Vaccines: One Small Risk for a Child, One Giant Benefit for Mankind
You’re as likely to be struck by lightning
as to have a severe reaction to a vaccine.
I was reading an article in Time last week about parents not vaccinating their children. The story was about how this phenomenon is becoming more widespread.
These kinds of stories are weird to me because vaccines are pretty safe. The risk of an adverse side effect is incredibly small. For example, the risk for anaphylaxis from the Hepatitis B Virus vaccination is around 1 in 600,000. This is about the same risk as being struck by lightning (1 in 700,000).
Of course, the article wasn’t talking about known risks. Instead, it was referring to a hypothesized link between vaccines and autism.
People proposed this link when they noticed that cases of autism and the number of vaccinations were rising at the same time. Of course, just because two things happen to occur at the same time, this does not mean they are causally linked. For example, the increase in global temperature is not related to the decrease in the world’s populations of pirates (despite what the Pastafarians say).
So how could an increased number of vaccinations cause an increase in the number of cases of autism? I have seen two ideas put forth. The first is that thimerosal is to blame. The second is that there are so many vaccinations now that we are stressing out the body’s immune system. Most likely neither idea is valid.
Thimerosal is a mercury-based preservative that used to be used in vaccines. Even though there haven’t been any good studies on the effects of thimerosal on brain development, everyone knows mercury is bad for the brain. So the idea behind thimerosal makes some sense.
Back in 2001, vaccine manufacturers decided to eliminate thimerosal from their vaccines. We would predict, then, that cases of autism should go down significantly if thimerosal was linked to autism. They haven’t. In fact, in one California study, cases have continued to climb. So thimerosal is most likely not to blame.
Another point that has been made is that there are so many vaccines now that we are stressing out our bodies’ immune systems. Again, this concern is unfounded.
Vaccines are injections of viral proteins. Our bodies see the proteins and raise antibodies to them. Then when a virus invades, we have antibodies that recognize the virus and target it for destruction.
It is the number of viral proteins that matter in terms of taxing the body’s immune system and not the number of vaccinations. All of the current vaccines put together do not have as many viral proteins as the old smallpox vaccine (150 vs. 200). So the number of vaccines is unlikely to be the issue.
What all of this means is that vaccines are probably not responsible for the significant increase in the number of cases of autism. What is responsible? No one knows for sure.
It may be that the rise just comes from all of us recognizing the symptoms more. Or it could be due to some cause we don’t know about or understand.
What we do know is that vaccines save many lives. I assume no one wants to go back to the early 20th century when polio epidemics swept the country. For example, 2,500 cases of polio ended up at one Los Angeles hospital between May and November of 1934. And in 1952, the U.S. had 21,000 cases of paralytic polio.
We can prevent this sort of thing from happening by making sure everyone is vaccinated. And yet there are people who choose to hide behind the people who take the miniscule risk of getting vaccinated.
Is this a matter of free choice? Should parents be allowed to opt out of vaccinating their children even if it risks society at large?
One idea, I suppose, is to have people who choose not to be vaccinated to sign a waiver saying they accept full responsibility for their actions. In practice this would mean that health insurance and the government would not be responsible for their children’s health care bills if they become ill with one of the diseases they refused to be vaccinated against.
And if your infant, grandma, or immuno-suppressed cousin came down with a disease these folks refused to be vaccinated against, then you could sue the un-vaccinated for damages. The common good isn’t enough to encourage these folks. Perhaps threats to their pocketbook will be.


Except it’s not a small risk. So many kids have died from vaccines. Google VAERS and then look at the data in there. It’s eye-opening, to say the least.
What a great idea, sueing the unvaccinated when an immune compromised individual comes down with a vaccine preventable disease. If everyone were subject to being sued for the damage they impose on others they would not be more careful about their conduct. Whoops, my mistake, I forgot that the drug companies can do anything to our children via their vaccines and not be subject to any civil recourse in our courts.
By the way, how does a child catch Hepatitis B or tetanus from my unvaccinated child?
Your “facts” are all wrong. Polio declined on it’s own BEFORE vaccinations. Try some research…
The “Vaccine Safety Manual: For Concerend Families and Health Care Practioners” by Neil Z. Miller and get your facts straight.
Also, more than half of the required vaccines are for “new” diseases & illnesses that did we did not have vaccines for years ago. Rotavirus vaccine? Hep B? Chickenpox? Are you serious?
The problem with the medical establishment is just that, it is the establishment. And anyone working as part of that establishment is only looking at what the establishment has prescribed.
I was hoping someone from the vast majority of people who vaccinate their kids would reply but I guess I’ll have to.
I would urge folks to look at http://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/vac-gen/6mishome.htm. This is very well writeen and scientifically accurate. There is no reason for the CDC to fudge the data or hide facts.
Even if a disease was on the decline before a vaccine was introduced, the vaccine eliminates it more quickly. And prevents new outbreaks from happening. How many extra polio victims would justify not using vaccines?
My suing idea was just trying to come up with some way for people who do not do what is in the common good to be held accountable. I am open to other suggestions.
You are right, correlation does not imply causation. The argument of vaccination causing autism is tenuous at best. The fact is, the diagnosis of autism in the last two decades has changed dramatically. The definition and recognition of autism is now open to more symptoms than ever before.
As far as requiring 100% of all children to be vaccinated, who knows. It could be that if at least 90% are vaccinated for disease XYZ then all 100% are safe. Epidemiological studies on what percentages are needed could shade light on this. Until that is done though, the benefits of vaccination to the child and community still outweigh the risks.
You are definitely right that 100% vaccination isn’t required. Some people can’t be vaccinated and for some the vaccination doesn’t take. I wonder what the real number is? I bet you could get some idea from looking at countries where the introduction of vaccines has been more gradual. Or from countries where a percentage of the population has opted out.
It does raise another ethical issue though. Let’s say the 90% number is right. Who gets to be the 10% that gets totally risk free benefits at the expense of the other 90%? Do you figure who opts out by lottery?
[...] that sometimes they believe it is. And even if they didn’t believe that, they at least will consider a child who has died from an adverse reaction to a vaccine a mere casualty in the war again… Tragic, but necessary. Sure, tell that to mourning parents. And we’ll see if you’re [...]