LINDA WERTHEIMER, HOST:
The government of Myanmar announced today it intends to release hundreds of prisoners as a goodwill gesture ahead of President Obama's historic trip there on Monday.
STEVE INSKEEP, HOST:
Mr. Obama will be the first sitting president to visit the Southeast Asian nation. It was a pariah state for decades, ruled by a ruthless military dictatorship.
WERTHEIMER: Recently, the country also known as Burma has seen encouraging signs of democratic reform, which the U.S. has actively encouraged. But, as NPR's Michele Kelemen reports, it may be too early for a victory lap.
MICHELE KELEMEN, BYLINE: Aung Din, a Burmese exile here in Washington, says the U.S. response to the changes in his homeland have been much more than enough. The Obama administration has suspended most sanctions and sent an ambassador to Myanmar. He says this is not the right time for President Obama to go.
AUNG DIN: The response from the United States government is much more than enough. The United States government response is too much, too fast and too generous.
KELEMEN: The former student leader believes there are still more than 300 political prisoners in Myanmar, and an increasing number of displaced people from ethnic conflicts and communal violence. And Aung Din doesn't sound very confident in the reforms promoted by Myanmar's President Thein Sein.
DIN: His reform process is not good enough to get the credit or acknowledgment or inducement from President Obama yet. He still needs to do a lot.
KELEMEN: President Obama will attend a regional summit in Cambodia and visit Thailand on this trip. In Myanmar, he'll meet with President Thein Sein and will visit with Aung San Suu Kyi, the democracy activist who's now a member of parliament. The Obama administration sees its engagement with Burma as a major success of its so-called pivot to Asia. But Michael Green of the Center for Strategic and International Studies says the president needs to be a bit more circumspect.
MICHAEL GREEN: I think if the president goes to Burma not as a victory lap to sort of champion this intriguing and fascinating piece of the pivot, but rather as an opportunity to encourage and push for more reform and acknowledge what has to be done, I think it will be a successful trip.
KELEMEN: Green says the trip could be a boost for President Thein Sein, as well as for Aung San Suu Kyi, who is said to be less enthusiastic about the timing of the visit.
GREEN: In an odd way, the general and the lady are on this life raft shooting the rapids together, and we need them to keep at it.
KELEMEN: There are many risks, says Tom Malinowski, Washington director of Human Rights Watch.
TOM MALINOWSKI: Burma's really at the very beginning of that process. It could still be derailed by a military that does not want to give up power, by ethnic violence. And a lot of the things that the United States has been asking the government to do in the last few months, they've not done.
KELEMEN: He says the government of Myanmar has been doling out political prisoners to win international favor, rather than keeping its promise to release them all. And Malinowski says no one, not even Aung San Suu Kyi, has helped tamp down a conflict that has left hundreds dead and tens of thousands on the run.
MALINOWSKI: We've seen, in the last few months, a virus of ethnic and religious hatred spread through Burma directed at Muslims in general and the Rohingya people living in the Arakan State, in particular.
KELEMEN: Secretary of State Hillary Clinton says President Obama will discuss that conflict and will call for calm and meaningful dialogue to resolve the issue of stateless Muslims in Myanmar. The future of the country is not certain, she says, and President Obama will have a lot to talk about while he's there.
Michele Kelemen, NPR News, Washington.
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