It’s not quite a rematch of 1998, when Shakespeare in Love beat Saving Private Ryan, but the contest for this year’s Academy Award for Best Picture shapes up as another showdown between campy, costumed entertainment and weighty historical drama.
American Hustle, with 10 nominations overall, and 12 Years a Slave (nominated in seven major categories, including production design and adapted screenplay) face off for the Best Picture Oscar in a clear-cut choice between out-and-out fun and wrenching reality. It wouldn’t be a bit surprising if Academy members sidestepped a difficult decision and simply voted for the cinematic spectacle of the year (and a box-office hit, to boot), Gravity (which landed safely with 10 nominations altogether).
Captain Phillips, Dallas Buyers Club, The Wolf of Wall Street, Philomena, Nebraska and Her round out the field vying for the Best Picture Oscar. The presence of nine nominees (out of a possible maximum of 10), rather than the five that prevailed from 1944 through 2008, spreads out the votes and makes it much harder to predict a winner. It’s even tougher in a year like 2013, with many solid, well-acted films but no masterpieces.

The acting categories offer plenty to ponder, not least the inability of the Academy to recognize actresses beyond the tiny handful of household names and usual suspects. The Best Actress nominees are Cate Blanchett (ordained as the winner since Blue Jasmine opened in late July), Sandra Bullock, Judi Dench, Amy Adams (who’s achieved heading-for-a-fall status of seriously overrated between The Master and American Hustle) and Meryl Streep (who is technically excellent, as always, in August: Osage County, but are voters so Pavlovian that they must scribble her name every single year, even for movies that don’t work, in part because of distracting casting?)

The Academy did a smidgen of original thinking for Supporting Actress, nominating Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years a Slave), Sally Hawkins (presumably for holding her own opposite Cate Blanchett) and June Squibb (the heart and anger of Nebraska) along with now-perennial sweethearts Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle) and Julia Roberts (August: Osage County). Perhaps the voters were generously considering that familiar faces in lavish gowns are an essential element of the Oscar telecast (March 2, 2014), and wanted to be sure we were taken care of.