President Trump said he will begin imposing a 5% tariff on all goods imported from Mexico beginning June 10, unless it does more to help reduce illegal immigration flowing into the United States from Central America.
According to statistics from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, California imported $44 billion worth of goods from Mexico in 2018. A 5% tariff would threaten $2.2 billion of state imports.
Shares of automaker stocks fell Friday morning following the news. It also drew a response from carmakers, many of whom have built facilities in Mexico in recent years to take advantage of cheaper labor, looser regulations and easy access to the U.S.
The American Automotive Policy Council, which represents U.S. automakers, criticized the threat to impose tariffs on Mexico, in a statement released Friday.
“We are strong supporters of the administration’s United States Mexico Canada Agreement because it makes significant improvements to the NAFTA, but it relies on duty-free access to be successful,” the council said. “The imposition of tariffs against Mexico will undermine its positive impact and would impose significant cost on the U.S. auto industry.”
In a statement issued late Thursday, Trump cited his authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, and said the crisis at the southern border requires action.
“Accordingly, starting on June 10, 2019, the United States will impose a 5% Tariff on all goods imported from Mexico. If the illegal migration crisis is alleviated through effective actions taken by Mexico, to be determined in our sole discretion and judgment, the Tariffs will be removed. If the crisis persists, however, the Tariffs will be raised to 10% on July 1, 2019.”
Trump added that unless the Mexican government takes steps to “dramatically reduce or eliminate” the flow of Central American migrants moving through its country, tariffs will go to 15% on Aug. 1, to 20% on Sept. 1, and to 25% on Oct. 1. “Tariffs will permanently remain at the 25% level unless and until Mexico substantially stops the illegal inflow of aliens coming through its territory,” he wrote.
The consequences of new U.S. tariffs could be significant, said Torsten Slok, chief economist at Deutsche Bank Securities in New York, who said the auto industry would likely feel the largest effects. He notes that about two-thirds of imports from Mexico arrive through intracompany trade — companies bringing in goods from their affiliates.
“A lot of the trade with Mexico is really part of the supply chain for U.S. companies,” Slok told NPR. “So in that sense, what makes it difficult to quantify the impact is that the trade picture is really closely tied together between the U.S. and Mexico, and therefore the implications, as difficult as it is to quantify, look to be fairly significant.”

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