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"content": "\u003cp>A new state policy may require nearly 900,000 Californians to return their unemployment benefits because they may not have been working or looking for work. But some researchers worry the clawback campaign could force people with lower incomes to pay back thousands of dollars they no longer have.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state Economic Development Department began issuing notifications of the proof-of-work requirement last month to one-third of California’s 2.9 million Pandemic Unemployment Assistance recipients. The federal program, which ran from March 2020 and ended in September, was aimed at helping people who don’t usually qualify for unemployment benefits because they are freelancers or small-business owners.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state is asking them to prove, retroactively, that they were working, or planning to work, prior to filing their unemployment claim. If they can’t provide documentation, they would be ineligible and asked to give the benefits back.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11888843\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/EDD-UNEMPLOYMENT-1020x680.jpg\"]A full repayment could be over $32,000 if a recipient received full benefits throughout the program. In addition, if a claimant offered false information, the state could impose a 30% penalty. Some experts are now suggesting giving recipients a pass even if they can’t prove their eligibility.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We should be saying, ‘Look, if you got unemployment insurance benefits during that time, you’re fine,’” said Chris Hoene, executive director of the left-leaning California Budget and Policy Center based in Sacramento.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If the concern is fraudulent claims,” he added, “then do the work to fix the administration of the system” instead of requiring recipients to prove they qualified for the benefits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s not clear where lawmakers stand. Democratic Assemblymember Tom Daly of Anaheim, chair of the Assembly Insurance Committee, which has oversight of the EDD, did not return a request for comment. Assemblymember Chad Mayes of Yucca Valley, an independent serving as vice chair of the committee, also didn’t respond.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The chair and vice chair of the Senate Labor, Public Employment and Retirement Committee — Democrat Dave Cortese of San José and Republican Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh of Yucaipa — also did not respond to requests for comment.\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003cbr>\nThe EDD noted that the repayment policy is a federal requirement, passed by Congress in the Continued Assistance for Unemployment Workers Act in 2020. EDD acknowledges it can waive repayment if the overpayment was not the recipient’s fault or not fraudulent and if repayment would cause extraordinary hardship.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The new policy is an attempt to claw back \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/business-california-5ec16ebe5b5982a9531a7a3d5a45e93c\">an estimated $20 billion lost to fraudulent claims in California\u003c/a>. But McGregor Scott, a former U.S. attorney who has been leading a state investigation into unemployment fraud, \u003ca href=\"https://www.sacbee.com/news/california/article256487486.html\">doesn’t believe EDD’s repayment policy will recover much\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Chris Hoene, California Budget and Policy Center\"]‘If the concern is fraudulent claims, then do the work to fix the administration of the system.’[/pullquote]The state’s immense loss came after EDD, inundated with unemployment claims early in the pandemic, began expediting the process by waiving a proof-of-work requirement. Investigators have said the rollback allowed organized crime and incarcerated people to siphon money from the state through fraudulent claims.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Recipients who receive EDD notices must use \u003ca href=\"https://edd.ca.gov/about_edd/coronavirus-2019/pandemic-unemployment-assistance.htm#SelfEmployment\">pay stubs, tax returns, business licenses or job offer letters\u003c/a> to prove they were employed or planned to be employed in the lead-up to filing their claim.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those who filed on or after Jan. 31 have only 21 days to send documentation. Those who filed before that date, and received a payment after Dec. 27, 2020, have 90 days to comply.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We probably need to implement this with compassion,” said Jesse Rothstein, a professor of public policy and economics at UC Berkeley. “We won’t be able to collect in every case.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label ='Related Coverage' tag='economy']Even before the pandemic, \u003ca href=\"https://www.unitedwaysca.org/realcost\">nearly 1 in 3 Californian households struggled to pay for basic necessities\u003c/a>, according to the United Ways of California. During the pandemic, a report from the Ludwig Institute for Shared Economic Prosperity found that 4.8 million Californians were seeking, but unable to find, full-time work that paid a living wage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A recent report by Tipping Point Community, a nonprofit focused on alleviating poverty in the Bay Area, \u003ca href=\"https://www.mercurynews.com/2021/12/13/covid-didnt-increase-poverty-in-the-bay-area-new-report-says/\">estimated that 200,000 of the region’s residents were kept out of poverty\u003c/a> because of expanded support from government and charitable organizations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Without further bold action, we risk a ‘return to normal’ in terms of durable poverty and inequality,” said Tipping Point’s chief executive, Sam Cobbs. “We cannot afford to take that step backwards.”\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>A new state policy may require nearly 900,000 Californians to return their unemployment benefits because they may not have been working or looking for work. But some researchers worry the clawback campaign could force people with lower incomes to pay back thousands of dollars they no longer have.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state Economic Development Department began issuing notifications of the proof-of-work requirement last month to one-third of California’s 2.9 million Pandemic Unemployment Assistance recipients. The federal program, which ran from March 2020 and ended in September, was aimed at helping people who don’t usually qualify for unemployment benefits because they are freelancers or small-business owners.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state is asking them to prove, retroactively, that they were working, or planning to work, prior to filing their unemployment claim. If they can’t provide documentation, they would be ineligible and asked to give the benefits back.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>A full repayment could be over $32,000 if a recipient received full benefits throughout the program. In addition, if a claimant offered false information, the state could impose a 30% penalty. Some experts are now suggesting giving recipients a pass even if they can’t prove their eligibility.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We should be saying, ‘Look, if you got unemployment insurance benefits during that time, you’re fine,’” said Chris Hoene, executive director of the left-leaning California Budget and Policy Center based in Sacramento.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If the concern is fraudulent claims,” he added, “then do the work to fix the administration of the system” instead of requiring recipients to prove they qualified for the benefits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s not clear where lawmakers stand. Democratic Assemblymember Tom Daly of Anaheim, chair of the Assembly Insurance Committee, which has oversight of the EDD, did not return a request for comment. Assemblymember Chad Mayes of Yucca Valley, an independent serving as vice chair of the committee, also didn’t respond.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The chair and vice chair of the Senate Labor, Public Employment and Retirement Committee — Democrat Dave Cortese of San José and Republican Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh of Yucaipa — also did not respond to requests for comment.\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cbr>\nThe EDD noted that the repayment policy is a federal requirement, passed by Congress in the Continued Assistance for Unemployment Workers Act in 2020. EDD acknowledges it can waive repayment if the overpayment was not the recipient’s fault or not fraudulent and if repayment would cause extraordinary hardship.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The new policy is an attempt to claw back \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/business-california-5ec16ebe5b5982a9531a7a3d5a45e93c\">an estimated $20 billion lost to fraudulent claims in California\u003c/a>. But McGregor Scott, a former U.S. attorney who has been leading a state investigation into unemployment fraud, \u003ca href=\"https://www.sacbee.com/news/california/article256487486.html\">doesn’t believe EDD’s repayment policy will recover much\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>The state’s immense loss came after EDD, inundated with unemployment claims early in the pandemic, began expediting the process by waiving a proof-of-work requirement. Investigators have said the rollback allowed organized crime and incarcerated people to siphon money from the state through fraudulent claims.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Recipients who receive EDD notices must use \u003ca href=\"https://edd.ca.gov/about_edd/coronavirus-2019/pandemic-unemployment-assistance.htm#SelfEmployment\">pay stubs, tax returns, business licenses or job offer letters\u003c/a> to prove they were employed or planned to be employed in the lead-up to filing their claim.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those who filed on or after Jan. 31 have only 21 days to send documentation. Those who filed before that date, and received a payment after Dec. 27, 2020, have 90 days to comply.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We probably need to implement this with compassion,” said Jesse Rothstein, a professor of public policy and economics at UC Berkeley. “We won’t be able to collect in every case.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Even before the pandemic, \u003ca href=\"https://www.unitedwaysca.org/realcost\">nearly 1 in 3 Californian households struggled to pay for basic necessities\u003c/a>, according to the United Ways of California. During the pandemic, a report from the Ludwig Institute for Shared Economic Prosperity found that 4.8 million Californians were seeking, but unable to find, full-time work that paid a living wage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A recent report by Tipping Point Community, a nonprofit focused on alleviating poverty in the Bay Area, \u003ca href=\"https://www.mercurynews.com/2021/12/13/covid-didnt-increase-poverty-in-the-bay-area-new-report-says/\">estimated that 200,000 of the region’s residents were kept out of poverty\u003c/a> because of expanded support from government and charitable organizations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Without further bold action, we risk a ‘return to normal’ in terms of durable poverty and inequality,” said Tipping Point’s chief executive, Sam Cobbs. “We cannot afford to take that step backwards.”\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Hiring in California slowed significantly in November even as the state’s unemployment rate dipped below 7% for the first time since the start of the pandemic in March 2020, according to new data released Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even though California’s unemployment rate fell to 6.9% in November from 7.3% in October, the state still has the highest jobless rate of all U.S. states, according to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The data showed that California employers filled 45,700 new jobs last month. That’s less than half of the jobs the state gained in October, but it was still enough to account for nearly 22% of all U.S. job growth in November.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11888843\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/EDD-UNEMPLOYMENT-1020x680.jpg\"]California has added 977,200 new jobs since February, a feat Gov. Gavin Newsom called “an unprecedented achievement.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the state lost 2.7 million jobs in March and April of 2020, back when Newsom issued the nation’s first statewide stay-at-home order that forced many businesses to close.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nineteen months later, California has regained nearly 70% of those jobs. That’s compared to 82% of jobs recovered nationwide since the start of the pandemic, according to Sung Won Sohn, professor of finance and economics at Loyola Marymount University.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While California “continues to see a robust recovery, creating nearly 22% of the nation’s jobs in November and the largest unemployment rate decrease since February, there’s still more work to be done getting folks back to work and supporting those hardest hit by the pandemic,” said Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>White-collar office jobs accounted for more than 41% of California’s job gains in November, followed by gains in the sectors of education, health services, and leisure and hospitality, which includes restaurants and hotels. Construction jobs declined by 1,700, mostly because of employment losses for specialty trade contractors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Counties in the Bay Area, which have some of the state’s wealthiest residents, registered the lowest unemployment rates. Marin County had 2.9% unemployment, followed by Santa Clara County at 3.2% and San Francisco at 3.3%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote align=\"right\" size=\"medium\" citation=\"Sung Won Sohn, professor at Loyola Marymount University\"]‘I don’t think workers are in any hurry to go back to work … the longer they wait, the higher wage they are going to get.’[/pullquote]Los Angeles County, the nation’s most populous county with nearly 10 million residents, had a 7.1% unemployment rate. The county has a disproportionate number of service industry jobs, including in restaurants and hotels, that employers have had trouble finding workers for.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Imperial County, which borders Arizona and Mexico, had the state’s highest unemployment rate at 15.5%, which is typical for that county’s rural economy that relies mostly on agriculture.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But other sparsely populated Central Valley counties with traditionally high unemployment rates posted numbers below the statewide average — including Shasta, Butte and Madera counties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That shows the state’s job growth is not limited to the state’s population centers along the coast, said Michael Bernick, a former director of the Employment Development Department and a lawyer at the Duane Morris law firm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Other parts of the state are gaining and in fact doing better than they did throughout much of the pre-pandemic times,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label ='Related Coverage' tag='economy']The new unemployment data is based on surveys taken the week of Nov. 12. That survey showed that California’s workforce — defined as the number of people who are either working or looking for work — increased by 17,900 people in November.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the percentage of people in California’s workforce compared to the overall population remains below the U.S. level.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While California has averaged more than 97,000 new jobs per month since February, the state still had 1.1 million job openings at the end of October, according to the new data. That number has persisted since August as employers have struggled to find workers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t think workers are in any hurry to go back to work,” Sohn said. “The longer they wait, the higher wage they are going to get. And there are lots of jobs to choose from.”\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Hiring in California slowed significantly in November even as the state’s unemployment rate dipped below 7% for the first time since the start of the pandemic in March 2020, according to new data released Friday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even though California’s unemployment rate fell to 6.9% in November from 7.3% in October, the state still has the highest jobless rate of all U.S. states, according to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The data showed that California employers filled 45,700 new jobs last month. That’s less than half of the jobs the state gained in October, but it was still enough to account for nearly 22% of all U.S. job growth in November.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>California has added 977,200 new jobs since February, a feat Gov. Gavin Newsom called “an unprecedented achievement.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the state lost 2.7 million jobs in March and April of 2020, back when Newsom issued the nation’s first statewide stay-at-home order that forced many businesses to close.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nineteen months later, California has regained nearly 70% of those jobs. That’s compared to 82% of jobs recovered nationwide since the start of the pandemic, according to Sung Won Sohn, professor of finance and economics at Loyola Marymount University.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While California “continues to see a robust recovery, creating nearly 22% of the nation’s jobs in November and the largest unemployment rate decrease since February, there’s still more work to be done getting folks back to work and supporting those hardest hit by the pandemic,” said Newsom.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>White-collar office jobs accounted for more than 41% of California’s job gains in November, followed by gains in the sectors of education, health services, and leisure and hospitality, which includes restaurants and hotels. Construction jobs declined by 1,700, mostly because of employment losses for specialty trade contractors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Counties in the Bay Area, which have some of the state’s wealthiest residents, registered the lowest unemployment rates. Marin County had 2.9% unemployment, followed by Santa Clara County at 3.2% and San Francisco at 3.3%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Los Angeles County, the nation’s most populous county with nearly 10 million residents, had a 7.1% unemployment rate. The county has a disproportionate number of service industry jobs, including in restaurants and hotels, that employers have had trouble finding workers for.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Imperial County, which borders Arizona and Mexico, had the state’s highest unemployment rate at 15.5%, which is typical for that county’s rural economy that relies mostly on agriculture.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But other sparsely populated Central Valley counties with traditionally high unemployment rates posted numbers below the statewide average — including Shasta, Butte and Madera counties.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That shows the state’s job growth is not limited to the state’s population centers along the coast, said Michael Bernick, a former director of the Employment Development Department and a lawyer at the Duane Morris law firm.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Other parts of the state are gaining and in fact doing better than they did throughout much of the pre-pandemic times,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>The new unemployment data is based on surveys taken the week of Nov. 12. That survey showed that California’s workforce — defined as the number of people who are either working or looking for work — increased by 17,900 people in November.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the percentage of people in California’s workforce compared to the overall population remains below the U.S. level.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While California has averaged more than 97,000 new jobs per month since February, the state still had 1.1 million job openings at the end of October, according to the new data. That number has persisted since August as employers have struggled to find workers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t think workers are in any hurry to go back to work,” Sohn said. “The longer they wait, the higher wage they are going to get. And there are lots of jobs to choose from.”\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Nance Parry says she’s sent out more than 1,000 r\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>sum\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>s since she got laid off in September 2019. She’s gotten one interview.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Just five weeks into what Parry thought would be a six-month contract, she was laid off from a job as a document specialist for an engineering firm. She says she’s sent out two to three r\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>sum\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>s per weekday since but that’s netted a grand total of one interview, leaving her to live off a monthly $1,200 Social Security check, $1,030 of which is used to pay rent for her apartment in Duarte.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’ve tried to survive, you know, paid bills and food and everything on $200 a month after the rent is paid,” Parry said. “I need to work.” She needs new glasses and electrical work done on her car, but won’t be able to pay for either of those things until she gets a new job. Her landlord has tried to evict her three times, she says, and she’s worried about what will happen when LA County’s \u003ca href=\"https://dcba.lacounty.gov/noevictions/\">eviction protections end\u003c/a> in January 2022.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t know if I’m going to end up living in my car or what because without a job you can’t get an apartment,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Parry is one of roughly 1.4 million Californians who are out of work and looking for jobs. In October, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the state recorded a \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/laus.nr0.htm\">7.3% unemployment rate\u003c/a>, the highest in the country, a distinction California shares with Nevada. October’s national unemployment rate is several points lower, at 4.6%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11898731\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1568px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07.jpeg\">\u003cimg class=\"size-full wp-image-11898731\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07.jpeg\" alt=\"A woman stares at a computer screen in a dark room.\" width=\"1568\" height=\"1045\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07.jpeg 1568w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-800x533.jpeg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-1020x680.jpeg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-160x107.jpeg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-1536x1024.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nance Parry spends hours each day at home in front of her computer searching and applying for jobs. \u003ccite>(Raquel Natalicchio/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>One contributing factor to the state’s lagging employment situation is that California’s large leisure and hospitality sector — made up of hotels, restaurants and more — hasn’t rebounded as quickly as the rest of the country’s. But other data suggest the news isn’t all bad: There are lots of job openings, and workers are \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/blog/mixed-signals-in-californias-labor-market-recovery/\">quitting their jobs in droves\u003c/a>, which is often a sign that people are optimistic they can find a better job.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>Why is California's jobless rate bouncing back more slowly?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Even pre-pandemic, California’s overall unemployment rate was usually slightly above the national rate. But the fact that so many Californians work in the leisure and hospitality industries — which saw massive layoffs at the beginning of the pandemic — contributes to the state’s lagging employment recovery now. Leila Bengali, an economist at UCLA’s Anderson School of Management, pointed out that California’s leisure and hospitality sectors employed almost 18% fewer people in September 2021 than pre-pandemic, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Nationwide, the industry was just 9% smaller in September than it was pre-pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One explanation for the gap between the rate at which California’s leisure and hospitality industry has recovered jobs and the rate at which the industry has recovered jobs nationally, Bengali said, is that international tourism, a large part of the state’s economy, was particularly hard hit during the pandemic. Visitors buy lunches at caf\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>s and stay in hotels; when travel dried up, those businesses bore the brunt.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11898732\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1568px\">\u003cimg class=\"wp-image-11898732 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03.jpeg\" alt='A phone on a shelf with a note that says \"YOU ARE NOT YOU CIRCUMSTANCES, YOU ARE YOUR POSSIBILITIES!!' width=\"1568\" height=\"1044\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03.jpeg 1568w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-800x533.jpeg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-1020x679.jpeg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-160x107.jpeg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-1536x1023.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A note with words of encouragement at Nance Parry’s home in Duarte on Dec. 6, 2021. Parry is currently unemployed and searching for work. \u003ccite>(Raquel Natalicchio/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“It’s not a coincidence that two states [California and Nevada] that are heavily reliant on tourism and entertainment have not done as well, given the demise of tourism and entertainment under COVID,” said Manuel Pastor, a professor of sociology and American studies and ethnicity at the University of Southern California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>New York, which also has a large tourism industry, has an overall unemployment rate of 6.9%. Florida, another high-tourism state, stands apart among high-tourism states with a 4.6% unemployment rate overall. The leisure and hospitality sectors in California, Nevada, New York and Florida all have added jobs back more slowly than the sectors have nationally.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Another potential explanation comes from research by Harvard economics professor Raj Chetty and several other economists, who found that lower-wage workers who worked at small businesses in high-rent ZIP codes — of which California has many — \u003ca href=\"https://opportunityinsights.org/paper/tracker/\">lost their jobs at higher rates\u003c/a> early in the pandemic than lower-wage workers who worked in small businesses in lower-rent areas.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you lived in East LA, but you got on your bike and a bus to get over to Beverly Hills to work in a restaurant, or to clean a house or to take care of kids, a lot of that demand disappeared,” said Pastor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe src=\"https://e.infogram.com/2f6d013b-cc7b-42e2-b6ca-a29e6f319710?src=embed\" title=\"Updated: CA v natl unemployment\" width=\"800\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none;\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>But aren't employers struggling to fill jobs?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Yes. Walk down any commercial strip in a California city and there’s a decent chance you’ll see a \"Now Hiring\" sign in a restaurant or shop window. Employers have been offering \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/economy/2021/08/labor-shortage-hiring-incentives-yoga-therapy-401k/\">cash bonuses and beefed-up benefits\u003c/a> to fill empty positions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California’s unemployment situation “certainly isn’t a question of a lack of job opportunity. That’s not what’s going on,” said Chris Thornberg, founding partner of Beacon Economics, an economic research and consulting firm. “There are an insane number of job opportunities in our state and in the nation overall.” People may just be taking their time to find a good job, he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe src=\"https://e.infogram.com/e15ccbc8-b527-4e43-a612-840d5c238a94?src=embed\" title=\"2 unemployed to openings\" width=\"800\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none;\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There are also some indications that lower-income families aren’t experiencing economic stress, said Thornberg. For example, the share of Californian consumers with new bankruptcies is \u003ca href=\"https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/hhdc/background.html\">lower than it was pre-pandemic\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A lot of the job openings also require in-person, physical work with unpredictable hours — like serving in a restaurant, or packing goods in a warehouse. Some people aren’t willing or able to do that work.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Parry is worried about working in person while the pandemic is ongoing. “I keep seeing signs in restaurants and stuff like that. It really makes me feel bad because I need work,” she said. She worked at Cost Plus over the holidays once in the past, and it made her legs hurt. “I am 71 years old,” she said. “I mean, the last thing I want is a job where I stand all day because it kills the legs and the back.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11898733\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1568px\">\u003cimg class=\"size-full wp-image-11898733\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1568\" height=\"1068\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08.jpeg 1568w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-800x545.jpeg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-1020x695.jpeg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-160x109.jpeg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-1536x1046.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nance Parry spends hours each day in front of her computer searching and applying for jobs. She describes the over-a-year-long job hunt as frustrating and tiring. Dec. 6, 2021. \u003ccite>(Raquel Natalicchio/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“I think right now we’re seeing a lot of people move out of retail, leisure and hospitality and start looking for other employment,” said Somjita Mitra, chief economist at the California Department of Finance. Unpredictable schedules make it hard for workers in those industries to find child care and use public transit to get to work. “There’s going to be some structural changes in those industries long-term,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>It's not all bad\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Compared to California’s jobs recovery after the Great Recession — when unemployment peaked around 12.6% and took more than four years to get down to the state’s current 7.3% unemployment rate — the state’s post-pandemic recovery has been a roaring success. During the pandemic, unemployment in the state crested at 16%, but just a year and a half later, that number had fallen by more than half.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If workers are holding out for jobs that better match their needs and goals, that can prompt employers to increase wages for the lowest-wage workers, for example, or offer them more stable schedules — concessions that are good for the economy, said Irena Asmundson, managing director of the California Policy Research Initiative at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research and former chief economist for the California Department of Finance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Our economy really does work better when we have more of a balance of power between employers and employees,” Asmundson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3 id=\"h-when-will-the-unemployment-rate-come-down\">\u003cstrong>When will the unemployment rate come down?\u003c/strong>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>A \u003ca href=\"https://www.ebudget.ca.gov/2021-22/pdf/Revised/BudgetSummary/EconomicOutlook.pdf\">May 2021 report\u003c/a> from the Department of Finance projected that California’s unemployment rate would return to pre-pandemic levels in 2024.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A new \u003ca href=\"https://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/anderson-forecast-december-pandemic-influence\">report\u003c/a> from UCLA Anderson Forecast predicts that California’s unemployment rate will fall to an average of 5.6% in 2022, and will drop further to an average of 4.4% in 2023. Authors Jerry Nickelsburg and Leila Bengali also expect job growth to slow in industries with a lot of personal contact, and in sectors that cater to tourists.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s unclear whether California’s pre-pandemic jobless rate of about 4% was sustainable, said Asmundson. There’s a sweet spot, she said, and while economists disagree on exactly what that sweet spot is, she puts it at 5% for California. She predicts we will get to that rate in mid 2022.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Other economists think we shouldn’t worry about the unemployment rate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Who cares?” asked Chris Thornberg. “People shouldn’t care,” he said. The more important question, he said, is whether there are job opportunities for people: “The answer is, yeah, more than ever before.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Nance Parry says she’s sent out more than 1,000 r\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>sum\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>s since she got laid off in September 2019. She’s gotten one interview.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Just five weeks into what Parry thought would be a six-month contract, she was laid off from a job as a document specialist for an engineering firm. She says she’s sent out two to three r\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>sum\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>s per weekday since but that’s netted a grand total of one interview, leaving her to live off a monthly $1,200 Social Security check, $1,030 of which is used to pay rent for her apartment in Duarte.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’ve tried to survive, you know, paid bills and food and everything on $200 a month after the rent is paid,” Parry said. “I need to work.” She needs new glasses and electrical work done on her car, but won’t be able to pay for either of those things until she gets a new job. Her landlord has tried to evict her three times, she says, and she’s worried about what will happen when LA County’s \u003ca href=\"https://dcba.lacounty.gov/noevictions/\">eviction protections end\u003c/a> in January 2022.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I don’t know if I’m going to end up living in my car or what because without a job you can’t get an apartment,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Parry is one of roughly 1.4 million Californians who are out of work and looking for jobs. In October, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the state recorded a \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/laus.nr0.htm\">7.3% unemployment rate\u003c/a>, the highest in the country, a distinction California shares with Nevada. October’s national unemployment rate is several points lower, at 4.6%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11898731\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1568px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07.jpeg\">\u003cimg class=\"size-full wp-image-11898731\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07.jpeg\" alt=\"A woman stares at a computer screen in a dark room.\" width=\"1568\" height=\"1045\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07.jpeg 1568w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-800x533.jpeg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-1020x680.jpeg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-160x107.jpeg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-07-1536x1024.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nance Parry spends hours each day at home in front of her computer searching and applying for jobs. \u003ccite>(Raquel Natalicchio/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>One contributing factor to the state’s lagging employment situation is that California’s large leisure and hospitality sector — made up of hotels, restaurants and more — hasn’t rebounded as quickly as the rest of the country’s. But other data suggest the news isn’t all bad: There are lots of job openings, and workers are \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/blog/mixed-signals-in-californias-labor-market-recovery/\">quitting their jobs in droves\u003c/a>, which is often a sign that people are optimistic they can find a better job.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>Why is California's jobless rate bouncing back more slowly?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Even pre-pandemic, California’s overall unemployment rate was usually slightly above the national rate. But the fact that so many Californians work in the leisure and hospitality industries — which saw massive layoffs at the beginning of the pandemic — contributes to the state’s lagging employment recovery now. Leila Bengali, an economist at UCLA’s Anderson School of Management, pointed out that California’s leisure and hospitality sectors employed almost 18% fewer people in September 2021 than pre-pandemic, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Nationwide, the industry was just 9% smaller in September than it was pre-pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>One explanation for the gap between the rate at which California’s leisure and hospitality industry has recovered jobs and the rate at which the industry has recovered jobs nationally, Bengali said, is that international tourism, a large part of the state’s economy, was particularly hard hit during the pandemic. Visitors buy lunches at caf\u003cspan style=\"font-weight: 400\">é\u003c/span>s and stay in hotels; when travel dried up, those businesses bore the brunt.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11898732\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1568px\">\u003cimg class=\"wp-image-11898732 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03.jpeg\" alt='A phone on a shelf with a note that says \"YOU ARE NOT YOU CIRCUMSTANCES, YOU ARE YOUR POSSIBILITIES!!' width=\"1568\" height=\"1044\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03.jpeg 1568w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-800x533.jpeg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-1020x679.jpeg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-160x107.jpeg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-03-1536x1023.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A note with words of encouragement at Nance Parry’s home in Duarte on Dec. 6, 2021. Parry is currently unemployed and searching for work. \u003ccite>(Raquel Natalicchio/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“It’s not a coincidence that two states [California and Nevada] that are heavily reliant on tourism and entertainment have not done as well, given the demise of tourism and entertainment under COVID,” said Manuel Pastor, a professor of sociology and American studies and ethnicity at the University of Southern California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>New York, which also has a large tourism industry, has an overall unemployment rate of 6.9%. Florida, another high-tourism state, stands apart among high-tourism states with a 4.6% unemployment rate overall. The leisure and hospitality sectors in California, Nevada, New York and Florida all have added jobs back more slowly than the sectors have nationally.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Another potential explanation comes from research by Harvard economics professor Raj Chetty and several other economists, who found that lower-wage workers who worked at small businesses in high-rent ZIP codes — of which California has many — \u003ca href=\"https://opportunityinsights.org/paper/tracker/\">lost their jobs at higher rates\u003c/a> early in the pandemic than lower-wage workers who worked in small businesses in lower-rent areas.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you lived in East LA, but you got on your bike and a bus to get over to Beverly Hills to work in a restaurant, or to clean a house or to take care of kids, a lot of that demand disappeared,” said Pastor.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe src=\"https://e.infogram.com/2f6d013b-cc7b-42e2-b6ca-a29e6f319710?src=embed\" title=\"Updated: CA v natl unemployment\" width=\"800\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none;\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>But aren't employers struggling to fill jobs?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Yes. Walk down any commercial strip in a California city and there’s a decent chance you’ll see a \"Now Hiring\" sign in a restaurant or shop window. Employers have been offering \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/economy/2021/08/labor-shortage-hiring-incentives-yoga-therapy-401k/\">cash bonuses and beefed-up benefits\u003c/a> to fill empty positions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California’s unemployment situation “certainly isn’t a question of a lack of job opportunity. That’s not what’s going on,” said Chris Thornberg, founding partner of Beacon Economics, an economic research and consulting firm. “There are an insane number of job opportunities in our state and in the nation overall.” People may just be taking their time to find a good job, he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe src=\"https://e.infogram.com/e15ccbc8-b527-4e43-a612-840d5c238a94?src=embed\" title=\"2 unemployed to openings\" width=\"800\" height=\"750\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none;\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There are also some indications that lower-income families aren’t experiencing economic stress, said Thornberg. For example, the share of Californian consumers with new bankruptcies is \u003ca href=\"https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/hhdc/background.html\">lower than it was pre-pandemic\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A lot of the job openings also require in-person, physical work with unpredictable hours — like serving in a restaurant, or packing goods in a warehouse. Some people aren’t willing or able to do that work.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Parry is worried about working in person while the pandemic is ongoing. “I keep seeing signs in restaurants and stuff like that. It really makes me feel bad because I need work,” she said. She worked at Cost Plus over the holidays once in the past, and it made her legs hurt. “I am 71 years old,” she said. “I mean, the last thing I want is a job where I stand all day because it kills the legs and the back.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11898733\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1568px\">\u003cimg class=\"size-full wp-image-11898733\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1568\" height=\"1068\" srcset=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08.jpeg 1568w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-800x545.jpeg 800w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-1020x695.jpeg 1020w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-160x109.jpeg 160w, https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/12/120621-Unemployment-RN-CM-08-1536x1046.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nance Parry spends hours each day in front of her computer searching and applying for jobs. She describes the over-a-year-long job hunt as frustrating and tiring. Dec. 6, 2021. \u003ccite>(Raquel Natalicchio/CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“I think right now we’re seeing a lot of people move out of retail, leisure and hospitality and start looking for other employment,” said Somjita Mitra, chief economist at the California Department of Finance. Unpredictable schedules make it hard for workers in those industries to find child care and use public transit to get to work. “There’s going to be some structural changes in those industries long-term,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>It's not all bad\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>Compared to California’s jobs recovery after the Great Recession — when unemployment peaked around 12.6% and took more than four years to get down to the state’s current 7.3% unemployment rate — the state’s post-pandemic recovery has been a roaring success. During the pandemic, unemployment in the state crested at 16%, but just a year and a half later, that number had fallen by more than half.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If workers are holding out for jobs that better match their needs and goals, that can prompt employers to increase wages for the lowest-wage workers, for example, or offer them more stable schedules — concessions that are good for the economy, said Irena Asmundson, managing director of the California Policy Research Initiative at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research and former chief economist for the California Department of Finance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Our economy really does work better when we have more of a balance of power between employers and employees,” Asmundson said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3 id=\"h-when-will-the-unemployment-rate-come-down\">\u003cstrong>When will the unemployment rate come down?\u003c/strong>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>A \u003ca href=\"https://www.ebudget.ca.gov/2021-22/pdf/Revised/BudgetSummary/EconomicOutlook.pdf\">May 2021 report\u003c/a> from the Department of Finance projected that California’s unemployment rate would return to pre-pandemic levels in 2024.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A new \u003ca href=\"https://newsroom.ucla.edu/releases/anderson-forecast-december-pandemic-influence\">report\u003c/a> from UCLA Anderson Forecast predicts that California’s unemployment rate will fall to an average of 5.6% in 2022, and will drop further to an average of 4.4% in 2023. Authors Jerry Nickelsburg and Leila Bengali also expect job growth to slow in industries with a lot of personal contact, and in sectors that cater to tourists.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s unclear whether California’s pre-pandemic jobless rate of about 4% was sustainable, said Asmundson. There’s a sweet spot, she said, and while economists disagree on exactly what that sweet spot is, she puts it at 5% for California. She predicts we will get to that rate in mid 2022.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Other economists think we shouldn’t worry about the unemployment rate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Who cares?” asked Chris Thornberg. “People shouldn’t care,” he said. The more important question, he said, is whether there are job opportunities for people: “The answer is, yeah, more than ever before.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"title": "Most Californians Say Income Inequality Growing and Economic Opportunity Falling, New Poll Finds",
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"content": "\u003cp>Californians may be split on many political and social issues, but a solid majority agree that the gap between the rich and poor is growing wider.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A new poll from the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) finds that \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/publication/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-their-economic-well-being-november-2021/\">nearly 70% of adults across California think income disparities are increasing in the region\u003c/a> where they live. And more than 60% believe that kids growing up in the state today will be worse off than they are.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11895759\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1537px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11895759\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double.png\" alt=\"Two horizontal bar charts showing opinions on wealth disparities.\" width=\"1537\" height=\"658\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double.png 1537w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double-800x342.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double-1020x437.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double-160x68.png 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1537px) 100vw, 1537px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">From findings of the November 2021 Public Policy Institute of California statewide survey. \u003ccite>(Courtesy PPIC)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But PPIC President Mark Baldassare, who directed the survey, said the results show that even in this highly partisan period, there’s strong consensus among Californians about how to fix the problem, ” … whether it comes to creating more affordable child care for lower-income workers, improving job training [or] finding ways to provide housing close to work in regions that are more affordable for people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label=\"related coverage\" tag=\"income-inequality\"]Not surprisingly, housing is one of the top concerns among adults in California, a quarter of whom say they worry constantly about the cost of it, according to the poll.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s a lot of people,” Baldassare said. “And this is in the context of people saying that the lack of well-paying jobs in their regions is a big problem.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, he noted, about 20% of those surveyed say they’re seriously considering moving out of state because of a dearth of the kind of well-paying jobs they would need to afford to live here.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roughly one in five Californians say that they or someone in their household over the last year has cut back on food (21%), put off seeing a doctor or purchasing medicine to save money (18%), been unable to pay a monthly bill (17%) or had difficulty paying the rent or mortgage (17%), the poll finds. Interestingly, the results are similar to those from last November’s survey, which was conducted when many statewide COVID-19 restrictions were still in effect.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The poll also finds significant differences across racial and ethnic groups, with Latinos and African Americans most likely to report any of these issue. Meanwhile the share of people experiencing these difficulties declines as age increases.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11895757\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1216px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11895757 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1.png\" alt=\"A series of horizontal bar charts showing financial difficulties across racial/ethnic and income groups.\" width=\"1216\" height=\"807\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1.png 1216w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1-800x531.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1-1020x677.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1-160x106.png 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1216px) 100vw, 1216px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">From findings of the November 2021 Public Policy Institute of California statewide survey. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of PPIC)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In light of affordability concerns, most Californians are also strongly supportive of more government assistance, the poll finds, with more than 75% of adult residents saying the government should help lower-income families pay for child care. The share of people who say they support increased funding for job-training programs is even higher — at 81%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think people in California will be looking [with] great interest now in terms of what the federal government is going to be able to provide, as well as what the state government might be able to provide, in terms of support for expanding child care for lower-income workers and expanding job training so that more people can find their way to good-paying jobs in California,” Baldassare said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11895758\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1213px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11895758 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs.png\" alt=\"Horizontal bar charts showing overwhelming support for expansive of safety net programs. \" width=\"1213\" height=\"807\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs.png 1213w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs-800x532.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs-1020x679.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs-160x106.png 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1213px) 100vw, 1213px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">From findings of the November 2021 Public Policy Institute of California statewide survey. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of PPIC)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The poll results come as Democrats in Washington, D.C., continue to negotiate the terms of a \u003ca href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-05/after-decades-of-focus-on-elderly-washington-turns-to-families\">$1.75 trillion social spending package\u003c/a> that could include subsidized child care and universal pre-K for 3- and 4-year-olds.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Findings in the survey are based on interviews with 2,292 adult residents throughout California, conducted from Oct. 12–31, 2021.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The poll’s sampling error is ±3.2%, at the 95% confidence level, meaning that 95 times out of 100, the results will be within 3.2 percentage points of what they would be if all adults in California were interviewed.[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Californians may be split on many political and social issues, but a solid majority agree that the gap between the rich and poor is growing wider.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A new poll from the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) finds that \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/publication/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-their-economic-well-being-november-2021/\">nearly 70% of adults across California think income disparities are increasing in the region\u003c/a> where they live. And more than 60% believe that kids growing up in the state today will be worse off than they are.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11895759\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1537px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11895759\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double.png\" alt=\"Two horizontal bar charts showing opinions on wealth disparities.\" width=\"1537\" height=\"658\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double.png 1537w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double-800x342.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double-1020x437.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/double-160x68.png 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1537px) 100vw, 1537px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">From findings of the November 2021 Public Policy Institute of California statewide survey. \u003ccite>(Courtesy PPIC)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But PPIC President Mark Baldassare, who directed the survey, said the results show that even in this highly partisan period, there’s strong consensus among Californians about how to fix the problem, ” … whether it comes to creating more affordable child care for lower-income workers, improving job training [or] finding ways to provide housing close to work in regions that are more affordable for people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Not surprisingly, housing is one of the top concerns among adults in California, a quarter of whom say they worry constantly about the cost of it, according to the poll.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s a lot of people,” Baldassare said. “And this is in the context of people saying that the lack of well-paying jobs in their regions is a big problem.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, he noted, about 20% of those surveyed say they’re seriously considering moving out of state because of a dearth of the kind of well-paying jobs they would need to afford to live here.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roughly one in five Californians say that they or someone in their household over the last year has cut back on food (21%), put off seeing a doctor or purchasing medicine to save money (18%), been unable to pay a monthly bill (17%) or had difficulty paying the rent or mortgage (17%), the poll finds. Interestingly, the results are similar to those from last November’s survey, which was conducted when many statewide COVID-19 restrictions were still in effect.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The poll also finds significant differences across racial and ethnic groups, with Latinos and African Americans most likely to report any of these issue. Meanwhile the share of people experiencing these difficulties declines as age increases.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11895757\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1216px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11895757 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1.png\" alt=\"A series of horizontal bar charts showing financial difficulties across racial/ethnic and income groups.\" width=\"1216\" height=\"807\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1.png 1216w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1-800x531.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1-1020x677.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/the-share-of-californians-experiencing-financial-difficulties-varies-across-racial-ethnic-and-income-groups-nbsp-1-1-160x106.png 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1216px) 100vw, 1216px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">From findings of the November 2021 Public Policy Institute of California statewide survey. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of PPIC)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In light of affordability concerns, most Californians are also strongly supportive of more government assistance, the poll finds, with more than 75% of adult residents saying the government should help lower-income families pay for child care. The share of people who say they support increased funding for job-training programs is even higher — at 81%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think people in California will be looking [with] great interest now in terms of what the federal government is going to be able to provide, as well as what the state government might be able to provide, in terms of support for expanding child care for lower-income workers and expanding job training so that more people can find their way to good-paying jobs in California,” Baldassare said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11895758\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1213px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs.png\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11895758 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs.png\" alt=\"Horizontal bar charts showing overwhelming support for expansive of safety net programs. \" width=\"1213\" height=\"807\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs.png 1213w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs-800x532.png 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs-1020x679.png 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/11/overwhelming-majorities-support-expansion-of-safety-net-programs-160x106.png 160w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1213px) 100vw, 1213px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">From findings of the November 2021 Public Policy Institute of California statewide survey. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of PPIC)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The poll results come as Democrats in Washington, D.C., continue to negotiate the terms of a \u003ca href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-05/after-decades-of-focus-on-elderly-washington-turns-to-families\">$1.75 trillion social spending package\u003c/a> that could include subsidized child care and universal pre-K for 3- and 4-year-olds.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Findings in the survey are based on interviews with 2,292 adult residents throughout California, conducted from Oct. 12–31, 2021.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The poll’s sampling error is ±3.2%, at the 95% confidence level, meaning that 95 times out of 100, the results will be within 3.2 percentage points of what they would be if all adults in California were interviewed.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "how-do-you-measure-the-economic-toll-of-wildfires-the-answer-could-help-california-respond-to-emergencies-better",
"title": "How Do You Measure the Economic Toll of Wildfires? The Answer Could Help California Respond to Emergencies Better",
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"headTitle": "How Do You Measure the Economic Toll of Wildfires? The Answer Could Help California Respond to Emergencies Better | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/calmatters-en-espanol/2021/10/cual-es-el-impacto-real-de-los-incendios-forestales-en-la-economia-de-california/\">\u003cem>Leer en español.\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not a single structure burned down \u003ca href=\"https://calfire-forestry.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=366d1a3e25ce4a11a4c0846c3a337ce9&extent=-13464888.411%2C4646560.0626%2C-13348704.128%2C4707786.1223%2C102100https://calfire-forestry.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=366d1a3e25ce4a11a4c0846c3a337ce9&extent=-13464888.411%2C4646560.0626%2C-13348704.128%2C4707786.1223%2C102100\">in the city of South Lake Tahoe\u003c/a>. And yet, the threat of the fast-approaching Caldor Fire cost surrounding El Dorado County tens of millions of dollars, if not more.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In South Lake Tahoe, Domi Chavarria, co-owner of Verde Mexican Rotisserie, felt the devastation of the Caldor Fire even before the city was evacuated in August. Smoke had blanketed the city, and the tourists had mostly left.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When authorities ordered \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11886947/thousands-more-evacuated-as-caldor-fire-moves-closer-to-south-lake-tahoe\">the evacuation of South Lake Tahoe\u003c/a>, Verde was stocked with food, almost all of which went bad during the more than two weeks the restaurant ultimately remained closed. Produce wilted; proteins went bad; prepared sauces couldn’t be used.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All that stuff, none of that’s made to last weeks — it’s all made to last days,” says Chavarria. He estimates the lost inventory was worth between $10,000 and $13,000. None of it was covered by his insurance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892015\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1200px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892015 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51.jpg\" alt=\"A man in a hooded sweatshirt and a baseball hat on backward stands behind a restaurant counter looking evenly at the camera.\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51.jpg 1200w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51-160x107.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Domi Chavarria at his restaurant, Verde Mexican Rotisserie, in South Lake Tahoe on Oct. 6, 2021. \u003ccite>(Salgu Wissmath for CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Losses like Chavarria’s add up — to at least $50.3 million in lost economic activity for El Dorado County, according to an initial estimate shared with CalMatters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Knowing the true cost of wildfires could spur more ambitious action from both government and the private sector, experts say. For instance, tracking the costs systematically over several years could help policymakers figure out which fire prevention and mitigation strategies are most cost effective.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But right now, California has an incomplete understanding of how much wildfires cost the state each year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The costs of business disruption, the cost of damage to uninsured homes, the cost of ecosystem damage, and the cost of secondary health impacts — such as those caused by wildfire smoke — aren’t being tracked.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>We don’t have a comprehensive picture of the economic harm wildfires cause each year, explains Teresa Feo, senior science officer at the California Council on Science and Technology and lead author of \u003ca href=\"https://ccst.us/reports/the-costs-of-wildfire-in-california/\">a 2020 report from the council\u003c/a> on the cost of wildfires in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There isn’t a statewide systematic tracking effort to figure out these costs,” said Feo. She said it took only about a month of digging into the question to realize: “‘Oh no, you can’t come up with a number. This is actually impossible with the existing data.'”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state does not track or estimate the cost of wildfires in a way that accounts for public health costs or ecological damage on a regular basis, confirmed Heather Williams, communications director for the California Natural Resources Agency.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Those would always be a moving target since health impacts can occur years later,” Williams wrote in an email.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“But with more research being funded, this may be more feasible to help the state better understand the economic and ecological impacts so we can continue to make science-based informed policy decisions,” he added.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892013\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892013 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24.jpg\" alt=\"A woman with her hair back and wearing gloves chops tomatoes in a restaurant kitchen.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Martha Garcia preps food in the kitchen at Verde Mexican Rotisserie in South Lake Tahoe on Oct. 6, 2021. Owner Domi Chavarria lost about $10,000 worth of inventory when they shut down for two weeks due to the Caldor Fire evacuation. \u003ccite>(Salgu Wissmath for CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>The different costs of wildfires\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>The initial analysis of the Caldor Fire’s economic impact was prepared by Tom Harris, an economist at the University of Nevada, Reno, for the Tahoe Prosperity Center, an economic development organization for the Lake Tahoe Basin.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892030\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 1000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892030 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00.jpg\" alt='A bright green garbage dumpster painted with the words \"Food Only\" full of raw chicken.' width=\"1000\" height=\"1334\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00.jpg 1000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00-800x1067.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00-160x213.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Food inventory from the Verde Mexican Rotisserie restaurant had to be discarded after a two-week evacuation order due to the Caldor Fire in South Lake Tahoe. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Domi Chavarria)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The study estimates the combined losses of El Dorado and Nevada’s Douglas County at $93 million. And, says Harris, that preliminary estimate is low: It doesn’t include the losses in sectors like rental homes or recreation businesses. Nor does it include the lost economic activity caused by residents evacuating, and it doesn’t take into account the health care costs associated with wildfire smoke exposure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some costs are more immediate — the cost of Chavarria’s rotted food, for instance, and the fact that the fire took place over Labor Day weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s not a slow weekend in Tahoe,” said Chavarria. Tourism is about 63% of the Tahoe basin’s economy, \u003ca href=\"https://tahoeprosperity.org/wp-content/uploads/measuring-for-prosperity-community-and-economic-indicators-for-the-lake-tahoe-basin-2018.pdf\">according to a 2018 report from the Tahoe Prosperity Center\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Between the slowdown in business due to smoke and the evacuation, Verde lost several weeks of revenue. Chavarria says that a month of sales for the restaurant is more than $100,000. Verde’s employees also went without paychecks for the two weeks the restaurant was shut down.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nicole Smith, co-founder and taproom manager of South Lake Brewing Company, said her business fared better than many, partially because none of the beer went bad. But between the loss of sales in the company’s own taproom and the beer it sells to other local businesses, the brewery lost somewhere between $30,000 and $50,000 of revenue during the evacuation, estimates Smith.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition to lost business, some figures are easier to pin down, like the amount Cal Fire spends on fire suppression.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the state, for example, does not systematically track deaths and health conditions linked to wildfire smoke exposure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The costs associated with smoke may be the largest costs we’re missing, says Feo.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"news_11890211\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/09/Leadphoto-800x533.png\"]One study \u003ca href=\"https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1002601\">produced by public health department researchers and academics\u003c/a> tracked the use of Medi-Cal services during San Diego’s 2007 fall fire season. It found that during the peak fire period, emergency room visits for respiratory conditions increased by 34% and visits for asthma increased by 113%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Especially concerning was a 136% increase in ER visits for children age 4 and younger for asthma. That finding, the authors wrote, “is cause for particular concern because of the potential for long-term harm to children’s lung development.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A systematic effort to track wildfire smoke effects would be especially profound, says Feo, because it reaches so far beyond the location of the fire.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2018, for example, smoke from the Camp Fire \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1969409/no-you-didnt-wake-up-to-the-apocalypse-wildfire-smoke-turns-bay-area-sky-orange-and-dark\">clogged San Francisco\u003c/a>, a city more than 100 miles away. If you can put figures on the impact of smoke across the whole state, “who’s impacted by the fire suddenly changes very dramatically, and therefore who benefits from the prevention and mitigation changes,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892020\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892020 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut.jpg\" alt=\"A red and white sign on a tall pole along a two-lane road, surrounded by tall fir trees, with smoke haze in the distance.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A sign for the town of Kyburz says, “Welcome to Kyburz/Happy New Year 2021,” while the Caldor Fire burns nearby on Aug. 31, 2021. The residents of Kyburz were ordered to evacuate for several days during the Caldor Fire. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>Different approaches to wildfire data\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>The current approach to assessing the aftermath of wildfires is a hodgepodge of research looking into different aspects that is not led by any one agency.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A smattering of data collection efforts includes:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>The California Air Resources Board funding a study of the health impact of wildfire smoke statewide for 2017, 2018 and 2020, which will be ready in three or four years.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>The board also funding a study of lost work days due to wildfire smoke, which will be ready in a couple of years.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Cal Fire also increasing funding for \u003ca href=\"https://frap.fire.ca.gov/research-monitoring/forest-health-research-program-overview-grant-solicitation/\">research into forest health\u003c/a>\u003cbr>\n(the Department of Insurance tabulates \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/environment/california-wildfires/2020/12/homeowners-insurers-fire-science/\">the damage to insured homes\u003c/a> for some major wildfires, but does not track damage from all wildfires each year).\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>A variety of academic studies.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>Academic research on the cost of wildfires tends to come out several years later, and different studies focus on different fires using different methodologies. That makes it difficult to compare the findings, or track the costs over time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These studies also are conducted based on the interests of the particular researcher, says Louise Comfort, a professor at the University of Pittsburgh and a faculty affiliate at UC Berkeley’s Center for Information Technology Research in the Interest of Society Policy Lab.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That doesn’t give us a comprehensive view,” Comfort said. She credits a UC-system-wide effort \u003ca href=\"https://uckeepresearching.org/2021-uc-resilience-symposium-series/\">to study the impacts of wildfires\u003c/a> as a step in the right direction, but says the results are still not arriving in a standardized way.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state may be in the best position to lead the effort on tracking the economic impact of wildfires. “The only thing that would give us a comprehensive view is if the state really said, ‘We want this kind of information,'” said Comfort. But the state agencies shouldn’t go it alone, she says: They should engage experts in the university system.\u003cbr>\n[pullquote size='large' align='right']In 2020, for example, a team of researchers studied the nationwide impact of California’s 2018 wildfire season, and estimated that its economic damage totaled $148.5 billion.[/pullquote]\u003cbr>\nWithout statewide, systematically published numbers, it’s more difficult to compare how different regions are suffering from wildfires, or to assess the cost effectiveness of different wildfire prevention strategies. And it may be more challenging to justify spending on expensive, but nonetheless cost-effective, mitigation or prevention programs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s a question that comes up when talking about spending taxpayer dollars, Feo said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While wildfire costs aren’t tracked, there are some academic studies that attempt to estimate those costs and produce mind-boggling figures. In 2020, for example, a team of researchers studied the nationwide impact of California’s 2018 wildfire season, and estimated that its economic damage totaled $148.5 billion.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The study, \u003ca href=\"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-00646-7\">published in Nature Sustainability\u003c/a>, captured direct capital costs, such as buildings burning down; health costs, including those related to air pollution exposure; and indirect losses such as the economic disruption of lost hours of work, as well as disruption to regional and national supply chains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The costs identified in that study exceed that of any disaster in the U.S. between the 9/11 terrorist attacks in 2001 and the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, other than Hurricane Katrina, says Adam Rose, a research professor at the University of Southern California and an expert in energy and environmental economics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rose said that a standardized methodology for assessing the total cost of wildfires should be established and applied on a regular basis — and it needs to be one that can be implemented relatively rapidly, as opposed to several years after a fire. That would allow a whole field of researchers to help track these costs, and would make their findings comparable. In addition to helping make the political case for government-led fire-prevention efforts, those numbers might spur private sector action on fire prevention efforts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=\"science_1976952\" hero=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/35/2021/09/Grapes-2048x1536.jpg\"]But not all experts said that measuring the costs associated with each wildfire season is important. William Siembieda, a professor emeritus at Cal Poly in San Luis Obispo and senior member of a Cal Poly team that prepared several of the state’s hazard mitigation plans, says he doesn’t know how policymakers would make use of those numbers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What would be useful, Siembieda says, is for cities to model the economic impact of different levels of fire damage. What would be the cost if 5% of the city burned? What if 10% or 20% burned?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With those estimates, local officials could decide whether they’re prepared to absorb that loss, insure against the risk or pursue other strategies.\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003ch3>What’s next for survivors?\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>For a couple weeks now, South Lake Tahoe residents and business owners have been reopening their restaurants, shops and adventure outfits, taking stock of what happened.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When Lisa Schafer, co-owner of Wildwood Makers Market, returned to the city and drove to her shop for the first time, she felt waves of different emotions. There was the fear she’d been holding on to — that her hometown, her house and her business would all burn to a crisp. There was the gratitude she felt for the fact that they had all been spared.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I cried the whole drive,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Her shop, which sells jewelry, wall decor, embroidery kits and other gifts, smelled smoky for her first few days back. It wasn’t a pleasant campfire smell. “It smelled like beef jerky,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label ='Related Coverage' tag='wildfires']Business didn’t return to normal immediately; tourists didn’t rush back to the area. All told, Shafer lost about 60% of sales in September. Her insurance won’t cover that loss of business.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s clear, she says, that these fires are not going away. She said she wishes there were some sort of automatic aid for businesses and individuals affected by the fire.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ultimately, Wildwood Makers Market will bounce back from loss of business, Schafer said. But if something happens in the winter that disrupts the holiday shopping season, that could be “catastrophic,” she says. “One more hit would not be good for us.”\u003cbr>\n[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "A preliminary estimate shows that the Caldor Fire cost tens of millions of dollars in lost economic activity. But right now, California has a mostly incomplete picture of how much fires cost the state each year.",
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"title": "How Do You Measure the Economic Toll of Wildfires? The Answer Could Help California Respond to Emergencies Better | KQED",
"description": "A preliminary estimate shows that the Caldor Fire cost tens of millions of dollars in lost economic activity. But right now, California has a mostly incomplete picture of how much fires cost the state each year.",
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"headline": "How Do You Measure the Economic Toll of Wildfires? The Answer Could Help California Respond to Emergencies Better",
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"nprByline": "\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/author/grace-gedye/\">Grace Gedye\u003c/a>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/calmatters-en-espanol/2021/10/cual-es-el-impacto-real-de-los-incendios-forestales-en-la-economia-de-california/\">\u003cem>Leer en español.\u003c/em>\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Not a single structure burned down \u003ca href=\"https://calfire-forestry.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=366d1a3e25ce4a11a4c0846c3a337ce9&extent=-13464888.411%2C4646560.0626%2C-13348704.128%2C4707786.1223%2C102100https://calfire-forestry.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=366d1a3e25ce4a11a4c0846c3a337ce9&extent=-13464888.411%2C4646560.0626%2C-13348704.128%2C4707786.1223%2C102100\">in the city of South Lake Tahoe\u003c/a>. And yet, the threat of the fast-approaching Caldor Fire cost surrounding El Dorado County tens of millions of dollars, if not more.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In South Lake Tahoe, Domi Chavarria, co-owner of Verde Mexican Rotisserie, felt the devastation of the Caldor Fire even before the city was evacuated in August. Smoke had blanketed the city, and the tourists had mostly left.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>When authorities ordered \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11886947/thousands-more-evacuated-as-caldor-fire-moves-closer-to-south-lake-tahoe\">the evacuation of South Lake Tahoe\u003c/a>, Verde was stocked with food, almost all of which went bad during the more than two weeks the restaurant ultimately remained closed. Produce wilted; proteins went bad; prepared sauces couldn’t be used.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All that stuff, none of that’s made to last weeks — it’s all made to last days,” says Chavarria. He estimates the lost inventory was worth between $10,000 and $13,000. None of it was covered by his insurance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892015\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1200px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892015 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51.jpg\" alt=\"A man in a hooded sweatshirt and a baseball hat on backward stands behind a restaurant counter looking evenly at the camera.\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51.jpg 1200w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-51-160x107.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Domi Chavarria at his restaurant, Verde Mexican Rotisserie, in South Lake Tahoe on Oct. 6, 2021. \u003ccite>(Salgu Wissmath for CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Losses like Chavarria’s add up — to at least $50.3 million in lost economic activity for El Dorado County, according to an initial estimate shared with CalMatters.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Knowing the true cost of wildfires could spur more ambitious action from both government and the private sector, experts say. For instance, tracking the costs systematically over several years could help policymakers figure out which fire prevention and mitigation strategies are most cost effective.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But right now, California has an incomplete understanding of how much wildfires cost the state each year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The costs of business disruption, the cost of damage to uninsured homes, the cost of ecosystem damage, and the cost of secondary health impacts — such as those caused by wildfire smoke — aren’t being tracked.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>We don’t have a comprehensive picture of the economic harm wildfires cause each year, explains Teresa Feo, senior science officer at the California Council on Science and Technology and lead author of \u003ca href=\"https://ccst.us/reports/the-costs-of-wildfire-in-california/\">a 2020 report from the council\u003c/a> on the cost of wildfires in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There isn’t a statewide systematic tracking effort to figure out these costs,” said Feo. She said it took only about a month of digging into the question to realize: “‘Oh no, you can’t come up with a number. This is actually impossible with the existing data.'”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state does not track or estimate the cost of wildfires in a way that accounts for public health costs or ecological damage on a regular basis, confirmed Heather Williams, communications director for the California Natural Resources Agency.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Those would always be a moving target since health impacts can occur years later,” Williams wrote in an email.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“But with more research being funded, this may be more feasible to help the state better understand the economic and ecological impacts so we can continue to make science-based informed policy decisions,” he added.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892013\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892013 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24.jpg\" alt=\"A woman with her hair back and wearing gloves chops tomatoes in a restaurant kitchen.\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-24-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Martha Garcia preps food in the kitchen at Verde Mexican Rotisserie in South Lake Tahoe on Oct. 6, 2021. Owner Domi Chavarria lost about $10,000 worth of inventory when they shut down for two weeks due to the Caldor Fire evacuation. \u003ccite>(Salgu Wissmath for CalMatters)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>The different costs of wildfires\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>The initial analysis of the Caldor Fire’s economic impact was prepared by Tom Harris, an economist at the University of Nevada, Reno, for the Tahoe Prosperity Center, an economic development organization for the Lake Tahoe Basin.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892030\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\" style=\"max-width: 1000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892030 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00.jpg\" alt='A bright green garbage dumpster painted with the words \"Food Only\" full of raw chicken.' width=\"1000\" height=\"1334\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00.jpg 1000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00-800x1067.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/100821-Tahoe-Fire-Economy-SW-00-160x213.jpg 160w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Food inventory from the Verde Mexican Rotisserie restaurant had to be discarded after a two-week evacuation order due to the Caldor Fire in South Lake Tahoe. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Domi Chavarria)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>The study estimates the combined losses of El Dorado and Nevada’s Douglas County at $93 million. And, says Harris, that preliminary estimate is low: It doesn’t include the losses in sectors like rental homes or recreation businesses. Nor does it include the lost economic activity caused by residents evacuating, and it doesn’t take into account the health care costs associated with wildfire smoke exposure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some costs are more immediate — the cost of Chavarria’s rotted food, for instance, and the fact that the fire took place over Labor Day weekend.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s not a slow weekend in Tahoe,” said Chavarria. Tourism is about 63% of the Tahoe basin’s economy, \u003ca href=\"https://tahoeprosperity.org/wp-content/uploads/measuring-for-prosperity-community-and-economic-indicators-for-the-lake-tahoe-basin-2018.pdf\">according to a 2018 report from the Tahoe Prosperity Center\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Between the slowdown in business due to smoke and the evacuation, Verde lost several weeks of revenue. Chavarria says that a month of sales for the restaurant is more than $100,000. Verde’s employees also went without paychecks for the two weeks the restaurant was shut down.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nicole Smith, co-founder and taproom manager of South Lake Brewing Company, said her business fared better than many, partially because none of the beer went bad. But between the loss of sales in the company’s own taproom and the beer it sells to other local businesses, the brewery lost somewhere between $30,000 and $50,000 of revenue during the evacuation, estimates Smith.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition to lost business, some figures are easier to pin down, like the amount Cal Fire spends on fire suppression.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the state, for example, does not systematically track deaths and health conditions linked to wildfire smoke exposure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The costs associated with smoke may be the largest costs we’re missing, says Feo.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>One study \u003ca href=\"https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1002601\">produced by public health department researchers and academics\u003c/a> tracked the use of Medi-Cal services during San Diego’s 2007 fall fire season. It found that during the peak fire period, emergency room visits for respiratory conditions increased by 34% and visits for asthma increased by 113%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Especially concerning was a 136% increase in ER visits for children age 4 and younger for asthma. That finding, the authors wrote, “is cause for particular concern because of the potential for long-term harm to children’s lung development.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A systematic effort to track wildfire smoke effects would be especially profound, says Feo, because it reaches so far beyond the location of the fire.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2018, for example, smoke from the Camp Fire \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/science/1969409/no-you-didnt-wake-up-to-the-apocalypse-wildfire-smoke-turns-bay-area-sky-orange-and-dark\">clogged San Francisco\u003c/a>, a city more than 100 miles away. If you can put figures on the impact of smoke across the whole state, “who’s impacted by the fire suddenly changes very dramatically, and therefore who benefits from the prevention and mitigation changes,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11892020\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11892020 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/app/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut.jpg\" alt=\"A red and white sign on a tall pole along a two-lane road, surrounded by tall fir trees, with smoke haze in the distance.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2021/10/RS51289_065_Meyers_CaldorFire_08312021-qut-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A sign for the town of Kyburz says, “Welcome to Kyburz/Happy New Year 2021,” while the Caldor Fire burns nearby on Aug. 31, 2021. The residents of Kyburz were ordered to evacuate for several days during the Caldor Fire. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch3>Different approaches to wildfire data\u003c/h3>\n\u003cp>The current approach to assessing the aftermath of wildfires is a hodgepodge of research looking into different aspects that is not led by any one agency.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A smattering of data collection efforts includes:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>The California Air Resources Board funding a study of the health impact of wildfire smoke statewide for 2017, 2018 and 2020, which will be ready in three or four years.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>The board also funding a study of lost work days due to wildfire smoke, which will be ready in a couple of years.\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>Cal Fire also increasing funding for \u003ca href=\"https://frap.fire.ca.gov/research-monitoring/forest-health-research-program-overview-grant-solicitation/\">research into forest health\u003c/a>\u003cbr>\n(the Department of Insurance tabulates \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/environment/california-wildfires/2020/12/homeowners-insurers-fire-science/\">the damage to insured homes\u003c/a> for some major wildfires, but does not track damage from all wildfires each year).\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>A variety of academic studies.\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>Academic research on the cost of wildfires tends to come out several years later, and different studies focus on different fires using different methodologies. That makes it difficult to compare the findings, or track the costs over time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>These studies also are conducted based on the interests of the particular researcher, says Louise Comfort, a professor at the University of Pittsburgh and a faculty affiliate at UC Berkeley’s Center for Information Technology Research in the Interest of Society Policy Lab.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That doesn’t give us a comprehensive view,” Comfort said. She credits a UC-system-wide effort \u003ca href=\"https://uckeepresearching.org/2021-uc-resilience-symposium-series/\">to study the impacts of wildfires\u003c/a> as a step in the right direction, but says the results are still not arriving in a standardized way.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state may be in the best position to lead the effort on tracking the economic impact of wildfires. “The only thing that would give us a comprehensive view is if the state really said, ‘We want this kind of information,'” said Comfort. But the state agencies shouldn’t go it alone, she says: They should engage experts in the university system.\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "In 2020, for example, a team of researchers studied the nationwide impact of California’s 2018 wildfire season, and estimated that its economic damage totaled $148.5 billion.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cbr>\nWithout statewide, systematically published numbers, it’s more difficult to compare how different regions are suffering from wildfires, or to assess the cost effectiveness of different wildfire prevention strategies. And it may be more challenging to justify spending on expensive, but nonetheless cost-effective, mitigation or prevention programs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s a question that comes up when talking about spending taxpayer dollars, Feo said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While wildfire costs aren’t tracked, there are some academic studies that attempt to estimate those costs and produce mind-boggling figures. In 2020, for example, a team of researchers studied the nationwide impact of California’s 2018 wildfire season, and estimated that its economic damage totaled $148.5 billion.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The study, \u003ca href=\"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-020-00646-7\">published in Nature Sustainability\u003c/a>, captured direct capital costs, such as buildings burning down; health costs, including those related to air pollution exposure; and indirect losses such as the economic disruption of lost hours of work, as well as disruption to regional and national supply chains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The costs identified in that study exceed that of any disaster in the U.S. between the 9/11 terrorist attacks in 2001 and the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, other than Hurricane Katrina, says Adam Rose, a research professor at the University of Southern California and an expert in energy and environmental economics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rose said that a standardized methodology for assessing the total cost of wildfires should be established and applied on a regular basis — and it needs to be one that can be implemented relatively rapidly, as opposed to several years after a fire. That would allow a whole field of researchers to help track these costs, and would make their findings comparable. In addition to helping make the political case for government-led fire-prevention efforts, those numbers might spur private sector action on fire prevention efforts.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>But not all experts said that measuring the costs associated with each wildfire season is important. William Siembieda, a professor emeritus at Cal Poly in San Luis Obispo and senior member of a Cal Poly team that prepared several of the state’s hazard mitigation plans, says he doesn’t know how policymakers would make use of those numbers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What would be useful, Siembieda says, is for cities to model the economic impact of different levels of fire damage. What would be the cost if 5% of the city burned? What if 10% or 20% burned?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>With those estimates, local officials could decide whether they’re prepared to absorb that loss, insure against the risk or pursue other strategies.\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Business didn’t return to normal immediately; tourists didn’t rush back to the area. All told, Shafer lost about 60% of sales in September. Her insurance won’t cover that loss of business.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s clear, she says, that these fires are not going away. She said she wishes there were some sort of automatic aid for businesses and individuals affected by the fire.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Ultimately, Wildwood Makers Market will bounce back from loss of business, Schafer said. But if something happens in the winter that disrupts the holiday shopping season, that could be “catastrophic,” she says. “One more hit would not be good for us.”\u003cbr>\n\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Most Californians aren’t feeling optimistic about the economic future of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A \u003ca href=\"http://www.ppic.org/publication/statewide-survey-californians-and-their-economic-well-being-december-2020/\">new survey\u003c/a> released Wednesday by the Public Policy Institute of California found that more than 60% of Californians believe children growing up in the state will be worse off financially than their parents. Nearly 70% believe the gap between rich and poor in their part of the state is getting wider.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The survey also found that Californians link economic disparities to racial and ethnic discrimination.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Overwhelming majorities of Californians – including nine in 10 African Americans – say that racial and ethnic discrimination contributes to economic inequality in the U.S.,” said Mark Baldassare, PPIC president and CEO.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nearly 60% of Californians also believe there will be periods of widespread unemployment or depression in the coming year, the survey found. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those at the lower end of the income scale have already been experiencing financial hardships. More than 40% of households earning less than $40,000 a year have seen their work hours cut or their pay reduced in the last year. The same amount reported cutting back on their food to save money.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The negative affects of the COVID-19 pandemic aren't being felt equally around the state, either. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The pandemic is continuing to have a disproportionate impact on Californians with lower incomes and on Latino households,” Baldassare said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Of Latinos, 44% are very worried that either they or someone in their family will become sick from the coronavirus. That’s higher than Asians, African Americans or white adults. Nearly 40% of Latinos are also very worried COVID-19 will have a negative impact on their finances or their families’ finances, again higher than other demographic groups.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the negative view of the economy doesn’t appear to be hurting Gov. Gavin Newsom. Nearly 60% of adults approve of how Newsom is handling the economy.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Most Californians aren’t feeling optimistic about the economic future of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A \u003ca href=\"http://www.ppic.org/publication/statewide-survey-californians-and-their-economic-well-being-december-2020/\">new survey\u003c/a> released Wednesday by the Public Policy Institute of California found that more than 60% of Californians believe children growing up in the state will be worse off financially than their parents. Nearly 70% believe the gap between rich and poor in their part of the state is getting wider.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The survey also found that Californians link economic disparities to racial and ethnic discrimination.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Overwhelming majorities of Californians – including nine in 10 African Americans – say that racial and ethnic discrimination contributes to economic inequality in the U.S.,” said Mark Baldassare, PPIC president and CEO.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nearly 60% of Californians also believe there will be periods of widespread unemployment or depression in the coming year, the survey found. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those at the lower end of the income scale have already been experiencing financial hardships. More than 40% of households earning less than $40,000 a year have seen their work hours cut or their pay reduced in the last year. The same amount reported cutting back on their food to save money.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The negative affects of the COVID-19 pandemic aren't being felt equally around the state, either. \u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The pandemic is continuing to have a disproportionate impact on Californians with lower incomes and on Latino households,” Baldassare said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Of Latinos, 44% are very worried that either they or someone in their family will become sick from the coronavirus. That’s higher than Asians, African Americans or white adults. Nearly 40% of Latinos are also very worried COVID-19 will have a negative impact on their finances or their families’ finances, again higher than other demographic groups.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the negative view of the economy doesn’t appear to be hurting Gov. Gavin Newsom. Nearly 60% of adults approve of how Newsom is handling the economy.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>California lawmakers accused the leader of the state’s unemployment department of failing the public in a tense hearing Thursday that featured stories of people waiting weeks or months to receive their benefits after losing their jobs because of the pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>More than 1.2 million claims, about a fifth of all applications, haven’t been paid out, either because the applicants haven’t taken the right steps or they are ineligible, said Sharon Hilliard, head of the Employment Development Department. It will take until September to process about 239,000 of those that are mostly ready to go but backlogged, she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s difficult to say this as someone who generally believes in government’s ability to help, but EDD has been failing California,” said Democratic Assemblymember David Chiu. “Our constituents are depleting their life savings, going into extreme debt, having trouble paying rent and putting food on the table.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[pullquote size=\"medium\" align=\"right\" citation=\"Democratic Assemblymember David Chiu\"]‘Our constituents are depleting their life savings, going into extreme debt, having trouble paying rent and putting food on the table.’[/pullquote]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The coronavirus pandemic caused millions of Californians to lose their jobs starting in March, and the state has paid out $55 billion, including federal dollars, across 9.3 million claims, Hilliard said. Applications skyrocketed by more than 3,000% from March to May compared to January and February, according to the agency.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The hearing came a day after Gov. Gavin Newsom announced a new “strike team” to improve the department. The agency has already spent millions contracting with outside vendors to improve its technology and provide more call center workers. By October, it plans to award a contract to completely redo its information technology system, a timeline lawmakers said wasn’t nearly quick enough.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Chiu accused Hilliard of lying to the public about the unemployment data, another lawmaker said she had no faith in Hilliard or the agency, and members of the public called the state services “abominable” and suggested Hilliard be fired. Some who called in for public comment say they still haven’t received any payment.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Hilliard defended the battered agency. She told lawmakers the agency has hired or redirected thousands of workers and plans to bring on more. She said common reasons payments are delayed is because the state needs more information to verify the applicant’s identity or conduct a wage investigation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We remain laser focused on those claims that require additional action. Our staffers care deeply about the livelihood of our neighbors and our communities, which is why we continue to work round-the-clock in a committed effort to evolve our operations,” Hilliard said. [aside postID=\"news_11820299\" label='More Related Coverage']\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A call center that can handle questions around specific claims has just 100 people working from 8 a.m. to 12 p.m., she said. The rest of the calls go through a line open seven days a week from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. that can handle more basic calls. It takes on average four to six weeks for people to get a call back, Hilliard said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The agency is working to merge the call centers and train more workers to handle complex calls to eliminate the need for call backs, Hilliard said. But she could not give a timeline for when that would happen despite repeated questions from Democratic Assemblymember Cottie Petrie-Norris. Other lawmakers said it was unacceptable that so few workers are able to answer questions about claims over the phone.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All of these timelines just seem totally out of step with the urgency of the moment that we are in,” Petrie-Norris said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The department is experiencing vastly more claims than at the height of the Great Recession, when the most claims processed in a single month was around 115,000. During a single week in late March, the state processed more than 1 million claims, said Chas Alamo, a policy analyst at the nonpartisan Legislative Analyst’s Office. The federal government sets a goal of 87% of new claims being paid out within three weeks; California is currently paying out 62% of claims within that time frame, Alamo said. That’s lower than the 50-state average. [aside tag=\"unemployment, jobs\" label=\"More Reporting on Unemployment\"]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Things could get even more complicated if Congress extends supplemental federal unemployment benefits, which gave people up to $600 in an additional weekly payments but just expired. The new program could require more complex calculations to determine payment amounts, and preparing the state’s system to handle it could take 12 to 20 weeks, Hilliard said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think that the level of outrage that you’re hearing today would be nothing compared with the level of outrage if we were to tell the people of California it was going to take almost half a year to process their federal unemployment insurance supplement,” said Republican Assemblymember Jay Obernolte.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The strike team Newsom created will have 45 days to produce a report on how to make the agency more digital and consumer friendly. The agency will also begin weekly outreach to applicants who need to send in more information or certify their claims, which much be done every two weeks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Developments and guidance on how to file for unemployment insurance has been changing rapidly. For additional support, please refer to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11806938/how-to-file-for-unemployment-in-california-during-the-coronavirus-pandemic\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">KQED’s guide\u003c/a>, the official \u003ca href=\"http://edd.ca.gov/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">EDD website\u003c/a>, or \u003ca href=\"https://www.faqcaui.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">FAQCAUI\u003c/a>.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A call center that can handle questions around specific claims has just 100 people working from 8 a.m. to 12 p.m., she said. The rest of the calls go through a line open seven days a week from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. that can handle more basic calls. It takes on average four to six weeks for people to get a call back, Hilliard said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The agency is working to merge the call centers and train more workers to handle complex calls to eliminate the need for call backs, Hilliard said. But she could not give a timeline for when that would happen despite repeated questions from Democratic Assemblymember Cottie Petrie-Norris. Other lawmakers said it was unacceptable that so few workers are able to answer questions about claims over the phone.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All of these timelines just seem totally out of step with the urgency of the moment that we are in,” Petrie-Norris said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The department is experiencing vastly more claims than at the height of the Great Recession, when the most claims processed in a single month was around 115,000. During a single week in late March, the state processed more than 1 million claims, said Chas Alamo, a policy analyst at the nonpartisan Legislative Analyst’s Office. The federal government sets a goal of 87% of new claims being paid out within three weeks; California is currently paying out 62% of claims within that time frame, Alamo said. That’s lower than the 50-state average. \u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Things could get even more complicated if Congress extends supplemental federal unemployment benefits, which gave people up to $600 in an additional weekly payments but just expired. The new program could require more complex calculations to determine payment amounts, and preparing the state’s system to handle it could take 12 to 20 weeks, Hilliard said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think that the level of outrage that you’re hearing today would be nothing compared with the level of outrage if we were to tell the people of California it was going to take almost half a year to process their federal unemployment insurance supplement,” said Republican Assemblymember Jay Obernolte.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The strike team Newsom created will have 45 days to produce a report on how to make the agency more digital and consumer friendly. The agency will also begin weekly outreach to applicants who need to send in more information or certify their claims, which much be done every two weeks.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Developments and guidance on how to file for unemployment insurance has been changing rapidly. For additional support, please refer to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11806938/how-to-file-for-unemployment-in-california-during-the-coronavirus-pandemic\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">KQED’s guide\u003c/a>, the official \u003ca href=\"http://edd.ca.gov/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">EDD website\u003c/a>, or \u003ca href=\"https://www.faqcaui.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">FAQCAUI\u003c/a>.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"title": "California Faces $54.3 Billion Deficit Due to COVID-19",
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"content": "\u003cp>The contours of the COVID-19 pandemic’s impact on California’s state budget are coming into sharper focus: An updated projection estimates state general fund revenues will plunge by more than $41 billion from what was expected in January.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state Department of Finance released the updated fiscal forecast Thursday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the projected budget deficit is even deeper after accounting for recent pandemic-related expenditures.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The $41.2 billion shortfall, combined with $7.1 billion in additional caseloads for health and safety programs and unanticipated expenditures of $6 billion mostly related to the COVID-19 response, signal an overall budget deficit of $54.3 billion.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We are dealing with the economic and revenue fallout of an unprecedented shutdown of the state’s economy that’s been caused by this pandemic,” Department of Finance spokesman H.D. Palmer told KQED. He cited the dramatic drop in state revenues resulting from lost personal income taxes associated with business closures and record unemployment.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All of those things are rippling through the economy. They’re going to be rippling through our state revenues,” Palmer said. “And they’re creating a substantial budget gap that we have to close between now and mid-June of more than $54 billion.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>State finance officials project roughly a quarter of that shortfall will occur in the current fiscal year, with the rest falling on Gov. Gavin Newsom and the Legislature to deal with in upcoming negotiations over next year’s budget, which starts July 1.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But California won’t know the full extent of its revenue shortfall until August, after the July 15 deadline for paying income taxes, which account for two-thirds of the state’s general fund revenues.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, officials anticipate personal income tax revenue will fall by 25.5% below January projections, with sales and use taxes down 27%, and corporate tax revenue down 22.7%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That means required funding for education will be down $18.3 billion, a massive hit at a time when schools are struggling to deal with distance learning during the pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The “good news” — if you can call it that — is that California had a once-anticipated surplus of $5.6 billion in the 2020/21 budget, the result of nearly a decade of strong economic growth.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That, combined with the state’s “rainy day fund” will soften the blow somewhat. The fund, created by voters in 2014, and prudently managed by former Gov. Jerry Brown, is now estimated to hold roughly $16 billion, which can be tapped within limits once the governor declares a fiscal emergency.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, those reserves will be cold comfort to those hardest hit by the downturn, who are disproportionately low- and middle-income Californians.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside label=\"related coverage\" tag=\"coronavirus\"]In his news briefing Wednesday, Newsom hinted at the magnitude of the problem, calling the numbers “jaw dropping.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The timing of the fiscal forecast is likely to prompt inquiries; it comes just hours after Newsom’s administration\u003ca href=\"https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-05-06/california-coronavirus-mask-price-byd-coronavirus\"> finally released details of a $1 billion contract\u003c/a> to buy safety masks from a Chinese electric car maker, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/health/coronavirus/2020/05/california-mask-deal-blue-flame-collapsed-republican-vendor-maryland-porter-gula-thomas/\">raising serious questions\u003c/a> about the state’s COVID-19 expenditures.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Previously, Newsom said any details of his so-called “May Revise” of the state budget wouldn’t be released until next Thursday. Instead, the deficit forecast was released at 9:45 p.m. Wednesday night, just a few hours after releasing details of the contract.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The imploding budget situation means Newsom will have to manage simultaneous crises, testing his ability to govern at a time when his popularity at home and national political stock had been rising as he and other governors filled a void left by the Trump administration.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And the bad news, in the way of rising unemployment and plunging revenues, is hardly over. Since shelter-in-place orders were issued in mid-March, shuttering much of the state’s economy, more than 4.2 million Californians have applied for unemployment benefits. Finance Department officials estimate unemployment levels will reach 18% statewide, up from just 3.9% earlier this year. By contrast, unemployment in California reached 12.2% at the height of the Great Recession.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In light of such daunting numbers, Palmer said, California is waiting with bated breath for major federal financial assistance in the next round of relief legislation to continue providing core essential public services.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That said, there are clearly going to have to be difficult proposals and difficult decisions that are going to go on the table,” Palmer said.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The contours of the COVID-19 pandemic’s impact on California’s state budget are coming into sharper focus: An updated projection estimates state general fund revenues will plunge by more than $41 billion from what was expected in January.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state Department of Finance released the updated fiscal forecast Thursday morning.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the projected budget deficit is even deeper after accounting for recent pandemic-related expenditures.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The $41.2 billion shortfall, combined with $7.1 billion in additional caseloads for health and safety programs and unanticipated expenditures of $6 billion mostly related to the COVID-19 response, signal an overall budget deficit of $54.3 billion.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We are dealing with the economic and revenue fallout of an unprecedented shutdown of the state’s economy that’s been caused by this pandemic,” Department of Finance spokesman H.D. Palmer told KQED. He cited the dramatic drop in state revenues resulting from lost personal income taxes associated with business closures and record unemployment.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“All of those things are rippling through the economy. They’re going to be rippling through our state revenues,” Palmer said. “And they’re creating a substantial budget gap that we have to close between now and mid-June of more than $54 billion.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>State finance officials project roughly a quarter of that shortfall will occur in the current fiscal year, with the rest falling on Gov. Gavin Newsom and the Legislature to deal with in upcoming negotiations over next year’s budget, which starts July 1.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But California won’t know the full extent of its revenue shortfall until August, after the July 15 deadline for paying income taxes, which account for two-thirds of the state’s general fund revenues.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, officials anticipate personal income tax revenue will fall by 25.5% below January projections, with sales and use taxes down 27%, and corporate tax revenue down 22.7%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That means required funding for education will be down $18.3 billion, a massive hit at a time when schools are struggling to deal with distance learning during the pandemic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The “good news” — if you can call it that — is that California had a once-anticipated surplus of $5.6 billion in the 2020/21 budget, the result of nearly a decade of strong economic growth.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That, combined with the state’s “rainy day fund” will soften the blow somewhat. The fund, created by voters in 2014, and prudently managed by former Gov. Jerry Brown, is now estimated to hold roughly $16 billion, which can be tapped within limits once the governor declares a fiscal emergency.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, those reserves will be cold comfort to those hardest hit by the downturn, who are disproportionately low- and middle-income Californians.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>In his news briefing Wednesday, Newsom hinted at the magnitude of the problem, calling the numbers “jaw dropping.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The timing of the fiscal forecast is likely to prompt inquiries; it comes just hours after Newsom’s administration\u003ca href=\"https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-05-06/california-coronavirus-mask-price-byd-coronavirus\"> finally released details of a $1 billion contract\u003c/a> to buy safety masks from a Chinese electric car maker, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/health/coronavirus/2020/05/california-mask-deal-blue-flame-collapsed-republican-vendor-maryland-porter-gula-thomas/\">raising serious questions\u003c/a> about the state’s COVID-19 expenditures.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Previously, Newsom said any details of his so-called “May Revise” of the state budget wouldn’t be released until next Thursday. Instead, the deficit forecast was released at 9:45 p.m. Wednesday night, just a few hours after releasing details of the contract.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The imploding budget situation means Newsom will have to manage simultaneous crises, testing his ability to govern at a time when his popularity at home and national political stock had been rising as he and other governors filled a void left by the Trump administration.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And the bad news, in the way of rising unemployment and plunging revenues, is hardly over. Since shelter-in-place orders were issued in mid-March, shuttering much of the state’s economy, more than 4.2 million Californians have applied for unemployment benefits. Finance Department officials estimate unemployment levels will reach 18% statewide, up from just 3.9% earlier this year. By contrast, unemployment in California reached 12.2% at the height of the Great Recession.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In light of such daunting numbers, Palmer said, California is waiting with bated breath for major federal financial assistance in the next round of relief legislation to continue providing core essential public services.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That said, there are clearly going to have to be difficult proposals and difficult decisions that are going to go on the table,” Palmer said.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "the-push-to-break-up-the-boys-club-at-the-fed",
"title": "The Push To Break Up The Boys' Club At The Fed",
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"content": "\u003cp>The field of economics has a problem. At a time when more women than men are graduating from college and earning doctorates, \u003ca href=\"https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jep.30.4.221\">just a third\u003c/a> of Ph.D.s in economics go to women. That statistic has hardly budged in decades.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The lack of gender diversity has trickled its way into one of the field’s biggest employers of economists: the Federal Reserve, which crafts U.S. monetary policy. For most of its existence the Fed has been dominated by men. That’s why it was such a big deal when Janet Yellen became \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2014/01/31/269496733/after-overcoming-early-obstacles-yellen-assumes-feds-top-job\">the first woman to run the Fed\u003c/a> in 2014.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Lael Brainard, a Federal Reserve governor, says the central bank “has a lot of work to do to have a truly diverse set of leaders.” Brainard, an economist, has spent much of her career as one of the few women in the room when major policy decisions are made.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When you’re sitting around a decision-making table, you look around and you say to yourself: ‘Hmm, this table doesn’t look like a typical classroom in America.’ And until it does we’re not going to be getting the best possible outcomes that this country deserves,” she says.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11717433/find-yourself-in-the-california-legislature-or-not\">Find Yourself in the California Legislature — or Not\u003c/a>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11717433/find-yourself-in-the-california-legislature-or-not\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2019/01/Legislators-like-you-PHOTO-1-e1547161083527.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/a>\u003c/figure>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>Brainard says a growing body of research suggests that diversity leads to better decision-making. Top voices at the Fed are raising the red flag at a time when the Fed’s integrity is under intense scrutiny, with President Trump \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2018/08/20/640332224/trump-not-thrilled-with-fed-chairman-over-interest-rate-hikes\">routinely blasting the central bank\u003c/a> for raising interest rates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The institution has been a political punching bag before, most notably in recent times for its handling of the financial crisis. The seminal legislation that came out of that era, the Dodd-Frank Act, called for the U.S. Government Accountability Office to examine governance at the Federal Reserve Banks. The GAO’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.gao.gov/assets/590/585807.pdf\">2011 report\u003c/a> found that more diversity would strengthen the Fed’s legitimacy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lawmakers have taken notice. Last Tuesday, Rep. Joyce Beatty, D-Ohio, \u003ca href=\"https://beatty.house.gov/media-center/press-releases/beatty-rule-introduced-in-house-and-senate\">introduced legislation\u003c/a> aimed at boosting diversity among Federal Reserve Bank presidents. It would require that at least one gender-diverse candidate and racially or ethnically diverse candidate gets interviewed when there’s an opening. Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., has introduced companion legislation in the Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Former Fed chiefs are also concerned and are weighing in.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At an \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2019/01/08/683177953/econ-too\">annual gathering\u003c/a> of the American Economic Association in Atlanta last week, former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and the association’s new president, acknowledged that a reputation for hostility has kept women — and minorities — away.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"pullquote alignright\">‘As we try to develop knowledge for the use of policymakers and as we try to develop specific policies, we’re hindered by the lack of diversity in our ranks.’\u003ccite>Amanda Bayer, professor at Swarthmore College\u003c/cite>\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>“I think it’s very important for economics that we change equilibrium, that we change the perception of economics as being unfriendly to any group of people,” he said during a panel discussion that also included Yellen.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She said it “should be the highest priority for us over the next couple of years.” And Yellen said the association, which she will lead starting next year, has formed a committee that will focus on ways to improve “the environment for women and minorities.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In recent years, the Fed has taken deliberate steps to address not just the gender disparity, but also racial and ethnic diversity. A few years ago, it brought on professor Amanda Bayer of Swarthmore College as an adviser.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As we try to develop knowledge for the use of policymakers and as we try to develop specific policies, we’re hindered by the lack of diversity in our ranks,” she says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bayer organized the Fed’s first national summit on diversity in 2014. That summit is now an annual event. And last month, she partnered with the central bank on \u003ca href=\"https://www.newyorkfed.org/data-and-statistics/data-visualization/diversity-in-economics#interactive/overview\">a new website\u003c/a> that gives U.S. universities a visual scorecard on diversity at the undergraduate level, where she says the problem often begins.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11713470/for-transgender-and-non-binary-protections-california-came-first\">For Transgender and Nonbinary Protections, California Came First\u003c/a>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11713470/for-transgender-and-non-binary-protections-california-came-first\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/IMG_0043-1180x885.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/a>\u003c/figure>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>“Before very recently, fingers were pointed at women themselves looking to factors like women’s tastes or math preparation as explainers of why they didn’t choose us and join us as economists,” Bayer says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But increasingly, the field is looking within to understand why so few women decide to pursue it. Step one of finding a solution is admitting there’s a problem, says Bayer, and it’s clear that economics has one.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.dropbox.com/s/v6q7gfcbv9feef5/Wu_EJMR_paper.pdf?dl=0\"> A thesis\u003c/a> penned by UC Berkeley student Alice Wu helped shine a light on the problem. She used machine learning to analyze posts on an anonymous online jobs forum popular with economics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“She came up with a very convincing case that there was a lot of sexism and a lot of homophobia in the postings on this forum,” says Berkeley professor Martha Olney. “Her research simply codified what lots of people could have told you. But the people who could have told you that were women, people of color, and queer students.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Once the story was \u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/18/upshot/evidence-of-a-toxic-environment-for-women-in-economics.html\">picked up\u003c/a> in \u003cem>The New York Times\u003c/em>, Wu’s paper made the rounds among some of the most prestigious names in the field, and perhaps more significantly, those just starting out in it. It was a wake-up call.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"pullquote alignright\">‘When you show up, you are female and bringing that to the table is just as important as bringing your skill set to the table.’\u003ccite>Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank\u003c/cite>\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>“It made me reflect a little bit about — ‘Are the people I’m surrounding with thinking those things and just not saying them out loud?’ ” says third-year Ph.D. student Nina Roussille.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roussille says an aggressive seminar culture alienates some women. One researcher has said that “trying to \u003ca href=\"https://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications/the-region/interview-with-anne-case\">nail the speaker to the blackboard\u003c/a>” isn’t the goal in other disciplines as it often seems to be in economics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mary Daly is championing the cause of bringing more women into the Fed by stopping leaks earlier in the pipeline. In October, she took over as president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank. That gave her a vote in the most recent Fed policy meetings this fall.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Like the few other women at the top, Daly routinely offers encouragement through speeches, as she did at a Fed-sponsored \u003ca href=\"https://www.stlouisfed.org/education/women-in-economics/symposium-daly-presentation\">symposium for women in economics\u003c/a> last year in St. Louis.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When you show up, you are female and bringing that to the table is just as important as bringing your skill set to the table,” Daly told the audience.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A labor economist, Daly has looked at \u003ca href=\"https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2018/november/why-are-us-workers-not-participating/\">why more women aren’t in the U.S. workforce\u003c/a>. Rising through the ranks over two decades, she grew interested in why there were hardly any women at the Fed itself, even in entry-level roles.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/perspectives/201601138106/male-privilege\">Perspectives: Male Privilege\u003c/a>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/perspectives/201601138106/male-privilege\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/44/2016/01/LarryLee.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/a>\u003c/figure>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>“I called over 250 colleges myself — placement directors, chairs of departments — and said, ‘What do you think of the Fed?’ And they said it’s an old boys’ club where women wouldn’t be welcome. And I said, ‘Let me talk to you more about the Fed.’ ”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Her approach worked. The proportion of women in research associate roles at the San Francisco Fed more than doubled, jumping from 20 percent to 50 percent over the past five years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But bringing them in is one thing. Now the task is getting them to stay — and helping them one day rise to the top of an institution where women remain scarce.\u003c/p>\n\u003cdiv class=\"fullattribution\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://www.google-analytics.com/__utm.gif?utmac=UA-5828686-4&utmdt=The+Push+To+Break+Up+The+Boys%27+Club+At+The+Fed&utme=8(APIKey)9(MDAxOTAwOTE4MDEyMTkxMDAzNjczZDljZA004)\">\u003c/div>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>The field of economics has a problem. At a time when more women than men are graduating from college and earning doctorates, \u003ca href=\"https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jep.30.4.221\">just a third\u003c/a> of Ph.D.s in economics go to women. That statistic has hardly budged in decades.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The lack of gender diversity has trickled its way into one of the field’s biggest employers of economists: the Federal Reserve, which crafts U.S. monetary policy. For most of its existence the Fed has been dominated by men. That’s why it was such a big deal when Janet Yellen became \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2014/01/31/269496733/after-overcoming-early-obstacles-yellen-assumes-feds-top-job\">the first woman to run the Fed\u003c/a> in 2014.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Lael Brainard, a Federal Reserve governor, says the central bank “has a lot of work to do to have a truly diverse set of leaders.” Brainard, an economist, has spent much of her career as one of the few women in the room when major policy decisions are made.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When you’re sitting around a decision-making table, you look around and you say to yourself: ‘Hmm, this table doesn’t look like a typical classroom in America.’ And until it does we’re not going to be getting the best possible outcomes that this country deserves,” she says.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11717433/find-yourself-in-the-california-legislature-or-not\">Find Yourself in the California Legislature — or Not\u003c/a>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11717433/find-yourself-in-the-california-legislature-or-not\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2019/01/Legislators-like-you-PHOTO-1-e1547161083527.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/a>\u003c/figure>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>Brainard says a growing body of research suggests that diversity leads to better decision-making. Top voices at the Fed are raising the red flag at a time when the Fed’s integrity is under intense scrutiny, with President Trump \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2018/08/20/640332224/trump-not-thrilled-with-fed-chairman-over-interest-rate-hikes\">routinely blasting the central bank\u003c/a> for raising interest rates.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The institution has been a political punching bag before, most notably in recent times for its handling of the financial crisis. The seminal legislation that came out of that era, the Dodd-Frank Act, called for the U.S. Government Accountability Office to examine governance at the Federal Reserve Banks. The GAO’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.gao.gov/assets/590/585807.pdf\">2011 report\u003c/a> found that more diversity would strengthen the Fed’s legitimacy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lawmakers have taken notice. Last Tuesday, Rep. Joyce Beatty, D-Ohio, \u003ca href=\"https://beatty.house.gov/media-center/press-releases/beatty-rule-introduced-in-house-and-senate\">introduced legislation\u003c/a> aimed at boosting diversity among Federal Reserve Bank presidents. It would require that at least one gender-diverse candidate and racially or ethnically diverse candidate gets interviewed when there’s an opening. Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., has introduced companion legislation in the Senate.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Former Fed chiefs are also concerned and are weighing in.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>At an \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2019/01/08/683177953/econ-too\">annual gathering\u003c/a> of the American Economic Association in Atlanta last week, former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and the association’s new president, acknowledged that a reputation for hostility has kept women — and minorities — away.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"pullquote alignright\">‘As we try to develop knowledge for the use of policymakers and as we try to develop specific policies, we’re hindered by the lack of diversity in our ranks.’\u003ccite>Amanda Bayer, professor at Swarthmore College\u003c/cite>\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>“I think it’s very important for economics that we change equilibrium, that we change the perception of economics as being unfriendly to any group of people,” he said during a panel discussion that also included Yellen.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She said it “should be the highest priority for us over the next couple of years.” And Yellen said the association, which she will lead starting next year, has formed a committee that will focus on ways to improve “the environment for women and minorities.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In recent years, the Fed has taken deliberate steps to address not just the gender disparity, but also racial and ethnic diversity. A few years ago, it brought on professor Amanda Bayer of Swarthmore College as an adviser.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“As we try to develop knowledge for the use of policymakers and as we try to develop specific policies, we’re hindered by the lack of diversity in our ranks,” she says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bayer organized the Fed’s first national summit on diversity in 2014. That summit is now an annual event. And last month, she partnered with the central bank on \u003ca href=\"https://www.newyorkfed.org/data-and-statistics/data-visualization/diversity-in-economics#interactive/overview\">a new website\u003c/a> that gives U.S. universities a visual scorecard on diversity at the undergraduate level, where she says the problem often begins.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11713470/for-transgender-and-non-binary-protections-california-came-first\">For Transgender and Nonbinary Protections, California Came First\u003c/a>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11713470/for-transgender-and-non-binary-protections-california-came-first\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/IMG_0043-1180x885.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/a>\u003c/figure>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>“Before very recently, fingers were pointed at women themselves looking to factors like women’s tastes or math preparation as explainers of why they didn’t choose us and join us as economists,” Bayer says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But increasingly, the field is looking within to understand why so few women decide to pursue it. Step one of finding a solution is admitting there’s a problem, says Bayer, and it’s clear that economics has one.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.dropbox.com/s/v6q7gfcbv9feef5/Wu_EJMR_paper.pdf?dl=0\"> A thesis\u003c/a> penned by UC Berkeley student Alice Wu helped shine a light on the problem. She used machine learning to analyze posts on an anonymous online jobs forum popular with economics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“She came up with a very convincing case that there was a lot of sexism and a lot of homophobia in the postings on this forum,” says Berkeley professor Martha Olney. “Her research simply codified what lots of people could have told you. But the people who could have told you that were women, people of color, and queer students.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Once the story was \u003ca href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/18/upshot/evidence-of-a-toxic-environment-for-women-in-economics.html\">picked up\u003c/a> in \u003cem>The New York Times\u003c/em>, Wu’s paper made the rounds among some of the most prestigious names in the field, and perhaps more significantly, those just starting out in it. It was a wake-up call.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"pullquote alignright\">‘When you show up, you are female and bringing that to the table is just as important as bringing your skill set to the table.’\u003ccite>Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank\u003c/cite>\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>“It made me reflect a little bit about — ‘Are the people I’m surrounding with thinking those things and just not saying them out loud?’ ” says third-year Ph.D. student Nina Roussille.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roussille says an aggressive seminar culture alienates some women. One researcher has said that “trying to \u003ca href=\"https://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications/the-region/interview-with-anne-case\">nail the speaker to the blackboard\u003c/a>” isn’t the goal in other disciplines as it often seems to be in economics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mary Daly is championing the cause of bringing more women into the Fed by stopping leaks earlier in the pipeline. In October, she took over as president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank. That gave her a vote in the most recent Fed policy meetings this fall.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Like the few other women at the top, Daly routinely offers encouragement through speeches, as she did at a Fed-sponsored \u003ca href=\"https://www.stlouisfed.org/education/women-in-economics/symposium-daly-presentation\">symposium for women in economics\u003c/a> last year in St. Louis.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When you show up, you are female and bringing that to the table is just as important as bringing your skill set to the table,” Daly told the audience.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A labor economist, Daly has looked at \u003ca href=\"https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2018/november/why-are-us-workers-not-participating/\">why more women aren’t in the U.S. workforce\u003c/a>. Rising through the ranks over two decades, she grew interested in why there were hardly any women at the Fed itself, even in entry-level roles.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/perspectives/201601138106/male-privilege\">Perspectives: Male Privilege\u003c/a>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/perspectives/201601138106/male-privilege\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/44/2016/01/LarryLee.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/a>\u003c/figure>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>“I called over 250 colleges myself — placement directors, chairs of departments — and said, ‘What do you think of the Fed?’ And they said it’s an old boys’ club where women wouldn’t be welcome. And I said, ‘Let me talk to you more about the Fed.’ ”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Her approach worked. The proportion of women in research associate roles at the San Francisco Fed more than doubled, jumping from 20 percent to 50 percent over the past five years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But bringing them in is one thing. Now the task is getting them to stay — and helping them one day rise to the top of an institution where women remain scarce.\u003c/p>\n\u003cdiv class=\"fullattribution\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://www.google-analytics.com/__utm.gif?utmac=UA-5828686-4&utmdt=The+Push+To+Break+Up+The+Boys%27+Club+At+The+Fed&utme=8(APIKey)9(MDAxOTAwOTE4MDEyMTkxMDAzNjczZDljZA004)\">\u003c/div>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"title": "Jerry Brown’s Last Stand on Pension Reform",
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"headTitle": "Jerry Brown’s Last Stand on Pension Reform | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>Six years ago, as California strained to emerge from the Great Recession, Gov. Jerry Brown worked a minor political miracle — a rebalancing of the massive state pension systems for public employees.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shuttling between unions and the strapped governments on the hook for public sector benefits and paychecks, Brown scaled back some of the rules and perks that have made public sector workers more secure, arguing that the pain would be worth it. Results were mixed: The largest benefit rollback in state history yielded some savings, but not enough to entirely fix a pension commitment that taxpayers are increasingly finding hard to manage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, as Brown prepares to leave office — his own pension at hand, after five decades in public service — even that hard-won modicum of fiscal change could be loosened. In a case that went to oral arguments this week, the California Supreme Court is weighing a key legal precedent that could restore the generous pension formulas Brown worked so hard to tighten.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11710843\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11710843\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1628\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577-160x136.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577-800x678.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577-1020x865.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577-1200x1018.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California Supreme Court justices in San Francisco. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Judicial Council of California)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Brown, who at 80 has already surpassed the average retirement age of state workers by 22 years, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/articles/california-retirement-pension-debt-explainer/#What-do-the-courts-say\">predicts\u003c/a> that he’ll win. But Wednesday’s proceedings made it clear that workers’ arguments are also compelling.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Whatever the ruling, Brown’s successor, Gavin Newsom, will have to cope with the outcome. And — though the state’s unfunded liabilities persist, and economists warn another recession could be just around the corner — Newsom will face a very different political landscape. Should California land in another downturn, Brown’s pension reform miracle could be difficult, if not impossible, to repeat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The case heard by the high court this week involves the California Rule, a legal precedent that requires the state to compensate public employees if their retirement benefits are lessened. In a \u003ca href=\"http://www.courts.ca.gov/documents/1-s239958-apps-pet-rev-020817.pdf\">challenge\u003c/a> brought by Cal Fire Local 2881, the firefighters union argues that the ability to purchase additional years of service credit toward retirement, known as “airtime,” is a pension benefit that employees rely on as part of their decision to go into public service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://e.infogram.com/_/eIcXwSdoRKljMPslJeSG?src=embed\" title=\"Social: Retirement Debt\" width=\"800\" height=\"790\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none;\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Brown’s attorneys \u003ca href=\"http://www.courts.ca.gov/documents/6-s239958-intervener-resp-state-ca-answer-brief-merits-110717.pdf\">counter\u003c/a> that airtime was never intended by the Legislature to be a vested right and never negotiated through collective bargaining. Therefore, the state can take it away.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Everyone agrees that workers are entitled to the pensions they earn for work that’s already been done. And the argument might seem to be over a procedural technicality on the surface.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But if the court sides with Brown, it could open the possibility of future governors and legislatures modifying current employees’ pensions for prospective work, and perhaps setting a new precedent in which already negotiated benefits are fair game. If the court sides with the union, it would bind the state’s finances and commit taxpayers to paying already expensive retirement benefits.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11703925/high-expectations-on-the-left-for-governor-elect-gavin-newsom\">High Expectations on the Left for Governor-Elect Gavin Newsom\u003c/a>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11703925/high-expectations-on-the-left-for-governor-elect-gavin-newsom\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/11/NewsomElex-1180x785.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/a>\u003c/figure>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>On a larger scale, the case also could mark the end of a Brown-led era of fiscal reform in Sacramento. A blue-state Democrat with a lifelong tendency against the spending his party was known for, the frugal Brown had the experience and political capital to challenge public employee unions who typically hold sway over Democratic politicians.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom is newer and younger, and won his office in part with strong union backing. In campaign statements, he pledged to unions that he will protect their pensions; in fact, state firefighters \u003ca href=\"http://www.cpf.org/go/cpf/political-action/firefighters-for-gavin/\">cited\u003c/a> Newsom’s commitment as one reason for giving the governor-elect their endorsement.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, Democrats, who have been a majority for some time, also with strong backing overall from organized labor, only gained ground in the November election. As the Legislature convened on Monday, they had not just a supermajority but a \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/articles/blog/a-deep-blue-sea-of-california-lawmakers-take-oath-of-office-today/\">“mega-majority”\u003c/a> in both chambers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Both of those developments favor the priorities of public employee unions, as does the seemingly flush economy of the moment. California is projecting a $15 billion surplus this year, compared to a $27 billion deficit when Brown returned for his second stint in the governor’s office. The unemployment rate stood at 4.1 percent in October, compared to 12.1 percent when Brown was sworn in in January 2011.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11710837\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11710837 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114-e1544218303260.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114-e1544218303260.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114-e1544218303260-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114-e1544218303260-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114-e1544218303260-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114-e1544218303260-1200x800.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California Governor Jerry Brown announces his public employee pension reform plan October 27, 2011 at the State Capitol in Sacramento, California. \u003ccite>(Max Whittaker/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>When the Great Recession cratered state finances and the public gained awareness of generous retirement benefits, Brown was able to leverage those issues to successfully champion a package of changes from the \u003ca href=\"https://www.gov.ca.gov/2012/09/12/news17720/\">Public Employee Pension Reform Act of 2012\u003c/a> with tacit approval from labor leaders.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Brown did not get \u003ca href=\"https://www.latimes.com/projects/la-me-pension-crisis-brown/\">key changes\u003c/a> needed to slow down the growth in retirement costs, the Legislature did agree to what the governor called the “biggest rollback to public pension benefits in the history of California.” Among other money-saving measures, Brown was able to raise the retirement age for new employees, ban retroactive pension increases, stop practices such as hoarding vacation and sick time to inflate calculations for retirement benefits, and ban the purchase of additional years of service, known as “airtime.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Multiple labor unions sued, arguing that Brown’s 2012 changes infringed on their employer’s contractual obligation to provide retirement benefits at the level that was promised on their first day of work. That premise—the California Rule—left state and local governments with little room for savings.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Prior to Wednesday’s high court hearing, lower courts weighed in on the precedent with mixed messages.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11243683/a-case-study-on-pension-reform-san-joses-grand-compromise\">A Case Study on Pension Reform: San Jose’s Grand Compromise\u003c/a>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11243683/a-case-study-on-pension-reform-san-joses-grand-compromise\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/12/RS14834_iStock_000047219414_Large-qut-1.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/a>\u003c/figure>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>In a 2016 \u003ca href=\"http://www.courts.ca.gov/opinions/revpub/A139610.PDF\">ruling\u003c/a> upholding a lower court’s decision, Justice James A. Richman of California’s First District Court of Appeal broke from decades of court decisions in finding the Legislature can alter pension formulas for current employees and reduce their anticipated retirement benefits. He wrote that a public employee has a right to a “reasonable” pension, not “the most optimal formula of calculating the pension.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But another appeals court came to a different conclusion about the “California rule” by deciding in favor of union employees in Alameda, Contra Costa and Merced counties. While the justices agreed there are limits to the California Rule, they said benefit adjustments require “compelling evidence” showing that the changes are necessary to the success of the pension system.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Supreme Court agreed to take up the issue and is first hearing the firefighters’ case over whether airtime is a vested right. While Adams, for the firefighters union, said he hopes the court will recognize that airtime is earned through service, Brown’s lawyers argue taking away the optional benefit doesn’t mean the employee gets less in pensions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Brown’s lawyers wrote in a brief that although airtime was thought to be cost neutral, employees could purchase fictional years of credit \u003ca href=\"http://majlabor.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/PA-20171106-State-Answer-Brief-on-the-Merits-Air-Time-00042485xDC64Ax.pdf#page=10\">“often as much as 40 percent below the actual cost.”\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System is carrying $111 billion in unfunded liabilities and the California State Teachers Retirement System faces $76 billion in unfunded liabilities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>During Wednesday’s \u003ca href=\"http://www.courts.ca.gov/41490.htm\">oral argument\u003c/a> in Los Angeles, the justices seemed to be searching for where to draw the line that would protect workers without giving them limitless retirement benefits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Chief Justice Tani Cantil-Sakauye questioned labor attorney Greg Adam about how airtime is protected by the state Constitution when the employee hasn’t performed the work to earn it. And Justice Goodwin Liu wondered aloud whether pension rights extend to life insurance, health insurance or a sabbatical leave that may be offered during employment.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11681898/california-teacher-pension-debt-swamps-school-budgets\">California Teacher Pension Debt Swamps School Budgets\u003c/a>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11681898/california-teacher-pension-debt-swamps-school-budgets\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/07/Teachers-Pension_003-1280x800-1180x738.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/a>\u003c/figure>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>Then Liu turned to Brown’s attorney, Rei Onishi, to ask if the state has a right to change benefit formulas midstream in a worker’s career, which strikes at the heart of the California rule. Onishi said yes, if it applies to prospective work. He reasoned that because a worker hasn’t earned the benefit, it’s not an impairment.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That brought on questions from Justice Leondra Kruger about whether the Legislature could wipe away benefits for a class of existing state employees going forward.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Onishi responded that wouldn’t be likely because “other cases of this court have said you have a right to a substantial and reasonable pension as soon as you begin employment. I think completely terminating the system going forward, prospectively, would certainly raise questions about that.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Though the hearing focused on legalities, the realities of Democratic politics weren’t far from the courtroom. In an unusual move, the governor had his own attorneys argue the case rather than Attorney General Xavier Becerra—a choice that \u003ca href=\"https://www.mercurynews.com/2017/11/27/editorial-brown-comes-to-taxpayers-defense-on-pensions/\">fueled speculation\u003c/a> that Brown hoped to shield the attorney general, a Democratic elected official, from union pressure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And prior to the hearing, the court dodged a thorny question about whether Brown’s most recent nominee to the bench could be impartial. Last month, Brown nominated long-time aide Joshua Groban, who would have provided him counsel on many legal matters. While it wasn’t known if Groban was involved in the case brought by the firefighters union, there was an open question about whether he would have to recuse himself—a question successfully sidelined when Groban’s confirmation hearing was set for Dec. 21, after this week’s arguments.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11710882\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11710882\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1291\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939-160x108.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939-800x538.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939-1020x686.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939-1200x807.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gov.-elect Gavin Newsom speaks during election night event on November 6, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. \u003ccite>(Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Gov.-elect Newsom has said he would prefer to stay out of the courts to resolve pension disputes. When CALmatters asked him if the state should be allowed to renegotiate the future benefits of current workers, he suggested a legal fight wasn’t necessary.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Even with the California rule, we have the tools through collective bargaining to negotiate reforms and commensurate offsets,” \u003ca href=\"https://elections.calmatters.org/2018/statewide-postings/governor-of-california/\">Newsom said then\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The economy might change his mind.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Economists have been warning of an inevitable downturn; Wall Street losses translate to deficits here because of California’s reliance on capital gains taxes. That vulnerability, even more than politics, says Jack Pitney, professor of government at Claremont McKenna College, could force Newsom to confront pensions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Despite his reputation for being more progressive, the economic reality might end up forcing prudence,” Pitney said. “As he contemplates the governorship, he’s aware of the constraints. He’s a smart guy and he knows how difficult the pension situation is going to be in the years ahead.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>\u003ca href=\"http://calmatters.org\">CALmatters.org\u003c/a> is a nonprofit, nonpartisan media venture explaining California policies and politics.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"excerpt": "In a case that went to oral arguments this week, the California Supreme Court is weighing a key legal precedent that could restore the generous pension formulas Brown worked so hard to tighten.",
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"title": "Jerry Brown’s Last Stand on Pension Reform | KQED",
"description": "In a case that went to oral arguments this week, the California Supreme Court is weighing a key legal precedent that could restore the generous pension formulas Brown worked so hard to tighten.",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Six years ago, as California strained to emerge from the Great Recession, Gov. Jerry Brown worked a minor political miracle — a rebalancing of the massive state pension systems for public employees.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shuttling between unions and the strapped governments on the hook for public sector benefits and paychecks, Brown scaled back some of the rules and perks that have made public sector workers more secure, arguing that the pain would be worth it. Results were mixed: The largest benefit rollback in state history yielded some savings, but not enough to entirely fix a pension commitment that taxpayers are increasingly finding hard to manage.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, as Brown prepares to leave office — his own pension at hand, after five decades in public service — even that hard-won modicum of fiscal change could be loosened. In a case that went to oral arguments this week, the California Supreme Court is weighing a key legal precedent that could restore the generous pension formulas Brown worked so hard to tighten.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11710843\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11710843\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1628\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577-160x136.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577-800x678.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577-1020x865.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/California-Supreme-Court-Justices-e1544215421577-1200x1018.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California Supreme Court justices in San Francisco. \u003ccite>(Courtesy of Judicial Council of California)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Brown, who at 80 has already surpassed the average retirement age of state workers by 22 years, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/articles/california-retirement-pension-debt-explainer/#What-do-the-courts-say\">predicts\u003c/a> that he’ll win. But Wednesday’s proceedings made it clear that workers’ arguments are also compelling.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Whatever the ruling, Brown’s successor, Gavin Newsom, will have to cope with the outcome. And — though the state’s unfunded liabilities persist, and economists warn another recession could be just around the corner — Newsom will face a very different political landscape. Should California land in another downturn, Brown’s pension reform miracle could be difficult, if not impossible, to repeat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The case heard by the high court this week involves the California Rule, a legal precedent that requires the state to compensate public employees if their retirement benefits are lessened. In a \u003ca href=\"http://www.courts.ca.gov/documents/1-s239958-apps-pet-rev-020817.pdf\">challenge\u003c/a> brought by Cal Fire Local 2881, the firefighters union argues that the ability to purchase additional years of service credit toward retirement, known as “airtime,” is a pension benefit that employees rely on as part of their decision to go into public service.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c!-- iframe plugin v.4.3 wordpress.org/plugins/iframe/ -->\u003cbr>\n\u003ciframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://e.infogram.com/_/eIcXwSdoRKljMPslJeSG?src=embed\" title=\"Social: Retirement Debt\" width=\"800\" height=\"790\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none;\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" class=\"iframe-class\">\u003c/iframe>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Brown’s attorneys \u003ca href=\"http://www.courts.ca.gov/documents/6-s239958-intervener-resp-state-ca-answer-brief-merits-110717.pdf\">counter\u003c/a> that airtime was never intended by the Legislature to be a vested right and never negotiated through collective bargaining. Therefore, the state can take it away.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Everyone agrees that workers are entitled to the pensions they earn for work that’s already been done. And the argument might seem to be over a procedural technicality on the surface.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But if the court sides with Brown, it could open the possibility of future governors and legislatures modifying current employees’ pensions for prospective work, and perhaps setting a new precedent in which already negotiated benefits are fair game. If the court sides with the union, it would bind the state’s finances and commit taxpayers to paying already expensive retirement benefits.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11703925/high-expectations-on-the-left-for-governor-elect-gavin-newsom\">High Expectations on the Left for Governor-Elect Gavin Newsom\u003c/a>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11703925/high-expectations-on-the-left-for-governor-elect-gavin-newsom\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/11/NewsomElex-1180x785.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/a>\u003c/figure>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>On a larger scale, the case also could mark the end of a Brown-led era of fiscal reform in Sacramento. A blue-state Democrat with a lifelong tendency against the spending his party was known for, the frugal Brown had the experience and political capital to challenge public employee unions who typically hold sway over Democratic politicians.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom is newer and younger, and won his office in part with strong union backing. In campaign statements, he pledged to unions that he will protect their pensions; in fact, state firefighters \u003ca href=\"http://www.cpf.org/go/cpf/political-action/firefighters-for-gavin/\">cited\u003c/a> Newsom’s commitment as one reason for giving the governor-elect their endorsement.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, Democrats, who have been a majority for some time, also with strong backing overall from organized labor, only gained ground in the November election. As the Legislature convened on Monday, they had not just a supermajority but a \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/articles/blog/a-deep-blue-sea-of-california-lawmakers-take-oath-of-office-today/\">“mega-majority”\u003c/a> in both chambers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Both of those developments favor the priorities of public employee unions, as does the seemingly flush economy of the moment. California is projecting a $15 billion surplus this year, compared to a $27 billion deficit when Brown returned for his second stint in the governor’s office. The unemployment rate stood at 4.1 percent in October, compared to 12.1 percent when Brown was sworn in in January 2011.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11710837\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-11710837 size-full\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114-e1544218303260.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114-e1544218303260.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114-e1544218303260-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114-e1544218303260-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114-e1544218303260-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-130631114-e1544218303260-1200x800.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California Governor Jerry Brown announces his public employee pension reform plan October 27, 2011 at the State Capitol in Sacramento, California. \u003ccite>(Max Whittaker/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>When the Great Recession cratered state finances and the public gained awareness of generous retirement benefits, Brown was able to leverage those issues to successfully champion a package of changes from the \u003ca href=\"https://www.gov.ca.gov/2012/09/12/news17720/\">Public Employee Pension Reform Act of 2012\u003c/a> with tacit approval from labor leaders.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Brown did not get \u003ca href=\"https://www.latimes.com/projects/la-me-pension-crisis-brown/\">key changes\u003c/a> needed to slow down the growth in retirement costs, the Legislature did agree to what the governor called the “biggest rollback to public pension benefits in the history of California.” Among other money-saving measures, Brown was able to raise the retirement age for new employees, ban retroactive pension increases, stop practices such as hoarding vacation and sick time to inflate calculations for retirement benefits, and ban the purchase of additional years of service, known as “airtime.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Multiple labor unions sued, arguing that Brown’s 2012 changes infringed on their employer’s contractual obligation to provide retirement benefits at the level that was promised on their first day of work. That premise—the California Rule—left state and local governments with little room for savings.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Prior to Wednesday’s high court hearing, lower courts weighed in on the precedent with mixed messages.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11243683/a-case-study-on-pension-reform-san-joses-grand-compromise\">A Case Study on Pension Reform: San Jose’s Grand Compromise\u003c/a>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11243683/a-case-study-on-pension-reform-san-joses-grand-compromise\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2016/12/RS14834_iStock_000047219414_Large-qut-1.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/a>\u003c/figure>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>In a 2016 \u003ca href=\"http://www.courts.ca.gov/opinions/revpub/A139610.PDF\">ruling\u003c/a> upholding a lower court’s decision, Justice James A. Richman of California’s First District Court of Appeal broke from decades of court decisions in finding the Legislature can alter pension formulas for current employees and reduce their anticipated retirement benefits. He wrote that a public employee has a right to a “reasonable” pension, not “the most optimal formula of calculating the pension.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But another appeals court came to a different conclusion about the “California rule” by deciding in favor of union employees in Alameda, Contra Costa and Merced counties. While the justices agreed there are limits to the California Rule, they said benefit adjustments require “compelling evidence” showing that the changes are necessary to the success of the pension system.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Supreme Court agreed to take up the issue and is first hearing the firefighters’ case over whether airtime is a vested right. While Adams, for the firefighters union, said he hopes the court will recognize that airtime is earned through service, Brown’s lawyers argue taking away the optional benefit doesn’t mean the employee gets less in pensions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Brown’s lawyers wrote in a brief that although airtime was thought to be cost neutral, employees could purchase fictional years of credit \u003ca href=\"http://majlabor.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/PA-20171106-State-Answer-Brief-on-the-Merits-Air-Time-00042485xDC64Ax.pdf#page=10\">“often as much as 40 percent below the actual cost.”\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System is carrying $111 billion in unfunded liabilities and the California State Teachers Retirement System faces $76 billion in unfunded liabilities.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>During Wednesday’s \u003ca href=\"http://www.courts.ca.gov/41490.htm\">oral argument\u003c/a> in Los Angeles, the justices seemed to be searching for where to draw the line that would protect workers without giving them limitless retirement benefits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Chief Justice Tani Cantil-Sakauye questioned labor attorney Greg Adam about how airtime is protected by the state Constitution when the employee hasn’t performed the work to earn it. And Justice Goodwin Liu wondered aloud whether pension rights extend to life insurance, health insurance or a sabbatical leave that may be offered during employment.\u003c/p>\n\u003caside class=\"alignright\">\n\u003ch3>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11681898/california-teacher-pension-debt-swamps-school-budgets\">California Teacher Pension Debt Swamps School Budgets\u003c/a>\u003c/h3>\n\u003cfigure>\u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11681898/california-teacher-pension-debt-swamps-school-budgets\">\u003cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/07/Teachers-Pension_003-1280x800-1180x738.jpg\" alt=\"\">\u003c/a>\u003c/figure>\n\u003c/aside>\n\u003cp>Then Liu turned to Brown’s attorney, Rei Onishi, to ask if the state has a right to change benefit formulas midstream in a worker’s career, which strikes at the heart of the California rule. Onishi said yes, if it applies to prospective work. He reasoned that because a worker hasn’t earned the benefit, it’s not an impairment.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That brought on questions from Justice Leondra Kruger about whether the Legislature could wipe away benefits for a class of existing state employees going forward.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Onishi responded that wouldn’t be likely because “other cases of this court have said you have a right to a substantial and reasonable pension as soon as you begin employment. I think completely terminating the system going forward, prospectively, would certainly raise questions about that.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Though the hearing focused on legalities, the realities of Democratic politics weren’t far from the courtroom. In an unusual move, the governor had his own attorneys argue the case rather than Attorney General Xavier Becerra—a choice that \u003ca href=\"https://www.mercurynews.com/2017/11/27/editorial-brown-comes-to-taxpayers-defense-on-pensions/\">fueled speculation\u003c/a> that Brown hoped to shield the attorney general, a Democratic elected official, from union pressure.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And prior to the hearing, the court dodged a thorny question about whether Brown’s most recent nominee to the bench could be impartial. Last month, Brown nominated long-time aide Joshua Groban, who would have provided him counsel on many legal matters. While it wasn’t known if Groban was involved in the case brought by the firefighters union, there was an open question about whether he would have to recuse himself—a question successfully sidelined when Groban’s confirmation hearing was set for Dec. 21, after this week’s arguments.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11710882\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003ca href=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11710882\" src=\"https://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1291\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939-160x108.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939-800x538.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939-1020x686.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2018/12/GettyImages-1058496338-e1544218878939-1200x807.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Gov.-elect Gavin Newsom speaks during election night event on November 6, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. \u003ccite>(Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Gov.-elect Newsom has said he would prefer to stay out of the courts to resolve pension disputes. When CALmatters asked him if the state should be allowed to renegotiate the future benefits of current workers, he suggested a legal fight wasn’t necessary.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Even with the California rule, we have the tools through collective bargaining to negotiate reforms and commensurate offsets,” \u003ca href=\"https://elections.calmatters.org/2018/statewide-postings/governor-of-california/\">Newsom said then\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The economy might change his mind.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Economists have been warning of an inevitable downturn; Wall Street losses translate to deficits here because of California’s reliance on capital gains taxes. That vulnerability, even more than politics, says Jack Pitney, professor of government at Claremont McKenna College, could force Newsom to confront pensions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Despite his reputation for being more progressive, the economic reality might end up forcing prudence,” Pitney said. “As he contemplates the governorship, he’s aware of the constraints. He’s a smart guy and he knows how difficult the pension situation is going to be in the years ahead.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>\u003ca href=\"http://calmatters.org\">CALmatters.org\u003c/a> is a nonprofit, nonpartisan media venture explaining California policies and politics.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"disqusTitle": "If You Think California's Struggling, New Poll Says You're Not Alone",
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"content": "\u003cp>Maybe it's the weeks and months of headlines chronicling the ever-worsening drought. Or perhaps it's the dichotomy of a shrinking unemployment rate but a growing sense of income inequality. Heck, it could just be the latest Hollywood blockbuster that shows us all \u003ca href=\"https://youtu.be/Bz9e0PGSDeU?t=44s\" target=\"_blank\">tumbling into a chasm cracked open by the Big One\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Whatever the reason, when it comes to the hope that Californians may feel about the state turning the corner on years of tough times, a new poll makes it clear: Not so fast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"The mixed poll ratings for the state's direction and the economic outlook are indicators that the recovery from the Great Recession is still very much a work in progress,\" says Mark Baldassare, pollster and president of the nonpartisan Public Policy Institute of California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.ppic.org/main/publication.asp?i=1153\" target=\"_blank\">PPIC's newest poll\u003c/a> offers a new but familiar glimpse of just how crestfallen Californians seem when it comes to the road ahead. Only 40 percent of likely voters think the state is headed in the right direction, a 9-point decline since March and 4 points lower than all adults who were surveyed this same time in 2014. When the poll is broadened to all adults, it's more of a split decision; but here, too, PPIC finds a decline in optimism about the direction of California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Scores of news reports have made clear that the official ranks of the jobless are declining -- \u003ca href=\"http://www.edd.ca.gov/About_EDD/pdf/nwsrel15-17.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">29,500 new jobs in April alone\u003c/a> -- but Californians seem to think the economy is headed for more \"\u003ca href=\"http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2126355/\" target=\"_blank\">San Andrea\u003c/a>s\"-like shaking. Where 52 percent of adults surveyed by PPIC in March thought good economic times were ahead, it's now down to 48 percent; likely voters are evenly split at 44 percent. Bay Area residents are the most optimistic (57 percent), while those in the Inland Empire (35 percent) and the Central Valley (43 percent) are the least optimistic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While the drought has replaced jobs and the economy as the most important issue in the minds of Californians (39 percent of adults say water issues, 20 percent pick the economy), it's possible that there's a nexus between the two. Even then, it's worth noting that there's a relatively narrow gap between the two issues, just 9 points, in the state's population center of Los Angeles.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It's hard not to view these poll results with at least a limited political lens, given that a statewide election is right around the corner. For starters, PPIC finds a troubling 61 percent of those surveyed who think they can trust state officials in Sacramento to do what's right \"only some of the time,\" a fairly consistent pessimism in surveys dating back more than a decade. \u003cspan style=\"line-height: 1.5\">PPIC's Baldassare says those findings make it pretty clear that for all of the relative improvement in the state's bottom line, lawmakers aren't viewed as deserving the credit.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Whatever government is going to be doing,\" he says, \"Californians are going to approach it with a bit of skepticism.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And the political implications of the collective gloom could extend beyond legislative races to some of the issues now being pondered as potential 2016 ballot measures. Extend \u003ca href=\"http://www.bizjournals.com/sacramento/news/2014/10/28/governor-wont-push-to-extend-prop-30-sale-and.html\" target=\"_blank\">2012's temporary taxes\u003c/a>? Only 46 percent of likely voters agree. Impose taxes on commercial property differently than residential property (the \u003ca href=\"http://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article20431737.html\" target=\"_blank\">much discussed \"split roll\" change to Proposition 13\u003c/a>)? Fifty percent support. \u003ca href=\"http://www.dailycal.org/2015/05/19/environmentalist-tom-steyer-proposes-state-oil-extraction-tax-to-potentially-benefit-uc/\" target=\"_blank\">Tax oil and natural gas production\u003c/a>? Only 41 percent of likely voters agree.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>(Only boosting taxes on tobacco gets a big thumbs-up from likely voters in the PPIC poll, with 67 percent support.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The only solace may be that all of this general grumpiness has been around for quite some time. \"We've seen persistent gloom in Californians' overall outlook since the early 2000s,\" says PPIC's Baldassare.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It's a reality that stands somewhat in contrast to the sunny optimism preached by many of California's elected officials. Try as they might, nothing so far has seemed to shake Californians out of their collective long-term funk.\u003c/p>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Maybe it's the weeks and months of headlines chronicling the ever-worsening drought. Or perhaps it's the dichotomy of a shrinking unemployment rate but a growing sense of income inequality. Heck, it could just be the latest Hollywood blockbuster that shows us all \u003ca href=\"https://youtu.be/Bz9e0PGSDeU?t=44s\" target=\"_blank\">tumbling into a chasm cracked open by the Big One\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Whatever the reason, when it comes to the hope that Californians may feel about the state turning the corner on years of tough times, a new poll makes it clear: Not so fast.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"The mixed poll ratings for the state's direction and the economic outlook are indicators that the recovery from the Great Recession is still very much a work in progress,\" says Mark Baldassare, pollster and president of the nonpartisan Public Policy Institute of California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"http://www.ppic.org/main/publication.asp?i=1153\" target=\"_blank\">PPIC's newest poll\u003c/a> offers a new but familiar glimpse of just how crestfallen Californians seem when it comes to the road ahead. Only 40 percent of likely voters think the state is headed in the right direction, a 9-point decline since March and 4 points lower than all adults who were surveyed this same time in 2014. When the poll is broadened to all adults, it's more of a split decision; but here, too, PPIC finds a decline in optimism about the direction of California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Scores of news reports have made clear that the official ranks of the jobless are declining -- \u003ca href=\"http://www.edd.ca.gov/About_EDD/pdf/nwsrel15-17.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">29,500 new jobs in April alone\u003c/a> -- but Californians seem to think the economy is headed for more \"\u003ca href=\"http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2126355/\" target=\"_blank\">San Andrea\u003c/a>s\"-like shaking. Where 52 percent of adults surveyed by PPIC in March thought good economic times were ahead, it's now down to 48 percent; likely voters are evenly split at 44 percent. Bay Area residents are the most optimistic (57 percent), while those in the Inland Empire (35 percent) and the Central Valley (43 percent) are the least optimistic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While the drought has replaced jobs and the economy as the most important issue in the minds of Californians (39 percent of adults say water issues, 20 percent pick the economy), it's possible that there's a nexus between the two. Even then, it's worth noting that there's a relatively narrow gap between the two issues, just 9 points, in the state's population center of Los Angeles.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It's hard not to view these poll results with at least a limited political lens, given that a statewide election is right around the corner. For starters, PPIC finds a troubling 61 percent of those surveyed who think they can trust state officials in Sacramento to do what's right \"only some of the time,\" a fairly consistent pessimism in surveys dating back more than a decade. \u003cspan style=\"line-height: 1.5\">PPIC's Baldassare says those findings make it pretty clear that for all of the relative improvement in the state's bottom line, lawmakers aren't viewed as deserving the credit.\u003c/span>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"Whatever government is going to be doing,\" he says, \"Californians are going to approach it with a bit of skepticism.\"\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And the political implications of the collective gloom could extend beyond legislative races to some of the issues now being pondered as potential 2016 ballot measures. Extend \u003ca href=\"http://www.bizjournals.com/sacramento/news/2014/10/28/governor-wont-push-to-extend-prop-30-sale-and.html\" target=\"_blank\">2012's temporary taxes\u003c/a>? Only 46 percent of likely voters agree. Impose taxes on commercial property differently than residential property (the \u003ca href=\"http://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article20431737.html\" target=\"_blank\">much discussed \"split roll\" change to Proposition 13\u003c/a>)? Fifty percent support. \u003ca href=\"http://www.dailycal.org/2015/05/19/environmentalist-tom-steyer-proposes-state-oil-extraction-tax-to-potentially-benefit-uc/\" target=\"_blank\">Tax oil and natural gas production\u003c/a>? Only 41 percent of likely voters agree.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>(Only boosting taxes on tobacco gets a big thumbs-up from likely voters in the PPIC poll, with 67 percent support.)\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The only solace may be that all of this general grumpiness has been around for quite some time. \"We've seen persistent gloom in Californians' overall outlook since the early 2000s,\" says PPIC's Baldassare.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It's a reality that stands somewhat in contrast to the sunny optimism preached by many of California's elected officials. Try as they might, nothing so far has seemed to shake Californians out of their collective long-term funk.\u003c/p>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"disqusTitle": "California Jobless Rate Falls Again; Now 7.4 Percent",
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"content": "\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_125476\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2014/02/unemployment-e1391724497929.jpg\">\u003cimg class=\"size-medium wp-image-125476\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2014/02/unemployment-640x444.jpg\" alt=\" Job seekers at an employment fair. (Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)\" width=\"640\" height=\"444\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Job seekers at an employment fair. (Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>California's long, slow climb back from the depths of the Great Recession continues. That's the story told by monthly unemployment data released Friday by the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics and state Employment Development Department.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In its \u003ca href=\"http://www.edd.ca.gov/About_EDD/pdf/urate201407.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">press release on the monthly jobless data\u003c/a>, the EDD said California gained 24,200 jobs during June and that unemployment fell to 7.4 percent from 7.6 percent in May and 9 percent a year earlier.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The June figure is the lowest monthly unemployment rate in six years, though it's still far above the \u003ca href=\"http://www.bls.gov/news.release/laus.nr0.htm\" target=\"_blank\">national jobless rate of 6.1 percent\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Unemployment rates for all nine Bay Area counties were almost all well below the overall state rate for June:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Alameda: 5.8 percent\u003cbr>\nContra Costa: 6 percent\u003cbr>\nMarin: 4 percent\u003cbr>\nNapa: 4.7 percent\u003cbr>\nSan Francisco: 4.5 percent\u003cbr>\nSan Mateo: 4.2 percent\u003cbr>\nSanta Clara: 5.4 percent\u003cbr>\nSolano: 6.7 percent\u003cbr>\nSonoma: 5.3 percent\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Imperial County, in the state's southeastern corner, is California's perennial leader in unemployment. Its jobless rate for June was 22 percent.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As \u003ca href=\"http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-jobs-report-20140718-story.html\" target=\"_blank\">the Los Angeles Times notes\u003c/a>, the number of people working in California has crossed a historic threshold:\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>More than 15,472,000 people were on nonfarm payrolls in June, surpassing the pre-recession employment peak of 15,449,000 in July 2007. ...\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>... Although California has now recovered all the jobs lost during the recession, economists caution that it is more of a symbolic milestone. As the state's population grows, more people are entering the workforce.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In July 2007, for instance, the state's unemployment was far lower -- at 5.4 percent.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"It may have some psychological effect, but it's an economically meaningless benchmark,\" said Heidi Schierholz, a senior economist at the Economic Policy Institute in Washington.\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\u003cp>About 1.4 million people, not counting those who have given up on finding a job, remain unemployed in California. And the only states with higher unemployment rates than California are Rhode Island, Mississippi, Nevada and Michigan\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The EDD adds this snapshot of how the labor force and individual employment sectors have fared over the last year:\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>In a year-over-year comparison (June 2013 to June 2014), nonfarm payroll employment in California increased by 356,400 jobs (up 2.4 percent).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nine categories (mining and logging; construction; trade, transportation and utilities; information; professional and business services; educational and health services; leisure and hospitality; other services; and government) posted job gains over the year, adding 369,200 jobs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Educational and health services posted the largest gains on a numerical basis, adding 103,400 jobs (up 4.5 percent). Information posted the largest gains on a percentage basis, up 5.1 percent (adding 22,800 jobs).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Two categories (manufacturing and financial activities) posted job declines over the year, down 12,800 jobs. Financial activities posted the largest declines on both a numerical and percentage basis, down 8,400 jobs (a 1.1 percent decrease).\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_125476\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 640px\">\u003ca href=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2014/02/unemployment-e1391724497929.jpg\">\u003cimg class=\"size-medium wp-image-125476\" src=\"http://ww2.kqed.org/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2014/02/unemployment-640x444.jpg\" alt=\" Job seekers at an employment fair. (Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)\" width=\"640\" height=\"444\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Job seekers at an employment fair. (Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>California's long, slow climb back from the depths of the Great Recession continues. That's the story told by monthly unemployment data released Friday by the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics and state Employment Development Department.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In its \u003ca href=\"http://www.edd.ca.gov/About_EDD/pdf/urate201407.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">press release on the monthly jobless data\u003c/a>, the EDD said California gained 24,200 jobs during June and that unemployment fell to 7.4 percent from 7.6 percent in May and 9 percent a year earlier.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The June figure is the lowest monthly unemployment rate in six years, though it's still far above the \u003ca href=\"http://www.bls.gov/news.release/laus.nr0.htm\" target=\"_blank\">national jobless rate of 6.1 percent\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Unemployment rates for all nine Bay Area counties were almost all well below the overall state rate for June:\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Alameda: 5.8 percent\u003cbr>\nContra Costa: 6 percent\u003cbr>\nMarin: 4 percent\u003cbr>\nNapa: 4.7 percent\u003cbr>\nSan Francisco: 4.5 percent\u003cbr>\nSan Mateo: 4.2 percent\u003cbr>\nSanta Clara: 5.4 percent\u003cbr>\nSolano: 6.7 percent\u003cbr>\nSonoma: 5.3 percent\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Imperial County, in the state's southeastern corner, is California's perennial leader in unemployment. Its jobless rate for June was 22 percent.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As \u003ca href=\"http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-jobs-report-20140718-story.html\" target=\"_blank\">the Los Angeles Times notes\u003c/a>, the number of people working in California has crossed a historic threshold:\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>More than 15,472,000 people were on nonfarm payrolls in June, surpassing the pre-recession employment peak of 15,449,000 in July 2007. ...\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>... Although California has now recovered all the jobs lost during the recession, economists caution that it is more of a symbolic milestone. As the state's population grows, more people are entering the workforce.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In July 2007, for instance, the state's unemployment was far lower -- at 5.4 percent.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\"It may have some psychological effect, but it's an economically meaningless benchmark,\" said Heidi Schierholz, a senior economist at the Economic Policy Institute in Washington.\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\u003cp>About 1.4 million people, not counting those who have given up on finding a job, remain unemployed in California. And the only states with higher unemployment rates than California are Rhode Island, Mississippi, Nevada and Michigan\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The EDD adds this snapshot of how the labor force and individual employment sectors have fared over the last year:\u003c/p>\n\u003cblockquote>\u003cp>In a year-over-year comparison (June 2013 to June 2014), nonfarm payroll employment in California increased by 356,400 jobs (up 2.4 percent).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nine categories (mining and logging; construction; trade, transportation and utilities; information; professional and business services; educational and health services; leisure and hospitality; other services; and government) posted job gains over the year, adding 369,200 jobs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Educational and health services posted the largest gains on a numerical basis, adding 103,400 jobs (up 4.5 percent). Information posted the largest gains on a percentage basis, up 5.1 percent (adding 22,800 jobs).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Two categories (manufacturing and financial activities) posted job declines over the year, down 12,800 jobs. Financial activities posted the largest declines on both a numerical and percentage basis, down 8,400 jobs (a 1.1 percent decrease).\u003c/p>\u003c/blockquote>\n\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"info": "What kind of no sabo word is Hyphenación? For us, it’s about living within a hyphenation. Like being a third-gen Mexican-American from the Texas border now living that Bay Area Chicano life. Like Xorje! Each week we bring together a couple of hyphenated Latinos to talk all about personal life choices: family, careers, relationships, belonging … everything is on the table. ",
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"info": "Our flagship program, helmed by Kai Ryssdal, examines what the day in money delivered, through stories, conversations, newsworthy numbers and more. Updated Monday through Friday at about 3:30 p.m. PT.",
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"mindshift": {
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"info": "The MindShift podcast explores the innovations in education that are shaping how kids learn. Hosts Ki Sung and Katrina Schwartz introduce listeners to educators, researchers, parents and students who are developing effective ways to improve how kids learn. We cover topics like how fed-up administrators are developing surprising tactics to deal with classroom disruptions; how listening to podcasts are helping kids develop reading skills; the consequences of overparenting; and why interdisciplinary learning can engage students on all ends of the traditional achievement spectrum. This podcast is part of the MindShift education site, a division of KQED News. KQED is an NPR/PBS member station based in San Francisco. You can also visit the MindShift website for episodes and supplemental blog posts or tweet us \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/MindShiftKQED\">@MindShiftKQED\u003c/a> or visit us at \u003ca href=\"/mindshift\">MindShift.KQED.org\u003c/a>",
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"order": 12
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"info": "\u003cem>Morning Edition\u003c/em> takes listeners around the country and the world with multi-faceted stories and commentaries every weekday. Hosts Steve Inskeep, David Greene and Rachel Martin bring you the latest breaking news and features to prepare you for the day.",
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"onourwatch": {
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"info": "For decades, the process for how police police themselves has been inconsistent – if not opaque. In some states, like California, these proceedings were completely hidden. After a new police transparency law unsealed scores of internal affairs files, our reporters set out to examine these cases and the shadow world of police discipline. On Our Watch brings listeners into the rooms where officers are questioned and witnesses are interrogated to find out who this system is really protecting. Is it the officers, or the public they've sworn to serve?",
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"info": "Our weekly podcast explores how the media 'sausage' is made, casts an incisive eye on fluctuations in the marketplace of ideas, and examines threats to the freedom of information and expression in America and abroad. For one hour a week, the show tries to lift the veil from the process of \"making media,\" especially news media, because it's through that lens that we see the world and the world sees us",
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},
"perspectives": {
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"order": 14
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"info": "The economy explained. Imagine you could call up a friend and say, Meet me at the bar and tell me what's going on with the economy. Now imagine that's actually a fun evening.",
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"title": "Political Breakdown",
"tagline": "Politics from a personal perspective",
"info": "Political Breakdown is a new series that explores the political intersection of California and the nation. Each week hosts Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos are joined with a new special guest to unpack politics -- with personality — and offer an insider’s glimpse at how politics happens.",
"airtime": "THU 6:30pm-7pm",
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"possible": {
"id": "possible",
"title": "Possible",
"info": "Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. Together in Possible, Hoffman and Finger lead enlightening discussions about building a brighter collective future. The show features interviews with visionary guests like Trevor Noah, Sam Altman and Janette Sadik-Khan. Possible paints an optimistic portrait of the world we can create through science, policy, business, art and our shared humanity. It asks: What if everything goes right for once? How can we get there? Each episode also includes a short fiction story generated by advanced AI GPT-4, serving as a thought-provoking springboard to speculate how humanity could leverage technology for good.",
"airtime": "SUN 2pm",
"imageSrc": "https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Possible-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg",
"officialWebsiteLink": "https://www.possible.fm/",
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"source": "Possible"
},
"link": "/radio/program/possible",
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"spotify": "https://open.spotify.com/show/730YpdUSNlMyPQwNnyjp4k"
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},
"pri-the-world": {
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"title": "PRI's The World: Latest Edition",
"info": "Each weekday, host Marco Werman and his team of producers bring you the world's most interesting stories in an hour of radio that reminds us just how small our planet really is.",
"airtime": "MON-FRI 2pm-3pm",
"imageSrc": "https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/The-World-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg",
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},
"radiolab": {
"id": "radiolab",
"title": "Radiolab",
"info": "A two-time Peabody Award-winner, Radiolab is an investigation told through sounds and stories, and centered around one big idea. In the Radiolab world, information sounds like music and science and culture collide. Hosted by Jad Abumrad and Robert Krulwich, the show is designed for listeners who demand skepticism, but appreciate wonder. WNYC Studios is the producer of other leading podcasts including Freakonomics Radio, Death, Sex & Money, On the Media and many more.",
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},
"reveal": {
"id": "reveal",
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