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"content": "\u003cp>Pandemic-era inflation has fallen from its peak two years ago, but the costs of many goods and services continue to rise and are still higher than before the onset of COVID-19, a couple of closely watched economic indicators show.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Prices have grown about 20% overall since 2020, according to an \u003ca href=\"https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/766\">analysis\u003c/a> by the California Legislative Analyst’s Office based on the most recent consumer price index data. Over the past couple of months, prices in California appear to have risen slightly more than the country as a whole, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Continued rising prices are why many Californians are struggling in an economy that’s widely considered to be doing OK because the nation has avoided a recession, experts said.[pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Steven Hamburg, chief scientist, Environmental Defense Fund\"]‘When you go to the grocery store, your total bill is still much higher overall than a few years ago.’[/pullquote]While a slowdown in inflation, or price growth, is “great news, it’s not like those prices are declining,” said Sarah Bohn, economist and director of the Public Policy Institute of California Economic Policy Center. “When you go to the grocery store, your total bill is still much higher overall than a few years ago,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What’s more, Bohn said Californians’ wages have not kept up with inflation: “Wages only grew 15% than before the pandemic. On paper, that looks amazing, like a $5-an-hour increase. But after inflation, it feels like a pay cut — I \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/blog/whats-in-store-for-californias-economy/\">calculated\u003c/a> that it’s like a $1.25-an-hour cut.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s a big concern, especially for low- and middle-income families who “have a lot less flexibility in terms of what they’re spending their resources on,” Bohn said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nationwide, services are mostly responsible for continued inflation, Bureau of Labor Statistics data shows. The prices of goods such as new vehicles and meat, poultry, eggs and fish were unchanged from December to January, while overall food prices were up almost 0.4%, slightly lower than the previous two months. Consumer costs for services such as electricity, rent, medical care, airfares and health and auto insurance all rose.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But in California, high prices for both goods and services persist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Food banks say the cost of buying food hasn’t gone down — and the demand for their services remains high \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/california-divide/2023/12/food-insecurity-california/\">as pandemic aid has expired\u003c/a> and inflation remains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While the San Francisco-Marin Food Bank hasn’t seen “major” price increases for meat, and produce prices have stabilized, it continues to see high prices for some food, spokesperson Keely Hopkins said. The average price the food bank has paid for eggs has risen by $2.27 a dozen over the past eight months, Hopkins said.[aside postID=news_11953447 hero='https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/RS66300_230613-SFMarinFoodPantry-11-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg']High food prices have also been a problem for the Los Angeles Regional Food Bank, which buys 10% of its inventory to supplement donated food: The food bank now serves an average of 900,000 people per month, two and a half times the monthly average pre-pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“[That’s] the impact of the end of COVID-era programs such as the SNAP/CalFresh benefit boost and the continued impact of inflation,” said David May, a spokesperson for the food bank.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On the services side, some California residents are \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/economy/2023/12/california-car-insurance/\">struggling to get affordable auto insurance\u003c/a>, with premiums rising 17.7% from 2023 to 2024, according to Bankrate.com. Electricity prices have also increased as regulators approve \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/california-divide/2024/02/utility-rate-hikes-california/\">rate hikes\u003c/a> by major utilities such as PG&E.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for rent, “shelter is the major driver of services inflation in the inflation numbers,” said Jerry Nickelsburg, senior economist for the UCLA Anderson Forecast. He added, “We are seeing a slowing in rental rates [negative in some parts of the state], but as leases come due and rent-stabilized units are vacated, average rents increase to today’s market rents.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rent in California is 38% higher than the national median, according to real-estate listings company Zillow. This month, the median rent of $2,755 in the state rose $5 from the month before but is $195 less than in March 2023, Zillow data shows.[pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Jerry Nickelsburg, senior economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast\"]‘We are seeing a slowing in rental rates [negative in some parts of the state], but as leases come due and rent-stabilized units are vacated, average rents increase to today’s market rents.’[/pullquote]Meanwhile, the personal consumption expenditures price index, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.4% in January from the previous month and 2.8% from the previous year, according to data released by the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis last week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Federal Reserve \u003ca href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/29/pce-inflation-january-2023-.html\">is said to focus more on this index\u003c/a> instead of the consumer price index because it more accurately reflects actual consumer spending. Either way, since the Fed’s target inflation rate is 2%, continued inflation is not likely to slash interest rates anytime soon — meaning possible continued \u003ca href=\"https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2023-09-21/tracking-home-and-rent-prices-in-southern-california\">slowness in home buying, \u003c/a>getting loans to buy big-ticket items such as cars and borrowing by businesses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nickelsburg said he does not expect the Fed to reduce interest rates in the first half of the year. That’s in line with the expectations of other economists, such as those from Wells Fargo, who said in a report last month that continued inflation means the “road back to 2% inflation likely will have some potholes.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>While a slowdown in inflation, or price growth, is “great news, it’s not like those prices are declining,” said Sarah Bohn, economist and director of the Public Policy Institute of California Economic Policy Center. “When you go to the grocery store, your total bill is still much higher overall than a few years ago,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What’s more, Bohn said Californians’ wages have not kept up with inflation: “Wages only grew 15% than before the pandemic. On paper, that looks amazing, like a $5-an-hour increase. But after inflation, it feels like a pay cut — I \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/blog/whats-in-store-for-californias-economy/\">calculated\u003c/a> that it’s like a $1.25-an-hour cut.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s a big concern, especially for low- and middle-income families who “have a lot less flexibility in terms of what they’re spending their resources on,” Bohn said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nationwide, services are mostly responsible for continued inflation, Bureau of Labor Statistics data shows. The prices of goods such as new vehicles and meat, poultry, eggs and fish were unchanged from December to January, while overall food prices were up almost 0.4%, slightly lower than the previous two months. Consumer costs for services such as electricity, rent, medical care, airfares and health and auto insurance all rose.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But in California, high prices for both goods and services persist.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Food banks say the cost of buying food hasn’t gone down — and the demand for their services remains high \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/california-divide/2023/12/food-insecurity-california/\">as pandemic aid has expired\u003c/a> and inflation remains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While the San Francisco-Marin Food Bank hasn’t seen “major” price increases for meat, and produce prices have stabilized, it continues to see high prices for some food, spokesperson Keely Hopkins said. The average price the food bank has paid for eggs has risen by $2.27 a dozen over the past eight months, Hopkins said.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>High food prices have also been a problem for the Los Angeles Regional Food Bank, which buys 10% of its inventory to supplement donated food: The food bank now serves an average of 900,000 people per month, two and a half times the monthly average pre-pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“[That’s] the impact of the end of COVID-era programs such as the SNAP/CalFresh benefit boost and the continued impact of inflation,” said David May, a spokesperson for the food bank.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On the services side, some California residents are \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/economy/2023/12/california-car-insurance/\">struggling to get affordable auto insurance\u003c/a>, with premiums rising 17.7% from 2023 to 2024, according to Bankrate.com. Electricity prices have also increased as regulators approve \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/california-divide/2024/02/utility-rate-hikes-california/\">rate hikes\u003c/a> by major utilities such as PG&E.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for rent, “shelter is the major driver of services inflation in the inflation numbers,” said Jerry Nickelsburg, senior economist for the UCLA Anderson Forecast. He added, “We are seeing a slowing in rental rates [negative in some parts of the state], but as leases come due and rent-stabilized units are vacated, average rents increase to today’s market rents.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rent in California is 38% higher than the national median, according to real-estate listings company Zillow. This month, the median rent of $2,755 in the state rose $5 from the month before but is $195 less than in March 2023, Zillow data shows.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "‘We are seeing a slowing in rental rates [negative in some parts of the state], but as leases come due and rent-stabilized units are vacated, average rents increase to today’s market rents.’",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Meanwhile, the personal consumption expenditures price index, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.4% in January from the previous month and 2.8% from the previous year, according to data released by the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis last week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Federal Reserve \u003ca href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/29/pce-inflation-january-2023-.html\">is said to focus more on this index\u003c/a> instead of the consumer price index because it more accurately reflects actual consumer spending. Either way, since the Fed’s target inflation rate is 2%, continued inflation is not likely to slash interest rates anytime soon — meaning possible continued \u003ca href=\"https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2023-09-21/tracking-home-and-rent-prices-in-southern-california\">slowness in home buying, \u003c/a>getting loans to buy big-ticket items such as cars and borrowing by businesses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nickelsburg said he does not expect the Fed to reduce interest rates in the first half of the year. That’s in line with the expectations of other economists, such as those from Wells Fargo, who said in a report last month that continued inflation means the “road back to 2% inflation likely will have some potholes.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "why-californias-tech-industry-tax-contributions-are-a-double-edged-sword",
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"content": "\u003cp>If you’re a California resident, you use tax-funded roads, schools and other services, so you’re on the Silicon Valley financial roller coaster whether you know it or not.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The tech industry has contributed an increasing amount to the state budget, and even the way tech companies pay their employees has become a growing source of the state’s income tax revenue, a new analysis shows.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Many tech companies pay their employees base wages as well as stock options. Vested stock options — options that have matured and are fully owned by employees who can choose to sell them — are treated like ordinary income for tax purposes. Companies must pay withholding taxes on part of that income to state and federal governments. Last year, those taxes paid by the four largest tech companies in the state — Apple, Google, Meta and Nvidia — grew to at least $5 billion, making up more than 6% of all of the state’s income-tax withholding, the Legislative Analyst’s Office \u003ca href=\"https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/789\">estimated\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s up from 4% to 5% pre-pandemic, has more than doubled since 2016 and quadrupled over the past decade. That increase has come as those companies have grown tremendously in market value — the four of them are now worth more than $7 trillion. Last year, the withholding taxes they paid helped offset the effects of fewer initial public offerings on the state’s revenue.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Chas Alamo, the principal fiscal and policy analyst for the office, did the analysis. He said that if he had the resources to do a deeper dive and had tallied the stock-equity withholding from all large tech companies in the state instead of just the biggest four, it might make up as much as 10% of all income-tax withholding. That’s on top of what the tech industry contributes to the state’s income-tax revenue, which makes it even more dependent on tech’s ups and downs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Historically, “withholding has been a stable barometer of how the state’s economy is doing,” Alamo said. “It hasn’t been subject to the volatility of the stock market. But that has changed over the last several years.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Tax revenue from stock-options withholding at the biggest tech companies has quadrupled in the past decade\" aria-label=\"Column Chart\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-CZPfV\" src=\"https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/CZPfV/3/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"400\" data-external=\"1\" width=\"100%\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>All Californians have a stake in the health of the tech industry because the state relies so heavily on personal income taxes for revenue. In light of a \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2024/01/newsom-budget-california/\">multibillion-dollar budget deficit\u003c/a> and mixed signals around tech — which, on the one hand, continues to lay off employees but, on the other hand, is seeing an artificial intelligence boom that has translated into gains on Wall Street — income-tax withholding from both tech employee wages, as well as the withholding from their stock options, matter more than ever.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Pinpointing exactly how much tech-industry employment contributes to the state’s coffers can be tricky because tech companies have many different types of employees, but consider this: Software developers in the state earned about $48.9 billion, based on average annual earnings of about $190,000, according to data from the Employment Development Department as of the first quarter of last year. That total from just one segment of the industry was more than what the state received in total income-tax revenue from all sectors of the labor force through November: $47.2 billion, according to the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sco.ca.gov/2023Nov_personal_income_tax_tracker.html\">State Controller’s tracker\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for the rise in stock-equity withholding, it was the result of a great 2023 for the large tech companies whose financial filings Alamo analyzed, especially Meta and Nvidia. Shares in chip company Nvidia, whose graphics processing units dominate the artificial intelligence market, ended last year up about 239% from the previous year. Facebook parent company Meta’s investments in artificial intelligence helped propel its stock 198% higher year over year. Meanwhile, the stocks of Apple and Google ended 2023 up 49% and 59% year over year, respectively. [pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Ahmad Thomas, chief executive, Silicon Valley Leadership Group\"]‘AI is going to power the next wave of economic growth in the state and nation.’[/pullquote]If artificial intelligence continues to lead to stock-market gains for tech companies, the state will keep reaping the rewards.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some experts and economists are plenty optimistic about artificial intelligence.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“AI is going to power the next wave of economic growth in the state and nation,” said Ahmad Thomas, chief executive of Silicon Valley Leadership Group, a tech policy advocacy group whose hundreds of member companies include some of the biggest names in tech and business. Thomas called the Bay Area the “epicenter” of artificial intelligence because most hot startups in the space are based in San Francisco or elsewhere in the Bay Area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Stephen Levy, a longtime economist and director of the Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy, an independent, private research organization, said that despite more than 260,000 layoffs in the tech industry worldwide last year, \u003ca href=\"https://layoffs.fyi/\">according to one count\u003c/a>, the number of tech jobs is now higher than what it was before the coronavirus pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The California Center echoes that for Jobs and the Economy, the information arm of the California Business Roundtable, an advocacy organization made up of top executives of the state’s major employers. The center said there were about 1.4 million jobs it considers part of the tech industry as of November 2023, about 76,000 more than the total tech jobs in the state in February 2020.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Levy said there is a “rebalancing” that’s going on in tech after all the hiring companies did during the pandemic, but that electric vehicles, cleantech infrastructure and artificial intelligence are “three areas [where he expects] massive amounts of money over the next five years.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The budget Gov. Gavin Newsom proposed on Wednesday mentioned expectations for continued slower and more moderate job growth, which his staff also attributed to “reverting to historical trends as the labor market is now in the post-pandemic recovery period.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the past couple of years, fewer initial public offerings for companies in California — 195 in 2021 vs. 30 in 2023, according to \u003ca href=\"https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q3-2023-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor\">data from PitchBook\u003c/a>, which keeps track of capital markets — have meant fewer newly minted multimillionaire tech employees and less state revenue from income-tax withholding and capital gains, which is the profit investors make when they sell stock. [aside label='More on Big Tech' tag='tech']PitchBook’s 2024 venture capital outlook, though, said that if inflation continues to ease and the Federal Reserve does not raise interest rates, IPOs could make a comeback.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Yet Alamo, of the Legislative Analyst’s Office, cautioned that just as companies’ stock-price surges can result in a bump in revenue from withholding, “the same could happen on the opposite side.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s one reason the Center for Jobs and the Economy has warned against the state’s heavy dependence on one region and has said the state needs to regulate — and spend — less. The tech-heavy Bay Area contributes more than 40% of personal income-tax revenue to the state, according to U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis figures cited by the group. And, as Newsom’s budget also pointed out this week, the top 1% earners in the state, most of whose income comes from stock-based compensation and capital gains, contributed half of all personal income taxes to the state in 2021.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The problem is it really disguises the true economy of California,” said Brooke Armour, president of the California Center for Jobs and the Economy. “When you have one small part of the economy that carries the state, that papers over the affordability crisis.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>If you’re a California resident, you use tax-funded roads, schools and other services, so you’re on the Silicon Valley financial roller coaster whether you know it or not.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The tech industry has contributed an increasing amount to the state budget, and even the way tech companies pay their employees has become a growing source of the state’s income tax revenue, a new analysis shows.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Many tech companies pay their employees base wages as well as stock options. Vested stock options — options that have matured and are fully owned by employees who can choose to sell them — are treated like ordinary income for tax purposes. Companies must pay withholding taxes on part of that income to state and federal governments. Last year, those taxes paid by the four largest tech companies in the state — Apple, Google, Meta and Nvidia — grew to at least $5 billion, making up more than 6% of all of the state’s income-tax withholding, the Legislative Analyst’s Office \u003ca href=\"https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/789\">estimated\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s up from 4% to 5% pre-pandemic, has more than doubled since 2016 and quadrupled over the past decade. That increase has come as those companies have grown tremendously in market value — the four of them are now worth more than $7 trillion. Last year, the withholding taxes they paid helped offset the effects of fewer initial public offerings on the state’s revenue.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Chas Alamo, the principal fiscal and policy analyst for the office, did the analysis. He said that if he had the resources to do a deeper dive and had tallied the stock-equity withholding from all large tech companies in the state instead of just the biggest four, it might make up as much as 10% of all income-tax withholding. That’s on top of what the tech industry contributes to the state’s income-tax revenue, which makes it even more dependent on tech’s ups and downs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Historically, “withholding has been a stable barometer of how the state’s economy is doing,” Alamo said. “It hasn’t been subject to the volatility of the stock market. But that has changed over the last several years.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Tax revenue from stock-options withholding at the biggest tech companies has quadrupled in the past decade\" aria-label=\"Column Chart\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-CZPfV\" src=\"https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/CZPfV/3/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"400\" data-external=\"1\" width=\"100%\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>All Californians have a stake in the health of the tech industry because the state relies so heavily on personal income taxes for revenue. In light of a \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2024/01/newsom-budget-california/\">multibillion-dollar budget deficit\u003c/a> and mixed signals around tech — which, on the one hand, continues to lay off employees but, on the other hand, is seeing an artificial intelligence boom that has translated into gains on Wall Street — income-tax withholding from both tech employee wages, as well as the withholding from their stock options, matter more than ever.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Pinpointing exactly how much tech-industry employment contributes to the state’s coffers can be tricky because tech companies have many different types of employees, but consider this: Software developers in the state earned about $48.9 billion, based on average annual earnings of about $190,000, according to data from the Employment Development Department as of the first quarter of last year. That total from just one segment of the industry was more than what the state received in total income-tax revenue from all sectors of the labor force through November: $47.2 billion, according to the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sco.ca.gov/2023Nov_personal_income_tax_tracker.html\">State Controller’s tracker\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As for the rise in stock-equity withholding, it was the result of a great 2023 for the large tech companies whose financial filings Alamo analyzed, especially Meta and Nvidia. Shares in chip company Nvidia, whose graphics processing units dominate the artificial intelligence market, ended last year up about 239% from the previous year. Facebook parent company Meta’s investments in artificial intelligence helped propel its stock 198% higher year over year. Meanwhile, the stocks of Apple and Google ended 2023 up 49% and 59% year over year, respectively. \u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>If artificial intelligence continues to lead to stock-market gains for tech companies, the state will keep reaping the rewards.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some experts and economists are plenty optimistic about artificial intelligence.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“AI is going to power the next wave of economic growth in the state and nation,” said Ahmad Thomas, chief executive of Silicon Valley Leadership Group, a tech policy advocacy group whose hundreds of member companies include some of the biggest names in tech and business. Thomas called the Bay Area the “epicenter” of artificial intelligence because most hot startups in the space are based in San Francisco or elsewhere in the Bay Area.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Stephen Levy, a longtime economist and director of the Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy, an independent, private research organization, said that despite more than 260,000 layoffs in the tech industry worldwide last year, \u003ca href=\"https://layoffs.fyi/\">according to one count\u003c/a>, the number of tech jobs is now higher than what it was before the coronavirus pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The California Center echoes that for Jobs and the Economy, the information arm of the California Business Roundtable, an advocacy organization made up of top executives of the state’s major employers. The center said there were about 1.4 million jobs it considers part of the tech industry as of November 2023, about 76,000 more than the total tech jobs in the state in February 2020.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Levy said there is a “rebalancing” that’s going on in tech after all the hiring companies did during the pandemic, but that electric vehicles, cleantech infrastructure and artificial intelligence are “three areas [where he expects] massive amounts of money over the next five years.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The budget Gov. Gavin Newsom proposed on Wednesday mentioned expectations for continued slower and more moderate job growth, which his staff also attributed to “reverting to historical trends as the labor market is now in the post-pandemic recovery period.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the past couple of years, fewer initial public offerings for companies in California — 195 in 2021 vs. 30 in 2023, according to \u003ca href=\"https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q3-2023-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor\">data from PitchBook\u003c/a>, which keeps track of capital markets — have meant fewer newly minted multimillionaire tech employees and less state revenue from income-tax withholding and capital gains, which is the profit investors make when they sell stock. \u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>PitchBook’s 2024 venture capital outlook, though, said that if inflation continues to ease and the Federal Reserve does not raise interest rates, IPOs could make a comeback.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Yet Alamo, of the Legislative Analyst’s Office, cautioned that just as companies’ stock-price surges can result in a bump in revenue from withholding, “the same could happen on the opposite side.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s one reason the Center for Jobs and the Economy has warned against the state’s heavy dependence on one region and has said the state needs to regulate — and spend — less. The tech-heavy Bay Area contributes more than 40% of personal income-tax revenue to the state, according to U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis figures cited by the group. And, as Newsom’s budget also pointed out this week, the top 1% earners in the state, most of whose income comes from stock-based compensation and capital gains, contributed half of all personal income taxes to the state in 2021.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The problem is it really disguises the true economy of California,” said Brooke Armour, president of the California Center for Jobs and the Economy. “When you have one small part of the economy that carries the state, that papers over the affordability crisis.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>More than 2 million people ages 16 to 24 are working in California — about the same as the population of Houston — making up 12% of the workforce. They comprise a critical portion of the state’s economy, according to a \u003ca href=\"https://www.labor.ucla.edu/publication/california-future-clocked-in-young-workers/\">new report\u003c/a> by the UCLA Labor Center.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But many young people earned low wages, worked long hours — often while going to school — and lacked sufficient worker protections and benefits. These hardships may impact their financial future and the state’s economy for years to come, said researchers who examined the years surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic, 2019 to 2021.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"UCLA Labor Center\"]‘[Y]oung workers in California find themselves navigating a tumultuous landscape of societal shifts, economic challenges, and the lingering aftermath of a global pandemic.’[/pullquote]“Young people are critical actors in California’s vibrant economy and labor force,” says the study, released Nov. 9. “Yet, young workers in California find themselves navigating a tumultuous landscape of societal shifts, economic challenges, and the lingering aftermath of a global pandemic.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>About 64% of California’s young workers earned low wages — defined as about $18 an hour, two-thirds of the median wage — and 60% reported difficulty affording their expenses, researchers wrote.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The assumption that young people work at service-oriented, low-wage jobs temporarily before they’re propelled to full-time careers isn’t necessarily true, said UCLA researcher Vivek Ramakrishnan. Many young people stay in low-wage jobs for years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When we’re looking at the data, we’re seeing young people are really struggling in these kinds of roles,” he said, adding later, “There’s a sense you can get stuck working in the service industry.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report analyzed data from multiple sources, including the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey, the COVID-19 Household Pulse Survey — which documented the impact of the pandemic — and the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Young workers reflect California’s growing diversity. About three in four are people of color and more than half are Latino. About 15% of high school-aged young people worked full time and half of young people ages 19 to 24 worked full time.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Young workers’ trap\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>In the service industry, 40% of young workers are employed in bars, restaurants and retail.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These young people run the risk of being caught in a “circular labor trap,” the study says, because these low-wage service jobs are structured with little room for growth or skill development.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When you have these skill sets that are hyper-specific toward these industries, and not much room for growth, it’s hard to compete against students who may take an unpaid internship in a very content-specific area of expertise and gain connections in the career they want to go into,” Ramakrishnan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Because so many service industry jobs were considered frontline jobs, the pandemic was particularly disruptive for young people, who often had to choose between their health and their income. And when grocers and restaurant businesses closed during the pandemic, younger workers, especially young people of color, experienced higher levels of unemployment or underemployment compared to older workers in other industries.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2020, the unemployment rate for California’s young workers increased to 18% from 9% the year before. That was twice the rate of workers ages 25 to 64.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Unemployment among young people has since rebounded to pre-pandemic levels at 8.7% nationally, according to the \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/youth.pdf\">Bureau of Labor Statistics (PDF)\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While many young people are stuck in lower-wage jobs, the research suggests they are contributing significantly to their household income. And about 12% of young workers are heads of households, according to the report.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Young workers are overrepresented in households living below the poverty line compared to those over the age of 25. About 14% of young workers lived in poverty compared to 5% of older workers, according to the report. A third lived in households with incomes below 200% the federal poverty line. That number in 2021 was $53,000 for a family of four.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Working through school\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Along with responsibility for helping family members cover basic expenses, young people often have to balance work with education, in pursuit of a better future.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>About half of young workers go to school. and about 40% of them worked 15 to 29 hours a week, the report says. One-fourth of workers in high school, and more than half in college, worked 20 hours or more a week. And about 17% of young workers worked 40 hours or more weekly.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Postsecondary education became more essential for a stable career, yet with education costs increasing, it was less accessible for young people, according to the report.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>From 2018 to 2020, the share of California high school graduates enrolled in postsecondary education within 12 months fell from 65% to 63%, according to the study.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While nearly all racial and ethnic groups experienced declines in college matriculation, Black college-going rates plunged from 61% to 55%, and American Indian and Alaska Native rates dropped from 53% to 47%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nationally postsecondary enrollment began rebounding last fall, though study researchers said they don’t know yet if that’s the case in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, from 2019 to 2020, young peoples’ average student loan amount increased from $6,847 to $10,000.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>On-the-job training?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>One in three jobs in California requires some college education, the study notes. Yet as higher education costs and student debt climbed, job earnings haven’t kept up.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label=\"Related Stories\" postID=\"news_11928042,news_11962737,news_11954205\"]Aside from education, researchers found other pathways toward higher paying jobs and careers also are not very accessible to young people.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For instance, trade apprenticeships are significantly underutilized. In 2022, there were about 80,000 federally registered apprenticeships in California, but only 24,000 were filled, the study said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Latino workers held the majority of apprenticeships, 66%, while Black young people held 4%. Most apprenticeships went to young men, 94%, while young women held 6%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Many apprenticeships are linked to unions. While surveys show young people are more pro-union than ever, they’re underrepresented in unionized jobs. Just 9% of young workers are union members, compared to 19% of older workers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ramakrishnan said the data paints a “scary” picture of the realities young people face, but it also highlights some areas where policy changes can help.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He noted that Gov. Gavin Newsom recently signed a measure by Assemblymember \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/legislator-tracker/liz-ortega-1977/\">Liz Ortega\u003c/a>, a Democrat from Hayward, that \u003ca href=\"https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_id=202320240AB800\">directs California high schools\u003c/a> to educate students about workers’ rights and the labor movement.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There’s a need for other career programs that offer young people training and school credit, Ramakrishnan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>More than 2 million people ages 16 to 24 are working in California — about the same as the population of Houston — making up 12% of the workforce. They comprise a critical portion of the state’s economy, according to a \u003ca href=\"https://www.labor.ucla.edu/publication/california-future-clocked-in-young-workers/\">new report\u003c/a> by the UCLA Labor Center.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But many young people earned low wages, worked long hours — often while going to school — and lacked sufficient worker protections and benefits. These hardships may impact their financial future and the state’s economy for years to come, said researchers who examined the years surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic, 2019 to 2021.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“Young people are critical actors in California’s vibrant economy and labor force,” says the study, released Nov. 9. “Yet, young workers in California find themselves navigating a tumultuous landscape of societal shifts, economic challenges, and the lingering aftermath of a global pandemic.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>About 64% of California’s young workers earned low wages — defined as about $18 an hour, two-thirds of the median wage — and 60% reported difficulty affording their expenses, researchers wrote.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The assumption that young people work at service-oriented, low-wage jobs temporarily before they’re propelled to full-time careers isn’t necessarily true, said UCLA researcher Vivek Ramakrishnan. Many young people stay in low-wage jobs for years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When we’re looking at the data, we’re seeing young people are really struggling in these kinds of roles,” he said, adding later, “There’s a sense you can get stuck working in the service industry.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report analyzed data from multiple sources, including the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey, the COVID-19 Household Pulse Survey — which documented the impact of the pandemic — and the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Young workers reflect California’s growing diversity. About three in four are people of color and more than half are Latino. About 15% of high school-aged young people worked full time and half of young people ages 19 to 24 worked full time.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Young workers’ trap\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>In the service industry, 40% of young workers are employed in bars, restaurants and retail.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These young people run the risk of being caught in a “circular labor trap,” the study says, because these low-wage service jobs are structured with little room for growth or skill development.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When you have these skill sets that are hyper-specific toward these industries, and not much room for growth, it’s hard to compete against students who may take an unpaid internship in a very content-specific area of expertise and gain connections in the career they want to go into,” Ramakrishnan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Because so many service industry jobs were considered frontline jobs, the pandemic was particularly disruptive for young people, who often had to choose between their health and their income. And when grocers and restaurant businesses closed during the pandemic, younger workers, especially young people of color, experienced higher levels of unemployment or underemployment compared to older workers in other industries.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2020, the unemployment rate for California’s young workers increased to 18% from 9% the year before. That was twice the rate of workers ages 25 to 64.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Unemployment among young people has since rebounded to pre-pandemic levels at 8.7% nationally, according to the \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/youth.pdf\">Bureau of Labor Statistics (PDF)\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While many young people are stuck in lower-wage jobs, the research suggests they are contributing significantly to their household income. And about 12% of young workers are heads of households, according to the report.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Young workers are overrepresented in households living below the poverty line compared to those over the age of 25. About 14% of young workers lived in poverty compared to 5% of older workers, according to the report. A third lived in households with incomes below 200% the federal poverty line. That number in 2021 was $53,000 for a family of four.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Working through school\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Along with responsibility for helping family members cover basic expenses, young people often have to balance work with education, in pursuit of a better future.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>About half of young workers go to school. and about 40% of them worked 15 to 29 hours a week, the report says. One-fourth of workers in high school, and more than half in college, worked 20 hours or more a week. And about 17% of young workers worked 40 hours or more weekly.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Postsecondary education became more essential for a stable career, yet with education costs increasing, it was less accessible for young people, according to the report.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>From 2018 to 2020, the share of California high school graduates enrolled in postsecondary education within 12 months fell from 65% to 63%, according to the study.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While nearly all racial and ethnic groups experienced declines in college matriculation, Black college-going rates plunged from 61% to 55%, and American Indian and Alaska Native rates dropped from 53% to 47%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nationally postsecondary enrollment began rebounding last fall, though study researchers said they don’t know yet if that’s the case in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, from 2019 to 2020, young peoples’ average student loan amount increased from $6,847 to $10,000.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>On-the-job training?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>One in three jobs in California requires some college education, the study notes. Yet as higher education costs and student debt climbed, job earnings haven’t kept up.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Aside from education, researchers found other pathways toward higher paying jobs and careers also are not very accessible to young people.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For instance, trade apprenticeships are significantly underutilized. In 2022, there were about 80,000 federally registered apprenticeships in California, but only 24,000 were filled, the study said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Latino workers held the majority of apprenticeships, 66%, while Black young people held 4%. Most apprenticeships went to young men, 94%, while young women held 6%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Many apprenticeships are linked to unions. While surveys show young people are more pro-union than ever, they’re underrepresented in unionized jobs. Just 9% of young workers are union members, compared to 19% of older workers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ramakrishnan said the data paints a “scary” picture of the realities young people face, but it also highlights some areas where policy changes can help.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He noted that Gov. Gavin Newsom recently signed a measure by Assemblymember \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/legislator-tracker/liz-ortega-1977/\">Liz Ortega\u003c/a>, a Democrat from Hayward, that \u003ca href=\"https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_id=202320240AB800\">directs California high schools\u003c/a> to educate students about workers’ rights and the labor movement.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There’s a need for other career programs that offer young people training and school credit, Ramakrishnan said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Have you tried getting a discount at a farmers market over a bag of tomatoes? Negotiated for a better — or cheaper — room at a hotel or resort? How about lowering your rent hikes by calling up your landlord? Or about getting your car fixed? Tried to charm the check-in desk for a nicer seat on the airplane?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You probably were haggling — that is, bargaining with someone on cost.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some people have been coached on the art of asking for a discount since childhood. For others, it makes their skin crawl. But sparking a simple discussion on prices might save you some precious dollars in a time of high inflation. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101893325/haggling-your-way-through-a-tricky-economy\">KQED Forum spoke to two experts for some advice\u003c/a> on haggling, or bargaining, on prices:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Veronica Dagher\u003c/strong>, personal finance reporter for \u003cem>The Wall Street Journal\u003c/em>, and author of \u003cem>Wall Street Journal\u003c/em> e-book \u003cem>Resilience: How 20 Ambitious Women Used Obstacles to Fuel Their Success\u003c/em>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Richard Shell\u003c/strong>, professor of legal studies and business ethics, and of management, at the Wharton School, and author of \u003cem>Bargaining for Advantage: Negotiation Strategies for Reasonable People\u003c/em> and \u003cem>The Art of Woo: Using Strategic Persuasion to Sell Your Ideas\u003c/em>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2>Negotiation doesn’t have to be adversarial\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>When some people think about haggling, they are often imagining going into the discussion forcefully. But the experts agree charm and playfulness can go a long way.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It may be a bit [more] outspoken than some people are used to, but it’s not this nasty ‘toe-to-toe fighting’ that’s going to get you the best results,” Dagher said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#tellus\">Tell us: What else do you need information about right now?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>“If they’re probably getting yelled at all day by disgruntled customers … you’re just another person yelling at them for something they probably have zero control over. Why are they going to be motivated to help you?” Dagher continued.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They probably won’t. And then you’ll feel yucky afterward. And they will, too. So, I like that nicer approach.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Ask questions — in the spirit of investigation\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Shell says he has a list of stock questions for any sellers or clerks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Rather than say, ‘Can you get it to me for less?,’ it’s ‘Can you do better than that?'” said Shell, who advises asking questions like, “Is there any kind of deal that might apply?” and “Explain a little more why this is being charged the way it is?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then, said Shell, you can “investigate the reasons.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Very often, when you are good at asking questions, that tends to open up a little space,” said Shell. “And then you can sort of see if you fit in.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Shift your perspective\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For some, a transaction isn’t complete without haggling. For others, it makes them cringe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But some KQED listeners called in to the show to say it’s sometimes a matter of changing one’s mindset. For example, haggling is simply expected in many other countries.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shell adds that in a time of inflation, “just asking” is not a bad habit.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Sometimes people say, ‘I feel terrible negotiating for myself. I feel greedy,'” said Shell. “I say, ‘Well, then don’t negotiate for yourself. Think of who you’re negotiating for.’ Is it your children? Is that their college education? Is it your future retirement fund?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ultimately, “it’s rare that someone has too \u003cem>much\u003c/em> money to take care of their financial security, or their self-respect, later in life,” said Shell. “And so, again, it’s not what you ask for. It’s how you do it.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Plus, addressing your discomfort with haggling can be personally and professionally beneficial in other ways, Shell notes. “It’s just interpersonal conflict,” he said, noting that, like many, he was also “anxious about it” as a younger person.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But, said Shell, “I knew that as I get to be a professional, you’re going to have to manage conflict of all kinds. … It’s just about people. It’s social psychology in a very interesting and amazing way because you can create a lot of value — if you know how to manage conflict constructively.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11953043\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11953043\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/pexels-erik-scheel-95425.jpg\" alt=\"Two hands with lighter skin exchange an apple over a fruit stand at a market.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/pexels-erik-scheel-95425.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/pexels-erik-scheel-95425-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/pexels-erik-scheel-95425-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/pexels-erik-scheel-95425-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/pexels-erik-scheel-95425-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">When negotiating for a discount, connecting with the person you’re talking with is key. \u003ccite>(Erik Scheel/Pexels)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch2>Feel uncomfortable? You don’t have to do it\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Some KQED Forum listeners called in and expressed their discomfort with haggling — especially with small businesses or when it appears the seller does not have the same financial background as them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shell emphasized that the key is to do it with respect. “You’re a human first,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dagher expanded on this discomfort, saying that experts she talked to observed that women especially often have a hard time asking for lower prices. An example of an internal conflict, she says, is: “If I go to the farmers market and I’m negotiating with the person who’s the farmer, am I the jerk?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On the contrary, said Dagher, “what I have found is actually so many people are expecting the negotiation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“So instead of thinking, ‘Am I the jerk for asking for a better price?,’ it might be more like, ‘Am I the jerk for not asking for a better price?'”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think there’s a lot of shifting that needs to be done to get comfortable with this,” said Dagher. And remember: “[The] worst you can hear is ‘No’.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101893325/haggling-your-way-through-a-tricky-economy\">Find more tips on haggling, discounts and negotiation by listening to the full KQED Forum show.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"tellus\">\u003c/a>Tell us: What else do you need information about?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>At KQED News, we know that it can sometimes be hard to track down the answers to navigate life in the Bay Area in 2023. We’ve published \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/coronavirus-resources-and-explainers\">clear, practical explainers and guides about COVID\u003c/a>, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11936674/how-to-prepare-for-this-weeks-atmospheric-river-storm-sandbags-emergency-kits-and-more\">how to cope with intense winter weather\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11821950/how-to-safely-attend-a-protest-in-the-bay-area\">how to exercise your right to protest safely\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So tell us: What do you need to know more about? Tell us, and you could see your question answered online or on social media. What you submit will make our reporting stronger, and help us decide what to cover here on our site, and on KQED Public Radio, too.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[hearken id=\"10483\" src=\"https://modules.wearehearken.com/kqed/embed/10483.js\"]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Negotiation for a discount or a bargain doesn't come naturally for many folks. We spoke to experts about the best ways to start haggling on cost for many kinds of items.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Have you tried getting a discount at a farmers market over a bag of tomatoes? Negotiated for a better — or cheaper — room at a hotel or resort? How about lowering your rent hikes by calling up your landlord? Or about getting your car fixed? Tried to charm the check-in desk for a nicer seat on the airplane?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>You probably were haggling — that is, bargaining with someone on cost.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some people have been coached on the art of asking for a discount since childhood. For others, it makes their skin crawl. But sparking a simple discussion on prices might save you some precious dollars in a time of high inflation. \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101893325/haggling-your-way-through-a-tricky-economy\">KQED Forum spoke to two experts for some advice\u003c/a> on haggling, or bargaining, on prices:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Veronica Dagher\u003c/strong>, personal finance reporter for \u003cem>The Wall Street Journal\u003c/em>, and author of \u003cem>Wall Street Journal\u003c/em> e-book \u003cem>Resilience: How 20 Ambitious Women Used Obstacles to Fuel Their Success\u003c/em>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Richard Shell\u003c/strong>, professor of legal studies and business ethics, and of management, at the Wharton School, and author of \u003cem>Bargaining for Advantage: Negotiation Strategies for Reasonable People\u003c/em> and \u003cem>The Art of Woo: Using Strategic Persuasion to Sell Your Ideas\u003c/em>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003ch2>Negotiation doesn’t have to be adversarial\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>When some people think about haggling, they are often imagining going into the discussion forcefully. But the experts agree charm and playfulness can go a long way.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It may be a bit [more] outspoken than some people are used to, but it’s not this nasty ‘toe-to-toe fighting’ that’s going to get you the best results,” Dagher said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>\u003ca href=\"#tellus\">Tell us: What else do you need information about right now?\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>“If they’re probably getting yelled at all day by disgruntled customers … you’re just another person yelling at them for something they probably have zero control over. Why are they going to be motivated to help you?” Dagher continued.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They probably won’t. And then you’ll feel yucky afterward. And they will, too. So, I like that nicer approach.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Ask questions — in the spirit of investigation\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Shell says he has a list of stock questions for any sellers or clerks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Rather than say, ‘Can you get it to me for less?,’ it’s ‘Can you do better than that?'” said Shell, who advises asking questions like, “Is there any kind of deal that might apply?” and “Explain a little more why this is being charged the way it is?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then, said Shell, you can “investigate the reasons.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Very often, when you are good at asking questions, that tends to open up a little space,” said Shell. “And then you can sort of see if you fit in.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Shift your perspective\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>For some, a transaction isn’t complete without haggling. For others, it makes them cringe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But some KQED listeners called in to the show to say it’s sometimes a matter of changing one’s mindset. For example, haggling is simply expected in many other countries.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shell adds that in a time of inflation, “just asking” is not a bad habit.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Sometimes people say, ‘I feel terrible negotiating for myself. I feel greedy,'” said Shell. “I say, ‘Well, then don’t negotiate for yourself. Think of who you’re negotiating for.’ Is it your children? Is that their college education? Is it your future retirement fund?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ultimately, “it’s rare that someone has too \u003cem>much\u003c/em> money to take care of their financial security, or their self-respect, later in life,” said Shell. “And so, again, it’s not what you ask for. It’s how you do it.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Plus, addressing your discomfort with haggling can be personally and professionally beneficial in other ways, Shell notes. “It’s just interpersonal conflict,” he said, noting that, like many, he was also “anxious about it” as a younger person.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But, said Shell, “I knew that as I get to be a professional, you’re going to have to manage conflict of all kinds. … It’s just about people. It’s social psychology in a very interesting and amazing way because you can create a lot of value — if you know how to manage conflict constructively.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11953043\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11953043\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/pexels-erik-scheel-95425.jpg\" alt=\"Two hands with lighter skin exchange an apple over a fruit stand at a market.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/pexels-erik-scheel-95425.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/pexels-erik-scheel-95425-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/pexels-erik-scheel-95425-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/pexels-erik-scheel-95425-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/pexels-erik-scheel-95425-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">When negotiating for a discount, connecting with the person you’re talking with is key. \u003ccite>(Erik Scheel/Pexels)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch2>Feel uncomfortable? You don’t have to do it\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Some KQED Forum listeners called in and expressed their discomfort with haggling — especially with small businesses or when it appears the seller does not have the same financial background as them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shell emphasized that the key is to do it with respect. “You’re a human first,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dagher expanded on this discomfort, saying that experts she talked to observed that women especially often have a hard time asking for lower prices. An example of an internal conflict, she says, is: “If I go to the farmers market and I’m negotiating with the person who’s the farmer, am I the jerk?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On the contrary, said Dagher, “what I have found is actually so many people are expecting the negotiation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“So instead of thinking, ‘Am I the jerk for asking for a better price?,’ it might be more like, ‘Am I the jerk for not asking for a better price?'”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think there’s a lot of shifting that needs to be done to get comfortable with this,” said Dagher. And remember: “[The] worst you can hear is ‘No’.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/forum/2010101893325/haggling-your-way-through-a-tricky-economy\">Find more tips on haggling, discounts and negotiation by listening to the full KQED Forum show.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003ca id=\"tellus\">\u003c/a>Tell us: What else do you need information about?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>At KQED News, we know that it can sometimes be hard to track down the answers to navigate life in the Bay Area in 2023. We’ve published \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/coronavirus-resources-and-explainers\">clear, practical explainers and guides about COVID\u003c/a>, \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11936674/how-to-prepare-for-this-weeks-atmospheric-river-storm-sandbags-emergency-kits-and-more\">how to cope with intense winter weather\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11821950/how-to-safely-attend-a-protest-in-the-bay-area\">how to exercise your right to protest safely\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So tell us: What do you need to know more about? Tell us, and you could see your question answered online or on social media. What you submit will make our reporting stronger, and help us decide what to cover here on our site, and on KQED Public Radio, too.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "silicon-valley-bank-failure-could-have-outsize-consequences-for-startups-led-by-people-of-color",
"title": "Silicon Valley Bank Failure Could Have Outsize Consequences for Start-Ups Led by People of Color",
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"headTitle": "Silicon Valley Bank Failure Could Have Outsize Consequences for Start-Ups Led by People of Color | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>In the hours after some of Silicon Valley Bank’s biggest customers started pulling out their money, a WhatsApp group of start-up founders who are immigrants of color ballooned to more than 1,000 members.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Questions flowed as the bank’s financial status worsened. Some desperately sought advice: Could they open an account at a larger bank without a Social Security number? Others questioned whether they had to physically be at a bank to open an account, because they were visiting parents overseas.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=news_11943901 hero='https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2023/03/RS60216_004_KQED_Biotechnology_11172022-1020x680.jpg']\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One clear theme emerged: a deep concern about the broader impact on start-ups led by people of color.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Wall Street struggles to contain the banking crisis after the \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/svb-fed-bonds-rates-banks-inflation-a24b28b3caeede91c76cd120aa9b7966\">swift demise of SVB\u003c/a> — the nation’s 16th-largest bank and the biggest to fail since the 2008 financial meltdown — industry experts predict it could become even harder for people of color to secure funding or a financial home supporting their start-ups.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Silicon Valley Bank committed to spending \u003ca href=\"https://www.svb.com/news/company-news/svb-financial-group-announces-%24112.2-billion-community-benefits-plan\">$11 billion on things like affordable housing and small-business loans\u003c/a> in the Bay Area and Los Angeles, as part of a \u003ca href=\"https://www.svb.com/news/company-news/svb-financial-group-completes-acquisition-of-boston-private2\">merger two years ago\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think it’s a fair assessment to say that the bank was doing a good job, and maybe a better job, than other banks in providing support to affordable housing, to communities of color, to low-income communities, both small-business support as well as housing support,” said Paulina Gonzalez-Brito, CEO of the California Reinvestment Coalition. “And I think that’s primarily because of this community benefits agreement that we negotiated.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>SVB had opened its doors to such entrepreneurs, offering opportunities to form crucial relationships in the technology and financial communities that had been out of reach within larger financial institutions. But smaller players have fewer means of surviving a collapse, reflecting the perilous journey minority entrepreneurs face while attempting to navigate industries historically rife with racism.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All these folks that have very special circumstances based on their identity, it’s not something that they can just change about themselves, and that makes them unbankable by the top four [large banks],” said Asya Bradley, board member of numerous start-ups who has watched the WhatsApp group grapple with SVB’s demise.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bradley said some investors have implored start-ups to switch to larger financial institutions to stymie future financial risks, but that’s not an easy transition.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The reason why we’re going to regional and community banks is because these [large] banks don’t want our business,” Bradley said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Banking expert Aaron Klein, senior fellow in economic studies at the Brookings Institution, said SVB’s collapse could exacerbate racial disparities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s going to be more challenging for people who don’t fit the traditional credit box, including minorities,” Klein said. “A financial system that prefers the existing holders of wealth will perpetuate the legacy of past discrimination.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Asya Bradley, board member of numerous start-ups\"]‘The reason why we’re going to regional and community banks is because these [large] banks don’t want our business.’[/pullquote]Tiffany Dufu was gutted when she couldn’t access her SVB account and, in turn, could not pay her employees.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dufu raised $5 million as CEO of The Cru, a New York-based career coaching platform and community for women. It was a rare feat for businesses founded by Black women, which get less than 1% of the billions of dollars in venture capital funding doled out yearly to start-ups. She banked with SVB because it was known for its close ties to the tech community and investors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In order to have raised that money, I pitched nearly 200 investors over the past few years,” said Dufu, who has since regained access to her funds and moved to Bank of America. “It’s very hard to put yourself out there and time after time — you get told this isn’t a good fit. So, the money in the bank account was very precious.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A February Crunchbase News analysis determined \u003ca href=\"https://news.crunchbase.com/diversity/venture-funding-black-startups-2022/\">funding for Black-founded start-ups slowed by more than 50% last year after they received a record $5.1 billion in venture capital in 2021\u003c/a>. Overall venture funding dropped from about $337 billion to roughly $214 billion, while Black founders were hit disproportionately hard, dropping to just $2.3 billion, or 1.1% of the total.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Entrepreneur Amy Hilliard, professor at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, knows how difficult it is to secure financing. It took three years to secure a loan for her cake-manufacturing company, and she had to sell her home to get it started.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Banking is based on relationships, and when a bank like SVB goes under, “those relationships go away, too,” said Hilliard, who is African American.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some conservative critics asserted SVB’s commitment to \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/silicon-valley-bank-fdic-svb-california-d84764deb458371667ac7f850f430f22\">diversity, equity and inclusion\u003c/a> were to blame, but banking experts say those claims were false. The bank slid into insolvency because its larger customers pulled deposits rather than borrow at higher interest rates and the bank’s balance sheets were overexposed, forcing it to sell bonds at a loss to cover the withdrawals.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If we’re focused on climate or communities of color or racial equity, that has nothing to do with what happened with Silicon Valley Bank,” said Valerie Red-Horse Mohl, co-founder of Known Holdings, a Black, Indigenous, Asian American-founded investment banking platform focused on the sustainable growth of minority-managed funds.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Red-Horse Mohl — who has raised, structured and managed over $3 billion in capital for tribal nations — said most larger banks are led by white men and majority-white boards, and “even when they do DEI programs, it’s not a really deep sort of shifting of capital.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Smaller financial institutions, however, have worked to build relationships with people of color. “We cannot lose our regional and community banks,” she said. “It would be a travesty.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Historically, smaller and minority-owned banks have addressed funding gaps that larger banks ignored or even created, following exclusionary laws and policies as they turned away customers because of the color of their skin.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the ripple effects from SVB’s collapse are being felt among these banks as well, said Nicole Elam, president and CEO of the National Bankers Association, a 96-year-old trade association representing more than 175 minority-owned banks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some have seen customers withdraw funds and move to larger banks out of fear, even though most minority-owned banks have a more traditional customer base, with secured loans and minimal risky investments, she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Nicole Elam, president and CEO, National Bankers Association\"]‘In response to this national conversation around racial equity, people are really seeing minority banks are key to wealth creation and key to helping to close the wealth gap.’[/pullquote]“You’re seeing customer flight of folks that we’ve been serving for a long time,” Elam said. “How many people may not come to us for a mortgage or small-business loan or to do their banking business because they now have in their mind that they need to bank with a bank that is too big to fail? That’s the first impact of eroding public trust.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Black-owned banks have been hit the hardest as the industry consolidates. Most don’t have as much capital to withstand economic downturns. At its peak, there were 134. Today, there are only 21.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But change is on the way. Within the last three years, the federal government, private sector and philanthropic community have invested heavily in minority-run depository institutions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In response to this national conversation around racial equity, people are really seeing minority banks are key to wealth creation and key to helping to close the wealth gap,” Elam said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bradley, the board member of many start-ups, also is an angel investor, providing seed money for multiple entrepreneurs, and is seeing new opportunities as people network in the WhatsApp group to help each other remain afloat and grow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m really so hopeful,” Bradley said. “Even in the downfall of SVB, it has managed to form this incredible community of folks that are trying to help each other to succeed. They’re saying, ‘SVB was here for us. Now we’re going to be here for each other.'”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ci data-stringify-type=\"italic\">KQED’s Rachael Myrow contributed reporting to this story.\u003c/i>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>In the hours after some of Silicon Valley Bank’s biggest customers started pulling out their money, a WhatsApp group of start-up founders who are immigrants of color ballooned to more than 1,000 members.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Questions flowed as the bank’s financial status worsened. Some desperately sought advice: Could they open an account at a larger bank without a Social Security number? Others questioned whether they had to physically be at a bank to open an account, because they were visiting parents overseas.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One clear theme emerged: a deep concern about the broader impact on start-ups led by people of color.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Wall Street struggles to contain the banking crisis after the \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/svb-fed-bonds-rates-banks-inflation-a24b28b3caeede91c76cd120aa9b7966\">swift demise of SVB\u003c/a> — the nation’s 16th-largest bank and the biggest to fail since the 2008 financial meltdown — industry experts predict it could become even harder for people of color to secure funding or a financial home supporting their start-ups.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Silicon Valley Bank committed to spending \u003ca href=\"https://www.svb.com/news/company-news/svb-financial-group-announces-%24112.2-billion-community-benefits-plan\">$11 billion on things like affordable housing and small-business loans\u003c/a> in the Bay Area and Los Angeles, as part of a \u003ca href=\"https://www.svb.com/news/company-news/svb-financial-group-completes-acquisition-of-boston-private2\">merger two years ago\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think it’s a fair assessment to say that the bank was doing a good job, and maybe a better job, than other banks in providing support to affordable housing, to communities of color, to low-income communities, both small-business support as well as housing support,” said Paulina Gonzalez-Brito, CEO of the California Reinvestment Coalition. “And I think that’s primarily because of this community benefits agreement that we negotiated.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>SVB had opened its doors to such entrepreneurs, offering opportunities to form crucial relationships in the technology and financial communities that had been out of reach within larger financial institutions. But smaller players have fewer means of surviving a collapse, reflecting the perilous journey minority entrepreneurs face while attempting to navigate industries historically rife with racism.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All these folks that have very special circumstances based on their identity, it’s not something that they can just change about themselves, and that makes them unbankable by the top four [large banks],” said Asya Bradley, board member of numerous start-ups who has watched the WhatsApp group grapple with SVB’s demise.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bradley said some investors have implored start-ups to switch to larger financial institutions to stymie future financial risks, but that’s not an easy transition.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The reason why we’re going to regional and community banks is because these [large] banks don’t want our business,” Bradley said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Banking expert Aaron Klein, senior fellow in economic studies at the Brookings Institution, said SVB’s collapse could exacerbate racial disparities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s going to be more challenging for people who don’t fit the traditional credit box, including minorities,” Klein said. “A financial system that prefers the existing holders of wealth will perpetuate the legacy of past discrimination.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Tiffany Dufu was gutted when she couldn’t access her SVB account and, in turn, could not pay her employees.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dufu raised $5 million as CEO of The Cru, a New York-based career coaching platform and community for women. It was a rare feat for businesses founded by Black women, which get less than 1% of the billions of dollars in venture capital funding doled out yearly to start-ups. She banked with SVB because it was known for its close ties to the tech community and investors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In order to have raised that money, I pitched nearly 200 investors over the past few years,” said Dufu, who has since regained access to her funds and moved to Bank of America. “It’s very hard to put yourself out there and time after time — you get told this isn’t a good fit. So, the money in the bank account was very precious.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A February Crunchbase News analysis determined \u003ca href=\"https://news.crunchbase.com/diversity/venture-funding-black-startups-2022/\">funding for Black-founded start-ups slowed by more than 50% last year after they received a record $5.1 billion in venture capital in 2021\u003c/a>. Overall venture funding dropped from about $337 billion to roughly $214 billion, while Black founders were hit disproportionately hard, dropping to just $2.3 billion, or 1.1% of the total.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Entrepreneur Amy Hilliard, professor at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, knows how difficult it is to secure financing. It took three years to secure a loan for her cake-manufacturing company, and she had to sell her home to get it started.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Banking is based on relationships, and when a bank like SVB goes under, “those relationships go away, too,” said Hilliard, who is African American.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some conservative critics asserted SVB’s commitment to \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/silicon-valley-bank-fdic-svb-california-d84764deb458371667ac7f850f430f22\">diversity, equity and inclusion\u003c/a> were to blame, but banking experts say those claims were false. The bank slid into insolvency because its larger customers pulled deposits rather than borrow at higher interest rates and the bank’s balance sheets were overexposed, forcing it to sell bonds at a loss to cover the withdrawals.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If we’re focused on climate or communities of color or racial equity, that has nothing to do with what happened with Silicon Valley Bank,” said Valerie Red-Horse Mohl, co-founder of Known Holdings, a Black, Indigenous, Asian American-founded investment banking platform focused on the sustainable growth of minority-managed funds.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Red-Horse Mohl — who has raised, structured and managed over $3 billion in capital for tribal nations — said most larger banks are led by white men and majority-white boards, and “even when they do DEI programs, it’s not a really deep sort of shifting of capital.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Smaller financial institutions, however, have worked to build relationships with people of color. “We cannot lose our regional and community banks,” she said. “It would be a travesty.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Historically, smaller and minority-owned banks have addressed funding gaps that larger banks ignored or even created, following exclusionary laws and policies as they turned away customers because of the color of their skin.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the ripple effects from SVB’s collapse are being felt among these banks as well, said Nicole Elam, president and CEO of the National Bankers Association, a 96-year-old trade association representing more than 175 minority-owned banks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some have seen customers withdraw funds and move to larger banks out of fear, even though most minority-owned banks have a more traditional customer base, with secured loans and minimal risky investments, she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“You’re seeing customer flight of folks that we’ve been serving for a long time,” Elam said. “How many people may not come to us for a mortgage or small-business loan or to do their banking business because they now have in their mind that they need to bank with a bank that is too big to fail? That’s the first impact of eroding public trust.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Black-owned banks have been hit the hardest as the industry consolidates. Most don’t have as much capital to withstand economic downturns. At its peak, there were 134. Today, there are only 21.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But change is on the way. Within the last three years, the federal government, private sector and philanthropic community have invested heavily in minority-run depository institutions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In response to this national conversation around racial equity, people are really seeing minority banks are key to wealth creation and key to helping to close the wealth gap,” Elam said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bradley, the board member of many start-ups, also is an angel investor, providing seed money for multiple entrepreneurs, and is seeing new opportunities as people network in the WhatsApp group to help each other remain afloat and grow.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m really so hopeful,” Bradley said. “Even in the downfall of SVB, it has managed to form this incredible community of folks that are trying to help each other to succeed. They’re saying, ‘SVB was here for us. Now we’re going to be here for each other.'”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ci data-stringify-type=\"italic\">KQED’s Rachael Myrow contributed reporting to this story.\u003c/i>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"title": "Why Are California Unemployment Checks So Hard to Get? New Report Has Ideas",
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"content": "\u003cp>If you get laid off, there’s a system that’s supposed to help you get by: unemployment benefits. Whenever California stares down a pandemic or a possible recession, the partial wage-replacement program is one of the most important economic safeguards for workers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the benefits have become more difficult for workers to access, due to the program’s design and decisions made by California’s embattled Employment Development Department. That’s according to an\u003ca href=\"https://lao.ca.gov/reports/2022/4615/Improving-CA-UI-Program-080822.pdf\"> in-depth report released Monday from the Legislative Analyst’s Office\u003c/a>, a nonpartisan agency that provides advice to the Legislature.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report found that the benefits program’s orientation toward businesses — which fund the benefits and have an incentive to keep costs down — led the department to emphasize holding down costs. Pressure from the federal government to avoid errors led the department to try, however successfully, to minimize fraud.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The result, according to the report: The department pursued lowering costs and hindering fraud over making it easy for workers to access benefits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Looked at individually, one of these policies might seem totally reasonable, either to limit fraud or to minimize business costs,” said Chas Alamo, the report’s author and principal fiscal and policy analyst with the Legislative Analyst’s Office. “But when you look at them, and kind of step back and look at the suite of policies that have been made over several decades, it becomes clear that there’s a sort of imbalance in the system.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Gov. Gavin Newsom’s press office directed questions about the report to the Employment Development Department, saying it was best suited to talk about the report.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Department spokesperson Gareth Lacy wrote in a statement that EDD “appreciates and will carefully review the LAO’s ideas for further simplifying processes and speeding up the delivery of services to Californians. Many of these ideas, such as limiting improper claim denials and minimizing delays, have been incorporated into \u003ca href=\"https://edd.ca.gov/siteassets/files/pdf/edd-2021-year-in-review_v06.pdf\">EDD actions over the past year.\u003c/a>”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lacy also pointed to a modernization push at the department to improve call centers, simplify forms and notices, including user testing, developing data analysis tools to continue curbing fraud, and upgrading department training to increase the pace of application processing.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label=\"Related Stories\" tag=\"unemployment\"]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Early in the COVID pandemic as joblessness rates soared, the department \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/explainers/california-unemployment-benefits/\">struggled to keep up with a surge of benefits claims\u003c/a> — leaving some Californians repeatedly calling the department in frustration and waiting weeks or months for the money to arrive.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then came sensational reports that the department had paid out as much as\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/newsletters/whatmatters/2021/10/california-edd-fixes/?utm_source=CalMatters+Newsletters&utm_campaign=785df30e77-WHATMATTERS&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_faa7be558d-785df30e77-151436580&mc_cid=785df30e77&mc_eid=582122f089\"> $20 billion in fraudulent benefits\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Last December, the department froze 345,000 disability insurance claims due to suspected fraud. As it tried to root out disability benefits fraud, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/economy/2022/06/edd-disability-calls/?utm_source=CalMatters+Newsletters&utm_campaign=785df30e77-WHATMATTERS&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_faa7be558d-785df30e77-151436580&mc_cid=785df30e77&mc_eid=582122f089\">calls to the department with questions surged\u003c/a>, and many went unanswered.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Despite an increase in fraud during the pandemic, fraud has historically been uncommon in California’s unemployment benefits, likely “representing less than 1 percent of claims,” the report found. The vast majority of fraud that occurred during the pandemic was concentrated in a temporary federal program that has now ended.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report lays out evidence that unemployment benefits have become too difficult for workers to access.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When workers are denied benefits, for example, they’re allowed to file appeals. The report found that more than half of denials are overturned on appeal, meaning those workers should have gotten the benefits in the first place. By contrast, “less than one-quarter are overturned in the rest of the country,” the report found.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Also slowing the process: extensive, and sometimes confusing, steps to prove eligibility for California unemployment benefits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The department’s actions during the pandemic suggest that getting payments to workers is not its highest priority, the report said. For example, the department disqualified about 1 in 4 unemployment benefits claims during the pandemic for failing to respond to the department’s requests for additional information — or because the department was not able to process the additional information provided in the allotted time frame.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, \u003ca href=\"https://www.govops.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/sites/11/2020/09/Assessment.pdf\">a September 2020 report\u003c/a> written by a strike team assembled by Gov. Gavin Newsom found that during the same period, each department field office “had an estimated 450 pounds of unopened mail and had no system for processing unopened mail. Further, at the state’s call centers, less than 1 percent of callers reached an EDD staff member.”[pullquote size='medium' align='left' citation=\"Jim Patterson, Republican state assemblymember from Fresno\"]‘We’re just seeing the result of a bureaucratic system that wasn’t capable of doing its fundamental mission.’[/pullquote]The Legislative Analyst’s Office report also revealed that the Employment Development Department mischaracterized the number of people seeking jobless benefits that it was disqualifying or denying in reports to the Legislature.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>From the start of the pandemic to June 30, 2021, the department sent weekly dispatches to the Legislature. During that period, the department reported that it had disqualified or denied 705,000 unemployment benefits claims, according to the Legislative Analyst’s Office’s report. But the LAO found that the department disqualified at least 3.4 million during that period.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When asked about this discrepancy, the department said it had interpreted the requirement to report to the Legislature to mean the number of people who were found not to qualify under state and federal eligibility rules, and so it did not report the number of people being disqualified by procedural rules.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“People should get fired for this,” said Jim Patterson, a Republican state assemblymember from Fresno, citing how the Legislature was misled.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report corroborated what Patterson already sensed, he said — his office has helped about 3,000 constituents who had problems with the department. Through that process, he added, he saw how confounding the communication from the department to unemployed people sometimes is. “They write to constituents as if they’re creating a treatise for a master’s degree in confusion,” Patterson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re just seeing the result of a bureaucratic system that wasn’t capable of doing its fundamental mission,” Patterson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The LAO’s report makes over a dozen suggestions to remedy the issues it identifies, including recommendations for how to limit improper claim denials, minimize delays and simplify benefits applications.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Legislature is investing in modernizing the system and bolstering cybersecurity resilience, Assemblymember Cottie Petrie-Norris, a Democrat from Costa Mesa who chairs the Committee on Accountability and Administrative Review, said in a statement. She added that she hoped that would lead to “major advances in how quickly the department can assess threats and resolve claims.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Making sure unemployment benefits work effectively isn’t just important for workers who have been laid off — it’s important for the whole economy, said Irena Asmundson, a research scholar at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research and former chief economist for California’s Department of Finance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If people who lose their jobs in an economic downturn don’t have unemployment benefits, she said, then they have to pull back on their spending — making a bad situation worse. So unemployment benefits are meant to act as a stabilizer, giving laid-off workers some money to spend and blunting a downward spiral for the whole economy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report “misunderstands EDD’s recent activities to improve the process, and the deeper problems with [unemployment insurance] that go beyond the issues referenced in the report,” said former department director Michael Bernick, who is now special counsel with Duane Morris, a law firm. Bernick, who has also worked as a volunteer helping people who are trying to get benefits over the past two years, agrees that the process is too complex.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Yet many of the anti-fraud measures that the report blames for slowing down payments are required by federal protocols, Bernick wrote in an email.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The truth is that EDD must balance rapid payout and anti-fraud — a process that has become increasingly difficult with the heightened sophistication of identity theft rings, and the amount of money going through the system,” Bernick said. He added that newer measures to combat identity theft, including the addition of online verification tool ID.me, are on the right path.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/economy/2022/08/california-unemployment-benefits-3/\">This story originally appeared in CalMatters.\u003c/a>\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>If you get laid off, there’s a system that’s supposed to help you get by: unemployment benefits. Whenever California stares down a pandemic or a possible recession, the partial wage-replacement program is one of the most important economic safeguards for workers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the benefits have become more difficult for workers to access, due to the program’s design and decisions made by California’s embattled Employment Development Department. That’s according to an\u003ca href=\"https://lao.ca.gov/reports/2022/4615/Improving-CA-UI-Program-080822.pdf\"> in-depth report released Monday from the Legislative Analyst’s Office\u003c/a>, a nonpartisan agency that provides advice to the Legislature.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report found that the benefits program’s orientation toward businesses — which fund the benefits and have an incentive to keep costs down — led the department to emphasize holding down costs. Pressure from the federal government to avoid errors led the department to try, however successfully, to minimize fraud.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The result, according to the report: The department pursued lowering costs and hindering fraud over making it easy for workers to access benefits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Looked at individually, one of these policies might seem totally reasonable, either to limit fraud or to minimize business costs,” said Chas Alamo, the report’s author and principal fiscal and policy analyst with the Legislative Analyst’s Office. “But when you look at them, and kind of step back and look at the suite of policies that have been made over several decades, it becomes clear that there’s a sort of imbalance in the system.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Gov. Gavin Newsom’s press office directed questions about the report to the Employment Development Department, saying it was best suited to talk about the report.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Department spokesperson Gareth Lacy wrote in a statement that EDD “appreciates and will carefully review the LAO’s ideas for further simplifying processes and speeding up the delivery of services to Californians. Many of these ideas, such as limiting improper claim denials and minimizing delays, have been incorporated into \u003ca href=\"https://edd.ca.gov/siteassets/files/pdf/edd-2021-year-in-review_v06.pdf\">EDD actions over the past year.\u003c/a>”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lacy also pointed to a modernization push at the department to improve call centers, simplify forms and notices, including user testing, developing data analysis tools to continue curbing fraud, and upgrading department training to increase the pace of application processing.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Early in the COVID pandemic as joblessness rates soared, the department \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/explainers/california-unemployment-benefits/\">struggled to keep up with a surge of benefits claims\u003c/a> — leaving some Californians repeatedly calling the department in frustration and waiting weeks or months for the money to arrive.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Then came sensational reports that the department had paid out as much as\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/newsletters/whatmatters/2021/10/california-edd-fixes/?utm_source=CalMatters+Newsletters&utm_campaign=785df30e77-WHATMATTERS&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_faa7be558d-785df30e77-151436580&mc_cid=785df30e77&mc_eid=582122f089\"> $20 billion in fraudulent benefits\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Last December, the department froze 345,000 disability insurance claims due to suspected fraud. As it tried to root out disability benefits fraud, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/economy/2022/06/edd-disability-calls/?utm_source=CalMatters+Newsletters&utm_campaign=785df30e77-WHATMATTERS&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_faa7be558d-785df30e77-151436580&mc_cid=785df30e77&mc_eid=582122f089\">calls to the department with questions surged\u003c/a>, and many went unanswered.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Despite an increase in fraud during the pandemic, fraud has historically been uncommon in California’s unemployment benefits, likely “representing less than 1 percent of claims,” the report found. The vast majority of fraud that occurred during the pandemic was concentrated in a temporary federal program that has now ended.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report lays out evidence that unemployment benefits have become too difficult for workers to access.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When workers are denied benefits, for example, they’re allowed to file appeals. The report found that more than half of denials are overturned on appeal, meaning those workers should have gotten the benefits in the first place. By contrast, “less than one-quarter are overturned in the rest of the country,” the report found.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Also slowing the process: extensive, and sometimes confusing, steps to prove eligibility for California unemployment benefits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The department’s actions during the pandemic suggest that getting payments to workers is not its highest priority, the report said. For example, the department disqualified about 1 in 4 unemployment benefits claims during the pandemic for failing to respond to the department’s requests for additional information — or because the department was not able to process the additional information provided in the allotted time frame.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, \u003ca href=\"https://www.govops.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/sites/11/2020/09/Assessment.pdf\">a September 2020 report\u003c/a> written by a strike team assembled by Gov. Gavin Newsom found that during the same period, each department field office “had an estimated 450 pounds of unopened mail and had no system for processing unopened mail. Further, at the state’s call centers, less than 1 percent of callers reached an EDD staff member.”\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>The Legislative Analyst’s Office report also revealed that the Employment Development Department mischaracterized the number of people seeking jobless benefits that it was disqualifying or denying in reports to the Legislature.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>From the start of the pandemic to June 30, 2021, the department sent weekly dispatches to the Legislature. During that period, the department reported that it had disqualified or denied 705,000 unemployment benefits claims, according to the Legislative Analyst’s Office’s report. But the LAO found that the department disqualified at least 3.4 million during that period.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When asked about this discrepancy, the department said it had interpreted the requirement to report to the Legislature to mean the number of people who were found not to qualify under state and federal eligibility rules, and so it did not report the number of people being disqualified by procedural rules.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“People should get fired for this,” said Jim Patterson, a Republican state assemblymember from Fresno, citing how the Legislature was misled.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report corroborated what Patterson already sensed, he said — his office has helped about 3,000 constituents who had problems with the department. Through that process, he added, he saw how confounding the communication from the department to unemployed people sometimes is. “They write to constituents as if they’re creating a treatise for a master’s degree in confusion,” Patterson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’re just seeing the result of a bureaucratic system that wasn’t capable of doing its fundamental mission,” Patterson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The LAO’s report makes over a dozen suggestions to remedy the issues it identifies, including recommendations for how to limit improper claim denials, minimize delays and simplify benefits applications.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Legislature is investing in modernizing the system and bolstering cybersecurity resilience, Assemblymember Cottie Petrie-Norris, a Democrat from Costa Mesa who chairs the Committee on Accountability and Administrative Review, said in a statement. She added that she hoped that would lead to “major advances in how quickly the department can assess threats and resolve claims.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Making sure unemployment benefits work effectively isn’t just important for workers who have been laid off — it’s important for the whole economy, said Irena Asmundson, a research scholar at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research and former chief economist for California’s Department of Finance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If people who lose their jobs in an economic downturn don’t have unemployment benefits, she said, then they have to pull back on their spending — making a bad situation worse. So unemployment benefits are meant to act as a stabilizer, giving laid-off workers some money to spend and blunting a downward spiral for the whole economy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The report “misunderstands EDD’s recent activities to improve the process, and the deeper problems with [unemployment insurance] that go beyond the issues referenced in the report,” said former department director Michael Bernick, who is now special counsel with Duane Morris, a law firm. Bernick, who has also worked as a volunteer helping people who are trying to get benefits over the past two years, agrees that the process is too complex.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Yet many of the anti-fraud measures that the report blames for slowing down payments are required by federal protocols, Bernick wrote in an email.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The truth is that EDD must balance rapid payout and anti-fraud — a process that has become increasingly difficult with the heightened sophistication of identity theft rings, and the amount of money going through the system,” Bernick said. He added that newer measures to combat identity theft, including the addition of online verification tool ID.me, are on the right path.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "edd-begins-punitive-approach-by-forcing-some-recipients-to-pay-back-their-unemployment-benefits",
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"headTitle": "EDD Begins Punitive Approach by Forcing Some Recipients to Pay Back Their Unemployment Benefits | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>A new state policy may require nearly 900,000 Californians to return their unemployment benefits because they may not have been working or looking for work. But some researchers worry the clawback campaign could force people with lower incomes to pay back thousands of dollars they no longer have.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state Economic Development Department began issuing notifications of the proof-of-work requirement last month to one-third of California’s 2.9 million Pandemic Unemployment Assistance recipients. The federal program, which ran from March 2020 and ended in September, was aimed at helping people who don’t usually qualify for unemployment benefits because they are freelancers or small-business owners.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state is asking them to prove, retroactively, that they were working, or planning to work, prior to filing their unemployment claim. If they can’t provide documentation, they would be ineligible and asked to give the benefits back.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11888843\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/EDD-UNEMPLOYMENT-1020x680.jpg\"]A full repayment could be over $32,000 if a recipient received full benefits throughout the program. In addition, if a claimant offered false information, the state could impose a 30% penalty. Some experts are now suggesting giving recipients a pass even if they can’t prove their eligibility.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We should be saying, ‘Look, if you got unemployment insurance benefits during that time, you’re fine,’” said Chris Hoene, executive director of the left-leaning California Budget and Policy Center based in Sacramento.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If the concern is fraudulent claims,” he added, “then do the work to fix the administration of the system” instead of requiring recipients to prove they qualified for the benefits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s not clear where lawmakers stand. Democratic Assemblymember Tom Daly of Anaheim, chair of the Assembly Insurance Committee, which has oversight of the EDD, did not return a request for comment. Assemblymember Chad Mayes of Yucca Valley, an independent serving as vice chair of the committee, also didn’t respond.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The chair and vice chair of the Senate Labor, Public Employment and Retirement Committee — Democrat Dave Cortese of San José and Republican Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh of Yucaipa — also did not respond to requests for comment.\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003cbr>\nThe EDD noted that the repayment policy is a federal requirement, passed by Congress in the Continued Assistance for Unemployment Workers Act in 2020. EDD acknowledges it can waive repayment if the overpayment was not the recipient’s fault or not fraudulent and if repayment would cause extraordinary hardship.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The new policy is an attempt to claw back \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/business-california-5ec16ebe5b5982a9531a7a3d5a45e93c\">an estimated $20 billion lost to fraudulent claims in California\u003c/a>. But McGregor Scott, a former U.S. attorney who has been leading a state investigation into unemployment fraud, \u003ca href=\"https://www.sacbee.com/news/california/article256487486.html\">doesn’t believe EDD’s repayment policy will recover much\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Chris Hoene, California Budget and Policy Center\"]‘If the concern is fraudulent claims, then do the work to fix the administration of the system.’[/pullquote]The state’s immense loss came after EDD, inundated with unemployment claims early in the pandemic, began expediting the process by waiving a proof-of-work requirement. Investigators have said the rollback allowed organized crime and incarcerated people to siphon money from the state through fraudulent claims.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Recipients who receive EDD notices must use \u003ca href=\"https://edd.ca.gov/about_edd/coronavirus-2019/pandemic-unemployment-assistance.htm#SelfEmployment\">pay stubs, tax returns, business licenses or job offer letters\u003c/a> to prove they were employed or planned to be employed in the lead-up to filing their claim.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those who filed on or after Jan. 31 have only 21 days to send documentation. Those who filed before that date, and received a payment after Dec. 27, 2020, have 90 days to comply.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We probably need to implement this with compassion,” said Jesse Rothstein, a professor of public policy and economics at UC Berkeley. “We won’t be able to collect in every case.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label ='Related Coverage' tag='economy']Even before the pandemic, \u003ca href=\"https://www.unitedwaysca.org/realcost\">nearly 1 in 3 Californian households struggled to pay for basic necessities\u003c/a>, according to the United Ways of California. During the pandemic, a report from the Ludwig Institute for Shared Economic Prosperity found that 4.8 million Californians were seeking, but unable to find, full-time work that paid a living wage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A recent report by Tipping Point Community, a nonprofit focused on alleviating poverty in the Bay Area, \u003ca href=\"https://www.mercurynews.com/2021/12/13/covid-didnt-increase-poverty-in-the-bay-area-new-report-says/\">estimated that 200,000 of the region’s residents were kept out of poverty\u003c/a> because of expanded support from government and charitable organizations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Without further bold action, we risk a ‘return to normal’ in terms of durable poverty and inequality,” said Tipping Point’s chief executive, Sam Cobbs. “We cannot afford to take that step backwards.”\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>A new state policy may require nearly 900,000 Californians to return their unemployment benefits because they may not have been working or looking for work. But some researchers worry the clawback campaign could force people with lower incomes to pay back thousands of dollars they no longer have.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state Economic Development Department began issuing notifications of the proof-of-work requirement last month to one-third of California’s 2.9 million Pandemic Unemployment Assistance recipients. The federal program, which ran from March 2020 and ended in September, was aimed at helping people who don’t usually qualify for unemployment benefits because they are freelancers or small-business owners.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state is asking them to prove, retroactively, that they were working, or planning to work, prior to filing their unemployment claim. If they can’t provide documentation, they would be ineligible and asked to give the benefits back.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>A full repayment could be over $32,000 if a recipient received full benefits throughout the program. In addition, if a claimant offered false information, the state could impose a 30% penalty. Some experts are now suggesting giving recipients a pass even if they can’t prove their eligibility.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We should be saying, ‘Look, if you got unemployment insurance benefits during that time, you’re fine,’” said Chris Hoene, executive director of the left-leaning California Budget and Policy Center based in Sacramento.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If the concern is fraudulent claims,” he added, “then do the work to fix the administration of the system” instead of requiring recipients to prove they qualified for the benefits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s not clear where lawmakers stand. Democratic Assemblymember Tom Daly of Anaheim, chair of the Assembly Insurance Committee, which has oversight of the EDD, did not return a request for comment. Assemblymember Chad Mayes of Yucca Valley, an independent serving as vice chair of the committee, also didn’t respond.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The chair and vice chair of the Senate Labor, Public Employment and Retirement Committee — Democrat Dave Cortese of San José and Republican Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh of Yucaipa — also did not respond to requests for comment.\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cbr>\nThe EDD noted that the repayment policy is a federal requirement, passed by Congress in the Continued Assistance for Unemployment Workers Act in 2020. EDD acknowledges it can waive repayment if the overpayment was not the recipient’s fault or not fraudulent and if repayment would cause extraordinary hardship.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The new policy is an attempt to claw back \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/business-california-5ec16ebe5b5982a9531a7a3d5a45e93c\">an estimated $20 billion lost to fraudulent claims in California\u003c/a>. But McGregor Scott, a former U.S. attorney who has been leading a state investigation into unemployment fraud, \u003ca href=\"https://www.sacbee.com/news/california/article256487486.html\">doesn’t believe EDD’s repayment policy will recover much\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>The state’s immense loss came after EDD, inundated with unemployment claims early in the pandemic, began expediting the process by waiving a proof-of-work requirement. Investigators have said the rollback allowed organized crime and incarcerated people to siphon money from the state through fraudulent claims.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Recipients who receive EDD notices must use \u003ca href=\"https://edd.ca.gov/about_edd/coronavirus-2019/pandemic-unemployment-assistance.htm#SelfEmployment\">pay stubs, tax returns, business licenses or job offer letters\u003c/a> to prove they were employed or planned to be employed in the lead-up to filing their claim.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those who filed on or after Jan. 31 have only 21 days to send documentation. Those who filed before that date, and received a payment after Dec. 27, 2020, have 90 days to comply.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We probably need to implement this with compassion,” said Jesse Rothstein, a professor of public policy and economics at UC Berkeley. “We won’t be able to collect in every case.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Even before the pandemic, \u003ca href=\"https://www.unitedwaysca.org/realcost\">nearly 1 in 3 Californian households struggled to pay for basic necessities\u003c/a>, according to the United Ways of California. During the pandemic, a report from the Ludwig Institute for Shared Economic Prosperity found that 4.8 million Californians were seeking, but unable to find, full-time work that paid a living wage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A recent report by Tipping Point Community, a nonprofit focused on alleviating poverty in the Bay Area, \u003ca href=\"https://www.mercurynews.com/2021/12/13/covid-didnt-increase-poverty-in-the-bay-area-new-report-says/\">estimated that 200,000 of the region’s residents were kept out of poverty\u003c/a> because of expanded support from government and charitable organizations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Without further bold action, we risk a ‘return to normal’ in terms of durable poverty and inequality,” said Tipping Point’s chief executive, Sam Cobbs. “We cannot afford to take that step backwards.”\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Hiring in California slowed significantly in November even as the state’s unemployment rate dipped below 7% for the first time since the start of the pandemic in March 2020, according to new data released Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even though California’s unemployment rate fell to 6.9% in November from 7.3% in October, the state still has the highest jobless rate of all U.S. states, according to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The data showed that California employers filled 45,700 new jobs last month. That’s less than half of the jobs the state gained in October, but it was still enough to account for nearly 22% of all U.S. job growth in November.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11888843\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/EDD-UNEMPLOYMENT-1020x680.jpg\"]California has added 977,200 new jobs since February, a feat Gov. Gavin Newsom called “an unprecedented achievement.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the state lost 2.7 million jobs in March and April of 2020, back when Newsom issued the nation’s first statewide stay-at-home order that forced many businesses to close.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nineteen months later, California has regained nearly 70% of those jobs. That’s compared to 82% of jobs recovered nationwide since the start of the pandemic, according to Sung Won Sohn, professor of finance and economics at Loyola Marymount University.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While California “continues to see a robust recovery, creating nearly 22% of the nation’s jobs in November and the largest unemployment rate decrease since February, there’s still more work to be done getting folks back to work and supporting those hardest hit by the pandemic,” said Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>White-collar office jobs accounted for more than 41% of California’s job gains in November, followed by gains in the sectors of education, health services, and leisure and hospitality, which includes restaurants and hotels. Construction jobs declined by 1,700, mostly because of employment losses for specialty trade contractors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Counties in the Bay Area, which have some of the state’s wealthiest residents, registered the lowest unemployment rates. Marin County had 2.9% unemployment, followed by Santa Clara County at 3.2% and San Francisco at 3.3%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Sung Won Sohn, professor at Loyola Marymount University\"]‘I don’t think workers are in any hurry to go back to work … the longer they wait, the higher wage they are going to get.’[/pullquote]Los Angeles County, the nation’s most populous county with nearly 10 million residents, had a 7.1% unemployment rate. The county has a disproportionate number of service industry jobs, including in restaurants and hotels, that employers have had trouble finding workers for.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Imperial County, which borders Arizona and Mexico, had the state’s highest unemployment rate at 15.5%, which is typical for that county’s rural economy that relies mostly on agriculture.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But other sparsely populated Central Valley counties with traditionally high unemployment rates posted numbers below the statewide average — including Shasta, Butte and Madera counties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That shows the state’s job growth is not limited to the state’s population centers along the coast, said Michael Bernick, a former director of the Employment Development Department and a lawyer at the Duane Morris law firm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Other parts of the state are gaining and in fact doing better than they did throughout much of the pre-pandemic times,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label ='Related Coverage' tag='economy']The new unemployment data is based on surveys taken the week of Nov. 12. That survey showed that California’s workforce — defined as the number of people who are either working or looking for work — increased by 17,900 people in November.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the percentage of people in California’s workforce compared to the overall population remains below the U.S. level.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While California has averaged more than 97,000 new jobs per month since February, the state still had 1.1 million job openings at the end of October, according to the new data. That number has persisted since August as employers have struggled to find workers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t think workers are in any hurry to go back to work,” Sohn said. “The longer they wait, the higher wage they are going to get. And there are lots of jobs to choose from.”\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Hiring in California slowed significantly in November even as the state’s unemployment rate dipped below 7% for the first time since the start of the pandemic in March 2020, according to new data released Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even though California’s unemployment rate fell to 6.9% in November from 7.3% in October, the state still has the highest jobless rate of all U.S. states, according to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The data showed that California employers filled 45,700 new jobs last month. That’s less than half of the jobs the state gained in October, but it was still enough to account for nearly 22% of all U.S. job growth in November.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>California has added 977,200 new jobs since February, a feat Gov. Gavin Newsom called “an unprecedented achievement.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the state lost 2.7 million jobs in March and April of 2020, back when Newsom issued the nation’s first statewide stay-at-home order that forced many businesses to close.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nineteen months later, California has regained nearly 70% of those jobs. That’s compared to 82% of jobs recovered nationwide since the start of the pandemic, according to Sung Won Sohn, professor of finance and economics at Loyola Marymount University.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While California “continues to see a robust recovery, creating nearly 22% of the nation’s jobs in November and the largest unemployment rate decrease since February, there’s still more work to be done getting folks back to work and supporting those hardest hit by the pandemic,” said Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>White-collar office jobs accounted for more than 41% of California’s job gains in November, followed by gains in the sectors of education, health services, and leisure and hospitality, which includes restaurants and hotels. Construction jobs declined by 1,700, mostly because of employment losses for specialty trade contractors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Counties in the Bay Area, which have some of the state’s wealthiest residents, registered the lowest unemployment rates. Marin County had 2.9% unemployment, followed by Santa Clara County at 3.2% and San Francisco at 3.3%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Los Angeles County, the nation’s most populous county with nearly 10 million residents, had a 7.1% unemployment rate. The county has a disproportionate number of service industry jobs, including in restaurants and hotels, that employers have had trouble finding workers for.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Imperial County, which borders Arizona and Mexico, had the state’s highest unemployment rate at 15.5%, which is typical for that county’s rural economy that relies mostly on agriculture.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But other sparsely populated Central Valley counties with traditionally high unemployment rates posted numbers below the statewide average — including Shasta, Butte and Madera counties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That shows the state’s job growth is not limited to the state’s population centers along the coast, said Michael Bernick, a former director of the Employment Development Department and a lawyer at the Duane Morris law firm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Other parts of the state are gaining and in fact doing better than they did throughout much of the pre-pandemic times,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>The new unemployment data is based on surveys taken the week of Nov. 12. That survey showed that California’s workforce — defined as the number of people who are either working or looking for work — increased by 17,900 people in November.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the percentage of people in California’s workforce compared to the overall population remains below the U.S. level.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While California has averaged more than 97,000 new jobs per month since February, the state still had 1.1 million job openings at the end of October, according to the new data. That number has persisted since August as employers have struggled to find workers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t think workers are in any hurry to go back to work,” Sohn said. “The longer they wait, the higher wage they are going to get. And there are lots of jobs to choose from.”\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Nance Parry says she’s sent out more than 1,000 r\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>sum\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>s since she got laid off in September 2019. She’s gotten one interview.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Just five weeks into what Parry thought would be a six-month contract, she was laid off from a job as a document specialist for an engineering firm. She says she’s sent out two to three r\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>sum\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>s per weekday since but that’s netted a grand total of one interview, leaving her to live off a monthly $1,200 Social Security check, $1,030 of which is used to pay rent for her apartment in Duarte.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’ve tried to survive, you know, paid bills and food and everything on $200 a month after the rent is paid,” Parry said. “I need to work.” She needs new glasses and electrical work done on her car, but won’t be able to pay for either of those things until she gets a new job. Her landlord has tried to evict her three times, she says, and she’s worried about what will happen when LA County’s \u003ca href=\"https://dcba.lacounty.gov/noevictions/\">eviction protections end\u003c/a> in January 2022.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t know if I’m going to end up living in my car or what because without a job you can’t get an apartment,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Parry is one of roughly 1.4 million Californians who are out of work and looking for jobs. In October, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the state recorded a \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/laus.nr0.htm\">7.3% unemployment rate\u003c/a>, the highest in the country, a distinction California shares with Nevada. October’s national unemployment rate is several points lower, at 4.6%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11898731\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1568px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07.jpeg\">\u003cimg class=\"size-full wp-image-11898731\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07.jpeg\" alt=\"A woman stares at a computer screen in a dark room.\" width=\"1568\" height=\"1045\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07.jpeg 1568w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-800x533.jpeg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-1020x680.jpeg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-160x107.jpeg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-1536x1024.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nance Parry spends hours each day at home in front of her computer searching and applying for jobs. \u003ccite>(Raquel Natalicchio/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>One contributing factor to the state’s lagging employment situation is that California’s large leisure and hospitality sector — made up of hotels, restaurants and more — hasn’t rebounded as quickly as the rest of the country’s. But other data suggest the news isn’t all bad: There are lots of job openings, and workers are \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/blog/mixed-signals-in-californias-labor-market-recovery/\">quitting their jobs in droves\u003c/a>, which is often a sign that people are optimistic they can find a better job.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>Why is California's jobless rate bouncing back more slowly?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Even pre-pandemic, California’s overall unemployment rate was usually slightly above the national rate. But the fact that so many Californians work in the leisure and hospitality industries — which saw massive layoffs at the beginning of the pandemic — contributes to the state’s lagging employment recovery now. Leila Bengali, an economist at UCLA’s Anderson School of Management, pointed out that California’s leisure and hospitality sectors employed almost 18% fewer people in September 2021 than pre-pandemic, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Nationwide, the industry was just 9% smaller in September than it was pre-pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One explanation for the gap between the rate at which California’s leisure and hospitality industry has recovered jobs and the rate at which the industry has recovered jobs nationally, Bengali said, is that international tourism, a large part of the state’s economy, was particularly hard hit during the pandemic. Visitors buy lunches at caf\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>s and stay in hotels; when travel dried up, those businesses bore the brunt.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11898732\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1568px\">\u003cimg class=\"wp-image-11898732 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03.jpeg\" alt='A phone on a shelf with a note that says \"YOU ARE NOT YOU CIRCUMSTANCES, YOU ARE YOUR POSSIBILITIES!!' width=\"1568\" height=\"1044\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03.jpeg 1568w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-800x533.jpeg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-1020x679.jpeg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-160x107.jpeg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-1536x1023.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A note with words of encouragement at Nance Parry’s home in Duarte on Dec. 6, 2021. Parry is currently unemployed and searching for work. \u003ccite>(Raquel Natalicchio/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“It’s not a coincidence that two states [California and Nevada] that are heavily reliant on tourism and entertainment have not done as well, given the demise of tourism and entertainment under COVID,” said Manuel Pastor, a professor of sociology and American studies and ethnicity at the University of Southern California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>New York, which also has a large tourism industry, has an overall unemployment rate of 6.9%. Florida, another high-tourism state, stands apart among high-tourism states with a 4.6% unemployment rate overall. The leisure and hospitality sectors in California, Nevada, New York and Florida all have added jobs back more slowly than the sectors have nationally.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Another potential explanation comes from research by Harvard economics professor Raj Chetty and several other economists, who found that lower-wage workers who worked at small businesses in high-rent ZIP codes — of which California has many — \u003ca href=\"https://opportunityinsights.org/paper/tracker/\">lost their jobs at higher rates\u003c/a> early in the pandemic than lower-wage workers who worked in small businesses in lower-rent areas.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you lived in East LA, but you got on your bike and a bus to get over to Beverly Hills to work in a restaurant, or to clean a house or to take care of kids, a lot of that demand disappeared,” said Pastor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe src=\"https://e.infogram.com/2f6d013b-cc7b-42e2-b6ca-a29e6f319710?src=embed\" title=\"Updated: CA v natl unemployment\" width=\"800\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none;\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>But aren't employers struggling to fill jobs?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Yes. Walk down any commercial strip in a California city and there’s a decent chance you’ll see a \"Now Hiring\" sign in a restaurant or shop window. Employers have been offering \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/economy/2021/08/labor-shortage-hiring-incentives-yoga-therapy-401k/\">cash bonuses and beefed-up benefits\u003c/a> to fill empty positions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California’s unemployment situation “certainly isn’t a question of a lack of job opportunity. That’s not what’s going on,” said Chris Thornberg, founding partner of Beacon Economics, an economic research and consulting firm. “There are an insane number of job opportunities in our state and in the nation overall.” People may just be taking their time to find a good job, he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe src=\"https://e.infogram.com/e15ccbc8-b527-4e43-a612-840d5c238a94?src=embed\" title=\"2 unemployed to openings\" width=\"800\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none;\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There are also some indications that lower-income families aren’t experiencing economic stress, said Thornberg. For example, the share of Californian consumers with new bankruptcies is \u003ca href=\"https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/hhdc/background.html\">lower than it was pre-pandemic\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A lot of the job openings also require in-person, physical work with unpredictable hours — like serving in a restaurant, or packing goods in a warehouse. Some people aren’t willing or able to do that work.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Parry is worried about working in person while the pandemic is ongoing. “I keep seeing signs in restaurants and stuff like that. It really makes me feel bad because I need work,” she said. She worked at Cost Plus over the holidays once in the past, and it made her legs hurt. “I am 71 years old,” she said. “I mean, the last thing I want is a job where I stand all day because it kills the legs and the back.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11898733\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1568px\">\u003cimg class=\"size-full wp-image-11898733\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1568\" height=\"1068\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08.jpeg 1568w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-800x545.jpeg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-1020x695.jpeg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-160x109.jpeg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-1536x1046.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nance Parry spends hours each day in front of her computer searching and applying for jobs. She describes the over-a-year-long job hunt as frustrating and tiring. Dec. 6, 2021. \u003ccite>(Raquel Natalicchio/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“I think right now we’re seeing a lot of people move out of retail, leisure and hospitality and start looking for other employment,” said Somjita Mitra, chief economist at the California Department of Finance. Unpredictable schedules make it hard for workers in those industries to find child care and use public transit to get to work. “There’s going to be some structural changes in those industries long-term,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>It's not all bad\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Compared to California’s jobs recovery after the Great Recession — when unemployment peaked around 12.6% and took more than four years to get down to the state’s current 7.3% unemployment rate — the state’s post-pandemic recovery has been a roaring success. During the pandemic, unemployment in the state crested at 16%, but just a year and a half later, that number had fallen by more than half.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If workers are holding out for jobs that better match their needs and goals, that can prompt employers to increase wages for the lowest-wage workers, for example, or offer them more stable schedules — concessions that are good for the economy, said Irena Asmundson, managing director of the California Policy Research Initiative at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research and former chief economist for the California Department of Finance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Our economy really does work better when we have more of a balance of power between employers and employees,” Asmundson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3 id=\"h-when-will-the-unemployment-rate-come-down\">\u003cstrong>When will the unemployment rate come down?\u003c/strong>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>A \u003ca href=\"https://www.ebudget.ca.gov/2021-22/pdf/Revised/BudgetSummary/EconomicOutlook.pdf\">May 2021 report\u003c/a> from the Department of Finance projected that California’s unemployment rate would return to pre-pandemic levels in 2024.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A new \u003ca href=\"https://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/anderson-forecast-december-pandemic-influence\">report\u003c/a> from UCLA Anderson Forecast predicts that California’s unemployment rate will fall to an average of 5.6% in 2022, and will drop further to an average of 4.4% in 2023. Authors Jerry Nickelsburg and Leila Bengali also expect job growth to slow in industries with a lot of personal contact, and in sectors that cater to tourists.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s unclear whether California’s pre-pandemic jobless rate of about 4% was sustainable, said Asmundson. There’s a sweet spot, she said, and while economists disagree on exactly what that sweet spot is, she puts it at 5% for California. She predicts we will get to that rate in mid 2022.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Other economists think we shouldn’t worry about the unemployment rate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Who cares?” asked Chris Thornberg. “People shouldn’t care,” he said. The more important question, he said, is whether there are job opportunities for people: “The answer is, yeah, more than ever before.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "One big contributing factor is the state's slow-to-rebound leisure and hospitality sectors. But, overall, there's no shortage of job openings, and high quit rates suggest workers are optimistic they can find better positions.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Nance Parry says she’s sent out more than 1,000 r\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>sum\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>s since she got laid off in September 2019. She’s gotten one interview.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Just five weeks into what Parry thought would be a six-month contract, she was laid off from a job as a document specialist for an engineering firm. She says she’s sent out two to three r\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>sum\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>s per weekday since but that’s netted a grand total of one interview, leaving her to live off a monthly $1,200 Social Security check, $1,030 of which is used to pay rent for her apartment in Duarte.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’ve tried to survive, you know, paid bills and food and everything on $200 a month after the rent is paid,” Parry said. “I need to work.” She needs new glasses and electrical work done on her car, but won’t be able to pay for either of those things until she gets a new job. Her landlord has tried to evict her three times, she says, and she’s worried about what will happen when LA County’s \u003ca href=\"https://dcba.lacounty.gov/noevictions/\">eviction protections end\u003c/a> in January 2022.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t know if I’m going to end up living in my car or what because without a job you can’t get an apartment,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Parry is one of roughly 1.4 million Californians who are out of work and looking for jobs. In October, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the state recorded a \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/laus.nr0.htm\">7.3% unemployment rate\u003c/a>, the highest in the country, a distinction California shares with Nevada. October’s national unemployment rate is several points lower, at 4.6%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11898731\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1568px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07.jpeg\">\u003cimg class=\"size-full wp-image-11898731\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07.jpeg\" alt=\"A woman stares at a computer screen in a dark room.\" width=\"1568\" height=\"1045\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07.jpeg 1568w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-800x533.jpeg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-1020x680.jpeg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-160x107.jpeg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-1536x1024.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nance Parry spends hours each day at home in front of her computer searching and applying for jobs. \u003ccite>(Raquel Natalicchio/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>One contributing factor to the state’s lagging employment situation is that California’s large leisure and hospitality sector — made up of hotels, restaurants and more — hasn’t rebounded as quickly as the rest of the country’s. But other data suggest the news isn’t all bad: There are lots of job openings, and workers are \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/blog/mixed-signals-in-californias-labor-market-recovery/\">quitting their jobs in droves\u003c/a>, which is often a sign that people are optimistic they can find a better job.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>Why is California's jobless rate bouncing back more slowly?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Even pre-pandemic, California’s overall unemployment rate was usually slightly above the national rate. But the fact that so many Californians work in the leisure and hospitality industries — which saw massive layoffs at the beginning of the pandemic — contributes to the state’s lagging employment recovery now. Leila Bengali, an economist at UCLA’s Anderson School of Management, pointed out that California’s leisure and hospitality sectors employed almost 18% fewer people in September 2021 than pre-pandemic, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Nationwide, the industry was just 9% smaller in September than it was pre-pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One explanation for the gap between the rate at which California’s leisure and hospitality industry has recovered jobs and the rate at which the industry has recovered jobs nationally, Bengali said, is that international tourism, a large part of the state’s economy, was particularly hard hit during the pandemic. Visitors buy lunches at caf\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>s and stay in hotels; when travel dried up, those businesses bore the brunt.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11898732\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1568px\">\u003cimg class=\"wp-image-11898732 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03.jpeg\" alt='A phone on a shelf with a note that says \"YOU ARE NOT YOU CIRCUMSTANCES, YOU ARE YOUR POSSIBILITIES!!' width=\"1568\" height=\"1044\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03.jpeg 1568w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-800x533.jpeg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-1020x679.jpeg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-160x107.jpeg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-1536x1023.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A note with words of encouragement at Nance Parry’s home in Duarte on Dec. 6, 2021. Parry is currently unemployed and searching for work. \u003ccite>(Raquel Natalicchio/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“It’s not a coincidence that two states [California and Nevada] that are heavily reliant on tourism and entertainment have not done as well, given the demise of tourism and entertainment under COVID,” said Manuel Pastor, a professor of sociology and American studies and ethnicity at the University of Southern California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>New York, which also has a large tourism industry, has an overall unemployment rate of 6.9%. Florida, another high-tourism state, stands apart among high-tourism states with a 4.6% unemployment rate overall. The leisure and hospitality sectors in California, Nevada, New York and Florida all have added jobs back more slowly than the sectors have nationally.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Another potential explanation comes from research by Harvard economics professor Raj Chetty and several other economists, who found that lower-wage workers who worked at small businesses in high-rent ZIP codes — of which California has many — \u003ca href=\"https://opportunityinsights.org/paper/tracker/\">lost their jobs at higher rates\u003c/a> early in the pandemic than lower-wage workers who worked in small businesses in lower-rent areas.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you lived in East LA, but you got on your bike and a bus to get over to Beverly Hills to work in a restaurant, or to clean a house or to take care of kids, a lot of that demand disappeared,” said Pastor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe src=\"https://e.infogram.com/2f6d013b-cc7b-42e2-b6ca-a29e6f319710?src=embed\" title=\"Updated: CA v natl unemployment\" width=\"800\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none;\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>But aren't employers struggling to fill jobs?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Yes. Walk down any commercial strip in a California city and there’s a decent chance you’ll see a \"Now Hiring\" sign in a restaurant or shop window. Employers have been offering \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/economy/2021/08/labor-shortage-hiring-incentives-yoga-therapy-401k/\">cash bonuses and beefed-up benefits\u003c/a> to fill empty positions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California’s unemployment situation “certainly isn’t a question of a lack of job opportunity. That’s not what’s going on,” said Chris Thornberg, founding partner of Beacon Economics, an economic research and consulting firm. “There are an insane number of job opportunities in our state and in the nation overall.” People may just be taking their time to find a good job, he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe src=\"https://e.infogram.com/e15ccbc8-b527-4e43-a612-840d5c238a94?src=embed\" title=\"2 unemployed to openings\" width=\"800\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none;\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There are also some indications that lower-income families aren’t experiencing economic stress, said Thornberg. For example, the share of Californian consumers with new bankruptcies is \u003ca href=\"https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/hhdc/background.html\">lower than it was pre-pandemic\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A lot of the job openings also require in-person, physical work with unpredictable hours — like serving in a restaurant, or packing goods in a warehouse. Some people aren’t willing or able to do that work.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Parry is worried about working in person while the pandemic is ongoing. “I keep seeing signs in restaurants and stuff like that. It really makes me feel bad because I need work,” she said. She worked at Cost Plus over the holidays once in the past, and it made her legs hurt. “I am 71 years old,” she said. “I mean, the last thing I want is a job where I stand all day because it kills the legs and the back.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11898733\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1568px\">\u003cimg class=\"size-full wp-image-11898733\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1568\" height=\"1068\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08.jpeg 1568w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-800x545.jpeg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-1020x695.jpeg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-160x109.jpeg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-1536x1046.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nance Parry spends hours each day in front of her computer searching and applying for jobs. She describes the over-a-year-long job hunt as frustrating and tiring. Dec. 6, 2021. \u003ccite>(Raquel Natalicchio/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“I think right now we’re seeing a lot of people move out of retail, leisure and hospitality and start looking for other employment,” said Somjita Mitra, chief economist at the California Department of Finance. Unpredictable schedules make it hard for workers in those industries to find child care and use public transit to get to work. “There’s going to be some structural changes in those industries long-term,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>It's not all bad\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Compared to California’s jobs recovery after the Great Recession — when unemployment peaked around 12.6% and took more than four years to get down to the state’s current 7.3% unemployment rate — the state’s post-pandemic recovery has been a roaring success. During the pandemic, unemployment in the state crested at 16%, but just a year and a half later, that number had fallen by more than half.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If workers are holding out for jobs that better match their needs and goals, that can prompt employers to increase wages for the lowest-wage workers, for example, or offer them more stable schedules — concessions that are good for the economy, said Irena Asmundson, managing director of the California Policy Research Initiative at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research and former chief economist for the California Department of Finance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Our economy really does work better when we have more of a balance of power between employers and employees,” Asmundson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3 id=\"h-when-will-the-unemployment-rate-come-down\">\u003cstrong>When will the unemployment rate come down?\u003c/strong>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>A \u003ca href=\"https://www.ebudget.ca.gov/2021-22/pdf/Revised/BudgetSummary/EconomicOutlook.pdf\">May 2021 report\u003c/a> from the Department of Finance projected that California’s unemployment rate would return to pre-pandemic levels in 2024.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A new \u003ca href=\"https://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/anderson-forecast-december-pandemic-influence\">report\u003c/a> from UCLA Anderson Forecast predicts that California’s unemployment rate will fall to an average of 5.6% in 2022, and will drop further to an average of 4.4% in 2023. Authors Jerry Nickelsburg and Leila Bengali also expect job growth to slow in industries with a lot of personal contact, and in sectors that cater to tourists.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s unclear whether California’s pre-pandemic jobless rate of about 4% was sustainable, said Asmundson. There’s a sweet spot, she said, and while economists disagree on exactly what that sweet spot is, she puts it at 5% for California. She predicts we will get to that rate in mid 2022.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Other economists think we shouldn’t worry about the unemployment rate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Who cares?” asked Chris Thornberg. “People shouldn’t care,” he said. The more important question, he said, is whether there are job opportunities for people: “The answer is, yeah, more than ever before.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"title": "Most Californians Say Income Inequality Growing and Economic Opportunity Falling, New Poll Finds",
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"content": "\u003cp>Californians may be split on many political and social issues, but a solid majority agree that the gap between the rich and poor is growing wider.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A new poll from the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) finds that \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/publication/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-their-economic-well-being-november-2021/\">nearly 70% of adults across California think income disparities are increasing in the region\u003c/a> where they live. And more than 60% believe that kids growing up in the state today will be worse off than they are.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11895759\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1537px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11895759\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double.png\" alt=\"Two horizontal bar charts showing opinions on wealth disparities.\" width=\"1537\" height=\"658\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double.png 1537w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double-800x342.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double-1020x437.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double-160x68.png 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1537px) 100vw, 1537px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">From findings of the November 2021 Public Policy Institute of California statewide survey. \u003ccite>(Courtesy PPIC)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But PPIC President Mark Baldassare, who directed the survey, said the results show that even in this highly partisan period, there’s strong consensus among Californians about how to fix the problem, ” … whether it comes to creating more affordable child care for lower-income workers, improving job training [or] finding ways to provide housing close to work in regions that are more affordable for people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label=\"related coverage\" tag=\"income-inequality\"]Not surprisingly, housing is one of the top concerns among adults in California, a quarter of whom say they worry constantly about the cost of it, according to the poll.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s a lot of people,” Baldassare said. “And this is in the context of people saying that the lack of well-paying jobs in their regions is a big problem.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, he noted, about 20% of those surveyed say they’re seriously considering moving out of state because of a dearth of the kind of well-paying jobs they would need to afford to live here.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roughly one in five Californians say that they or someone in their household over the last year has cut back on food (21%), put off seeing a doctor or purchasing medicine to save money (18%), been unable to pay a monthly bill (17%) or had difficulty paying the rent or mortgage (17%), the poll finds. Interestingly, the results are similar to those from last November’s survey, which was conducted when many statewide COVID-19 restrictions were still in effect.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The poll also finds significant differences across racial and ethnic groups, with Latinos and African Americans most likely to report any of these issue. Meanwhile the share of people experiencing these difficulties declines as age increases.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11895757\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1216px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11895757 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1.png\" alt=\"A series of horizontal bar charts showing financial difficulties across racial/ethnic and income groups.\" width=\"1216\" height=\"807\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1.png 1216w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1-800x531.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1-1020x677.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1-160x106.png 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1216px) 100vw, 1216px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">From findings of the November 2021 Public Policy Institute of California statewide survey. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of PPIC)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In light of affordability concerns, most Californians are also strongly supportive of more government assistance, the poll finds, with more than 75% of adult residents saying the government should help lower-income families pay for child care. The share of people who say they support increased funding for job-training programs is even higher — at 81%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think people in California will be looking [with] great interest now in terms of what the federal government is going to be able to provide, as well as what the state government might be able to provide, in terms of support for expanding child care for lower-income workers and expanding job training so that more people can find their way to good-paying jobs in California,” Baldassare said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11895758\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1213px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11895758 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs.png\" alt=\"Horizontal bar charts showing overwhelming support for expansive of safety net programs. \" width=\"1213\" height=\"807\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs.png 1213w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs-800x532.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs-1020x679.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs-160x106.png 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1213px) 100vw, 1213px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">From findings of the November 2021 Public Policy Institute of California statewide survey. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of PPIC)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The poll results come as Democrats in Washington, D.C., continue to negotiate the terms of a \u003ca href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-05/after-decades-of-focus-on-elderly-washington-turns-to-families\">$1.75 trillion social spending package\u003c/a> that could include subsidized child care and universal pre-K for 3- and 4-year-olds.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Findings in the survey are based on interviews with 2,292 adult residents throughout California, conducted from Oct. 12–31, 2021.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The poll’s sampling error is ±3.2%, at the 95% confidence level, meaning that 95 times out of 100, the results will be within 3.2 percentage points of what they would be if all adults in California were interviewed.[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Californians may be split on many political and social issues, but a solid majority agree that the gap between the rich and poor is growing wider.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A new poll from the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) finds that \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/publication/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-their-economic-well-being-november-2021/\">nearly 70% of adults across California think income disparities are increasing in the region\u003c/a> where they live. And more than 60% believe that kids growing up in the state today will be worse off than they are.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11895759\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1537px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11895759\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double.png\" alt=\"Two horizontal bar charts showing opinions on wealth disparities.\" width=\"1537\" height=\"658\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double.png 1537w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double-800x342.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double-1020x437.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double-160x68.png 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1537px) 100vw, 1537px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">From findings of the November 2021 Public Policy Institute of California statewide survey. \u003ccite>(Courtesy PPIC)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But PPIC President Mark Baldassare, who directed the survey, said the results show that even in this highly partisan period, there’s strong consensus among Californians about how to fix the problem, ” … whether it comes to creating more affordable child care for lower-income workers, improving job training [or] finding ways to provide housing close to work in regions that are more affordable for people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Not surprisingly, housing is one of the top concerns among adults in California, a quarter of whom say they worry constantly about the cost of it, according to the poll.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s a lot of people,” Baldassare said. “And this is in the context of people saying that the lack of well-paying jobs in their regions is a big problem.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, he noted, about 20% of those surveyed say they’re seriously considering moving out of state because of a dearth of the kind of well-paying jobs they would need to afford to live here.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roughly one in five Californians say that they or someone in their household over the last year has cut back on food (21%), put off seeing a doctor or purchasing medicine to save money (18%), been unable to pay a monthly bill (17%) or had difficulty paying the rent or mortgage (17%), the poll finds. Interestingly, the results are similar to those from last November’s survey, which was conducted when many statewide COVID-19 restrictions were still in effect.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The poll also finds significant differences across racial and ethnic groups, with Latinos and African Americans most likely to report any of these issue. Meanwhile the share of people experiencing these difficulties declines as age increases.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11895757\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1216px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11895757 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1.png\" alt=\"A series of horizontal bar charts showing financial difficulties across racial/ethnic and income groups.\" width=\"1216\" height=\"807\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1.png 1216w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1-800x531.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1-1020x677.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1-160x106.png 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1216px) 100vw, 1216px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">From findings of the November 2021 Public Policy Institute of California statewide survey. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of PPIC)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In light of affordability concerns, most Californians are also strongly supportive of more government assistance, the poll finds, with more than 75% of adult residents saying the government should help lower-income families pay for child care. The share of people who say they support increased funding for job-training programs is even higher — at 81%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think people in California will be looking [with] great interest now in terms of what the federal government is going to be able to provide, as well as what the state government might be able to provide, in terms of support for expanding child care for lower-income workers and expanding job training so that more people can find their way to good-paying jobs in California,” Baldassare said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11895758\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1213px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11895758 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs.png\" alt=\"Horizontal bar charts showing overwhelming support for expansive of safety net programs. \" width=\"1213\" height=\"807\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs.png 1213w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs-800x532.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs-1020x679.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs-160x106.png 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1213px) 100vw, 1213px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">From findings of the November 2021 Public Policy Institute of California statewide survey. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of PPIC)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The poll results come as Democrats in Washington, D.C., continue to negotiate the terms of a \u003ca href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-05/after-decades-of-focus-on-elderly-washington-turns-to-families\">$1.75 trillion social spending package\u003c/a> that could include subsidized child care and universal pre-K for 3- and 4-year-olds.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Findings in the survey are based on interviews with 2,292 adult residents throughout California, conducted from Oct. 12–31, 2021.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The poll’s sampling error is ±3.2%, at the 95% confidence level, meaning that 95 times out of 100, the results will be within 3.2 percentage points of what they would be if all adults in California were interviewed.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "how-do-you-measure-the-economic-toll-of-wildfires-the-answer-could-help-california-respond-to-emergencies-better",
"title": "How Do You Measure the Economic Toll of Wildfires? The Answer Could Help California Respond to Emergencies Better",
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"headTitle": "How Do You Measure the Economic Toll of Wildfires? The Answer Could Help California Respond to Emergencies Better | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/calmatters-en-espanol/2021/10/cual-es-el-impacto-real-de-los-incendios-forestales-en-la-economia-de-california/\">\u003cem>Leer en español.\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not a single structure burned down \u003ca href=\"https://calfire-forestry.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=366d1a3e25ce4a11a4c0846c3a337ce9&extent=-13464888.411%2C4646560.0626%2C-13348704.128%2C4707786.1223%2C102100https://calfire-forestry.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=366d1a3e25ce4a11a4c0846c3a337ce9&extent=-13464888.411%2C4646560.0626%2C-13348704.128%2C4707786.1223%2C102100\">in the city of South Lake Tahoe\u003c/a>. And yet, the threat of the fast-approaching Caldor Fire cost surrounding El Dorado County tens of millions of dollars, if not more.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In South Lake Tahoe, Domi Chavarria, co-owner of Verde Mexican Rotisserie, felt the devastation of the Caldor Fire even before the city was evacuated in August. Smoke had blanketed the city, and the tourists had mostly left.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When authorities ordered \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11886947/thousands-more-evacuated-as-caldor-fire-moves-closer-to-south-lake-tahoe\">the evacuation of South Lake Tahoe\u003c/a>, Verde was stocked with food, almost all of which went bad during the more than two weeks the restaurant ultimately remained closed. Produce wilted; proteins went bad; prepared sauces couldn’t be used.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All that stuff, none of that’s made to last weeks — it’s all made to last days,” says Chavarria. He estimates the lost inventory was worth between $10,000 and $13,000. None of it was covered by his insurance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892015\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1200px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892015 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51.jpg\" alt=\"A man in a hooded sweatshirt and a baseball hat on backward stands behind a restaurant counter looking evenly at the camera.\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51.jpg 1200w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51-160x107.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Domi Chavarria at his restaurant, Verde Mexican Rotisserie, in South Lake Tahoe on Oct. 6, 2021. \u003ccite>(Salgu Wissmath for CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Losses like Chavarria’s add up — to at least $50.3 million in lost economic activity for El Dorado County, according to an initial estimate shared with CalMatters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Knowing the true cost of wildfires could spur more ambitious action from both government and the private sector, experts say. For instance, tracking the costs systematically over several years could help policymakers figure out which fire prevention and mitigation strategies are most cost effective.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But right now, California has an incomplete understanding of how much wildfires cost the state each year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The costs of business disruption, the cost of damage to uninsured homes, the cost of ecosystem damage, and the cost of secondary health impacts — such as those caused by wildfire smoke — aren’t being tracked.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>We don’t have a comprehensive picture of the economic harm wildfires cause each year, explains Teresa Feo, senior science officer at the California Council on Science and Technology and lead author of \u003ca href=\"https://ccst.us/reports/the-costs-of-wildfire-in-california/\">a 2020 report from the council\u003c/a> on the cost of wildfires in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There isn’t a statewide systematic tracking effort to figure out these costs,” said Feo. She said it took only about a month of digging into the question to realize: “‘Oh no, you can’t come up with a number. This is actually impossible with the existing data.'”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state does not track or estimate the cost of wildfires in a way that accounts for public health costs or ecological damage on a regular basis, confirmed Heather Williams, communications director for the California Natural Resources Agency.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Those would always be a moving target since health impacts can occur years later,” Williams wrote in an email.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“But with more research being funded, this may be more feasible to help the state better understand the economic and ecological impacts so we can continue to make science-based informed policy decisions,” he added.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892013\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892013 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24.jpg\" alt=\"A woman with her hair back and wearing gloves chops tomatoes in a restaurant kitchen.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Martha Garcia preps food in the kitchen at Verde Mexican Rotisserie in South Lake Tahoe on Oct. 6, 2021. Owner Domi Chavarria lost about $10,000 worth of inventory when they shut down for two weeks due to the Caldor Fire evacuation. \u003ccite>(Salgu Wissmath for CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>The different costs of wildfires\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>The initial analysis of the Caldor Fire’s economic impact was prepared by Tom Harris, an economist at the University of Nevada, Reno, for the Tahoe Prosperity Center, an economic development organization for the Lake Tahoe Basin.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892030\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 1000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892030 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00.jpg\" alt='A bright green garbage dumpster painted with the words \"Food Only\" full of raw chicken.' width=\"1000\" height=\"1334\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00.jpg 1000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00-800x1067.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00-160x213.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Food inventory from the Verde Mexican Rotisserie restaurant had to be discarded after a two-week evacuation order due to the Caldor Fire in South Lake Tahoe. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Domi Chavarria)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The study estimates the combined losses of El Dorado and Nevada’s Douglas County at $93 million. And, says Harris, that preliminary estimate is low: It doesn’t include the losses in sectors like rental homes or recreation businesses. Nor does it include the lost economic activity caused by residents evacuating, and it doesn’t take into account the health care costs associated with wildfire smoke exposure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some costs are more immediate — the cost of Chavarria’s rotted food, for instance, and the fact that the fire took place over Labor Day weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s not a slow weekend in Tahoe,” said Chavarria. Tourism is about 63% of the Tahoe basin’s economy, \u003ca href=\"https://tahoeprosperity.org/wp-content/uploads/measuring-for-prosperity-community-and-economic-indicators-for-the-lake-tahoe-basin-2018.pdf\">according to a 2018 report from the Tahoe Prosperity Center\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Between the slowdown in business due to smoke and the evacuation, Verde lost several weeks of revenue. Chavarria says that a month of sales for the restaurant is more than $100,000. Verde’s employees also went without paychecks for the two weeks the restaurant was shut down.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nicole Smith, co-founder and taproom manager of South Lake Brewing Company, said her business fared better than many, partially because none of the beer went bad. But between the loss of sales in the company’s own taproom and the beer it sells to other local businesses, the brewery lost somewhere between $30,000 and $50,000 of revenue during the evacuation, estimates Smith.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition to lost business, some figures are easier to pin down, like the amount Cal Fire spends on fire suppression.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the state, for example, does not systematically track deaths and health conditions linked to wildfire smoke exposure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The costs associated with smoke may be the largest costs we’re missing, says Feo.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11890211\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/Leadphoto-800x533.png\"]One study \u003ca href=\"https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1002601\">produced by public health department researchers and academics\u003c/a> tracked the use of Medi-Cal services during San Diego’s 2007 fall fire season. It found that during the peak fire period, emergency room visits for respiratory conditions increased by 34% and visits for asthma increased by 113%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Especially concerning was a 136% increase in ER visits for children age 4 and younger for asthma. That finding, the authors wrote, “is cause for particular concern because of the potential for long-term harm to children’s lung development.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A systematic effort to track wildfire smoke effects would be especially profound, says Feo, because it reaches so far beyond the location of the fire.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2018, for example, smoke from the Camp Fire \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1969409/no-you-didnt-wake-up-to-the-apocalypse-wildfire-smoke-turns-bay-area-sky-orange-and-dark\">clogged San Francisco\u003c/a>, a city more than 100 miles away. If you can put figures on the impact of smoke across the whole state, “who’s impacted by the fire suddenly changes very dramatically, and therefore who benefits from the prevention and mitigation changes,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892020\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892020 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut.jpg\" alt=\"A red and white sign on a tall pole along a two-lane road, surrounded by tall fir trees, with smoke haze in the distance.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A sign for the town of Kyburz says, “Welcome to Kyburz/Happy New Year 2021,” while the Caldor Fire burns nearby on Aug. 31, 2021. The residents of Kyburz were ordered to evacuate for several days during the Caldor Fire. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>Different approaches to wildfire data\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>The current approach to assessing the aftermath of wildfires is a hodgepodge of research looking into different aspects that is not led by any one agency.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A smattering of data collection efforts includes:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>The California Air Resources Board funding a study of the health impact of wildfire smoke statewide for 2017, 2018 and 2020, which will be ready in three or four years.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>The board also funding a study of lost work days due to wildfire smoke, which will be ready in a couple of years.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Cal Fire also increasing funding for \u003ca href=\"https://frap.fire.ca.gov/research-monitoring/forest-health-research-program-overview-grant-solicitation/\">research into forest health\u003c/a>\u003cbr>\n(the Department of Insurance tabulates \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/environment/california-wildfires/2020/12/homeowners-insurers-fire-science/\">the damage to insured homes\u003c/a> for some major wildfires, but does not track damage from all wildfires each year).\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>A variety of academic studies.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>Academic research on the cost of wildfires tends to come out several years later, and different studies focus on different fires using different methodologies. That makes it difficult to compare the findings, or track the costs over time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These studies also are conducted based on the interests of the particular researcher, says Louise Comfort, a professor at the University of Pittsburgh and a faculty affiliate at UC Berkeley’s Center for Information Technology Research in the Interest of Society Policy Lab.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That doesn’t give us a comprehensive view,” Comfort said. She credits a UC-system-wide effort \u003ca href=\"https://uckeepresearching.org/2021-uc-resilience-symposium-series/\">to study the impacts of wildfires\u003c/a> as a step in the right direction, but says the results are still not arriving in a standardized way.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state may be in the best position to lead the effort on tracking the economic impact of wildfires. “The only thing that would give us a comprehensive view is if the state really said, ‘We want this kind of information,'” said Comfort. But the state agencies shouldn’t go it alone, she says: They should engage experts in the university system.\u003cbr>\n[pullquote size='large' align='right']In 2020, for example, a team of researchers studied the nationwide impact of California’s 2018 wildfire season, and estimated that its economic damage totaled $148.5 billion.[/pullquote]\u003cbr>\nWithout statewide, systematically published numbers, it’s more difficult to compare how different regions are suffering from wildfires, or to assess the cost effectiveness of different wildfire prevention strategies. And it may be more challenging to justify spending on expensive, but nonetheless cost-effective, mitigation or prevention programs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s a question that comes up when talking about spending taxpayer dollars, Feo said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While wildfire costs aren’t tracked, there are some academic studies that attempt to estimate those costs and produce mind-boggling figures. In 2020, for example, a team of researchers studied the nationwide impact of California’s 2018 wildfire season, and estimated that its economic damage totaled $148.5 billion.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The study, \u003ca href=\"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-00646-7\">published in Nature Sustainability\u003c/a>, captured direct capital costs, such as buildings burning down; health costs, including those related to air pollution exposure; and indirect losses such as the economic disruption of lost hours of work, as well as disruption to regional and national supply chains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The costs identified in that study exceed that of any disaster in the U.S. between the 9/11 terrorist attacks in 2001 and the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, other than Hurricane Katrina, says Adam Rose, a research professor at the University of Southern California and an expert in energy and environmental economics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rose said that a standardized methodology for assessing the total cost of wildfires should be established and applied on a regular basis — and it needs to be one that can be implemented relatively rapidly, as opposed to several years after a fire. That would allow a whole field of researchers to help track these costs, and would make their findings comparable. In addition to helping make the political case for government-led fire-prevention efforts, those numbers might spur private sector action on fire prevention efforts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"science_1976952\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2021/09/Grapes-2048x1536.jpg\"]But not all experts said that measuring the costs associated with each wildfire season is important. William Siembieda, a professor emeritus at Cal Poly in San Luis Obispo and senior member of a Cal Poly team that prepared several of the state’s hazard mitigation plans, says he doesn’t know how policymakers would make use of those numbers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What would be useful, Siembieda says, is for cities to model the economic impact of different levels of fire damage. What would be the cost if 5% of the city burned? What if 10% or 20% burned?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With those estimates, local officials could decide whether they’re prepared to absorb that loss, insure against the risk or pursue other strategies.\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>What’s next for survivors?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>For a couple weeks now, South Lake Tahoe residents and business owners have been reopening their restaurants, shops and adventure outfits, taking stock of what happened.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When Lisa Schafer, co-owner of Wildwood Makers Market, returned to the city and drove to her shop for the first time, she felt waves of different emotions. There was the fear she’d been holding on to — that her hometown, her house and her business would all burn to a crisp. There was the gratitude she felt for the fact that they had all been spared.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I cried the whole drive,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Her shop, which sells jewelry, wall decor, embroidery kits and other gifts, smelled smoky for her first few days back. It wasn’t a pleasant campfire smell. “It smelled like beef jerky,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label ='Related Coverage' tag='wildfires']Business didn’t return to normal immediately; tourists didn’t rush back to the area. All told, Shafer lost about 60% of sales in September. Her insurance won’t cover that loss of business.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s clear, she says, that these fires are not going away. She said she wishes there were some sort of automatic aid for businesses and individuals affected by the fire.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ultimately, Wildwood Makers Market will bounce back from loss of business, Schafer said. But if something happens in the winter that disrupts the holiday shopping season, that could be “catastrophic,” she says. “One more hit would not be good for us.”\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "A preliminary estimate shows that the Caldor Fire cost tens of millions of dollars in lost economic activity. But right now, California has a mostly incomplete picture of how much fires cost the state each year.",
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"title": "How Do You Measure the Economic Toll of Wildfires? The Answer Could Help California Respond to Emergencies Better | KQED",
"description": "A preliminary estimate shows that the Caldor Fire cost tens of millions of dollars in lost economic activity. But right now, California has a mostly incomplete picture of how much fires cost the state each year.",
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"headline": "How Do You Measure the Economic Toll of Wildfires? The Answer Could Help California Respond to Emergencies Better",
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"nprByline": "\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/author/grace-gedye/\">Grace Gedye\u003c/a>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/calmatters-en-espanol/2021/10/cual-es-el-impacto-real-de-los-incendios-forestales-en-la-economia-de-california/\">\u003cem>Leer en español.\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not a single structure burned down \u003ca href=\"https://calfire-forestry.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=366d1a3e25ce4a11a4c0846c3a337ce9&extent=-13464888.411%2C4646560.0626%2C-13348704.128%2C4707786.1223%2C102100https://calfire-forestry.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=366d1a3e25ce4a11a4c0846c3a337ce9&extent=-13464888.411%2C4646560.0626%2C-13348704.128%2C4707786.1223%2C102100\">in the city of South Lake Tahoe\u003c/a>. And yet, the threat of the fast-approaching Caldor Fire cost surrounding El Dorado County tens of millions of dollars, if not more.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In South Lake Tahoe, Domi Chavarria, co-owner of Verde Mexican Rotisserie, felt the devastation of the Caldor Fire even before the city was evacuated in August. Smoke had blanketed the city, and the tourists had mostly left.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When authorities ordered \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11886947/thousands-more-evacuated-as-caldor-fire-moves-closer-to-south-lake-tahoe\">the evacuation of South Lake Tahoe\u003c/a>, Verde was stocked with food, almost all of which went bad during the more than two weeks the restaurant ultimately remained closed. Produce wilted; proteins went bad; prepared sauces couldn’t be used.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All that stuff, none of that’s made to last weeks — it’s all made to last days,” says Chavarria. He estimates the lost inventory was worth between $10,000 and $13,000. None of it was covered by his insurance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892015\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1200px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892015 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51.jpg\" alt=\"A man in a hooded sweatshirt and a baseball hat on backward stands behind a restaurant counter looking evenly at the camera.\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51.jpg 1200w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51-160x107.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Domi Chavarria at his restaurant, Verde Mexican Rotisserie, in South Lake Tahoe on Oct. 6, 2021. \u003ccite>(Salgu Wissmath for CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Losses like Chavarria’s add up — to at least $50.3 million in lost economic activity for El Dorado County, according to an initial estimate shared with CalMatters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Knowing the true cost of wildfires could spur more ambitious action from both government and the private sector, experts say. For instance, tracking the costs systematically over several years could help policymakers figure out which fire prevention and mitigation strategies are most cost effective.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But right now, California has an incomplete understanding of how much wildfires cost the state each year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The costs of business disruption, the cost of damage to uninsured homes, the cost of ecosystem damage, and the cost of secondary health impacts — such as those caused by wildfire smoke — aren’t being tracked.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>We don’t have a comprehensive picture of the economic harm wildfires cause each year, explains Teresa Feo, senior science officer at the California Council on Science and Technology and lead author of \u003ca href=\"https://ccst.us/reports/the-costs-of-wildfire-in-california/\">a 2020 report from the council\u003c/a> on the cost of wildfires in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There isn’t a statewide systematic tracking effort to figure out these costs,” said Feo. She said it took only about a month of digging into the question to realize: “‘Oh no, you can’t come up with a number. This is actually impossible with the existing data.'”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state does not track or estimate the cost of wildfires in a way that accounts for public health costs or ecological damage on a regular basis, confirmed Heather Williams, communications director for the California Natural Resources Agency.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Those would always be a moving target since health impacts can occur years later,” Williams wrote in an email.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“But with more research being funded, this may be more feasible to help the state better understand the economic and ecological impacts so we can continue to make science-based informed policy decisions,” he added.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892013\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892013 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24.jpg\" alt=\"A woman with her hair back and wearing gloves chops tomatoes in a restaurant kitchen.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Martha Garcia preps food in the kitchen at Verde Mexican Rotisserie in South Lake Tahoe on Oct. 6, 2021. Owner Domi Chavarria lost about $10,000 worth of inventory when they shut down for two weeks due to the Caldor Fire evacuation. \u003ccite>(Salgu Wissmath for CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>The different costs of wildfires\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>The initial analysis of the Caldor Fire’s economic impact was prepared by Tom Harris, an economist at the University of Nevada, Reno, for the Tahoe Prosperity Center, an economic development organization for the Lake Tahoe Basin.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892030\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 1000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892030 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00.jpg\" alt='A bright green garbage dumpster painted with the words \"Food Only\" full of raw chicken.' width=\"1000\" height=\"1334\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00.jpg 1000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00-800x1067.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00-160x213.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Food inventory from the Verde Mexican Rotisserie restaurant had to be discarded after a two-week evacuation order due to the Caldor Fire in South Lake Tahoe. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Domi Chavarria)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The study estimates the combined losses of El Dorado and Nevada’s Douglas County at $93 million. And, says Harris, that preliminary estimate is low: It doesn’t include the losses in sectors like rental homes or recreation businesses. Nor does it include the lost economic activity caused by residents evacuating, and it doesn’t take into account the health care costs associated with wildfire smoke exposure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some costs are more immediate — the cost of Chavarria’s rotted food, for instance, and the fact that the fire took place over Labor Day weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s not a slow weekend in Tahoe,” said Chavarria. Tourism is about 63% of the Tahoe basin’s economy, \u003ca href=\"https://tahoeprosperity.org/wp-content/uploads/measuring-for-prosperity-community-and-economic-indicators-for-the-lake-tahoe-basin-2018.pdf\">according to a 2018 report from the Tahoe Prosperity Center\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Between the slowdown in business due to smoke and the evacuation, Verde lost several weeks of revenue. Chavarria says that a month of sales for the restaurant is more than $100,000. Verde’s employees also went without paychecks for the two weeks the restaurant was shut down.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nicole Smith, co-founder and taproom manager of South Lake Brewing Company, said her business fared better than many, partially because none of the beer went bad. But between the loss of sales in the company’s own taproom and the beer it sells to other local businesses, the brewery lost somewhere between $30,000 and $50,000 of revenue during the evacuation, estimates Smith.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition to lost business, some figures are easier to pin down, like the amount Cal Fire spends on fire suppression.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the state, for example, does not systematically track deaths and health conditions linked to wildfire smoke exposure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The costs associated with smoke may be the largest costs we’re missing, says Feo.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>One study \u003ca href=\"https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1002601\">produced by public health department researchers and academics\u003c/a> tracked the use of Medi-Cal services during San Diego’s 2007 fall fire season. It found that during the peak fire period, emergency room visits for respiratory conditions increased by 34% and visits for asthma increased by 113%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Especially concerning was a 136% increase in ER visits for children age 4 and younger for asthma. That finding, the authors wrote, “is cause for particular concern because of the potential for long-term harm to children’s lung development.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A systematic effort to track wildfire smoke effects would be especially profound, says Feo, because it reaches so far beyond the location of the fire.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2018, for example, smoke from the Camp Fire \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1969409/no-you-didnt-wake-up-to-the-apocalypse-wildfire-smoke-turns-bay-area-sky-orange-and-dark\">clogged San Francisco\u003c/a>, a city more than 100 miles away. If you can put figures on the impact of smoke across the whole state, “who’s impacted by the fire suddenly changes very dramatically, and therefore who benefits from the prevention and mitigation changes,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892020\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892020 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut.jpg\" alt=\"A red and white sign on a tall pole along a two-lane road, surrounded by tall fir trees, with smoke haze in the distance.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A sign for the town of Kyburz says, “Welcome to Kyburz/Happy New Year 2021,” while the Caldor Fire burns nearby on Aug. 31, 2021. The residents of Kyburz were ordered to evacuate for several days during the Caldor Fire. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>Different approaches to wildfire data\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>The current approach to assessing the aftermath of wildfires is a hodgepodge of research looking into different aspects that is not led by any one agency.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A smattering of data collection efforts includes:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>The California Air Resources Board funding a study of the health impact of wildfire smoke statewide for 2017, 2018 and 2020, which will be ready in three or four years.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>The board also funding a study of lost work days due to wildfire smoke, which will be ready in a couple of years.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Cal Fire also increasing funding for \u003ca href=\"https://frap.fire.ca.gov/research-monitoring/forest-health-research-program-overview-grant-solicitation/\">research into forest health\u003c/a>\u003cbr>\n(the Department of Insurance tabulates \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/environment/california-wildfires/2020/12/homeowners-insurers-fire-science/\">the damage to insured homes\u003c/a> for some major wildfires, but does not track damage from all wildfires each year).\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>A variety of academic studies.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>Academic research on the cost of wildfires tends to come out several years later, and different studies focus on different fires using different methodologies. That makes it difficult to compare the findings, or track the costs over time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These studies also are conducted based on the interests of the particular researcher, says Louise Comfort, a professor at the University of Pittsburgh and a faculty affiliate at UC Berkeley’s Center for Information Technology Research in the Interest of Society Policy Lab.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That doesn’t give us a comprehensive view,” Comfort said. She credits a UC-system-wide effort \u003ca href=\"https://uckeepresearching.org/2021-uc-resilience-symposium-series/\">to study the impacts of wildfires\u003c/a> as a step in the right direction, but says the results are still not arriving in a standardized way.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state may be in the best position to lead the effort on tracking the economic impact of wildfires. “The only thing that would give us a comprehensive view is if the state really said, ‘We want this kind of information,'” said Comfort. But the state agencies shouldn’t go it alone, she says: They should engage experts in the university system.\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "In 2020, for example, a team of researchers studied the nationwide impact of California’s 2018 wildfire season, and estimated that its economic damage totaled $148.5 billion.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cbr>\nWithout statewide, systematically published numbers, it’s more difficult to compare how different regions are suffering from wildfires, or to assess the cost effectiveness of different wildfire prevention strategies. And it may be more challenging to justify spending on expensive, but nonetheless cost-effective, mitigation or prevention programs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s a question that comes up when talking about spending taxpayer dollars, Feo said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While wildfire costs aren’t tracked, there are some academic studies that attempt to estimate those costs and produce mind-boggling figures. In 2020, for example, a team of researchers studied the nationwide impact of California’s 2018 wildfire season, and estimated that its economic damage totaled $148.5 billion.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The study, \u003ca href=\"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-00646-7\">published in Nature Sustainability\u003c/a>, captured direct capital costs, such as buildings burning down; health costs, including those related to air pollution exposure; and indirect losses such as the economic disruption of lost hours of work, as well as disruption to regional and national supply chains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The costs identified in that study exceed that of any disaster in the U.S. between the 9/11 terrorist attacks in 2001 and the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, other than Hurricane Katrina, says Adam Rose, a research professor at the University of Southern California and an expert in energy and environmental economics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rose said that a standardized methodology for assessing the total cost of wildfires should be established and applied on a regular basis — and it needs to be one that can be implemented relatively rapidly, as opposed to several years after a fire. That would allow a whole field of researchers to help track these costs, and would make their findings comparable. In addition to helping make the political case for government-led fire-prevention efforts, those numbers might spur private sector action on fire prevention efforts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>But not all experts said that measuring the costs associated with each wildfire season is important. William Siembieda, a professor emeritus at Cal Poly in San Luis Obispo and senior member of a Cal Poly team that prepared several of the state’s hazard mitigation plans, says he doesn’t know how policymakers would make use of those numbers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What would be useful, Siembieda says, is for cities to model the economic impact of different levels of fire damage. What would be the cost if 5% of the city burned? What if 10% or 20% burned?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With those estimates, local officials could decide whether they’re prepared to absorb that loss, insure against the risk or pursue other strategies.\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>What’s next for survivors?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>For a couple weeks now, South Lake Tahoe residents and business owners have been reopening their restaurants, shops and adventure outfits, taking stock of what happened.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When Lisa Schafer, co-owner of Wildwood Makers Market, returned to the city and drove to her shop for the first time, she felt waves of different emotions. There was the fear she’d been holding on to — that her hometown, her house and her business would all burn to a crisp. There was the gratitude she felt for the fact that they had all been spared.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I cried the whole drive,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Her shop, which sells jewelry, wall decor, embroidery kits and other gifts, smelled smoky for her first few days back. It wasn’t a pleasant campfire smell. “It smelled like beef jerky,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"info": "Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. Together in Possible, Hoffman and Finger lead enlightening discussions about building a brighter collective future. The show features interviews with visionary guests like Trevor Noah, Sam Altman and Janette Sadik-Khan. Possible paints an optimistic portrait of the world we can create through science, policy, business, art and our shared humanity. It asks: What if everything goes right for once? How can we get there? Each episode also includes a short fiction story generated by advanced AI GPT-4, serving as a thought-provoking springboard to speculate how humanity could leverage technology for good.",
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"soldout": {
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