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"content": "\u003cp>Federal health officials are warning pet owners that some raw cat food contaminated with a \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/bird-flu\">variant of the bird flu\u003c/a> has been linked to the death of one pet cat in San Francisco.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The U.S. Food and Drug Administration \u003ca href=\"https://www.fda.gov/animal-veterinary/cvm-updates/fda-notifies-pet-owners-tests-show-h5n1-contamination-certain-lots-rawr-raw-cat-food-chicken-eats\">announced \u003c/a>Wednesday that certain batches of the \u003ca href=\"https://www.eatlikealion.com/collections/complete_meals/products/chicken-16-ounce-test-product?variant=41531226095797\">RAWR brand Raw Cat Food Chicken Eats\u003c/a> are responsible for one cat being euthanized in July after allegedly contracting avian flu, also known as bird flu.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Raw Cat Food Chicken Eats is the company’s “most popular meal option, and a great introduction for novice raw feeders,” according to its website, which said the chickens are sourced in California. The food is sold frozen across the country and pet owners are instructed to allow the one-ounce “sliders” to thaw before feeding their cats.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The FDA said confirmed affected lots are CCS 25 077 with a sell-by date of Sept. 18, 2026, and CCS 25 093 with a sell-by date of Oct. 3, 2026.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Sabrina Simmons founded RAWR in 2010 in Oakland before moving production out to Grass Valley, California. She said in an undated \u003ca href=\"https://drive.google.com/file/d/1TFWY2aUaSErBzlhsBfl9zL0EOdJu54bU/view\">statement \u003c/a>on the company’s website that the food in question was removed from circulation “weeks ago,” and chided the FDA for not sharing information with them earlier throughout the process.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>RAWR’s website said the company sends its chicken, turkey and duck out for testing for the avian flu, but its \u003ca href=\"https://www.eatlikealion.com/pages/test-results\">testing results\u003c/a> page was down Thursday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The FDA said the raw chicken treats are responsible for the San Francisco cat’s death because laboratory testing of a food sample collected from the pet owner by employees of the San Francisco Department of Public Health showed the strain of the H5N1 virus found in its body is no longer circulating in the wild. It has also been found in other brands of raw poultry-based pet foods linked to other dead cats, according to the FDA.[aside postID=news_12054491 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/09/CAORWASHAP1.jpg']San Francisco public health officials said it was first notified of the bird flu in the cat on July 17, after it showed “respiratory and neurologic symptoms.” A local vet tested the cat for influenza A, which came back positive. The California Department of Public Health confirmed the infection on July 31.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>SFDPH said there are no additional suspected or confirmed cases in San Francisco, no evidence of person-to-person transmission and the health risk to the general public remains low.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Jane Sykes, an epidemiology professor at the UC Davis School of Veterinary Medicine, said bird flu is particularly dangerous to cats because it’s neurotropic, meaning it affects the nervous system, causing symptoms beyond breathing difficulty. And it’s quickly deadly in two-thirds of infections in cats.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They start showing signs of a fever, having trouble breathing and twitching or seizuring and then they’re dead within days of that happening, and there’s no treatment,” Sykes said. “That can also make cats look like they have rabies.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The American Veterinary Medical Association said recent investigations have found that cats are most likely to be infected with the avian flu through unpasteurized milk and raw or undercooked meat, like poultry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The FDA said that while no human cases of avian influenza have been found in humans through pet food, it does recommend that people wash their hands adequately after handling pet food.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While the FDA has issued a product safety alert, \u003ca href=\"https://www.fda.gov/safety/recalls-market-withdrawals-safety-alerts\">no recall has been announced\u003c/a> as of Thursday. RAWR recommends that people who are concerned about “potential” virus in their food to cook it to an internal temperature of 165 degrees Fahrenheit or return it for a full refund or exchange.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Sykes — a self-described “cat and dog person” — said while raw pet food diets are trendy, they can unnecessarily put a cat’s health at risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The risk of infectious diseases in general can be reduced by feeding cats and dogs properly cooked meat, pasteurized dairy products or a commercial diet that’s been processed using high temperatures, which is most canned and dry pet food diets in large grocery or pet stores,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What’s more, Sykes said, is that cats are good “mixing pots” for viruses, so feeding them raw meat actually increases the risk of the bird flu virus mutating in a cat and then making it infectious to people.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve got this particular strain of influenza virus that seems to be very, if you like, promiscuous; it’s very good at mixing with other viruses,” Sykes said. “It’s a real worry that with feeding of raw food diets, that we’re going to increase the opportunity for one of these mixing events to occur that could generate a new virus that could be like one of these pandemic flu strains that basically does to humans what this virus does to cats.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s particularly concerning, Sykes said, because bird flu is currently deadly in 67% of cats who show symptoms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Can you imagine if there was an influenza virus that had a more-than 67% mortality rate that got into people?” she said. “That would just be terrible if we were faced with a pandemic like that.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>San Francisco public health officials said it was first notified of the bird flu in the cat on July 17, after it showed “respiratory and neurologic symptoms.” A local vet tested the cat for influenza A, which came back positive. The California Department of Public Health confirmed the infection on July 31.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>SFDPH said there are no additional suspected or confirmed cases in San Francisco, no evidence of person-to-person transmission and the health risk to the general public remains low.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Jane Sykes, an epidemiology professor at the UC Davis School of Veterinary Medicine, said bird flu is particularly dangerous to cats because it’s neurotropic, meaning it affects the nervous system, causing symptoms beyond breathing difficulty. And it’s quickly deadly in two-thirds of infections in cats.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“They start showing signs of a fever, having trouble breathing and twitching or seizuring and then they’re dead within days of that happening, and there’s no treatment,” Sykes said. “That can also make cats look like they have rabies.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The American Veterinary Medical Association said recent investigations have found that cats are most likely to be infected with the avian flu through unpasteurized milk and raw or undercooked meat, like poultry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The FDA said that while no human cases of avian influenza have been found in humans through pet food, it does recommend that people wash their hands adequately after handling pet food.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While the FDA has issued a product safety alert, \u003ca href=\"https://www.fda.gov/safety/recalls-market-withdrawals-safety-alerts\">no recall has been announced\u003c/a> as of Thursday. RAWR recommends that people who are concerned about “potential” virus in their food to cook it to an internal temperature of 165 degrees Fahrenheit or return it for a full refund or exchange.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Sykes — a self-described “cat and dog person” — said while raw pet food diets are trendy, they can unnecessarily put a cat’s health at risk.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The risk of infectious diseases in general can be reduced by feeding cats and dogs properly cooked meat, pasteurized dairy products or a commercial diet that’s been processed using high temperatures, which is most canned and dry pet food diets in large grocery or pet stores,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What’s more, Sykes said, is that cats are good “mixing pots” for viruses, so feeding them raw meat actually increases the risk of the bird flu virus mutating in a cat and then making it infectious to people.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve got this particular strain of influenza virus that seems to be very, if you like, promiscuous; it’s very good at mixing with other viruses,” Sykes said. “It’s a real worry that with feeding of raw food diets, that we’re going to increase the opportunity for one of these mixing events to occur that could generate a new virus that could be like one of these pandemic flu strains that basically does to humans what this virus does to cats.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That’s particularly concerning, Sykes said, because bird flu is currently deadly in 67% of cats who show symptoms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Can you imagine if there was an influenza virus that had a more-than 67% mortality rate that got into people?” she said. “That would just be terrible if we were faced with a pandemic like that.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>A new report finds that the city of \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/alameda\">Alameda’s\u003c/a> guaranteed income pilot program has been effective in helping low-income participants handle unexpected expenses and improve overall well-being.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The program launched in September 2023 and provides $1,000 per month to about 150 low-income households over the course of two years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The city allocated $4.6 million from the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 to fund the pilot, with $3.6 million directed toward cash payments.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The pilot’s research partner, Abt Global, surveyed participants to measure the program’s effectiveness. The 150 participants were selected by lottery. They reported an average household income of $31,836, an average age of 49, and most said they used public benefits like housing assistance.[aside postID=news_12047363 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/GuaranteedIncomeGetty.jpg']Researchers compared participants with people who did not receive program payments. After one year, Rise Up participants reported significant improvements in financial stability, mental health and sense of community, with no negative effect on employment.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Participants were more likely to handle a $400 emergency and were also twice as likely to have $500 or more saved. Only 15% said they were going into debt compared to the 42% of people who weren’t in the program. They were more likely to have money left over at the end of the month.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rise Up participants reported lower stress, greater hopefulness and an improved sense of belonging. They were also likely to be involved in community activities, such as parent groups, religious or social clubs and professional associations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The study found no significant improvements in housing outcomes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Payments under Rise Up Alameda were higher than many national guaranteed income programs. Abt said the results are encouraging because they showed better outcomes than most pilot programs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A detailed two-year report is expected after the pilot ends in December.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Researchers compared participants with people who did not receive program payments. After one year, Rise Up participants reported significant improvements in financial stability, mental health and sense of community, with no negative effect on employment.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Participants were more likely to handle a $400 emergency and were also twice as likely to have $500 or more saved. Only 15% said they were going into debt compared to the 42% of people who weren’t in the program. They were more likely to have money left over at the end of the month.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rise Up participants reported lower stress, greater hopefulness and an improved sense of belonging. They were also likely to be involved in community activities, such as parent groups, religious or social clubs and professional associations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The study found no significant improvements in housing outcomes.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Payments under Rise Up Alameda were higher than many national guaranteed income programs. Abt said the results are encouraging because they showed better outcomes than most pilot programs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A detailed two-year report is expected after the pilot ends in December.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"title": "US Coffee Drinkers and Businesses Will Pay the Price for Trump's Brazil Tariffs",
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"headTitle": "US Coffee Drinkers and Businesses Will Pay the Price for Trump’s Brazil Tariffs | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>At a small, industrial roastery in Washington, D.C., the nutty, inviting smell of roasting coffee hangs heavy in the air. It’s where Lost Sock Roasters, a local company, roasts and packages its coffee beans — destined for its two cafes, customers’ homes and local bakeries and restaurants.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After nearly a decade of running the company with co-founder Nico Cabrera, Lost Sock’s Jeff Yerxa says the strong coffee aroma barely registers. “I can’t even smell it anymore,” he says with a laugh.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But something else \u003cem>is\u003c/em> grabbing his attention these days: tariffs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This month, President Trump \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/07/09/nx-s1-5462903/trump-brazil-tariff-bolsonaro\">announced plans to levy a 50% tariff\u003c/a> on all goods from Brazil — the \u003ca href=\"https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/production/commodity/0711100\">world’s largest coffee producer\u003c/a> and the source of \u003ca href=\"https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/charts-of-note/chart-detail?chartId=110079&ref=thepourover.coffee#:~:text=The%20United%20States%20is%20the,Latin%20America%20and%20the%20Caribbean.\">about 30%\u003c/a> of U.S. coffee imports. That’s on top of the 10% tariff that impacts nearly everything the U.S. brings in. This looming tariff threat has sent shock waves through the U.S. coffee industry, raising fears especially among small roasters like Lost Sock.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When people go to their local coffee shop, whether it’s Starbucks or something else, by and large they will likely be buying some form of Brazilian coffee,” says Monica de Bolle, senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. “A 50% tariff will kill that market.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12049049\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2400px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12049049\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2400\" height=\"1600\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-1.jpg 2400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-1-2000x1333.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-1-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-1-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2400px) 100vw, 2400px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Yerxa holds some green coffee beans before they are roasted at Lost Sock Roasters in Washington, DC. \u003ccite>(Claire Harbage/NPR)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>While the tariffs on imports from Brazil, as well as on imports from other nations, \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/07/12/nx-s1-5465577/trump-30-tariffs-eu-mexico\">aren’t set to begin until Aug. 1\u003c/a>, the uncertainty is rattling the industry already.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But it’s consumers who will end up paying the price, de Bolle, Yerxa and others warn.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a massive \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/07/16/nx-s1-5468553/what-types-of-items-are-likely-to-see-price-hikes-due-to-tariffs\">price impact\u003c/a>,” de Bolle says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Tariff threats extend beyond imports from Brazil: The Trump administration has announced a number of tariffs on imports from other coffee-producing countries, like Vietnam (which \u003ca href=\"https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/production/commodity/0711100\">produces 17%\u003c/a> of the world’s coffee), Colombia (which produces 8%) and Ethiopia and Indonesia (which produce 6% each).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Yerxa says he is trying not to react until he knows details are final, but he says profit margins are already thin. “It’s the uncertainty that’s probably the worst.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“At the end of the day, the consumer is the one that’s going to bear the brunt of it,” he says. “I don’t want to raise prices, but we’re seeing increased costs of 30% on coffee, potentially.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12049057\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2400px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12049057\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2400\" height=\"1600\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-2.jpg 2400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-2-2000x1333.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-2-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-2-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-2-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2400px) 100vw, 2400px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">An aerial view of a coffee plantation consumed by wildfires in a rural area of Caconde, in Brazil’s Sao Paulo state, on Sept. 18, 2024. \u003ccite>(Andre Penner/AP)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch2>Trump’s messaging rings hollow for business owners\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The Trump administration defends its trade policy and the dozens of tariffs on a number of countries as necessary to protect American jobs, to renegotiate trade deals and to reduce the trade deficit.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=forum_2010101908176 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/43/2024/12/12-17-WPI-10am-1020x574.jpg']\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the case of Brazil, Trump also indicated that the proposed tariffs are political retribution for the treatment of former far-right President Jair Bolsonaro, who is \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/06/10/nx-s1-5428548/bolsonaro-brazil-coup-trial\">currently on trial\u003c/a> for trying to overturn the country’s 2022 election.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For roasters like Yerxa and Colby Barr, CEO and co-founder of Verve Coffee Roasters, a Santa Cruz, Calif.-based craft coffee roaster and wholesaler launched in 2007, much of the administration’s reasoning falls flat. The U.S., aside from small coffee farms in Hawaii and California, doesn’t produce coffee at the scale that Americans consume it.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a tax on Americans’ mornings,” Barr says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The past several years have been volatile for the coffee industry, contributing to a major increase in market prices for coffee even in the last year, Barr says. The price volatility can be attributed, in part, to the COVID-19 pandemic and back-to-back low-yield coffee harvests in Brazil in the last year, Yerxa says. \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2024/12/17/nx-s1-5228008/coffee-prices-brazil-drought-weather\">Those weak harvests\u003c/a>, in turn, are due to \u003ca href=\"https://acadianplanthealth.com/resources/articles/drought-in-brazil-means-coffee-price-surge\">drought and high temperatures\u003c/a> and more generally \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2016/10/12/497578413/coffee-and-climate-change-in-brazil-a-disaster-is-brewing\">climate change\u003c/a>, which has negatively impacted coffee harvests for several years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12049058\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2400px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12049058\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2400\" height=\"1600\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-3.jpg 2400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-3-2000x1333.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-3-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-3-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-3-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2400px) 100vw, 2400px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Coffee producer Jose Natal da Silva sifts coffee beans on his farm in Porciúncula, in Brazil’s Rio de Janeiro state, on July 17. \u003ccite>(Bruna Prado/AP)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Roasted coffee prices in the U.S. surged 12.7% in June compared with a year prior, according to \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t02.htm\">data\u003c/a> from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Instant coffee saw a 16.3% increase. The \u003ca href=\"https://fred.stlouisfed.org/data/APU0000717311\">average retail price\u003c/a> for a pound of ground coffee was $8.13 in June, up more than $1 per pound since the start of the year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nika Finkelstein says she’s already well aware of the sticker shock that comes with buying coffee out. The 27-year-old sat outside Blue Bottle Coffee at Union Station in Washington, D.C., on a recent July afternoon. She makes coffee at home as much as possible. On the rare occasions she buys one out, she sticks with drip coffee rather than specialty drinks, like a latte.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If tariffs bump prices even higher? “I would just have to reel back on spending money at coffee shops and just make it from home, which I can do — it’s just not as fun,” she says. “There’s a certain romance to being able to go to the coffee shop and sit there and read your book or scroll on your phone.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Why customers will pay more\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>So much coffee in the U.S. comes from Brazil because of the country’s large-scale production capacity, low costs, favorable climate and flavor profile, Yerxa and de Bolle say.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Most of the industry relies on those coffees to be the backbone of their blends,” Yerxa says, referring to the mixture of beans from different regions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12049060\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1707px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12049060\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-4-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1707\" height=\"2560\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-4-scaled.jpg 1707w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-4-160x240.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-4-1024x1536.jpg 1024w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-4-1365x2048.jpg 1365w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1707px) 100vw, 1707px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Walking away from longtime partnerships in Brazil really isn’t an option, Yerxa says. \u003ccite>(Claire Harbage/NPR)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Lost Sock, the D.C. coffee company, is best known for single-origin, higher-end coffees sourced from nearly a dozen countries each year. But it uses Brazilian beans for some of its blends — products that stem from its long-standing relationships with two cooperatives in Brazil.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Getting those beans from Brazil to D.C. is a long process that involves international partners, contracts negotiated months to years in advance, and plenty of other planning. Lost Sock coordinates with producers and exporters, and it places orders with them for specific amounts of specific beans from specific Brazilian farms, exports the coffee, and stores it in a U.S. warehouse.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The importer adds a margin for logistics, and Yerxa then factors that final price per pound into Lost Sock’s wholesale and retail pricing.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And where would the tariffs come in?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That is initially something that the importer would have to pay once it brings beans into the U.S., he says. “That tariff would just be another line item on the receipt that we’re getting when we release that coffee. And then for us, we take that coffee price, and again it’s added on to the price per pound of that coffee, when we come up with the pricing for wholesale and for retail.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12049063\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2400px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12049063\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-5.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2400\" height=\"1600\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-5.jpg 2400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-5-2000x1333.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-5-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-5-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-5-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2400px) 100vw, 2400px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Kristen Tizaawie-Vogel (left) prepares a drink at a Lost Sock Roasters coffee shop in Washington, DC. \u003ccite>(Claire Harbage/NPR)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>De Bolle explains that if tariffs hit on Aug. 1, it could be a few months before customers feel price increases at cafes or restaurants. That’s because those businesses generally buy in bulk and have a stock of coffee that could last them a while — stockpiles like this could last a few months, she says. People who buy their coffee beans at the grocery store could feel the tariff impacts more quickly.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“For people who don’t stock up, so the regular consumer who’s going to the supermarket … and getting their coffee, maybe those price increases will be felt sooner,” de Bolle says, adding that coffee is perishable and stocking up on beans can get a business, or consumer, only so far.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>The ripple effects\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Long term, if it looks like these tariffs stick, Lost Sock may have to consider pivoting away from using Brazilian coffees in some blends, Yerxa says. Walking away from longtime partnerships in Brazil really isn’t an option for him, however.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It feels unfair to pull out of a relationship when the going gets tough,” he says. “So we’ll probably bear the brunt of it a little bit, but with the hope that the prices in the future will come back down.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12049064\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2400px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12049064\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-6.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2400\" height=\"1600\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-6.jpg 2400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-6-2000x1333.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-6-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-6-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-6-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2400px) 100vw, 2400px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Yerxa brews a cup of coffee with freshly roasted beans at Lost Sock’s roastery. \u003ccite>(Claire Harbage/NPR)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But if Brazil’s coffee prices go up, coffee roasters will rush to buy from other sources, Barr of Verve Coffee warns. And these other coffee-producing countries, such as Vietnam, are also facing tariffs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s really, really difficult, and more like impossible, to really prepare for it,” Barr says. “Tariffs don’t help the coffee producer. They don’t help the small- and medium-sized businesses across the country, and they don’t help the consumer. Why are we doing it?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>At a small, industrial roastery in Washington, D.C., the nutty, inviting smell of roasting coffee hangs heavy in the air. It’s where Lost Sock Roasters, a local company, roasts and packages its coffee beans — destined for its two cafes, customers’ homes and local bakeries and restaurants.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>After nearly a decade of running the company with co-founder Nico Cabrera, Lost Sock’s Jeff Yerxa says the strong coffee aroma barely registers. “I can’t even smell it anymore,” he says with a laugh.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But something else \u003cem>is\u003c/em> grabbing his attention these days: tariffs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This month, President Trump \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/07/09/nx-s1-5462903/trump-brazil-tariff-bolsonaro\">announced plans to levy a 50% tariff\u003c/a> on all goods from Brazil — the \u003ca href=\"https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/production/commodity/0711100\">world’s largest coffee producer\u003c/a> and the source of \u003ca href=\"https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/charts-of-note/chart-detail?chartId=110079&ref=thepourover.coffee#:~:text=The%20United%20States%20is%20the,Latin%20America%20and%20the%20Caribbean.\">about 30%\u003c/a> of U.S. coffee imports. That’s on top of the 10% tariff that impacts nearly everything the U.S. brings in. This looming tariff threat has sent shock waves through the U.S. coffee industry, raising fears especially among small roasters like Lost Sock.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When people go to their local coffee shop, whether it’s Starbucks or something else, by and large they will likely be buying some form of Brazilian coffee,” says Monica de Bolle, senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. “A 50% tariff will kill that market.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12049049\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2400px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12049049\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2400\" height=\"1600\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-1.jpg 2400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-1-2000x1333.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-1-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-1-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2400px) 100vw, 2400px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Yerxa holds some green coffee beans before they are roasted at Lost Sock Roasters in Washington, DC. \u003ccite>(Claire Harbage/NPR)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>While the tariffs on imports from Brazil, as well as on imports from other nations, \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/07/12/nx-s1-5465577/trump-30-tariffs-eu-mexico\">aren’t set to begin until Aug. 1\u003c/a>, the uncertainty is rattling the industry already.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But it’s consumers who will end up paying the price, de Bolle, Yerxa and others warn.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a massive \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/07/16/nx-s1-5468553/what-types-of-items-are-likely-to-see-price-hikes-due-to-tariffs\">price impact\u003c/a>,” de Bolle says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Tariff threats extend beyond imports from Brazil: The Trump administration has announced a number of tariffs on imports from other coffee-producing countries, like Vietnam (which \u003ca href=\"https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/production/commodity/0711100\">produces 17%\u003c/a> of the world’s coffee), Colombia (which produces 8%) and Ethiopia and Indonesia (which produce 6% each).\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Yerxa says he is trying not to react until he knows details are final, but he says profit margins are already thin. “It’s the uncertainty that’s probably the worst.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“At the end of the day, the consumer is the one that’s going to bear the brunt of it,” he says. “I don’t want to raise prices, but we’re seeing increased costs of 30% on coffee, potentially.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12049057\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2400px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12049057\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2400\" height=\"1600\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-2.jpg 2400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-2-2000x1333.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-2-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-2-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-2-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2400px) 100vw, 2400px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">An aerial view of a coffee plantation consumed by wildfires in a rural area of Caconde, in Brazil’s Sao Paulo state, on Sept. 18, 2024. \u003ccite>(Andre Penner/AP)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003ch2>Trump’s messaging rings hollow for business owners\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The Trump administration defends its trade policy and the dozens of tariffs on a number of countries as necessary to protect American jobs, to renegotiate trade deals and to reduce the trade deficit.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the case of Brazil, Trump also indicated that the proposed tariffs are political retribution for the treatment of former far-right President Jair Bolsonaro, who is \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/06/10/nx-s1-5428548/bolsonaro-brazil-coup-trial\">currently on trial\u003c/a> for trying to overturn the country’s 2022 election.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For roasters like Yerxa and Colby Barr, CEO and co-founder of Verve Coffee Roasters, a Santa Cruz, Calif.-based craft coffee roaster and wholesaler launched in 2007, much of the administration’s reasoning falls flat. The U.S., aside from small coffee farms in Hawaii and California, doesn’t produce coffee at the scale that Americans consume it.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s a tax on Americans’ mornings,” Barr says.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The past several years have been volatile for the coffee industry, contributing to a major increase in market prices for coffee even in the last year, Barr says. The price volatility can be attributed, in part, to the COVID-19 pandemic and back-to-back low-yield coffee harvests in Brazil in the last year, Yerxa says. \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2024/12/17/nx-s1-5228008/coffee-prices-brazil-drought-weather\">Those weak harvests\u003c/a>, in turn, are due to \u003ca href=\"https://acadianplanthealth.com/resources/articles/drought-in-brazil-means-coffee-price-surge\">drought and high temperatures\u003c/a> and more generally \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2016/10/12/497578413/coffee-and-climate-change-in-brazil-a-disaster-is-brewing\">climate change\u003c/a>, which has negatively impacted coffee harvests for several years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12049058\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2400px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12049058\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2400\" height=\"1600\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-3.jpg 2400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-3-2000x1333.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-3-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-3-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-3-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2400px) 100vw, 2400px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Coffee producer Jose Natal da Silva sifts coffee beans on his farm in Porciúncula, in Brazil’s Rio de Janeiro state, on July 17. \u003ccite>(Bruna Prado/AP)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Roasted coffee prices in the U.S. surged 12.7% in June compared with a year prior, according to \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t02.htm\">data\u003c/a> from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Instant coffee saw a 16.3% increase. The \u003ca href=\"https://fred.stlouisfed.org/data/APU0000717311\">average retail price\u003c/a> for a pound of ground coffee was $8.13 in June, up more than $1 per pound since the start of the year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nika Finkelstein says she’s already well aware of the sticker shock that comes with buying coffee out. The 27-year-old sat outside Blue Bottle Coffee at Union Station in Washington, D.C., on a recent July afternoon. She makes coffee at home as much as possible. On the rare occasions she buys one out, she sticks with drip coffee rather than specialty drinks, like a latte.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If tariffs bump prices even higher? “I would just have to reel back on spending money at coffee shops and just make it from home, which I can do — it’s just not as fun,” she says. “There’s a certain romance to being able to go to the coffee shop and sit there and read your book or scroll on your phone.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Why customers will pay more\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>So much coffee in the U.S. comes from Brazil because of the country’s large-scale production capacity, low costs, favorable climate and flavor profile, Yerxa and de Bolle say.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Most of the industry relies on those coffees to be the backbone of their blends,” Yerxa says, referring to the mixture of beans from different regions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12049060\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1707px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12049060\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-4-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1707\" height=\"2560\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-4-scaled.jpg 1707w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-4-160x240.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-4-1024x1536.jpg 1024w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-4-1365x2048.jpg 1365w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1707px) 100vw, 1707px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Walking away from longtime partnerships in Brazil really isn’t an option, Yerxa says. \u003ccite>(Claire Harbage/NPR)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Lost Sock, the D.C. coffee company, is best known for single-origin, higher-end coffees sourced from nearly a dozen countries each year. But it uses Brazilian beans for some of its blends — products that stem from its long-standing relationships with two cooperatives in Brazil.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Getting those beans from Brazil to D.C. is a long process that involves international partners, contracts negotiated months to years in advance, and plenty of other planning. Lost Sock coordinates with producers and exporters, and it places orders with them for specific amounts of specific beans from specific Brazilian farms, exports the coffee, and stores it in a U.S. warehouse.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The importer adds a margin for logistics, and Yerxa then factors that final price per pound into Lost Sock’s wholesale and retail pricing.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And where would the tariffs come in?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That is initially something that the importer would have to pay once it brings beans into the U.S., he says. “That tariff would just be another line item on the receipt that we’re getting when we release that coffee. And then for us, we take that coffee price, and again it’s added on to the price per pound of that coffee, when we come up with the pricing for wholesale and for retail.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12049063\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2400px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12049063\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-5.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2400\" height=\"1600\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-5.jpg 2400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-5-2000x1333.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-5-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-5-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-5-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2400px) 100vw, 2400px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Kristen Tizaawie-Vogel (left) prepares a drink at a Lost Sock Roasters coffee shop in Washington, DC. \u003ccite>(Claire Harbage/NPR)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>De Bolle explains that if tariffs hit on Aug. 1, it could be a few months before customers feel price increases at cafes or restaurants. That’s because those businesses generally buy in bulk and have a stock of coffee that could last them a while — stockpiles like this could last a few months, she says. People who buy their coffee beans at the grocery store could feel the tariff impacts more quickly.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“For people who don’t stock up, so the regular consumer who’s going to the supermarket … and getting their coffee, maybe those price increases will be felt sooner,” de Bolle says, adding that coffee is perishable and stocking up on beans can get a business, or consumer, only so far.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>The ripple effects\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Long term, if it looks like these tariffs stick, Lost Sock may have to consider pivoting away from using Brazilian coffees in some blends, Yerxa says. Walking away from longtime partnerships in Brazil really isn’t an option for him, however.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It feels unfair to pull out of a relationship when the going gets tough,” he says. “So we’ll probably bear the brunt of it a little bit, but with the hope that the prices in the future will come back down.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12049064\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2400px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12049064\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-6.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2400\" height=\"1600\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-6.jpg 2400w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-6-2000x1333.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-6-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-6-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/07/npr.brightspotcdn-6-2048x1365.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2400px) 100vw, 2400px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Yerxa brews a cup of coffee with freshly roasted beans at Lost Sock’s roastery. \u003ccite>(Claire Harbage/NPR)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>But if Brazil’s coffee prices go up, coffee roasters will rush to buy from other sources, Barr of Verve Coffee warns. And these other coffee-producing countries, such as Vietnam, are also facing tariffs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s really, really difficult, and more like impossible, to really prepare for it,” Barr says. “Tariffs don’t help the coffee producer. They don’t help the small- and medium-sized businesses across the country, and they don’t help the consumer. Why are we doing it?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "a-major-wine-company-is-leaving-the-state-as-gen-zs-drinking-habits-shift",
"title": "A Major Wine Company Is Leaving the State, as Gen-Z’s Drinking Habits Shift",
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"headTitle": "A Major Wine Company Is Leaving the State, as Gen-Z’s Drinking Habits Shift | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>A major wine distributor plans to leave \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/california\">California\u003c/a> and lay off nearly 2,000 employees this fall, citing changes in the industry that have made the home state of the U.S.’s wine country an “unsustainable” market amid a national downturn.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Republic National Distributing Company, one of the biggest alcohol wholesalers in the U.S., announced it would leave the state — and its few thousand California-based brands — last month after experiencing rising costs, supplier changes and “industry headwinds,” CEO Bob Hendrickson said in a statement.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>RNDC is just one company facing financial strains, as experts warn the wine industry must adapt to consumer preferences. The announcement comes after years of declining wine sales nationally, including in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The brand will officially depart Sept. 2, and is set to lay off 1,756 employees based in the state the same day, according to Worker Adjustment and Retraining notices filed last week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Moving forward, we are using this moment to sharpen our focus and reinvest in the markets where we’re best positioned to grow,” Hendrickson’s statement reads.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California sellers shipped 9% fewer cases of wine in the U.S. and abroad in 2022 than in 2021, and another 7% fewer in 2023 than in 2022, according to \u003ca href=\"https://wineinstitute.org/our-industry/statistics/california-us-wine-sales/\">Wine Institute data\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12030737\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12030737\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A sommelier pours a glass of wine at Heinold’s First and Last Chance Saloon in Oakland on July 20, 2023. \u003ccite>(Martin do Nascimento/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In 2024, Napa and Sonoma counties — widely considered some of the top wine destinations in the U.S. — saw some of the largest decreases in direct-to-consumer sales throughout the U.S., dropping 12% and 13%, respectively, according to data from Wine Business Analytics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rob McMillan, a wine business analyst and the founder of Silicon Valley Bank’s wine division, said the reason for the decrease is two-pronged: younger people are drinking less, and people are reaching for more of a variety when they do drink.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s changed a lot,” he said, of the number of young people choosing to drink.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>U.S. government data showed that the amount of alcohol that 20 to 29-year-olds drank was higher than that of older generations. Now, that amount is pretty much the same as older age groups, according to McMillan. He said a higher number of young people are also choosing to abstain from drinking altogether.[aside postID=news_12036225 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/GettyImages-2202727364-1020x680.jpg']The Baby Boomer generation, which has been one of the biggest wine-drinking groups, is also getting older and drinking less, he said. When they do drink, it’s generally at a higher price point than the majority of the bottles that go through large distributors, including Republic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s not that people — or young people — who Republic’s brands appeal to aren’t drinking at all, though.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In recent years, seltzers, ciders and other canned “ready-to-drink” alcoholic beverages have gained popularity with drinkers of all ages.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s more options,” McMillan, who has studied the wine industry for forty years, said. “I’ll have a [ready-to-drink] once in a while. I’m not just a wine drinker, and that’s a change from the past.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said that a young person looking to purchase a drink they know they will like, without breaking the bank, might opt for a canned Moscow Mule or another classic cocktail with a familiar taste, rather than a bottle of wine whose notes may be new.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s where you’re going to make that entry,” into alcohol, he said. “We [the wine industry] just haven’t done, I don’t think, as good a job as the spirits category.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While spirit sales are up compared to wine, the whole category of alcohol sales is down. Aside from people choosing to be sober in higher numbers, McMillan said, alcohol is also now rivaled by drinks infused with other psychoactive properties, like cannabis and psilocybin mushrooms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the near future, he said, the wine industry needs to recalibrate with what consumers now want.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What happened to RNDC isn’t an isolated thing,” according to McMillan. “Fewer consumers, fewer distributors, fewer gallons made — the whole thing has to adjust essentially. It doesn’t mean the whole thing is falling apart, but we’re going through an adjustment.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>A major wine distributor plans to leave \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/california\">California\u003c/a> and lay off nearly 2,000 employees this fall, citing changes in the industry that have made the home state of the U.S.’s wine country an “unsustainable” market amid a national downturn.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Republic National Distributing Company, one of the biggest alcohol wholesalers in the U.S., announced it would leave the state — and its few thousand California-based brands — last month after experiencing rising costs, supplier changes and “industry headwinds,” CEO Bob Hendrickson said in a statement.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>RNDC is just one company facing financial strains, as experts warn the wine industry must adapt to consumer preferences. The announcement comes after years of declining wine sales nationally, including in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The brand will officially depart Sept. 2, and is set to lay off 1,756 employees based in the state the same day, according to Worker Adjustment and Retraining notices filed last week.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Moving forward, we are using this moment to sharpen our focus and reinvest in the markets where we’re best positioned to grow,” Hendrickson’s statement reads.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California sellers shipped 9% fewer cases of wine in the U.S. and abroad in 2022 than in 2021, and another 7% fewer in 2023 than in 2022, according to \u003ca href=\"https://wineinstitute.org/our-industry/statistics/california-us-wine-sales/\">Wine Institute data\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12030737\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12030737\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/230720-HEINOLDS-MHN-06-KQED_qed-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A sommelier pours a glass of wine at Heinold’s First and Last Chance Saloon in Oakland on July 20, 2023. \u003ccite>(Martin do Nascimento/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>In 2024, Napa and Sonoma counties — widely considered some of the top wine destinations in the U.S. — saw some of the largest decreases in direct-to-consumer sales throughout the U.S., dropping 12% and 13%, respectively, according to data from Wine Business Analytics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Rob McMillan, a wine business analyst and the founder of Silicon Valley Bank’s wine division, said the reason for the decrease is two-pronged: younger people are drinking less, and people are reaching for more of a variety when they do drink.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s changed a lot,” he said, of the number of young people choosing to drink.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>U.S. government data showed that the amount of alcohol that 20 to 29-year-olds drank was higher than that of older generations. Now, that amount is pretty much the same as older age groups, according to McMillan. He said a higher number of young people are also choosing to abstain from drinking altogether.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>The Baby Boomer generation, which has been one of the biggest wine-drinking groups, is also getting older and drinking less, he said. When they do drink, it’s generally at a higher price point than the majority of the bottles that go through large distributors, including Republic.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s not that people — or young people — who Republic’s brands appeal to aren’t drinking at all, though.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In recent years, seltzers, ciders and other canned “ready-to-drink” alcoholic beverages have gained popularity with drinkers of all ages.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s more options,” McMillan, who has studied the wine industry for forty years, said. “I’ll have a [ready-to-drink] once in a while. I’m not just a wine drinker, and that’s a change from the past.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said that a young person looking to purchase a drink they know they will like, without breaking the bank, might opt for a canned Moscow Mule or another classic cocktail with a familiar taste, rather than a bottle of wine whose notes may be new.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“That’s where you’re going to make that entry,” into alcohol, he said. “We [the wine industry] just haven’t done, I don’t think, as good a job as the spirits category.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While spirit sales are up compared to wine, the whole category of alcohol sales is down. Aside from people choosing to be sober in higher numbers, McMillan said, alcohol is also now rivaled by drinks infused with other psychoactive properties, like cannabis and psilocybin mushrooms.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In the near future, he said, the wine industry needs to recalibrate with what consumers now want.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“What happened to RNDC isn’t an isolated thing,” according to McMillan. “Fewer consumers, fewer distributors, fewer gallons made — the whole thing has to adjust essentially. It doesn’t mean the whole thing is falling apart, but we’re going through an adjustment.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Major American retailers are fighting two battles at once: As they grapple with the costly price impact from President Trump’s sweeping tariffs, companies are struggling to talk about that impact publicly without enraging the White House or alienating their customers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Target on Wednesday became the latest retailer to \u003ca href=\"https://corporate.target.com/press/release/2025/05/target-corporation-reports-first-quarter-earnings\">lower its financial forecast\u003c/a> for the year. It downplayed its plans for tariff-related price hikes. Lowe’s executives, asked about tariffs and prices, also focused on plans to stay price-competitive and minimize the impact on shoppers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>This follows Home Depot’s update on Tuesday that \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/05/20/nx-s1-5404662/home-depot-tariffs-prices-product-lines\">it doesn’t plan to raise prices\u003c/a> broadly because of tariffs — though it acknowledged that \u003cem>some \u003c/em>prices might go up and some items might disappear from store shelves altogether.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So far, all three have avoided the anger that the president and his administration have bestowed on Walmart, Mattel and, briefly, Amazon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Although Trump says foreign countries should pay for his tariffs, it’s U.S. businesses that get the tariff bill when they claim their imported goods at the border. Under \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/05/12/nx-s1-5395027/us-china-tariffs-deal-trade-war-beijing-washington\">a current temporary deal\u003c/a>, U.S. levies on Chinese imports are 30% instead of the previous 145%. All global imports face a new 10% tariff.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Walmart, the world’s largest retailer, last week \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/05/15/nx-s1-5399154/walmart-higher-prices-tariffs\">warned it will have to raise prices as a result of tariffs\u003c/a>, beginning as early as this month. Trump, in a \u003ca href=\"https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114523638623110397\">social-media post\u003c/a>, wrote that Walmart instead should “EAT THE TARIFFS.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Walmart and its suppliers are already absorbing some of the costs of tariffs, CEO Doug McMillon has said. But Walmart cannot do that with the full amount “given the magnitude of the tariffs,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Amazon, too, \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/04/29/nx-s1-5380935/amazon-tariffs\">had faced criticism\u003c/a> from the Trump administration after news reports that the retailer might display the costs of new tariffs on its low-cost marketplace called Amazon Haul. The White House called it “hostile and political” before Trump spoke with founder Jeff Bezos on the phone, and Amazon said displaying tariffs was never its plan to begin with.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=forum_2010101909473 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/43/2025/04/GettyImages-2207863842-stock-market-tariffs-1020x574.jpg']\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shortly after that, Trump threatened to \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j2dTaFl9nM0\">put a 100% tariff\u003c/a> on Barbie-maker Mattel after the company said it would raise prices on some toys due to tariffs. “He won’t sell one toy in the United States,” Trump said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Following all that, Target executives reiterated that the chain was working hard to offset “the vast majority” of the tariffs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We have many levers to use in mitigating the impact of tariffs, and price is the very last resort,” Target CEO Brian Cornell told investors on an earnings call on Wednesday. The other levers include negotiating with suppliers, changing up product selection, shifting where items come from and reshuffling the timing of orders.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Home Depot executives on Tuesday asserted that the chain wasn’t looking at broad price hikes, but it might raise prices for individual items or switch up some product options if tariff costs prove too high.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Similarly, its rival Lowe’s said it would continue competing on price, keen to avoid losing shoppers to others with cheaper prices.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We have tools that will allow us to manage this — and manage this in a way that we’re going to minimize any impacts to our customers,” Lowe’s CEO Marvin Ellison told investors on Wednesday’s earnings call. “In this environment, we’re going to be as keenly focused on competing on price as we are every single day.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lowe’s, Home Depot and all other retailers face growing pressure from suppliers, also, as they too are wrestling with tariffs. For example, the tool maker Stanley Black & Decker last month \u003ca href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4779785-stanley-black-and-decker-inc-swk-q1-2025-earnings-call-transcript\">already said\u003c/a> it had raised its prices to account for new tariffs and planned another price increase later this year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So far, all three have avoided the anger that the president and his administration have bestowed on Walmart, Mattel and, briefly, Amazon.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Although Trump says foreign countries should pay for his tariffs, it’s U.S. businesses that get the tariff bill when they claim their imported goods at the border. Under \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/05/12/nx-s1-5395027/us-china-tariffs-deal-trade-war-beijing-washington\">a current temporary deal\u003c/a>, U.S. levies on Chinese imports are 30% instead of the previous 145%. All global imports face a new 10% tariff.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Walmart, the world’s largest retailer, last week \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/05/15/nx-s1-5399154/walmart-higher-prices-tariffs\">warned it will have to raise prices as a result of tariffs\u003c/a>, beginning as early as this month. Trump, in a \u003ca href=\"https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114523638623110397\">social-media post\u003c/a>, wrote that Walmart instead should “EAT THE TARIFFS.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Walmart and its suppliers are already absorbing some of the costs of tariffs, CEO Doug McMillon has said. But Walmart cannot do that with the full amount “given the magnitude of the tariffs,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Amazon, too, \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/04/29/nx-s1-5380935/amazon-tariffs\">had faced criticism\u003c/a> from the Trump administration after news reports that the retailer might display the costs of new tariffs on its low-cost marketplace called Amazon Haul. The White House called it “hostile and political” before Trump spoke with founder Jeff Bezos on the phone, and Amazon said displaying tariffs was never its plan to begin with.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shortly after that, Trump threatened to \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j2dTaFl9nM0\">put a 100% tariff\u003c/a> on Barbie-maker Mattel after the company said it would raise prices on some toys due to tariffs. “He won’t sell one toy in the United States,” Trump said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Following all that, Target executives reiterated that the chain was working hard to offset “the vast majority” of the tariffs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We have many levers to use in mitigating the impact of tariffs, and price is the very last resort,” Target CEO Brian Cornell told investors on an earnings call on Wednesday. The other levers include negotiating with suppliers, changing up product selection, shifting where items come from and reshuffling the timing of orders.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Home Depot executives on Tuesday asserted that the chain wasn’t looking at broad price hikes, but it might raise prices for individual items or switch up some product options if tariff costs prove too high.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Similarly, its rival Lowe’s said it would continue competing on price, keen to avoid losing shoppers to others with cheaper prices.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We have tools that will allow us to manage this — and manage this in a way that we’re going to minimize any impacts to our customers,” Lowe’s CEO Marvin Ellison told investors on Wednesday’s earnings call. “In this environment, we’re going to be as keenly focused on competing on price as we are every single day.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lowe’s, Home Depot and all other retailers face growing pressure from suppliers, also, as they too are wrestling with tariffs. For example, the tool maker Stanley Black & Decker last month \u003ca href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4779785-stanley-black-and-decker-inc-swk-q1-2025-earnings-call-transcript\">already said\u003c/a> it had raised its prices to account for new tariffs and planned another price increase later this year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"slug": "faced-with-budget-woes-gavin-newsom-wants-more-tax-credits-for-hollywood",
"title": "Faced With Budget Woes, Gavin Newsom Wants More Tax Credits for Hollywood",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003c!-- Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ -->\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This story was originally published by \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/\">CalMatters\u003c/a>. \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/subscribe-to-calmatters/\">Sign up\u003c/a> for their newsletters.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Staring down a $12 billion budget deficit, Gov. Gavin Newsom \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2025/05/california-budget-revision-may-2025/\">proposed steep cuts\u003c/a> to California’s health care services and public universities — all while promising more dollars to Hollywood.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom on Wednesday doubled down on \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/bills/ca_202520260ab1138\">his proposal to expand\u003c/a> the state’s investment in film and television tax credits, \u003ca href=\"https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3502#:~:text=California%20Adopted%20First%20Film%20Tax,credits%20under%20this%20new%20program.\">incentives created\u003c/a> by then-Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger in 2009 to boost California’s marquee industry. If passed, the state would allocate up to $750 million each year to film production, up from the current $330 million.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Despite saying that any funding request from Los Angeles unrelated to disaster recovery would be a “non-starter,” Newsom deemed the tax credit expansion essential to reviving an ailing industry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s on life support,” he told reporters. “We need to step things up, and this is all part and parcel of economic recovery, economic growth.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom’s plan would also increase the amount each qualified applicant can receive, extend the credit to live action and animated series and devote more money toward independent films.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But his proposal has drawn criticism from both Democrats and Republicans who argue the state should prioritize essential programs in a tight budget year. Assembly Republican Leader James Gallagher of Chico called Newsom’s proposal “tone-deaf.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m not sure the rest of California will be OK with their senior programs, their disability programs, their education programs being cut in order to prop up a regional industry,” said \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/legislators/corey-jackson-165443\">Assemblymember Corey Jackson\u003c/a>, a Moreno Valley Democrat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=news_12039465 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/250323-DEM-TOWN-HALLS-MD-13-KQED-1-1020x680.jpg']\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some lawmakers warned that other states could respond with even more aggressive incentives, creating a “race to the bottom.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It seems eminently predictable that we will be back next year with a proposal that says: ‘We’ve fallen behind again. I don’t know what happened. And now we need to do more,’” said Sen. \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/legislators/christopher-cabaldon-5699\">Christopher Cabaldon\u003c/a>, a Napa Democrat, in March.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Despite those concerns, the proposal has advanced in the state Legislature with little resistance. Assemblymember Jesse Gabriel, a Los Angeles Democrat who chairs the powerful budget committee, told CalMatters that anyone seeking large funding increases this year “should stop wasting people’s time” because there isn’t enough money.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom’s proposal is different, Gabriel said, because it would expand a longstanding, tested program that would also help offset the impact of the L.A. wildfires.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For Newsom, a lame-duck governor with presidential ambitions, expanding the tax credits could please the wealthy Hollywood donors who could propel his campaign.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the handout can easily be portrayed as a tax break for the rich.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The ads kind of make themselves,” said Kim Nalder, a political science professor at California State University, Sacramento. “It’s been effective in previous years to … use (Hollywood) as an example of unserious, privileged waste.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Saving Hollywood\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Hollywood has suffered. A “quadruple-whammy” of the COVID-19 pandemic that shut down productions, a \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/actors-strike-contract-a7a529acaf6b5b38aac93722db54c193\">Hollywood writers strike\u003c/a>, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/capitol/2025/01/la-fires-california-legislature-bills/\">deadly wildfires\u003c/a> and growing production incentives from other states that lured movies out of California have decreased its nationwide share in film industry employment from 54% in 2010 to 46% in 2023, according to the bill analysis. Film production levels in Los Angeles also saw a \u003ca href=\"https://filmla.com/la-on-location-filming-falls-in-first-quarter/\">sharp drop-off\u003c/a> in recent years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The industry is also struggling to compete globally, so much so that even President Donald Trump has weighed in, ordering a \u003ca href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/trump-announces-100-tariff-movies-produced-outside-us-2025-05-04/\">100% tariff on overseas productions\u003c/a>, though he has given no details. In response, Newsom has offered to work with Trump to \u003ca href=\"https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/may/06/newsom-trump-movie-tariffs\">develop a $7.5 billion federal tax credit\u003c/a>.[aside postID=news_12040025 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/GavinNewsom2025AP2-1020x680.jpg']“I applaud President Trump for recognizing that we are losing a lot of films to foreign countries, and I hope he steps up,” Newsom said Wednesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The proposed state film tax credit expansion has united motion picture studios and entertainment industry workers, but it is the unions that have been leading the fight.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The groups backing the plan have poured at least $8.4 million into lawmakers’ coffers since 2015, including nearly $6.5 million from the \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/organizations/-2947#financials\">California State Council of Laborers\u003c/a> alone, according to an analysis of CalMatters’ Digital Democracy database. Walt Disney, a top supporter, has given nearly $750,000 to lawmakers since 2015.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dozens of unionized workers have filled legislative hearing rooms and spilled into the hallways as they testify in support.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We are the thousands of artisans whose names whip by in the credit roll at the end of the movie. Not those that appear in huge letters and fade slowly at the beginning of the movie. We don’t go to the award shows. We work the award shows,” \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/hearings/258945?t=896&f=9cdd49a18e32c5cbd74ef45e6426401c\">said Renata Ray\u003c/a>, representing a chapter of the International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nalder said that is a smart political move since labor unions hold so much political sway with Democratic lawmakers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And the tax credit expansion “touches both the struggling workers as well as international mega-stars,” said Thad Kousser, a political science professor at University of California-San Diego.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the funding could backfire on Newsom as he eyes a potential White House run in 2028.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You’ve got to think about policies’ effect on your core supporters … but also the average voters in places like Iowa, New Hampshire, who may not see someone who’s helping bail out Hollywood as someone taking the nation in the direction they want to see,” Kousser said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Do film tax credits work?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>California’s film tax credit was created \u003ca href=\"https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3502#Economic_Effects:~:text=California%20Adopted%20First,this%20new%20program.\">in response to other states’ incentives\u003c/a>. As of last year, \u003ca href=\"https://www.ncsl.org/fiscal/state-film-and-television-incentive-programs\">37 states\u003c/a> had similar incentives. California’s program is often compared to the unlimited tax credit in Georgia, a frequent destination for film production, and New York’s incentives, which were raised last week, from $700 million to \u003ca href=\"https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/new-york-aims-large-scale-producers-indie-projects-film-subsidy-boost-1236212240/\">$800 million a year\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But California’s program is unique: It is the only state to \u003ca href=\"https://film.ca.gov/tax-credit/jobs-ratio-ranking/\">award credits based on the likelihood\u003c/a> of a project creating jobs and boosting the economy. It is also one of the few states to prohibit using the tax credits to pay “above-the-line” crews, such as directors, actors or writers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The nonpartisan \u003ca href=\"https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000\">Legislative Analyst’s Office said\u003c/a> there is “good evidence that tax credits increase production activity” and it could increase the size of the state’s film industry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That is partly because some studios choose to film elsewhere when they are denied tax incentives. Between 2011 and 2013, roughly two thirds of the applicants who did not receive tax credits in California shot out of state, \u003ca href=\"https://lao.ca.gov/reports/2016/3502/First-Film-Tax-Credit-Prog-092916.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">according to a 2016 report\u003c/a> by the legislative analyst. And between 2020 and 2023, almost 60% of applicants who were denied the tax credits produced out of state, according to \u003ca href=\"https://cdn.film.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Progress-Report-2023.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a 2023 report by the California Film Commission\u003c/a>, which administers the credits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But would the tax credit boost the state’s broader economy? Research is mixed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/08912424211000127\">A study of California’s first film tax credit program\u003c/a>, which used a lottery system to award credits, found major studios that received the incentives spent and hired more in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Supporters of the California proposal, such as Assembly Democratic Caucus Chair Rick Zbur, a Los Angeles lawmaker who introduced the legislation — argue that the program “pays for itself.” They \u003ca href=\"https://laedc.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/LAEDC-Report_CA-Film-TV-Tax-Credit-Program-2.0_FINAL_2022.03.14.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">frequently cite a 2023 analysis\u003c/a> by the nonprofit Los Angeles Economic Development Corporation which concluded that for every dollar the state spent on the tax credits, state and local governments collected $1.07 in tax revenue. It also said each dollar invested led to $24.40 in economic activity and $8.60 in increased wages.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Every show that shoots in California supports hundreds of jobs. It pumps money into local economies from lumber yards to restaurants, from car rentals to dry cleaners,” said Ed Lammi, a former Sony Pictures Television executive, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/commentary/2025/05/hollywood-industry-job-tax-credit/\">in an opinion piece citing the research\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The study was prepared for the Motion Picture Association, one of the legislation’s top supporters. The association has given lawmakers $168,000 since 2015, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/financials?giver%5B%5D=oid--8112\">Digital Democracy data shows\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But while some studies show some evidence that filmmakers are drawn to states with better incentives, the legislative analyst’s office and most researchers have concluded that \u003ca href=\"https://www.tax.ny.gov/pdf/research/economic-impact-of-tax-incentive-programs.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">states almost always lose money\u003c/a> on \u003ca href=\"https://www.audits.ga.gov/ReportSearch/download/30438?_gl=1*fcit89*_ga*MTYxMTU0MTYxNy4xNzQwNDE0MTE3*_ga_8Z4RV13R5J*MTc0MzUzMTAxOS40LjAuMTc0MzUzMTAxOS4wLjAuMA..*_ga_65FL79Y113*MTc0MzUzMTAxOS40LjAuMTc0MzUzMTAxOS42MC4wLjA\">such programs\u003c/a>, and that the credits have little to no effect on a state’s \u003ca href=\"https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0275074016651958\">economic growth\u003c/a> or its \u003ca href=\"https://www.nber.org/papers/w25963\">job market\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Michael Thom, a professor at the University of Southern California, wrote to \u003ca href=\"https://srev.senate.ca.gov/system/files/2025-03/testimony-prof-michael-thom.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lawmakers in March\u003c/a> that his research showed the programs generally failed to create jobs or increase wages. “Simply put, California cannot afford the existing incentive, much less a substantial expansion to it,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mike Gatto, a Los Angeles Democrat who authored the first expansion of the film tax credit program in 2014, said he is skeptical about subsidizing the film industry without addressing the root causes of its problems.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It is doubtful that the amount of money that the state gives to this industry proves to be something that we get back,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This article was \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2025/05/california-film-tax-credit-gavin-newsom-hollywood/\">originally published on CalMatters\u003c/a> and was republished under the \u003ca href=\"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/\">Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives\u003c/a> license.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Gov. Gavin Newsom’s latest budget proposal lays out deep cuts to public universities and health care. It also seeks to more than double the tax credits for Hollywood studios — an expansion moving smoothly through the state Legislature.",
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"title": "Faced With Budget Woes, Gavin Newsom Wants More Tax Credits for Hollywood | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003c!-- Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ -->\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This story was originally published by \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/\">CalMatters\u003c/a>. \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/subscribe-to-calmatters/\">Sign up\u003c/a> for their newsletters.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Staring down a $12 billion budget deficit, Gov. Gavin Newsom \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2025/05/california-budget-revision-may-2025/\">proposed steep cuts\u003c/a> to California’s health care services and public universities — all while promising more dollars to Hollywood.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom on Wednesday doubled down on \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/bills/ca_202520260ab1138\">his proposal to expand\u003c/a> the state’s investment in film and television tax credits, \u003ca href=\"https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3502#:~:text=California%20Adopted%20First%20Film%20Tax,credits%20under%20this%20new%20program.\">incentives created\u003c/a> by then-Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger in 2009 to boost California’s marquee industry. If passed, the state would allocate up to $750 million each year to film production, up from the current $330 million.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Despite saying that any funding request from Los Angeles unrelated to disaster recovery would be a “non-starter,” Newsom deemed the tax credit expansion essential to reviving an ailing industry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s on life support,” he told reporters. “We need to step things up, and this is all part and parcel of economic recovery, economic growth.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom’s plan would also increase the amount each qualified applicant can receive, extend the credit to live action and animated series and devote more money toward independent films.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But his proposal has drawn criticism from both Democrats and Republicans who argue the state should prioritize essential programs in a tight budget year. Assembly Republican Leader James Gallagher of Chico called Newsom’s proposal “tone-deaf.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m not sure the rest of California will be OK with their senior programs, their disability programs, their education programs being cut in order to prop up a regional industry,” said \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/legislators/corey-jackson-165443\">Assemblymember Corey Jackson\u003c/a>, a Moreno Valley Democrat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some lawmakers warned that other states could respond with even more aggressive incentives, creating a “race to the bottom.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It seems eminently predictable that we will be back next year with a proposal that says: ‘We’ve fallen behind again. I don’t know what happened. And now we need to do more,’” said Sen. \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/legislators/christopher-cabaldon-5699\">Christopher Cabaldon\u003c/a>, a Napa Democrat, in March.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Despite those concerns, the proposal has advanced in the state Legislature with little resistance. Assemblymember Jesse Gabriel, a Los Angeles Democrat who chairs the powerful budget committee, told CalMatters that anyone seeking large funding increases this year “should stop wasting people’s time” because there isn’t enough money.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Newsom’s proposal is different, Gabriel said, because it would expand a longstanding, tested program that would also help offset the impact of the L.A. wildfires.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For Newsom, a lame-duck governor with presidential ambitions, expanding the tax credits could please the wealthy Hollywood donors who could propel his campaign.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But the handout can easily be portrayed as a tax break for the rich.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The ads kind of make themselves,” said Kim Nalder, a political science professor at California State University, Sacramento. “It’s been effective in previous years to … use (Hollywood) as an example of unserious, privileged waste.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Saving Hollywood\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Hollywood has suffered. A “quadruple-whammy” of the COVID-19 pandemic that shut down productions, a \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/actors-strike-contract-a7a529acaf6b5b38aac93722db54c193\">Hollywood writers strike\u003c/a>, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/capitol/2025/01/la-fires-california-legislature-bills/\">deadly wildfires\u003c/a> and growing production incentives from other states that lured movies out of California have decreased its nationwide share in film industry employment from 54% in 2010 to 46% in 2023, according to the bill analysis. Film production levels in Los Angeles also saw a \u003ca href=\"https://filmla.com/la-on-location-filming-falls-in-first-quarter/\">sharp drop-off\u003c/a> in recent years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The industry is also struggling to compete globally, so much so that even President Donald Trump has weighed in, ordering a \u003ca href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/trump-announces-100-tariff-movies-produced-outside-us-2025-05-04/\">100% tariff on overseas productions\u003c/a>, though he has given no details. In response, Newsom has offered to work with Trump to \u003ca href=\"https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/may/06/newsom-trump-movie-tariffs\">develop a $7.5 billion federal tax credit\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“I applaud President Trump for recognizing that we are losing a lot of films to foreign countries, and I hope he steps up,” Newsom said Wednesday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The proposed state film tax credit expansion has united motion picture studios and entertainment industry workers, but it is the unions that have been leading the fight.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The groups backing the plan have poured at least $8.4 million into lawmakers’ coffers since 2015, including nearly $6.5 million from the \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/organizations/-2947#financials\">California State Council of Laborers\u003c/a> alone, according to an analysis of CalMatters’ Digital Democracy database. Walt Disney, a top supporter, has given nearly $750,000 to lawmakers since 2015.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Dozens of unionized workers have filled legislative hearing rooms and spilled into the hallways as they testify in support.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We are the thousands of artisans whose names whip by in the credit roll at the end of the movie. Not those that appear in huge letters and fade slowly at the beginning of the movie. We don’t go to the award shows. We work the award shows,” \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/hearings/258945?t=896&f=9cdd49a18e32c5cbd74ef45e6426401c\">said Renata Ray\u003c/a>, representing a chapter of the International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Nalder said that is a smart political move since labor unions hold so much political sway with Democratic lawmakers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And the tax credit expansion “touches both the struggling workers as well as international mega-stars,” said Thad Kousser, a political science professor at University of California-San Diego.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, the funding could backfire on Newsom as he eyes a potential White House run in 2028.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“You’ve got to think about policies’ effect on your core supporters … but also the average voters in places like Iowa, New Hampshire, who may not see someone who’s helping bail out Hollywood as someone taking the nation in the direction they want to see,” Kousser said.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Do film tax credits work?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>California’s film tax credit was created \u003ca href=\"https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3502#Economic_Effects:~:text=California%20Adopted%20First,this%20new%20program.\">in response to other states’ incentives\u003c/a>. As of last year, \u003ca href=\"https://www.ncsl.org/fiscal/state-film-and-television-incentive-programs\">37 states\u003c/a> had similar incentives. California’s program is often compared to the unlimited tax credit in Georgia, a frequent destination for film production, and New York’s incentives, which were raised last week, from $700 million to \u003ca href=\"https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/new-york-aims-large-scale-producers-indie-projects-film-subsidy-boost-1236212240/\">$800 million a year\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But California’s program is unique: It is the only state to \u003ca href=\"https://film.ca.gov/tax-credit/jobs-ratio-ranking/\">award credits based on the likelihood\u003c/a> of a project creating jobs and boosting the economy. It is also one of the few states to prohibit using the tax credits to pay “above-the-line” crews, such as directors, actors or writers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The nonpartisan \u003ca href=\"https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000\">Legislative Analyst’s Office said\u003c/a> there is “good evidence that tax credits increase production activity” and it could increase the size of the state’s film industry.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>That is partly because some studios choose to film elsewhere when they are denied tax incentives. Between 2011 and 2013, roughly two thirds of the applicants who did not receive tax credits in California shot out of state, \u003ca href=\"https://lao.ca.gov/reports/2016/3502/First-Film-Tax-Credit-Prog-092916.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">according to a 2016 report\u003c/a> by the legislative analyst. And between 2020 and 2023, almost 60% of applicants who were denied the tax credits produced out of state, according to \u003ca href=\"https://cdn.film.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Progress-Report-2023.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a 2023 report by the California Film Commission\u003c/a>, which administers the credits.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But would the tax credit boost the state’s broader economy? Research is mixed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/08912424211000127\">A study of California’s first film tax credit program\u003c/a>, which used a lottery system to award credits, found major studios that received the incentives spent and hired more in California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Supporters of the California proposal, such as Assembly Democratic Caucus Chair Rick Zbur, a Los Angeles lawmaker who introduced the legislation — argue that the program “pays for itself.” They \u003ca href=\"https://laedc.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/LAEDC-Report_CA-Film-TV-Tax-Credit-Program-2.0_FINAL_2022.03.14.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">frequently cite a 2023 analysis\u003c/a> by the nonprofit Los Angeles Economic Development Corporation which concluded that for every dollar the state spent on the tax credits, state and local governments collected $1.07 in tax revenue. It also said each dollar invested led to $24.40 in economic activity and $8.60 in increased wages.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Every show that shoots in California supports hundreds of jobs. It pumps money into local economies from lumber yards to restaurants, from car rentals to dry cleaners,” said Ed Lammi, a former Sony Pictures Television executive, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/commentary/2025/05/hollywood-industry-job-tax-credit/\">in an opinion piece citing the research\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The study was prepared for the Motion Picture Association, one of the legislation’s top supporters. The association has given lawmakers $168,000 since 2015, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.digitaldemocracy.org/financials?giver%5B%5D=oid--8112\">Digital Democracy data shows\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But while some studies show some evidence that filmmakers are drawn to states with better incentives, the legislative analyst’s office and most researchers have concluded that \u003ca href=\"https://www.tax.ny.gov/pdf/research/economic-impact-of-tax-incentive-programs.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">states almost always lose money\u003c/a> on \u003ca href=\"https://www.audits.ga.gov/ReportSearch/download/30438?_gl=1*fcit89*_ga*MTYxMTU0MTYxNy4xNzQwNDE0MTE3*_ga_8Z4RV13R5J*MTc0MzUzMTAxOS40LjAuMTc0MzUzMTAxOS4wLjAuMA..*_ga_65FL79Y113*MTc0MzUzMTAxOS40LjAuMTc0MzUzMTAxOS42MC4wLjA\">such programs\u003c/a>, and that the credits have little to no effect on a state’s \u003ca href=\"https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0275074016651958\">economic growth\u003c/a> or its \u003ca href=\"https://www.nber.org/papers/w25963\">job market\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Michael Thom, a professor at the University of Southern California, wrote to \u003ca href=\"https://srev.senate.ca.gov/system/files/2025-03/testimony-prof-michael-thom.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lawmakers in March\u003c/a> that his research showed the programs generally failed to create jobs or increase wages. “Simply put, California cannot afford the existing incentive, much less a substantial expansion to it,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mike Gatto, a Los Angeles Democrat who authored the first expansion of the film tax credit program in 2014, said he is skeptical about subsidizing the film industry without addressing the root causes of its problems.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It is doubtful that the amount of money that the state gives to this industry proves to be something that we get back,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This article was \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2025/05/california-film-tax-credit-gavin-newsom-hollywood/\">originally published on CalMatters\u003c/a> and was republished under the \u003ca href=\"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/\">Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives\u003c/a> license.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"title": "Americans Still Dream About Factory Jobs. Can They Be Brought Back?",
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"content": "\u003cp>“Jobs in factories will come roaring back into our country,” \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E6uFW0gHwXU\">said\u003c/a> President Trump when he announced reciprocal tariffs last month. “We will supercharge our domestic industrial base.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The American manufacturing sector is not what it once was. Since its \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/opub/btn/volume-9/forty-years-of-falling-manufacturing-employment.htm#:~:text=Despite%20being%20a%20leading%20driver,May%201953%20at%2032%20percent.\">peak\u003c/a> of 19.6 million workers in 1979, American manufacturing has lost over a third of its workers, \u003ca href=\"https://nam.org/mfgdata/facts-about-manufacturing-expanded/\">now employing\u003c/a> 12.7 million.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Many people aside from President Trump want these jobs back. Factory work has been a political focus on \u003ca href=\"https://www.newyorker.com/business/currency/why-we-pine-for-manufacturing\">both sides\u003c/a> of the aisle for years. And \u003ca href=\"https://www.cato.org/blog/americans-think-manufacturing-employment-greatfor-other-people\">one poll\u003c/a> from the Cato Institute and YouGov shows that 80% of Americans say the country would be better off if more Americans worked in manufacturing.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But why do Americans of all stripes want these jobs back so much — and why does factory work seem so culturally charged? And how does the dream of bringing more factory jobs back stack up against the reality of how American manufacturing works today?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/05/07/1263527111/its-been-a-minute-bringing-back-factory-jobs-fantasy-vs-reality\">We looked into\u003c/a> some of these big cultural questions around factory jobs — and here are the four main takeaways.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Question 1: Why is there so much cultural nostalgia around factory jobs?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Jeffrey Gonzalez, associate professor of English at Montclair State University, wrote a \u003ca href=\"https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-american-studies/article/abs/wages-work-and-the-industrial-past-in-three-contemporary-labor-market-narratives/F1F008AAD21D25082D4B1C133CFFBCB5\">paper\u003c/a> about “smokestack nostalgia” in different pieces of art.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The picture that we get with smokestack nostalgia is that these were good, solid jobs that people had for generations,” he says, “that forgets that it was union activity that secured those [wages]. And it was often [a] violent struggle, right?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=forum_2010101908039 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/43/2024/12/GettyImages-2188263215-1-1020x574.jpg']\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, salaries for manufacturing jobs are now in the \u003ca href=\"https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2022011pap.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bottom half (PDF)\u003c/a> of all jobs. And one paper by researchers at the Federal Reserve \u003ca href=\"https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2022011pap.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">shows (PDF)\u003c/a> that the decline in unionization rates is, by and large, responsible for the drop in wages for factory work compared to other jobs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“[And] the northern factories where that union work happened, they were undercut by laws in the south that made manufacturing \u003ca href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2015-10-07/manufacturing-moved-south-then-it-moved-to-china?embedded-checkout=true\">move south\u003c/a>, where [it was] so much harder to create a union,” adds Gonzalez.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Vox\u003c/em> senior correspondent Dylan Matthews adds that some of the cultural nostalgia for factory work might stem from guilt some people might have about their “email jobs,” as opposed to making something physical for work.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think I very much have an email job now,” he says. “What am I doing? I’m trying to create page views, so that we can sell money to advertisers, so they can sell cars. The whole economic process I am a part of is so baroque and so apart from what it is I’m actually doing day to day that you lose that kind of connection. And I think that’s an important emotional thing for some people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Question 2: What’s the political appeal of bringing more factory jobs back?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>While there may be other incentives for more American manufacturing jobs, Matthews also thinks narratives about factory work align with conservative views around traditional families.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Some of the conservative mythologies [about factory work include] the idea of a ‘family wage,’ that you can make enough money in a factory to pay for the \u003ca href=\"https://www.dailysignal.com/2024/07/09/sen-josh-hawley-america-founded-on-christian-nationalism/\">full family\u003c/a>, which implicitly means the wife does not have to work,” says Matthews.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Republican politicians \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zmrHyHhwKqY\">including\u003c/a> Vice President J.D. Vance have also made national security arguments for opening more factories in the U.S. that could produce weapons.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve been giving a lot of artillery shells to Ukraine in their battle with Russia, and we’ve \u003ca href=\"https://www.newsweek.com/us-navy-admiral-sounds-alarm-weapons-stockpile-samuel-paparo-1988586\">run through\u003c/a> a lot of existing stockpiles,” says Matthews. “And I think the other thing is [that] a surprising amount of the Ukraine war has been both sides using \u003ca href=\"https://www.reuters.com/graphics/UKRAINE-CRISIS/DRONES/dwpkeyjwkpm/\">drones\u003c/a> to do reconnaissance on each other and try to anticipate attacks. And those drones are [largely] made in \u003ca href=\"https://www.csis.org/analysis/why-chinas-uav-supply-chain-restrictions-weaken-ukraines-negotiating-power#:~:text=Ukraine's%20Dependence%20on%20Chinese%20Drones%20and%20Components&text=Ukraine%20heavily%20relies%20on%20Chinese,of%20Mavic%20quadcopters%20in%202023)\">China\u003c/a>.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For some conservatives – that’s a big problem.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There are people in DC who are very convinced that China is a deep adversary, and if this is an important military technology that they make [a lot] of, I think within that worldview, it makes sense to be a little worried about this,” says Matthews. “Now, whether you think China is the big adversary and we should be preparing for war against them, that’s a bigger question.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>However, the issue of bringing back more manufacturing jobs cuts across political lines. Bernie Sanders has \u003ca href=\"https://x.com/SenSanders/status/1848482946816041240\">recently\u003c/a> called for rebuilding American manufacturing. Revitalizing American manufacturing was also a priority of former Presidents \u003ca href=\"https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/02/08/remarks-by-president-biden-on-rebuilding-our-manufacturing-to-make-more-in-america/\">Biden\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2014/01/15/262788908/obama-unveils-new-plans-to-encourage-manufacturing-jobs\">Obama\u003c/a>. And Matthews believes there is a particular political nostalgia around factory work for people on the left.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you look back at the ’50’s and ’60’s, the heyday of American manufacturing was also the heyday of American unions,” Matthews said. “The [United Auto Workers Union] was incredibly powerful, and that in turn supported a Democratic Party where labor was an incredibly important part of the coalition. Spending programs like Medicare [might] not have passed without strong union support.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Question 3: Does the desire to bring jobs back match up with the reality of American manufacturing today?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Many manufacturing jobs in the U.S. are already available. In fact, there are 400,000 open positions in manufacturing as of February, according to the \u003ca href=\"https://nam.org/mfgdata/facts-about-manufacturing-expanded/\">National Association of Manufacturers\u003c/a>. Some factory owners are \u003ca href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/help-wanted-u-s-factories-seek-workers-for-the-nearshoring-boom-ef0209aa\">having trouble\u003c/a> filling these existing positions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A manufacturing job looks very different from what it did in the fifties,” says Matthews. “If part of the appeal of manufacturing was that it provided decent wage jobs for people straight out of high school, that is not the way a lot of these factories operate these days.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But can we add more jobs in the sector? Matthews says there’s reason to think that could be tough.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While there’s been disagreement about the main cause of factory job losses, one \u003ca href=\"https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w24151/w24151.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">new paper (PDF)\u003c/a> by Robert Z. Lawrence, Harvard’s Albert L. Williams Professor of International Trade and Investment, suggests that productivity growth beats out foreign competition for the most blame.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So even if we add more factories – we might not be adding that many jobs along with them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s just been a lot of money invested in making humans less essential to the production process,” he adds. “It’s incredibly automated.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Matthews argues that there’s nothing special about manufacturing work that made it a “good job,” and that other work should also have that “good job” status.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I would love for politicians to stand up and say Amazon warehouse workers need to make more money. I want to make that a job that is good the same way that working at a GM line was a good job,” he says. “We can make the jobs good if we want them to be good.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Question 4: What might be the impact of President Trump’s policies on bringing factory jobs back?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The last time President Trump issued import tariffs, they did not increase or decrease employment in protected sectors, according to one \u003ca href=\"https://www.nber.org/papers/w32082\">analysis\u003c/a> in the National Bureau of Economic Research.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think the best analogy I’ve heard for using tariffs to try to get manufacturing jobs back is: if you run someone over with your car, and then to fix the situation, you back over them again,” Matthews says. “It just doesn’t follow that if the U.S. changing its trade policy one way led to this exit of jobs, reversing [it] will bring them back.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There are also potential effects from President Trump’s immigration policies. \u003ca href=\"https://usafacts.org/articles/which-industries-employ-the-most-immigrant-workers/\">As of 2023\u003c/a>, there are 3.2 million foreign-born workers in manufacturing, about 25% of all manufacturing workers. His large-scale deportation efforts \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/02/28/g-s1-50958/business-workplace-raids-immigration-ice-deportation\">may add\u003c/a> to the number of open jobs in the sector.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Liam McBain contributed reporting, Neena Pathak and Luis Clemens edited the text.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>“Jobs in factories will come roaring back into our country,” \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E6uFW0gHwXU\">said\u003c/a> President Trump when he announced reciprocal tariffs last month. “We will supercharge our domestic industrial base.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The American manufacturing sector is not what it once was. Since its \u003ca href=\"https://www.bls.gov/opub/btn/volume-9/forty-years-of-falling-manufacturing-employment.htm#:~:text=Despite%20being%20a%20leading%20driver,May%201953%20at%2032%20percent.\">peak\u003c/a> of 19.6 million workers in 1979, American manufacturing has lost over a third of its workers, \u003ca href=\"https://nam.org/mfgdata/facts-about-manufacturing-expanded/\">now employing\u003c/a> 12.7 million.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Many people aside from President Trump want these jobs back. Factory work has been a political focus on \u003ca href=\"https://www.newyorker.com/business/currency/why-we-pine-for-manufacturing\">both sides\u003c/a> of the aisle for years. And \u003ca href=\"https://www.cato.org/blog/americans-think-manufacturing-employment-greatfor-other-people\">one poll\u003c/a> from the Cato Institute and YouGov shows that 80% of Americans say the country would be better off if more Americans worked in manufacturing.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But why do Americans of all stripes want these jobs back so much — and why does factory work seem so culturally charged? And how does the dream of bringing more factory jobs back stack up against the reality of how American manufacturing works today?\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/05/07/1263527111/its-been-a-minute-bringing-back-factory-jobs-fantasy-vs-reality\">We looked into\u003c/a> some of these big cultural questions around factory jobs — and here are the four main takeaways.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Question 1: Why is there so much cultural nostalgia around factory jobs?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Jeffrey Gonzalez, associate professor of English at Montclair State University, wrote a \u003ca href=\"https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-american-studies/article/abs/wages-work-and-the-industrial-past-in-three-contemporary-labor-market-narratives/F1F008AAD21D25082D4B1C133CFFBCB5\">paper\u003c/a> about “smokestack nostalgia” in different pieces of art.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“The picture that we get with smokestack nostalgia is that these were good, solid jobs that people had for generations,” he says, “that forgets that it was union activity that secured those [wages]. And it was often [a] violent struggle, right?”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In fact, salaries for manufacturing jobs are now in the \u003ca href=\"https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2022011pap.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bottom half (PDF)\u003c/a> of all jobs. And one paper by researchers at the Federal Reserve \u003ca href=\"https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2022011pap.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">shows (PDF)\u003c/a> that the decline in unionization rates is, by and large, responsible for the drop in wages for factory work compared to other jobs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“[And] the northern factories where that union work happened, they were undercut by laws in the south that made manufacturing \u003ca href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2015-10-07/manufacturing-moved-south-then-it-moved-to-china?embedded-checkout=true\">move south\u003c/a>, where [it was] so much harder to create a union,” adds Gonzalez.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Vox\u003c/em> senior correspondent Dylan Matthews adds that some of the cultural nostalgia for factory work might stem from guilt some people might have about their “email jobs,” as opposed to making something physical for work.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think I very much have an email job now,” he says. “What am I doing? I’m trying to create page views, so that we can sell money to advertisers, so they can sell cars. The whole economic process I am a part of is so baroque and so apart from what it is I’m actually doing day to day that you lose that kind of connection. And I think that’s an important emotional thing for some people.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Question 2: What’s the political appeal of bringing more factory jobs back?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>While there may be other incentives for more American manufacturing jobs, Matthews also thinks narratives about factory work align with conservative views around traditional families.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Some of the conservative mythologies [about factory work include] the idea of a ‘family wage,’ that you can make enough money in a factory to pay for the \u003ca href=\"https://www.dailysignal.com/2024/07/09/sen-josh-hawley-america-founded-on-christian-nationalism/\">full family\u003c/a>, which implicitly means the wife does not have to work,” says Matthews.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Republican politicians \u003ca href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zmrHyHhwKqY\">including\u003c/a> Vice President J.D. Vance have also made national security arguments for opening more factories in the U.S. that could produce weapons.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve been giving a lot of artillery shells to Ukraine in their battle with Russia, and we’ve \u003ca href=\"https://www.newsweek.com/us-navy-admiral-sounds-alarm-weapons-stockpile-samuel-paparo-1988586\">run through\u003c/a> a lot of existing stockpiles,” says Matthews. “And I think the other thing is [that] a surprising amount of the Ukraine war has been both sides using \u003ca href=\"https://www.reuters.com/graphics/UKRAINE-CRISIS/DRONES/dwpkeyjwkpm/\">drones\u003c/a> to do reconnaissance on each other and try to anticipate attacks. And those drones are [largely] made in \u003ca href=\"https://www.csis.org/analysis/why-chinas-uav-supply-chain-restrictions-weaken-ukraines-negotiating-power#:~:text=Ukraine's%20Dependence%20on%20Chinese%20Drones%20and%20Components&text=Ukraine%20heavily%20relies%20on%20Chinese,of%20Mavic%20quadcopters%20in%202023)\">China\u003c/a>.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>For some conservatives – that’s a big problem.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There are people in DC who are very convinced that China is a deep adversary, and if this is an important military technology that they make [a lot] of, I think within that worldview, it makes sense to be a little worried about this,” says Matthews. “Now, whether you think China is the big adversary and we should be preparing for war against them, that’s a bigger question.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>However, the issue of bringing back more manufacturing jobs cuts across political lines. Bernie Sanders has \u003ca href=\"https://x.com/SenSanders/status/1848482946816041240\">recently\u003c/a> called for rebuilding American manufacturing. Revitalizing American manufacturing was also a priority of former Presidents \u003ca href=\"https://bidenwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/02/08/remarks-by-president-biden-on-rebuilding-our-manufacturing-to-make-more-in-america/\">Biden\u003c/a> and \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2014/01/15/262788908/obama-unveils-new-plans-to-encourage-manufacturing-jobs\">Obama\u003c/a>. And Matthews believes there is a particular political nostalgia around factory work for people on the left.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If you look back at the ’50’s and ’60’s, the heyday of American manufacturing was also the heyday of American unions,” Matthews said. “The [United Auto Workers Union] was incredibly powerful, and that in turn supported a Democratic Party where labor was an incredibly important part of the coalition. Spending programs like Medicare [might] not have passed without strong union support.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Question 3: Does the desire to bring jobs back match up with the reality of American manufacturing today?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Many manufacturing jobs in the U.S. are already available. In fact, there are 400,000 open positions in manufacturing as of February, according to the \u003ca href=\"https://nam.org/mfgdata/facts-about-manufacturing-expanded/\">National Association of Manufacturers\u003c/a>. Some factory owners are \u003ca href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/help-wanted-u-s-factories-seek-workers-for-the-nearshoring-boom-ef0209aa\">having trouble\u003c/a> filling these existing positions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“A manufacturing job looks very different from what it did in the fifties,” says Matthews. “If part of the appeal of manufacturing was that it provided decent wage jobs for people straight out of high school, that is not the way a lot of these factories operate these days.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But can we add more jobs in the sector? Matthews says there’s reason to think that could be tough.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While there’s been disagreement about the main cause of factory job losses, one \u003ca href=\"https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w24151/w24151.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">new paper (PDF)\u003c/a> by Robert Z. Lawrence, Harvard’s Albert L. Williams Professor of International Trade and Investment, suggests that productivity growth beats out foreign competition for the most blame.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>So even if we add more factories – we might not be adding that many jobs along with them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“There’s just been a lot of money invested in making humans less essential to the production process,” he adds. “It’s incredibly automated.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Matthews argues that there’s nothing special about manufacturing work that made it a “good job,” and that other work should also have that “good job” status.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I would love for politicians to stand up and say Amazon warehouse workers need to make more money. I want to make that a job that is good the same way that working at a GM line was a good job,” he says. “We can make the jobs good if we want them to be good.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Question 4: What might be the impact of President Trump’s policies on bringing factory jobs back?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The last time President Trump issued import tariffs, they did not increase or decrease employment in protected sectors, according to one \u003ca href=\"https://www.nber.org/papers/w32082\">analysis\u003c/a> in the National Bureau of Economic Research.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I think the best analogy I’ve heard for using tariffs to try to get manufacturing jobs back is: if you run someone over with your car, and then to fix the situation, you back over them again,” Matthews says. “It just doesn’t follow that if the U.S. changing its trade policy one way led to this exit of jobs, reversing [it] will bring them back.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>There are also potential effects from President Trump’s immigration policies. \u003ca href=\"https://usafacts.org/articles/which-industries-employ-the-most-immigrant-workers/\">As of 2023\u003c/a>, there are 3.2 million foreign-born workers in manufacturing, about 25% of all manufacturing workers. His large-scale deportation efforts \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/02/28/g-s1-50958/business-workplace-raids-immigration-ice-deportation\">may add\u003c/a> to the number of open jobs in the sector.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>Liam McBain contributed reporting, Neena Pathak and Luis Clemens edited the text.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>California’s agricultural sector, a small and rare \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11138262/why-these-central-valley-republicans-stand-by-donald-trump\">base of support for President Trump\u003c/a> in the liberal state, has been flipped on its head in the administration’s first 100 days, but it doesn’t appear that farmers are ready to stop backing him.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He’s hurting the people who voted for him,” Colin Carter, a professor of agricultural and resource economics at UC Davis, told KQED.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The industry already struggled to bounce back after the first Trump administration’s trade war with China and the COVID-19 pandemic. Now it is being rocked by what Sen. Alex Padilla called a “triple whammy”: farmworkers rattled by immigration enforcement; exports at risk of dwindling due to tariffs; and risky water use that could leave farmers in short supply this summer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Their workforce is worried, scared,” Padilla said \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12038943/democrats-voice-frustration-and-determination-to-win-back-the-house\">on KQED’s Political Breakdown podcast\u003c/a> this week, adding that even before Trump took office, January \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12021487/an-immigration-raid-in-kern-county-foreshadows-what-awaits-farmworkers-and-the-economy\">immigration raids in Bakersfield\u003c/a> shook Kern County and the wider farmworker community.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, Trump’s ping-ponging tariffs, which have spurred a global trade war, are not only making imports more expensive but also affecting “the growers in California who export so much as part of their business,” Padilla said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The levies have the potential to devastate California’s agriculture industry, according to Carter, who studied the fallout from the 2018–2019 trade war with China during Trump’s first term.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12034427\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1600px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12034427\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-4.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1600\" height=\"1067\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-4.jpg 1600w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-4-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-4-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-4-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-4-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">President Donald Trump holds a chart as he delivers remarks on reciprocal tariffs during an event in the Rose Garden entitled “Make America Wealthy Again” at the White House in Washington, D.C., on April 2, 2025. \u003ccite>(Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Its long-lasting effects show what is at risk for the industry right now, only “much worse,” Carter said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Prior to the early Trump trade war, China was the number one market for U.S. agriculture [exports],” he said. “The trade war that was initiated by Trump ruined that relationship, and China is no longer number one. And if we look at California, some California products were highly dependent on China.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Prior to 2018, California’s export of tree nuts — mostly pistachios, walnuts and almonds — was lucrative and growing. Ninety-four percent of China’s tree nut imports came from the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But after China levied tariffs of up to 25% on some agricultural imports in response to U.S. tariffs, that 94% figure dropped to just 53%. California’s farmers lost about $900 million in revenue in one year as a result, according to Carter.[aside postID=news_12038128 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-21-1020x680.jpg']“In the case of almonds, China pivoted towards Australia. Australia can produce almonds; they increased their production and they have 0% tariffs,” Carter said. “[China] started increasing its own production of walnuts instead of buying them from California. It was a growing market, [and] California had a big market share that would have continued to grow, but that was all ruined.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2019, Trump awarded $16 billion in relief for affected farms. There was some rebound in the years between that trade war and the current one, but California never regained the dominance it once held.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, on top of a near halt on exports to China under \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/04/11/nx-s1-5361056/china-us-trade-war-tariffs-escalation\">its 125% levies\u003c/a>, trade wars with California’s other primary export partner in Canada, threaten the same lasting impact.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“California agriculture ships fruits and vegetables, wine up to Canada, and that’s already impacted,” Carter said. Canada is the state’s number one importer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Canada imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. wine. Instead of looking to California, which \u003ca href=\"https://www.cdfa.ca.gov/Statistics/PDFs/2022-2023_california_agricultural_exports.pdf\">sent 34% of its exported wine\u003c/a> to the country in 2022, Canada is relying on Europe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even if the trade war ebbs, “they may not come back to California,” Carter told KQED. “Trading in agriculture is a relationship that develops over time. And if one trading partner breaks that relationship, it doesn’t snap back overnight. It takes a long time to regain that trust.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Farmworkers ‘refusing to come out’\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The industry’s workforce is also under significant threat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Immigrants made up at least 50% of the state’s farmworker population between 2010 and 2018, \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/publication/health-care-access-among-californias-farmworkers/\">according to data\u003c/a> from the Public Policy Institute of California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those farmworkers are increasingly anxious and fearful, according to Belinda Hernandez-Arriaga, the executive director of Ayudando Latinos A Soñar (ALAS), an advocacy nonprofit for farmworkers in Half Moon Bay. Even though Trump’s threat of mass deportations has not yet been widely carried out, the emotional and psychological fear it’s caused is already having effects.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11973461\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11973461\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/240123-HMBShootingAnniversary-39-BL.jpg\" alt=\"A person with long hair stands in front of a group of people in a room painted bright orange.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/240123-HMBShootingAnniversary-39-BL.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/240123-HMBShootingAnniversary-39-BL-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/240123-HMBShootingAnniversary-39-BL-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/240123-HMBShootingAnniversary-39-BL-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/240123-HMBShootingAnniversary-39-BL-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Dr. Belinda Hernandez-Arriaga speaks during a roundtable discussion at the ALAS Sueño Center in Half Moon Bay on Jan. 23, 2024. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“There’s a group of farmworkers … here on the North Coast and they have told our team that they’re refusing to come out beyond just their work duties,” Hernandez-Arriaga said. “They don’t want to leave the farm. They don’t want to come out for other things in the community because they don’t want to be at risk, and they’re scared.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She said that in the days immediately after actions like the raids in Kern County, people have stayed home from work, worried that their farms would be targets for Immigration and Customs Enforcement officials, or that they could be stopped at a gas station on their way home.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While many immigrants were already fearful of ICE enforcement under the Biden administration, Hernandez-Arriaga said those she spoke to in Half Moon Bay didn’t feel like a target.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The current administration, she said, is “saying that they’re focusing on criminals, but that’s not what we’re seeing happening at all. In many ways, that’s what they’re using to market this increased deportation of immigrants.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Farmers still on Trump’s side\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Amid the threats both to agricultural workers and the industry’s economic stability, Padilla said he has been working with farmers and speaking with Republican colleagues about the impacts of Trump’s policies.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Blanket tariffs risk retaliation and could harm the farmers they try to protect, warned Shannon Douglass, president of the California Farm Bureau, which advocates for the state’s farmers and ranchers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_127407\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1636px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-127407 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2014/02/4669193811.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1636\" height=\"961\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California’s agricultural industry could be devastated by dwindling exports due to retaliatory tariffs and the effect of immigration enforcement on farmworkers. \u003ccite>(Frederic J. Brown/AFP-Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“A more strategic approach is targeted enforcement, not blanket tariffs,” she said in a statement. “Strengthening and enforcing provisions of trade agreements like USMCA, expanding export markets and ensuring fair competition through diplomatic discussions would likely protect California farmers without triggering unnecessary retaliation.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, Carter noted that Trump didn’t lose very much support from California farmers after his 2018–2019 trade war, and there hasn’t been a dramatic outpouring of opposition from them in recent months either.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It is a mystery,” Carter said.[aside postID=news_12038519 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/GettyImages-1389555319-1020x681.jpg']He added that it could be because farmers believe they’ll benefit from the long-term effects of the tariff policy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“President Trump and [trade advisor] Peter Navarro and [Secretary of Commerce Howard] Lutnick, I’ve seen them on CNN complaining about how U.S. agriculture’s ripped off in Canada, in Australia, in the European Union,” Carter said. “Actually, that’s just not correct.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said California exports 40% of its agricultural goods and that the U.S. has done well in recent decades because of lower trade barriers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Other farmers are hoping that high prices will be worth it for less restricted water resources, he said. In January, Trump \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12023248/trump-again-wades-into-california-water-use-fight-drawing-skepticism-from-experts\">announced a “presidential action”\u003c/a> that directed the Secretary of Commerce and the Secretary of the Interior to develop a plan that would route more water from the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta to dry parts of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But he also \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/02/07/nx-s1-5287016/farmers-are-worried-after-trump-released-billions-of-gallons-of-water-in-california\">flushed 2 billion gallons of water\u003c/a> from dams in the Sierra Nevada foothills in February, claiming that it would help give Los Angeles and California “\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/02/07/nx-s1-5287016/farmers-are-worried-after-trump-released-billions-of-gallons-of-water-in-california\">virtually unlimited water\u003c/a>.” The fires had already been fully contained at the time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Carter isn’t sure whether farmers will start to rethink their support for Trump if tariffs begin to make a bigger dent in their revenue, or if their workforce is decimated — as it would be should he carry out his threat of mass deportations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“[Trump] had a lot of support in the Central Valley, and even though they were harmed during the first trade war,” Carter told KQED. “It does make you wonder how much pain they’re willing to take.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>California’s agricultural sector, a small and rare \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11138262/why-these-central-valley-republicans-stand-by-donald-trump\">base of support for President Trump\u003c/a> in the liberal state, has been flipped on its head in the administration’s first 100 days, but it doesn’t appear that farmers are ready to stop backing him.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“He’s hurting the people who voted for him,” Colin Carter, a professor of agricultural and resource economics at UC Davis, told KQED.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The industry already struggled to bounce back after the first Trump administration’s trade war with China and the COVID-19 pandemic. Now it is being rocked by what Sen. Alex Padilla called a “triple whammy”: farmworkers rattled by immigration enforcement; exports at risk of dwindling due to tariffs; and risky water use that could leave farmers in short supply this summer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Their workforce is worried, scared,” Padilla said \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12038943/democrats-voice-frustration-and-determination-to-win-back-the-house\">on KQED’s Political Breakdown podcast\u003c/a> this week, adding that even before Trump took office, January \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12021487/an-immigration-raid-in-kern-county-foreshadows-what-awaits-farmworkers-and-the-economy\">immigration raids in Bakersfield\u003c/a> shook Kern County and the wider farmworker community.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Meanwhile, Trump’s ping-ponging tariffs, which have spurred a global trade war, are not only making imports more expensive but also affecting “the growers in California who export so much as part of their business,” Padilla said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The levies have the potential to devastate California’s agriculture industry, according to Carter, who studied the fallout from the 2018–2019 trade war with China during Trump’s first term.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12034427\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1600px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12034427\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-4.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1600\" height=\"1067\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-4.jpg 1600w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-4-800x534.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-4-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-4-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-4-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">President Donald Trump holds a chart as he delivers remarks on reciprocal tariffs during an event in the Rose Garden entitled “Make America Wealthy Again” at the White House in Washington, D.C., on April 2, 2025. \u003ccite>(Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Its long-lasting effects show what is at risk for the industry right now, only “much worse,” Carter said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Prior to the early Trump trade war, China was the number one market for U.S. agriculture [exports],” he said. “The trade war that was initiated by Trump ruined that relationship, and China is no longer number one. And if we look at California, some California products were highly dependent on China.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Prior to 2018, California’s export of tree nuts — mostly pistachios, walnuts and almonds — was lucrative and growing. Ninety-four percent of China’s tree nut imports came from the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But after China levied tariffs of up to 25% on some agricultural imports in response to U.S. tariffs, that 94% figure dropped to just 53%. California’s farmers lost about $900 million in revenue in one year as a result, according to Carter.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“In the case of almonds, China pivoted towards Australia. Australia can produce almonds; they increased their production and they have 0% tariffs,” Carter said. “[China] started increasing its own production of walnuts instead of buying them from California. It was a growing market, [and] California had a big market share that would have continued to grow, but that was all ruined.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In 2019, Trump awarded $16 billion in relief for affected farms. There was some rebound in the years between that trade war and the current one, but California never regained the dominance it once held.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Now, on top of a near halt on exports to China under \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/04/11/nx-s1-5361056/china-us-trade-war-tariffs-escalation\">its 125% levies\u003c/a>, trade wars with California’s other primary export partner in Canada, threaten the same lasting impact.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“California agriculture ships fruits and vegetables, wine up to Canada, and that’s already impacted,” Carter said. Canada is the state’s number one importer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Canada imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. wine. Instead of looking to California, which \u003ca href=\"https://www.cdfa.ca.gov/Statistics/PDFs/2022-2023_california_agricultural_exports.pdf\">sent 34% of its exported wine\u003c/a> to the country in 2022, Canada is relying on Europe.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even if the trade war ebbs, “they may not come back to California,” Carter told KQED. “Trading in agriculture is a relationship that develops over time. And if one trading partner breaks that relationship, it doesn’t snap back overnight. It takes a long time to regain that trust.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Farmworkers ‘refusing to come out’\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The industry’s workforce is also under significant threat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Immigrants made up at least 50% of the state’s farmworker population between 2010 and 2018, \u003ca href=\"https://www.ppic.org/publication/health-care-access-among-californias-farmworkers/\">according to data\u003c/a> from the Public Policy Institute of California.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those farmworkers are increasingly anxious and fearful, according to Belinda Hernandez-Arriaga, the executive director of Ayudando Latinos A Soñar (ALAS), an advocacy nonprofit for farmworkers in Half Moon Bay. Even though Trump’s threat of mass deportations has not yet been widely carried out, the emotional and psychological fear it’s caused is already having effects.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_11973461\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1920px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11973461\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/240123-HMBShootingAnniversary-39-BL.jpg\" alt=\"A person with long hair stands in front of a group of people in a room painted bright orange.\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1280\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/240123-HMBShootingAnniversary-39-BL.jpg 1920w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/240123-HMBShootingAnniversary-39-BL-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/240123-HMBShootingAnniversary-39-BL-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/240123-HMBShootingAnniversary-39-BL-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2024/01/240123-HMBShootingAnniversary-39-BL-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Dr. Belinda Hernandez-Arriaga speaks during a roundtable discussion at the ALAS Sueño Center in Half Moon Bay on Jan. 23, 2024. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“There’s a group of farmworkers … here on the North Coast and they have told our team that they’re refusing to come out beyond just their work duties,” Hernandez-Arriaga said. “They don’t want to leave the farm. They don’t want to come out for other things in the community because they don’t want to be at risk, and they’re scared.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>She said that in the days immediately after actions like the raids in Kern County, people have stayed home from work, worried that their farms would be targets for Immigration and Customs Enforcement officials, or that they could be stopped at a gas station on their way home.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While many immigrants were already fearful of ICE enforcement under the Biden administration, Hernandez-Arriaga said those she spoke to in Half Moon Bay didn’t feel like a target.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The current administration, she said, is “saying that they’re focusing on criminals, but that’s not what we’re seeing happening at all. In many ways, that’s what they’re using to market this increased deportation of immigrants.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Farmers still on Trump’s side\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Amid the threats both to agricultural workers and the industry’s economic stability, Padilla said he has been working with farmers and speaking with Republican colleagues about the impacts of Trump’s policies.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Blanket tariffs risk retaliation and could harm the farmers they try to protect, warned Shannon Douglass, president of the California Farm Bureau, which advocates for the state’s farmers and ranchers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_127407\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1636px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-127407 size-full\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2014/02/4669193811.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1636\" height=\"961\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">California’s agricultural industry could be devastated by dwindling exports due to retaliatory tariffs and the effect of immigration enforcement on farmworkers. \u003ccite>(Frederic J. Brown/AFP-Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“A more strategic approach is targeted enforcement, not blanket tariffs,” she said in a statement. “Strengthening and enforcing provisions of trade agreements like USMCA, expanding export markets and ensuring fair competition through diplomatic discussions would likely protect California farmers without triggering unnecessary retaliation.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, Carter noted that Trump didn’t lose very much support from California farmers after his 2018–2019 trade war, and there hasn’t been a dramatic outpouring of opposition from them in recent months either.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It is a mystery,” Carter said.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>He added that it could be because farmers believe they’ll benefit from the long-term effects of the tariff policy.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“President Trump and [trade advisor] Peter Navarro and [Secretary of Commerce Howard] Lutnick, I’ve seen them on CNN complaining about how U.S. agriculture’s ripped off in Canada, in Australia, in the European Union,” Carter said. “Actually, that’s just not correct.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said California exports 40% of its agricultural goods and that the U.S. has done well in recent decades because of lower trade barriers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Other farmers are hoping that high prices will be worth it for less restricted water resources, he said. In January, Trump \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12023248/trump-again-wades-into-california-water-use-fight-drawing-skepticism-from-experts\">announced a “presidential action”\u003c/a> that directed the Secretary of Commerce and the Secretary of the Interior to develop a plan that would route more water from the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta to dry parts of the state.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But he also \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/02/07/nx-s1-5287016/farmers-are-worried-after-trump-released-billions-of-gallons-of-water-in-california\">flushed 2 billion gallons of water\u003c/a> from dams in the Sierra Nevada foothills in February, claiming that it would help give Los Angeles and California “\u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/02/07/nx-s1-5287016/farmers-are-worried-after-trump-released-billions-of-gallons-of-water-in-california\">virtually unlimited water\u003c/a>.” The fires had already been fully contained at the time.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Carter isn’t sure whether farmers will start to rethink their support for Trump if tariffs begin to make a bigger dent in their revenue, or if their workforce is decimated — as it would be should he carry out his threat of mass deportations.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“[Trump] had a lot of support in the Central Valley, and even though they were harmed during the first trade war,” Carter told KQED. “It does make you wonder how much pain they’re willing to take.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Tourism industry experts expect visits to California to decline for the first time since the pandemic, due in part to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12038128/100-days-2-americas-assessing-the-impact-of-trumps-policies-on-california-and-texas\">economic and political uncertainty\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Visit California, a nonprofit organization that works closely with the state’s Office of Tourism, is forecasting the number of total visitors this year to drop 0.7% from 2024, with a decline of 9.2% for international visitors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Due to economic and geopolitical headwinds, California’s travel industry, which has shown reliable and consistent growth over decades, is now projected to contract this year,” Caroline Beteta, the nonprofit’s chief executive officer, said during a press conference on Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The nonprofit’s \u003ca href=\"https://assets.visitcalifornia.com/media/?mediaId=C562CB57-A11C-49E0-932F8A60DAEE32BA&viewType=grid\">report\u003c/a>, published Monday, points to inflation fueled by higher tariffs and negative sentiments toward the U.S. over the Trump administration’s trade policies and nationalist rhetoric as reasons why international tourism is expected to decline this year. Domestic travel is expected to remain flat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The sharpest forecasted declines come from Canadian and Mexican tourists, \u003ca href=\"https://assets.visitcalifornia.com/media/?mediaId=87E7742F-52F7-4B5C-B9096B03163245D7&viewType=grid\">who visit and spend\u003c/a>\u003ca href=\"https://assets.visitcalifornia.com/media/?mediaId=6D8CEA36-1DEB-4D0D-A52DCEDCC0A3747C&viewType=grid\"> more in California\u003c/a> than tourists from other countries.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12038821\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12038821\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1331\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed-800x532.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed-1020x679.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed-160x106.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed-1536x1022.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed-1920x1278.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People cross the street at Stockton and Jackson streets in Chinatown in San Francisco on Aug. 30, 2020. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Last year, 1.8 million Canadian tourists visited the state and spent about $3.72 billion, \u003ca href=\"https://www.gov.ca.gov/2025/04/14/governor-newsom-and-visit-california-launch-international-tourism-campaign-welcoming-canadians-to-experience-the-warmth-and-love-of-the-golden-state/\">according to the state\u003c/a>. This year, those numbers are expected to fall by almost 20%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In April, Gov. Gavin Newsom announced the launch of a campaign specifically aimed at encouraging Canadians to visit the Golden State despite the federal administration’s trade policies.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The biggest reason Visit California pointed to for why international travel could slow down this year is spending power. Right now, the Canadian dollar is $0.72 to the U.S. dollar.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve seen this pattern before, when the exchange rate drops below 75 cents, it crosses a psychological barrier that historically triggers a noticeable decline in U.S.-bound travel,” Beteta said. “It’s easy to say you’re not choosing California when, in reality, many simply can’t afford to travel right now.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=news_12034527 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/USDeptHealthHumanServicesGetty-1020x680.jpg']\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Visitors from Mexico are expected to decline by almost 12%. The nonprofit said that, despite concerns visitors might have over immigration and visas, it has not received reports that visas were denied upon entry in California airports.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Canada and Mexico are the number one and two markets, respectively, and declines from our neighbors have a profound impact on the overall health of California’s tourism economy,” Beteta said. “Since the start of the year, we’ve seen a clear shift in sentiment abroad, especially in markets that have traditionally been strong for California.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state expects to see more visitors from India and Japan this year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Tourism is a major driver of California’s economy, and the industry has shown signs of a rebounding market in the years since 2020, with an increasing number of tourists each year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Last year, tourists spent more than \u003ca href=\"https://industry.visitcalifornia.com/research/reports/economic-impact?selectedCounty=&selectedRegion=&selectedScope=state\">$157 billion in California\u003c/a>, exceeding what they spent in the state before the pandemic. More than 80% of that spending came from domestic tourists. Tourism also generated more than $12 billion in state and local tax revenue and 1.2 million travel-supported jobs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While economic and political concerns are expected to drive down international tourism, the story could look different for domestic business travel. In November, the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sftravel.com/media/press-release/san-francisco%E2%80%99s-convention-business-to-rebound-2025-group-hotel-room-nights\">San Francisco Travel Association announced\u003c/a> there could be more convention activity in the city this year, with 32 events already booked at the Moscone Center, some of which are recurring every year until 2029.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Tourism industry experts expect visits to California to decline for the first time since the pandemic, due in part to \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12038128/100-days-2-americas-assessing-the-impact-of-trumps-policies-on-california-and-texas\">economic and political uncertainty\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Visit California, a nonprofit organization that works closely with the state’s Office of Tourism, is forecasting the number of total visitors this year to drop 0.7% from 2024, with a decline of 9.2% for international visitors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Due to economic and geopolitical headwinds, California’s travel industry, which has shown reliable and consistent growth over decades, is now projected to contract this year,” Caroline Beteta, the nonprofit’s chief executive officer, said during a press conference on Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The nonprofit’s \u003ca href=\"https://assets.visitcalifornia.com/media/?mediaId=C562CB57-A11C-49E0-932F8A60DAEE32BA&viewType=grid\">report\u003c/a>, published Monday, points to inflation fueled by higher tariffs and negative sentiments toward the U.S. over the Trump administration’s trade policies and nationalist rhetoric as reasons why international tourism is expected to decline this year. Domestic travel is expected to remain flat.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The sharpest forecasted declines come from Canadian and Mexican tourists, \u003ca href=\"https://assets.visitcalifornia.com/media/?mediaId=87E7742F-52F7-4B5C-B9096B03163245D7&viewType=grid\">who visit and spend\u003c/a>\u003ca href=\"https://assets.visitcalifornia.com/media/?mediaId=6D8CEA36-1DEB-4D0D-A52DCEDCC0A3747C&viewType=grid\"> more in California\u003c/a> than tourists from other countries.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12038821\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12038821\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1331\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed-800x532.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed-1020x679.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed-160x106.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed-1536x1022.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/05/048_KQED_Chinatown_Businesses_08302020_qed-1920x1278.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">People cross the street at Stockton and Jackson streets in Chinatown in San Francisco on Aug. 30, 2020. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Last year, 1.8 million Canadian tourists visited the state and spent about $3.72 billion, \u003ca href=\"https://www.gov.ca.gov/2025/04/14/governor-newsom-and-visit-california-launch-international-tourism-campaign-welcoming-canadians-to-experience-the-warmth-and-love-of-the-golden-state/\">according to the state\u003c/a>. This year, those numbers are expected to fall by almost 20%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In April, Gov. Gavin Newsom announced the launch of a campaign specifically aimed at encouraging Canadians to visit the Golden State despite the federal administration’s trade policies.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The biggest reason Visit California pointed to for why international travel could slow down this year is spending power. Right now, the Canadian dollar is $0.72 to the U.S. dollar.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“We’ve seen this pattern before, when the exchange rate drops below 75 cents, it crosses a psychological barrier that historically triggers a noticeable decline in U.S.-bound travel,” Beteta said. “It’s easy to say you’re not choosing California when, in reality, many simply can’t afford to travel right now.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Visitors from Mexico are expected to decline by almost 12%. The nonprofit said that, despite concerns visitors might have over immigration and visas, it has not received reports that visas were denied upon entry in California airports.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Canada and Mexico are the number one and two markets, respectively, and declines from our neighbors have a profound impact on the overall health of California’s tourism economy,” Beteta said. “Since the start of the year, we’ve seen a clear shift in sentiment abroad, especially in markets that have traditionally been strong for California.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The state expects to see more visitors from India and Japan this year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Tourism is a major driver of California’s economy, and the industry has shown signs of a rebounding market in the years since 2020, with an increasing number of tourists each year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Last year, tourists spent more than \u003ca href=\"https://industry.visitcalifornia.com/research/reports/economic-impact?selectedCounty=&selectedRegion=&selectedScope=state\">$157 billion in California\u003c/a>, exceeding what they spent in the state before the pandemic. More than 80% of that spending came from domestic tourists. Tourism also generated more than $12 billion in state and local tax revenue and 1.2 million travel-supported jobs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While economic and political concerns are expected to drive down international tourism, the story could look different for domestic business travel. In November, the \u003ca href=\"https://www.sftravel.com/media/press-release/san-francisco%E2%80%99s-convention-business-to-rebound-2025-group-hotel-room-nights\">San Francisco Travel Association announced\u003c/a> there could be more convention activity in the city this year, with 32 events already booked at the Moscone Center, some of which are recurring every year until 2029.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"content": "\u003cp>Starting next week, the Education Department said \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/mindshift/65437/trump-administration-to-resume-collections-on-student-loan-borrowers-in-default\">student loans that are in default will be referred for collections.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roughly 5.3 million borrowers nationwide are in default on their \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/student-loan-repayment-trump-9fb6287fe52ed0be73719b53dd5bf90d\">federal student loans\u003c/a> and soon could be subject to having their wages garnished starting May 5.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Referrals for collection had been put on hold since March 2020 because of the COVID-19 pandemic, when the U.S. government also paused federal student loan payments and interest accrual as a temporary relief measure. That grace period was extended multiple times by the Biden administration and ended in October.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to: \u003ca href=\"#student-loan-default-what-to-do\">What to know if you’re a student loan borrower in default\u003cbr>\n\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>Amanda Kahn Fried, chief of policy and communications at the San Francisco Office of the Treasurer, said city officials are “deeply concerned” about the Trump administration’s decision to resume collection on defaulted student loans on Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>According to \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfgov.org/ofe/what-cost-student-loan-debt-bay-area\">the most recent available figures\u003c/a> from March 2018, approximately 735,000 student loan borrowers in the nine-county Bay Area — over 12% of the region’s adult population — owed a collective $26.6 billion in student debt, with the average borrower owing a balance of over $36,000.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Fried said that the Treasury’s Office of Financial Empowerment, which \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfgov.org/ofe/StudentDebt\">works with residents around navigating their student debt\u003c/a>, is especially worried that “people don’t necessarily know that this change is coming and going into effect.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Our concern is that starting May 5, borrowers who are already on the brink could see their wages garnished, their tax refunds seized and even their social security checks docked, which is the opposite of what we need to build a stronger economy here in San Francisco and across the country.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12032461\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1800px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12032461\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1173\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8.jpg 1800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8-800x521.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8-1020x665.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8-160x104.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8-1536x1001.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The federal student loan portfolio — which manages about $1.6 trillion in loans for roughly 43 million borrowers — is currently overseen by the Education Department’s office of Federal Student Aid. \u003ccite>(Mario Tama/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>While the Bay Area’s student loan burden is \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfgov.org/ofe/what-cost-student-loan-debt-bay-area\">lower than the national level\u003c/a>, San Francisco officials say there are\u003ca href=\"https://www.sfgov.org/ofe/what-cost-student-loan-debt-bay-area\"> “dramatic disparities” in who is most affected locally by this type of debt\u003c/a>, with “considerably higher delinquency and default” in lower-income communities and communities of color.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Fried said she’s particularly concerned about the impact on residents who took out student loans but ultimately did not obtain a degree — people who “are particularly low income who may have taken a risk and tried to get a degree and not been able to complete that degree for a number of reasons, and that will find themselves in default and have a very, very hard time catching up,” because they “don’t actually have the earning power to be able to repay that debt.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When we gut borrower protections, we don’t just hurt individuals with debt,” Fried said. “We actually make it harder for cities like San Francisco to hire nurses and public servants and teachers that our communities depend on.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Education Department said it will soon begin sending notices on collection efforts, but there are options for borrowers to get out of default. Keep reading for what student loan borrowers need to know about this announcement.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>\u003ca id=\"student-loan-default-what-to-do\">\u003c/a>How will ‘involuntary collection’ on student loan debt work?\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Beginning May 5, the department will begin “involuntary collection” through the Treasury Department’s offset program. Borrowers who have student loans in default will receive communication from Federal Student Aid in the upcoming weeks with information about their options, according to the Education Department.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Involuntary collection means the government can garnish wages, intercept tax refunds and seize portions of Social Security checks and other benefit payments to go toward paying back the loan.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=mindshift_65437 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/23/2025/04/2025-02-26t000000z-1066384240-mt1abcpr937788032-rtrmadp-3-abaca-press-1020x728.jpeg']\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In general, the collections will start with a letter,” Fried said. “So, making sure that your contact information is up to date is also very important so that you’re not missing any notices.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While “the first step typically isn’t having your wages garnished,” Fried acknowledged that “it’s very hard to predict in this environment if that’s what is going to happen.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you’re a student loan borrower in default, this latest announcement is undoubtedly anxiety-provoking. But “the first piece of advice I would have is to obviously take a deep breath, and then to really approach this from a very organized fashion,” Fried recommended.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a starting point, “take screenshots of your progress on your different loan websites: Go to the Federal Student Aid website, literally take a photo of everything you can find about your account today,” she said. “Download all of your payment history documents for your records, [and] just make sure you really capture a true picture of where you are.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How do I know if my student loans are in default — or if I’m delinquent?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A student loan becomes delinquent when a borrower doesn’t make a payment 90 days after its due date. If you continue to be delinquent on your loan for 270 days — or roughly nine months — then your loan goes into default.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While being delinquent affects your credit score, going into default has more serious consequences, such as wage garnishment.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What happens when a loan goes into default?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>When you fall behind on a loan by 270 days, the loan appears on your credit report as being in default.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Once a loan is in default, the government will send the borrower into collections.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What can I do right now if my student loan is in default?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The Education Department is recommending borrowers visit its \u003ca href=\"https://myeddebt.ed.gov/\">Default Resolution Group\u003c/a> to make a monthly payment, enroll in an income-driven repayment plan, or sign up for loan rehabilitation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Betsy Mayotte, president of The Institute for Student Loan Advisors, recommends loan rehabilitation as an option.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=mindshift_65377 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/23/2025/03/capossela-npr-book-education-v2-final-1020x680.jpeg']\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Borrowers in default must ask their loan servicer to be placed into such a program. Typically, servicers ask for proof of income and expenses to calculate a payment amount. Once a borrower has paid on time for nine months in a row, they are taken out of default, Mayotte said. A loan rehabilitation can only be done once.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Fried said the best plan of action “if you absolutely can’t afford to make the payments” is to contact your student loan servicer, she also noted that “you need to be very cautious” about the option you choose, because of the interest these paths forward could add to your total amount owed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Fried also recommended that anyone who lives, works or receives services in San Francisco can \u003ca href=\"http://sfgov.org/ofe/counseling\">book a free financial consultation with the city’s Office of Financial Empowerment\u003c/a> to discuss their student loans.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Student debt is a very complicated landscape and there are a lot of different types of loans,” she said. “And so it is really important to have somebody work with you on your particular issues.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What does ‘forbearance’ mean?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Student loan forbearance is a temporary pause on your student loan payments granted to borrowers who are experiencing financial difficulties. To apply for forbearance, borrowers must contact their loan servicer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Borrowers can be granted forbearance by their loan servicer for up to 12 months, but interest will continue to accrue during this period.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forbearance is not an option for borrowers whose student loans are in default. However, they are an option if you are delinquent on your loan.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How can a borrower find the status of their student loans?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Borrowers need to know the status of their student loans in order to find out if they are in default, said Kate Wood, student loans expert at NerdWallet.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To find the status of a student loan and their loan servicer information, borrowers need to access their studentaid.gov account. Since the Education Department is going to send notices about involuntary collections through email, borrowers want to make sure all their personal information is updated, such as email and physical address, Wood recommended.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Can involuntary collections affect my Supplemental Security Income?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Yes, benefits from Social Security are considered income and can be affected by involuntary collections.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How does delinquency affect my credit score?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Borrowers who are delinquent on their student loans take a massive hit on their credit scores, Wood said. Those who are delinquent on their student loans might see a drop of 100 points or more to their credit score. A delinquency stays on your credit report for seven years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Credit scores are used in many aspects of people’s financial lives, such as access to credit cards, buying a house or renting an apartment.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Can I apply to income-driven repayment plans?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>[aside postID=news_12036573 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2023/06/RS66293_230613-SFMarinFoodPantry-04-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg']Income-driven repayment plans applications are currently open. These plans base your monthly student loan payment amount on your income and family size.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Biden administration’s SAVE program is no longer open for applications since it was challenged in court. However, those who got accepted into the SAVE program are currently in administrative forbearance, meaning they don’t have to make payments.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To review income-driven repayment plan options, you can \u003ca href=\"http://studentaid.gov\">check the loan simulator at studentaid.gov\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Where can I find information and guidance about my student loans?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>During this unpredictable time, you may be wondering how you can stay on top of the latest news about your student loans.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mayotte told KQED earlier this year that the best information comes straight from the source itself — \u003ca href=\"http://studentaid.gov\">studentaid.gov\u003c/a>. However, Californians also have \u003ca href=\"https://dfpi.ca.gov/consumers/student-loans/\">a student loan ombudsperson\u003c/a> that they can reach out to for questions or be reminded of \u003ca href=\"https://dfpi.ca.gov/consumers/student-loans/rights/\">their rights\u003c/a>. Questions can be sent to Celina.Damian@dfpi.ca.gov.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you have an issue with your loan servicer, you can file a complaint with the state’s \u003ca href=\"https://dfpi.ca.gov/submit-a-complaint/\">Department of Financial Protection and Innovation\u003c/a>. You can also reach out to DPFI by email at ask.DFPI@dfpi.ca.gov and by phone at 866-275-2677.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Other places to get updates on student loans include:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.studentloanplanner.com/\">Student Loan Planner\u003c/a>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://freestudentloanadvice.org/about_us/our-staff/\">The Institute of Student Loan Advisors\u003c/a>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.savingforcollege.com/authors/mark-kantrowitz\">Saving for College\u003c/a>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://minsky-law.com/\">Adam S. Minsky\u003c/a>, a lawyer specializing in student loans\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This story contains reporting from KQED’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/nkhan\">Nisa Khan\u003c/a>.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Starting next week, the Education Department said \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/mindshift/65437/trump-administration-to-resume-collections-on-student-loan-borrowers-in-default\">student loans that are in default will be referred for collections.\u003c/a>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Roughly 5.3 million borrowers nationwide are in default on their \u003ca href=\"https://apnews.com/article/student-loan-repayment-trump-9fb6287fe52ed0be73719b53dd5bf90d\">federal student loans\u003c/a> and soon could be subject to having their wages garnished starting May 5.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Referrals for collection had been put on hold since March 2020 because of the COVID-19 pandemic, when the U.S. government also paused federal student loan payments and interest accrual as a temporary relief measure. That grace period was extended multiple times by the Biden administration and ended in October.\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003cstrong>Jump straight to: \u003ca href=\"#student-loan-default-what-to-do\">What to know if you’re a student loan borrower in default\u003cbr>\n\u003c/a>\u003c/strong>\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>Amanda Kahn Fried, chief of policy and communications at the San Francisco Office of the Treasurer, said city officials are “deeply concerned” about the Trump administration’s decision to resume collection on defaulted student loans on Monday.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>According to \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfgov.org/ofe/what-cost-student-loan-debt-bay-area\">the most recent available figures\u003c/a> from March 2018, approximately 735,000 student loan borrowers in the nine-county Bay Area — over 12% of the region’s adult population — owed a collective $26.6 billion in student debt, with the average borrower owing a balance of over $36,000.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Fried said that the Treasury’s Office of Financial Empowerment, which \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfgov.org/ofe/StudentDebt\">works with residents around navigating their student debt\u003c/a>, is especially worried that “people don’t necessarily know that this change is coming and going into effect.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Our concern is that starting May 5, borrowers who are already on the brink could see their wages garnished, their tax refunds seized and even their social security checks docked, which is the opposite of what we need to build a stronger economy here in San Francisco and across the country.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12032461\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 1800px\">\u003ca href=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8.jpg\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12032461\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1173\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8.jpg 1800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8-800x521.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8-1020x665.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8-160x104.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/03/npr.brightspotcdn-copy-8-1536x1001.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\">\u003c/a>\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">The federal student loan portfolio — which manages about $1.6 trillion in loans for roughly 43 million borrowers — is currently overseen by the Education Department’s office of Federal Student Aid. \u003ccite>(Mario Tama/Getty Images)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>While the Bay Area’s student loan burden is \u003ca href=\"https://www.sfgov.org/ofe/what-cost-student-loan-debt-bay-area\">lower than the national level\u003c/a>, San Francisco officials say there are\u003ca href=\"https://www.sfgov.org/ofe/what-cost-student-loan-debt-bay-area\"> “dramatic disparities” in who is most affected locally by this type of debt\u003c/a>, with “considerably higher delinquency and default” in lower-income communities and communities of color.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Fried said she’s particularly concerned about the impact on residents who took out student loans but ultimately did not obtain a degree — people who “are particularly low income who may have taken a risk and tried to get a degree and not been able to complete that degree for a number of reasons, and that will find themselves in default and have a very, very hard time catching up,” because they “don’t actually have the earning power to be able to repay that debt.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“When we gut borrower protections, we don’t just hurt individuals with debt,” Fried said. “We actually make it harder for cities like San Francisco to hire nurses and public servants and teachers that our communities depend on.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Education Department said it will soon begin sending notices on collection efforts, but there are options for borrowers to get out of default. Keep reading for what student loan borrowers need to know about this announcement.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>\u003cstrong>\u003ca id=\"student-loan-default-what-to-do\">\u003c/a>How will ‘involuntary collection’ on student loan debt work?\u003c/strong>\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Beginning May 5, the department will begin “involuntary collection” through the Treasury Department’s offset program. Borrowers who have student loans in default will receive communication from Federal Student Aid in the upcoming weeks with information about their options, according to the Education Department.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Involuntary collection means the government can garnish wages, intercept tax refunds and seize portions of Social Security checks and other benefit payments to go toward paying back the loan.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“In general, the collections will start with a letter,” Fried said. “So, making sure that your contact information is up to date is also very important so that you’re not missing any notices.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While “the first step typically isn’t having your wages garnished,” Fried acknowledged that “it’s very hard to predict in this environment if that’s what is going to happen.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you’re a student loan borrower in default, this latest announcement is undoubtedly anxiety-provoking. But “the first piece of advice I would have is to obviously take a deep breath, and then to really approach this from a very organized fashion,” Fried recommended.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>As a starting point, “take screenshots of your progress on your different loan websites: Go to the Federal Student Aid website, literally take a photo of everything you can find about your account today,” she said. “Download all of your payment history documents for your records, [and] just make sure you really capture a true picture of where you are.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How do I know if my student loans are in default — or if I’m delinquent?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A student loan becomes delinquent when a borrower doesn’t make a payment 90 days after its due date. If you continue to be delinquent on your loan for 270 days — or roughly nine months — then your loan goes into default.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While being delinquent affects your credit score, going into default has more serious consequences, such as wage garnishment.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What happens when a loan goes into default?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>When you fall behind on a loan by 270 days, the loan appears on your credit report as being in default.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Once a loan is in default, the government will send the borrower into collections.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What can I do right now if my student loan is in default?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>The Education Department is recommending borrowers visit its \u003ca href=\"https://myeddebt.ed.gov/\">Default Resolution Group\u003c/a> to make a monthly payment, enroll in an income-driven repayment plan, or sign up for loan rehabilitation.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Betsy Mayotte, president of The Institute for Student Loan Advisors, recommends loan rehabilitation as an option.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Borrowers in default must ask their loan servicer to be placed into such a program. Typically, servicers ask for proof of income and expenses to calculate a payment amount. Once a borrower has paid on time for nine months in a row, they are taken out of default, Mayotte said. A loan rehabilitation can only be done once.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>While Fried said the best plan of action “if you absolutely can’t afford to make the payments” is to contact your student loan servicer, she also noted that “you need to be very cautious” about the option you choose, because of the interest these paths forward could add to your total amount owed.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Fried also recommended that anyone who lives, works or receives services in San Francisco can \u003ca href=\"http://sfgov.org/ofe/counseling\">book a free financial consultation with the city’s Office of Financial Empowerment\u003c/a> to discuss their student loans.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“Student debt is a very complicated landscape and there are a lot of different types of loans,” she said. “And so it is really important to have somebody work with you on your particular issues.”\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>What does ‘forbearance’ mean?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Student loan forbearance is a temporary pause on your student loan payments granted to borrowers who are experiencing financial difficulties. To apply for forbearance, borrowers must contact their loan servicer.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Borrowers can be granted forbearance by their loan servicer for up to 12 months, but interest will continue to accrue during this period.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Forbearance is not an option for borrowers whose student loans are in default. However, they are an option if you are delinquent on your loan.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How can a borrower find the status of their student loans?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Borrowers need to know the status of their student loans in order to find out if they are in default, said Kate Wood, student loans expert at NerdWallet.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To find the status of a student loan and their loan servicer information, borrowers need to access their studentaid.gov account. Since the Education Department is going to send notices about involuntary collections through email, borrowers want to make sure all their personal information is updated, such as email and physical address, Wood recommended.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Can involuntary collections affect my Supplemental Security Income?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Yes, benefits from Social Security are considered income and can be affected by involuntary collections.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>How does delinquency affect my credit score?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Borrowers who are delinquent on their student loans take a massive hit on their credit scores, Wood said. Those who are delinquent on their student loans might see a drop of 100 points or more to their credit score. A delinquency stays on your credit report for seven years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Credit scores are used in many aspects of people’s financial lives, such as access to credit cards, buying a house or renting an apartment.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Can I apply to income-driven repayment plans?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Income-driven repayment plans applications are currently open. These plans base your monthly student loan payment amount on your income and family size.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Biden administration’s SAVE program is no longer open for applications since it was challenged in court. However, those who got accepted into the SAVE program are currently in administrative forbearance, meaning they don’t have to make payments.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>To review income-driven repayment plan options, you can \u003ca href=\"http://studentaid.gov\">check the loan simulator at studentaid.gov\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Where can I find information and guidance about my student loans?\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>During this unpredictable time, you may be wondering how you can stay on top of the latest news about your student loans.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Mayotte told KQED earlier this year that the best information comes straight from the source itself — \u003ca href=\"http://studentaid.gov\">studentaid.gov\u003c/a>. However, Californians also have \u003ca href=\"https://dfpi.ca.gov/consumers/student-loans/\">a student loan ombudsperson\u003c/a> that they can reach out to for questions or be reminded of \u003ca href=\"https://dfpi.ca.gov/consumers/student-loans/rights/\">their rights\u003c/a>. Questions can be sent to Celina.Damian@dfpi.ca.gov.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>If you have an issue with your loan servicer, you can file a complaint with the state’s \u003ca href=\"https://dfpi.ca.gov/submit-a-complaint/\">Department of Financial Protection and Innovation\u003c/a>. You can also reach out to DPFI by email at ask.DFPI@dfpi.ca.gov and by phone at 866-275-2677.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Other places to get updates on student loans include:\u003c/p>\n\u003cul>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.studentloanplanner.com/\">Student Loan Planner\u003c/a>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://freestudentloanadvice.org/about_us/our-staff/\">The Institute of Student Loan Advisors\u003c/a>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://www.savingforcollege.com/authors/mark-kantrowitz\">Saving for College\u003c/a>\u003c/li>\n\u003cli>\u003ca href=\"https://minsky-law.com/\">Adam S. Minsky\u003c/a>, a lawyer specializing in student loans\u003c/li>\n\u003c/ul>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This story contains reporting from KQED’s \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/author/nkhan\">Nisa Khan\u003c/a>.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"slug": "how-trump-tariffs-could-upend-california-farms-wine-businesses-and-ports",
"title": "How Trump Tariffs Could Upend California Farms, Wine Businesses and Ports",
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"headTitle": "How Trump Tariffs Could Upend California Farms, Wine Businesses and Ports | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cp>\u003cem>This story was originally published by \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/\">CalMatters\u003c/a>. \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/subscribe-to-calmatters/\">Sign up\u003c/a> for their newsletters.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>President Donald Trump’s on-again, off-again tariffs are putting many California businesses, jobs and the \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/newsletter/trump-tariffs-california-budget/\">state budget\u003c/a> at risk. They’re affecting not only long-term relationships with trading partners, but an intricate web of ecosystems and supply chains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The California business owners and groups grappling with the tariffs — wine shop owners, winery founders, farmers — say the precise effects on their industries are unclear so far. They hope there will be an upside.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But for those who have a broad view of trade, things look grim.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Port of Los Angeles and the Port of Long Beach, the busiest ports in North America, both saw first-quarter increases in imports, but declines in exports, year over year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Gene Seroka, executive director for the Port of Los Angeles, attributed the higher volume of cargo being moved to “front-loading as a hedge against tariffs” during a recent media briefing. But he said his port saw year-over-year declines in exports for the fourth month in a row, “raising concerns for our (agriculture) and manufacturing partners as counter-tariffs on exports begin to take effect.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Seroka — who said companies have been telling him they are holding back on hiring and capital investments — predicted a slowdown in cargo movement beginning in May, and expects a 10% drop in volume from July until next year. His predictions are already beginning to show up in the port’s import volume.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some of that may be due to a decline in Chinese imports. On April 9, Trump raised his tariff on China to 145%, although he later exempted certain electronics, such as laptops and smartphones. China responded on April 12 with 125% tariffs on U.S. products. Chinese goods represent 40% of the imports that pass through the Port of Los Angeles, Seroka said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A decline in volume will affect port jobs, though he doesn’t anticipate mass layoffs, he said. More than 1.5 million jobs are tied to the two Southern California ports.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The effects of decreased trade will vary for different businesses in the state — even within the same industries.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>The California wine industry\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A wine merchant in Walnut Creek who sells mostly European wines — on which the president \u003ca href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/13/business/alcohol-tariffs-eu-trump-trade-war/index.html\">has threatened 200% tariffs\u003c/a> — said he’s going to have to make adjustments, like carrying more California wines, or consider closing up shop.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’d have to think about whether it’s worthwhile staying in business,” said Igor Ivanov, owner of wine shop Vinous Reverie. He added that the tariff issues are just the latest of the wine industry’s woes, which include the fact that people just \u003ca href=\"https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphics/data-shows-wine-decline-consumers-spending-less-drinking-less-rcna187628\">aren’t drinking as much alcohol\u003c/a> as they used to.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On the other hand, increased tariffs on European wine could help boost California wine.[aside postID=news_12036199 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250306-PORT-OF-OAKLAND-MD-01_qed-1020x680.jpg']Natalie Collins, president of the California Association of Winegrape Growers, said tariffs on competing wines could help local wine growers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bruce Lundquist, co-founder of Rack & Riddle, which he said is the largest custom producer of sparkling wine in the nation, agreed with Collins: “I wish Americans would look at wines grown in their backyard.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lundquist said so far Healdsburg-based Rack & Riddle is OK — the company is stocked up on supplies that he orders from different places, both in and out of the country. But he can’t say what his winery and retail clients might be going through. Lundquist worries about tariff uncertainty dragging on, say through next year. “There would have to be a reckoning if this thing were to go on,” he said. “It’s already hard enough to run a winery.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What’s at stake as the U.S. wine industry grapples with tariffs: $86 billion in annual sales, U.S. Census Bureau data said. California exported $1.3 billion worth of wine in 2022, per the California Department of Food and Agriculture.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even if the wine produced in this country stays here, tariffs mean winemakers face higher costs on everything from bottles — glass mostly imported from China — to labels and corks, to metal posts and wooden stakes for the vines. As for U.S. wine exports, 95% of those come from California, says Gino DiCaro, spokesperson for the Wine Institute.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And 35% of exports go to Canada, which now has a serious don’t-buy-American, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/economy/2025/04/california-tourism-canada/\">don’t-go-to-America campaign\u003c/a> in effect because of the president’s threats about tariffs and annexing Canada.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“(Canadians) are voting with their feet, and there’s a real sense of betrayal and a sense of shock,” said Rana Sarkar, consul general of Canada in San Francisco. “Economic crisis within Canada will no doubt ensue from this, but it will also be deeply painful in the United States.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California recently became the first state to \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2025/04/california-trump-tariffs-lawsuit/\">sue the Trump administration over tariffs\u003c/a>. Gov. Gavin Newsom said the tariffs’ trade and geopolitical effects are “outsized,” while Attorney General Rob Bonta said the president bypassed the power of Congress to tax and regulate commerce by declaring a national emergency. California’s lawsuit seeks to pause the tariffs immediately.[aside postID=forum_2010101909512 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/43/2025/04/GettyImages-2208657779-1-1020x574.jpg']But in some cases, the damage is already done. The office of U.S. Rep. Mike Thompson, a Democrat whose district includes Napa’s Wine Country, shared anonymized anecdotes from winery owners and managers, who the congressman’s staff said are afraid to go on the record. Thompson’s constituents say their Canadian business partners have canceled hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of orders, and that potential sales to Mexico or the European Union are on hold. One medium-size winery in St. Helena told Thompson’s staff that since the tariffs Trump imposed during his first term, it has lost 90% of its business with China and is no longer seeking to sell there: “China has turned to other wine regions across the globe and we believe rebuilding this market will take over 20 years.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition, “the uncertainty itself has had damage, even though we (may not) get the tariffs,” said Daniel Sumner, economics professor and director of the University of California Agricultural Issues Center at UC Davis.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California and other producers of agricultural products want to be able to tell customers they’re reliable suppliers, Sumner said. “But you can’t do that if prices can go up. That’s a real problem,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Sumner added: “A major concern for any industry is the increased likelihood of a global recession and slower growth in general.” Investment banks and economists \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/04/07/nx-s1-5354927/recession-trump-tariffs\">have said a recession is likely\u003c/a>. Citing Trump’s tariffs, the International Monetary Fund has \u003ca href=\"https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/22/imf-major-negative-shock-trump-tariffs-uk\">slashed its forecast\u003c/a> for U.S. and global economic growth this year.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Farming: Almonds, dairy and other crops\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Ryan Talley is vice president of Talley Farms in Arroyo Grande, in San Luis Obispo County, which was started in the 1940s by his grandfather. Now his children are the fourth generation of his family to work for the farm, which grows a few dozen crops.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Talley said his medium-size farm is still able to sell spinach to Canada, but he’s concerned about being able to sell bell peppers to the country, because harvest season for those won’t come until August through November. He hopes the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement will protect those sales — but Trump has threatened tariffs on Canada and Mexico a few times.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Talley Farms’ other crops — including cabbage, kale, lettuce and corn — are distributed domestically but are highly perishable. Talley said that means it’s tough to adjust operations to any tariffs because of changes to fuel, fertilizing or other supply costs.[aside postID=news_12034730 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/iPhone16Getty-1020x680.jpg']“We don’t have months to wait something out,” he said. “We have to continue our operations at the intensity that we currently farm.” He added that “we’re going to have to take those rising prices and deal with it the best we can.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition, Talley worries that one possible effect of tariffs is a glut of domestically grown crops. “If the majority of U.S. farms weren’t able to export their product, everything would stay here, which would completely flood the market and send prices down,” he said. “It would be great for consumers (in terms of prices) but in the end it would hurt the American farmer.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Talley’s biggest concern is his farm’s workers, who could be affected by Trump’s stated intent of mass deportations: “I can withstand an increase in fuel prices and fertilizer prices and regulatory burden to an extent. But if you take away my labor overnight, it would be hard for us.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s almost impossible to find a part of California agriculture unaffected by Trump’s tariffs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shawna Morris, executive vice president of trade policy at the National Milk Producers Federation, said she is concerned about California’s dairy exports to Mexico, including cheese. The other really big market for California dairy products is China, which has already “pulled the trigger” on retaliatory tariffs, Morris said. California’s dairy exports totaled $3.2 billion in 2022.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California’s biggest export, almonds, had $4.7 billion in foreign sales in 2022. Their longer shelf life is a plus, said almond farmer Jenny Holtermann, in Kern County. “We harvest once a year, then (our processor partners) sell throughout the year,” she said. “The tariffs won’t affect us instantly.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Holtermann has experience from the tariffs the president imposed during his first term. She would not share specific numbers for her own farm — which has also been in her family for four generations — but acknowledged those tariffs hurt the almond industry, which is “just now starting to rebound.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Almond growers saw their prices drop from $2.50 a pound to $1.40 a pound after Trump’s tariffs in 2018, according to \u003ca href=\"https://giannini.ucop.edu/publications/are-update/issues/2020/23/3/impact-of-the-us-china-trade-war-on-california-agr/\">research\u003c/a> from the University of California Giannini Foundation of Agricultural Economics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Holtermann said farmers’ costs have only gone up, so her farm has adjusted by using less fertilizer, buying fewer tractors or letting trucks run a little longer before replacing them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But she said she thinks the president’s tariffs are part of “a long-game approach … to get our country back to the economic powerhouse we’re supposed to be.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Besides, Holtermann is counting on a couple of things. One is California almonds’ dominance: The state produces 80% of the world’s almonds, says the Almond Alliance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The other thing she’s hoping for is another possible federal bailout, which \u003ca href=\"https://www.yahoo.com/news/bailout-farmers-caught-trump-trade-171113348.html\">reportedly\u003c/a> has been discussed by the Trump administration. During the Trump 1.0 trade war, the federal government provided farmers with “market facilitation funds” of $23 billion to try to offset the business they lost as a result of China’s retaliatory tariffs on the United States, the Government Accountability Office said in a 2021 report.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The U.S. Department of Agriculture has not responded to CalMatters’ questions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those funds helped her farm last time, Holtermann said, so she’s hoping for more of the same. “I do know he supports agriculture,” she said of the president. “He’s had a lot of meetings with agriculture organizations.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, she expects to take a short-term hit from tariffs this time around, including losing business from certain countries. “I’m not naive,” Holtermann said. “I’m sure we will miss a portion of that market share.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Shannon Douglass, president of the California Farm Bureau, is concerned about getting global buyers to return once they switch to other sources. “We know the last round, almonds and pistachios saw a 20% drop in exports,” she said. “Once they have moved it can take a long time to get those markets back.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This article was \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/economy/2025/04/tariffs-california-agriculture-wine/\">originally published on CalMatters\u003c/a> and was republished under the \u003ca href=\"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/\">Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives\u003c/a> license.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad floatright]\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "From higher costs to export worries, California’s agricultural and wine industries face many possible tariff effects. But some hope for opportunity.",
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"title": "How Trump Tariffs Could Upend California Farms, Wine Businesses and Ports | KQED",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>\u003cem>This story was originally published by \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/\">CalMatters\u003c/a>. \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/subscribe-to-calmatters/\">Sign up\u003c/a> for their newsletters.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>President Donald Trump’s on-again, off-again tariffs are putting many California businesses, jobs and the \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/newsletter/trump-tariffs-california-budget/\">state budget\u003c/a> at risk. They’re affecting not only long-term relationships with trading partners, but an intricate web of ecosystems and supply chains.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The California business owners and groups grappling with the tariffs — wine shop owners, winery founders, farmers — say the precise effects on their industries are unclear so far. They hope there will be an upside.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But for those who have a broad view of trade, things look grim.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The Port of Los Angeles and the Port of Long Beach, the busiest ports in North America, both saw first-quarter increases in imports, but declines in exports, year over year.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Gene Seroka, executive director for the Port of Los Angeles, attributed the higher volume of cargo being moved to “front-loading as a hedge against tariffs” during a recent media briefing. But he said his port saw year-over-year declines in exports for the fourth month in a row, “raising concerns for our (agriculture) and manufacturing partners as counter-tariffs on exports begin to take effect.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Seroka — who said companies have been telling him they are holding back on hiring and capital investments — predicted a slowdown in cargo movement beginning in May, and expects a 10% drop in volume from July until next year. His predictions are already beginning to show up in the port’s import volume.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Some of that may be due to a decline in Chinese imports. On April 9, Trump raised his tariff on China to 145%, although he later exempted certain electronics, such as laptops and smartphones. China responded on April 12 with 125% tariffs on U.S. products. Chinese goods represent 40% of the imports that pass through the Port of Los Angeles, Seroka said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>A decline in volume will affect port jobs, though he doesn’t anticipate mass layoffs, he said. More than 1.5 million jobs are tied to the two Southern California ports.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The effects of decreased trade will vary for different businesses in the state — even within the same industries.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>The California wine industry\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>A wine merchant in Walnut Creek who sells mostly European wines — on which the president \u003ca href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/13/business/alcohol-tariffs-eu-trump-trade-war/index.html\">has threatened 200% tariffs\u003c/a> — said he’s going to have to make adjustments, like carrying more California wines, or consider closing up shop.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’d have to think about whether it’s worthwhile staying in business,” said Igor Ivanov, owner of wine shop Vinous Reverie. He added that the tariff issues are just the latest of the wine industry’s woes, which include the fact that people just \u003ca href=\"https://www.nbcnews.com/data-graphics/data-shows-wine-decline-consumers-spending-less-drinking-less-rcna187628\">aren’t drinking as much alcohol\u003c/a> as they used to.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>On the other hand, increased tariffs on European wine could help boost California wine.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>Natalie Collins, president of the California Association of Winegrape Growers, said tariffs on competing wines could help local wine growers.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Bruce Lundquist, co-founder of Rack & Riddle, which he said is the largest custom producer of sparkling wine in the nation, agreed with Collins: “I wish Americans would look at wines grown in their backyard.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lundquist said so far Healdsburg-based Rack & Riddle is OK — the company is stocked up on supplies that he orders from different places, both in and out of the country. But he can’t say what his winery and retail clients might be going through. Lundquist worries about tariff uncertainty dragging on, say through next year. “There would have to be a reckoning if this thing were to go on,” he said. “It’s already hard enough to run a winery.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>What’s at stake as the U.S. wine industry grapples with tariffs: $86 billion in annual sales, U.S. Census Bureau data said. California exported $1.3 billion worth of wine in 2022, per the California Department of Food and Agriculture.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Even if the wine produced in this country stays here, tariffs mean winemakers face higher costs on everything from bottles — glass mostly imported from China — to labels and corks, to metal posts and wooden stakes for the vines. As for U.S. wine exports, 95% of those come from California, says Gino DiCaro, spokesperson for the Wine Institute.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>And 35% of exports go to Canada, which now has a serious don’t-buy-American, \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/economy/2025/04/california-tourism-canada/\">don’t-go-to-America campaign\u003c/a> in effect because of the president’s threats about tariffs and annexing Canada.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“(Canadians) are voting with their feet, and there’s a real sense of betrayal and a sense of shock,” said Rana Sarkar, consul general of Canada in San Francisco. “Economic crisis within Canada will no doubt ensue from this, but it will also be deeply painful in the United States.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California recently became the first state to \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/politics/2025/04/california-trump-tariffs-lawsuit/\">sue the Trump administration over tariffs\u003c/a>. Gov. Gavin Newsom said the tariffs’ trade and geopolitical effects are “outsized,” while Attorney General Rob Bonta said the president bypassed the power of Congress to tax and regulate commerce by declaring a national emergency. California’s lawsuit seeks to pause the tariffs immediately.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>But in some cases, the damage is already done. The office of U.S. Rep. Mike Thompson, a Democrat whose district includes Napa’s Wine Country, shared anonymized anecdotes from winery owners and managers, who the congressman’s staff said are afraid to go on the record. Thompson’s constituents say their Canadian business partners have canceled hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of orders, and that potential sales to Mexico or the European Union are on hold. One medium-size winery in St. Helena told Thompson’s staff that since the tariffs Trump imposed during his first term, it has lost 90% of its business with China and is no longer seeking to sell there: “China has turned to other wine regions across the globe and we believe rebuilding this market will take over 20 years.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition, “the uncertainty itself has had damage, even though we (may not) get the tariffs,” said Daniel Sumner, economics professor and director of the University of California Agricultural Issues Center at UC Davis.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California and other producers of agricultural products want to be able to tell customers they’re reliable suppliers, Sumner said. “But you can’t do that if prices can go up. That’s a real problem,” he said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Sumner added: “A major concern for any industry is the increased likelihood of a global recession and slower growth in general.” Investment banks and economists \u003ca href=\"https://www.npr.org/2025/04/07/nx-s1-5354927/recession-trump-tariffs\">have said a recession is likely\u003c/a>. Citing Trump’s tariffs, the International Monetary Fund has \u003ca href=\"https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/22/imf-major-negative-shock-trump-tariffs-uk\">slashed its forecast\u003c/a> for U.S. and global economic growth this year.\u003c/p>\n\u003ch2>Farming: Almonds, dairy and other crops\u003c/h2>\n\u003cp>Ryan Talley is vice president of Talley Farms in Arroyo Grande, in San Luis Obispo County, which was started in the 1940s by his grandfather. Now his children are the fourth generation of his family to work for the farm, which grows a few dozen crops.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Talley said his medium-size farm is still able to sell spinach to Canada, but he’s concerned about being able to sell bell peppers to the country, because harvest season for those won’t come until August through November. He hopes the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement will protect those sales — but Trump has threatened tariffs on Canada and Mexico a few times.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Talley Farms’ other crops — including cabbage, kale, lettuce and corn — are distributed domestically but are highly perishable. Talley said that means it’s tough to adjust operations to any tariffs because of changes to fuel, fertilizing or other supply costs.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“We don’t have months to wait something out,” he said. “We have to continue our operations at the intensity that we currently farm.” He added that “we’re going to have to take those rising prices and deal with it the best we can.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>In addition, Talley worries that one possible effect of tariffs is a glut of domestically grown crops. “If the majority of U.S. farms weren’t able to export their product, everything would stay here, which would completely flood the market and send prices down,” he said. “It would be great for consumers (in terms of prices) but in the end it would hurt the American farmer.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Talley’s biggest concern is his farm’s workers, who could be affected by Trump’s stated intent of mass deportations: “I can withstand an increase in fuel prices and fertilizer prices and regulatory burden to an extent. But if you take away my labor overnight, it would be hard for us.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>It’s almost impossible to find a part of California agriculture unaffected by Trump’s tariffs.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Shawna Morris, executive vice president of trade policy at the National Milk Producers Federation, said she is concerned about California’s dairy exports to Mexico, including cheese. The other really big market for California dairy products is China, which has already “pulled the trigger” on retaliatory tariffs, Morris said. California’s dairy exports totaled $3.2 billion in 2022.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>California’s biggest export, almonds, had $4.7 billion in foreign sales in 2022. Their longer shelf life is a plus, said almond farmer Jenny Holtermann, in Kern County. “We harvest once a year, then (our processor partners) sell throughout the year,” she said. “The tariffs won’t affect us instantly.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Holtermann has experience from the tariffs the president imposed during his first term. She would not share specific numbers for her own farm — which has also been in her family for four generations — but acknowledged those tariffs hurt the almond industry, which is “just now starting to rebound.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Almond growers saw their prices drop from $2.50 a pound to $1.40 a pound after Trump’s tariffs in 2018, according to \u003ca href=\"https://giannini.ucop.edu/publications/are-update/issues/2020/23/3/impact-of-the-us-china-trade-war-on-california-agr/\">research\u003c/a> from the University of California Giannini Foundation of Agricultural Economics.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Holtermann said farmers’ costs have only gone up, so her farm has adjusted by using less fertilizer, buying fewer tractors or letting trucks run a little longer before replacing them.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But she said she thinks the president’s tariffs are part of “a long-game approach … to get our country back to the economic powerhouse we’re supposed to be.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Besides, Holtermann is counting on a couple of things. One is California almonds’ dominance: The state produces 80% of the world’s almonds, says the Almond Alliance.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The other thing she’s hoping for is another possible federal bailout, which \u003ca href=\"https://www.yahoo.com/news/bailout-farmers-caught-trump-trade-171113348.html\">reportedly\u003c/a> has been discussed by the Trump administration. During the Trump 1.0 trade war, the federal government provided farmers with “market facilitation funds” of $23 billion to try to offset the business they lost as a result of China’s retaliatory tariffs on the United States, the Government Accountability Office said in a 2021 report.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The U.S. Department of Agriculture has not responded to CalMatters’ questions.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Those funds helped her farm last time, Holtermann said, so she’s hoping for more of the same. “I do know he supports agriculture,” she said of the president. “He’s had a lot of meetings with agriculture organizations.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Still, she expects to take a short-term hit from tariffs this time around, including losing business from certain countries. “I’m not naive,” Holtermann said. “I’m sure we will miss a portion of that market share.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>But Shannon Douglass, president of the California Farm Bureau, is concerned about getting global buyers to return once they switch to other sources. “We know the last round, almonds and pistachios saw a 20% drop in exports,” she said. “Once they have moved it can take a long time to get those markets back.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003cem>This article was \u003ca href=\"https://calmatters.org/economy/2025/04/tariffs-california-agriculture-wine/\">originally published on CalMatters\u003c/a> and was republished under the \u003ca href=\"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/\">Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives\u003c/a> license.\u003c/em>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"title": "San Francisco Chinatown Businesses Enter Survival Mode During Trade War",
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"content": "\u003cp>Business owners like Mei Zhu in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/san-francisco\">San Francisco’s\u003c/a> Chinatown say they’re struggling to stay afloat, facing declining sales and an uncertain future, as the U.S.-China trade war drags on.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“With tariffs increasing so drastically, it’s very difficult to keep it going,” said Zhu, who has owned Mei’s Grocery on Stockton Street for the past 11 years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Around 90% of the goods at her store are imported from China — now subject to \u003ca href=\"https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-ensures-national-security-and-economic-resilience-through-section-232-actions-on-processed-critical-minerals-and-derivative-products/\">tariffs\u003c/a> as high as 245%. Her inventory includes sauces, dry noodles, candies and cookies.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>[ad fullwidth]\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>According to Zhu, wholesalers have absorbed some of the price hikes associated with the tariffs, so she’s raised her prices by 50% for certain items. However, some products now cost 145% more, so she’s stopped stocking them. For the remaining stock, higher prices are driving customers away, and sales are down 30%, Zhu said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If things continue like this for another month or two, the only option is to end the business and stop operating,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037242\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037242\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Mei Zhu stocks items in her grocery store, Mei’s Grocery, in San Francisco’s Chinatown neighborhood on April 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Several Chinatown business owners, interviewed by KQED through a Cantonese interpreter, echoed Zhu’s concerns. They say that if the trade war persists, they’ll be forced to shut down or retire early.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The situation has pushed San Francisco’s Chinatown — which has served as an immigrant gateway and economic hub for more than a century — into an existential crisis, according to Malcolm Yeung, executive director of the Chinatown Community Development Center.[aside postID=news_12035335 hero='https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/20250415_BIKETARIFF_GC-3-KQED-1020x680.jpg']“ This has always been a community that has been built around trade,” he said. “Trade created an opportunity for upward economic mobility for people through owning stores, or by leveraging relationships that they have back in China.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Yeung said the tariffs signal that this way of life is cut off.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Since taking office, President Donald Trump has deployed tariffs as a tool to pursue his policy agenda, which is meant to encourage domestic manufacturing and reduce trade deficits between the U.S. and its largest trading partners. China, in particular, has retaliated by raising its tariffs on all U.S. goods to 125%. As of Friday, China \u003ca href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/25/business/china-us-tariffs-semiconductors-exemptions-hnk-intl/index.html\">reportedly\u003c/a> appeared to roll back some of the tax on U.S.-made semiconductors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>David Bachman, a professor of China studies at the University of Washington, said Trump’s tariff policies could be better defined.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If [the Trump administration] is out to re-establish American manufacturing, they could have confined those tariffs to manufactured products and ignored agricultural products or other areas where it was extremely unlikely that the U.S. would establish production lines,” Bachman said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037241\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037241\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Grant Avenue in San Francisco’s Chinatown neighborhood on April 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Consumers of Chinese imports are likely to feel the impacts of the tariffs, too, according to Bachman.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Daniel Young lives in Antioch and travels to the Chinatowns in San Francisco and Oakland to get things he can’t get anywhere else. He had a grocery bag full of Chinese products, including “Spanish ham” and lamb-flavored potato chips.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“ These bags were $11 a piece. They used to be $7. It’s ridiculous,” Young said, referring to a bag of fortune cookies he had bought.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Sam Liang, owner of Run Feng Hai Wei Chinese Herbal in San Francisco’s Chinatown, sells ingredients used in traditional Chinese medicine, including Tangerine peels, ginseng and chrysanthemum flowers. He said his suppliers have raised their prices by $3 to $4 a pound.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037237\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037237\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Owner Sam Liang weighs medical herbs at his shop, Run Feng Hai Wei Chinese Herbal Inc., in San Francisco’s Chinatown neighborhood on April 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“The impact is already becoming apparent now. When we go to suppliers to get goods, they’re often out of stock or have shortages,” Liang said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Liang has operated Chinese medicine businesses in San Francisco’s Chinatown for the past eight years. He said his business was already struggling, but with the latest tariffs, revenue and profit have decreased by around 30%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He added that some products might not appeal to his customers if they are manufactured in other countries.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m worried about running out of inventory,” Liang said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037238\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037238\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Owner Sam Liang at his shop, Run Feng Hai Wei Chinese Herbal Inc., in San Francisco’s Chinatown neighborhood on April 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>These merchants may experience relief from the economic pressures soon. On Tuesday, Trump \u003ca href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/22/business/trump-china-trade-war-reduction-hnk-intl/index.html\">signaled\u003c/a> that the “tariffs will come down substantially.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s very difficult to predict; we’re just taking it one day at a time,” said Liu, owner of Beijing Shopping Center, which specializes in specialty clothing from China, such as hand-embroidered wedding dresses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lui added that if the tariffs continue, she’ll consider pivoting to sell more clothing produced domestically — or close the store entirely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037245\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037245\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Imported items fill the wall at Beijing Shopping Center in San Francisco’s Chinatown neighborhood on April 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Yeung said business owners in the neighborhood are feeling an “emerging sense of powerlessness,” but he’s confident the community will weather the storm, given its history of surviving adversity.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said the community has overcome discriminatory policies, like the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12034009/angel-island-exhibit-aims-shine-light-border-surveillance-american-exclusion\">Chinese Exclusion Act\u003c/a>, urban redevelopment and, more recently, the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent rise in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11961693/californias-anti-asian-hate-crimes-decline-but-long-term-pattern-persists\">hate crimes targeting Asian communities\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“ That’s actually the Chinatown story more than virtually anything else,” Yeung said. “We’ve found ways to just be here through thick and thin. I think we’re entering into a thin period, but this community in many ways is built for that.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n",
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"excerpt": "Small business owners in San Francisco’s Chinatown have long relied on imports from China, but this economic connection could be in jeopardy under the current trade war. ",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003cp>Business owners like Mei Zhu in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/tag/san-francisco\">San Francisco’s\u003c/a> Chinatown say they’re struggling to stay afloat, facing declining sales and an uncertain future, as the U.S.-China trade war drags on.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“With tariffs increasing so drastically, it’s very difficult to keep it going,” said Zhu, who has owned Mei’s Grocery on Stockton Street for the past 11 years.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Around 90% of the goods at her store are imported from China — now subject to \u003ca href=\"https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-ensures-national-security-and-economic-resilience-through-section-232-actions-on-processed-critical-minerals-and-derivative-products/\">tariffs\u003c/a> as high as 245%. Her inventory includes sauces, dry noodles, candies and cookies.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>According to Zhu, wholesalers have absorbed some of the price hikes associated with the tariffs, so she’s raised her prices by 50% for certain items. However, some products now cost 145% more, so she’s stopped stocking them. For the remaining stock, higher prices are driving customers away, and sales are down 30%, Zhu said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If things continue like this for another month or two, the only option is to end the business and stop operating,” she said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037242\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037242\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-24-BL-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Mei Zhu stocks items in her grocery store, Mei’s Grocery, in San Francisco’s Chinatown neighborhood on April 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Several Chinatown business owners, interviewed by KQED through a Cantonese interpreter, echoed Zhu’s concerns. They say that if the trade war persists, they’ll be forced to shut down or retire early.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>The situation has pushed San Francisco’s Chinatown — which has served as an immigrant gateway and economic hub for more than a century — into an existential crisis, according to Malcolm Yeung, executive director of the Chinatown Community Development Center.\u003c/p>\u003c/div>",
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"content": "\u003cdiv class=\"post-body\">\u003cp>“ This has always been a community that has been built around trade,” he said. “Trade created an opportunity for upward economic mobility for people through owning stores, or by leveraging relationships that they have back in China.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Yeung said the tariffs signal that this way of life is cut off.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Since taking office, President Donald Trump has deployed tariffs as a tool to pursue his policy agenda, which is meant to encourage domestic manufacturing and reduce trade deficits between the U.S. and its largest trading partners. China, in particular, has retaliated by raising its tariffs on all U.S. goods to 125%. As of Friday, China \u003ca href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/25/business/china-us-tariffs-semiconductors-exemptions-hnk-intl/index.html\">reportedly\u003c/a> appeared to roll back some of the tax on U.S.-made semiconductors.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>David Bachman, a professor of China studies at the University of Washington, said Trump’s tariff policies could be better defined.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“If [the Trump administration] is out to re-establish American manufacturing, they could have confined those tariffs to manufactured products and ignored agricultural products or other areas where it was extremely unlikely that the U.S. would establish production lines,” Bachman said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037241\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037241\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-22-BL-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Grant Avenue in San Francisco’s Chinatown neighborhood on April 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Consumers of Chinese imports are likely to feel the impacts of the tariffs, too, according to Bachman.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Daniel Young lives in Antioch and travels to the Chinatowns in San Francisco and Oakland to get things he can’t get anywhere else. He had a grocery bag full of Chinese products, including “Spanish ham” and lamb-flavored potato chips.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“ These bags were $11 a piece. They used to be $7. It’s ridiculous,” Young said, referring to a bag of fortune cookies he had bought.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Sam Liang, owner of Run Feng Hai Wei Chinese Herbal in San Francisco’s Chinatown, sells ingredients used in traditional Chinese medicine, including Tangerine peels, ginseng and chrysanthemum flowers. He said his suppliers have raised their prices by $3 to $4 a pound.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037237\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037237\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-06-BL-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Owner Sam Liang weighs medical herbs at his shop, Run Feng Hai Wei Chinese Herbal Inc., in San Francisco’s Chinatown neighborhood on April 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>“The impact is already becoming apparent now. When we go to suppliers to get goods, they’re often out of stock or have shortages,” Liang said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Liang has operated Chinese medicine businesses in San Francisco’s Chinatown for the past eight years. He said his business was already struggling, but with the latest tariffs, revenue and profit have decreased by around 30%.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He added that some products might not appeal to his customers if they are manufactured in other countries.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“I’m worried about running out of inventory,” Liang said.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037238\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037238\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-09-BL-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Owner Sam Liang at his shop, Run Feng Hai Wei Chinese Herbal Inc., in San Francisco’s Chinatown neighborhood on April 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>These merchants may experience relief from the economic pressures soon. On Tuesday, Trump \u003ca href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/22/business/trump-china-trade-war-reduction-hnk-intl/index.html\">signaled\u003c/a> that the “tariffs will come down substantially.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“It’s very difficult to predict; we’re just taking it one day at a time,” said Liu, owner of Beijing Shopping Center, which specializes in specialty clothing from China, such as hand-embroidered wedding dresses.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>Lui added that if the tariffs continue, she’ll consider pivoting to sell more clothing produced domestically — or close the store entirely.\u003c/p>\n\u003cfigure id=\"attachment_12037245\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\">\u003cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12037245\" src=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED.jpg 2000w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED-800x533.jpg 800w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED-1020x680.jpg 1020w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/10/2025/04/250421-CHINATOWNTARIFFS-31-BL-KQED-1920x1280.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\">\u003cfigcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Imported items fill the wall at Beijing Shopping Center in San Francisco’s Chinatown neighborhood on April 21, 2025. \u003ccite>(Beth LaBerge/KQED)\u003c/cite>\u003c/figcaption>\u003c/figure>\n\u003cp>Yeung said business owners in the neighborhood are feeling an “emerging sense of powerlessness,” but he’s confident the community will weather the storm, given its history of surviving adversity.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>He said the community has overcome discriminatory policies, like the \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/12034009/angel-island-exhibit-aims-shine-light-border-surveillance-american-exclusion\">Chinese Exclusion Act\u003c/a>, urban redevelopment and, more recently, the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent rise in \u003ca href=\"https://www.kqed.org/news/11961693/californias-anti-asian-hate-crimes-decline-but-long-term-pattern-persists\">hate crimes targeting Asian communities\u003c/a>.\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>“ That’s actually the Chinatown story more than virtually anything else,” Yeung said. “We’ve found ways to just be here through thick and thin. I think we’re entering into a thin period, but this community in many ways is built for that.”\u003c/p>\n\u003cp>\u003c/p>\n\u003c/div>\u003c/p>",
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"tagline": "Where conversation and cultura meet",
"info": "What kind of no sabo word is Hyphenación? For us, it’s about living within a hyphenation. Like being a third-gen Mexican-American from the Texas border now living that Bay Area Chicano life. Like Xorje! Each week we bring together a couple of hyphenated Latinos to talk all about personal life choices: family, careers, relationships, belonging … everything is on the table. ",
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"info": "The Political Mind of Jerry Brown brings listeners the wisdom of the former Governor, Mayor, and presidential candidate. Scott Shafer interviewed Brown for more than 40 hours, covering the former governor's life and half-century in the political game – and Brown has some lessons he'd like to share. ",
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"marketplace": {
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"title": "Marketplace",
"info": "Our flagship program, helmed by Kai Ryssdal, examines what the day in money delivered, through stories, conversations, newsworthy numbers and more. Updated Monday through Friday at about 3:30 p.m. PT.",
"airtime": "MON-FRI 4pm-4:30pm, MON-WED 6:30pm-7pm",
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"info": "The MindShift podcast explores the innovations in education that are shaping how kids learn. Hosts Ki Sung and Katrina Schwartz introduce listeners to educators, researchers, parents and students who are developing effective ways to improve how kids learn. We cover topics like how fed-up administrators are developing surprising tactics to deal with classroom disruptions; how listening to podcasts are helping kids develop reading skills; the consequences of overparenting; and why interdisciplinary learning can engage students on all ends of the traditional achievement spectrum. This podcast is part of the MindShift education site, a division of KQED News. KQED is an NPR/PBS member station based in San Francisco. You can also visit the MindShift website for episodes and supplemental blog posts or tweet us \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/MindShiftKQED\">@MindShiftKQED\u003c/a> or visit us at \u003ca href=\"/mindshift\">MindShift.KQED.org\u003c/a>",
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"order": 12
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"info": "For decades, the process for how police police themselves has been inconsistent – if not opaque. In some states, like California, these proceedings were completely hidden. After a new police transparency law unsealed scores of internal affairs files, our reporters set out to examine these cases and the shadow world of police discipline. On Our Watch brings listeners into the rooms where officers are questioned and witnesses are interrogated to find out who this system is really protecting. Is it the officers, or the public they've sworn to serve?",
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"info": "Our weekly podcast explores how the media 'sausage' is made, casts an incisive eye on fluctuations in the marketplace of ideas, and examines threats to the freedom of information and expression in America and abroad. For one hour a week, the show tries to lift the veil from the process of \"making media,\" especially news media, because it's through that lens that we see the world and the world sees us",
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"planet-money": {
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"politicalbreakdown": {
"id": "politicalbreakdown",
"title": "Political Breakdown",
"tagline": "Politics from a personal perspective",
"info": "Political Breakdown is a new series that explores the political intersection of California and the nation. Each week hosts Scott Shafer and Marisa Lagos are joined with a new special guest to unpack politics -- with personality — and offer an insider’s glimpse at how politics happens.",
"airtime": "THU 6:30pm-7pm",
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"possible": {
"id": "possible",
"title": "Possible",
"info": "Possible is hosted by entrepreneur Reid Hoffman and writer Aria Finger. Together in Possible, Hoffman and Finger lead enlightening discussions about building a brighter collective future. The show features interviews with visionary guests like Trevor Noah, Sam Altman and Janette Sadik-Khan. Possible paints an optimistic portrait of the world we can create through science, policy, business, art and our shared humanity. It asks: What if everything goes right for once? How can we get there? Each episode also includes a short fiction story generated by advanced AI GPT-4, serving as a thought-provoking springboard to speculate how humanity could leverage technology for good.",
"airtime": "SUN 2pm",
"imageSrc": "https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Possible-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg",
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},
"pri-the-world": {
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"title": "PRI's The World: Latest Edition",
"info": "Each weekday, host Marco Werman and his team of producers bring you the world's most interesting stories in an hour of radio that reminds us just how small our planet really is.",
"airtime": "MON-FRI 2pm-3pm",
"imageSrc": "https://cdn.kqed.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/The-World-Podcast-Tile-360x360-1.jpg",
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},
"radiolab": {
"id": "radiolab",
"title": "Radiolab",
"info": "A two-time Peabody Award-winner, Radiolab is an investigation told through sounds and stories, and centered around one big idea. In the Radiolab world, information sounds like music and science and culture collide. Hosted by Jad Abumrad and Robert Krulwich, the show is designed for listeners who demand skepticism, but appreciate wonder. WNYC Studios is the producer of other leading podcasts including Freakonomics Radio, Death, Sex & Money, On the Media and many more.",
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},
"reveal": {
"id": "reveal",
"title": "Reveal",
"info": "Created by The Center for Investigative Reporting and PRX, Reveal is public radios first one-hour weekly radio show and podcast dedicated to investigative reporting. Credible, fact based and without a partisan agenda, Reveal combines the power and artistry of driveway moment storytelling with data-rich reporting on critically important issues. The result is stories that inform and inspire, arming our listeners with information to right injustices, hold the powerful accountable and improve lives.Reveal is hosted by Al Letson and showcases the award-winning work of CIR and newsrooms large and small across the nation. In a radio and podcast market crowded with choices, Reveal focuses on important and often surprising stories that illuminate the world for our listeners.",
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"officialWebsiteLink": "https://www.revealnews.org/episodes/",
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"rss": "http://feeds.revealradio.org/revealpodcast"
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},
"rightnowish": {
"id": "rightnowish",
"title": "Rightnowish",
"tagline": "Art is where you find it",
"info": "Rightnowish digs into life in the Bay Area right now… ish. Journalist Pendarvis Harshaw takes us to galleries painted on the sides of liquor stores in West Oakland. We'll dance in warehouses in the Bayview, make smoothies with kids in South Berkeley, and listen to classical music in a 1984 Cutlass Supreme in Richmond. Every week, Pen talks to movers and shakers about how the Bay Area shapes what they create, and how they shape the place we call home.",
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"order": 16
},
"link": "/podcasts/rightnowish",
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},
"science-friday": {
"id": "science-friday",
"title": "Science Friday",
"info": "Science Friday is a weekly science talk show, broadcast live over public radio stations nationwide. Each week, the show focuses on science topics that are in the news and tries to bring an educated, balanced discussion to bear on the scientific issues at hand. Panels of expert guests join host Ira Flatow, a veteran science journalist, to discuss science and to take questions from listeners during the call-in portion of the program.",
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},
"snap-judgment": {
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