508":{"type":"posts","id":"science_25508","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"25508","score":null,"sort":[1419379516000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"ten-years-after-indian-ocean-tsunami-california-is-better-prepared","title":"Ten Years After Indian Ocean Tsunami, California is Better Prepared","publishDate":1419379516,"format":"aside","headTitle":"Ten Years After Indian Ocean Tsunami, California is Better Prepared | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_25621\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/12/RS2531_IMG_0545-lpr.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-25621\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/12/RS2531_IMG_0545-lpr.jpg\" alt=\"A tsunami warning sign in Crescent City, CA, which has a well-rehearsed response plan. (Craig Miller/KQED)\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1500\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A tsunami warning sign in Crescent City, CA, which has a well-rehearsed response plan. (Craig Miller/KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The day after Christmas marks the tenth anniversary of the deadliest tsunami on record. An underwater earthquake measuring 9.1 in magnitude formed waves up to 65 feet high that crashed into the Indian subcontinent. More than 230,000 lives were lost, with the greatest fatalities in Indonesia, Sri Lanka, and India.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The tragedy was a worldwide wake-up call. It triggered a decade of improvements to tsunami warning and response technology.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Really the biggest lesson I learned from that was just how critical it was for all coastlines to be covered by a tsunami warning system,” says Paul Whitmore, head of the National Tsunami Warning Center in Alaska.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"pullquote alignleft\">“In 2004 our response time was more on the order of ten to fifteen minutes. So comparatively we’ve sped up by a factor of two.”\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>Whitmore says today, the U.S. has that system in place. The nation’s seismic detection network is now fully enabled to transmit data in real time, to immediately flag earthquakes that could trigger tsunamis. Warning centers, which receive and broadcast this information, are now staffed around the clock, instead of just during business hours. And the public can now get \u003ca href=\"http://www.nws.noaa.gov/com/weatherreadynation/files/WEAFactSheet3.pdf\">tsunami alerts\u003c/a> on their phones.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_25546\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 700px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/12/DART.gif\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-25546 size-full\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/12/DART.gif\" alt=\"DART\" width=\"700\" height=\"400\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">U.S. and international DART (Deep-Ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunami) buoys can provide information about tsunamis before they hit shore. (NOAA)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Let’s just say we had an earthquake offshore of San Francisco,” explains Whitmore. If the earthquake was big enough to warrant a tsunami warning, he says the response time would “average between 3 and 4 minutes to get the alerts out.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In 2004 our response time was more on the order of ten to fifteen minutes. So comparatively we’ve sped up by a factor of two,” he notes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>New technology also allows scientists to forecast not just \u003cem>when\u003c/em> a tsunami is coming, but how it will act when it makes landfall. There are now twice as many \u003ca href=\"http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/dart.shtml\">deep-ocea\u003c/a>\u003ca href=\"http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/dart.shtml\">n buoys\u003c/a> in the Pacific that can help predict how big the tsunami will be when it hits shore. The warning centers can also use computer modeling to predict whether coastlines will flood.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Indonesia, Australia, and India all have this technology, which has improved the warning system for the Indian Ocean.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Whitmore warns, this alert system won’t help you if you’re out in the ocean. “If you’re very near the source of a tsunami, you don’t have much time. You didn’t 10 years ago and you still don’t.” Whitmore says if you feel an earthquake that lasts more than 20 seconds and you’re on the coast, you should immediately move inland and seek higher ground. “When people are right in the source of a tsunami, it’s their own education and response that will save them.”\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"The tragedy sparked a decade of improvements to our tsunami warning system.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704932476,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":11,"wordCount":514},"headData":{"title":"Ten Years After Indian Ocean Tsunami, California is Better Prepared | KQED","description":"The tragedy sparked a decade of improvements to our tsunami warning system.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"Ten Years After Indian Ocean Tsunami, California is Better Prepared","datePublished":"2014-12-24T00:05:16.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-11T00:21:16.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"path":"/science/25508/ten-years-after-indian-ocean-tsunami-california-is-better-prepared","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_25621\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/12/RS2531_IMG_0545-lpr.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-25621\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/12/RS2531_IMG_0545-lpr.jpg\" alt=\"A tsunami warning sign in Crescent City, CA, which has a well-rehearsed response plan. (Craig Miller/KQED)\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1500\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A tsunami warning sign in Crescent City, CA, which has a well-rehearsed response plan. (Craig Miller/KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The day after Christmas marks the tenth anniversary of the deadliest tsunami on record. An underwater earthquake measuring 9.1 in magnitude formed waves up to 65 feet high that crashed into the Indian subcontinent. More than 230,000 lives were lost, with the greatest fatalities in Indonesia, Sri Lanka, and India.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The tragedy was a worldwide wake-up call. It triggered a decade of improvements to tsunami warning and response technology.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Really the biggest lesson I learned from that was just how critical it was for all coastlines to be covered by a tsunami warning system,” says Paul Whitmore, head of the National Tsunami Warning Center in Alaska.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"pullquote alignleft\">“In 2004 our response time was more on the order of ten to fifteen minutes. So comparatively we’ve sped up by a factor of two.”\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>Whitmore says today, the U.S. has that system in place. The nation’s seismic detection network is now fully enabled to transmit data in real time, to immediately flag earthquakes that could trigger tsunamis. Warning centers, which receive and broadcast this information, are now staffed around the clock, instead of just during business hours. And the public can now get \u003ca href=\"http://www.nws.noaa.gov/com/weatherreadynation/files/WEAFactSheet3.pdf\">tsunami alerts\u003c/a> on their phones.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_25546\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 700px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/12/DART.gif\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-25546 size-full\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/12/DART.gif\" alt=\"DART\" width=\"700\" height=\"400\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">U.S. and international DART (Deep-Ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunami) buoys can provide information about tsunamis before they hit shore. (NOAA)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“Let’s just say we had an earthquake offshore of San Francisco,” explains Whitmore. If the earthquake was big enough to warrant a tsunami warning, he says the response time would “average between 3 and 4 minutes to get the alerts out.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In 2004 our response time was more on the order of ten to fifteen minutes. So comparatively we’ve sped up by a factor of two,” he notes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>New technology also allows scientists to forecast not just \u003cem>when\u003c/em> a tsunami is coming, but how it will act when it makes landfall. There are now twice as many \u003ca href=\"http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/dart.shtml\">deep-ocea\u003c/a>\u003ca href=\"http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/dart.shtml\">n buoys\u003c/a> in the Pacific that can help predict how big the tsunami will be when it hits shore. The warning centers can also use computer modeling to predict whether coastlines will flood.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Indonesia, Australia, and India all have this technology, which has improved the warning system for the Indian Ocean.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Whitmore warns, this alert system won’t help you if you’re out in the ocean. “If you’re very near the source of a tsunami, you don’t have much time. You didn’t 10 years ago and you still don’t.” Whitmore says if you feel an earthquake that lasts more than 20 seconds and you’re on the coast, you should immediately move inland and seek higher ground. “When people are right in the source of a tsunami, it’s their own education and response that will save them.”\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/25508/ten-years-after-indian-ocean-tsunami-california-is-better-prepared","authors":["6591"],"categories":["science_40"],"tags":["science_1888","science_257","science_64","science_258"],"featImg":"science_25621","label":"science"},"science_15192":{"type":"posts","id":"science_15192","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"15192","score":null,"sort":[1394558581000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"three-years-after-disaster-crescent-city-sports-a-new-tsunami-resistant-harbor","title":"Three Years After Disaster, Crescent City Sports a New 'Tsunami-Resistant' Harbor","publishDate":1394558581,"format":"aside","headTitle":"Three Years After Disaster, Crescent City Sports a New ‘Tsunami-Resistant’ Harbor | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_15207\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/03/CrescentCity_ErnestPerry_1403.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-15207\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-15207\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/03/CrescentCity_ErnestPerry_1403.jpg\" alt=\"Three years after a tsunami destroyed it, Crescent City's Harbor is completely rebuilt. (Ernest Perry)\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Three years after a tsunami swept through it, Crescent City’s Harbor is completely rebuilt. (Ernest Perry)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Richard Young admits that \u003ca title=\"Times-Standard - post\" href=\"http://www.times-standard.com/breakingnews/ci_25312898/location-sundays-6-9-quake-reduced-impact-north\">this week’s magnitude 6.9 earthquake\u003c/a> off the Northern California coast made him sit up in bed. This one did not produce a menacing tsunami. But if it had, the Crescent City harbormaster says he’d be ready.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Three years ago — almost to the day — a wave generated by Japan’s monstrous \u003ca title=\"NOAA - Tohoku\" href=\"http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/hazard/honshu_11mar2011.shtml\">Tohoku earthquake\u003c/a> destroyed Crescent City’s fishing harbor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“\u003ca title=\"CW - post\" href=\"http://blogs.kqed.org/climatewatch/2011/03/13/crescent-city-its-a-mess-all-right/\">It was devastating\u003c/a>,” recalls Young, “not only for the harbor but for the entire community up here because this harbor and the commercial fishing activity that takes place here is an enormous part of the local economy, the local identity, and we were at risk of losing all of it at that time.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Three years and $50 million later, Young says, “It’s fair to say we’re all the way back at this point.” The harbor has been rebuilt with new slips and gangways, and a new feature that may be most important of all.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s the first tsunami-resistant marina that we know of anywhere on the West Coast,” Young adds with pride.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When we rebuilt it, we built it much stronger than it was previously. There are more pilings, larger pilings, and the system is designed to resist up to a 50-year tsunami.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Designed by Oakland-based \u003ca title=\"Gerwick - about\" href=\"http://www.gerwick.com/topmenu/aboutgerwick/Pages/aboutcowi.aspx\">Ben C. Gerwick Inc\u003c/a>., the fishing port has added nearly 100 more pilings (the posts that hold the floating docks in place). The new pilings are double the size of the old ones, and driven 30 feet into bedrock under the harbor. But the key new feature is a 400-foot tsunami attenuator dock, designed to withstand a tsunami of the intensity typically seen only twice in a century. Young says that translates roughly to a 12 to 15-foot wave.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Nothing is tsunami-proof because obviously we can’t resist all the forces that Mother Nature can throw at us,” admits Young, but, in a repeat of the type of events that caused havoc in 2006 and 2011, “This harbor is designed to resist those forces and suffer minimal, if any damage at all.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_15228\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/03/Crescent2011_0524.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-15228\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-15228\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/03/Crescent2011_0524.jpg\" alt=\"Wreckage piled up by the 2011 tsunami that hit Crescent City's harbor. (Craig Miller/KQED)\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Wreckage piled up by the 2011 tsunami that hit Crescent City’s harbor. (Craig Miller/KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Young says that it’s been a long road back. He and his staff had just lined up redevelopment plans from a 2006 event, when the larger 2011 wave struck.” Where the \u003ca title=\"SF Gate - post\" href=\"http://www.sfgate.com/news/article/TSUNAMI-STRIKES-CRESCENT-CITY-5-to-6-foot-2466620.php\">2006 tsunami damaged things\u003c/a>, the 2011 tsunami just destroyed the harbor,” he recalls. “We’re very happy to get back to the business of running a harbor, instead of building a harbor.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Most of the money to rebuild the harbor came from state and federal disaster grants, with some help from Del Norte County. But the harbor still had to borrow $5 million to finish the job. “Now comes the hard part, which is paying the bills,” says Young.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The hard part is over for Young, however. He says he delayed his retirement in order to stick around and get the job done. Now he’s hanging up his slicker and moving to Chico in the Sierra foothills, where he is unlikely to hear tsunami warning sirens in the night.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp> \u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"A wave generated by Japan's monstrous Tohoku earthquake destroyed Crescent City's fishing harbor. Engineers say the new design should withstand a 50-year event.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704934031,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":13,"wordCount":585},"headData":{"title":"Three Years After Disaster, Crescent City Sports a New 'Tsunami-Resistant' Harbor | KQED","description":"A wave generated by Japan's monstrous Tohoku earthquake destroyed Crescent City's fishing harbor. Engineers say the new design should withstand a 50-year event.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"Three Years After Disaster, Crescent City Sports a New 'Tsunami-Resistant' Harbor","datePublished":"2014-03-11T17:23:01.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-11T00:47:11.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"path":"/science/15192/three-years-after-disaster-crescent-city-sports-a-new-tsunami-resistant-harbor","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_15207\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/03/CrescentCity_ErnestPerry_1403.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-15207\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-15207\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/03/CrescentCity_ErnestPerry_1403.jpg\" alt=\"Three years after a tsunami destroyed it, Crescent City's Harbor is completely rebuilt. (Ernest Perry)\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Three years after a tsunami swept through it, Crescent City’s Harbor is completely rebuilt. (Ernest Perry)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Richard Young admits that \u003ca title=\"Times-Standard - post\" href=\"http://www.times-standard.com/breakingnews/ci_25312898/location-sundays-6-9-quake-reduced-impact-north\">this week’s magnitude 6.9 earthquake\u003c/a> off the Northern California coast made him sit up in bed. This one did not produce a menacing tsunami. But if it had, the Crescent City harbormaster says he’d be ready.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Three years ago — almost to the day — a wave generated by Japan’s monstrous \u003ca title=\"NOAA - Tohoku\" href=\"http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/hazard/honshu_11mar2011.shtml\">Tohoku earthquake\u003c/a> destroyed Crescent City’s fishing harbor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“\u003ca title=\"CW - post\" href=\"http://blogs.kqed.org/climatewatch/2011/03/13/crescent-city-its-a-mess-all-right/\">It was devastating\u003c/a>,” recalls Young, “not only for the harbor but for the entire community up here because this harbor and the commercial fishing activity that takes place here is an enormous part of the local economy, the local identity, and we were at risk of losing all of it at that time.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Three years and $50 million later, Young says, “It’s fair to say we’re all the way back at this point.” The harbor has been rebuilt with new slips and gangways, and a new feature that may be most important of all.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s the first tsunami-resistant marina that we know of anywhere on the West Coast,” Young adds with pride.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When we rebuilt it, we built it much stronger than it was previously. There are more pilings, larger pilings, and the system is designed to resist up to a 50-year tsunami.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Designed by Oakland-based \u003ca title=\"Gerwick - about\" href=\"http://www.gerwick.com/topmenu/aboutgerwick/Pages/aboutcowi.aspx\">Ben C. Gerwick Inc\u003c/a>., the fishing port has added nearly 100 more pilings (the posts that hold the floating docks in place). The new pilings are double the size of the old ones, and driven 30 feet into bedrock under the harbor. But the key new feature is a 400-foot tsunami attenuator dock, designed to withstand a tsunami of the intensity typically seen only twice in a century. Young says that translates roughly to a 12 to 15-foot wave.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Nothing is tsunami-proof because obviously we can’t resist all the forces that Mother Nature can throw at us,” admits Young, but, in a repeat of the type of events that caused havoc in 2006 and 2011, “This harbor is designed to resist those forces and suffer minimal, if any damage at all.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_15228\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/03/Crescent2011_0524.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-15228\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-15228\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2014/03/Crescent2011_0524.jpg\" alt=\"Wreckage piled up by the 2011 tsunami that hit Crescent City's harbor. (Craig Miller/KQED)\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Wreckage piled up by the 2011 tsunami that hit Crescent City’s harbor. (Craig Miller/KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Young says that it’s been a long road back. He and his staff had just lined up redevelopment plans from a 2006 event, when the larger 2011 wave struck.” Where the \u003ca title=\"SF Gate - post\" href=\"http://www.sfgate.com/news/article/TSUNAMI-STRIKES-CRESCENT-CITY-5-to-6-foot-2466620.php\">2006 tsunami damaged things\u003c/a>, the 2011 tsunami just destroyed the harbor,” he recalls. “We’re very happy to get back to the business of running a harbor, instead of building a harbor.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Most of the money to rebuild the harbor came from state and federal disaster grants, with some help from Del Norte County. But the harbor still had to borrow $5 million to finish the job. “Now comes the hard part, which is paying the bills,” says Young.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The hard part is over for Young, however. He says he delayed his retirement in order to stick around and get the job done. Now he’s hanging up his slicker and moving to Chico in the Sierra foothills, where he is unlikely to hear tsunami warning sirens in the night.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp> \u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/15192/three-years-after-disaster-crescent-city-sports-a-new-tsunami-resistant-harbor","authors":["221"],"categories":["science_89","science_38","science_40"],"tags":["science_258"],"featImg":"science_15228","label":"science"},"science_3939":{"type":"posts","id":"science_3939","meta":{"index":"posts_1591205157","site":"science","id":"3939","score":null,"sort":[1370444745000]},"guestAuthors":[],"slug":"sizing-up-tsunamis-by-their-sound-waves","title":"Sizing Up Tsunamis By Their Sound Waves","publishDate":1370444745,"format":"aside","headTitle":"Sizing Up Tsunamis By Their Sound Waves | KQED","labelTerm":{"site":"science"},"content":"\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_3943\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2013/06/IMG_05241.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-3943\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3943\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2013/06/IMG_05241.jpg\" alt=\"Crescent City carnage: the 2011 earthquake off Japan caused millions in damage along the California coast. (Photo: Craig Miller / KQED)\" width=\"640\" height=\"361\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Crescent City carnage: the 2011 earthquake off Japan caused millions in damage along the California coast. (Photo: Craig Miller / KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Scientists at Stanford may have found a way to build a better warning system for tsunamis. The key is listening, for the earthquake’s sonic signature.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When earthquakes rumble below the ocean floor, they can trigger the big killer waves we call \u003ca title=\"NOAA - Tsunami\" href=\"http://www.tsunami.noaa.gov/\">tsunamis\u003c/a>. But they also make sound waves. And those race ahead at ten times the speed of the ocean waves.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“These sound waves are very sensitive to vertical sea floor uplift, exactly the same thing that’s exciting the tsunamis,” says Eric Dunham, the Stanford geophysicist whose team at Stanford stumbled on that connection when they were \u003ca title=\"Bulletin - article\" href=\"http://pangea.stanford.edu/~edunham/publications/Kozdon_Dunham_Tohoku_BSSA13.pdf\">modeling the 2011 tsunami\u003c/a> that claimed more than 15,000 lives in Japan.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When making plots of that, we just saw incredibly huge-amplitude sound waves, which is not something we were really expecting, Dunham told me in a phone interview. “It is,” he added, “something that’s obvious in retrospect.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those sound waves are the sonic signature that, if captured in real time, could give scientists a critical piece of information that’s been missing: the height of the waves likely to make landfall. Current systems can estimate the magnitude of an undersea quake, but not whether the slip of the fault occurred far beneath the ocean floor, or close to it. And that’s important.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"pullquote alignleft\">“Shallow slip is what causes sea floor uplift and hence, large tsunamis.”\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>“Shallow slip is what causes sea floor uplift and hence, large tsunamis,” explains Dunham.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dunham says that knowing the sonic signature in real time could have signalled to people in Japan the enormity of the waves heading for them 10 or 15 minutes sooner.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This kind of sonic monitoring wouldn’t be cheap or simple. It would require a network of underwater microphones called hydrophones, listening for sub-sea quakes, and fast computers to quickly analyze the data.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dunham thinks a warning system based on the concept would be most helpful in areas near subduction zones, such as Japan and the U.S. Pacific Northwest, less so along the California coast. The \u003ca title=\"Live Science - Tohoku\" href=\"http://www.livescience.com/27776-tohoku-two-years-later-geology.html\">2011 Tohoku quake\u003c/a> erupted in the Japan Trench, a \u003ca title=\"USGS - glossary\" href=\"http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learn/glossary/?term=subduction%20zone\">subduction zone\u003c/a> just 43 miles off the coast of Japan. Hours later, it did nearly $60 million in \u003ca title=\"CW - blog post\" href=\"http://blogs.kqed.org/climatewatch/2011/03/13/crescent-city-its-a-mess-all-right/\">damage along the California coast\u003c/a>, but by then Californians had a pretty good idea of what was coming. The Japanese had only about 30 minutes warning and were caught off guard by the height of the waves, which overwhelmed defenses at the Fukushima nuclear power plant.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dunham’s work, developed with Jeremy Kozdon, now an assistant professor at the Navel Postgraduate School, is \u003ca title=\"Journal - article\" href=\"http://pangea.stanford.edu/~edunham/publications/Kozdon_Dunham_Tohoku_BSSA13.pdf\">described in the current issue\u003c/a> of \u003cem>The Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America\u003c/em>.\u003c/p>\n\n","blocks":[],"excerpt":"Scientists at Stanford may have found a way to build a better warning system for tsunamis. The key is listening for the earthquake's sonic signature.","status":"publish","parent":0,"modified":1704935671,"stats":{"hasAudio":false,"hasVideo":false,"hasChartOrMap":false,"iframeSrcs":[],"hasGoogleForm":false,"hasGallery":false,"hasHearkenModule":false,"hasPolis":false,"paragraphCount":12,"wordCount":484},"headData":{"title":"Sizing Up Tsunamis By Their Sound Waves | KQED","description":"Scientists at Stanford may have found a way to build a better warning system for tsunamis. The key is listening for the earthquake's sonic signature.","ogTitle":"","ogDescription":"","ogImgId":"","twTitle":"","twDescription":"","twImgId":"","schema":{"@context":"http://schema.org","@type":"Article","headline":"Sizing Up Tsunamis By Their Sound Waves","datePublished":"2013-06-05T15:05:45.000Z","dateModified":"2024-01-11T01:14:31.000Z","image":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/KQED-OG-Image@1x.png"}},"sticky":false,"path":"/science/3939/sizing-up-tsunamis-by-their-sound-waves","audioTrackLength":null,"parsedContent":[{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_3943\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2013/06/IMG_05241.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-3943\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3943\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/science/wp-content/uploads/sites/35/2013/06/IMG_05241.jpg\" alt=\"Crescent City carnage: the 2011 earthquake off Japan caused millions in damage along the California coast. (Photo: Craig Miller / KQED)\" width=\"640\" height=\"361\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Crescent City carnage: the 2011 earthquake off Japan caused millions in damage along the California coast. (Photo: Craig Miller / KQED)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Scientists at Stanford may have found a way to build a better warning system for tsunamis. The key is listening, for the earthquake’s sonic signature.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When earthquakes rumble below the ocean floor, they can trigger the big killer waves we call \u003ca title=\"NOAA - Tsunami\" href=\"http://www.tsunami.noaa.gov/\">tsunamis\u003c/a>. But they also make sound waves. And those race ahead at ten times the speed of the ocean waves.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“These sound waves are very sensitive to vertical sea floor uplift, exactly the same thing that’s exciting the tsunamis,” says Eric Dunham, the Stanford geophysicist whose team at Stanford stumbled on that connection when they were \u003ca title=\"Bulletin - article\" href=\"http://pangea.stanford.edu/~edunham/publications/Kozdon_Dunham_Tohoku_BSSA13.pdf\">modeling the 2011 tsunami\u003c/a> that claimed more than 15,000 lives in Japan.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When making plots of that, we just saw incredibly huge-amplitude sound waves, which is not something we were really expecting, Dunham told me in a phone interview. “It is,” he added, “something that’s obvious in retrospect.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those sound waves are the sonic signature that, if captured in real time, could give scientists a critical piece of information that’s been missing: the height of the waves likely to make landfall. Current systems can estimate the magnitude of an undersea quake, but not whether the slip of the fault occurred far beneath the ocean floor, or close to it. And that’s important.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"pullquote alignleft\">“Shallow slip is what causes sea floor uplift and hence, large tsunamis.”\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>“Shallow slip is what causes sea floor uplift and hence, large tsunamis,” explains Dunham.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}},{"type":"component","content":"","name":"ad","attributes":{"named":{"label":"fullwidth"},"numeric":["fullwidth"]}},{"type":"contentString","content":"\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dunham says that knowing the sonic signature in real time could have signalled to people in Japan the enormity of the waves heading for them 10 or 15 minutes sooner.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This kind of sonic monitoring wouldn’t be cheap or simple. It would require a network of underwater microphones called hydrophones, listening for sub-sea quakes, and fast computers to quickly analyze the data.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dunham thinks a warning system based on the concept would be most helpful in areas near subduction zones, such as Japan and the U.S. Pacific Northwest, less so along the California coast. The \u003ca title=\"Live Science - Tohoku\" href=\"http://www.livescience.com/27776-tohoku-two-years-later-geology.html\">2011 Tohoku quake\u003c/a> erupted in the Japan Trench, a \u003ca title=\"USGS - glossary\" href=\"http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learn/glossary/?term=subduction%20zone\">subduction zone\u003c/a> just 43 miles off the coast of Japan. Hours later, it did nearly $60 million in \u003ca title=\"CW - blog post\" href=\"http://blogs.kqed.org/climatewatch/2011/03/13/crescent-city-its-a-mess-all-right/\">damage along the California coast\u003c/a>, but by then Californians had a pretty good idea of what was coming. The Japanese had only about 30 minutes warning and were caught off guard by the height of the waves, which overwhelmed defenses at the Fukushima nuclear power plant.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dunham’s work, developed with Jeremy Kozdon, now an assistant professor at the Navel Postgraduate School, is \u003ca title=\"Journal - article\" href=\"http://pangea.stanford.edu/~edunham/publications/Kozdon_Dunham_Tohoku_BSSA13.pdf\">described in the current issue\u003c/a> of \u003cem>The Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America\u003c/em>.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>","attributes":{"named":{},"numeric":[]}}],"link":"/science/3939/sizing-up-tsunamis-by-their-sound-waves","authors":["221"],"categories":["science_38","science_40","science_42"],"tags":["science_257","science_64","science_258"],"featImg":"science_3943","label":"science"}},"programsReducer":{"possible":{"id":"possible","title":"Possible","info":"Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. 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Hosted by journalists of color, the show tackles the subject of race head-on, exploring how it impacts every part of society — from politics and pop culture to history, sports and more.\u003cbr />\u003cbr />\u003cem>Life Kit\u003c/em>, which will be in the second part of the hour, guides you through spaces and feelings no one prepares you for — from finances to mental health, from workplace microaggressions to imposter syndrome, from relationships to parenting. The show features experts with real world experience and shares their knowledge. Because everyone needs a little help being human.\u003cbr />\u003cbr />\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/podcasts/510312/codeswitch\">\u003cem>Code Switch\u003c/em> offical site and podcast\u003c/a>\u003cbr />\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/lifekit\">\u003cem>Life Kit\u003c/em> offical site and podcast\u003c/a>\u003cbr />","airtime":"SUN 9pm-10pm","imageSrc":"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Code-Switch-Life-Kit-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg","meta":{"site":"radio","source":"npr"},"link":"/radio/program/code-switch-life-kit","subscribe":{"apple":"https://podcasts.apple.com/podcast/1112190608?mt=2&at=11l79Y&ct=nprdirectory","google":"https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnByLm9yZy9yc3MvcG9kY2FzdC5waHA_aWQ9NTEwMzEy","spotify":"https://open.spotify.com/show/3bExJ9JQpkwNhoHvaIIuyV","rss":"https://feeds.npr.org/510312/podcast.xml"}},"commonwealth-club":{"id":"commonwealth-club","title":"Commonwealth Club of California Podcast","info":"The Commonwealth Club of California is the nation's oldest and largest public affairs forum. 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