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Is the Sun Pulling a Rip Van Winkle?

 

Ben Burress by Ben Burress  April 10th, 2009
37.7631, -122.409

Our Sun has a well-observed cycle of rising and falling magnetic activity that runs its course about every 11 years. But as cycles in nature teach us time and time again, you usually can’t set your watch or your calendar by them.

The Sun seems to be unusually quiet these last few years– and solar scientists are excited by this long, deep slumber of activity because it is the first of its kind that has occurred since modern (space-based) solar observation began back in the 1960s.

The Sun is a huge ball of hot, electrically charged gas (plasma– mostly hydrogen and helium ions and electrons). Its constant internal motions of plasma– the rising and falling of convection cells, the non-uniform rotation of the Sun that involves a lot of twisting and sheering– generate magnetic fields, as any kid who has built an electromagnet might guess. In an electromagnetic, an electric current (moving electrons) generates the magnetic field.

The Sun’s magnetic fields can grow quite strong in areas, generated beneath the Sun’s visible surface (photosphere) and rising up through that surface and into the Sun’s enveloping atmosphere. At the photosphere, the magnetic fields tend to suppress the rising convection of plasma, choking the flow of heat from the interior to the surface and making spots that are less hot than the general surface (4000 degrees as opposed to 6000 degrees). The cooler spots are less bright, and we call them sunspots.

The same magnetic fields that leave their mark on the photosphere as sunspots rise into the solar atmosphere, where their sometimes violent twisting and interaction heats the gases there, and can power violent explosions such as solar flares and coronal mass ejections, both of which can affect the Earth.
So, sunspots are a visible sign of magnetic activity, and over the last 400 years of regular observations and counts of sunspots, a distinct 11-year cycle from one peak of activity to the next has been identified. Between peaks of activity (called solar maxima) are periods of relative "quiet," magnetically speaking, when there are few if any sunspots observed, and events like solar flares and such are not common.

We are currently in the midst of a solar minimum– the last solar maximum that occurred was around 2000/2001. But what has scientists buzzing right now is just how "deep" a sleep the Sun seems to be in. 2008 was the quietest year for the Sun on record since the beginning of the space age. Out of the 366 days last year, on 266 of them the Sun was completely spotless, which is well below "normal" for a solar minimum year.

What does it mean? Well– that’s difficult to say right now. Scientists are still trying to understand why the Sun experiences its 11–year cycle at all. And it’s not unprecedented; the Sun has experienced "deep minima" before. In 1913 there were 311 spotless days. Other deep minima have been seen in the sunspot record, and in almost every case normal solar activity returned; the next solar maximum is expected to peak in 2011 or 2012– perhaps 2013.

There is no indication that the Sun will remain quite and mostly spot free for an extended period– such as it did in the 17th Century, when the Sun remained quite for about 70 years!

The Last Hoorah for Solar Cycle 23?

 

Ben Burress by Ben Burress  April 11th, 2008
37.8148, -122.178

Magnetic activity on March 27th; white indicates N
magnetic poles, black S. Credit: ESA/SOHO/NASA.

A few blogs back I wrote about the 11-year cycle of ups and downs in solar activity–the Solar Cycle –and how over the last year or so the baton was supposedly passed from Cycle 23 to Cycle 24. But there has been an occurrence on the Sun that suggests we may be in somewhat of a gray zone….

For the past two or three years, the Sun has been downright boring. We set up our Sunspotter telescopes for visitors and try very hard to make what we see seem interesting–"See that perfectly blank circle of light? That’s the Sun! Really it is!"

About a week ago, the tedium was suddenly broken by a train of sunspots that rotated into view on Sun’s disk. Five–count'em– five sunspots! Finally, something to actually look at! And in the eyepiece of our Coronado Hydrogen-Alpha filter telescope there were filaments and plage! What are filaments and plage? Exactly! People wanted to know….

Then came the weird part: these were not Cycle 24 sunspots (I am not the Dread Pirate Roberts…); they were refugees from the supposedly defunct Cycle 23. While the distinction may be a fine point that doesn’t worry most of our visitors, it can still be a good talking point.

So, why were these five sunspots fingered as old solar trekkers rather than members of the next generation? It all comes back to what a solar cycle is–and sunspots, flares, prominences, and plage are merely details: manifestations of the Sun's magnetic convulsions. The Sun, like the Earth, generates an enveloping magnetic field–a big donut with a north and a south magnetic pole. On smaller scales there are plenty of twists and swirls and knots in the field caused by local "hot spots" of magnetic activity–which are what produce features like sunspots in the first place.

At solar maximum–the peak of activity of a solar cycle–the Sun's magnetic poles flip over, or reverse. In fact, it's this reversal that really lets us know when a solar maximum has arrived. (Earth's magnetic field also reverses polarity periodically–although this only happens every 200,000 years, on average.)

At the beginning of a solar cycle, new sunspot activity can be found at high solar latitudes, and as the cycle progresses, activity migrates toward the equator. On a finer nuance, the magnetic polarity of sunspots–which can be N or S, and are usually paired up, like the two ends of a bar magnet –are typically oriented east-to-west on the Sun's surface, one leading to the other as the Sun rotates. Which type of pole (N or S) leads and which trails depends on the overall magnetic "flip" state of the Sun's magnetic field.

To round out this report, the five surprise sunspots of yesterweek were lined up close to the Sun's equator, and the orientation of their magnetic poles bespoke their affiliation with the outgoing magnetic administration (Cycle 23). So far, only a single, high-latitude, reverse-polarity sunspot observed last January has signaled Cycle 24 .

Who knows? Maybe the magnetic candidates of Cycle 24 are still holding primaries, caucuses, and debates and have yet to begin some serious campaigning…

Benjamin Burress is a staff astronomer at The Chabot Space & Science Center in Oakland, CA.