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"content": "\u003cp>Democrat \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/xavier-becerra\">Xavier Becerra\u003c/a> will advance to the November ballot for California’s next governor after surging ahead of Republican Steve Hilton in the millions of votes counted after Election Day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Who will claim the second spot in the November runoff remains in limbo: Hilton was \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085541/california-governor-race-becerra-hilton-lead-early-with-millions-of-votes-to-be-counted\">leading the pack at the end of election night\u003c/a> and for several days afterward, but as more ballots were counted, billionaire Democratic activist Tom Steyer began closing the gap.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The people of the great state of California, in the greatest nation on earth, have spoken — loudly and proudly,” Becerra said in a written statement. “We will not be bought. We will not be bullied. And we are never backing down. November, here we come.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An estimated 3 million ballots remain to be counted, and the later ballots were expected to skew more Democratic, according to voter data analysts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Under California’s open primary system, the top two vote-getters move on to the runoff, regardless of party affiliation. The state also counts mail-in ballots that arrive up to seven days after Election Day, as long as they are postmarked by Election Day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Becerra’s No. 1 finish, called Friday afternoon by the \u003cem>Associated Press\u003c/em>, marks a remarkable political comeback for the former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary, who spent much of the primary campaign languishing in the single digits in polls. He was among the lower-tier group of candidates facing pressure from party leaders to drop out of the race earlier this year amid fears that the crowded field of Democrats could split the vote and allow two Republicans to advance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12086026\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12086026\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/GETTYIMAGES-2278829413-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1332\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/GETTYIMAGES-2278829413-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/GETTYIMAGES-2278829413-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/GETTYIMAGES-2278829413-KQED-1536x1023.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Supporters of Democrat California Gubernatorial candidate Xavier Becerra are seen silhouetted on early election results during an election night event in downtown Los Angeles, on June 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Frederic J. Brown/AFP via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In mid-February, with Becerra \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/publication/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-their-government-february-2026/\">mired\u003c/a> at around 5% in public polling, his campaign manager Emma Harris published a memo outlining the former attorney general’s path to victory. It harked back to the 1998 primary election, when Lt. Gov. Gray Davis leaned into his resume to pull his campaign out of last place in the polls and claim the nomination.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And it previewed a comeback theory that rested on a novel statistic: Becerra’s ratio of voters who saw him favorably versus those who were not familiar with him.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Becerra’s high net favorability rating (+40 points, 9:1 favorable) as a ratio of the unfamiliarity with him (49% unfamiliar) is the strongest in the upper tier of candidates,” Harris wrote. “The data points towards substantial growth.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It turned out to be prescient.[aside postID=news_12086288 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/GettyImages-2277856381.jpg']After Rep. Eric Swalwell \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12079583/eric-swalwell-ends-california-governor-campaign-after-sexual-assault-allegations\">dropped out of the race\u003c/a> amid shocking sexual misconduct allegations, Becerra leapfrogged ahead of his competitors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Amanda Renteria, who worked for Becerra when he was California attorney general, said despite Becerra’s slow start in the race, he and his campaign always recognized a narrow path to victory. She said he remained steadfast as the pressure mounted on low-polling candidates to drop out.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It was kind of like that story of, hey, we’re not at [the] playoffs yet. Our team is looking pretty good. And when the tournament starts, we’re going to be ready for it,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She said that while people tend to underestimate Becerra, his mellow demeanor makes him approachable to voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He isn’t going to evoke a deep hate,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That shield of likability may have helped Becerra weather an onslaught of attacks once he assumed the mantle of Democratic frontrunner.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>His rivals tore into his record as Health secretary and needled him over the scandal that engulfed his former top adviser, Sean McCluskie, who pleaded guilty to stealing campaign funds from Becerra’s account. Those attacks were amplified by Steyer, who emerged as the other main Democratic contender as he spent over $200 million on his campaign.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Becerra’s support never waned, and he appeared to grow steadier in later candidate debates. In the closing weeks of the campaign, the cavalry arrived: more than $15 million in pro-Becerra spending from groups including the California Association of Realtors and companies such as Meta, joining a steady drumbeat of anti-Steyer spending \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083747/pge-spends-millions-against-tom-steyer-whats-behind-clash\">funded in large measure by PG&E\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12082334\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12082334 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/20260423_-XAVIERBECERRA_EG_004-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/20260423_-XAVIERBECERRA_EG_004-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/20260423_-XAVIERBECERRA_EG_004-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/20260423_-XAVIERBECERRA_EG_004-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Mark Murphy, center left, and friend Kimberley J. Rodler, hold handmade signs in support of Xavier Becerra’s gubernatorial bid during a campaign event at Mount Diablo High School in Concord on April 23, 2026. \u003ccite>(Estefany Gonzalez for KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>As Election Day neared, the historic nature of Becerra’s candidacy came into focus: If elected, he would be California’s first Latino governor in modern history. At a campaign stop in San José last weekend, he was greeted by home care workers who chanted “Vivo Latino!” and “Becerra para presidente!” as he entered the room.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Through it all, Becerra returned to his resume. The path from the attorney general’s office to the governorship has been well trod: by Earl Warren, Pat Brown, George Deukmejian and Jerry Brown.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m a pretty open book; I’ve been around quite a while, whether you knew me when I was in Congress or when I was attorney general fighting Donald Trump,” he told KQED after the San José campaign stop. “You sort of know who I am.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, the question for Becerra is who he will face this fall. A Hilton win would set him on a glidepath to victory: Winning statewide would be an uphill battle for any Republican, in a state where there are nearly twice as many Democrats as Republicans, and no GOP candidate has won statewide in 20 years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Steyer would present a rockier road for Becerra. If the billionaire former hedge fund manager makes the runoff, it will set up an expensive intraparty fight.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Democrat Xavier Becerra surged to the top in the millions of votes counted after Election Day, making a remarkable political comeback after trailing in much of the primary campaign.",
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"title": "Becerra Advances in California Governor Race as Hilton, Steyer Battle for Second Spot | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Democrat \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/xavier-becerra\">Xavier Becerra\u003c/a> will advance to the November ballot for California’s next governor after surging ahead of Republican Steve Hilton in the millions of votes counted after Election Day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Who will claim the second spot in the November runoff remains in limbo: Hilton was \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085541/california-governor-race-becerra-hilton-lead-early-with-millions-of-votes-to-be-counted\">leading the pack at the end of election night\u003c/a> and for several days afterward, but as more ballots were counted, billionaire Democratic activist Tom Steyer began closing the gap.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The people of the great state of California, in the greatest nation on earth, have spoken — loudly and proudly,” Becerra said in a written statement. “We will not be bought. We will not be bullied. And we are never backing down. November, here we come.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>An estimated 3 million ballots remain to be counted, and the later ballots were expected to skew more Democratic, according to voter data analysts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Under California’s open primary system, the top two vote-getters move on to the runoff, regardless of party affiliation. The state also counts mail-in ballots that arrive up to seven days after Election Day, as long as they are postmarked by Election Day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Becerra’s No. 1 finish, called Friday afternoon by the \u003cem>Associated Press\u003c/em>, marks a remarkable political comeback for the former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary, who spent much of the primary campaign languishing in the single digits in polls. He was among the lower-tier group of candidates facing pressure from party leaders to drop out of the race earlier this year amid fears that the crowded field of Democrats could split the vote and allow two Republicans to advance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12086026\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12086026\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/GETTYIMAGES-2278829413-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1332\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/GETTYIMAGES-2278829413-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/GETTYIMAGES-2278829413-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/GETTYIMAGES-2278829413-KQED-1536x1023.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Supporters of Democrat California Gubernatorial candidate Xavier Becerra are seen silhouetted on early election results during an election night event in downtown Los Angeles, on June 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Frederic J. Brown/AFP via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In mid-February, with Becerra \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/publication/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-their-government-february-2026/\">mired\u003c/a> at around 5% in public polling, his campaign manager Emma Harris published a memo outlining the former attorney general’s path to victory. It harked back to the 1998 primary election, when Lt. Gov. Gray Davis leaned into his resume to pull his campaign out of last place in the polls and claim the nomination.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And it previewed a comeback theory that rested on a novel statistic: Becerra’s ratio of voters who saw him favorably versus those who were not familiar with him.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Becerra’s high net favorability rating (+40 points, 9:1 favorable) as a ratio of the unfamiliarity with him (49% unfamiliar) is the strongest in the upper tier of candidates,” Harris wrote. “The data points towards substantial growth.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It turned out to be prescient.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>After Rep. Eric Swalwell \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12079583/eric-swalwell-ends-california-governor-campaign-after-sexual-assault-allegations\">dropped out of the race\u003c/a> amid shocking sexual misconduct allegations, Becerra leapfrogged ahead of his competitors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Amanda Renteria, who worked for Becerra when he was California attorney general, said despite Becerra’s slow start in the race, he and his campaign always recognized a narrow path to victory. She said he remained steadfast as the pressure mounted on low-polling candidates to drop out.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It was kind of like that story of, hey, we’re not at [the] playoffs yet. Our team is looking pretty good. And when the tournament starts, we’re going to be ready for it,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She said that while people tend to underestimate Becerra, his mellow demeanor makes him approachable to voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He isn’t going to evoke a deep hate,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That shield of likability may have helped Becerra weather an onslaught of attacks once he assumed the mantle of Democratic frontrunner.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>His rivals tore into his record as Health secretary and needled him over the scandal that engulfed his former top adviser, Sean McCluskie, who pleaded guilty to stealing campaign funds from Becerra’s account. Those attacks were amplified by Steyer, who emerged as the other main Democratic contender as he spent over $200 million on his campaign.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Becerra’s support never waned, and he appeared to grow steadier in later candidate debates. In the closing weeks of the campaign, the cavalry arrived: more than $15 million in pro-Becerra spending from groups including the California Association of Realtors and companies such as Meta, joining a steady drumbeat of anti-Steyer spending \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083747/pge-spends-millions-against-tom-steyer-whats-behind-clash\">funded in large measure by PG&E\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12082334\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12082334 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/20260423_-XAVIERBECERRA_EG_004-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/20260423_-XAVIERBECERRA_EG_004-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/20260423_-XAVIERBECERRA_EG_004-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/20260423_-XAVIERBECERRA_EG_004-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Mark Murphy, center left, and friend Kimberley J. Rodler, hold handmade signs in support of Xavier Becerra’s gubernatorial bid during a campaign event at Mount Diablo High School in Concord on April 23, 2026. \u003ccite>(Estefany Gonzalez for KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>As Election Day neared, the historic nature of Becerra’s candidacy came into focus: If elected, he would be California’s first Latino governor in modern history. At a campaign stop in San José last weekend, he was greeted by home care workers who chanted “Vivo Latino!” and “Becerra para presidente!” as he entered the room.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Through it all, Becerra returned to his resume. The path from the attorney general’s office to the governorship has been well trod: by Earl Warren, Pat Brown, George Deukmejian and Jerry Brown.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m a pretty open book; I’ve been around quite a while, whether you knew me when I was in Congress or when I was attorney general fighting Donald Trump,” he told KQED after the San José campaign stop. “You sort of know who I am.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, the question for Becerra is who he will face this fall. A Hilton win would set him on a glidepath to victory: Winning statewide would be an uphill battle for any Republican, in a state where there are nearly twice as many Democrats as Republicans, and no GOP candidate has won statewide in 20 years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Steyer would present a rockier road for Becerra. If the billionaire former hedge fund manager makes the runoff, it will set up an expensive intraparty fight.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "ballots-are-all-in-but-california-election-results-could-take-weeks-to-settle-why",
"title": "Ballots Are All In, but California Election Results Could Take Weeks to Settle. Why?",
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"headTitle": "Ballots Are All In, but California Election Results Could Take Weeks to Settle. Why? | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>After months of campaigning, millions of dollars’ worth of advertisements and a 61-candidate ballot for \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085541/california-governor-race-becerra-hilton-lead-early-with-millions-of-votes-to-be-counted\">governor\u003c/a> that included names such as LivingForGod AndCountry DeMott and Barack D. Obama Shaw, California voters have arrived at the next phase of the election:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The wait.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After counting late into election night, just 54% of the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/elections/results/california/governor\">vote for governor\u003c/a> has been tallied as of Wednesday afternoon, according to an estimate from the\u003cem> Associated Press\u003c/em>. Many of the state’s largest counties won’t issue another update until Thursday — or even Friday — meaning longer waits for hundreds of thousands of votes that could have an impact on the race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Once again, the crawling pace could draw false accusations, largely from national Republicans, that something nefarious is happening with the count in California. Gov. Gavin Newsom acknowledged that concern when he recently urged election officials to speed up their work.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But those registrars and experts argue that without more resources, California will continue to endure \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12081363/california-election-officials-face-false-choice-count-votes-quickly-or-count-them-right\">days or weeks of uncertainty\u003c/a> in the closest contests on the ballot as long as it relies so heavily on voting by mail.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The two biggest variables of how long it takes a state actually to count ballots aren’t so much the policies. It is, one, the margin of victory, and two, the number of mail ballots that are cast at the last minute,” said David Becker, executive director and founder of the nonpartisan, nonprofit Center for Election Innovation & Research, which works to ensure elections are trustworthy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said there’s an important distinction between how long it takes for election watchers like the \u003cem>AP\u003c/em> to call winners in a race and how long it takes for local officials to count all the ballots. Many races are called days or weeks before the votes are finished being tabulated.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12085889\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12085889\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602_PRIMARY2026CD4_GC-20-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602_PRIMARY2026CD4_GC-20-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602_PRIMARY2026CD4_GC-20-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602_PRIMARY2026CD4_GC-20-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Voters cast their ballots at UC Davis in Davis on June 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Gina Castro for KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“The quicker the call is, the wider the margins are,” he said. “Californians know that on election night in a presidential election at 8:01 Pacific time, the media is going to call California already, right? That’s not because they’re counting ballots that fast. It’s because the margins were big. In different statewide races, particularly in primaries and in district races, margins can often be very, very narrow.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s true this year in the top-two primaries for several \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085513/california-primary-2026-key-congressional-races-to-watch-today\">congressional races\u003c/a> around the state, as well as the much-watched contests for \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12086040/race-too-close-to-call-for-california-governor\">governor\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12086090/los-angeles-mayor-karen-bass-advances-to-november-runoff-as-she-seeks-second-term\">Los Angeles mayor\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Who votes when also matters in those races, Political Data Inc. Vice President Paul Mitchell, whose firm crunches voter data, said. This election cycle, Republicans seemed more eager to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084978/california-democrats-anxious-about-wasted-votes-are-clinging-to-their-ballots\">turn in their ballots early\u003c/a>, he said, while Democrats waited — meaning the early returns may overrepresent more conservative voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition to providing more funding for county election offices, Becker said one thing California could do to speed up its count is “encourage those who are willing and able to go vote in person, to vote in person, particularly early.”[aside label=\"Live 2026 Election Results\" link1='https://www.kqed.org/elections/results/california/governor,Learn about the results of the California Governor Election' hero=https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/80/2026/04/Aside-California-Governor-2026-Primary-Election-1200x1200@2x.png]California began \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11890023/california-adopts-vote-by-mail-system-for-all-future-elections\">sending every registered voter a mail ballot\u003c/a> by default during the pandemic, in an effort to make voting as easy as possible. In California’s 2024 general election, more than 80% of voters cast a vote-by-mail ballot.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The trade-off: processing time. With traditional in-person voting, voters’ signatures are reviewed \u003cem>before \u003c/em>they cast a ballot.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With vote-by-mail, the verification and processing happens after election officials receive a ballot. Every signature on every envelope is reviewed to match the voter’s signature on file, a check meant to prevent voter fraud.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Everybody wants efficient and fast counting, but let’s be clear, efficient and accurate is way more important than fast,” said Darius Kemp, executive director of California Common Cause, a nonpartisan political watchdog organization.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When voters wait until close to Election Day to return their ballots, as many Democrats did in this race, those ballots can pile up in election offices — only to be processed and added to the count days later, especially in large counties with millions of votes to tally.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mike Johnson, the Republican speaker of the House, claimed earlier this year that Republican leads in California have “magically whittled away” during the vote-counting process. But that’s false, Kemp said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s no mystery there; it’s simple to understand, and it’s simple to digest,” Kemp said. “It just takes someone who cares about honesty and truth to actually do the proper research and understand what’s going on, instead of — excuse me for this colloquialism, I’m originally from Alabama — just talking out the side of their necks.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12084670\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12084670\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/GavinNewsomAP.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/GavinNewsomAP.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/GavinNewsomAP-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/GavinNewsomAP-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks about his state budget proposal on Thursday, May 14, 2026, in Sacramento, California. \u003ccite>(Jeff Chiu/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Still, even some Democrats acknowledge the slow count has frustrated members of the public and opened the door to disinformation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In a letter last month calling on county election officials to speed up their counts, Newsom pointed to legislation he signed last year that requires counties to report results by the 13th day after the election.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We must acknowledge that the longer the voting count takes, the more mis- and disinformation spreads,” Newsom wrote. “That means we must do all that we can to tabulate votes quickly and accurately. Time is of the essence in preventing election lies from taking hold.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Yet the new policies have not been paired with new money for counting the ballots.[aside postID=news_12085541 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/GETTYIMAGES-2279541285-KQED.jpg']“If I had more space, if I had more staff and had more equipment to scan, I could pick up some of the speed,” said Jesse Salinas, registrar of voters in Yolo County and president of the California Association of Clerks and Election Officials.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Salinas said only about 30% of ballots received by his office can be signature-verified by a machine; the rest require an election worker to visually validate the signatures. After verification, election workers open the envelopes and prepare the ballots to be scanned and read by the machine.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While that process slowly plays out, Salinas acknowledged that he prefers to release the returns in large batches. As a result, Yolo County — like \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/elections/results/alameda\">Alameda\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/elections/results/contracosta\">Contra Costa\u003c/a> counties in the Bay Area — will not have its next update until Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If I do 1,000 a day or 2,000 a day, that’s not going to move as much of a needle as if I used a little longer window of two and a half days … almost three,” Salinas said. “Then I can have a 3,000 or 4,000, or maybe even a 5,000 [vote] needle swing.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Becker, the elections expert, said he’s not sure why county officials would wait that long, noting that some states, such as Florida, have laws dictating regular updates — whether or not there’s anything new to report.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, Becker said election officials are doing their best under difficult circumstances — and cautioned that no changes to the process will satisfy election conspiracy theorists, who he said, “very conveniently try to latch onto anything to delegitimize results that aren’t in their favor.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The reality is that we’ve seen those same conspiracy theorists who say it takes too long to count ballots in California say ballot counting was too fast when they didn’t like the results if those results were early on against them,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>After months of campaigning, millions of dollars’ worth of advertisements and a 61-candidate ballot for \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085541/california-governor-race-becerra-hilton-lead-early-with-millions-of-votes-to-be-counted\">governor\u003c/a> that included names such as LivingForGod AndCountry DeMott and Barack D. Obama Shaw, California voters have arrived at the next phase of the election:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The wait.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After counting late into election night, just 54% of the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/elections/results/california/governor\">vote for governor\u003c/a> has been tallied as of Wednesday afternoon, according to an estimate from the\u003cem> Associated Press\u003c/em>. Many of the state’s largest counties won’t issue another update until Thursday — or even Friday — meaning longer waits for hundreds of thousands of votes that could have an impact on the race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Once again, the crawling pace could draw false accusations, largely from national Republicans, that something nefarious is happening with the count in California. Gov. Gavin Newsom acknowledged that concern when he recently urged election officials to speed up their work.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But those registrars and experts argue that without more resources, California will continue to endure \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12081363/california-election-officials-face-false-choice-count-votes-quickly-or-count-them-right\">days or weeks of uncertainty\u003c/a> in the closest contests on the ballot as long as it relies so heavily on voting by mail.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The two biggest variables of how long it takes a state actually to count ballots aren’t so much the policies. It is, one, the margin of victory, and two, the number of mail ballots that are cast at the last minute,” said David Becker, executive director and founder of the nonpartisan, nonprofit Center for Election Innovation & Research, which works to ensure elections are trustworthy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said there’s an important distinction between how long it takes for election watchers like the \u003cem>AP\u003c/em> to call winners in a race and how long it takes for local officials to count all the ballots. Many races are called days or weeks before the votes are finished being tabulated.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12085889\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12085889\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602_PRIMARY2026CD4_GC-20-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602_PRIMARY2026CD4_GC-20-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602_PRIMARY2026CD4_GC-20-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602_PRIMARY2026CD4_GC-20-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Voters cast their ballots at UC Davis in Davis on June 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Gina Castro for KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“The quicker the call is, the wider the margins are,” he said. “Californians know that on election night in a presidential election at 8:01 Pacific time, the media is going to call California already, right? That’s not because they’re counting ballots that fast. It’s because the margins were big. In different statewide races, particularly in primaries and in district races, margins can often be very, very narrow.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s true this year in the top-two primaries for several \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085513/california-primary-2026-key-congressional-races-to-watch-today\">congressional races\u003c/a> around the state, as well as the much-watched contests for \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12086040/race-too-close-to-call-for-california-governor\">governor\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12086090/los-angeles-mayor-karen-bass-advances-to-november-runoff-as-she-seeks-second-term\">Los Angeles mayor\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Who votes when also matters in those races, Political Data Inc. Vice President Paul Mitchell, whose firm crunches voter data, said. This election cycle, Republicans seemed more eager to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084978/california-democrats-anxious-about-wasted-votes-are-clinging-to-their-ballots\">turn in their ballots early\u003c/a>, he said, while Democrats waited — meaning the early returns may overrepresent more conservative voters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition to providing more funding for county election offices, Becker said one thing California could do to speed up its count is “encourage those who are willing and able to go vote in person, to vote in person, particularly early.”\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>California began \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11890023/california-adopts-vote-by-mail-system-for-all-future-elections\">sending every registered voter a mail ballot\u003c/a> by default during the pandemic, in an effort to make voting as easy as possible. In California’s 2024 general election, more than 80% of voters cast a vote-by-mail ballot.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The trade-off: processing time. With traditional in-person voting, voters’ signatures are reviewed \u003cem>before \u003c/em>they cast a ballot.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With vote-by-mail, the verification and processing happens after election officials receive a ballot. Every signature on every envelope is reviewed to match the voter’s signature on file, a check meant to prevent voter fraud.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Everybody wants efficient and fast counting, but let’s be clear, efficient and accurate is way more important than fast,” said Darius Kemp, executive director of California Common Cause, a nonpartisan political watchdog organization.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When voters wait until close to Election Day to return their ballots, as many Democrats did in this race, those ballots can pile up in election offices — only to be processed and added to the count days later, especially in large counties with millions of votes to tally.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mike Johnson, the Republican speaker of the House, claimed earlier this year that Republican leads in California have “magically whittled away” during the vote-counting process. But that’s false, Kemp said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s no mystery there; it’s simple to understand, and it’s simple to digest,” Kemp said. “It just takes someone who cares about honesty and truth to actually do the proper research and understand what’s going on, instead of — excuse me for this colloquialism, I’m originally from Alabama — just talking out the side of their necks.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12084670\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12084670\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/GavinNewsomAP.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/GavinNewsomAP.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/GavinNewsomAP-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/GavinNewsomAP-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks about his state budget proposal on Thursday, May 14, 2026, in Sacramento, California. \u003ccite>(Jeff Chiu/AP Photo)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Still, even some Democrats acknowledge the slow count has frustrated members of the public and opened the door to disinformation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In a letter last month calling on county election officials to speed up their counts, Newsom pointed to legislation he signed last year that requires counties to report results by the 13th day after the election.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We must acknowledge that the longer the voting count takes, the more mis- and disinformation spreads,” Newsom wrote. “That means we must do all that we can to tabulate votes quickly and accurately. Time is of the essence in preventing election lies from taking hold.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Yet the new policies have not been paired with new money for counting the ballots.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“If I had more space, if I had more staff and had more equipment to scan, I could pick up some of the speed,” said Jesse Salinas, registrar of voters in Yolo County and president of the California Association of Clerks and Election Officials.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Salinas said only about 30% of ballots received by his office can be signature-verified by a machine; the rest require an election worker to visually validate the signatures. After verification, election workers open the envelopes and prepare the ballots to be scanned and read by the machine.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While that process slowly plays out, Salinas acknowledged that he prefers to release the returns in large batches. As a result, Yolo County — like \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/elections/results/alameda\">Alameda\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/elections/results/contracosta\">Contra Costa\u003c/a> counties in the Bay Area — will not have its next update until Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If I do 1,000 a day or 2,000 a day, that’s not going to move as much of a needle as if I used a little longer window of two and a half days … almost three,” Salinas said. “Then I can have a 3,000 or 4,000, or maybe even a 5,000 [vote] needle swing.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Becker, the elections expert, said he’s not sure why county officials would wait that long, noting that some states, such as Florida, have laws dictating regular updates — whether or not there’s anything new to report.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, Becker said election officials are doing their best under difficult circumstances — and cautioned that no changes to the process will satisfy election conspiracy theorists, who he said, “very conveniently try to latch onto anything to delegitimize results that aren’t in their favor.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The reality is that we’ve seen those same conspiracy theorists who say it takes too long to count ballots in California say ballot counting was too fast when they didn’t like the results if those results were early on against them,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "race-too-close-to-call-for-california-governor",
"title": "Race Too Close to Call for California Governor",
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"headTitle": "Race Too Close to Call for California Governor | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003cb>Here are the morning’s top stories on Wednesday, June 3, 2026\u003c/b>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085541/california-governor-race-becerra-hilton-lead-early-with-millions-of-votes-to-be-counted\">California’s governor’s race remains too close to call.\u003c/a> Republican Steve Hilton currently leads the pack, but is closely followed by Democrat Xavier Becerra. Fellow Democrat Tom Steyer is sitting in third but still has a chance to overtake one of the two other candidates, with millions of ballots left to be counted. \u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">We already know the two candidates advancing to several \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2026/06/primary-election-california-congress/\">congressional races\u003c/a> here in California. But others are still very much up for grabs.\u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2 class=\"routes-Site-routes-Post-Title-__Title__title\">\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085541/california-governor-race-becerra-hilton-lead-early-with-millions-of-votes-to-be-counted\">\u003cstrong>Hilton, Becerra tout early leads in California governor race, as Steyer urges patience\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/elections/results/california/governor\">primary election for California governor\u003c/a> is too close to call in early returns, with Republican businessman Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra neck-and-neck atop the field and Democrat Tom Steyer in third place.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shortly after midnight, Hilton, a former Fox News commentator and businessman, led with 27% of the vote, followed closely by Becerra, former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary, at 25%. Both were enjoying a comfortable early advantage over billionaire Democratic activist Steyer, who sat at about 20%, with just over half of the expected votes counted, according to an Associated Press estimate. The race will decide which two candidates move on to a November runoff.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In his remarks at his watch party in Los Angeles, Becerra noted his underdog status: Polls showed him stuck in single digits until the final six weeks of the campaign, when he surprised nearly everyone by surging into the top spot among a crowded field of Democrats. “Here in Hollywood’s hometown, we love a good underdog success story,” he said, drawing parallels between his campaign and the life his immigrant parents built in California. “Guess what? The underdog stayed in the fight. Like my parents, I never gave up. Never stopped putting one foot in front of the other. Never stopped believing in the beacon-like goodness of California. And, thankfully, neither did you.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At his watch party in Huntington Beach, the British-born Hilton — who became a U.S. citizen just five years ago — said it was the “honor of his lifetime” to receive over 1 million votes so far. “Change is coming to California and it’s long overdue,” Hilton said. “We’re not there yet, but it’s looking good. It looks very much as if Californians really will have the chance to vote for change in November and take our state in a new direction.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But nothing is guaranteed for Becerra or Hilton yet. The early results could shift in part because of unusual voting patterns in this primary election: Ballot tracking data heading into Tuesday evening showed that Republicans were more likely to vote early by mail, while Democratic voters in this deep blue state \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084978/california-democrats-anxious-about-wasted-votes-are-clinging-to-their-ballots\">hung onto their mail-in ballots\u003c/a> or chose to vote in person. That’s the reverse of recent elections, which saw more Democrats voting by mail and Republicans tending to vote in person on Election Day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Steyer urged his supporters to be patient Tuesday evening. Speaking at his watch party at the Regency Ballroom in San Francisco, he railed against the big companies, including PG&E and Chevron, that opposed his candidacy. “Together, we’ve scared the hell out of the corporate interests used to getting their way,” Steyer said. “It might take some time to figure out where this is going. We’re going to wait until every ballot is counted. We’re going to give democracy time to work. And we know we finished really strong.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2 class=\"entry-title \">\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2026/06/primary-election-california-congress/\">\u003cstrong>California House races could decide the majority in Congress. Who survived the primary?\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All eyes are on California’s \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/tag/congress/\">competitive House races\u003c/a> as voters choose which candidates will face off later this fall.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">T\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/elections/2026/06/california-primary-election-results-june-2026/\">he outcome of the state’s open primary\u003c/a>, which narrows each race to the top two vote-getters regardless of party, sets the stage for a fierce contest in November as Democrats across the country push to retake control of Congress. Victories in California are even more important after a series of court rulings gave Republicans the edge in the national redistricting arms race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Still, Democrats have been bullish about their chances in California after voters last year approved new congressional maps that significantly decreased the number of competitive races in the state. With the House majority, Democrats could block President Donald Trump’s legislative agenda, grill his cabinet officials and launch investigations into his administration.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state’s \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/california-voter-guide-2026/us-house/#district-22\">marquee race\u003c/a> is in the Bakersfield-based 22nd District. Two Democrats are \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2026/02/bains-villegas-democrats-central-valley/\">fighting for the chance\u003c/a> to take on Rep. David Valadao, the vulnerable Republican incumbent whose only election loss came in 2018 during Trump’s first term. The Associated Press said Tuesday that Valadao will advance to November.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/legislators/jasmeet-bains-165424\">Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains\u003c/a>, a physician who has spent most of her career in hospitals and clinics that rely on Medi-Cal, has positioned herself as a moderate Democrat willing to buck her party. She has faced stiff competition from Randy Villegas, a college professor and school board trustee running as a progressive Democrat with support from the Working Families Party, the Congressional Progressive Caucus and Sen. Bernie Sanders. With about half the vote tallied Tuesday night, Villegas was leading Bains by about 1,300 votes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In San Diego County, Republican Jim Desmond, a County supervisor backed by the retiring incumbent, Rep. Darrell Issa, will face current San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert, a Democrat in November. The Associated Press called the race late Tuesday with about 55% of the vote tallied.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Von Wilpert decisively quelled a \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2026/04/california-congress-cd48-democrats/\">fierce intraparty challenge\u003c/a> from fellow Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar, a former labor department aide to President Barack Obama who had lost to Issa twice before. She called him anti-LGBTQ for questioning whether she could win votes outside gay-friendly Palm Springs; Campa-Najjar accused von Wilpert of racism for questioning his name changes and residence.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These will be just two of the races that will be closely watched come November.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cb>Here are the morning’s top stories on Wednesday, June 3, 2026\u003c/b>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085541/california-governor-race-becerra-hilton-lead-early-with-millions-of-votes-to-be-counted\">California’s governor’s race remains too close to call.\u003c/a> Republican Steve Hilton currently leads the pack, but is closely followed by Democrat Xavier Becerra. Fellow Democrat Tom Steyer is sitting in third but still has a chance to overtake one of the two other candidates, with millions of ballots left to be counted. \u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">We already know the two candidates advancing to several \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2026/06/primary-election-california-congress/\">congressional races\u003c/a> here in California. But others are still very much up for grabs.\u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2 class=\"routes-Site-routes-Post-Title-__Title__title\">\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085541/california-governor-race-becerra-hilton-lead-early-with-millions-of-votes-to-be-counted\">\u003cstrong>Hilton, Becerra tout early leads in California governor race, as Steyer urges patience\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/elections/results/california/governor\">primary election for California governor\u003c/a> is too close to call in early returns, with Republican businessman Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra neck-and-neck atop the field and Democrat Tom Steyer in third place.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shortly after midnight, Hilton, a former Fox News commentator and businessman, led with 27% of the vote, followed closely by Becerra, former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary, at 25%. Both were enjoying a comfortable early advantage over billionaire Democratic activist Steyer, who sat at about 20%, with just over half of the expected votes counted, according to an Associated Press estimate. The race will decide which two candidates move on to a November runoff.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In his remarks at his watch party in Los Angeles, Becerra noted his underdog status: Polls showed him stuck in single digits until the final six weeks of the campaign, when he surprised nearly everyone by surging into the top spot among a crowded field of Democrats. “Here in Hollywood’s hometown, we love a good underdog success story,” he said, drawing parallels between his campaign and the life his immigrant parents built in California. “Guess what? The underdog stayed in the fight. Like my parents, I never gave up. Never stopped putting one foot in front of the other. Never stopped believing in the beacon-like goodness of California. And, thankfully, neither did you.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At his watch party in Huntington Beach, the British-born Hilton — who became a U.S. citizen just five years ago — said it was the “honor of his lifetime” to receive over 1 million votes so far. “Change is coming to California and it’s long overdue,” Hilton said. “We’re not there yet, but it’s looking good. It looks very much as if Californians really will have the chance to vote for change in November and take our state in a new direction.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But nothing is guaranteed for Becerra or Hilton yet. The early results could shift in part because of unusual voting patterns in this primary election: Ballot tracking data heading into Tuesday evening showed that Republicans were more likely to vote early by mail, while Democratic voters in this deep blue state \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084978/california-democrats-anxious-about-wasted-votes-are-clinging-to-their-ballots\">hung onto their mail-in ballots\u003c/a> or chose to vote in person. That’s the reverse of recent elections, which saw more Democrats voting by mail and Republicans tending to vote in person on Election Day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Steyer urged his supporters to be patient Tuesday evening. Speaking at his watch party at the Regency Ballroom in San Francisco, he railed against the big companies, including PG&E and Chevron, that opposed his candidacy. “Together, we’ve scared the hell out of the corporate interests used to getting their way,” Steyer said. “It might take some time to figure out where this is going. We’re going to wait until every ballot is counted. We’re going to give democracy time to work. And we know we finished really strong.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2 class=\"entry-title \">\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2026/06/primary-election-california-congress/\">\u003cstrong>California House races could decide the majority in Congress. Who survived the primary?\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All eyes are on California’s \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/tag/congress/\">competitive House races\u003c/a> as voters choose which candidates will face off later this fall.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">T\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/elections/2026/06/california-primary-election-results-june-2026/\">he outcome of the state’s open primary\u003c/a>, which narrows each race to the top two vote-getters regardless of party, sets the stage for a fierce contest in November as Democrats across the country push to retake control of Congress. Victories in California are even more important after a series of court rulings gave Republicans the edge in the national redistricting arms race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Still, Democrats have been bullish about their chances in California after voters last year approved new congressional maps that significantly decreased the number of competitive races in the state. With the House majority, Democrats could block President Donald Trump’s legislative agenda, grill his cabinet officials and launch investigations into his administration.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state’s \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/california-voter-guide-2026/us-house/#district-22\">marquee race\u003c/a> is in the Bakersfield-based 22nd District. Two Democrats are \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2026/02/bains-villegas-democrats-central-valley/\">fighting for the chance\u003c/a> to take on Rep. David Valadao, the vulnerable Republican incumbent whose only election loss came in 2018 during Trump’s first term. The Associated Press said Tuesday that Valadao will advance to November.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/legislators/jasmeet-bains-165424\">Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains\u003c/a>, a physician who has spent most of her career in hospitals and clinics that rely on Medi-Cal, has positioned herself as a moderate Democrat willing to buck her party. She has faced stiff competition from Randy Villegas, a college professor and school board trustee running as a progressive Democrat with support from the Working Families Party, the Congressional Progressive Caucus and Sen. Bernie Sanders. With about half the vote tallied Tuesday night, Villegas was leading Bains by about 1,300 votes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In San Diego County, Republican Jim Desmond, a County supervisor backed by the retiring incumbent, Rep. Darrell Issa, will face current San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert, a Democrat in November. The Associated Press called the race late Tuesday with about 55% of the vote tallied.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Von Wilpert decisively quelled a \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2026/04/california-congress-cd48-democrats/\">fierce intraparty challenge\u003c/a> from fellow Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar, a former labor department aide to President Barack Obama who had lost to Issa twice before. She called him anti-LGBTQ for questioning whether she could win votes outside gay-friendly Palm Springs; Campa-Najjar accused von Wilpert of racism for questioning his name changes and residence.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These will be just two of the races that will be closely watched come November.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>California’s primary election results are trickling in, but many races remain too early to call. KQED’s politics team digs into the early numbers in the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085541/california-governor-race-becerra-hilton-lead-early-with-millions-of-votes-to-be-counted\">governor’s race\u003c/a>, where Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra lead with Democrat Tom Steyer in third place. Plus: competitive congressional races, the insurance commissioner’s contest and the Los Angeles mayor’s race.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Track the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/elections/results\">latest election results here\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For more information on the races and ballot measures in California’s June 2 primary election, check out \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/elections/results\">KQED’s Voter Guide\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cp>California’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085513/california-primary-2026-key-congressional-races-to-watch-today\">primary\u003c/a> is coming to a close — with voters casting their final ballots to decide on the state’s future.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Their long list of choices included an unusually \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085576/governors-race-enters-the-final-stretch-and-down-ballot-races-to-watch\">close\u003c/a> governor’s race and consequential local races, including the fight to replace Rep. Nancy Pelosi’s seat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But on Tuesday morning, polling places across the Bay Area were quiet, reflecting some of the uneasiness of constituents. At North and West Oakland satellite locations, poll workers said turnout was lower than expected.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is probably the least hopeful I felt in an election, to be completely frank,” said Oakland resident Josh Adams, 35, who said he’s most concerned about the governor’s race. Adams, whose partner is an educator, said he researched the candidates’ policies to see who would support funding public education and infrastructure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t know if there is a right answer — someone who scratches all of the itches of the state,” Adams said, after voting at the Oakland Main Branch Library. “I hope I made the right decision.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12085812\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12085812\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-JY-02-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-JY-02-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-JY-02-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-JY-02-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Josh Adams stands outside the Oakland Main Library after casting his ballot in Oakland, California, on Tuesday, June 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Juliana Yamada for KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>KQED spoke with voters at multiple Bay Area polling places to hear from them about the Election Day vibes. Those who did turn out said they were invested in the results.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Over in San Francisco, Chiraag Hebbar, 26, cast his ballot at City Hall.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“With both Gavin Newsom and Pelosi leaving, I think it’s a critical election,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12085818\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12085818\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-02-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-02-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-02-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-02-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Voters fill out their ballots at the City Hall Voting Center in San Francisco on June 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Big money has poured into campaigns, with major financial backing from tech and oil for \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085483/whos-backing-californias-next-governor-and-why\">Xavier Becerra\u003c/a>, the Democratic frontrunner, and for \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084959/after-pelosi-young-sf-voters-want-change-two-progressives-are-competing-to-offer-it\">Saikat Chakrabarti\u003c/a>, who is vying against state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan for Pelosi’s seat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s a lot of money getting thrown around,” said Gwynn Beasley, a Lower Haight resident, who said she votes at City Hall to feel more “civic.” Beasley said she saw a lot of major donors “putting money behind candidates they don’t necessarily support to [get others] out of the race.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Widya Batin, a 27-year-old Fillmore resident, said the political moment can feel discouraging, so she wanted to vote in the primary to exercise her civil right as a citizen.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12085822\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12085822\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-20-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-20-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-20-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-20-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A polling place at SOMArts Cultural Center in San Francisco on June 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“We don’t really get educated on how our vote works or how the political system works. That’s why I get discouraged. If you don’t really go into the measures or candidates yourself, you can easily be caught up in the ads they run before the election.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Batin said she will vote for candidates that she’s seen in action, but “for the propositions, I kind of rely on the homies and what we are sharing around in our groups.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Democracy was in full swing down in East San José, where the Dr. Robert Cruz Alum Rock Library had a steady stream of voters. Every few minutes, someone walked through the double doors to drop off a ballot or vote in person, though most came to drop off.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12085824\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12085824\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-22-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-22-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-22-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-22-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Shireman Ichikawa family leaves the Bernal Heights Library polling place in San Francisco after casting their ballots on June 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>No two voters looked alike — old, young, Hispanic, Black, Asian, white — pushing strollers, holding a partner’s hand, or pulling their dog’s leash. Staff who have worked at the location for years say this is the busiest voting site in the area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Melissa Martinez came to drop off both her and her sister’s ballots. Martinez, born and raised in the South Bay, started voting as soon as she turned 18. A child of immigrants, she said she’s been politically active since high school.[aside postID=news_12085513 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/voter.jpg']“I just always knew that if I wanted to keep them safe, in some ways, it depends on how I voted and who I voted for,” Martinez said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>San José resident Pam Payton, whose dad was planning commissioner for the city, and who was part of the campaign to elect Norman Mineta as mayor, said voting has been ingrained in her family.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you want to make a change, it’s not going to happen if you don’t vote.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For Payton, the economy was top of mind.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“California is a hot mess right now,” she said, laughing. “I don’t know that there’s anything the potential governors will do to lower the price of gas.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She described going to the store and buying one bag of groceries without meat, and spending $80. “That’s crazy,” Payton said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, Payton did her patriotic duty. For those who didn’t vote Tuesday, Payton had simple advice: “Don’t complain.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/aaliahmad\">\u003cem>Ayah Ali-Ahmad\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem>, Desmond Meagley, \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/psibulo\">\u003cem>Paula Sibulo\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> and \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/emanoukian\">\u003cem>Elize Manoukian\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "KQED spoke with voters at multiple Bay Area polling places to hear about what races they’re watching and what issues matter to them. Those who did turn out said they were invested in the results. ",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>California’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085513/california-primary-2026-key-congressional-races-to-watch-today\">primary\u003c/a> is coming to a close — with voters casting their final ballots to decide on the state’s future.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Their long list of choices included an unusually \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085576/governors-race-enters-the-final-stretch-and-down-ballot-races-to-watch\">close\u003c/a> governor’s race and consequential local races, including the fight to replace Rep. Nancy Pelosi’s seat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But on Tuesday morning, polling places across the Bay Area were quiet, reflecting some of the uneasiness of constituents. At North and West Oakland satellite locations, poll workers said turnout was lower than expected.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“This is probably the least hopeful I felt in an election, to be completely frank,” said Oakland resident Josh Adams, 35, who said he’s most concerned about the governor’s race. Adams, whose partner is an educator, said he researched the candidates’ policies to see who would support funding public education and infrastructure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t know if there is a right answer — someone who scratches all of the itches of the state,” Adams said, after voting at the Oakland Main Branch Library. “I hope I made the right decision.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12085812\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12085812\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-JY-02-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-JY-02-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-JY-02-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/20260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-JY-02-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Josh Adams stands outside the Oakland Main Library after casting his ballot in Oakland, California, on Tuesday, June 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Juliana Yamada for KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>KQED spoke with voters at multiple Bay Area polling places to hear from them about the Election Day vibes. Those who did turn out said they were invested in the results.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Over in San Francisco, Chiraag Hebbar, 26, cast his ballot at City Hall.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“With both Gavin Newsom and Pelosi leaving, I think it’s a critical election,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12085818\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12085818\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-02-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-02-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-02-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-02-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Voters fill out their ballots at the City Hall Voting Center in San Francisco on June 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Big money has poured into campaigns, with major financial backing from tech and oil for \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085483/whos-backing-californias-next-governor-and-why\">Xavier Becerra\u003c/a>, the Democratic frontrunner, and for \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084959/after-pelosi-young-sf-voters-want-change-two-progressives-are-competing-to-offer-it\">Saikat Chakrabarti\u003c/a>, who is vying against state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan for Pelosi’s seat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s a lot of money getting thrown around,” said Gwynn Beasley, a Lower Haight resident, who said she votes at City Hall to feel more “civic.” Beasley said she saw a lot of major donors “putting money behind candidates they don’t necessarily support to [get others] out of the race.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Widya Batin, a 27-year-old Fillmore resident, said the political moment can feel discouraging, so she wanted to vote in the primary to exercise her civil right as a citizen.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12085822\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12085822\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-20-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-20-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-20-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-20-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A polling place at SOMArts Cultural Center in San Francisco on June 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“We don’t really get educated on how our vote works or how the political system works. That’s why I get discouraged. If you don’t really go into the measures or candidates yourself, you can easily be caught up in the ads they run before the election.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Batin said she will vote for candidates that she’s seen in action, but “for the propositions, I kind of rely on the homies and what we are sharing around in our groups.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Democracy was in full swing down in East San José, where the Dr. Robert Cruz Alum Rock Library had a steady stream of voters. Every few minutes, someone walked through the double doors to drop off a ballot or vote in person, though most came to drop off.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12085824\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12085824\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-22-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-22-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-22-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/06/260602-PRIMARYVOTERVOX-22-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Shireman Ichikawa family leaves the Bernal Heights Library polling place in San Francisco after casting their ballots on June 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>No two voters looked alike — old, young, Hispanic, Black, Asian, white — pushing strollers, holding a partner’s hand, or pulling their dog’s leash. Staff who have worked at the location for years say this is the busiest voting site in the area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Melissa Martinez came to drop off both her and her sister’s ballots. Martinez, born and raised in the South Bay, started voting as soon as she turned 18. A child of immigrants, she said she’s been politically active since high school.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“I just always knew that if I wanted to keep them safe, in some ways, it depends on how I voted and who I voted for,” Martinez said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>San José resident Pam Payton, whose dad was planning commissioner for the city, and who was part of the campaign to elect Norman Mineta as mayor, said voting has been ingrained in her family.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you want to make a change, it’s not going to happen if you don’t vote.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For Payton, the economy was top of mind.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“California is a hot mess right now,” she said, laughing. “I don’t know that there’s anything the potential governors will do to lower the price of gas.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She described going to the store and buying one bag of groceries without meat, and spending $80. “That’s crazy,” Payton said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, Payton did her patriotic duty. For those who didn’t vote Tuesday, Payton had simple advice: “Don’t complain.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>KQED’s \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/aaliahmad\">\u003cem>Ayah Ali-Ahmad\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem>, Desmond Meagley, \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/psibulo\">\u003cem>Paula Sibulo\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> and \u003c/em>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/emanoukian\">\u003cem>Elize Manoukian\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003cem> contributed to this report.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003cb>Here are the morning’s top stories on Tuesday, June 2, 2026\u003c/b>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085535/election-day-is-here-from-governor-to-la-mayor-these-are-the-races-to-watch\">It’s election day.\u003c/a> And California’s first truly open governor’s race in decades has sparked a lot of speculation, including early fears that the state’s top-two primary system could leave Democrats shut out of the general election entirely. But that scenario is looking far less likely. \u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">About 150 immigrants detained at the Adelanto ICE Processing Center are on their 11th day of a hunger strike. Members of Congress toured the facility Monday to seek answers. \u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Authorities say a months-long investigation into a Fresno County gang network has disrupted organized criminal activity throughout the Central Valley and led to dozens of arrests.\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\"> \u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2 class=\"routes-Site-routes-Post-Title-__Title__title\">\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085535/election-day-is-here-from-governor-to-la-mayor-these-are-the-races-to-watch\">\u003cstrong>Election day is here. From governor to LA mayor, these are the races to watch\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide\">Election Day\u003c/a> is finally here in California, and ballots are due in \u003ca href=\"https://caearlyvoting.sos.ca.gov/\">drop boxes\u003c/a> or at \u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/polling-place\">polling locations \u003c/a>by 8 p.m.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide/california/governor\">race to succeed Gov. Gavin Newsom\u003c/a> has loomed large in media coverage and political advertisements. This is California’s first truly open governor’s race in more than two decades, and it has remained unsettled to the end. Polls now show three candidates likely competing for the two spots in the November general election: Democratic former Health and Human Services Secretary \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/xavier-becerra\">Xavier Becerra\u003c/a>, Republican businessman and former Fox News host \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/steve-hilton\">Steve Hilton\u003c/a>, and billionaire Democratic activist \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/tom-steyer\">Tom Steyer\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If Becerra secures one of the top spots, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085276/becerra-hilton-lead-in-california-governors-race-poll-ahead-of-june-primary\">as the latest polling suggests\u003c/a>, it would cap one of the most surprising and dramatic comebacks in recent state political history. As recently as April, polls were showing Becerra — also a former member of Congress and California attorney general — languishing in single digits in a crowded field. But Becerra’s campaign was boosted after former Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell dropped out of the race and resigned from Congress following multiple accusations of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12079502/rep-eric-swalwell-candidate-for-california-governor-is-accused-of-sexual-assault\">sexual assault and harassment\u003c/a>. Shortly after Swalwell’s exit, Becerra began rising in the polls, outpacing most of his Democratic rivals.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>President Donald Trump also \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12078793/trump-endorses-steve-hilton-for-california-governor-giving-gop-a-front-runner\">endorsed Hilton\u003c/a> in April, propelling him to the top of the field alongside Becerra. But neither has cracked more than 25% support in most public polls — and Steyer, who’s spent more than $213 million of his own fortune in the race, remains within striking distance of the top two in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085443/new-california-governor-poll-shows-a-slim-but-growing-chance-of-2-democrats-advancing\">recent surveys\u003c/a>. That state of play helped quell fears among Democrats that a crowded field without a superstar candidate could result in two Republicans moving on to the general election, locking out Democrats entirely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California has a \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083839/what-is-californias-jungle-primary-and-why-does-it-matter-so-much-for-the-governors-race\">top-two primary system\u003c/a>, meaning the top two vote-getters in statewide races and congressional races move on to the November runoff — regardless of party affiliation.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>Hunger strike continues at Adelanto Detention Center\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>About 150 immigrants detained at the Adelanto ICE Processing Center are on their 11th day of a hunger strike. Members of Congress toured the facility on Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://chu.house.gov/media-center/press-releases/reps-chu-aguilar-and-gomez-visit-hunger-strikers-adelanto-ice-detention\">That includes Congresswoman Judy Chu of Pasadena.\u003c/a> “For more than a decade, I have called for the closure of Adelanto, and today’s visit made clear why that call is as urgent as ever,” she said. “The detainees we met with described horrific, unacceptable living conditions that no human being should ever have to endure. The problems at Adelanto are not new, and they are not isolated. They are the result of years of neglect that have continued despite repeated warnings, congressional oversight, and detainee deaths. Adelanto has had countless opportunities to change and has failed time and again. It is time to shut down this facility once and for all.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hunger strikers said they’re not getting proper medical care, decent living conditions or edible food. The Department of Homeland Security denies that a hunger strike is taking place. Adelanto’s operator, the GEO Group has not responded to a request for comment.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>Dozens arrested in Central Valley crime crackdown\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A months-long investigation into a Fresno County gang network has disrupted organized criminal activity throughout the Central Valley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://oag.ca.gov/news/press-releases/attorney-general-bonta-joins-law-enforcement-partners-announces-results\">California Attorney General Rob Bonta stood with the Fresno County Sheriff’s Department\u003c/a> and other law enforcement agencies on Monday to announce the results of Operation Hands Down. The multi-agency investigation spanned Fresno, Tulare, Kings, and San Joaquin counties. It targeted what investigators described as a large-scale criminal enterprise that involved gun trafficking, drug sales, and sex offenses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Officials say dozens of federal and state search warrants were served, and that led to 69 arrests and identifying one suspect in Mexico. 73 guns were also confiscated. The operation also uncovered the involvement of juveniles, including gang members as young as 15, accused of possessing and selling firearms.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"excerpt": "The results of the governor's race and key congressional districts will be closely watched once polls close. ",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cb>Here are the morning’s top stories on Tuesday, June 2, 2026\u003c/b>\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085535/election-day-is-here-from-governor-to-la-mayor-these-are-the-races-to-watch\">It’s election day.\u003c/a> And California’s first truly open governor’s race in decades has sparked a lot of speculation, including early fears that the state’s top-two primary system could leave Democrats shut out of the general election entirely. But that scenario is looking far less likely. \u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">About 150 immigrants detained at the Adelanto ICE Processing Center are on their 11th day of a hunger strike. Members of Congress toured the facility Monday to seek answers. \u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Authorities say a months-long investigation into a Fresno County gang network has disrupted organized criminal activity throughout the Central Valley and led to dozens of arrests.\u003c/span>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\"> \u003c/span>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2 class=\"routes-Site-routes-Post-Title-__Title__title\">\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085535/election-day-is-here-from-governor-to-la-mayor-these-are-the-races-to-watch\">\u003cstrong>Election day is here. From governor to LA mayor, these are the races to watch\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide\">Election Day\u003c/a> is finally here in California, and ballots are due in \u003ca href=\"https://caearlyvoting.sos.ca.gov/\">drop boxes\u003c/a> or at \u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/polling-place\">polling locations \u003c/a>by 8 p.m.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide/california/governor\">race to succeed Gov. Gavin Newsom\u003c/a> has loomed large in media coverage and political advertisements. This is California’s first truly open governor’s race in more than two decades, and it has remained unsettled to the end. Polls now show three candidates likely competing for the two spots in the November general election: Democratic former Health and Human Services Secretary \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/xavier-becerra\">Xavier Becerra\u003c/a>, Republican businessman and former Fox News host \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/steve-hilton\">Steve Hilton\u003c/a>, and billionaire Democratic activist \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/tom-steyer\">Tom Steyer\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If Becerra secures one of the top spots, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085276/becerra-hilton-lead-in-california-governors-race-poll-ahead-of-june-primary\">as the latest polling suggests\u003c/a>, it would cap one of the most surprising and dramatic comebacks in recent state political history. As recently as April, polls were showing Becerra — also a former member of Congress and California attorney general — languishing in single digits in a crowded field. But Becerra’s campaign was boosted after former Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell dropped out of the race and resigned from Congress following multiple accusations of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12079502/rep-eric-swalwell-candidate-for-california-governor-is-accused-of-sexual-assault\">sexual assault and harassment\u003c/a>. Shortly after Swalwell’s exit, Becerra began rising in the polls, outpacing most of his Democratic rivals.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>President Donald Trump also \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12078793/trump-endorses-steve-hilton-for-california-governor-giving-gop-a-front-runner\">endorsed Hilton\u003c/a> in April, propelling him to the top of the field alongside Becerra. But neither has cracked more than 25% support in most public polls — and Steyer, who’s spent more than $213 million of his own fortune in the race, remains within striking distance of the top two in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085443/new-california-governor-poll-shows-a-slim-but-growing-chance-of-2-democrats-advancing\">recent surveys\u003c/a>. That state of play helped quell fears among Democrats that a crowded field without a superstar candidate could result in two Republicans moving on to the general election, locking out Democrats entirely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California has a \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083839/what-is-californias-jungle-primary-and-why-does-it-matter-so-much-for-the-governors-race\">top-two primary system\u003c/a>, meaning the top two vote-getters in statewide races and congressional races move on to the November runoff — regardless of party affiliation.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>Hunger strike continues at Adelanto Detention Center\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>About 150 immigrants detained at the Adelanto ICE Processing Center are on their 11th day of a hunger strike. Members of Congress toured the facility on Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://chu.house.gov/media-center/press-releases/reps-chu-aguilar-and-gomez-visit-hunger-strikers-adelanto-ice-detention\">That includes Congresswoman Judy Chu of Pasadena.\u003c/a> “For more than a decade, I have called for the closure of Adelanto, and today’s visit made clear why that call is as urgent as ever,” she said. “The detainees we met with described horrific, unacceptable living conditions that no human being should ever have to endure. The problems at Adelanto are not new, and they are not isolated. They are the result of years of neglect that have continued despite repeated warnings, congressional oversight, and detainee deaths. Adelanto has had countless opportunities to change and has failed time and again. It is time to shut down this facility once and for all.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hunger strikers said they’re not getting proper medical care, decent living conditions or edible food. The Department of Homeland Security denies that a hunger strike is taking place. Adelanto’s operator, the GEO Group has not responded to a request for comment.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>Dozens arrested in Central Valley crime crackdown\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A months-long investigation into a Fresno County gang network has disrupted organized criminal activity throughout the Central Valley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://oag.ca.gov/news/press-releases/attorney-general-bonta-joins-law-enforcement-partners-announces-results\">California Attorney General Rob Bonta stood with the Fresno County Sheriff’s Department\u003c/a> and other law enforcement agencies on Monday to announce the results of Operation Hands Down. The multi-agency investigation spanned Fresno, Tulare, Kings, and San Joaquin counties. It targeted what investigators described as a large-scale criminal enterprise that involved gun trafficking, drug sales, and sex offenses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Officials say dozens of federal and state search warrants were served, and that led to 69 arrests and identifying one suspect in Mexico. 73 guns were also confiscated. The operation also uncovered the involvement of juveniles, including gang members as young as 15, accused of possessing and selling firearms.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "election-day-is-here-from-governor-to-la-mayor-these-are-the-races-to-watch",
"title": "Polls Are Closed in California. From Governor to LA Mayor, These Are the Races to Watch",
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"headTitle": "Polls Are Closed in California. From Governor to LA Mayor, These Are the Races to Watch | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Polls are now closed in California’s primary election, and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/elections/results\">the first tallies\u003c/a> are starting to trickle in from some counties. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide/california/governor\">race to succeed Gov. Gavin Newsom\u003c/a> has loomed large in media coverage and political advertisements, but there’s a lot more on the ballot. Here’s what we will be watching closely on election night and in the days to come as votes continue to be counted.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>First, one reminder: California has a \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083839/what-is-californias-jungle-primary-and-why-does-it-matter-so-much-for-the-governors-race\">top-two primary system\u003c/a>, meaning the top two vote-getters in statewide races and congressional races move on to the November runoff — regardless of party affiliation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>A messy, confusing race for California governor\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>California’s first truly open governor’s race in more than two decades has remained unsettled to the end.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Polls now show three candidates likely competing for the two spots in the November general election: Democratic former Health and Human Services Secretary \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/xavier-becerra\">Xavier Becerra\u003c/a>, Republican businessman and former Fox News host \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/steve-hilton\">Steve Hilton\u003c/a> and billionaire Democratic activist \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/tom-steyer\">Tom Steyer\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If Becerra secures one of the top spots, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085276/becerra-hilton-lead-in-california-governors-race-poll-ahead-of-june-primary\">as the latest polling suggests\u003c/a>, it would cap one of the most surprising and dramatic comebacks in recent state political history. As recently as April, polls were showing Becerra — also a former member of Congress and California attorney general — languishing in single digits in a crowded field.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12082916\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12082916\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/GettyImages-2274719112-scaled-e1778887506369.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1316\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California gubernatorial candidates former U.S. Rep. Katie Porter, businessman Tom Steyer, businessman Steve Hilton, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Xavier Becerra, San José Mayor Matt Mahan look on during a CNN California Governor Primary Debate at East Los Angeles College on May 5, 2026, in Monterey Park, California. \u003ccite>(Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But Becerra’s campaign was boosted after former Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell dropped out of the race and resigned from Congress following multiple accusations of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12079502/rep-eric-swalwell-candidate-for-california-governor-is-accused-of-sexual-assault\">sexual assault and harassment\u003c/a>. Shortly after Swalwell’s exit, Becerra began rising in the polls, outpacing most of his Democratic rivals.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>President Donald Trump also \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12078793/trump-endorses-steve-hilton-for-california-governor-giving-gop-a-front-runner\">endorsed Hilton\u003c/a> in April, propelling him to the top of the field alongside Becerra. But neither has cracked more than 25% support in most public polls — and Steyer, who’s spent more than $213 million of his own fortune in the race, remains within striking distance of the top two in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085443/new-california-governor-poll-shows-a-slim-but-growing-chance-of-2-democrats-advancing\">recent surveys\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That state of play helped quell fears among Democrats that a crowded field without a superstar candidate could result in two Republicans moving on to the general election, locking out Democrats entirely.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>An open congressional seat in San Francisco\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>With the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12062796/nancy-pelosi-leaves-congress-after-38-years-defining-generations-of-democratic-power\">retirement\u003c/a> of Democratic powerhouse Nancy Pelosi, most San Francisco voters are facing an open congressional seat for the first time since 1987.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Pelosi’s exit has spurred a tight and spirited contest among three leading Democrats to replace her: state Sen. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/scott-wiener\">Scott Wiener\u003c/a>, San Francisco Supervisor \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/connie-chan\">Connie Chan\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/saikat-chakrabarti\">Saikat Chakrabarti\u003c/a>, a former tech engineer who previously worked as chief of staff for Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12078159\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12078159 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/260107-SFCongressionalCandidateForum-19-BL_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/260107-SFCongressionalCandidateForum-19-BL_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/260107-SFCongressionalCandidateForum-19-BL_qed-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/260107-SFCongressionalCandidateForum-19-BL_qed-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Candidates running for California’s 11th Congressional District (from left) Saikat Chakrabarti, state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan take part in a forum at UC Law San Francisco on Jan. 7, 2026. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Polls show the race boiling down to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084959/after-pelosi-young-sf-voters-want-change-two-progressives-are-competing-to-offer-it\">a fight for the No. 2 spot\u003c/a>, with Wiener leading and expected to make the November runoff. He’s made a name for himself as a staunch champion of increasing housing development and funding public transit, and defending gay rights. Wiener is seen as the more business-friendly moderate in the race — though on the national stage, he’d be considered incredibly liberal.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Chan has racked up the endorsements of labor groups and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084132/nancy-pelosi-endorses-san-francisco-supervisor-connie-chan-for-congress\">Pelosi\u003c/a>, as well as some other big-name Democrats, including U.S. Sen. Adam Schiff and former San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown. She’s running as a tried-and-true San Francisco progressive and has leaned on her personal story as an immigrant and mother.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Chakrabarti, who’s used his own personal wealth to help fund his upstart campaign, is \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084959/after-pelosi-young-sf-voters-want-change-two-progressives-are-competing-to-offer-it\">running as an outsider\u003c/a> who will shake things up. He’s had to introduce himself to an electorate unfamiliar with him and is banking on frustration with the Democratic Party establishment to help fuel his run.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Other congressional races\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The real action in California’s congressional swing seats won’t start until the fall, when Democrats are hoping to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085418/two-democrats-are-fighting-for-the-chance-to-flip-californias-only-toss-up-house-race\">flip multiple Republican-held districts\u003c/a> in their push to retake the House of Representatives.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But a pair of primaries Tuesday will set the stage for those battles. In the Bakersfield-area 22nd District, Democrats Jasmeet Bains, a moderate state Assembly member and Randy Villegas, a progressive school board member, are competing to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085466/two-democrats-battling-to-unseat-longtime-central-valley-congressman\">challenge incumbent Republican Rep. David Valadao\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12071887\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12071887\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/092222-DAVID-VALADAO-REUTERS-GS-CM.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/092222-DAVID-VALADAO-REUTERS-GS-CM.jpeg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/092222-DAVID-VALADAO-REUTERS-GS-CM-160x107.jpeg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/092222-DAVID-VALADAO-REUTERS-GS-CM-1536x1024.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Rep. David Valadao of California speaks at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., on March 17, 2021. \u003ccite>(Graeme Sloan/Sipa USA via Reuters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And in the newly drawn 48th District, San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert and Navy Reserve officer Ammar Campa-Najjar are among the Democrats vying to make the general election, where they will likely face Republican Jim Desmond, a San Diego County supervisor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In safe Democratic seats, a handful of primaries are dividing along generational lines. Longtime incumbents Mike Thompson, Doris Matsui and Brad Sherman are all facing youthful challengers arguing for a changing of the guard.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>An important race for insurance commissioner\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide/california/insurance-commissioner\">\u003cstrong>\u003cem>Compare insurance commissioner candidates in the KQED Voter Guide \u003c/em>\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Outside of governor, the primary for California’s insurance commissioner is the statewide election with the highest stakes. The next commissioner will assume \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000611/california-insurance-commissioner-candidates-debate-solutions-to-wildfire-driven-crisis\">oversight of an insurance market in crisis\u003c/a> — with insurers issuing nonrenewals and limiting new policies in the face of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000990/california-must-move-faster-on-wildfire-risk-experts-warn\">massive wildfire threats and liabilities\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The field of Democrats running includes state Sen. Ben Allen and former state Sen. Steven Bradford, along with former San Francisco Supervisor Jane Kim and financial analyst Patrick Wolff.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Five Republicans are also on the ballot, though unlikely to win statewide election. Insurance agent Stacy Korsgaden has won the party’s official endorsement.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Local taxes as cities face budget crunches\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Voters in the Bay Area’s three largest cities will decide whether to approve new taxes to help bolster struggling local budgets.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In San Francisco and Oakland, the tax votes could provide a key measure of the political clout of Mayors Daniel Lurie and Barbara Lee a year into their terms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12078516\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1999px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12078516\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/260402-OAKTEACHERHOUSING-12-BL_QED-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1999\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/260402-OAKTEACHERHOUSING-12-BL_QED-KQED.jpg 1999w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/260402-OAKTEACHERHOUSING-12-BL_QED-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/260402-OAKTEACHERHOUSING-12-BL_QED-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1999px) 100vw, 1999px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Mayor Barbara Lee speaks during a press conference announcing new affordable housing for Oakland Unified School District teachers and school employees at a recently purchased residential building in Oakland on April 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Lee is \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084482/oakland-mayor-barbara-lee-signals-shell-run-for-full-term-in-november\">pushing for the passage of Measure E\u003c/a>, a parcel tax of $192 a year for single-family properties that is expected to raise $34 million annually. Across the bay, Lurie is asking voters to reject \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide/sanfrancisco/proposition-d\">Proposition D\u003c/a>, a union-backed measure that would increase business taxes on corporations whose CEOs make 100 times more than their median San Francisco employee.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In San José, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide/santaclara/measure-a\">Measure A\u003c/a> has been met with less debate: The city’s entire political establishment is behind the idea of increasing the hotel tax from 10% to 12% to bring in $10 million a year for the general fund.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Los Angeles mayor’s race takes statewide spotlight\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The L.A. mayor’s race has emerged after the governor’s race as one of the most surprising contests in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mayor Karen Bass, a longtime fixture in L.A. Democratic politics, is facing challenges from both the left and the right: City Councilmember Nithya Raman, a former Bass ally, is running as a more progressive alternative; and former reality TV star and Republican Spencer Pratt is running on an anti-establishment platform.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Much of the race has been fueled by lingering anger over Bass’ response to the 2025 L.A. wildfires; Pratt lost his Pacific Palisades home in one of the blazes. Polls show a \u003ca href=\"https://www.politico.com/news/2026/05/28/la-mayor-poll-bass-vulnerable-close-race-raman-pratt-00941128\">close race among all three candidates\u003c/a>, a remarkable turn for Bass, who has represented L.A. in Congress and the state Legislature for decades.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How much will we know on election night?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>As always, Californians’ reliance on vote-by-mail will mean a longer wait for definitive results. That’s especially true if many voters wait until Tuesday to return their ballot.[aside label=\"2026 California Voter Guide\" link1='https://www.kqed.org/voterguide,Learn everything you need to cast an informed ballot for the 2026 primary election' hero=https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/80/2026/04/Aside-California-Voter-Guide-2026-Primary-Election-1200x1200@2x.png]If the leading candidates in the race for governor remain separated by just a handful of percentage points, the top two finishers may not become clear for days or even weeks as ballots are counted.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And the results could shift — data suggests the early vote has been more heavily Republican than in previous primaries, meaning the ballots that remain to be counted could be more heavily Democratic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2022, the second- and third-place finishers in the statewide race for insurance commissioner were separated by less than a percentage point. The race was not decided \u003ca href=\"https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2022-07-06/marc-levine-concedes-in-primary-race-for-state-insurance-commissioner\">until a month\u003c/a> after Election Day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For state and federal races, KQED relies on the Associated Press to “call” the winner, which is determined through an analysis of surveys, results and remaining ballots to declare when a trailing candidate or measure cannot catch the leader.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "California’s primary election includes a number of races worth following on election night and in the days to come as ballots continue to be counted.",
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"title": "Polls Are Closed in California. From Governor to LA Mayor, These Are the Races to Watch | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">Polls are now closed in California’s primary election, and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/elections/results\">the first tallies\u003c/a> are starting to trickle in from some counties. \u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide/california/governor\">race to succeed Gov. Gavin Newsom\u003c/a> has loomed large in media coverage and political advertisements, but there’s a lot more on the ballot. Here’s what we will be watching closely on election night and in the days to come as votes continue to be counted.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>First, one reminder: California has a \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12083839/what-is-californias-jungle-primary-and-why-does-it-matter-so-much-for-the-governors-race\">top-two primary system\u003c/a>, meaning the top two vote-getters in statewide races and congressional races move on to the November runoff — regardless of party affiliation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>A messy, confusing race for California governor\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>California’s first truly open governor’s race in more than two decades has remained unsettled to the end.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Polls now show three candidates likely competing for the two spots in the November general election: Democratic former Health and Human Services Secretary \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/xavier-becerra\">Xavier Becerra\u003c/a>, Republican businessman and former Fox News host \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/steve-hilton\">Steve Hilton\u003c/a> and billionaire Democratic activist \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/tom-steyer\">Tom Steyer\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If Becerra secures one of the top spots, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085276/becerra-hilton-lead-in-california-governors-race-poll-ahead-of-june-primary\">as the latest polling suggests\u003c/a>, it would cap one of the most surprising and dramatic comebacks in recent state political history. As recently as April, polls were showing Becerra — also a former member of Congress and California attorney general — languishing in single digits in a crowded field.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12082916\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12082916\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/GettyImages-2274719112-scaled-e1778887506369.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1316\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California gubernatorial candidates former U.S. Rep. Katie Porter, businessman Tom Steyer, businessman Steve Hilton, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Xavier Becerra, San José Mayor Matt Mahan look on during a CNN California Governor Primary Debate at East Los Angeles College on May 5, 2026, in Monterey Park, California. \u003ccite>(Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But Becerra’s campaign was boosted after former Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell dropped out of the race and resigned from Congress following multiple accusations of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12079502/rep-eric-swalwell-candidate-for-california-governor-is-accused-of-sexual-assault\">sexual assault and harassment\u003c/a>. Shortly after Swalwell’s exit, Becerra began rising in the polls, outpacing most of his Democratic rivals.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>President Donald Trump also \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12078793/trump-endorses-steve-hilton-for-california-governor-giving-gop-a-front-runner\">endorsed Hilton\u003c/a> in April, propelling him to the top of the field alongside Becerra. But neither has cracked more than 25% support in most public polls — and Steyer, who’s spent more than $213 million of his own fortune in the race, remains within striking distance of the top two in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085443/new-california-governor-poll-shows-a-slim-but-growing-chance-of-2-democrats-advancing\">recent surveys\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That state of play helped quell fears among Democrats that a crowded field without a superstar candidate could result in two Republicans moving on to the general election, locking out Democrats entirely.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>An open congressional seat in San Francisco\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>With the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12062796/nancy-pelosi-leaves-congress-after-38-years-defining-generations-of-democratic-power\">retirement\u003c/a> of Democratic powerhouse Nancy Pelosi, most San Francisco voters are facing an open congressional seat for the first time since 1987.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Pelosi’s exit has spurred a tight and spirited contest among three leading Democrats to replace her: state Sen. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/scott-wiener\">Scott Wiener\u003c/a>, San Francisco Supervisor \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/connie-chan\">Connie Chan\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/saikat-chakrabarti\">Saikat Chakrabarti\u003c/a>, a former tech engineer who previously worked as chief of staff for Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12078159\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12078159 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/260107-SFCongressionalCandidateForum-19-BL_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/260107-SFCongressionalCandidateForum-19-BL_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/260107-SFCongressionalCandidateForum-19-BL_qed-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/03/260107-SFCongressionalCandidateForum-19-BL_qed-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Candidates running for California’s 11th Congressional District (from left) Saikat Chakrabarti, state Sen. Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan take part in a forum at UC Law San Francisco on Jan. 7, 2026. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Polls show the race boiling down to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084959/after-pelosi-young-sf-voters-want-change-two-progressives-are-competing-to-offer-it\">a fight for the No. 2 spot\u003c/a>, with Wiener leading and expected to make the November runoff. He’s made a name for himself as a staunch champion of increasing housing development and funding public transit, and defending gay rights. Wiener is seen as the more business-friendly moderate in the race — though on the national stage, he’d be considered incredibly liberal.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Chan has racked up the endorsements of labor groups and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084132/nancy-pelosi-endorses-san-francisco-supervisor-connie-chan-for-congress\">Pelosi\u003c/a>, as well as some other big-name Democrats, including U.S. Sen. Adam Schiff and former San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown. She’s running as a tried-and-true San Francisco progressive and has leaned on her personal story as an immigrant and mother.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Chakrabarti, who’s used his own personal wealth to help fund his upstart campaign, is \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084959/after-pelosi-young-sf-voters-want-change-two-progressives-are-competing-to-offer-it\">running as an outsider\u003c/a> who will shake things up. He’s had to introduce himself to an electorate unfamiliar with him and is banking on frustration with the Democratic Party establishment to help fuel his run.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Other congressional races\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The real action in California’s congressional swing seats won’t start until the fall, when Democrats are hoping to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085418/two-democrats-are-fighting-for-the-chance-to-flip-californias-only-toss-up-house-race\">flip multiple Republican-held districts\u003c/a> in their push to retake the House of Representatives.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But a pair of primaries Tuesday will set the stage for those battles. In the Bakersfield-area 22nd District, Democrats Jasmeet Bains, a moderate state Assembly member and Randy Villegas, a progressive school board member, are competing to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085466/two-democrats-battling-to-unseat-longtime-central-valley-congressman\">challenge incumbent Republican Rep. David Valadao\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12071887\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12071887\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/092222-DAVID-VALADAO-REUTERS-GS-CM.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/092222-DAVID-VALADAO-REUTERS-GS-CM.jpeg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/092222-DAVID-VALADAO-REUTERS-GS-CM-160x107.jpeg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/02/092222-DAVID-VALADAO-REUTERS-GS-CM-1536x1024.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Rep. David Valadao of California speaks at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., on March 17, 2021. \u003ccite>(Graeme Sloan/Sipa USA via Reuters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>And in the newly drawn 48th District, San Diego City Councilmember Marni von Wilpert and Navy Reserve officer Ammar Campa-Najjar are among the Democrats vying to make the general election, where they will likely face Republican Jim Desmond, a San Diego County supervisor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In safe Democratic seats, a handful of primaries are dividing along generational lines. Longtime incumbents Mike Thompson, Doris Matsui and Brad Sherman are all facing youthful challengers arguing for a changing of the guard.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>An important race for insurance commissioner\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide/california/insurance-commissioner\">\u003cstrong>\u003cem>Compare insurance commissioner candidates in the KQED Voter Guide \u003c/em>\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Outside of governor, the primary for California’s insurance commissioner is the statewide election with the highest stakes. The next commissioner will assume \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000611/california-insurance-commissioner-candidates-debate-solutions-to-wildfire-driven-crisis\">oversight of an insurance market in crisis\u003c/a> — with insurers issuing nonrenewals and limiting new policies in the face of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/2000990/california-must-move-faster-on-wildfire-risk-experts-warn\">massive wildfire threats and liabilities\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The field of Democrats running includes state Sen. Ben Allen and former state Sen. Steven Bradford, along with former San Francisco Supervisor Jane Kim and financial analyst Patrick Wolff.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Five Republicans are also on the ballot, though unlikely to win statewide election. Insurance agent Stacy Korsgaden has won the party’s official endorsement.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Local taxes as cities face budget crunches\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Voters in the Bay Area’s three largest cities will decide whether to approve new taxes to help bolster struggling local budgets.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In San Francisco and Oakland, the tax votes could provide a key measure of the political clout of Mayors Daniel Lurie and Barbara Lee a year into their terms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12078516\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1999px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12078516\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/260402-OAKTEACHERHOUSING-12-BL_QED-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1999\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/260402-OAKTEACHERHOUSING-12-BL_QED-KQED.jpg 1999w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/260402-OAKTEACHERHOUSING-12-BL_QED-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/04/260402-OAKTEACHERHOUSING-12-BL_QED-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1999px) 100vw, 1999px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Mayor Barbara Lee speaks during a press conference announcing new affordable housing for Oakland Unified School District teachers and school employees at a recently purchased residential building in Oakland on April 2, 2026. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Lee is \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12084482/oakland-mayor-barbara-lee-signals-shell-run-for-full-term-in-november\">pushing for the passage of Measure E\u003c/a>, a parcel tax of $192 a year for single-family properties that is expected to raise $34 million annually. Across the bay, Lurie is asking voters to reject \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide/sanfrancisco/proposition-d\">Proposition D\u003c/a>, a union-backed measure that would increase business taxes on corporations whose CEOs make 100 times more than their median San Francisco employee.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In San José, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide/santaclara/measure-a\">Measure A\u003c/a> has been met with less debate: The city’s entire political establishment is behind the idea of increasing the hotel tax from 10% to 12% to bring in $10 million a year for the general fund.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Los Angeles mayor’s race takes statewide spotlight\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The L.A. mayor’s race has emerged after the governor’s race as one of the most surprising contests in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mayor Karen Bass, a longtime fixture in L.A. Democratic politics, is facing challenges from both the left and the right: City Councilmember Nithya Raman, a former Bass ally, is running as a more progressive alternative; and former reality TV star and Republican Spencer Pratt is running on an anti-establishment platform.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Much of the race has been fueled by lingering anger over Bass’ response to the 2025 L.A. wildfires; Pratt lost his Pacific Palisades home in one of the blazes. Polls show a \u003ca href=\"https://www.politico.com/news/2026/05/28/la-mayor-poll-bass-vulnerable-close-race-raman-pratt-00941128\">close race among all three candidates\u003c/a>, a remarkable turn for Bass, who has represented L.A. in Congress and the state Legislature for decades.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How much will we know on election night?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>As always, Californians’ reliance on vote-by-mail will mean a longer wait for definitive results. That’s especially true if many voters wait until Tuesday to return their ballot.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>If the leading candidates in the race for governor remain separated by just a handful of percentage points, the top two finishers may not become clear for days or even weeks as ballots are counted.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And the results could shift — data suggests the early vote has been more heavily Republican than in previous primaries, meaning the ballots that remain to be counted could be more heavily Democratic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2022, the second- and third-place finishers in the statewide race for insurance commissioner were separated by less than a percentage point. The race was not decided \u003ca href=\"https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2022-07-06/marc-levine-concedes-in-primary-race-for-state-insurance-commissioner\">until a month\u003c/a> after Election Day.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For state and federal races, KQED relies on the Associated Press to “call” the winner, which is determined through an analysis of surveys, results and remaining ballots to declare when a trailing candidate or measure cannot catch the leader.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"title": "Primary 2026: Still Need to Vote on Election Day? Here’s Where to Do It (and Why You Shouldn’t Mail Your Ballot)",
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"content": "\u003cp>Tuesday is \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/electionsnews\">Election Day\u003c/a> in California, so it’s your last chance to vote in the state primary election — and to cast your vote for who should be the next governor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But if you still need to vote before 8 p.m., you’re not alone. As of Sunday, less than\u003ca href=\"https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/statewide-elections/2026-primary/bsr-statistics.pdf\"> 17%\u003c/a> of registered voters in California returned their ballots, according to \u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/upcoming-elections/primary-election-june-2-2026\">data\u003c/a> from the Secretary of State.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Luckily, you have lots of options for how to cast your vote on Election Day itself. One big thing to know: At this stage, officials say \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085378/usps-changes-ballot-drop-box-near-me-deadline-california-primary-vote-for-governor\">you should definitely \u003cem>not \u003c/em>mail your ballot\u003c/a> using a United States Postal Service mail collection box, since it now runs the risk of being postmarked too late to be counted.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Keep reading for all the ways you can vote on Tuesday. If you still want to learn more about the candidates and measures on your ballot, including the candidates vying for state governor, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide\">take a look at our comprehensive KQED voter guide.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And if you’ve already filled out your ballot but you’re worried you’ve made a mistake, read \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12082075/california-primary-elections-2026-faq-governors-race-vote-ballot-signature-how-to-correct-mistake\">our guide on addressing common ballot errors\u003c/a> before you submit it. The good news: If you’re \u003cem>really \u003c/em>concerned, you still have options to get a fresh ballot or vote in person, even on Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>I’ve filled out my ballot. Where can I submit it?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>First, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12082075/california-primary-elections-2026-faq-governors-race-vote-ballot-signature-how-to-correct-mistake\">make sure you’ve signed the back\u003c/a> of your ballot and included the right date and your address. (It can be easy to forget when you’re rushing.) Then:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Find a secure election drop box near you\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Visit the\u003ca href=\"https://caearlyvoting.sos.ca.gov/\"> state of California lookup tool\u003c/a>, where you can:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Enter your county (adding your city or ZIP code will give more localized results, but it’s optional).\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Check the “Drop Off Location” box.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Hit “Search” to see all the drop-off locations in that area.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11847168\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11847168\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/RS45623_026_KQED_SanFrancisco_BallotDropOff_10312020-qut.jpg\" alt=\"Voters drop off their mail-in ballots at the Chase Center official ballot drop-off location on Oct. 31, 2020.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/RS45623_026_KQED_SanFrancisco_BallotDropOff_10312020-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/RS45623_026_KQED_SanFrancisco_BallotDropOff_10312020-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/RS45623_026_KQED_SanFrancisco_BallotDropOff_10312020-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/RS45623_026_KQED_SanFrancisco_BallotDropOff_10312020-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/RS45623_026_KQED_SanFrancisco_BallotDropOff_10312020-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Voters drop off their mail-in ballots at the Chase Center official ballot drop-off location on Oct. 31, 2020. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Submit it at a voting location near you\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Use the\u003ca href=\"https://caearlyvoting.sos.ca.gov/\"> state of California lookup tool\u003c/a> and check the “Early Voting” box to see all the Election Day voting locations near you. You can then take your ballot to one of these locations and hand-deliver it there.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Another perk of dropping off your ballot at a voting location during operating hours: If you have a few lingering questions about your ballot or the process, chances are good that you’ll find someone there to help answer them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Don’t mail your ballot using USPS on Tuesday\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Remember: State officials — and USPS — stress that \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12082075/california-primary-elections-2026-faq-governors-race-vote-ballot-signature-how-to-correct-mistake\">you shouldn’t \u003cem>mail \u003c/em>your ballot on Election Day\u003c/a>, because there’s a real risk it might be postmarked too late for it to be counted at this stage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Instead, find a secure official election drop box or take it to an open voting location and submit it there. You can also take it to the counter at an open post office on Tuesday and ask them to postmark it today.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Regardless of how you deliver it, you can\u003ca href=\"https://california.ballottrax.net/voter/\"> sign up to track your ballot’s progress with the “Where’s My Ballot?” online tool\u003c/a>, for reassurance that it’s on its way to being counted.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Where can I vote in person on Election Day?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Until 8 p.m. on Election Day, in-person voting is still available at every county registrar’s office (also known as your county’s elections office) in the Bay Area. If you’re a San Francisco voter, this location will be City Hall.\u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/voting-resources/county-elections-offices\"> Find your county registrar’s office and opening hours.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Check your mail-in ballot to see where you can vote and whether you’ve been assigned a specific polling place.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11846400\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11846400\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/002_KQED_SanFrancisco_PollingPlaces_Columbarium_11032020.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/002_KQED_SanFrancisco_PollingPlaces_Columbarium_11032020.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/002_KQED_SanFrancisco_PollingPlaces_Columbarium_11032020-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/002_KQED_SanFrancisco_PollingPlaces_Columbarium_11032020-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/002_KQED_SanFrancisco_PollingPlaces_Columbarium_11032020-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/002_KQED_SanFrancisco_PollingPlaces_Columbarium_11032020-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The San Francisco Columbarium and Funeral Home polling place on Nov. 3, 2020 \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>If you live in San Francisco, Contra Costa or Solano counties:\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You are assigned a specific polling place, though Contra Costa County election officials say they can process your ballot no matter where you show up to vote.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But even if you live in a county that assigns you a particular polling place, you can still vote at\u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/voting-resources/county-elections-offices\"> your county registrar’s office\u003c/a>.[aside label=\"2026 California Voter Guide\" link1='https://www.kqed.org/voterguide,Learn everything you need to cast an informed ballot for the 2026 primary election' hero=https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/80/2026/04/Aside-California-Voter-Guide-2026-Primary-Election-1200x1200@2x.png]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>If you live in Alameda, Marin, Napa, San Mateo, Santa Clara or Sonoma counties:\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You can vote at any voting location — known as Vote Centers — including your county registrar’s office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You can\u003ca href=\"https://caearlyvoting.sos.ca.gov/\"> find your voting location through the state’s lookup tool\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Do I need to bring my ballot with me?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you’d like to cast a ballot in person, it’s a good idea to bring the blank ballot you were mailed, as some counties may require you to vote provisionally if you don’t bring it. If you’re issued a new ballot when you vote in person, any ballot you left at home will be canceled.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Provisional votes are subject to extra checks — confirming that you’re actually registered to vote in California, or that you didn’t already complete and mail your ballot — and this extra layer of confirmation takes time. That means that although your vote will eventually be counted, it might not be tallied on Election Day itself.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>I still need to register to vote. Can I do this on Election Day?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If you’ve changed your name or the political party choice that you previously registered to vote with, or you’ve moved addresses, you’ll need to\u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/voter-registration/\"> reregister\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You can’t do this online on Election Day, but you can still complete the\u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/voter-registration/same-day-reg/\"> same-day voter registration\u003c/a> process (also known as “conditional voting”) and request your ballot in person at your county elections office or polling location. This system enables you to fill out and submit your ballot then and there, up until polls close at 8 p.m. on Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition to voter registration, many voting locations also offer replacement ballots, accessible voting machines and language assistance.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How can I contact my county directly about voting?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://acvote.alamedacountyca.gov/index\">\u003cstrong>Alameda\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: For information about voting by mail, registration and polling place lookup, call 510-267-8683.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.contracostavote.gov/elections/\">\u003cstrong>Contra Costa\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call 925-335-7800 or email voter.services@vote.cccounty.us.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.marincounty.org/depts/rv\">\u003cstrong>Marin\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call 415-473-6456 or go to the Marin County elections webpage to\u003ca href=\"https://www.marincounty.org/depts/rv/contact-us\"> send a form email\u003c/a>.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.countyofnapa.org/396/Elections\">\u003cstrong>Napa\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call 707-253-4321 or email the elections office at elections@countyofnapa.org.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://sfelections.sfgov.org\">\u003cstrong>San Francisco\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call 415-554-4375 or email sfvote@sfgov.org.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.smcacre.org/elections\">\u003cstrong>San Mateo\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call 888-762-8683 or email registrar@smcacre.org.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.sccgov.org/sites/rov/Pages/Registrar-of-Voters.aspx\">\u003cstrong>Santa Clara\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call toll-free at 866-430-VOTE (8683) or email registrar@rov.sccgov.org.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.solanocounty.com/depts/rov/default.asp\">\u003cstrong>Solano\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003cstrong>: \u003c/strong>Call 707-784-6675 or 888-933-VOTE (8683). You can also email elections@solanocounty.com.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://sonomacounty.ca.gov/CRA/Registrar-of-Voters/\">\u003cstrong>Sonoma\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call 707-565-6800 or toll-free at 800-750-8683.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>The state also has a full list of \u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/voting-resources/county-elections-offices/\">every county elections office in California\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Tuesday is \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/electionsnews\">Election Day\u003c/a> in California, so it’s your last chance to vote in the state primary election — and to cast your vote for who should be the next governor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But if you still need to vote before 8 p.m., you’re not alone. As of Sunday, less than\u003ca href=\"https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/statewide-elections/2026-primary/bsr-statistics.pdf\"> 17%\u003c/a> of registered voters in California returned their ballots, according to \u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/upcoming-elections/primary-election-june-2-2026\">data\u003c/a> from the Secretary of State.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Luckily, you have lots of options for how to cast your vote on Election Day itself. One big thing to know: At this stage, officials say \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085378/usps-changes-ballot-drop-box-near-me-deadline-california-primary-vote-for-governor\">you should definitely \u003cem>not \u003c/em>mail your ballot\u003c/a> using a United States Postal Service mail collection box, since it now runs the risk of being postmarked too late to be counted.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Keep reading for all the ways you can vote on Tuesday. If you still want to learn more about the candidates and measures on your ballot, including the candidates vying for state governor, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide\">take a look at our comprehensive KQED voter guide.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And if you’ve already filled out your ballot but you’re worried you’ve made a mistake, read \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12082075/california-primary-elections-2026-faq-governors-race-vote-ballot-signature-how-to-correct-mistake\">our guide on addressing common ballot errors\u003c/a> before you submit it. The good news: If you’re \u003cem>really \u003c/em>concerned, you still have options to get a fresh ballot or vote in person, even on Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>I’ve filled out my ballot. Where can I submit it?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>First, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12082075/california-primary-elections-2026-faq-governors-race-vote-ballot-signature-how-to-correct-mistake\">make sure you’ve signed the back\u003c/a> of your ballot and included the right date and your address. (It can be easy to forget when you’re rushing.) Then:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Find a secure election drop box near you\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Visit the\u003ca href=\"https://caearlyvoting.sos.ca.gov/\"> state of California lookup tool\u003c/a>, where you can:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>Enter your county (adding your city or ZIP code will give more localized results, but it’s optional).\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Check the “Drop Off Location” box.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Hit “Search” to see all the drop-off locations in that area.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11847168\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11847168\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/RS45623_026_KQED_SanFrancisco_BallotDropOff_10312020-qut.jpg\" alt=\"Voters drop off their mail-in ballots at the Chase Center official ballot drop-off location on Oct. 31, 2020.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/RS45623_026_KQED_SanFrancisco_BallotDropOff_10312020-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/RS45623_026_KQED_SanFrancisco_BallotDropOff_10312020-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/RS45623_026_KQED_SanFrancisco_BallotDropOff_10312020-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/RS45623_026_KQED_SanFrancisco_BallotDropOff_10312020-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/RS45623_026_KQED_SanFrancisco_BallotDropOff_10312020-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Voters drop off their mail-in ballots at the Chase Center official ballot drop-off location on Oct. 31, 2020. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Submit it at a voting location near you\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Use the\u003ca href=\"https://caearlyvoting.sos.ca.gov/\"> state of California lookup tool\u003c/a> and check the “Early Voting” box to see all the Election Day voting locations near you. You can then take your ballot to one of these locations and hand-deliver it there.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Another perk of dropping off your ballot at a voting location during operating hours: If you have a few lingering questions about your ballot or the process, chances are good that you’ll find someone there to help answer them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Don’t mail your ballot using USPS on Tuesday\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Remember: State officials — and USPS — stress that \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12082075/california-primary-elections-2026-faq-governors-race-vote-ballot-signature-how-to-correct-mistake\">you shouldn’t \u003cem>mail \u003c/em>your ballot on Election Day\u003c/a>, because there’s a real risk it might be postmarked too late for it to be counted at this stage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Instead, find a secure official election drop box or take it to an open voting location and submit it there. You can also take it to the counter at an open post office on Tuesday and ask them to postmark it today.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Regardless of how you deliver it, you can\u003ca href=\"https://california.ballottrax.net/voter/\"> sign up to track your ballot’s progress with the “Where’s My Ballot?” online tool\u003c/a>, for reassurance that it’s on its way to being counted.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Where can I vote in person on Election Day?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Until 8 p.m. on Election Day, in-person voting is still available at every county registrar’s office (also known as your county’s elections office) in the Bay Area. If you’re a San Francisco voter, this location will be City Hall.\u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/voting-resources/county-elections-offices\"> Find your county registrar’s office and opening hours.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Check your mail-in ballot to see where you can vote and whether you’ve been assigned a specific polling place.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11846400\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11846400\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/002_KQED_SanFrancisco_PollingPlaces_Columbarium_11032020.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/002_KQED_SanFrancisco_PollingPlaces_Columbarium_11032020.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/002_KQED_SanFrancisco_PollingPlaces_Columbarium_11032020-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/002_KQED_SanFrancisco_PollingPlaces_Columbarium_11032020-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/002_KQED_SanFrancisco_PollingPlaces_Columbarium_11032020-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2020/11/002_KQED_SanFrancisco_PollingPlaces_Columbarium_11032020-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The San Francisco Columbarium and Funeral Home polling place on Nov. 3, 2020 \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>If you live in San Francisco, Contra Costa or Solano counties:\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You are assigned a specific polling place, though Contra Costa County election officials say they can process your ballot no matter where you show up to vote.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But even if you live in a county that assigns you a particular polling place, you can still vote at\u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/voting-resources/county-elections-offices\"> your county registrar’s office\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>If you live in Alameda, Marin, Napa, San Mateo, Santa Clara or Sonoma counties:\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You can vote at any voting location — known as Vote Centers — including your county registrar’s office.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You can\u003ca href=\"https://caearlyvoting.sos.ca.gov/\"> find your voting location through the state’s lookup tool\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cstrong>Do I need to bring my ballot with me?\u003c/strong>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you’d like to cast a ballot in person, it’s a good idea to bring the blank ballot you were mailed, as some counties may require you to vote provisionally if you don’t bring it. If you’re issued a new ballot when you vote in person, any ballot you left at home will be canceled.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Provisional votes are subject to extra checks — confirming that you’re actually registered to vote in California, or that you didn’t already complete and mail your ballot — and this extra layer of confirmation takes time. That means that although your vote will eventually be counted, it might not be tallied on Election Day itself.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>I still need to register to vote. Can I do this on Election Day?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>If you’ve changed your name or the political party choice that you previously registered to vote with, or you’ve moved addresses, you’ll need to\u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/voter-registration/\"> reregister\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You can’t do this online on Election Day, but you can still complete the\u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/voter-registration/same-day-reg/\"> same-day voter registration\u003c/a> process (also known as “conditional voting”) and request your ballot in person at your county elections office or polling location. This system enables you to fill out and submit your ballot then and there, up until polls close at 8 p.m. on Tuesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition to voter registration, many voting locations also offer replacement ballots, accessible voting machines and language assistance.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How can I contact my county directly about voting?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://acvote.alamedacountyca.gov/index\">\u003cstrong>Alameda\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: For information about voting by mail, registration and polling place lookup, call 510-267-8683.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.contracostavote.gov/elections/\">\u003cstrong>Contra Costa\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call 925-335-7800 or email voter.services@vote.cccounty.us.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.marincounty.org/depts/rv\">\u003cstrong>Marin\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call 415-473-6456 or go to the Marin County elections webpage to\u003ca href=\"https://www.marincounty.org/depts/rv/contact-us\"> send a form email\u003c/a>.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.countyofnapa.org/396/Elections\">\u003cstrong>Napa\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call 707-253-4321 or email the elections office at elections@countyofnapa.org.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://sfelections.sfgov.org\">\u003cstrong>San Francisco\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call 415-554-4375 or email sfvote@sfgov.org.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.smcacre.org/elections\">\u003cstrong>San Mateo\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call 888-762-8683 or email registrar@smcacre.org.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.sccgov.org/sites/rov/Pages/Registrar-of-Voters.aspx\">\u003cstrong>Santa Clara\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call toll-free at 866-430-VOTE (8683) or email registrar@rov.sccgov.org.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.solanocounty.com/depts/rov/default.asp\">\u003cstrong>Solano\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>\u003cstrong>: \u003c/strong>Call 707-784-6675 or 888-933-VOTE (8683). You can also email elections@solanocounty.com.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://sonomacounty.ca.gov/CRA/Registrar-of-Voters/\">\u003cstrong>Sonoma\u003c/strong>\u003c/a>: Call 707-565-6800 or toll-free at 800-750-8683.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>The state also has a full list of \u003ca href=\"https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/voting-resources/county-elections-offices/\">every county elections office in California\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "polymarket-kalshi-prediction-markets-elections-california-primary-governor-vote",
"title": "What Can Prediction Markets Tell Us About the California Governor’s Race?",
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"headTitle": "What Can Prediction Markets Tell Us About the California Governor’s Race? | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>California’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide/california/governor%5C\">top-two primary for governor\u003c/a> is coming down to the final turn.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the last few polls before Election Day, Democrat Xavier Becerra has kept a steady — but small — lead. One survey \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085443/new-california-governor-poll-shows-a-slim-but-growing-chance-of-2-democrats-advancing\">showed\u003c/a> Becerra leading with 25% support among likely voters, followed closely by Republican Steve Hilton with 21%. Another poll \u003ca href=\"https://emersoncollegepolling.com/california-2026-poll-becerra-leads-steyer-and-hilton-toss-up-for-second-spot/\">published\u003c/a> last Saturday also had Becerra ahead, but with Democrat Tom Steyer in second position instead.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Polls ask likely voters who they think they will vote for. But what if instead you ask voters who they think \u003cem>will win\u003c/em> the race? Two different questions, two different kinds of information.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As Californians follow this year’s governor’s race, they have access not only to polls but also to data from prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. Major media outlets like \u003ca href=\"https://news.kalshi.com/p/kalshi-cnn-prediction-market-partnership\">CNN\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://news.kalshi.com/p/fox-kalshi-partnership-prediction-market-data-integration\">Fox News\u003c/a> now include the probabilities listed on Kalshi as part of their election coverage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And earlier this year, Polymarket \u003ca href=\"https://x.com/Polymarket/status/2024217326065783058\">announced\u003c/a> an exclusive partnership with the newsletter platform Substack, claiming that “journalism is better when it’s backed by live markets.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As of this story’s publishing, Becerra’s odds are listed at 74% on Polymarket and 72% on Kalshi. Steyer comes in second position on both sites, just shy of 20%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12071100\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12071100\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/260226-GOVRACEFORUM-04-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/260226-GOVRACEFORUM-04-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/260226-GOVRACEFORUM-04-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/260226-GOVRACEFORUM-04-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Xavier Becerra speaks during a gubernatorial candidate forum at the UCSF Mission Bay campus in San Francisco on Jan. 26, 2026. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Becerra’s odds on both prediction markets have steadily increased as more traders put money down on him becoming the next governor. The more people believe something will happen, the more valuable those “shares” become — unlike traditional betting, in which oddsmakers set odds.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But just how good are prediction markets and what can they tell us that polls can’t?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While prediction markets have advertised themselves as \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZA5bY4K9XPs\">powerful tools\u003c/a> to predict what will happen in the future, the experts KQED spoke with recommended looking at predictions on the governor’s race with a critical eye, as these markets can be informative but remain vulnerable to inefficiencies and manipulation.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What markets know (and don’t)\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Kalshi and Polymarket let people become “traders” and make predictions about future events by putting money down on a specific outcome. There are wagers for almost anything that involves some uncertainty: whether the United States and Iran will \u003ca href=\"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusairanagreement/us-iran-nuclear-deal/kxusairanagreement-27\">sign a new nuclear deal\u003c/a>, which nation will win the \u003ca href=\"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmenworldcup/mens-world-cup-winner/kxmenworldcup-26\">FIFA Men’s World Cup\u003c/a> and even whether Jesus Christ \u003ca href=\"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jesus-christ-return-before-2027\">will return\u003c/a> — before 2027.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>(But just don’t call it “betting” — both sites avoid that terminology as \u003ca href=\"https://www.cbssports.com/betting/news/u-s-sports-betting-where-all-50-states-stand-on-legalizing-online-sports-betting-sites-proposed-legislation/\">most states\u003c/a> prohibit online sports gambling, which makes up the bulk of the billions of dollars traded.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Prediction markets listing Becerra’s odds at 70% does not mean he will end up with 70% of the vote on Tuesday. Rather, this number lets traders know how much each share costs and the expected payout if he’s elected governor. If you were to buy the “yes” position on Becerra becoming the next governor, you would essentially be entering into a contract that pays $1 if he wins and $0 if he doesn’t. With 70% odds, each contract for a Becerra win will cost $.70.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12082916\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12082916\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/GettyImages-2274719112-scaled-e1778887506369.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1316\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California gubernatorial candidates former U.S. Rep. Katie Porter, businessman Tom Steyer, businessman Steve Hilton, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Xavier Becerra, San José Mayor Matt Mahan look on during a CNN California Governor Primary Debate at East Los Angeles College on May 5, 2026, in Monterey Park, California. \u003ccite>(Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>As more users — and their money — join Polymarket and Kalshi to trade on the \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/12/23/nx-s1-5647749/rise-of-prediction-markets\">outcomes of elections\u003c/a>, both sites have sought to brand themselves as more effective alternatives to polls. A spokesperson for Polymarket told KQED that the platform “has proved to be an accurate tool for political forecasting, oftentimes even more so than traditional polling data.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And while Kalshi did not respond to KQED’s questions, CEO Tarek Mansour said in a \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztDWEjW8xNg&t=21s\">recent interview\u003c/a> that people tend to be more truthful when they have money on the line. “I think there’s a little bit of elegance in the idea that markets don’t lie,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Prediction markets can aggregate a lot of different information at once, as traders are usually keeping up with the news and different polls, said Neil Malhotra, professor of political economy at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. The assumption, he said, “is that people are incentivized to make good predictions because if they don’t, they’ll lose money.”[aside label=\"From the 2026 Voter Guide\" link1='https://www.kqed.org/voterguide/california/governor,Learn about the California Governor Election' hero=https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/80/2026/04/Aside-California-Governor-2026-Primary-Election-1200x1200@2x.png]Traders can sell and buy shares of a race at any given time before election officials announce results. So the odds for a candidate can reflect changes on the campaign trail a lot faster than what it would take pollsters to conduct a survey.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Back in March, for example, then-Congressman Eric Swalwell saw his odds on Kalshi reach 75% but then quickly sink as more women \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12079505/sexual-assault-allegations-against-rep-eric-swalwell-could-upend-california-governors-race\">spoke up\u003c/a> to accuse him of sexual harassment. The day before he announced his exit from the race, Swalwell’s odds were almost at zero.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Malhotra also cautioned that it’s still unclear how much the actions of a single trader could influence the probabilities listed on the platform. A single person could pump tens of thousands of dollars into the market for a specific outcome and potentially make one candidate look like they have a much stronger chance of victory. Earlier this year, major Democratic donor Stephen Cloobeck \u003ca href=\"https://www.politico.com/news/2026/02/24/swalwell-ally-blocked-from-prediction-market-in-california-governors-race-00796988\">was blocked\u003c/a> from Kalshi after trying to place approximately $1,000 on ally and close friend Swalwell.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And if traders are looking at different polls to make their predictions, any problems in polling, Malhotra said, “might be reflected in the prediction markets as well.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s why other researchers believe that prediction markets are flawed tools.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think that the movements that we see day to day in these markets oftentimes should be purely ignored,” said Eben Lazarus, assistant professor of finance at the Haas School of Business at UC Berkeley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Markets move so much in response to small trades and small pieces of news,” he said. “That adds to the uncertainty that you should attach to the numbers that you see in them.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11989914\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11989914 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/AP24164510666254-scaled-e1780339017880.jpg\" alt=\"A logo of a blue, white and red silhouette with a man dribbling a basketball.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The NBA logo is shown on a basketball court in Lake Buena Vista, Florida, on Aug. 28, 2020. \u003ccite>(Ashley Landis/The Associated Press)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Let’s run that back — on the basketball court.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By studying how basketball fans bet over NBA games, Lazarus \u003ca href=\"https://newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/sports-betting-and-financial-market-data-show-how-people-misinterpret-new-information-in-predictable-ways/\">found\u003c/a> that individuals can be heavily influenced by small, insignificant news and actually underestimate much more important pieces of information. Participants in his study would place a lot of importance on things that would happen during the first quarter and underreact during the last few minutes of the game — when the game’s actual outcome is decided.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Traders might get really excited that Stephen Curry hits a three-pointer for the Golden State Warriors early in the first quarter, but, Lazarus said, “that means very little for the eventual outcome.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Similar behavior comes up in other types of markets that wager on predictions, he said. “People tend to treat pieces of information as sort of too similar to one another,” he said. “Then you’re going to overreact to basically useless stuff and often underreact to stuff that matters a lot.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That means that the odds listed in prediction markets are dependent not just on \u003cem>who’s\u003c/em> betting on what outcome, but \u003cem>how\u003c/em> traders process the information they’re being exposed to throughout the race. A flashy debate performance or big policy announcement may not actually move voters as much as it could influence traders who may be constantly consuming a lot more election coverage.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What’s the price of knowing?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>It’s important to remember that prediction markets have also been wrong many times, said Julian Vogel, assistant professor of finance at San José State University and \u003ca href=\"https://career.rady.ucsd.edu/blog/2023/01/24/what-is-a-chartered-financial-analyst-cfa/\">chartered financial analyst\u003c/a>. “This doesn’t show you what will actually happen; it shows you what most people — who invest in this platform in particular — think might happen,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These platforms \u003ca href=\"https://news.kalshi.com/p/fox-kalshi-partnership-prediction-market-data-integration\">may insist\u003c/a> that they offer data that’s accurate and unbiased, but for markets to be a “truth machine”, Vogel said, “there have to be insiders who know the truth [also] trading.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He pointed to the case of the U.S. soldier \u003ca href=\"https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/us-soldier-charged-using-classified-information-profit-prediction-market-bets\">charged\u003c/a> with using classified information about the capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro to make more than $400,000 \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2026/04/23/nx-s1-5797957/maduro-raid-charges-polymarket-insider\">on Polymarket\u003c/a>. Having someone with access to real, classified information “tipped the scales in favor of what turned out to be the correct outcome,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12068661\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12068661\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/NicolasMaduroGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1485\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/NicolasMaduroGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/NicolasMaduroGetty-160x119.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/NicolasMaduroGetty-1536x1140.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nicolas Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, are seen in handcuffs after landing at a Manhattan helipad, escorted by heavily armed Federal agents as they make their way into an armored car en route to a Federal courthouse in Manhattan on Jan. 5, 2026, in New York City. \u003ccite>(XNY/Star Max via GC Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“If that person would not have traded, then it would have been anybody’s best guess,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But having people with access to delicate information trade — and profit — from this knowledge raises both ethical and legal questions. The Senate \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2026/05/19/g-s1-121820/house-holds-off-on-prediction-market-ban-despite-bipartisan-calls-for-prohibition\">banned\u003c/a> earlier this year staff and Senators from using prediction markets, including buying shares related to federal policy. And in April, Kalshi \u003ca href=\"https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/kalshi-fines-and-suspends-3-congressional-candidates-for-betting-on-their-own-elections\">suspended\u003c/a> the accounts of three users who were also congressional candidates and wagered on the outcome of their own elections.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As more money flows into these sites, individual states have stepped up regulation. Last month, Minnesota became the \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2026/05/19/nx-s1-5821265/minnesota-ban-prediction-markets\">first state\u003c/a> to specifically ban prediction markets — including wagers over the outcome of “a federal, state, or local election.” However, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the federal agency tasked with regulating prediction markets, almost immediately filed \u003ca href=\"https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9233-26\">a lawsuit\u003c/a> against Minnesota over the new law, claiming the legislation undermines federal authority.[aside label=\"2026 California Voter Guide\" link1='https://www.kqed.org/voterguide,Learn everything you need to cast an informed ballot for the 2026 primary election' hero=https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/80/2026/04/Aside-California-Voter-Guide-2026-Primary-Election-1200x1200@2x.png]President Donald Trump, in a recent \u003ca href=\"https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116642964849373081\">Truth Social post\u003c/a>, sided with the CFTC, insisting that the agency maintains “exclusive authority” over prediction markets and that it’s “critically important” that these companies “thrive.” Trump’s eldest son, Donald Trump, Jr., is an advisor for both Kalshi and Polymarket — a relationship that independent experts \u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/24/us/how-prediction-markets-and-crypto-firms-steamrolled-a-watchdog-agency.html\">have questioned\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And even in California, prediction market companies are flexing their own muscles. As first \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2026/06/kalshi-becerra-prediction-governor/\">reported\u003c/a> by CalMatters on Monday, Kalshi donated $39,200 to Becerra’s campaign, one of the company’s largest political contributions to date.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for individual voters looking at prediction markets now, they should consider if the people making wagers are actually “learning from other people’s wisdom,” Malhotra said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But this strategy comes with its own risks, he said. The wisdom of crowds doesn’t work when the judgment of each individual is correlated, meaning that the same outside factor influences us.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If we’re judging a candidate by how handsome they are or something like that, rather than their quality or their policy issues … then you might actually not have the wisdom of crowds because our mistakes might be correlated with each other,” Malhotra said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Financial markets help us understand the price of almost anything — something economists call “price discovery.” How much you pay to fill up your car’s gas tank is \u003ca href=\"https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/oil-and-petroleum-products/prices-and-outlook.php\">directly correlated\u003c/a> with the actions of investors in petroleum markets worldwide. But with prediction data now available alongside polls, voters have the power to decide how much markets will influence \u003cem>their \u003c/em>individual decisions when filling out a ballot, Malhotra said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A big social question we have to ask: Is the price discovery about things that are important to us as a society — like who’s going to win an election — should that be put in the same category as what’s the price of an apple?” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s something we have to struggle with,” he said. “What are the pros and cons of these prediction markets on our democracy?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>California’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/voterguide/california/governor%5C\">top-two primary for governor\u003c/a> is coming down to the final turn.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the last few polls before Election Day, Democrat Xavier Becerra has kept a steady — but small — lead. One survey \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12085443/new-california-governor-poll-shows-a-slim-but-growing-chance-of-2-democrats-advancing\">showed\u003c/a> Becerra leading with 25% support among likely voters, followed closely by Republican Steve Hilton with 21%. Another poll \u003ca href=\"https://emersoncollegepolling.com/california-2026-poll-becerra-leads-steyer-and-hilton-toss-up-for-second-spot/\">published\u003c/a> last Saturday also had Becerra ahead, but with Democrat Tom Steyer in second position instead.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Polls ask likely voters who they think they will vote for. But what if instead you ask voters who they think \u003cem>will win\u003c/em> the race? Two different questions, two different kinds of information.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As Californians follow this year’s governor’s race, they have access not only to polls but also to data from prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. Major media outlets like \u003ca href=\"https://news.kalshi.com/p/kalshi-cnn-prediction-market-partnership\">CNN\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://news.kalshi.com/p/fox-kalshi-partnership-prediction-market-data-integration\">Fox News\u003c/a> now include the probabilities listed on Kalshi as part of their election coverage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And earlier this year, Polymarket \u003ca href=\"https://x.com/Polymarket/status/2024217326065783058\">announced\u003c/a> an exclusive partnership with the newsletter platform Substack, claiming that “journalism is better when it’s backed by live markets.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As of this story’s publishing, Becerra’s odds are listed at 74% on Polymarket and 72% on Kalshi. Steyer comes in second position on both sites, just shy of 20%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12071100\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12071100\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/260226-GOVRACEFORUM-04-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/260226-GOVRACEFORUM-04-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/260226-GOVRACEFORUM-04-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/260226-GOVRACEFORUM-04-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Xavier Becerra speaks during a gubernatorial candidate forum at the UCSF Mission Bay campus in San Francisco on Jan. 26, 2026. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Becerra’s odds on both prediction markets have steadily increased as more traders put money down on him becoming the next governor. The more people believe something will happen, the more valuable those “shares” become — unlike traditional betting, in which oddsmakers set odds.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But just how good are prediction markets and what can they tell us that polls can’t?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While prediction markets have advertised themselves as \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZA5bY4K9XPs\">powerful tools\u003c/a> to predict what will happen in the future, the experts KQED spoke with recommended looking at predictions on the governor’s race with a critical eye, as these markets can be informative but remain vulnerable to inefficiencies and manipulation.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What markets know (and don’t)\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Kalshi and Polymarket let people become “traders” and make predictions about future events by putting money down on a specific outcome. There are wagers for almost anything that involves some uncertainty: whether the United States and Iran will \u003ca href=\"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusairanagreement/us-iran-nuclear-deal/kxusairanagreement-27\">sign a new nuclear deal\u003c/a>, which nation will win the \u003ca href=\"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmenworldcup/mens-world-cup-winner/kxmenworldcup-26\">FIFA Men’s World Cup\u003c/a> and even whether Jesus Christ \u003ca href=\"https://polymarket.com/event/will-jesus-christ-return-before-2027\">will return\u003c/a> — before 2027.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>(But just don’t call it “betting” — both sites avoid that terminology as \u003ca href=\"https://www.cbssports.com/betting/news/u-s-sports-betting-where-all-50-states-stand-on-legalizing-online-sports-betting-sites-proposed-legislation/\">most states\u003c/a> prohibit online sports gambling, which makes up the bulk of the billions of dollars traded.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Prediction markets listing Becerra’s odds at 70% does not mean he will end up with 70% of the vote on Tuesday. Rather, this number lets traders know how much each share costs and the expected payout if he’s elected governor. If you were to buy the “yes” position on Becerra becoming the next governor, you would essentially be entering into a contract that pays $1 if he wins and $0 if he doesn’t. With 70% odds, each contract for a Becerra win will cost $.70.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12082916\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12082916\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/05/GettyImages-2274719112-scaled-e1778887506369.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1316\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California gubernatorial candidates former U.S. Rep. Katie Porter, businessman Tom Steyer, businessman Steve Hilton, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Xavier Becerra, San José Mayor Matt Mahan look on during a CNN California Governor Primary Debate at East Los Angeles College on May 5, 2026, in Monterey Park, California. \u003ccite>(Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>As more users — and their money — join Polymarket and Kalshi to trade on the \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/12/23/nx-s1-5647749/rise-of-prediction-markets\">outcomes of elections\u003c/a>, both sites have sought to brand themselves as more effective alternatives to polls. A spokesperson for Polymarket told KQED that the platform “has proved to be an accurate tool for political forecasting, oftentimes even more so than traditional polling data.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And while Kalshi did not respond to KQED’s questions, CEO Tarek Mansour said in a \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztDWEjW8xNg&t=21s\">recent interview\u003c/a> that people tend to be more truthful when they have money on the line. “I think there’s a little bit of elegance in the idea that markets don’t lie,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Prediction markets can aggregate a lot of different information at once, as traders are usually keeping up with the news and different polls, said Neil Malhotra, professor of political economy at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. The assumption, he said, “is that people are incentivized to make good predictions because if they don’t, they’ll lose money.”\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Traders can sell and buy shares of a race at any given time before election officials announce results. So the odds for a candidate can reflect changes on the campaign trail a lot faster than what it would take pollsters to conduct a survey.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Back in March, for example, then-Congressman Eric Swalwell saw his odds on Kalshi reach 75% but then quickly sink as more women \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12079505/sexual-assault-allegations-against-rep-eric-swalwell-could-upend-california-governors-race\">spoke up\u003c/a> to accuse him of sexual harassment. The day before he announced his exit from the race, Swalwell’s odds were almost at zero.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Malhotra also cautioned that it’s still unclear how much the actions of a single trader could influence the probabilities listed on the platform. A single person could pump tens of thousands of dollars into the market for a specific outcome and potentially make one candidate look like they have a much stronger chance of victory. Earlier this year, major Democratic donor Stephen Cloobeck \u003ca href=\"https://www.politico.com/news/2026/02/24/swalwell-ally-blocked-from-prediction-market-in-california-governors-race-00796988\">was blocked\u003c/a> from Kalshi after trying to place approximately $1,000 on ally and close friend Swalwell.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And if traders are looking at different polls to make their predictions, any problems in polling, Malhotra said, “might be reflected in the prediction markets as well.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s why other researchers believe that prediction markets are flawed tools.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think that the movements that we see day to day in these markets oftentimes should be purely ignored,” said Eben Lazarus, assistant professor of finance at the Haas School of Business at UC Berkeley.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Markets move so much in response to small trades and small pieces of news,” he said. “That adds to the uncertainty that you should attach to the numbers that you see in them.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11989914\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11989914 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/06/AP24164510666254-scaled-e1780339017880.jpg\" alt=\"A logo of a blue, white and red silhouette with a man dribbling a basketball.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1334\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The NBA logo is shown on a basketball court in Lake Buena Vista, Florida, on Aug. 28, 2020. \u003ccite>(Ashley Landis/The Associated Press)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Let’s run that back — on the basketball court.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>By studying how basketball fans bet over NBA games, Lazarus \u003ca href=\"https://newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/sports-betting-and-financial-market-data-show-how-people-misinterpret-new-information-in-predictable-ways/\">found\u003c/a> that individuals can be heavily influenced by small, insignificant news and actually underestimate much more important pieces of information. Participants in his study would place a lot of importance on things that would happen during the first quarter and underreact during the last few minutes of the game — when the game’s actual outcome is decided.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Traders might get really excited that Stephen Curry hits a three-pointer for the Golden State Warriors early in the first quarter, but, Lazarus said, “that means very little for the eventual outcome.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Similar behavior comes up in other types of markets that wager on predictions, he said. “People tend to treat pieces of information as sort of too similar to one another,” he said. “Then you’re going to overreact to basically useless stuff and often underreact to stuff that matters a lot.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That means that the odds listed in prediction markets are dependent not just on \u003cem>who’s\u003c/em> betting on what outcome, but \u003cem>how\u003c/em> traders process the information they’re being exposed to throughout the race. A flashy debate performance or big policy announcement may not actually move voters as much as it could influence traders who may be constantly consuming a lot more election coverage.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What’s the price of knowing?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>It’s important to remember that prediction markets have also been wrong many times, said Julian Vogel, assistant professor of finance at San José State University and \u003ca href=\"https://career.rady.ucsd.edu/blog/2023/01/24/what-is-a-chartered-financial-analyst-cfa/\">chartered financial analyst\u003c/a>. “This doesn’t show you what will actually happen; it shows you what most people — who invest in this platform in particular — think might happen,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These platforms \u003ca href=\"https://news.kalshi.com/p/fox-kalshi-partnership-prediction-market-data-integration\">may insist\u003c/a> that they offer data that’s accurate and unbiased, but for markets to be a “truth machine”, Vogel said, “there have to be insiders who know the truth [also] trading.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He pointed to the case of the U.S. soldier \u003ca href=\"https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/us-soldier-charged-using-classified-information-profit-prediction-market-bets\">charged\u003c/a> with using classified information about the capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro to make more than $400,000 \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2026/04/23/nx-s1-5797957/maduro-raid-charges-polymarket-insider\">on Polymarket\u003c/a>. Having someone with access to real, classified information “tipped the scales in favor of what turned out to be the correct outcome,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12068661\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12068661\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/NicolasMaduroGetty.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1485\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/NicolasMaduroGetty.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/NicolasMaduroGetty-160x119.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2026/01/NicolasMaduroGetty-1536x1140.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nicolas Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, are seen in handcuffs after landing at a Manhattan helipad, escorted by heavily armed Federal agents as they make their way into an armored car en route to a Federal courthouse in Manhattan on Jan. 5, 2026, in New York City. \u003ccite>(XNY/Star Max via GC Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“If that person would not have traded, then it would have been anybody’s best guess,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But having people with access to delicate information trade — and profit — from this knowledge raises both ethical and legal questions. The Senate \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2026/05/19/g-s1-121820/house-holds-off-on-prediction-market-ban-despite-bipartisan-calls-for-prohibition\">banned\u003c/a> earlier this year staff and Senators from using prediction markets, including buying shares related to federal policy. And in April, Kalshi \u003ca href=\"https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/kalshi-fines-and-suspends-3-congressional-candidates-for-betting-on-their-own-elections\">suspended\u003c/a> the accounts of three users who were also congressional candidates and wagered on the outcome of their own elections.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As more money flows into these sites, individual states have stepped up regulation. Last month, Minnesota became the \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2026/05/19/nx-s1-5821265/minnesota-ban-prediction-markets\">first state\u003c/a> to specifically ban prediction markets — including wagers over the outcome of “a federal, state, or local election.” However, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the federal agency tasked with regulating prediction markets, almost immediately filed \u003ca href=\"https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9233-26\">a lawsuit\u003c/a> against Minnesota over the new law, claiming the legislation undermines federal authority.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>President Donald Trump, in a recent \u003ca href=\"https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116642964849373081\">Truth Social post\u003c/a>, sided with the CFTC, insisting that the agency maintains “exclusive authority” over prediction markets and that it’s “critically important” that these companies “thrive.” Trump’s eldest son, Donald Trump, Jr., is an advisor for both Kalshi and Polymarket — a relationship that independent experts \u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/24/us/how-prediction-markets-and-crypto-firms-steamrolled-a-watchdog-agency.html\">have questioned\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And even in California, prediction market companies are flexing their own muscles. As first \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2026/06/kalshi-becerra-prediction-governor/\">reported\u003c/a> by CalMatters on Monday, Kalshi donated $39,200 to Becerra’s campaign, one of the company’s largest political contributions to date.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for individual voters looking at prediction markets now, they should consider if the people making wagers are actually “learning from other people’s wisdom,” Malhotra said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But this strategy comes with its own risks, he said. The wisdom of crowds doesn’t work when the judgment of each individual is correlated, meaning that the same outside factor influences us.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If we’re judging a candidate by how handsome they are or something like that, rather than their quality or their policy issues … then you might actually not have the wisdom of crowds because our mistakes might be correlated with each other,” Malhotra said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Financial markets help us understand the price of almost anything — something economists call “price discovery.” How much you pay to fill up your car’s gas tank is \u003ca href=\"https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/oil-and-petroleum-products/prices-and-outlook.php\">directly correlated\u003c/a> with the actions of investors in petroleum markets worldwide. But with prediction data now available alongside polls, voters have the power to decide how much markets will influence \u003cem>their \u003c/em>individual decisions when filling out a ballot, Malhotra said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A big social question we have to ask: Is the price discovery about things that are important to us as a society — like who’s going to win an election — should that be put in the same category as what’s the price of an apple?” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s something we have to struggle with,” he said. “What are the pros and cons of these prediction markets on our democracy?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"info": "What kind of no sabo word is Hyphenación? For us, it’s about living within a hyphenation. Like being a third-gen Mexican-American from the Texas border now living that Bay Area Chicano life. Like Xorje! Each week we bring together a couple of hyphenated Latinos to talk all about personal life choices: family, careers, relationships, belonging … everything is on the table. ",
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"info": "Our flagship program, helmed by Kai Ryssdal, examines what the day in money delivered, through stories, conversations, newsworthy numbers and more. Updated Monday through Friday at about 3:30 p.m. PT.",
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"info": "The MindShift podcast explores the innovations in education that are shaping how kids learn. Hosts Ki Sung and Katrina Schwartz introduce listeners to educators, researchers, parents and students who are developing effective ways to improve how kids learn. We cover topics like how fed-up administrators are developing surprising tactics to deal with classroom disruptions; how listening to podcasts are helping kids develop reading skills; the consequences of overparenting; and why interdisciplinary learning can engage students on all ends of the traditional achievement spectrum. This podcast is part of the MindShift education site, a division of KQED News. KQED is an NPR/PBS member station based in San Francisco. You can also visit the MindShift website for episodes and supplemental blog posts or tweet us \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/MindShiftKQED\">@MindShiftKQED\u003c/a> or visit us at \u003ca href=\"/mindshift\">MindShift.KQED.org\u003c/a>",
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"info": "For decades, the process for how police police themselves has been inconsistent – if not opaque. In some states, like California, these proceedings were completely hidden. After a new police transparency law unsealed scores of internal affairs files, our reporters set out to examine these cases and the shadow world of police discipline. On Our Watch brings listeners into the rooms where officers are questioned and witnesses are interrogated to find out who this system is really protecting. Is it the officers, or the public they've sworn to serve?",
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"tagline": "Politics from a personal perspective",
"info": "Political Breakdown is a new series that explores the political intersection of California and the nation. Each week hosts Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos are joined with a new special guest to unpack politics -- with personality — and offer an insider’s glimpse at how politics happens.",
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"possible": {
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"info": "Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. Together in Possible, Hoffman and Finger lead enlightening discussions about building a brighter collective future. The show features interviews with visionary guests like Trevor Noah, Sam Altman and Janette Sadik-Khan. Possible paints an optimistic portrait of the world we can create through science, policy, business, art and our shared humanity. It asks: What if everything goes right for once? How can we get there? Each episode also includes a short fiction story generated by advanced AI GPT-4, serving as a thought-provoking springboard to speculate how humanity could leverage technology for good.",
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"pri-the-world": {
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"title": "PRI's The World: Latest Edition",
"info": "Each weekday, host Marco Werman and his team of producers bring you the world's most interesting stories in an hour of radio that reminds us just how small our planet really is.",
"airtime": "MON-FRI 2pm-3pm",
"imageSrc": "https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/The-World-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg",
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},
"radiolab": {
"id": "radiolab",
"title": "Radiolab",
"info": "A two-time Peabody Award-winner, Radiolab is an investigation told through sounds and stories, and centered around one big idea. In the Radiolab world, information sounds like music and science and culture collide. Hosted by Jad Abumrad and Robert Krulwich, the show is designed for listeners who demand skepticism, but appreciate wonder. WNYC Studios is the producer of other leading podcasts including Freakonomics Radio, Death, Sex & Money, On the Media and many more.",
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},
"reveal": {
"id": "reveal",
"title": "Reveal",
"info": "Created by The Center for Investigative Reporting and PRX, Reveal is public radios first one-hour weekly radio show and podcast dedicated to investigative reporting. Credible, fact based and without a partisan agenda, Reveal combines the power and artistry of driveway moment storytelling with data-rich reporting on critically important issues. The result is stories that inform and inspire, arming our listeners with information to right injustices, hold the powerful accountable and improve lives.Reveal is hosted by Al Letson and showcases the award-winning work of CIR and newsrooms large and small across the nation. In a radio and podcast market crowded with choices, Reveal focuses on important and often surprising stories that illuminate the world for our listeners.",
"airtime": "SAT 4pm-5pm",
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"officialWebsiteLink": "https://www.revealnews.org/episodes/",
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"rss": "http://feeds.revealradio.org/revealpodcast"
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},
"rightnowish": {
"id": "rightnowish",
"title": "Rightnowish",
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