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"content": "\u003cp>\u003cb>Here are the morning’s top stories on Tuesday, October 28, 2025…\u003c/b>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">The ripple effects of President Trump’s national gerrymandering battle are being felt in California’s rich agricultural belt. Next week, voters in the state will decide whether to support \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/proposition-50\">Proposition 50.\u003c/a> That’s Governor Newsom’s plan to counter surprise redistricting in Texas and other red states. If Prop 50 passes, Congressman David Valadao of the Central Valley would be one of five Republicans on the chopping block. And that worries farmers in his district. \u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">State Attorney General Rob Bonta says the monitors that the U.S. Department of Justice is sending to five California counties \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://laist.com/brief/news/politics/bonta-bashes-trump-administration-plan-to-send-election-monitors-to-california\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">will not be allowed to interfere in the voting process.\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>The Los Angeles Dodgers \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/10/28/g-s1-95311/dodgers-over-blue-jays-world-series\">won a marathon Game 3 of the World Series\u003c/a>, as Freddie Freeman hit a walk-off home run in the 18th inning.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12061715/california-divided-heres-whats-at-stake-for-californians-whose-districts-could-get-rewritten-by-prop-50\">\u003cstrong>Central Valley Farmers Say Redistricting Could Have Huge Impact On Industry\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If Californians pass \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/proposition-50\">Proposition 50\u003c/a> next week, several areas of the state could see far different representation in the coming years. That includes the Central Valley, where agriculture is king.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Charles Meyer grows a cornucopia of crops on his 1500 acres in Stratford, in Kings County. “We’re growing wheat, we’re growing alfalfa, we’re growing almonds, we’re growing pistachios,” he said. Kings County is one of three agricultural counties that make up District 22, represented by Republican Congressman David Valadao. Farms bring in billions of dollars to the region and Meyer said he feels the elected leader in District 22 should represent the interests of the agriculture industry, like Valadao, a former dairy farmer. “You become attached to the ground. It’s like our boys in the military, they give their life for the country. We feel about our ground about like that,” Meyer said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao is in danger of losing his seat if maps are redrawn and Prop 50 passes. Meyer said the new maps are an overreach, blaming Democrats for rising farming costs and slumping profits. And while it’s a common thought among the farming community, Democrats in the region welcome a possible change, blaming Valadao for issues like healthcare costs.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"https://laist.com/brief/news/politics/bonta-bashes-trump-administration-plan-to-send-election-monitors-to-california\">Attorney General Says Federal Election Monitors Are Unnecessary\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>California Attorney General Rob Bonta on Monday denounced plans by the Justice Department to send election monitors to California, where \u003ca href=\"https://oag.ca.gov/news/press-releases/promoting-early-voting-and-protecting-voting-rights-together-attorney-general\">voting is underway\u003c/a> in the closely watched contest over Proposition 50.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Trump administration announced Friday that it would send monitors to five counties, including Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, Kern and Fresno for the Nov. 4 special election. The Justice Department said in a news release that it would send monitors to polling places and to offices of registrars of voters “to ensure transparency, ballot security, and compliance with federal law.” The move comes in response to a request for monitors by the California Republican Party, which claimed voting irregularities in past elections including that voters received incorrect ballots.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s not uncommon for the federal government to monitor elections, but Bonta questioned the motives behind the decision. “These are not normal times so it is with a great deal of concern that I see these so-called election monitors coming to California,” he said. “We have to look at the broader context here.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>President Donald Trump has claimed there’s widespread voter fraud in California, where 81% of ballots are mailed in. He reiterated his position as recently as Sunday on his \u003ca class=\"Link\" href=\"https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115441871289276790\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-cms-ai=\"0\">Truth Social account. \u003c/a>Bonta said Monday that voter fraud is extremely rare in California, and Secretary of State Shirley Weber says \u003ca class=\"Link\" href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/election-cybersecurity/trusted-information\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-cms-ai=\"0\">\u003cu>on her website\u003c/u>\u003c/a> that mail-in ballots provide more election security, not less. Bonta said the election monitors are designed to bolster the president’s claim of election fraud and to sow fear among citizen immigrant voters. The attorney general promised to monitor the monitors. “Of course there will be observers of the election monitors — so-called election monitors — that the DOJ is sending. They will not be allowed to do things that they are not allowed to do,” he said. “They can watch and observe like everybody else.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/10/28/g-s1-95311/dodgers-over-blue-jays-world-series\">\u003cstrong>After 18 Innings, Dodgers Prevail Over Blue Jays In World Series Classic\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Freddie Freeman homered leading off the bottom of the 18th inning, Shohei Ohtani went deep twice in another record-setting performance and the Los Angeles Dodgers outlasted the Toronto Blue Jays 6-5 in Game 3 on Monday night to win a World Series classic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The defending champion Dodgers took a 2-1 lead in the best-of-seven matchup and still have a chance to win the title at home — something they haven’t done since 1963.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Freeman connected off left-hander Brendon Little, sending a 406-foot drive to straightaway center field to finally end a game that lasted 6 hours, 39 minutes, and matched the longest by innings in postseason history. The only other Series contest to go 18 innings was Game 3 at Dodger Stadium seven years ago. Freeman’s current teammate, Max Muncy, won that one for Los Angeles with an 18th-inning homer against the Boston Red Sox in a game that took 7 hours, 20 minutes.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cb>Here are the morning’s top stories on Tuesday, October 28, 2025…\u003c/b>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">The ripple effects of President Trump’s national gerrymandering battle are being felt in California’s rich agricultural belt. Next week, voters in the state will decide whether to support \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/proposition-50\">Proposition 50.\u003c/a> That’s Governor Newsom’s plan to counter surprise redistricting in Texas and other red states. If Prop 50 passes, Congressman David Valadao of the Central Valley would be one of five Republicans on the chopping block. And that worries farmers in his district. \u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">State Attorney General Rob Bonta says the monitors that the U.S. Department of Justice is sending to five California counties \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://laist.com/brief/news/politics/bonta-bashes-trump-administration-plan-to-send-election-monitors-to-california\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">will not be allowed to interfere in the voting process.\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>The Los Angeles Dodgers \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/10/28/g-s1-95311/dodgers-over-blue-jays-world-series\">won a marathon Game 3 of the World Series\u003c/a>, as Freddie Freeman hit a walk-off home run in the 18th inning.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12061715/california-divided-heres-whats-at-stake-for-californians-whose-districts-could-get-rewritten-by-prop-50\">\u003cstrong>Central Valley Farmers Say Redistricting Could Have Huge Impact On Industry\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If Californians pass \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/proposition-50\">Proposition 50\u003c/a> next week, several areas of the state could see far different representation in the coming years. That includes the Central Valley, where agriculture is king.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Charles Meyer grows a cornucopia of crops on his 1500 acres in Stratford, in Kings County. “We’re growing wheat, we’re growing alfalfa, we’re growing almonds, we’re growing pistachios,” he said. Kings County is one of three agricultural counties that make up District 22, represented by Republican Congressman David Valadao. Farms bring in billions of dollars to the region and Meyer said he feels the elected leader in District 22 should represent the interests of the agriculture industry, like Valadao, a former dairy farmer. “You become attached to the ground. It’s like our boys in the military, they give their life for the country. We feel about our ground about like that,” Meyer said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao is in danger of losing his seat if maps are redrawn and Prop 50 passes. Meyer said the new maps are an overreach, blaming Democrats for rising farming costs and slumping profits. And while it’s a common thought among the farming community, Democrats in the region welcome a possible change, blaming Valadao for issues like healthcare costs.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"https://laist.com/brief/news/politics/bonta-bashes-trump-administration-plan-to-send-election-monitors-to-california\">Attorney General Says Federal Election Monitors Are Unnecessary\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>California Attorney General Rob Bonta on Monday denounced plans by the Justice Department to send election monitors to California, where \u003ca href=\"https://oag.ca.gov/news/press-releases/promoting-early-voting-and-protecting-voting-rights-together-attorney-general\">voting is underway\u003c/a> in the closely watched contest over Proposition 50.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Trump administration announced Friday that it would send monitors to five counties, including Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, Kern and Fresno for the Nov. 4 special election. The Justice Department said in a news release that it would send monitors to polling places and to offices of registrars of voters “to ensure transparency, ballot security, and compliance with federal law.” The move comes in response to a request for monitors by the California Republican Party, which claimed voting irregularities in past elections including that voters received incorrect ballots.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s not uncommon for the federal government to monitor elections, but Bonta questioned the motives behind the decision. “These are not normal times so it is with a great deal of concern that I see these so-called election monitors coming to California,” he said. “We have to look at the broader context here.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>President Donald Trump has claimed there’s widespread voter fraud in California, where 81% of ballots are mailed in. He reiterated his position as recently as Sunday on his \u003ca class=\"Link\" href=\"https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115441871289276790\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-cms-ai=\"0\">Truth Social account. \u003c/a>Bonta said Monday that voter fraud is extremely rare in California, and Secretary of State Shirley Weber says \u003ca class=\"Link\" href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/election-cybersecurity/trusted-information\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-cms-ai=\"0\">\u003cu>on her website\u003c/u>\u003c/a> that mail-in ballots provide more election security, not less. Bonta said the election monitors are designed to bolster the president’s claim of election fraud and to sow fear among citizen immigrant voters. The attorney general promised to monitor the monitors. “Of course there will be observers of the election monitors — so-called election monitors — that the DOJ is sending. They will not be allowed to do things that they are not allowed to do,” he said. “They can watch and observe like everybody else.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/10/28/g-s1-95311/dodgers-over-blue-jays-world-series\">\u003cstrong>After 18 Innings, Dodgers Prevail Over Blue Jays In World Series Classic\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Freddie Freeman homered leading off the bottom of the 18th inning, Shohei Ohtani went deep twice in another record-setting performance and the Los Angeles Dodgers outlasted the Toronto Blue Jays 6-5 in Game 3 on Monday night to win a World Series classic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The defending champion Dodgers took a 2-1 lead in the best-of-seven matchup and still have a chance to win the title at home — something they haven’t done since 1963.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Freeman connected off left-hander Brendon Little, sending a 406-foot drive to straightaway center field to finally end a game that lasted 6 hours, 39 minutes, and matched the longest by innings in postseason history. The only other Series contest to go 18 innings was Game 3 at Dodger Stadium seven years ago. Freeman’s current teammate, Max Muncy, won that one for Los Angeles with an 18th-inning homer against the Boston Red Sox in a game that took 7 hours, 20 minutes.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "how-cuts-medicaid-republican-gains-california",
"title": "Here’s How Cuts to Medicaid Could Blunt Republican Gains in California",
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"headTitle": "Here’s How Cuts to Medicaid Could Blunt Republican Gains in California | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>BAKERSFIELD — In 2021, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bakersfield\">Bakersfield\u003c/a> resident Elizabeth Ramirez’s mother broke three bones in a fall, leaving Ramirez with a new set of responsibilities: cooking and cleaning for her mom, bathing her and driving her to appointments.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“So I was caregiving for her on top of my kids,” Ramirez said. “It was just a lot.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After a few years of juggling, Ramirez became a registered care provider for her mother through the state’s In-Home Supportive Services, a program provided \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12032878/gop-cuts-to-medicaid-snap-would-shrink-californias-economy-by-17-billion-and-kill-nearly-140000-jobs-new-study-finds\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">through Medi-Cal\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“So the work I put into making sure she’s safe and healthy, I get paid for it now,” Ramirez said. “It’s such a good support system that keeps people from drowning.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>No congressional seat in California relies more on Medi-Cal than the 22nd District, which follows Interstate 5 and Highway 99 as they stretch southeast from Avenal and Delano, through almond and pistachio orchards, to Bakersfield.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Two-thirds of residents are enrolled in Medi-Cal, the state’s Medicaid program, which provides health care to low-income residents, people with disabilities and those living in nursing homes or need of a personal caregiver.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11933948\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1024px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11933948 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/12/GettyImages-1245162773.jpg\" alt=\"oil pumps in a field\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/12/GettyImages-1245162773.jpg 1024w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/12/GettyImages-1245162773-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/12/GettyImages-1245162773-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/12/GettyImages-1245162773-160x107.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Oil wells are seen at an oil facility by Interstate 5 near Bakersfield. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The 22nd District is also experiencing an intense political shift.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Back in 2020, voters here supported Joe Biden over Donald Trump in the presidential election by a 55%-42% margin. In November, Trump won the 22nd District, 52%-46% over Kamala Harris. The 19-point shift between 2020 and 2024 was the largest in California, securing incumbent Rep. David Valadao a comfortable victory that helped the GOP maintain control of the House of Representatives.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Connie Conway, the chair of the Republican Party of Tulare County, said Trump drew support from new voters — enough to start a young Republicans chapter in the county — and disaffected Democrats.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I say this to people all the time, and I know because I’m a lifelong Central Valley girl, ‘We’re pretty conservative no matter what your party registration is,” Conway said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Across California, Trump made his largest gains in districts like the 22nd — inland, working class, majority-Latino and, according to a KQED analysis, heavily reliant on Medi-Cal.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re not known for our excess wealth, at least in our part of the Central Valley. We’re just hard-working people that share a lot of the same values: family, faith,” Conway said. “I think in this past election, that really resonated with a lot of folks.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"GOP Gains and Medi-Cal Enrollment\" aria-label=\"Scatter Plot\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-svLzI\" src=\"https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/svLzI/6/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"576\" data-external=\"1\" width=\"100%\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, Republicans in Congress are moving ahead with plans to slash the health care program.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>House Republicans passed a budget resolution in February that set a goal of $2 trillion in spending cuts. It was the first step toward passing a budget that party leaders hope will include over $4.5 trillion in new spending and tax cuts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Top Republicans ruled out reductions to Social Security, Medicare and defense, leaving Medicaid as the most expensive program on the chopping block.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The path to achieving the centerpiece of Trump’s legislative agenda could go straight through the pocketbooks of the voters who powered GOP progress in 2024. Cuts to Medicaid, which has enjoyed bipartisan support, could imperil representatives like Valadao and give \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12032994/democrats-focus-their-message-on-gop-cuts-to-medicaid\">new life to Democrats\u003c/a> looking for ways to reverse their decline in California’s working class communities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=news_12033446 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/DonaldTrump100DaysGetty-1020x680.jpg']\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t want to say that there is an opportunity, since nothing good will come out of this budget, but the opportunity to clarify and define what we as a party are doing in this term of Trump is going to be critical,” said Orrin Evans, a Democratic strategist who has worked on multiple House campaigns in the state. “We have to be united in standing against this.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>KQED cross-referenced district-by-district Medicaid enrollment numbers from the UC Berkeley Labor Center with presidential vote totals from the 2020 and 2024 elections in each of the state’s 52 congressional districts, compiled by the California Target Book.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Of the 13 seats with the largest shift toward Trump in 2024 — the top quartile of districts — eight were among the top quartile in Medi-Cal reliance. Twelve of the 13 had Medi-Cal populations above the state average.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Valadao voted for the budget resolution, he has expressed concerns for his constituents who benefit from Medi-Cal and said he would not vote for a final budget bill “that risks leaving them behind.” It’s unclear how the party would offset the costs of tax cuts without targeting Medicaid.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Doing so could bring political risk for California Republicans beyond just vulnerable incumbents like Valadao. The GOP made \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12025617/confronting-trump-gotten-harder-california-legislature\">significant inroads\u003c/a> in communities still represented by Democrats in Congress — in the Central Valley, Inland Empire and along the state’s southern border — which fueled Republican gains further down the ballot in 2024.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The shifts reflect the acceleration of a yearslong \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12011642/how-the-diploma-divide-is-reshaping-politics-in-a-key-california-house-race\">political realignment\u003c/a> along \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101908312/how-the-diploma-divide-polarizes-the-u-s-electorate\">educational lines\u003c/a>. During the Trump era, Democrats have gained ground in highly-educated suburban areas, such as coastal Orange and San Diego counties, and lost support in more working-class counties further inland.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12010091\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12010091 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/10/GettyImages-1255046550-1-scaled-e1743452454384.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Republican Rep. David Valadao of California’s 22nd Congressional District, pictured in 2022. \u003ccite>(Irfan Khan/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In November, Republicans scored \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12016328/special-session-to-trump-proof-california-opens-in-sacramento\">two shocking victories\u003c/a> in state Assembly districts long held by Democrats in Imperial and Riverside counties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao’s Bakersfield seat fits the profile of these areas in political transition. According to estimates from the U.S. Census’ American Community Survey, nearly 60% of the citizen voting-age population is Latino, the most of any district in California. Meanwhile, fewer than one in 10 residents over age 24 hold a college degree, the lowest share of any district in the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That particular district, President Trump did far better than other Republican candidates had done at the top of the ticket,” said Tal Eslick, Valadao’s former chief of staff, on KQED’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12030830/could-gop-spending-cuts-cost-republicans-the-house\">\u003cem>Political Breakdown\u003c/em>\u003c/a>. “So I think this is an example of a district that’s changing, especially among, I would say, Hispanic males.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Eslick and Conway attributed the GOP’s 2024 turnaround in the area to a mix of economic concerns, such as the cost of living, and social issues, including the debate over transgender rights.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you can imagine a 70-year-old Hispanic female from Corcoran, I don’t think the trans issues or other issues like that resonated with her,” Eslick said. “I think [Democrats] lost many of those folks, and those folks went towards President Trump.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But it’s exactly in these areas of the state that the health care coverage provided by Medi-Cal is a lifeline for residents, said Scott Graves, budget director at the California Budget & Policy Center.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In the more rural areas of the state, in farming communities, they’re doing some pretty backbreaking jobs,” Graves said. “They’re not getting very well compensated for it, and they’re very unlikely to be offered a health coverage plan.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The federal government covers roughly half of most Medicaid costs in California, splitting the expense with the state government. Under the Affordable Care Act, Medicaid expanded to cover Californians making up to 138% of the federal poverty level ($21,597 for a single adult in 2025), with the federal government covering 90% of the new costs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12032710\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12032710 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Elizabeth Ramirez outside the MLK Community Center in Bakersfield, where Rep. Ro Khanna held a town hall meeting on March 23, 2025, the first of three town hall events Khanna was set to hold in Republican-held congressional districts across the state. \u003ccite>(Martin do Nascimento/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Medi-Cal dollars are inextricably woven into the local economy in this part of the state. Kaweah Health Medical Center in Visalia is the largest hospital in Tulare County. It’s also the county’s largest employer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The hospital receives more than 30% of its revenue through Medi-Cal, according to Gary Herbst, Kaweah’s CEO, compared to less than 20% from private insurance. When Herbst first arrived at Kaweah in 1992, that ratio was reversed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Herbst has begun planning for various scenarios of cuts to Medicaid. If the federal government were to lower its cost-sharing to 45% for both traditional and expansion Medi-Cal enrollees, the loss for Kaweah would be around $60 million a year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If we were to lose 50, 60 million dollars a year in Medi-Cal funding, then where would I cut? How many hundreds of people would I have to lay off? How many services would I have to close?” he said. “We’ve never faced losses of this magnitude.”[aside postID=news_12022068 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/11/GettyImages-536950177-1020x680.jpg']Doctors and nurses at Kaweah would still be required to provide emergency services to anyone who shows up at the hospital, regardless of their ability to pay. So the cuts could potentially come to services such as colonoscopy screenings, surgeries for hip and knee replacements or primary care visits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s not possible to cover a $50- to $60-million reduction in funding and say, ‘Oh, we’re just going to stop providing services to Medi-Cal patients,’” Herbst said. “We would literally be forced to close an entire service, probably multiple services, so it would affect all patients that are receiving those services.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The consequences appeared to be on Valadao’s mind when he spoke on the House floor before voting to advance the GOP budget framework.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’ve heard from countless constituents who tell me the only way they can afford health care is through programs like Medicaid, and I will not support a final reconciliation bill that risks leaving them behind,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao said Congress is faced with “a historic opportunity to advance the key priorities of this administration.” By cutting spending, Congress would be able to extend crucial provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, such as the doubling of the standard deduction and the child tax credit.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After Valadao spoke, Rep. Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, said California’s 22nd District “is going to have a very loud voice as this process moves forward.” He said Medicaid could be strengthened by weeding out “waste, fraud and abuse,” without providing details on where that exists in the program.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11930872\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1024px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11930872 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719.jpg\" alt=\"A white man in a blue suit.\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719.jpg 1024w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-160x107.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Rep. David Valadao (R-Calif.) speaks during a news conference with other House Republican members on immigration in Washington in 2021. \u003ccite>(Caroline Brehman/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Valadao declined an interview for this story. Longtime allies such as Eslick and Conway were skeptical that Republicans in Congress would actually carry out large cuts to Medicaid.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t see a scenario in which Republicans, or for that matter any politician, go after an entitlement program that is pretty popular and obviously a key issue for a large swath of people,” Eslick said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It seems impossible for Republicans to achieve their ambitious goals for cutting spending without touching Medicaid. The budget plan passed by the House called for $880 billion in cuts over the next 10 years from programs overseen by the Committee on Energy and Commerce. Just $581 billion of spending \u003ca href=\"https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2025-03/61235-Boyle-Pallone.pdf\">under the committee’s\u003c/a> jurisdiction is for programs other than Medicaid, according to the Congressional Budget Office.[aside postID=news_12032718 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-21-KQED-5-1020x680.jpg']Valadao is a political survivor, one of just two Republicans left in the House who voted to impeach Trump in 2021, but he’s not immune to the high-stakes politics of health care. In 2017, he voted to repeal the Affordable Care Act. A year later, he lost his campaign for re-election.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“David Valadao has a very clear choice: he can vote on behalf of his district or he can take another step towards a successful lobbying career which he will assume as soon as he is defeated,” said Evans, the Democratic strategist. “Voting for this draconian budget, there is no argument in how it would advance or help constituents in his district.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Another clue about Medicaid’s political potency lies in a little-noticed ballot measure passed in November by California voters. Proposition 35 extended a state tax on providers of health care plans and restricted the revenue to fund Medi-Cal.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The initiative passed overwhelmingly with 68% of the vote — outpacing other ballot measures with similar levels of bipartisan support — and it tallied 70% approval in those 13 seats that saw the largest shift toward Trump.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dustin Corcoran, CEO of the California Medical Association, which represents physicians in the state, said Medicaid is often a blind spot for policymakers and elected officials, who typically receive health coverage on the private market.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Corcoran saw a different reality as he traveled the state as co-chair of the Proposition 35 campaign. One stop took him to the campus of the UC Merced, in the heart of the 13th Congressional District, which has the third-highest Medi-Cal population and fourth-largest shift toward Trump.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He asked this icebreaker: Who knows what Medicaid is?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Every hand went up,” Corcoran said. “Every single hand in the room.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "A KQED analysis found the Congressional Districts that shifted most toward President Donald Trump also rely disproportionately on Medi-Cal.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>BAKERSFIELD — In 2021, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bakersfield\">Bakersfield\u003c/a> resident Elizabeth Ramirez’s mother broke three bones in a fall, leaving Ramirez with a new set of responsibilities: cooking and cleaning for her mom, bathing her and driving her to appointments.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“So I was caregiving for her on top of my kids,” Ramirez said. “It was just a lot.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After a few years of juggling, Ramirez became a registered care provider for her mother through the state’s In-Home Supportive Services, a program provided \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12032878/gop-cuts-to-medicaid-snap-would-shrink-californias-economy-by-17-billion-and-kill-nearly-140000-jobs-new-study-finds\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">through Medi-Cal\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“So the work I put into making sure she’s safe and healthy, I get paid for it now,” Ramirez said. “It’s such a good support system that keeps people from drowning.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>No congressional seat in California relies more on Medi-Cal than the 22nd District, which follows Interstate 5 and Highway 99 as they stretch southeast from Avenal and Delano, through almond and pistachio orchards, to Bakersfield.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Two-thirds of residents are enrolled in Medi-Cal, the state’s Medicaid program, which provides health care to low-income residents, people with disabilities and those living in nursing homes or need of a personal caregiver.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11933948\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1024px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11933948 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/12/GettyImages-1245162773.jpg\" alt=\"oil pumps in a field\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/12/GettyImages-1245162773.jpg 1024w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/12/GettyImages-1245162773-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/12/GettyImages-1245162773-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/12/GettyImages-1245162773-160x107.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Oil wells are seen at an oil facility by Interstate 5 near Bakersfield. \u003ccite>(Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The 22nd District is also experiencing an intense political shift.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Back in 2020, voters here supported Joe Biden over Donald Trump in the presidential election by a 55%-42% margin. In November, Trump won the 22nd District, 52%-46% over Kamala Harris. The 19-point shift between 2020 and 2024 was the largest in California, securing incumbent Rep. David Valadao a comfortable victory that helped the GOP maintain control of the House of Representatives.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Connie Conway, the chair of the Republican Party of Tulare County, said Trump drew support from new voters — enough to start a young Republicans chapter in the county — and disaffected Democrats.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I say this to people all the time, and I know because I’m a lifelong Central Valley girl, ‘We’re pretty conservative no matter what your party registration is,” Conway said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Across California, Trump made his largest gains in districts like the 22nd — inland, working class, majority-Latino and, according to a KQED analysis, heavily reliant on Medi-Cal.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re not known for our excess wealth, at least in our part of the Central Valley. We’re just hard-working people that share a lot of the same values: family, faith,” Conway said. “I think in this past election, that really resonated with a lot of folks.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"GOP Gains and Medi-Cal Enrollment\" aria-label=\"Scatter Plot\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-svLzI\" src=\"https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/svLzI/6/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"576\" data-external=\"1\" width=\"100%\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, Republicans in Congress are moving ahead with plans to slash the health care program.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>House Republicans passed a budget resolution in February that set a goal of $2 trillion in spending cuts. It was the first step toward passing a budget that party leaders hope will include over $4.5 trillion in new spending and tax cuts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Top Republicans ruled out reductions to Social Security, Medicare and defense, leaving Medicaid as the most expensive program on the chopping block.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The path to achieving the centerpiece of Trump’s legislative agenda could go straight through the pocketbooks of the voters who powered GOP progress in 2024. Cuts to Medicaid, which has enjoyed bipartisan support, could imperil representatives like Valadao and give \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12032994/democrats-focus-their-message-on-gop-cuts-to-medicaid\">new life to Democrats\u003c/a> looking for ways to reverse their decline in California’s working class communities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t want to say that there is an opportunity, since nothing good will come out of this budget, but the opportunity to clarify and define what we as a party are doing in this term of Trump is going to be critical,” said Orrin Evans, a Democratic strategist who has worked on multiple House campaigns in the state. “We have to be united in standing against this.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>KQED cross-referenced district-by-district Medicaid enrollment numbers from the UC Berkeley Labor Center with presidential vote totals from the 2020 and 2024 elections in each of the state’s 52 congressional districts, compiled by the California Target Book.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Of the 13 seats with the largest shift toward Trump in 2024 — the top quartile of districts — eight were among the top quartile in Medi-Cal reliance. Twelve of the 13 had Medi-Cal populations above the state average.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Valadao voted for the budget resolution, he has expressed concerns for his constituents who benefit from Medi-Cal and said he would not vote for a final budget bill “that risks leaving them behind.” It’s unclear how the party would offset the costs of tax cuts without targeting Medicaid.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Doing so could bring political risk for California Republicans beyond just vulnerable incumbents like Valadao. The GOP made \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12025617/confronting-trump-gotten-harder-california-legislature\">significant inroads\u003c/a> in communities still represented by Democrats in Congress — in the Central Valley, Inland Empire and along the state’s southern border — which fueled Republican gains further down the ballot in 2024.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The shifts reflect the acceleration of a yearslong \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12011642/how-the-diploma-divide-is-reshaping-politics-in-a-key-california-house-race\">political realignment\u003c/a> along \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101908312/how-the-diploma-divide-polarizes-the-u-s-electorate\">educational lines\u003c/a>. During the Trump era, Democrats have gained ground in highly-educated suburban areas, such as coastal Orange and San Diego counties, and lost support in more working-class counties further inland.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12010091\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12010091 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/10/GettyImages-1255046550-1-scaled-e1743452454384.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Republican Rep. David Valadao of California’s 22nd Congressional District, pictured in 2022. \u003ccite>(Irfan Khan/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In November, Republicans scored \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12016328/special-session-to-trump-proof-california-opens-in-sacramento\">two shocking victories\u003c/a> in state Assembly districts long held by Democrats in Imperial and Riverside counties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao’s Bakersfield seat fits the profile of these areas in political transition. According to estimates from the U.S. Census’ American Community Survey, nearly 60% of the citizen voting-age population is Latino, the most of any district in California. Meanwhile, fewer than one in 10 residents over age 24 hold a college degree, the lowest share of any district in the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That particular district, President Trump did far better than other Republican candidates had done at the top of the ticket,” said Tal Eslick, Valadao’s former chief of staff, on KQED’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12030830/could-gop-spending-cuts-cost-republicans-the-house\">\u003cem>Political Breakdown\u003c/em>\u003c/a>. “So I think this is an example of a district that’s changing, especially among, I would say, Hispanic males.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Eslick and Conway attributed the GOP’s 2024 turnaround in the area to a mix of economic concerns, such as the cost of living, and social issues, including the debate over transgender rights.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you can imagine a 70-year-old Hispanic female from Corcoran, I don’t think the trans issues or other issues like that resonated with her,” Eslick said. “I think [Democrats] lost many of those folks, and those folks went towards President Trump.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But it’s exactly in these areas of the state that the health care coverage provided by Medi-Cal is a lifeline for residents, said Scott Graves, budget director at the California Budget & Policy Center.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In the more rural areas of the state, in farming communities, they’re doing some pretty backbreaking jobs,” Graves said. “They’re not getting very well compensated for it, and they’re very unlikely to be offered a health coverage plan.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The federal government covers roughly half of most Medicaid costs in California, splitting the expense with the state government. Under the Affordable Care Act, Medicaid expanded to cover Californians making up to 138% of the federal poverty level ($21,597 for a single adult in 2025), with the federal government covering 90% of the new costs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12032710\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12032710 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-16-KQED-3-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Elizabeth Ramirez outside the MLK Community Center in Bakersfield, where Rep. Ro Khanna held a town hall meeting on March 23, 2025, the first of three town hall events Khanna was set to hold in Republican-held congressional districts across the state. \u003ccite>(Martin do Nascimento/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Medi-Cal dollars are inextricably woven into the local economy in this part of the state. Kaweah Health Medical Center in Visalia is the largest hospital in Tulare County. It’s also the county’s largest employer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The hospital receives more than 30% of its revenue through Medi-Cal, according to Gary Herbst, Kaweah’s CEO, compared to less than 20% from private insurance. When Herbst first arrived at Kaweah in 1992, that ratio was reversed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Herbst has begun planning for various scenarios of cuts to Medicaid. If the federal government were to lower its cost-sharing to 45% for both traditional and expansion Medi-Cal enrollees, the loss for Kaweah would be around $60 million a year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If we were to lose 50, 60 million dollars a year in Medi-Cal funding, then where would I cut? How many hundreds of people would I have to lay off? How many services would I have to close?” he said. “We’ve never faced losses of this magnitude.”\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Doctors and nurses at Kaweah would still be required to provide emergency services to anyone who shows up at the hospital, regardless of their ability to pay. So the cuts could potentially come to services such as colonoscopy screenings, surgeries for hip and knee replacements or primary care visits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s not possible to cover a $50- to $60-million reduction in funding and say, ‘Oh, we’re just going to stop providing services to Medi-Cal patients,’” Herbst said. “We would literally be forced to close an entire service, probably multiple services, so it would affect all patients that are receiving those services.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The consequences appeared to be on Valadao’s mind when he spoke on the House floor before voting to advance the GOP budget framework.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’ve heard from countless constituents who tell me the only way they can afford health care is through programs like Medicaid, and I will not support a final reconciliation bill that risks leaving them behind,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao said Congress is faced with “a historic opportunity to advance the key priorities of this administration.” By cutting spending, Congress would be able to extend crucial provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, such as the doubling of the standard deduction and the child tax credit.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After Valadao spoke, Rep. Steve Scalise, the House Majority Leader, said California’s 22nd District “is going to have a very loud voice as this process moves forward.” He said Medicaid could be strengthened by weeding out “waste, fraud and abuse,” without providing details on where that exists in the program.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11930872\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1024px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11930872 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719.jpg\" alt=\"A white man in a blue suit.\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719.jpg 1024w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-160x107.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Rep. David Valadao (R-Calif.) speaks during a news conference with other House Republican members on immigration in Washington in 2021. \u003ccite>(Caroline Brehman/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Valadao declined an interview for this story. Longtime allies such as Eslick and Conway were skeptical that Republicans in Congress would actually carry out large cuts to Medicaid.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t see a scenario in which Republicans, or for that matter any politician, go after an entitlement program that is pretty popular and obviously a key issue for a large swath of people,” Eslick said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It seems impossible for Republicans to achieve their ambitious goals for cutting spending without touching Medicaid. The budget plan passed by the House called for $880 billion in cuts over the next 10 years from programs overseen by the Committee on Energy and Commerce. Just $581 billion of spending \u003ca href=\"https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2025-03/61235-Boyle-Pallone.pdf\">under the committee’s\u003c/a> jurisdiction is for programs other than Medicaid, according to the Congressional Budget Office.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Valadao is a political survivor, one of just two Republicans left in the House who voted to impeach Trump in 2021, but he’s not immune to the high-stakes politics of health care. In 2017, he voted to repeal the Affordable Care Act. A year later, he lost his campaign for re-election.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“David Valadao has a very clear choice: he can vote on behalf of his district or he can take another step towards a successful lobbying career which he will assume as soon as he is defeated,” said Evans, the Democratic strategist. “Voting for this draconian budget, there is no argument in how it would advance or help constituents in his district.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Another clue about Medicaid’s political potency lies in a little-noticed ballot measure passed in November by California voters. Proposition 35 extended a state tax on providers of health care plans and restricted the revenue to fund Medi-Cal.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The initiative passed overwhelmingly with 68% of the vote — outpacing other ballot measures with similar levels of bipartisan support — and it tallied 70% approval in those 13 seats that saw the largest shift toward Trump.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dustin Corcoran, CEO of the California Medical Association, which represents physicians in the state, said Medicaid is often a blind spot for policymakers and elected officials, who typically receive health coverage on the private market.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Corcoran saw a different reality as he traveled the state as co-chair of the Proposition 35 campaign. One stop took him to the campus of the UC Merced, in the heart of the 13th Congressional District, which has the third-highest Medi-Cal population and fourth-largest shift toward Trump.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He asked this icebreaker: Who knows what Medicaid is?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Every hand went up,” Corcoran said. “Every single hand in the room.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px\">Republicans won control of the U.S. House of Representatives on Wednesday after victories in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12012387/california-will-help-decide-control-of-congress-but-multiple-seats-too-close-to-call\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">closely contested California congressional districts\u003c/a> helped give the party the 218 seats needed for a majority and, with it, full control of government.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>GOP incumbent Rep. Ken Calvert won reelection in the Inland Empire a day after Republican Rep. David Valadao won another tight contest in his district around Bakersfield. The \u003cem>Associated Press\u003c/em> called the races as California election officials continue to count tens of thousands of ballots across the state’s competitive districts. Late Wednesday, a victory by Arizona Rep. Juan Ciscomani clinched the Republican House majority.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Democrats had viewed California — and those competitive districts — as a key piece of their plan to retake the House majority. Although the party has gained ground within the state delegation, Democratic hopes for wider gains were dashed, leaving Republicans to control both chambers of Congress as President-elect Donald Trump takes office in January.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp style=\"text-align: left\">In the 41st District, which includes the Riverside County cities of Corona, Menifee and Palm Springs, Calvert defeated Democrat Will Rollins in a \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12009362/riverside-rematch-will-help-decide-which-party-controls-the-house\">rematch of the 2022 election\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is a hard-fought victory that shows voters want someone who will put results over partisan politics,” Calvert said in a statement. “Together, we’ll continue working to secure our border, bring down prices for working families and ensure law enforcement has all the tools they need to keep our communities safe.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Republican gains across the Inland Empire may have boosted the 16-term incumbent. Trump visited the Coachella Valley in the closing weeks of the campaign and currently holds a narrow lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in Riverside County, which President Joe Biden won by 8 percentage points in 2020.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Central Valley, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12007594/democrats-are-hoping-to-flip-this-central-valley-house-seat-it-wont-be-easy\">Valadao defeated Rudy Salas\u003c/a> in a rematch from 2022 when Valadao narrowly bested the former Assemblymember. Valadao, a dairy farmer first elected to the House in 2012, appeared to expand his support from 2022.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The latest returns from the 22nd District show Valadao leading Salas 53% to 47%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao will return to Washington as one of the two remaining House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump after the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I will continue reaching across the aisle to find solutions to increase the Valley’s water supply, make energy more affordable, ensure our law enforcement are well-funded to keep communities safe, create good-paying jobs, and improve our healthcare system,” he said in a statement.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Further north in the 13th District, near Merced, Rep. John Duarte leads former Assemblymember Adam Gray 51% to 49%, in another rematch from last cycle.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California Democrats’ biggest coup of the cycle undoubtedly came in Southern California, where \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12010811/balance-of-power-democrats-are-hoping-an-aerospace-executive-can-beat-a-republican-navy-combat-pilot\">George Whitesides\u003c/a> knocked off incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Garcia on Tuesday in the 27th District, north of Los Angeles.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Garcia was first elected in 2020 in a suburban district that has trended left. Democrats were exasperated when Garcia won reelection in 2022 despite the removal of the conservative enclave of Simi Valley during the redistricting process.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=news_12014032 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/11/20161109_203307_qed-1020x765.jpg']\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Whitesides, the former CEO of Virgin Galactic, gave more than $1 million to his campaign and ran on a moderate platform supporting tax cuts and more funding for police.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s the honor of a lifetime to be elected to serve our district in Congress and deliver for Santa Clarita, the Antelope Valley, and the San Fernando Valley,” Whitesides said in a statement. “In Congress, you can count on me to fight to create more good local jobs, lower everyday costs, build safe communities, protect Social Security and Medicare.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Elsewhere in Southern California, incumbent Republican \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12008573/asian-american-voters-are-key-in-this-orange-county-congressional-race\">Michelle Steel\u003c/a> is narrowly leading Democrat Derek Tran in the 45th District — although recently counted ballots from Orange and Los Angeles counties have significantly narrowed Steel’s advantage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In another Orange County election, Democrat Dave Min defeated Republican Scott Baugh in the 47th District. The incumbent Democrat, Katie Porter, made an unsuccessful run for the U.S. Senate, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12009870/dave-min-scott-baugh-vie-for-competitive-orange-county-house-seat\">leaving an open seat covering Irvine and Huntington Beach\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As the child of immigrants who survived the Korean War, I owe everything I have to this country,” Min said in a statement. “In Congress, I will carry on the fight to protect our democracy, safeguard our freedoms, and expand the economic opportunity at the heart of the American Dream.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the final competitive O.C. seat, Democratic Rep. Mike Levin won reelection against Republican Matt Gunderson in the 49th District, which also covers part of San Diego County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"margin: 0px;padding: 0px\">Republicans won control of the U.S. House of Representatives on Wednesday after victories in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12012387/california-will-help-decide-control-of-congress-but-multiple-seats-too-close-to-call\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">closely contested California congressional districts\u003c/a> helped give the party the 218 seats needed for a majority and, with it, full control of government.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>GOP incumbent Rep. Ken Calvert won reelection in the Inland Empire a day after Republican Rep. David Valadao won another tight contest in his district around Bakersfield. The \u003cem>Associated Press\u003c/em> called the races as California election officials continue to count tens of thousands of ballots across the state’s competitive districts. Late Wednesday, a victory by Arizona Rep. Juan Ciscomani clinched the Republican House majority.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Democrats had viewed California — and those competitive districts — as a key piece of their plan to retake the House majority. Although the party has gained ground within the state delegation, Democratic hopes for wider gains were dashed, leaving Republicans to control both chambers of Congress as President-elect Donald Trump takes office in January.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp style=\"text-align: left\">In the 41st District, which includes the Riverside County cities of Corona, Menifee and Palm Springs, Calvert defeated Democrat Will Rollins in a \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12009362/riverside-rematch-will-help-decide-which-party-controls-the-house\">rematch of the 2022 election\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is a hard-fought victory that shows voters want someone who will put results over partisan politics,” Calvert said in a statement. “Together, we’ll continue working to secure our border, bring down prices for working families and ensure law enforcement has all the tools they need to keep our communities safe.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Republican gains across the Inland Empire may have boosted the 16-term incumbent. Trump visited the Coachella Valley in the closing weeks of the campaign and currently holds a narrow lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in Riverside County, which President Joe Biden won by 8 percentage points in 2020.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the Central Valley, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12007594/democrats-are-hoping-to-flip-this-central-valley-house-seat-it-wont-be-easy\">Valadao defeated Rudy Salas\u003c/a> in a rematch from 2022 when Valadao narrowly bested the former Assemblymember. Valadao, a dairy farmer first elected to the House in 2012, appeared to expand his support from 2022.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The latest returns from the 22nd District show Valadao leading Salas 53% to 47%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao will return to Washington as one of the two remaining House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump after the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I will continue reaching across the aisle to find solutions to increase the Valley’s water supply, make energy more affordable, ensure our law enforcement are well-funded to keep communities safe, create good-paying jobs, and improve our healthcare system,” he said in a statement.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Further north in the 13th District, near Merced, Rep. John Duarte leads former Assemblymember Adam Gray 51% to 49%, in another rematch from last cycle.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California Democrats’ biggest coup of the cycle undoubtedly came in Southern California, where \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12010811/balance-of-power-democrats-are-hoping-an-aerospace-executive-can-beat-a-republican-navy-combat-pilot\">George Whitesides\u003c/a> knocked off incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Garcia on Tuesday in the 27th District, north of Los Angeles.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Garcia was first elected in 2020 in a suburban district that has trended left. Democrats were exasperated when Garcia won reelection in 2022 despite the removal of the conservative enclave of Simi Valley during the redistricting process.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Whitesides, the former CEO of Virgin Galactic, gave more than $1 million to his campaign and ran on a moderate platform supporting tax cuts and more funding for police.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s the honor of a lifetime to be elected to serve our district in Congress and deliver for Santa Clarita, the Antelope Valley, and the San Fernando Valley,” Whitesides said in a statement. “In Congress, you can count on me to fight to create more good local jobs, lower everyday costs, build safe communities, protect Social Security and Medicare.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Elsewhere in Southern California, incumbent Republican \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12008573/asian-american-voters-are-key-in-this-orange-county-congressional-race\">Michelle Steel\u003c/a> is narrowly leading Democrat Derek Tran in the 45th District — although recently counted ballots from Orange and Los Angeles counties have significantly narrowed Steel’s advantage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In another Orange County election, Democrat Dave Min defeated Republican Scott Baugh in the 47th District. The incumbent Democrat, Katie Porter, made an unsuccessful run for the U.S. Senate, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12009870/dave-min-scott-baugh-vie-for-competitive-orange-county-house-seat\">leaving an open seat covering Irvine and Huntington Beach\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As the child of immigrants who survived the Korean War, I owe everything I have to this country,” Min said in a statement. “In Congress, I will carry on the fight to protect our democracy, safeguard our freedoms, and expand the economic opportunity at the heart of the American Dream.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the final competitive O.C. seat, Democratic Rep. Mike Levin won reelection against Republican Matt Gunderson in the 49th District, which also covers part of San Diego County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003cb>Here are the morning’s top stories on Wednesday, November 13, 2024…\u003c/b>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Supporters of criminal justice reform in California suffered some \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12012656/proposition-36-californias-newest-tough-on-crime-measure-appears-headed-for-victory\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">big losses\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\"> in last week’s election. But people on both sides of the debate over crime and punishment say the election shouldn’t be seen as a renunciation of progressive reforms entirely.\u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">In the Central Valley, Republican Congressman David Valadao \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/california-house-majority-republicans-democrats-swing-districts-e146c98a3809edaafd892caa3bcaf7bd\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">has won re-election\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">, moving the GOP closer to control of the House. \u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>For the first time in history, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/digital-democracy/2024/11/california-legislature-women-parity/\">women will make up at least half\u003c/a> of the California State Senate.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>Criminal Justice Advocates See Hope Despite Election Losses \u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Proposition 36, the ballot measure that increases criminal penalties for repeat thieves and drug users, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12012656/proposition-36-californias-newest-tough-on-crime-measure-appears-headed-for-victory\">easily passed\u003c/a>. As of Wednesday morning, the yes vote sits at 69%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The measure will roll back portions of Proposition 47. But Yolo County District Attorney Jeff Reisig, who helped author Prop 36, said he doesn’t see this as a full-on return to tough on crime laws in California. “Prop 36 was a modest amendment to Prop 47. It wasn’t a total repudiation of all of the reforms. Prop 47 went too far,” he said. “And this kind of brings it back to the middle.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lenore Anderson, who wrote Prop 47 and has been a leading national voice for criminal justice reform as president of the Alliance for Safety and Justice, notes that Prop 36 was not framed to voters as a return to the lock-em-up policies of the 1990’s. “The proponents of the campaign talked about mass treatment. They talked about a balanced approach to public safety,” Anderson said. While she opposed Prop 36, Anderson says she believes it was successful precisely because it borrowed cues from the reform movement in focusing on rehabilitation over incarceration.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2 class=\"ArtP-headline\">\u003ca href=\"https://www.kvpr.org/government-politics/2024-11-13/rep-david-valadao-wins-22nd-congressional-district-defending-seat-against-democrat-rudy-salas\">Rep. David Valadao Wins 22nd District\u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Republican Rep. David Valadao has won reelection in California’s 22nd Congressional District in the state’s Central Valley farm belt, defeating Democrat Rudy Salas for the second time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao is an anomaly — an elected Republican in a heavily Democratic district in a heavily Democratic state. Democrats hold a 14-point registration edge in the district, but Valadao has \u003ca class=\"Link\" href=\"https://apnews.com/article/california-donald-trump-voter-registration-david-valadao-dan-newhouse-216d0f43fe68a22222f175d2a8a94daa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-cms-ai=\"0\">kept a grip\u003c/a> on the seat nonetheless. Valadao held the seat from 2013 until 2019, lost it for a term, then won it back in a 2020 rematch with Democrat T.J. Cox.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2 class=\"entry-title \">\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/digital-democracy/2024/11/california-legislature-women-parity/\">The California Legislature Sets Record For Women In Office \u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>California’s state Senate will be at least 50% women for the first time in history and, depending on a few undecided races, the state Legislature overall could reach gender parity for the first time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What is a milestone like gender parity for, if not a moment like this?” said Susannah Delano, executive director of Close the Gap California, an advocacy group to elect progressive women, referring to potential policies from the incoming Trump administration. “State legislatures have and will continue to be the front line for many of those impacted to contest harmful policies and protect lives at risk.”\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cb>Here are the morning’s top stories on Wednesday, November 13, 2024…\u003c/b>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Supporters of criminal justice reform in California suffered some \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12012656/proposition-36-californias-newest-tough-on-crime-measure-appears-headed-for-victory\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">big losses\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\"> in last week’s election. But people on both sides of the debate over crime and punishment say the election shouldn’t be seen as a renunciation of progressive reforms entirely.\u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">In the Central Valley, Republican Congressman David Valadao \u003c/span>\u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/california-house-majority-republicans-democrats-swing-districts-e146c98a3809edaafd892caa3bcaf7bd\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">has won re-election\u003c/span>\u003c/a>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">, moving the GOP closer to control of the House. \u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>For the first time in history, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/digital-democracy/2024/11/california-legislature-women-parity/\">women will make up at least half\u003c/a> of the California State Senate.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>Criminal Justice Advocates See Hope Despite Election Losses \u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Proposition 36, the ballot measure that increases criminal penalties for repeat thieves and drug users, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12012656/proposition-36-californias-newest-tough-on-crime-measure-appears-headed-for-victory\">easily passed\u003c/a>. As of Wednesday morning, the yes vote sits at 69%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The measure will roll back portions of Proposition 47. But Yolo County District Attorney Jeff Reisig, who helped author Prop 36, said he doesn’t see this as a full-on return to tough on crime laws in California. “Prop 36 was a modest amendment to Prop 47. It wasn’t a total repudiation of all of the reforms. Prop 47 went too far,” he said. “And this kind of brings it back to the middle.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lenore Anderson, who wrote Prop 47 and has been a leading national voice for criminal justice reform as president of the Alliance for Safety and Justice, notes that Prop 36 was not framed to voters as a return to the lock-em-up policies of the 1990’s. “The proponents of the campaign talked about mass treatment. They talked about a balanced approach to public safety,” Anderson said. While she opposed Prop 36, Anderson says she believes it was successful precisely because it borrowed cues from the reform movement in focusing on rehabilitation over incarceration.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2 class=\"ArtP-headline\">\u003ca href=\"https://www.kvpr.org/government-politics/2024-11-13/rep-david-valadao-wins-22nd-congressional-district-defending-seat-against-democrat-rudy-salas\">Rep. David Valadao Wins 22nd District\u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Republican Rep. David Valadao has won reelection in California’s 22nd Congressional District in the state’s Central Valley farm belt, defeating Democrat Rudy Salas for the second time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao is an anomaly — an elected Republican in a heavily Democratic district in a heavily Democratic state. Democrats hold a 14-point registration edge in the district, but Valadao has \u003ca class=\"Link\" href=\"https://apnews.com/article/california-donald-trump-voter-registration-david-valadao-dan-newhouse-216d0f43fe68a22222f175d2a8a94daa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-cms-ai=\"0\">kept a grip\u003c/a> on the seat nonetheless. Valadao held the seat from 2013 until 2019, lost it for a term, then won it back in a 2020 rematch with Democrat T.J. Cox.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2 class=\"entry-title \">\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/digital-democracy/2024/11/california-legislature-women-parity/\">The California Legislature Sets Record For Women In Office \u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>California’s state Senate will be at least 50% women for the first time in history and, depending on a few undecided races, the state Legislature overall could reach gender parity for the first time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What is a milestone like gender parity for, if not a moment like this?” said Susannah Delano, executive director of Close the Gap California, an advocacy group to elect progressive women, referring to potential policies from the incoming Trump administration. “State legislatures have and will continue to be the front line for many of those impacted to contest harmful policies and protect lives at risk.”\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>The farm town of Delano, California, is located about two and a half hours northeast of Los Angeles. It’s the birthplace of the farmworkers’ labor movement — and sits in the center of Congressional District 22.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This congressional seat is currently held by Republican David Valadao. But the district, on paper, is exactly the sort of pickup opportunity Democrats salivate over. Democratic voters outnumber registered Republicans by 17 points. Latinos make up 59% of the district’s residents.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label=\"Related Stories\" postID=\"news_11929729,news_11843511\"]But gas prices are looming large in a district that covers a big swath of the Central Valley, including portions of Kern, Kings and Tulare counties — and part of the city of Bakersfield.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So if he has any hope of beating Valadao, a relatively moderate Republican, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11928579/swing-district-road-trip-with-will-rollins-and-rudy-salas\">Democratic Assemblymember Rudy Salas\u003c/a> knows he has to hustle.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On a recent Saturday morning in October, he was doing just that. It was already over 80 degrees, but Salas was taking turns chatting with parade-goers, then sprinting to catch up with his float in the annual Harvest Holidays Parade. His pitch to voters at this annual community event celebrating the harvest?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Over the years, who’s been out in this community, who’s actually been doing and delivering for this community?” Salas asked, noting the work he’s done in the state Legislature to bring resources to the Central Valley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re in the city of Delano today, and I replaced one of the water wells so that people have safe drinking water here. I put more money into their schools so their kids have educational opportunities that they never had,” he said. “I think all the parents and the people recognize that and they see that work.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Many of the parade watchers greeted Salas by name and said they’re supporting him. But turn on a TV, and the attack ads against Salas are unrelenting. Republicans are seeking to tie Salas to inflation and high gas prices — issues that are hitting residents hard in this largely rural region, where oil and agriculture are king.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One of those voters with money on his mind is 56-year-old Vince Ruiz, who was helping sell his mom’s art at a barbecue following the parade. Ruiz feels abandoned by the Democratic party on economic issues.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“My mom’s a Democrat, but I turned Republican because of their values,” he said. “Just regular economics, jobs and the economy. And then the deficit. The deficit is not even mentioned anymore.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11930849\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 800px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-scaled.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-11930849\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-800x600.jpg\" alt=\"a Latino man greets a family sitting on a curb\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-800x600.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-1020x765.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-160x120.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-2048x1536.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-1920x1440.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Democratic Assemblymember Rudy Salas greets a family during the Harvest Holidays Parade in Delano. \u003ccite>(Marisa Lagos/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Latino voters, including Ruiz, could make the difference this midterm between Democrats maintaining control of Congress or Republicans seizing the gavel. And while the GOP has made inroads with some Latino voters — especially in states like Texas — California Latinos have not swung as far to the right in recent years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s true for Pete Nevre, a 70-year-old Delano resident who was at the parade with his car club.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s affecting all of us. You know, you can’t go to the store too much. You can’t go out to visit other folks in another town because the gas prices are too high,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But, he added, “I don’t blame Rudy Salas for the way it is. The gas prices are going up because of the oil industry, that’s why.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Like Salas, Republican Valadao was born and raised in this district. Salas worked in the fields alongside his farmworker father; Valadao’s family owns a dairy farm. Valadao is relatively moderate, one of just 10 GOP House members who voted to impeach former President Trump after the Jan. 6 insurrection. But he’s also co-sponsor of legislation that would define life as beginning at conception, which would effectively ban abortion nationally if it became law.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And for some voters, like 84-year-old Pearl Rivera, inflation and gas prices aren’t the only issues driving their decision.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I voted for Mr. Valadao before because I felt he was conscious of the farmworkers. But lately, the last few years, I think he’s kind of turned around. And I’m not happy with it,” said Rivera, who worked in the fields as a child and young adult.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11930872\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 800px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-11930872\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-800x534.jpg\" alt=\"a white man in a blues uit\" width=\"800\" height=\"534\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Rep. David Valadao speaks during a news conference with other House Republican members on immigration in Washington in 2021. Both he and Democratic Assemblymember Rudy Salas, his opponent for the 22nd Congressional District seat, appear to be campaigning as moderates to appeal to swing voters. \u003ccite>(Caroline Brehman/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Valadao’s campaign did not respond to multiple requests for an interview. But Mike Madrid, longtime GOP consultant in California who focuses on the Latino vote, said both Salas and Valadao are doing something unique in this hyperpolarized political environment: They’re pitching themselves as moderates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The most interesting thing about that district is … probably more than any other [district] in the country, really, you’re seeing both candidates crash to the center,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s evident in Valadao’s impeachment vote and Salas’ record in the state Assembly — the Democrat has regularly broken with his party to vote with the oil industry, for example.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Madrid said those positions are in sharp contrast to districts where Democratic candidates are running against the oil industry and Republicans are embracing Trump and the Big Lie.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Madrid believes the majority of Latinos will go for Salas, but that may not be enough: This is a race that will be decided by a few points, so Democrats can’t afford to lose any of their base.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“[Republicans’] job is to find as many Hispanics on the margin to peel off, and hope that the Democrats can’t turn out more than they can peel off,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Delano Mayor Bryan Osorio agreed that this race will likely be decided by turnout. The 26-year-old is running for his second term and is supporting Salas.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think it’s going to be an interesting race to watch, but Delano is a majority Democratic town. Many of the small communities in Kern County are also majority Democrat,” he said. “The only barrier is that people don’t come out to vote on a consistent basis. And that’s what gives the Republicans the edge.”\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The farm town of Delano, California, is located about two and a half hours northeast of Los Angeles. It’s the birthplace of the farmworkers’ labor movement — and sits in the center of Congressional District 22.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This congressional seat is currently held by Republican David Valadao. But the district, on paper, is exactly the sort of pickup opportunity Democrats salivate over. Democratic voters outnumber registered Republicans by 17 points. Latinos make up 59% of the district’s residents.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>But gas prices are looming large in a district that covers a big swath of the Central Valley, including portions of Kern, Kings and Tulare counties — and part of the city of Bakersfield.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So if he has any hope of beating Valadao, a relatively moderate Republican, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11928579/swing-district-road-trip-with-will-rollins-and-rudy-salas\">Democratic Assemblymember Rudy Salas\u003c/a> knows he has to hustle.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On a recent Saturday morning in October, he was doing just that. It was already over 80 degrees, but Salas was taking turns chatting with parade-goers, then sprinting to catch up with his float in the annual Harvest Holidays Parade. His pitch to voters at this annual community event celebrating the harvest?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Over the years, who’s been out in this community, who’s actually been doing and delivering for this community?” Salas asked, noting the work he’s done in the state Legislature to bring resources to the Central Valley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re in the city of Delano today, and I replaced one of the water wells so that people have safe drinking water here. I put more money into their schools so their kids have educational opportunities that they never had,” he said. “I think all the parents and the people recognize that and they see that work.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Many of the parade watchers greeted Salas by name and said they’re supporting him. But turn on a TV, and the attack ads against Salas are unrelenting. Republicans are seeking to tie Salas to inflation and high gas prices — issues that are hitting residents hard in this largely rural region, where oil and agriculture are king.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One of those voters with money on his mind is 56-year-old Vince Ruiz, who was helping sell his mom’s art at a barbecue following the parade. Ruiz feels abandoned by the Democratic party on economic issues.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“My mom’s a Democrat, but I turned Republican because of their values,” he said. “Just regular economics, jobs and the economy. And then the deficit. The deficit is not even mentioned anymore.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11930849\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 800px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-scaled.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-11930849\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-800x600.jpg\" alt=\"a Latino man greets a family sitting on a curb\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-800x600.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-1020x765.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-160x120.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-2048x1536.jpg 2048w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/IMG_9380-1920x1440.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Democratic Assemblymember Rudy Salas greets a family during the Harvest Holidays Parade in Delano. \u003ccite>(Marisa Lagos/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Latino voters, including Ruiz, could make the difference this midterm between Democrats maintaining control of Congress or Republicans seizing the gavel. And while the GOP has made inroads with some Latino voters — especially in states like Texas — California Latinos have not swung as far to the right in recent years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s true for Pete Nevre, a 70-year-old Delano resident who was at the parade with his car club.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s affecting all of us. You know, you can’t go to the store too much. You can’t go out to visit other folks in another town because the gas prices are too high,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But, he added, “I don’t blame Rudy Salas for the way it is. The gas prices are going up because of the oil industry, that’s why.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Like Salas, Republican Valadao was born and raised in this district. Salas worked in the fields alongside his farmworker father; Valadao’s family owns a dairy farm. Valadao is relatively moderate, one of just 10 GOP House members who voted to impeach former President Trump after the Jan. 6 insurrection. But he’s also co-sponsor of legislation that would define life as beginning at conception, which would effectively ban abortion nationally if it became law.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And for some voters, like 84-year-old Pearl Rivera, inflation and gas prices aren’t the only issues driving their decision.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I voted for Mr. Valadao before because I felt he was conscious of the farmworkers. But lately, the last few years, I think he’s kind of turned around. And I’m not happy with it,” said Rivera, who worked in the fields as a child and young adult.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11930872\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 800px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-11930872\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-800x534.jpg\" alt=\"a white man in a blues uit\" width=\"800\" height=\"534\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2022/11/GettyImages-1231769719.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Rep. David Valadao speaks during a news conference with other House Republican members on immigration in Washington in 2021. Both he and Democratic Assemblymember Rudy Salas, his opponent for the 22nd Congressional District seat, appear to be campaigning as moderates to appeal to swing voters. \u003ccite>(Caroline Brehman/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Valadao’s campaign did not respond to multiple requests for an interview. But Mike Madrid, longtime GOP consultant in California who focuses on the Latino vote, said both Salas and Valadao are doing something unique in this hyperpolarized political environment: They’re pitching themselves as moderates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The most interesting thing about that district is … probably more than any other [district] in the country, really, you’re seeing both candidates crash to the center,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s evident in Valadao’s impeachment vote and Salas’ record in the state Assembly — the Democrat has regularly broken with his party to vote with the oil industry, for example.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Madrid said those positions are in sharp contrast to districts where Democratic candidates are running against the oil industry and Republicans are embracing Trump and the Big Lie.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Madrid believes the majority of Latinos will go for Salas, but that may not be enough: This is a race that will be decided by a few points, so Democrats can’t afford to lose any of their base.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“[Republicans’] job is to find as many Hispanics on the margin to peel off, and hope that the Democrats can’t turn out more than they can peel off,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Delano Mayor Bryan Osorio agreed that this race will likely be decided by turnout. The 26-year-old is running for his second term and is supporting Salas.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think it’s going to be an interesting race to watch, but Delano is a majority Democratic town. Many of the small communities in Kern County are also majority Democrat,” he said. “The only barrier is that people don’t come out to vote on a consistent basis. And that’s what gives the Republicans the edge.”\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "voters-in-california-swing-seats-reject-trump-but-back-house-republicans",
"title": "Voters in California Swing Seats Reject Trump, But Back House Republicans",
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"content": "\u003cp>Republican campaigns to win back seven California House seats the party lost in 2018 had to contend with a basic truth in this last election: Voters there had not warmed to President Trump during his first term.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If the race was going to come down to Trump, we had a very good idea how these seven seats were going to play out again in 2020,” said Sam Oh, a Republican consultant with the firm Targeted Victory.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Oh led the winning campaigns of Congresswomen-elect Young Kim and Michelle Steel, two of the four Republicans who ultimately flipped House seats that Democrats won in the 2018 midterms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11850925\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 1270px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11850925 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1270\" height=\"2020\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races.png 1270w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races-800x1272.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races-1020x1622.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races-160x254.png 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races-966x1536.png 966w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1270px) 100vw, 1270px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Election results in four California congressional districts that Republicans flipped in 2020. Source: California Target Book \u003ccite>(Matthew Green/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“We knew that going into the campaign, there was a very good chance that the Democratic [presidential] nominee would carry these districts again,” said Oh on \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11850650/sam-oh-on-how-the-gop-flipped-back-house-seats-in-california\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">KQED’s Political Breakdown\u003c/a>. “And one of the things that we wanted to do was create a path to victory that made sense, that we thought was realistic.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That path included factors the campaigns could control, like recruiting diverse candidates with local roots, focusing on issues close to home and making selective (though rare) breaks with the president. The campaigns also may have benefited from having Trump on the ballot to bear the brunt of voter disappointment in his performance, potentially shielding down-ballot candidates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In these four key California House districts, voters picked Joe Biden (often by wide margins) over Trump, but still sent Republicans to Congress, according to district data from the non-partisan California Target Book.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The results confirm that in these districts, as in California as a whole, Trump is pretty massively unpopular,” said Darry Sragow, publisher of the California Target Book and a former Democratic consultant. “But it doesn’t mean the Republicans have abandoned their faith.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Republican victories in 2020 came in the Central Valley’s 21st District, the 25th District in northern Los Angeles and Ventura counties and the 39th and 48th districts in Orange County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2016, Trump lost all four districts, which caught the attention of national Democrats and led to the 2018 “Blue Wave” — when Democrats flipped those seats and three others in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2018, the president remained personally unpopular in California, and his policies, including the attempted repeal of the Affordable Care Act, family separations at the border and tax reform that limited deductions for many California suburbanites, drew the ire of Golden State voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“But in 2018, Trump wasn’t on the ballot,” Sragow said. “And so you can conclude that voters who might otherwise vote for Republican candidates for congressional and legislative seats took their anger out on the party and did not vote for those Republican candidates who they otherwise would have supported.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]This year, Republicans in Orange County hoped that a more diverse slate of candidates — Kim and Steel are both Korean American immigrants — and a focus on small-dollar donations could help close the gap against Democratic incumbents Gil Cisneros and Harley Rouda.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Oh said the campaigns specifically targeted Vietnamese American voters in Orange County, who they believed might be open to voting for both Biden and a Republican congresswoman.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“One of the things that dynamic candidates, different candidates like Michelle Steel and Young Kim can do, is they can look to ethnic communities for ticket-splitters,” Oh said. “We campaigned very heavily in the 48th District to Vietnamese voters, and as we know … they are people who show up to vote, they lean Republican.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That outreach even included gently criticizing the president, as \u003ca href=\"https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/dec/20/why-vietnamese-refugees-also-need-the-first-step/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Steel did over a Trump proposal\u003c/a> that opened the door to the deportation of some Vietnamese refugees convicted of crimes. However, other successful GOP candidates like \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11839743/congressional-rematch-pits-central-valley-democrat-against-the-republican-he-beat-in-2018\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">David Valadao\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11843447/north-of-los-angeles-two-republicans-chart-different-paths-for-political-survival\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mike Garcia chose to align themselves\u003c/a> more closely with the president.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California’s increase in vote-by-mail participation (every registered voter received a mail ballot in 2020) could have also contributed to the ticket-splitting between the presidential and congressional contests, said Sragow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With more time to research and mull over down-ballot candidates from the comfort of their homes, voters may have felt more comfortable splitting their ticket instead of casting a party-line vote or skipping the congressional races altogether, he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The difference in the total number of votes cast for president and for Congress has decreased in each election cycle since the four districts were created: from an average gap of 12,295 in 2012, to 8,280 in 2016, to just 2,970 this year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label=\"related coverage\" tag=\"election-2020\"]Voters may also have consciously aimed for the president and Congress to serve as checks on one another, said Rob Stutzman, a Republican consultant.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re in an era here of over 20 years now of American voters seeking divided government, splitting the power between the branches of government,” Stutzman said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ticket-splitting was rare in U.S. Senate contests across the country this cycle, but more common in suburban districts like those in Orange County and northern Los Angeles County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And voters’ desire for moderation could inform how both parties approach the 2022 midterms, when Democrats will defend their narrow House majority in a new map determined by next year’s redistricting process.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“To Republicans, I think the cautionary tale is these are voters that are seeking a center, center-right direction for the country, but they certainly rejected Trump,” Stutzman said. Democrats, he added, “can’t just hang Trump around Republicans, especially going forward. Now that he’s out of office, you’re going to have to compete with ideas.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Republican campaigns to win back seven California House seats the party lost in 2018 had to contend with a basic truth in this last election: Voters there had not warmed to President Trump during his first term.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If the race was going to come down to Trump, we had a very good idea how these seven seats were going to play out again in 2020,” said Sam Oh, a Republican consultant with the firm Targeted Victory.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Oh led the winning campaigns of Congresswomen-elect Young Kim and Michelle Steel, two of the four Republicans who ultimately flipped House seats that Democrats won in the 2018 midterms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11850925\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 1270px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11850925 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1270\" height=\"2020\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races.png 1270w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races-800x1272.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races-1020x1622.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races-160x254.png 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/12/CD-Races-966x1536.png 966w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1270px) 100vw, 1270px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Election results in four California congressional districts that Republicans flipped in 2020. Source: California Target Book \u003ccite>(Matthew Green/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“We knew that going into the campaign, there was a very good chance that the Democratic [presidential] nominee would carry these districts again,” said Oh on \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11850650/sam-oh-on-how-the-gop-flipped-back-house-seats-in-california\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">KQED’s Political Breakdown\u003c/a>. “And one of the things that we wanted to do was create a path to victory that made sense, that we thought was realistic.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That path included factors the campaigns could control, like recruiting diverse candidates with local roots, focusing on issues close to home and making selective (though rare) breaks with the president. The campaigns also may have benefited from having Trump on the ballot to bear the brunt of voter disappointment in his performance, potentially shielding down-ballot candidates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In these four key California House districts, voters picked Joe Biden (often by wide margins) over Trump, but still sent Republicans to Congress, according to district data from the non-partisan California Target Book.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The results confirm that in these districts, as in California as a whole, Trump is pretty massively unpopular,” said Darry Sragow, publisher of the California Target Book and a former Democratic consultant. “But it doesn’t mean the Republicans have abandoned their faith.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Republican victories in 2020 came in the Central Valley’s 21st District, the 25th District in northern Los Angeles and Ventura counties and the 39th and 48th districts in Orange County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2016, Trump lost all four districts, which caught the attention of national Democrats and led to the 2018 “Blue Wave” — when Democrats flipped those seats and three others in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2018, the president remained personally unpopular in California, and his policies, including the attempted repeal of the Affordable Care Act, family separations at the border and tax reform that limited deductions for many California suburbanites, drew the ire of Golden State voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“But in 2018, Trump wasn’t on the ballot,” Sragow said. “And so you can conclude that voters who might otherwise vote for Republican candidates for congressional and legislative seats took their anger out on the party and did not vote for those Republican candidates who they otherwise would have supported.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>This year, Republicans in Orange County hoped that a more diverse slate of candidates — Kim and Steel are both Korean American immigrants — and a focus on small-dollar donations could help close the gap against Democratic incumbents Gil Cisneros and Harley Rouda.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Oh said the campaigns specifically targeted Vietnamese American voters in Orange County, who they believed might be open to voting for both Biden and a Republican congresswoman.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“One of the things that dynamic candidates, different candidates like Michelle Steel and Young Kim can do, is they can look to ethnic communities for ticket-splitters,” Oh said. “We campaigned very heavily in the 48th District to Vietnamese voters, and as we know … they are people who show up to vote, they lean Republican.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That outreach even included gently criticizing the president, as \u003ca href=\"https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/dec/20/why-vietnamese-refugees-also-need-the-first-step/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Steel did over a Trump proposal\u003c/a> that opened the door to the deportation of some Vietnamese refugees convicted of crimes. However, other successful GOP candidates like \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11839743/congressional-rematch-pits-central-valley-democrat-against-the-republican-he-beat-in-2018\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">David Valadao\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11843447/north-of-los-angeles-two-republicans-chart-different-paths-for-political-survival\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mike Garcia chose to align themselves\u003c/a> more closely with the president.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California’s increase in vote-by-mail participation (every registered voter received a mail ballot in 2020) could have also contributed to the ticket-splitting between the presidential and congressional contests, said Sragow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With more time to research and mull over down-ballot candidates from the comfort of their homes, voters may have felt more comfortable splitting their ticket instead of casting a party-line vote or skipping the congressional races altogether, he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The difference in the total number of votes cast for president and for Congress has decreased in each election cycle since the four districts were created: from an average gap of 12,295 in 2012, to 8,280 in 2016, to just 2,970 this year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Voters may also have consciously aimed for the president and Congress to serve as checks on one another, said Rob Stutzman, a Republican consultant.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re in an era here of over 20 years now of American voters seeking divided government, splitting the power between the branches of government,” Stutzman said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ticket-splitting was rare in U.S. Senate contests across the country this cycle, but more common in suburban districts like those in Orange County and northern Los Angeles County.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And voters’ desire for moderation could inform how both parties approach the 2022 midterms, when Democrats will defend their narrow House majority in a new map determined by next year’s redistricting process.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“To Republicans, I think the cautionary tale is these are voters that are seeking a center, center-right direction for the country, but they certainly rejected Trump,” Stutzman said. Democrats, he added, “can’t just hang Trump around Republicans, especially going forward. Now that he’s out of office, you’re going to have to compete with ideas.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Close results in a Central Valley congressional race are conjuring memories of 2018, when David Valadao lost his seat in California’s District 21 — covering Kings County and parts of Fresno, Tulare and Kern counties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2018, Republican Valadao \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11839743/congressional-rematch-pits-central-valley-democrat-against-the-republican-he-beat-in-2018\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">lost to Democratic challenger TJ Cox by just 862 votes\u003c/a>. The race was so close that some newspapers preemptively called the race for Valadao, before issuing corrections and calling it for Cox.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11839743/congressional-rematch-pits-central-valley-democrat-against-the-republican-he-beat-in-2018\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ran against Cox again this year\u003c/a> to regain the seat he previously held for six years. In returns on Wednesday evening, the ballot count was at 51.38% for Valadao, 48.62% for Cox — a difference of only 3,033 votes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao \u003ca href=\"https://www.fresnobee.com/news/politics-government/election/article246893952.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">told the Fresno Bee \u003c/a>Tuesday night that he was “encouraged by the early results,” but acknowledged that many ballots — tens of thousands, according to the Fresno Bee — remain to be counted. In 2018, it took nearly a month for final result in the race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Read the full story \u003ca href=\"https://www.fresnobee.com/news/politics-government/election/article246893952.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>— Gabe Meline (\u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/gmeline\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@gmeline\u003c/a>)\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"excerpt": "Republican David Valadao holds a small lead to regain the congressional seat he lost in 2018 to TJ Cox by less than 1,000 votes.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Close results in a Central Valley congressional race are conjuring memories of 2018, when David Valadao lost his seat in California’s District 21 — covering Kings County and parts of Fresno, Tulare and Kern counties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2018, Republican Valadao \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11839743/congressional-rematch-pits-central-valley-democrat-against-the-republican-he-beat-in-2018\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">lost to Democratic challenger TJ Cox by just 862 votes\u003c/a>. The race was so close that some newspapers preemptively called the race for Valadao, before issuing corrections and calling it for Cox.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11839743/congressional-rematch-pits-central-valley-democrat-against-the-republican-he-beat-in-2018\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ran against Cox again this year\u003c/a> to regain the seat he previously held for six years. In returns on Wednesday evening, the ballot count was at 51.38% for Valadao, 48.62% for Cox — a difference of only 3,033 votes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Valadao \u003ca href=\"https://www.fresnobee.com/news/politics-government/election/article246893952.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">told the Fresno Bee \u003c/a>Tuesday night that he was “encouraged by the early results,” but acknowledged that many ballots — tens of thousands, according to the Fresno Bee — remain to be counted. In 2018, it took nearly a month for final result in the race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Read the full story \u003ca href=\"https://www.fresnobee.com/news/politics-government/election/article246893952.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"title": "American Suburb: The Podcast",
"tagline": "The flip side of gentrification, told through one town",
"info": "Gentrification is changing cities across America, forcing people from neighborhoods they have long called home. Call them the displaced. Now those priced out of the Bay Area are looking for a better life in an unlikely place. American Suburb follows this migration to one California town along the Delta, 45 miles from San Francisco. But is this once sleepy suburb ready for them?",
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"order": 19
},
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"tagline": "Exploring the Bay Area, one question at a time",
"info": "KQED’s new podcast, Bay Curious, gets to the bottom of the mysteries — both profound and peculiar — that give the Bay Area its unique identity. And we’ll do it with your help! You ask the questions. You decide what Bay Curious investigates. And you join us on the journey to find the answers.",
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"info": "KQED’s statewide radio news program providing daily coverage of issues, trends and public policy decisions.",
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"officialWebsiteLink": "/californiareport",
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"order": 8
},
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},
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},
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"info": "A one-hour radio program to hear celebrated writers, artists and thinkers address contemporary ideas and values, often discussing the creative process. Please note: tapes or transcripts are not available",
"imageSrc": "https://ww2.kqed.org/radio/wp-content/uploads/sites/50/2018/05/cityartsandlecture-300x300.jpg",
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"meta": {
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"source": "City Arts & Lectures"
},
"link": "https://www.cityarts.net",
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"info": "Close All Tabs breaks down how digital culture shapes our world through thoughtful insights and irreverent humor.",
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"order": 1
},
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"info": "\u003cem>Code Switch\u003c/em>, which listeners will hear in the first part of the hour, has fearless and much-needed conversations about race. Hosted by journalists of color, the show tackles the subject of race head-on, exploring how it impacts every part of society — from politics and pop culture to history, sports and more.\u003cbr />\u003cbr />\u003cem>Life Kit\u003c/em>, which will be in the second part of the hour, guides you through spaces and feelings no one prepares you for — from finances to mental health, from workplace microaggressions to imposter syndrome, from relationships to parenting. The show features experts with real world experience and shares their knowledge. Because everyone needs a little help being human.\u003cbr />\u003cbr />\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/podcasts/510312/codeswitch\">\u003cem>Code Switch\u003c/em> offical site and podcast\u003c/a>\u003cbr />\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/lifekit\">\u003cem>Life Kit\u003c/em> offical site and podcast\u003c/a>\u003cbr />",
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},
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"id": "commonwealth-club",
"title": "Commonwealth Club of California Podcast",
"info": "The Commonwealth Club of California is the nation's oldest and largest public affairs forum. As a non-partisan forum, The Club brings to the public airwaves diverse viewpoints on important topics. The Club's weekly radio broadcast - the oldest in the U.S., dating back to 1924 - is carried across the nation on public radio stations and is now podcasting. Our website archive features audio of our recent programs, as well as selected speeches from our long and distinguished history. This podcast feed is usually updated twice a week and is always un-edited.",
"airtime": "THU 10pm, FRI 1am",
"imageSrc": "https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Commonwealth-Club-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg",
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"source": "Commonwealth Club of California"
},
"link": "/radio/program/commonwealth-club",
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"google": "https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cDovL3d3dy5jb21tb253ZWFsdGhjbHViLm9yZy9hdWRpby9wb2RjYXN0L3dlZWtseS54bWw",
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},
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"title": "Forum",
"tagline": "The conversation starts here",
"info": "KQED’s live call-in program discussing local, state, national and international issues, as well as in-depth interviews.",
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"imageSrc": "https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Forum-Podcast-Tile-703x703-1.jpg",
"imageAlt": "KQED Forum with Mina Kim and Alexis Madrigal",
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"source": "kqed",
"order": 9
},
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},
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"meta": {
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},
"link": "/radio/program/freakonomics-radio",
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},
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"id": "fresh-air",
"title": "Fresh Air",
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},
"hidden-brain": {
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"airtime": "SUN 7pm-8pm",
"meta": {
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"source": "NPR"
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"link": "/radio/program/hidden-brain",
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"how-i-built-this": {
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"airtime": "SUN 7:30pm-8pm",
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},
"link": "/radio/program/how-i-built-this",
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"hyphenacion": {
"id": "hyphenacion",
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"tagline": "Where conversation and cultura meet",
"info": "What kind of no sabo word is Hyphenación? For us, it’s about living within a hyphenation. Like being a third-gen Mexican-American from the Texas border now living that Bay Area Chicano life. Like Xorje! Each week we bring together a couple of hyphenated Latinos to talk all about personal life choices: family, careers, relationships, belonging … everything is on the table. ",
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"jerrybrown": {
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"title": "The Political Mind of Jerry Brown",
"tagline": "Lessons from a lifetime in politics",
"info": "The Political Mind of Jerry Brown brings listeners the wisdom of the former Governor, Mayor, and presidential candidate. Scott Shafer interviewed Brown for more than 40 hours, covering the former governor's life and half-century in the political game – and Brown has some lessons he'd like to share. ",
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"order": 18
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},
"latino-usa": {
"id": "latino-usa",
"title": "Latino USA",
"airtime": "MON 1am-2am, SUN 6pm-7pm",
"info": "Latino USA, the radio journal of news and culture, is the only national, English-language radio program produced from a Latino perspective.",
"imageSrc": "https://ww2.kqed.org/radio/wp-content/uploads/sites/50/2018/04/latinoUsa.jpg",
"officialWebsiteLink": "http://latinousa.org/",
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},
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},
"marketplace": {
"id": "marketplace",
"title": "Marketplace",
"info": "Our flagship program, helmed by Kai Ryssdal, examines what the day in money delivered, through stories, conversations, newsworthy numbers and more. Updated Monday through Friday at about 3:30 p.m. PT.",
"airtime": "MON-FRI 4pm-4:30pm, MON-WED 6:30pm-7pm",
"imageSrc": "https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Marketplace-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg",
"officialWebsiteLink": "https://www.marketplace.org/",
"meta": {
"site": "news",
"source": "American Public Media"
},
"link": "/radio/program/marketplace",
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"rss": "https://feeds.publicradio.org/public_feeds/marketplace-pm/rss/rss"
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},
"masters-of-scale": {
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"title": "Masters of Scale",
"info": "Masters of Scale is an original podcast in which LinkedIn co-founder and Greylock Partner Reid Hoffman sets out to describe and prove theories that explain how great entrepreneurs take their companies from zero to a gazillion in ingenious fashion.",
"airtime": "Every other Wednesday June 12 through October 16 at 8pm (repeats Thursdays at 2am)",
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"officialWebsiteLink": "https://mastersofscale.com/",
"meta": {
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},
"link": "/radio/program/masters-of-scale",
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"rss": "https://rss.art19.com/masters-of-scale"
}
},
"mindshift": {
"id": "mindshift",
"title": "MindShift",
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"info": "The MindShift podcast explores the innovations in education that are shaping how kids learn. Hosts Ki Sung and Katrina Schwartz introduce listeners to educators, researchers, parents and students who are developing effective ways to improve how kids learn. We cover topics like how fed-up administrators are developing surprising tactics to deal with classroom disruptions; how listening to podcasts are helping kids develop reading skills; the consequences of overparenting; and why interdisciplinary learning can engage students on all ends of the traditional achievement spectrum. This podcast is part of the MindShift education site, a division of KQED News. KQED is an NPR/PBS member station based in San Francisco. You can also visit the MindShift website for episodes and supplemental blog posts or tweet us \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/MindShiftKQED\">@MindShiftKQED\u003c/a> or visit us at \u003ca href=\"/mindshift\">MindShift.KQED.org\u003c/a>",
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"info": "Political Breakdown is a new series that explores the political intersection of California and the nation. Each week hosts Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos are joined with a new special guest to unpack politics -- with personality — and offer an insider’s glimpse at how politics happens.",
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"info": "Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. Together in Possible, Hoffman and Finger lead enlightening discussions about building a brighter collective future. The show features interviews with visionary guests like Trevor Noah, Sam Altman and Janette Sadik-Khan. Possible paints an optimistic portrait of the world we can create through science, policy, business, art and our shared humanity. It asks: What if everything goes right for once? How can we get there? Each episode also includes a short fiction story generated by advanced AI GPT-4, serving as a thought-provoking springboard to speculate how humanity could leverage technology for good.",
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"info": "Created by The Center for Investigative Reporting and PRX, Reveal is public radios first one-hour weekly radio show and podcast dedicated to investigative reporting. Credible, fact based and without a partisan agenda, Reveal combines the power and artistry of driveway moment storytelling with data-rich reporting on critically important issues. The result is stories that inform and inspire, arming our listeners with information to right injustices, hold the powerful accountable and improve lives.Reveal is hosted by Al Letson and showcases the award-winning work of CIR and newsrooms large and small across the nation. In a radio and podcast market crowded with choices, Reveal focuses on important and often surprising stories that illuminate the world for our listeners.",
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"soldout": {
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